BTC Bitcoin VAL, S1, Weekly, 1.27 confluence at $102,700BTC Bitcoin VAL, S1, Weekly, 1.27 confluence at $102,700
If we do drop more, this is where I'm looking to buy. Lots of support in this area for a bounce back to the POC. A rejection of POC means we may be looking at 100k. Get past it, then target is VAH around 106k.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC: Bias Map 18/06/25Daily Bias Map:
- Bitcoin is trading within a HTF range between 110,700 and 100,700.
- Mid range sits around 105,700 aligning with a 4H bearish fair value gap.
- Higher timeframes are trending down no justification for looking at longs here. Especially after losing 106,500
- FOMC today at 7PM UK time
- Expecting major volatility looking to short any spike into resistance or inefficiencies.
- A scalp long might be valid around 104,115 (demand zone + 30min SFP), but that’s tactical only.
- No reason to flip bullish geopolitical tension (Israel/Iran) adds further downside risk.
- Main plan: scalp long if triggered early, then look to short FOMC-driven upside move.
- Risk is tight. If setups aren’t clean, I’ll sit out and wait for the FOMC dust to settle.
Bitcoin (BTC): Important Area of 200 EMA | Volatility IncomingWhat's happening in the world is having a huge impact on Bitcoin, but the worst is to come...
Price is hovering near the 200EMA, where neither buyers nor sellers can establish proper dominance near that area so our "wait" game continues. We wait for proper confirmations of which side will take control of the 200EMA and once we see it, we will be trading according to that.
Overall, as long as we are above the 200EMA, we are still looking for the $120K area, but once there, we will be looking for a BIG dump.
Swallow Academy
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe daily candlestick chart of BTC shows a three - day consecutive bearish retracement, having fallen back to the vicinity of the starting point of the previous pinbar rebound and currently remaining in a recent low - level sideways consolidation zone. However, the 4 - hour trend is pressured by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, staying within a downward channel and forming a rebound - retracement wave pattern.
For short - term strategies, anticipate a further retracement first. Long positions should be initiated only after the support level is confirmed valid. This retracement represents a necessary consolidation phase before the bullish trend continues, and the current adjustment range does not pose a substantial threat of trend reversal to the overall uptrend. With the core upward trend intact and the direction remaining clear, BTC is expected to resume its upward momentum after a brief consolidation. The operational approach remains to go long on retracements.
BTCUSD
buy@103500-104000
tp:105500-106500
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁
In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️
We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders.
For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
BTC at Risk Amid Technical Weakness and Geopolitical TensionsBitcoin has failed to break above the previous high of $110,264, and instead formed a lower high at $108,802, signaling potential weakness in the current structure. From a technical standpoint, this breakdown increases the likelihood of a bearish move — especially with today’s FOMC interest rate decision on the horizon and escalating geopolitical tensions, including the risk of U.S. involvement in the Middle East conflict.
We're also seeing increased volatility and market sensitivity to news, which can make short-term trading riskier than usual. Bitcoin remains inside the red consolidation box — and as previously mentioned, any breakout from this range is likely to be sharp and aggressive (whale-driven). That’s why positioning ahead of the breakout is crucial.
If BTC breaks below $103,608.67 and at the same time Bitcoin Dominance rises above 64.90%, it could be a strong signal that capital is exiting altcoins. In that case, short opportunities in altcoins may offer better setups, as they could drop more significantly than BTC.
🛑 Due to the high volatility and macro uncertainty, keep your risk low, use tight stop-losses, and don’t forget to secure profits quickly.
💬 What’s your take on BTC’s next move? Drop a comment below — let’s discuss! 👇
At the moment, Bitcoin is hovering around the newly created FVG.🚨 BITCOIN MARKET UPDATE 🚨
Bitcoin has recently broken below the previous BPR (Balanced Price Range), signaling a significant shift in market structure. Along with this breakdown, a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has also formed — a strong indication that the market may be preparing for a further move to the downside.
📉 What This Means:
The break below BPR, combined with the emergence of a bearish FVG, suggests that bearish momentum is currently in play. This is often a sign that the market intends to seek out lower liquidity zones, potentially targeting new lower lows.
🔎 Current Setup:
At the moment, Bitcoin is hovering around the newly created FVG. If price retraces into this zone and gives us a clear bearish confirmation (such as a rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or other MSS confirmation), it could provide a high-probability sell opportunity.
🎯 Target:
The primary target would be liquidity below the most recent lower lows.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder:
Always wait for proper confirmation before entering a trade. These setups are best traded using MSS (Market Structure Shift) or BPR strategies for higher probability outcomes.
📚 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
Trading involves risk. Ensure you have a strategy in place and never trade blindly.
BTC channels chart Here I provide you what I believe to be BTC channels down trend channels in terms of being bullish each dotted channel is median and all darken red are tops and bottoms currently we are at median level and as long as we hold this level we can get a bounce to top channel if not then targets of bottom channel it may not be clear the first time but trying channels can provide extra clarity and here’s my chart to witness the BTC breakouts since 2022
BTC 4H Analysis📈 BTC 4H Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Loading
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a Symmetrical Triangle, forming higher lows and lower highs – a classic sign of volatility compression.
🔹 Structure: Symmetrical Triangle
🔹 Support Holding Strong – bulls defending the zone
🔹 Breakout Expected Soon
🔹 Major Resistance: $110,200
🔹 Breakout Target: $112,000+
Price is coiling up. Break above the triangle = strong bullish continuation likely.
🚀 Eyes on breakout — next move could be explosive!
NFA | DYOR
Most likely scenario for BitcoinI am tired of all analysts just saying that we are going down to 70k or up to 200k in one go.
So let me add a small informative chart for all people new or lost.
Don't get me wrong, i am bullish mid and long term but right now we are in the middle of a strong correction but shouln't last long.
We could have been super bullish above 106k but the price broke down with strength.
Now we see a super clear 5 wave movement down.
Currently we are in the 4 wave, trying to bounce back to the 106k area and doing a classic 4 wave ABC correction.
The bounce lacks volume so the most likely scenario is completing the 5 wave. We might get to the 101k area and ONLY THEN we can see what could happen.
If you are a futures trader, do it with caution and small leverage.
If you are a long term investor, these are perfect areas to buy more.
Good day to everyone.
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend.
Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
As I said earlier, the real correction is STARTING right now!Hello, everyone! I started writing this review when Bitcoin was at $105,200, and I'm finishing it at $104,150.
⚡️ So far, my thesis is completely correct — we filled the GAP at $104,763 and are going lower to collect liquidity and close the GAPs.
But let's take a look at where and when something might change:
➡️ Today, there is a vote on the stablecoin bill. It is being hyped up a lot and in the short term, it could be a catalyst for a small rebound. But in reality, it has no global value right now. And it will take a very long time to truly feel its impact. But this law is definitely a breakthrough.
➡️ June 18 — the Fed's interest rate decision. The market expects the rate to remain at 4.5%. But in a bearish momentum, anything other than a rate cut (and even that is not always the case) is a bearish catalyst. Remember April, when positive news came out in droves, but Bitcoin at $75,000 didn't care.
However, if the rate is lowered, we can definitely expect a rebound. But I don't think it will be very high.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money flow - in complete harmony with the price. Position closing and liquidity outflow continue. It is clear that most of it has flowed into ETH and altcoins. But don't forget that if Bitcoin goes down, this liquidity from altcoins will evaporate even faster.
Support/Resistance Zones - as we can see, the level of 105,500 - 106,000 is still key, and without consolidating above it, we are going down. As long as the price is below this level, it is a bearish signal.
Liquidation Levels - just look at the amount of liquidity from below. As we know, the price moves from one liquidity to another; it is literally its fuel. And now, there is simply no liquidity from above, but there is plenty of it from below.
📌 Conclusion:
So far, everything is quite predictable for me and my subscribers. So, leaning back in our chairs, we continue to enjoy the show and wait for real discounts!
Have a great week, everyone!
BITCOIN - Price can fall a little and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to rising channel, where at once bounced from support line and rose a little, and then corrected.
Next, price continued to move up and soon reached $100500 level, after which broke it and rose to resistance line.
After this movement, BTC corrected and continued to grow in rising channel and later reached $110500 level.
Bitcoin exited from rising channel, made a fake breakout of resistance level, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price tried to grow but failed and fell to support level and then grew back again, after which started to decline.
Now, I expect that BTC can repeat as move before, it falls a little and then grows to $110500 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Bitcoin Retests Broken Channel | Bounce to $110k?Bitcoin is currently retesting the broken downward channel. This selloff was a market shock reaction due to Israel's airstrikes on Iran. Price found support around $103k, at the daily timeframe 50SMA. The daily 50SMA also served as support in the previous drop to $100k last week.
In the chart's red circle is likely where many long leveraged positions had their stop losses or liquidation levels. We can safely assume this event was a liquidity hunt as Bitcoin remains strong above $100k. A healthy pullback to retest.
Historically, we have seen similar market shock selloffs like this. One example is the 1st of October 2024 Iran strikes on Israel. Bitcoin crashed 5% from $63k to $60k. What followed after was a recovery to over $100k, never seeing $60k again.
Will Bitcoin recover?
We still have multiple bullish developments. Institutions are becoming increasingly interested in Bitcoin, the US Bitcoin reserve, SEC x Ripple case settlement, SOL ETF approval, Fed rate cuts, among others.
Provided that the conflict does not escalate, once the market panic reaction is over, we can expect a healthy bullish continuation, as long as Bitcoin remains above $100k.
We also have a massive pool of short liquidity above $111k. Once we break above this level it will be a short-squeeze to $120k.
BTC SHORT BEFORE ATHLooking to first short BTC toward the weak low we created during Friday's Asia session. Price left it exposed clean liquidity. If we get the right confirmations.The fake BOS that will take place if we move higher just adds more conviction to my play in the case we do first push towards the daily BPR.
This move would clear the path, set the stage, and potentially give us the entry conditions we want for the higher timeframe play. Where we will be looking for longs towards ATH.
For the HFTF view and what comes after, check the other chart I posted earlier same blueprint, just higher up the ladder.
Bitcoin (BTC): Markets are Cooked | Big Volatility IncomingYes, markets are cooked....all those tensions and news that are pressuring markets from every corner might result in a very explosive movement.
Now we've been looking for a new ATH to form near $120K and we still keep that game plan as long as buyers keep the dominance above the 200EMA line.
There is not much we can do now but just speculate. Speculate that when the war between Russia and Ukraine happened, what markets did exactly was they dumped and then shot highly up (talking mainly about Bitcoin).
So we might see similar things in the markets depending on what will happen next in the world, but one thing is sure: some will make a lot of money soon and some will lose a lot. Be sure to have proper risk management, as this is crucial!
Swallow Academy