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BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTCBitcoin's price drop from $105,667supply roof today can be attributed to retest to broken demand floor and now it become supply roof on 4hr close candle Technical Exhaustion and Profit-Taking will play big soon on priceaction with market markers pushing price into 108900 -109000 and short from that level , because The recent rally that pushed Bitcoin's value from $67,000 to $100,000 and above in just 30 days will led to technical exhaustion and profit-taking, causing the price to decline on retest to broken demand floor bullish channel Regulatory Concerns and Global Economic Uncertainty will soon be weighing on Bitcoin's price from 108900-109000, bitcoin is overpriced.
by Shavyfxhub
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H/1D Kijun Breakout Price Action: We’ve seen a triple tap on the Daily Kijun that marked strong resistance. The breakout and daily close above on January 6th, 2025 confirms a bullish signal. Now, price is hovering around the 4H/D Kijun confluence, creating a favorable area to watch for a retest and potential bounce. Trade Idea (Long): – Enter on retest of the 4H/D Kijun if we see supportive wicks or bullish confirmation. – Risk: 1% of account. – Reward: 1:2 RRR target (take profit near key swing high or FVG fill). Macro News Watch: This is a big macro news week. Stay alert for unexpected volatility that could invalidate the setup. If price closes back below the Kijun levels, be prepared to manage or exit the trade accordingly.
Long
by Fondera
Key Insights from the BTC Market Analysis1. Market Overview BTC Price: $102,624.90, up +3.83%. Market Cap: $2.03T, with 24h Volume at $103.12B (+13.99%), signaling robust trading activity. Dominance: 56.34% (+0.43%), showing BTC’s growing share of the market. 2. Indicators of Sentiment Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 75, indicating strong "Greed" and bullish market sentiment. Exchange Balances: BTC exchange balance slightly decreased (-0.06%), suggesting hodling and reduced selling pressure. 3. Derivatives Insights Open Interest (OI): Up +5.39% to $149.62B, showing new positions are opening, potentially setting up larger moves. Funding Rates: Positive across major exchanges, indicating more bullish positions. Long/Short Ratio: Mixed sentiment with Binance net long (1.66) and OKX net short (0.67), which may lead to pockets of volatility. 4. Technical Indicators Support: $101k–$101.5k, deeper support near $100k if a pullback occurs. Resistance: $103k–$103.3k. Breaking above this could push BTC toward $105k. RSI: Cooling slightly (~58–60), signaling consolidation or potential pullback after recent gains. 5. Short-Term Scenarios Bullish: A reclaim of $103k could push BTC to $105k. Neutral: Consolidation between $100k and $103k. Bearish: Profit-taking near $103k might drop BTC to $100k or lower. 6. Confidence Level Overall Bias: Moderately bullish. Positives: Increasing OI, reduced exchange balances, and bullish funding rates. Cautions: Slightly cooling RSI and large options OI increase (+45.30%) suggest potential for high volatility. Final Thoughts BTC remains in a strong position as long as it holds above $101k. A breakout above $103k could lead to further upside, but cautious risk management is essential given mixed sentiment across derivatives and short-term cooling indicators.
by titankarma
Anticipating 2025Happy new year, traders! A few year-end wobbles not withstanding, Bitcoin has remained steadily within, or just above, the $100k price range over the past weeks. Bears briefly pushed Bitcoin below $90k but the dip was slurped up quickly and Bitcoin bounced upwards. Just as in the summer of 2024, when it was clear that Bulls had run out of steam, the same can be said of Bears in this moment in time. For now, Bulls remain at the wheel. As Bitcoin builds up momentum before hopefully going on the next leg of its cycle growth, the stage is open and capital available for Altcoins to have their moment. So-called 'Boomer Coins' including Litecoin, XRP and others have rallied 30-40%+ over the past week alone. On the other end of the spectrum, memes, AI agent coins in particular, have seen parabolic growth. Market participants are chasing the 'next' pump narrative. But none of the typical 'top' indicators have yet been hit. The Coinbase app is not number 1 in the App Store just yet. From a regulatory perspective, traders are positioning themselves for the incoming pro-crypto Trump administration. As SEC chairman Gary Gensler is handing in his resignation on January 20th, a new crypto-friendly SEC chair, Paul Atkins, is poised to take over once confirmed by the Senate. This will mark a major step-change from an SEC that brought at least 83 enforcement actions against crypto companies such as Coinbase or Uniswap. Macro-wise, the outlook is more mixed. On the one hand, latest US inflation readings have come in soft. That keeps the door open for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. On the other, both retail sales and job data came in below expectations underperforming. The impact of possible Trump tariffs on the economy and trading partners such as China, Mexico and the EU is a great unknown that spooks markets. In a worst case scenario, tariffs could hurt partner exports which would result in an overall economic backlash for everyone. Nonetheless, crypto is entering the 2nd year of its Boom Market cycle with more cause for optimism. The regulatory uncertainty is slowly lifting. Institutions including giants such as Blackrock have embraced crypto markets. Beyond the usual noise of crypto markets, Blockchain technology is improving. Areas such as performance, encryption, interoperability and User experience are starting to reach a point where actual adoption becomes feasible. There is certainly a lot to look forward to in 2025. May we all have a great year ahead of us.
Long
by Coinrule
Bitcoin | I Didn't Come From the FutureHello Everyone, in the last analysis I pointed out an orange box after 102.500 Sell line as you can see Bitcoin | Maximum Accuracy! and it worked like I came from the future but that is the past new day new trades. Now Market manipulated the level given but not as much as I want, I'm usually okey with it that is why boxes are starting from that areas, you don't need perfection, you need a zone that works significantly and I do have that right now. Still I have a suspicion about one more down move can come for the manipulation of 0.25 Fibonacci Level on the chart but the symmetry is gone so fresh analysis need to be made. Don't understand me wrong it is still possible but not as much as last time. Tomorrow is CPI Data but it is more likely to be CP Lie so I'm not waiting anything extreme data announcement. Even if the data results are a little bit bad markets can react hard. I would love to wait for today's close for deciding but I know you need one more long plan if markets decide to not testing 0.25 Fibonacci. And that plan is the green dashed line. I wish you the best in your trading journey, if you want to learn how I find and trade these boxes, check my profile. If you want to see my other analysis check some of them from below; Here are some of my recent analyses. Each one highlights key opportunities: 🚀 RENDERUSDT: Strategic Support Zones at the Blue Boxes +%45 Reaction 🎯 PUNDIXUSDT: Huge Opportunity | 250% Volume Spike - %60 Reaction Sniper Entry 🌐 CryptoMarkets TOTAL2: Support Zone 🚀 GMTUSDT: %35 FAST REJECTION FROM THE RED BOX
Long
by XU99
1
BTCUSDT: A Constellation of Good Bottom Supports; Potential BullBTCUSDT: A Constellation of Good Bottom Supports; Potential Bull 1. Price Action and Resistance: • Current Price Range: Bitcoin is trading at approximately $102,000, testing levels below the all-time high (ATH) resistance near $108,353. • Resistance Zone: The ATH resistance is clearly marked, acting as a significant barrier to further upward movement. A breakout above this resistance could signal the start of a strong bullish trend. 2. Support Levels: • Highlighted Support Zones: Support levels at $90,791 and $89,256 are noted, with multiple candle wicks showing price rejection at these levels. This demonstrates strong buying interest and foundational support. 3. MACD Divergence: • Divergence Observed: There’s a noted divergence between price action and the MACD indicator, which is often a bullish signal. This could imply an impending upward move as the market builds momentum. 4. Volume Analysis: • Rising Volume: Volume spikes are observed at critical points, suggesting strong participation during support retests and resistance challenges. Sustained high volume near resistance could confirm a breakout. 5. Consolidation Pattern: • The chart shows a pattern of consolidation below resistance, indicative of market accumulation. This is often a precursor to a bullish breakout if supported by increasing volume and positive sentiment. Relating to Trump’s Inauguration: If you’re connecting this analysis to the inauguration (assuming significant policy or market sentiment shifts associated with the event): • Market anticipation could drive speculative bullish momentum if policies or sentiments are perceived as favorable for Bitcoin or the crypto market overall. • Historically, Bitcoin often reacts positively to uncertainty or economic policy changes, which may align with potential government actions during inauguration periods. Summary: The chart indicates a potential bull market if Bitcoin breaks above the $108,353 ATH resistance with strong volume confirmation. Divergence with MACD and solid support levels add to the bullish case. Any significant market news, such as Trump’s inauguration, could catalyze this move.
by bit2bit
btcusdt short💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
Short
by RODDYTRADING
Continuation of the consolidation on BTC, short opportunityBesides all the hype around the inauguration of Trump and the technical rebound we have received. the technical picture and the dynamic of the earlier discussed move in my pod suggests the further consolidation, which is likely to continue while also disappointing the crowd We have come to the bearish fvg where also the 50% of the initial manipulation is located , we are also at the psychological 100 k level, which acts as a strong price point either way. I believe we might receive the final sweep locally on 15 min TF where possibly the setup can be found to enter the trade
Short
by itismetrading
Bullish on Bitcoin: At Critical JunctureBitcoin is currently at a critical juncture, facing channel resistance and hidden bearish divergence on the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator. For this bearish signal to be invalidated, the price must break above $102,727. However, buyers have not shown strong support at the current levels, which is essential for a breakout. Without a decisive push from buyers, breaking through this resistance level remains uncertain. Bullish Momentum Despite the challenges, I remain fairly bullish on Bitcoin’s outlook. Every dip is being aggressively bought, as evidenced by the swift recovery from the $90,000 drop, which was absorbed in just two days. This robust buy-up indicates strong bullish momentum and significant interest from market participants. Understanding Bearish Sentiment While I maintain a bullish stance, I understand why some traders expect lower prices. Key factors contributing to this sentiment include: CME Gaps: These gaps are often filled, leading some to anticipate a return to lower levels. Fibonacci Retracement: Price has not retraced to the 0.386 Fib level, which is commonly the minimum retracement for a Wave 4 correction in Elliott Wave Theory. Wave 4 Correction: According to Elliott Wave Theory, if a Wave 4 correction hasn’t fully played out, the price needs to break the high of Wave 3 ($108,353) to confirm the end of Wave 4. Until this occurs, the possibility of an incomplete correction remains a consideration. Bullish Case for Bitcoin In the bullish scenario, the recent correction can be classified as a WXY correction, with Wave Y ending at $89,256. Wave C was truncated, meaning it did not fully extend, leading to a shorter-than-expected correction. This suggests that Bitcoin has transitioned into Wave 5, its final upward impulse. Why Wave 5 Matters Wave 5 is particularly significant as it often coincides with the peak of Bitcoin’s rally and the beginning of Alt Season. Historically, this phase sees strong price action, with dips being short-lived and quickly absorbed by buyers. Alts Rally with Bitcoins Wave 5 As you have seen XRP’s recent breakout means its now technically in its bullish Wave 3 lends further credibility to the bullish case. If Bitcoin were to experience further downside, it could drag XRP down, potentially invalidating its wave count. This scenario seems unlikely, given XRP’s strong momentum. Market Catalysts It seems plausible that Bullish Momentum will rally into the inauguration of Donald Trump. Conclusion Bitcoin’s current price action suggests a strong bullish momentum despite some underlying bearish signals. While caution is warranted due to the hidden OBV divergence and incomplete retracement patterns, the aggressive dip-buying and transition into Wave 5 paint an optimistic picture. The key levels to watch are $102,727 for invalidating bearish signals and $108,353 for confirming the end of Wave 4. For now, the dips are opportunities, and the path forward looks promising for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
Long
by heywippa
BTCUSDT - 17th January📉 BTC/USDT at a Crossroads – Bullish and Bearish Scenarios 📈 Bitcoin is currently navigating a critical decision point, as uncertainty looms over the completion of Wave 4. Here’s a breakdown of the potential outcomes: 🔑 Bullish Path: If Wave 4 is complete, BTC is poised for a breakout above the $103K resistance level. Target Zones for Wave 5: 🎯 Target 1: $121K 🎯 Target 2: $129K A confirmed breakout above $103K would signal the start of a rally toward a new all-time high. 🔻 Bearish Path: If Wave 4 remains incomplete, BTC might still be forming a triangle or bull flag, which suggests another leg downward. Possible Downside Levels: 📌 FWB:88K to $86K This would likely mark the final accumulation phase before BTC resumes its climb toward the all-time high. 🎯 Current Outlook: The $103K level is the key to determining Bitcoin’s next move: A breakout confirms the bullish scenario. A rejection signals potential downside. 📊 Conclusion: Bitcoin’s path hinges on resolving Wave 4. Until confirmation emerges, traders should exercise caution and prepare for both bullish and bearish scenarios when planning trades or investments. Disclaimer: ⚠️ This is not financial advice! Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
by RhinoAkaBear