BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC is the champion our portfolio needs. BTC has some work to do. Either it will correct for a nice confrimatio low or strucure out for a bull fag. Either way, the price remains within a downward-sloping channel. That keeps me neutral bullish. But until I see a pivot point structure with signs of divergence in oversold conditions, it's difficult to get a proper RR.
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Markets Rally as Iran’s Strike Falls Short of Expectations🟢 Markets Rally as Iran’s Strike Falls Short of Expectations
One key point here is that global markets were bracing for a much more severe response from Iran toward the U.S. But when the actual attack turned out to be less intense than expected, risk assets — including crypto and stocks — started to climb, while oil prices dropped. Normally, heightened tensions in the Middle East would push oil prices higher, but this time, the opposite happened.
Another important factor is Bitcoin’s exchange outflows. As I’ve mentioned before, BTC leaving exchanges is a bullish sign — it means fewer coins are available to sell, which can fuel quick upward moves when a long trigger appears.
📍Wait for a clean long setup, and avoid emotional trades.
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💬 Do you think the market is reacting rationally or emotionally right now? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
A bearish trend is gradually taking shape.From a technical perspective, the complete breakdown of the box bottom, coupled with the MACD indicator about to fully crossing below the zero axis, both indicate that bullish momentum is weakening and a bearish trend is gradually forming. Short-term bulls need to take a temporary break and wait for the construction of a stabilizing platform. For bears, according to the current trend, they can lay out short positions on rallies. The ideal entry position is near the lower edge of the box, and they can try to lay out positions boldly after setting stop-losses.
On the news front, "Laote"'s policies change frequently, with extremely high uncertainty. The market needs global stability, and there has been no bull market in history built in a turbulent environment. Therefore, we need to treat market conditions cautiously, avoid blind and radical operations, and only by maintaining rationality can we respond to market changes.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@102300-102800
TP:100000-100500
BTC: Bias Map 22/06/25Previous Week:
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bias:
Spot buyer within 93.5k–88k BTC zone. This is the key support region
Structure:
- Weekly fair value gap sits between 93.5k–88k
- Still trending lower, no reversal yet confirmed
- Weekly has swept previous ATH and rejected without displacement
Plan:
- Watch for Bitcoin to move into 93.5k–88k
- No trading Monday - sitting flat
- Iran’s retaliation risk still unpriced — major global risk looming
- Structure or weekly reaction will determine next steps
Macro:
- Global risk extremely elevated with increased escalation risk from a potential Iranian response
- Risk assets like crypto are broadly unattractive in this environment
- Capital preservation is still critical
A key issue I dislike about this structure is the similarities it shares with the 2021 bull run, where we swept previous ATH, failed to displace and then rejected and moved -77%
I do not think we will see a -77% move however but a scenario where this shares similar structure and we visit the 70-60s is without doubt a clear probability and one that must be acknowledged
This week will be absolutely critical to be patient and watch how the middle east situation evolves. We are heading into a potentially very dangerous and uncertain era so caution is critical
$BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe Price is currently hoverCRYPTOCAP:BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Price is currently hovering just above the 50 EMA (blue line), which sits around $103,164, while BTC trades slightly higher at $103,774. Historically, as shown by the chart, BTC has respected the 50 EMA as dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. Recent touches on the 50 EMA have triggered bounces, indicating it's a strong technical level.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $103,000 – $102,000:
If BTC holds above this zone, continuation toward previous highs is likely.
🔸 Upside Target: $108,000 – $110,000
Should the 50 EMA act as a springboard again, BTC could retest recent highs.
🔸 Risk Level at $101,500:
A daily close below this level may invalidate the bullish structure and trigger a deeper correction.
🔸 Outlook:
Watch for confirmation of a bounce above the 50 EMA. Bullish entries can be considered on strong daily candles above the moving average with tight risk management.
btc short now you have a very clear view of whats gonna happen
101k is inevitable. And if 101 dosent hold, 98 will be our balance point where market will go for making lower high and if price action changes we can go for a new ATH, which i guess will be our final ATH before we drop for a fresh new bear cycle.
thanks
$BTC - Protected LowBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 1D
Price got strongly rejected at 106.5k
It deviated below the 4-hour mini-range. We now need to see a reclaim of 105–105.1k. If not, a retest of the value area low at 101.4k is likely.
100k remains to be the protected low, and it would be critical if we won't get a valid retest at 101.4k
local resistance: 105-105.5k
local support: 101.4k
protected low: 100k
BTC Squeezed to the Edge – Will $102K Support Hold or Crack?Bitcoin is pressing into the apex of a descending triangle, anchored at $102K. Volume is drying up, EMAs are compressing, and liquidity pools sit just below. This structure rarely resolves quietly — a volatile breakout is imminent.
🔻 Bearish Case (Primary Bias):
Breakdown below $102K = short trigger
Targets: $98K → $94K
Stop: Above $106K
Confluence: Bearish pattern + volume dry-up + liquidity below
🟢 Bullish Reversal (Alternate):
Breakout above $107.5K = short squeeze likely
Flip bias only if trendline is reclaimed on volume
🎯 Final Take:
BTC is at a decision point. Don’t trade the bias — trade the breakout. Volatility is coming. Be ready.
📣 What’s your setup? Breakdown or fakeout rally? Share below!