$BTC / USDT - What Next??CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin is trading within an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically considered a bullish structure.
It is advisable to wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from this pattern before considering any entries.
The chart color-codes all potential support zones, ranging from minor to major zones, based on their relative strength.
The red resistance zone remains unchanged and continues to act as a key supply area.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT – Weekly Breakout Setup Targeting $115K–$125K | BullishDescription:
Bitcoin is showing a clear continuation pattern on both the daily and weekly timeframes, supported by strong trend structure and healthy consolidation. After breaking out of a long-range accumulation zone (60K–72K), BTC has maintained its position above critical levels and is now forming a bullish flag/pennant just below a major resistance band (~106K).
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Higher highs and higher lows structure in both D1 and W1.
Current consolidation resembles a bullish pennant, often a continuation pattern after parabolic moves.
Price holding well above the midline of the ascending channel and major MAs (50/100/200 EMA) on daily.
Weekly candle bodies are closing higher with strong wicks rejecting downside, showing buying strength.
RSI is climbing again (D1 ~69, W1 ~64) – still below overbought, leaving more room to run.
MACD has bullish crossover and momentum histogram is green.
ADX above 23 and increasing, indicating strong trend potential.
📌 Support & Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: 106,000 (Previous Weekly High - PWH)
Major Breakout Level: 110,000 (Horizontal + Fib Confluence + Weekly structure)
Support: 100,000 psychological + dynamic trendline + demand zone
Strong Base: 96,000–98,000 (must hold for bullish bias to remain)
🎯 Trade Setup (Swing Long Idea):
Entry (Breakout): Above 106,000
Targets:
TP1: 110,000
TP2: 115,000
TP3: 124,000 (channel top / measured move target)
Stop Loss: Below 98,500 (or tighter under structure at 100,000 depending on risk appetite)
BTCUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a bullish trading setup for BTC/USDT on the 30-minute timeframe, suggesting a potential upward breakout after a pattern that resembles an inverse head and shoulders formation.
Key Elements:
Green Arrows: Indicate potential buy entry points.
Orange Circles: Highlight the formation of two shoulders and a head (classic signs of a reversal pattern).
Blue Arrow and Zone:
Take Profit: Around the $106,354 level.
Stop Loss: Slightly below $102,372.
Current Price: ~$103,740
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a long trade setup:
Entry Zone: Near $103,000–$103,740
Target: ~$106,354
Stop Loss: Below $102,372
This strategy relies on a breakout confirmation after the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Always manage risk appropriately and confirm signals with volume or other indicators before entering. Let me know if you want a breakdown of the risk-reward ratio or additional technical indicators.
Bitcoin Stalls at $104,700 — Breakout Pending as Volume Remains BTC has been trading in a tight consolidation range all week, showing little momentum as it tests the $104,700 resistance zone. Despite repeated attempts, price action has failed to break out, largely due to declining volume and strong confluence at the current level.
Key Highlights:
Resistance Level: $104,700 (Value Area High + Daily S/R + Local Range High)
Volume Profile: Weak volume prevents confirmation of breakout
Price Behavior: Multiple candles closing within range without breakout
BITCOIN: If it's going to retrace, it's now!Bitcoin is probably going to retrace, this is what the chart is showing us. A little retrace here wouldn't be bad, targeting the support area at $92.000. Otherwise, if BTC will manage to consilidate above current highs, will probably run higher around $110-115.000
BTC (Y25.P2.E1) Have 2 scenariosHi Traders,
I won't use words as the charts do the job if you can read charts.
Scenario #1, price moves up from here
Scenario #2, price sweeps the lows for liquidity. A fractal is aligned with it.
I'm looking to enter the trade big at the lows with Avwap, EMAs and liquidity making a strong case.
Here are short term levels based on our approach.
All the best,
Regards,
S.SAri
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-14 22:00 UTCBTC/USDT is currently in a short-term neutral to bearish phase on the 1H chart.
The overall structure shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a primary downtrend.
🔍 Technical Indicator Overview
RSI (14):
Current value: 44.6 → Neutral (no divergence).
RSI dipped as low as 25.1 earlier (02:05 UTC), but there was no sustained recovery.
MACD (12,26,9):
Histogram: -7.9173, signaling bearish momentum.
Last bullish crossover (02:40 UTC) did not hold.
MACD remaining flat while price makes lower lows may indicate weakening bearish momentum
ATR (14):
Current: 102.07 → Declining, suggests lower volatility and potential consolidation.
Volume:
Well below average, adding to the low-conviction price movement.
📉 Key Price Levels
Support Zones:
$103,400–$103,500: Multi-tested today → Short-term support cluster.
$103,200: Next key support, psychological + previous reaction zone.
Resistance Zones:
$104,000: Multiple intraday rejections today.
$104,500–$104,600: Strong resistance (yesterday’s high).
MACD Divergence Observation:
Price made lower lows, but MACD remained flat = Potential momentum weakening.
🎯 Educational Scenarios
Scenario A – Sideways Consolidation:
Holding above $103,400 → Range-bound between $103,400–$104,000 likely.
Scenario B – Support Breakdown:
Break below $103,400 with volume → Potential drop toward $103,200.
Scenario C – Bullish Breakout:
Close above $104,000 with RSI >50 and volume spike → Could retest $104,600.
Scenario D – Extended Bearish Case:
Failure to hold $103,200 → May test $102,800 (May 13 low).
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Low ATR (<110) = Higher false breakout probability.
Confirm any breakout with volume surge.
Neutral setups = wait for confirmation before directional bias.
📚 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Designed to help viewers learn how to read indicators and chart structures objectively based on current market behavior.
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis (short-term)
Current Price Structure: Strength and Consolidation
Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated impressive strength, rising from $74,000 to $105,000. This price movement indicates a strong bullish impulse, underpinned by multiple fundamental and technical factors:
Why BTC Rose from $74,000 to $105,000
Institutional Demand: Continued accumulation by major funds and institutional investors has fueled buying pressure.
Positive Market Sentiment: Favorable regulatory news and adoption by major companies have boosted confidence.
Technical Breakouts: The breach of significant resistance levels at $80,000 and $95,000 triggered further buying interest.
Weak Dollar and Global Macro: Inflation concerns and a weaker US dollar made BTC an attractive hedge.
Current Market Structure - Consolidation below Daily Resistance
BTC is currently consolidating below the daily resistance at $105,000 - $107,000, which also marks the current All-Time High (ATH).
Volume has decreased, and price has entered a tight range, indicating market indecision or preparation for the next move.
Price is forming a potential accumulation structure, consistent with the Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic.
Key Scenarios - Breakout vs. Rejection
Bullish Scenario (Preferred):
- BTC breaks and closes above $107,000 on the daily.
- Target: $115,000 - $120,000 (Weekly Resistance).
Bearish Scenario:
- BTC fails to break $107,000 and faces rejection.
- Price may decline to the support zone at $91,000 - $93,000.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price action suggests potential for a breakout above $107,000, following Wyckoff logic.
A daily close above this level would confirm strength and target $115,000 - $120,000.
If rejected, a retracement to $91,000 - $93,000 is likely.
Active traders should monitor the $107,000 level and be prepared for volatility.
BTCUSDT-H1-SHORTBTC is approaching a strong resistance zone at $106,000 after a recent uptrend.
The price is near the upper boundary of the green zone ($102,000–$106,000), suggesting overbought conditions.
Bearish signals: declining volume, overbought zone, and resistance at $106,000. Watch for a rejection at this level for confirmation.
No Clear Break Yet – Bounce or Bigger Correction?There haven’t been any major changes in Bitcoin’s directional structure compared to yesterday.
We saw a rebound while successfully holding the local low set during yesterday’s early morning session, and price action has followed the expected path quite well—reaching into the resistance zone and reacting accordingly.
The recent rebound from the $100,700 low may offer enough of a recovery move, but for a sustained continuation to the upside, we now need to see price hold the first support zone between $103,000 and $102,000, and ideally also preserve the second support around $101,500.
However, even if these support zones hold, failure to break previous highs could still result in another downward leg—potentially leading to a break back below $100K. This is an important scenario to keep in mind.
In short, we still need to determine whether this bounce is:
The completion of a correction wave and the start of a new uptrend
or
Just a temporary rebound before a deeper correction unfolds on the higher timeframe.
Even if we see meaningful bullish movement on the lower timeframes, it must also be confirmed across higher timeframes to be reliable. This is not a zone to hold blindly with blind optimism—whether long or short, if you’re in profit after a solid wave, consider partial profit-taking and manage your position proactively.
At the moment, the market remains in a range-bound structure, with neither the highs nor the lows broken decisively. I recommend using today’s update in conjunction with yesterday’s analysis—it will help you better understand the current structure, improve your positioning, and support your trading decisions.