Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
At the beginning of last week, Bitcoin reached the resistance level of $115,000-$116,300 (a mirror volume zone) and experienced a quick correction. However, at this level, there was a strong absorption of sales, as the volumes clearly indicated active buys, and by Wednesday, the focus shifted towards long positions.
The only surprise was a slight stop in the $117,600-$118,600 zone (accumulated volumes). In general, we passed it with almost no resistance, which is a sign of buyer strength.
An additional catalyst for growth was President Donald Trump's executive order on August 7, which allows Americans to invest in cryptocurrency through their retirement accounts. This decision could pave the way for a multibillion-dollar influx of new funds into the cryptocurrency market.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Now we’re almost close to the ATH, but at the moment there is a small resistance in the range of $121,500-$122,300. It’s not yet clear in which direction the volume will move, but in case of a breakout of the ATH, this zone can become the nearest support in the case of a correction.
If sells are activated at the current levels, it’s worth paying attention to the level of ~$120,000 (pushing volumes). In this case, a local sideways movement is possible between the level of ~$120,000 and the zone of $122,300-$121,500.
Buy Zones:
~$120,000 (pushing volumes)
$117,500–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
$115,300–$114,000 (accumulated volumes)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
On macroeconomic events this week:
• August 12, Tuesday, 12:30 (UTC) - publication of the basic consumer price index (CPI) of the United States for July, as well as in comparison with July 2024;
• August 13, Wednesday, 6:00 (UTC) - publication of the consumer price index (CPI) of Germany for July;
• August 14, Thursday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK's GDP for the second quarter and for June;
• August 14, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial unemployment claims and the US producer price index (PPI) for July;
• August 14, Thursday, 23:50 (UTC) — publication of Japan's GDP for the second quarter;
• August 15, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the volume and base index of US retail sales for July.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
