BTCUSDT trade ideas
Cup and handle reversalA cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long.
Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern.
The pattern was first described by William J. O'Neil in his 1988 classic book on technical analysis, How to Make Money in Stocks.
Head and sholdersHead and shoulders on BTC.
A head and shoulders pattern is a technical indicator with a chart pattern of three peaks, where the outer two are close in height, and the middle is the highest.
A head and shoulders pattern—considered one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns—is a chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal.
An inverse head and shoulders pattern predicts a bearish-to-bullish trend.
The neckline rests at the support or resistance lines, depending on the pattern direction.
Lower highs / lower lows BTC....what will happen next?History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. Let's look at the BTC chart: lower highs, lower lows from double top. What have we seen in the past -> significant drops. Personally, I'm all for innovation and technology, but make no mistake that institutions are not blindly buying at the top and BTC is veering away from it's core principles after the financial crisis (there's still a middle man!). With this level of volatility and automated trading, there is bound to be a major pull back and it's starting to crack. Economic numbers are not horrible, but they are "lagging." Unemployment is not great with more layoffs being announced every day, interest rates are still high, unsecured debt is ultra high, and affordability is at 30-40 year low. Don't let the champagne effect of S&P fool you, things are NOT rosy!
Always do your own due diligence and all the best!
BTC/USDT – Daily Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s idea worked out perfectly: price reached the target block and continued its upward move. Today, bulls remain firmly in control, and I expect the bullish trend to continue towards the 108,620 area.
The recent pullback is viewed as a correction within the ongoing impulse. Buyers are clearly dominating the market, so my main scenario is further growth to the yellow block, where significant liquidity from short liquidations is clustered. I expect price to reach this range today, and I’m considering long setups on any corrective moves.
Key levels:
Main target: 108,620 (yellow liquidity zone)
Critical support: 106,676
If price closes below 106,676, or we see no bullish reaction for an extended period, I’ll consider that bulls may be losing control and a deeper reversal could follow. For now, the bias remains bullish.
Watching price action closely and will update if conditions change.
BTC/USDT – Intraday View (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s plan worked out partially. For now, I believe the bullish move has run its course and today we should see a corrective phase. My main target for the correction is the yellow block at 106,300.
Ideally, I’d like to see a pullback towards the entry area before the move continues.
The scenario is invalidated if we break above the previous high — in that case, I’ll reconsider the outlook.
Key levels:
Correction target: 106,300 (yellow block)
Entry retest preferred
Invalidation: new local high above yesterday’s peak
Monitoring price action and will update if the setup changes.
BTC Short from H1 FVG + H4 OB Confluence — Risky Setup✅ Price in strong supply confluence (H1 FVG + H4 OB)
✅ SFP & order block add to short case, but context is choppy
⚠️ Trade is low conviction, manage size and stops accordingly
Short Scenario:
Entry: In $107,500–$108,500 zone (confirmation from SFP/OB)
Target: $104,000–$105,000 (D1 FVG zone)
Stop: Above $108,500 or invalidate on strong reclaim
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Look for reaction (SFP, rejection wicks) in FVG/OB zone before adding
Exit quick if invalidated or strong momentum up
🚨 Risk Warning:
Not a high conviction setup; use smaller position size and stay nimble
BTC/USDT – Fakeout Above Rising Channel | Why Clean Breakouts StThis chart highlights an important lesson in breakout trading: Not all breakouts are valid, even when backed by volume.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
BTC was trading inside a well-respected ascending channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower bounds.
Price broke above the channel with a 15-minute candle close and volume, giving the appearance of a clean breakout.
However, shortly after, price re-entered the channel, invalidating the breakout. This is what we call a fakeout or bull trap.
❓ So Why Did the Breakout Fail?
Lack of Follow-Through Buyers:
Despite volume, there wasn’t enough buyer continuation above the breakout level to sustain momentum.
Liquidity Hunt:
The wick beyond the upper trendline likely served to trigger breakout entries and stop losses of short sellers, only to reverse after liquidity was collected.
Key S/R Reaction:
After re-entering the channel, price reacted at a minor horizontal level (previous S/R), attempted another push, but failed again, confirming weakness.
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: BTCUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 10:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: Not specified (assumed 4Hr or intraday swing)
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 101,705.24
Profit Level 108,783.85 (+6.96% %)
Stop Loss 99,579.47 (−2.09%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.33 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
High-Conviction Buyside Play:
Entry aligns with the broader BTCUSD bullish structure, supported by consistent higher-timeframe momentum.
Liquidity Grab Below Key Low:
Market swept downside liquidity near $99,600 before reversing sharply, indicating smart money accumulation.
Stop level moved (2.86%)
BTC: H4 Plan 25/06/25Trade Plan – H4 BTC
Market Context:
- Total market cap has retraced into a 4H order block
- BTC is holding stronger relative to total
- Market has been range-bound for 43 days – HTF is sideways
Key Levels:
- 3.18T on total = clean long trigger, aligns with BTC monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 fib retrace
- 110k = equal highs, 0.886 fib level, clear derisk point for intraday and key supply zone
Trade Strategy:
- Wait for 3.18T retest on total market cap before entering
- Look to long BTC on any dip into monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 retrace region
- Flip short at 110k – until breakout is confirmed, treat this as a range-bound environment
BTC/USD Thief Breakout at $107K – Eyeing $115K!🚨 Thief Entry Setup: BTC/USD Breakout Play 🚨
Overview:
Jump in after the $107 000 breakout—aiming for $115 000 with a tight “Thief SL” at $102 500. Adjust the stop‑loss to match your personal risk tolerance.
🧠 Setup Summary
Pair: BTC/USD
Entry trigger: Breakout above $107 000
Stop‑Loss: “Thief SL” at $102 500 (use your own risk‑based SL)
Target: $115 000
🎯 Why This Setup?
Clear breakout level at $107 000 = fresh momentum
Tight SL cushion (≈‑4.3%) = defined risk
Target ≈ +7.5% potential = strong reward-to-risk (~1.75:1)
📏 Risk Management Tips:
Only risk a small % of your capital—never exceed your comfort zone.
Move your SL to breakeven once mid‑target is hit to lock in profits.
Trailing your stop‑loss could secure bigger gains if BTC surges toward $115 000.
What now BTC?#bitcoin price has been moving in an ascending wedge for a few days. Although ascending wedges may end up bearish, there' s another chance for #btc price to break out this wedge and catch upper liquidities above 108K. But, also there' s a bearish divergence has been forming in this lower time frame chart of #btcusdt .
Maker may ignore this divergence and allow bots to print another HH but it' s now wise to be careful and watch out. The reverse is acceptable for #usdt dominance chart.
Breaking out 110K is the temporary invalidation of bull trap and above 120K is the complete invalidation.
BTC HIGH DATA SHOW BREAKDOWN TO 85K FOR BITCOIN SOON.Bitcoin Market Update
BTC SEEMS TO ENTER A NEW CORRECTION PHASE SOON.
Recent data suggests that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle is coming to an end. As a result, we may soon see a downward move in BTC's price. The key target in this potential drop is around $85,000, with expectations that BTC will fall below $100,000.
This week, Bitcoin completed its cycle trend and is now entering a processing or transitional phase. Once this phase ends, we anticipate another decline in price.
This outlook is based on recurring patterns seen in previous BTC cycles, which have shown similar behavior in the past.
BTC can play on the low time frame with uptrends and downtrends, but if we will choice a side, then it will be the red trend.. since BTC cycle is ending.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USDT
1. False Bullish Narrative
The chart labels the structure as “Bullish”, yet recent price action shows:
A strong rejection near 106,000.
Followed by multiple red candles with increasing volume — a common sign of sell pressure re-entering the market.
The bullish label may be premature or misleading based on this momentum shift.
2. Bearish Structure Developing
The price is starting to form a lower high after the sharp drop.
The outlined path resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern in early development, often preceding a bearish breakdown.
The breakdown could lead directly to the "Target" zone or even below if momentum increases.
3. Volume Divergence
The volume spike during the pump was not sustained. Post-spike, volume is declining on green candles, suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Sellers are likely using liquidity at the top to exit positions, not initiate new longs.
4. Support Turned Resistance
The red boxes mark failed support zones which now may act as resistance.
If price attempts to retest these zones and fails, it would confirm bearish control and validate the downward path toward the target (104,400–104,000).
BTC Short Setup – Breakdown Below Structure💡 Idea:
Bitcoin is consolidating under a key structure after a sharp bullish move. If price breaks below the curved neckline, it could signal the start of a local downtrend.
🔔 Trade Plan:
Entry: Below $104,902 (after a clear 1H candle close under the curved line)
Stop-Loss (SL): $106,649 (above the recent swing high)
Take-Profit (TP): $100,735 (targeting major support zone)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.38
🧠 Reasoning:
Price is forming a rounding top structure, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. A break below the curve could lead to a retracement toward the $100k support level.
📆 Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk.
Bitcoin Overall: Larger correction may be overWhile I believe it is still possible to target the more global support zone below, a sequence of events like that shown (another smaller push higher before a larger drop) would suggest BTC is on its way to new ATH again.
Conversely, a larger drop from current resistance levels would suggest we still have one more larger leg down to me.
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraMy main scenario for today:
Expecting BTC to sweep the lows near 104,350, then see strong buying interest and a move up towards the yellow liquidity block around 106,300 by the end of the trading day. Ideally, I want to see this reversal on clear volume.
If there’s no strong buy reaction at 104,370 and buyers fail to step in, then I expect BTC to break lower — without reaching the yellow zone — and continue down by the width of the current channel.
Key zones:
Support: 104,350–104,370
Target if bullish reaction: 106,300 (yellow block)
Failure to bounce: deeper downside move, channel breakdown
Watching price action and volume closely at support for the next trade trigger.
Instructions on how to potentially use the SIG[TP/SL (1H-4H-1D)]It's a HF algorithm for the 1H,4H,1D Time-Frames. Which means whenever the instrument reaches the open price, the algo might give a lot of signals and sometimes it might give plenty of reverse signals. In order to use the specific algo in the best possible way, here's a helpful guide on how to potentially use it:
1)Wait for the instrument to reach the open price.
2) ALWAYS, Follow the signals, e.g: We are at the open price. If it indicates buy signal, then open a long position. If for example 5 seconds later (again at the open price) it indicates a sell signal, then reverse the long position into a short position, and keep doing it until it gives a signal, that will be followed by a good sized candle.
3) The safest way is to close the trade when the price reaches the potential TP1.
4) Happy Trading!
*The text above is not an investment advice, and it does not guarantee any profit.