Still no progress for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin consolidated the whole week. The outlook is still the same.
Now we saw a 5 wave pattern up (which could be a leading diagonal wave 1) and a correction down. So we could see the next impulse wave after the finish of the correction.
Or we see one more impulse wave down and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the (corrective) move down to finish. After that you could trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTCUSDT trade ideas
This is exactly how the market takes your money?I want to share with you a mindset about why, as a trader, you often face trouble when the market hasnโt yet shown a clear Swing Buy or Swing Sell signal.
When the market is in a good state, meaning itโs showing a clear Uptrend or Downtrend, youโre almost guaranteed to make a profit. However, during such times, your only issue is taking profits too early, scalping prematurely. You then re-enter at a new, higher position than before and continue scalping multiple times within a single Swing trend.
As the Swing trend nears its end, thatโs when the market starts to take back the profits you made earlier. The market reclaims the capital it โlentโ you and even collects some of your gains as interest. When the market enters a phase of unclear direction or is preparing for a new trend, you carry the Swing mindset from the previous phase into this Scalping phase, expecting the market to deliver the same big profits as before.
This is exactly why your positions are prone to losses and frequently hit Stop Losses, causing you to lose a chunk of your remaining capital.
This is how the market takes money out of your hands. Do you find yourself in this situation?
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop, thereby breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Recently, price has been trading in a narrowing structure, forming a triangle pattern with a strong ascending trend line acting as support. This bullish line began developing after the price reversed from the 78500 - 79000 support zone, where buyers showed a clear reaction, initiating a sustained upward move. As the price kept bouncing along the trend line, it gradually climbed toward the upper boundary of the triangle. Eventually, Bitcoin reached the resistance area near 86500, which aligns with the broader resistance zone between 86500 and 87000 points. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling for price action, and once again, it triggered selling pressure. After the rejection from this area, the price corrected back to the trend line and is now hovering near it, testing its strength. Given the structure of the triangle, the repeated rejection from the resistance zone, and the current consolidation under resistance, I expect BTCUSDT to break below the trend line and decline. That's why I set my goal at 82000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment โค๏ธ
Mid-Term Outlook for Bitcoin: Key LevelsFrom a global perspective, Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend; from a mid-term perspective โ in a downtrend; and from a local perspective โ in an upward trend. Therefore, in my view, the mid-term downtrend is still unfolding, and only a breakout above the 88,740 level would signal the first real threat to this bearish structure.
As long as the price remains below 88,740 and 87,400, the market remains a sell, with a target at 74,456 โ a key resistance level. Moreover, if the price indeed reaches 74,456, itโs unlikely that the movement will stop there. There's a high probability that weโll see further downside toward 70K, 65K, and possibly even 60K in the mid-term.
In conclusion: itโs crucial to wait for a breakdown below the purple consolidation area before considering short entries.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #64๐ Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Letโs move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
โณ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, the market continued to range within the same box and didnโt make any significant moves, but today we still have triggers and can open positions.
๐ Yesterday I told you that after the fake breakout of the box top, strong bearish momentum could enter, increasing the likelihood of the box bottom breaking, and that we could enter a short position upon its break.
โ๏ธ Thatโs exactly how it seemedโthere was strong bearish momentum and the price tested the 83233 zone once. But it couldnโt break that area, and after a strong bearish candle, market volume dropped significantly, and the market became range-bound again, which still continues.
๐ Our key resistance remains the 85482 zone, and breaking this level could initiate the next bullish wave. So, we can enter a long position if this level breaks.
๐ฝ For a short position, the 83233 zone is still valid. As I mentioned, the price tested this level again yesterday, reinforcing its importanceโso make sure to have a short position ready if this zone breaks.
๐ BTC.D Analysis
Letโs check Bitcoin Dominance. Today, dominance is in a corrective phase and has returned to the 63.87 zone and is retesting it.
๐ซ If this zone breaks and dominance continues its correction, we can consider dominance as bearish for now. But if dominance finds support here, it can continue its upward move and form a higher high.
๐
Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, the Total2 index had a fake breakout at the 932 zone, re-entered its box, and with the momentum that entered the market, moved upward. It has now broken the 947 zone and is retesting it.
๐ If the price pulls back to this zone and is supported, it could start an uptrend and move toward 980.
๐ฅ But if the price fails to stabilize above 947 and drops below it, we can confirm a bearish trend in Total2 with a break of 932 and open short positions on altcoins.
๐
USDT.D Analysis
Now for Tether Dominance: a small box has formed above the 5.39 zone, with the box bottom at 5.49 and the top at 5.59.
๐ฒ If the 5.49 zone breaks, we can confirm a bearish move in dominance down to 5.39. The main trigger for a bearish shift in dominance is the break of the 5.39 zone.
โจ For a bullish move in dominance, the 5.59 level is very important, and breaking it could begin a new upward trend for dominance.
โ Disclaimer โ
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Correction Offers Opportunity Before Potential RallyBitcoin is currently trading around $87,151, in the middle of a healthy weekly retracement after reaching local highs. Price remains within the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at $89,519 and Span B at $79,240), indicating a neutral to slightly bullish phase, depending on whether buyers reclaim key levels in the coming weeks.
A break and sustained close above $89,000 would serve as confirmation of bullish momentum resuming. That level aligns with the top of the cloud and recent consolidation, making it a key pivot zone to watch.
Should price fail to reclaim that zone in the short term, the ideal long entry zone lies between $74,000 and $70,000, where:
A previous breakout level aligns with demand
The Ichimoku cloud thickens for dynamic support
A potential oversold signal could develop on the TSI
The Trend Strength Index (TSI) values support a pullback-to-buy thesis:
TSI(10): -0.47
TSI(20): -0.80
While both are in negative territory, theyโre not deeply oversold yet, giving room for one more leg down before a strong reversal signal potentially emerges.
The ultimate bullish target remains at $109,000, which is the next significant swing extension zone.
Trade Setup Summary:
Breakout Confirmation: Close above $89,000 with follow-through
Buy Zone: $74,000 โ $70,000 (demand zone + cloud + structure support)
Target: $109,000
Invalidation: Close below $69,000
Bias: Bullish continuation while holding $70,000
Bitcoinโs current consolidation follows the post-halving adjustment, where mining rewards have been reduced and market volatility tends to increase. Institutional interest remains high, with ETF inflows stabilizing and macroeconomic uncertainty supporting long-term crypto positioning. As long as real yields remain in check and risk appetite persists, BTC is fundamentally supported, aligning with the bullish continuation setup seen on the chart.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
BTCUSDT โ Shallow Pullback Holding | 1.618 Extension in SightBitcoin made a strong move from 73K to 106K, setting a new high after months of sideways action. Since then, weโve seen a pullback, but it's been controlled. The retracement has landed right on the 0.236 Fib level, around 75.4K โ and price is starting to base above it.
Thatโs often a sign of bullish strength. Shallow retracements like this can fuel the next leg up.
๐น Short-Term Fib (Blue)
This Fib is drawn from the recent move:
73K (0) โ 106K (1)
Key level:
0.236: 75,409 โ currently acting as support
1.618 extension: 139,977 โ potential next target if the uptrend continues
So far, price is respecting the structure.
๐ก Macro Fib (Yellow)
Drawn from a larger swing:
39.5K (0) โ 73K (1)
That move already completed and topped out near the 1.618 extension at ~106.7K โ which lined up closely with the current ATH. Itโs not active anymore, but it gives important historical context.
๐ฏ What Iโm Watching:
Holding above 75K keeps bulls in control
Breakout above 95K could send price back to test ATH at 106K
If momentum builds, 139K (blue 1.618) becomes the next technical target
Drop below 73K? Structure breaks, and we reassess the trend
๐ Final Take:
BTC is holding strong where it needs to. Itโs not moon-mode yet, but the structure favors continuation. As long as the 75K area holds, Iโm leaning bullish โ targeting a breakout toward 106K and possibly 139K.
Letโs see if Bitcoinโs got another leg in it.
Thoughts? Long or waiting on a dip? ๐
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
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Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (81000) Day/Scalping trade basis.
๐SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 70000 (or) Escape Before the Target
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐
Detailed Point Recap ๐
Fundamentals ๐: Strong network + adoption โ
offset regulatory risks โ ๏ธโmoderately bullish ๐.
Macro ๐: Inflation aids BTC ๐ฅ, but tight policy/USD weigh โ๏ธโmixed ๐ค.
COT ๐: Institutional longs ๐ vs. leverage risks โกโcautiously bullish โ
.
On-Chain ๐: LTH bullishness ๐ vs. STH selling ๐โleans positive but capped โ๏ธ.
Intermarket ๐: Short-term bearish (equity/USD) ๐, long-term hedging ๐โmixed โ๏ธ.
Sentiment ๐: Neutral across cohorts โ๏ธโlacking conviction ๐คท.
Trends ๐ฏ: Short-term downside ($70K) ๐ vs. long-term upside ($129K) ๐โcontext-driven ๐ฎ.
Outlook ๐: Neutral now โ๏ธ, tilting bearish short-term ๐, bullish long-term ๐.
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast โ Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?๐ Weekly Outlook โ Week 16, 2025
โข BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
โข Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows โ potential breakout setup.
โข ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones
โข If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target.
โข ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum.
๐ This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis.
I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes,
with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.
Short-term predictions for BTCโAs of April 18, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $84,690 USD.
Short-term predictions for BTC are mixed, with some analysts forecasting potential declines due to market pressures, while others anticipate rebounds if certain resistance levels are surpassed.โ
BTCUSDTGiven the compression box, the price is in complete uncertainty and we need a catalyst to give direction to the price. If the price stabilizes at 88,000, it is not far to expect to see the 96,000 range, and if there is not enough fuel, a lower bottom than the previous one will still be possible. A break of the indicated box is important.
BTCUSDT โ System-Based Long Signal (3D Timeframe)
๐
April 19, 2025
Yesterdayโs 3D candle closed with a clear PSAR flip, shifting from bearish to bullish โ an early signal of potential trend reversal.
In addition, price is now trading above the 200 MA, which confirms a return into long-term bullish territory.
๐ข Based on these two system signals, we have a valid long entry setup forming.
However, the system is not fully aligned yet:
โ ๏ธ MLR < BB Center < SMA
This suggests the internal momentum structure is still weak.
We are above 200MA and have a PSAR trigger, but the trend metrics aren't in full confluence.
๐ Strategy suggestion:
- Consider a partial spot entry only
- Avoid leverage until full confirmation
- Wait for MLR to flip above BB Center for added strength
This is a trigger-before-confirmation type of setup โ and in such cases, discipline > excitement.