BTCUSDT trade ideas
[BTC/USDT] Wave (4) Completed? Road to $140K Begins HereBitcoin is consolidating just above key support after a textbook correction. The first chart shows a completed Falling Wedge breakout from Wave ④, while the second chart lays out macro Fibonacci targets for Wave (5).
Chart 1 (Daily): Local Breakout Setup
• Falling wedge breakout above 83.9K–84.3K
• Completed structure: Wave ③ → ④ → Potential Wave ⑤
• Invalidation: Below 73.8K or worst-case 69.5K
• Bullish continuation requires break & close above 86K
Chart 2 (Weekly): Macro Target Projections
Using Fibonacci extension from Wave (3), BTC shows:
• 0.618 Target = $114,983
• 1.000 Target = $140,033
• 1.618 Target = $180,560
If current support holds, Bitcoin could be entering a massive Wave (5) cycle with upside potential towards $140K–$180K. Reclaiming levels like $92.5K, $101K, and $106K will confirm the bullish structure.
What’s your Wave 5 target?
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #CryptoTA
BTC NEXT MOVEBTC is turned bullish on lower time frame for now. As CHoCH marked on the chart after taking previous lower high. As now its in bullish trend so we have to find bullish entries like I have marked OB+FVG below the Sell side liquidity and Trendline liquidity. Expecting price to fill these liquidity areas and then up.
BTC/USD 1hr ChartInto the hourly chart, there has been a noticeable shift in market structure from bearish to bullish momentum, accompanied by displacement—a clear bullish indicator for short-term price movements. Additionally, liquidity targets are evident, offering opportunities for institutional traders to capitalize on. Beneath this liquidity lies a fair value gap and a bullish order block, which may present an excellent entry point for long or bullish traders targeting the recent liquidity price of 88.951.7 zone with a stop loss just below the swing low at 78,100.
BTCUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trends, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Technical Analysis Synthesis:
Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band.
Market Sentiment Integration:
Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves.
Directional Determination:
Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment.
Trade Strategy Selection:
Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio.
Trade Execution Plan:
Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis.
Risk Assessment:
Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency.
JSON Trade Plan:
{ "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
Risk Warning:
Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
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#BTC reaches the support zone, beware of rebound📊#BTC reaches the support zone, beware of rebound📈
🧠From a structural perspective, we fell below the blue resistance zone and reached the stage support zone, so there is an expectation of rebound, but we fell below the inflection point of 83675, which means that the probability of our continuation of the bullish trend has decreased, and we are likely to fall below the inflection point of 82999. So what we need to focus on today is the shorting opportunity after the rebound reaches the overlapping resistance zone.
➡️New long opportunities need to pay attention to two supports around 81779 and 79689.
⚠️Note that we should not be too optimistic before we break through the blue resistance zone. I did not participate in the short trade of BTC because shorting ETH is more cost-effective, and it also quickly reached the target area today.
Let's take a look👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Update to my short ideaOn sunday i posted an idea where BTC would reject from supply. Now we tapped into it and started to form some kind of an distribution model. I have drawn some ways this could get completed if it isn't already, but since we are in a higher timeframe accumulation model 2 there is also a chance that this is just consolidation before continuation and this gets invalidated.
Bitcoin update"Bitcoin is currently in wave B of its second wave and could potentially reach the $100,000 range. After that, it will begin its wave C correction, which I believe could go down to the $60,000 level, more precisely between $65,000 and $70,000. Following this, it will start its main upward wave 3, which could easily reach the $500,000 range. The target timeframe for the end of the second wave can be seen as approximately 4 months from now.
This is just a prediction, not a prophecy, but what can be said with confidence is that the main market growth is on its way.
Wishing everyone success."
shortH S,
Hello friends, considering Powell's speech last night and Bitcoin's quick reaction from 86 to 83, and the fact that they still predict that the market is under pressure and that interest rates may remain unchanged for now, we expect that in the first stage, the price will retreat towards the 60,000 channel in the weekly time frame and then attack again from around 65 to 68 to return the price to the ceiling. The markets have a lot of risks. Observe risk and capital management.
BTC - small scalp exampleTrying to keep this one short:
BTC took the weekend highs, only entry was market in when getting back below the level. Which is usually how I trade, but I had ETH short already and was fine keeping it that way.
Now internal structure is at an important low:
- mark the last high (sweep high)
- mark the high before that, that got broken
- the low in between those would signal internal break if broken
now price is very weak, but we look for a low-hold to keep structure + price pushing into supply on futures open.
keeping it really tight, if we lose this internal structure, it's much more likely that we take the weekend lows as well, from where we can look for a new setup.
tp into the orderblock that preceded the breakdown, tp1 around first resistance at 84.5
Bitcoin (BTC): Price Above 200 EMA | Possible Fakeout?The price of Bitcoin has broken the 200EMA line, where we are now monitoring for more confirmations.
As recently we've been seeing multiple fakeouts in both ways, we might form a similar fakeout near the current market price, which might then send the price back to lower zones, but if we see a BOS forming, then we might go for a smaller upward movement here...we wait.
Swallow Academy
BTC SWING DOJI +OB LONGBTC is currently in a mini consolidation box, can breakout or breakdown, if it breaks down I plan to long the 79K 1H bullish OB, Its at support (Volume Profile) + its the Montly VAL, target would be the 89 Liquidity, watch out for reaction before entering, invalidation is very clear
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Trap in Progress: The Smart Money's Favorit🚨 Warning: This is not financial advice – this is a post-mortem for early longs.
📍 BTC is consolidating at the exact Point of Control (~84.200 USDT) – aka the zone of weak hands.
Tape shows consistent negative delta, falling Open Interest, and phantom volume.
🎯 Likely scenario in the next few hours:
Pump trap to 85.800 (liquidate aggressive shorts)
Reversal into oblivion down to 83.200 → 81.500
💣 Liquidity clusters are waiting at:
🔺 86.000 – 86.800: where retail longs dream of “breakout season”
🔻 82.000 – 81.500: where they go to rest in peace
⚙️ Pôncio Setup (a.k.a. Institutional Homicide Strategy):
Short Entry: 85.5K–85.8K (on rejection + weak delta)
SL: 86.2K (just above stop cluster)
TP1: 83.2K (first blood)
TP2: 81.5K (massacre zone)
🔮 If we get a deep sweep into 82K and trap sellers with a reversal spike in OI + green delta... maybe, just maybe, a long from hell is viable.
📈 Chart below shows expected price trajectory.
Trade safe. Or at least, trade interesting.