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BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTC in DistributionHi everyone. I am going to be moving my trading commentary back to Ideas rather than Minds so I can stay focused during the day, as well as having the added benefit of retrospective analysis. I do not trade BTC but have been tracking the price recently and believe it is gearing up for a big move. The current structure supports a bearish bias based on the Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which the price has been following in a textbook fashion. If this pattern continues, I believe Bitcoin will enter a bearish trend. For the indexes I will try to post ideas for a bullish and bearish bias but for this quick post on Bitcoin, I am going to stick to the bear side. Using Renko (Traditional, $500 window size) as my main chart, you can see the price broke out of a strong uptrend after the peak on May 22 (Buying Climax) and entered a potential distribution pattern. The secondary test (ST) set the lower band of the resistance zone, which the price has been testing and rejecting up until this point. The labels are subjective but what we can confirm is that the price has broken through the bottom range (Sign of Weakness or Spring) but has been unable to break through the top of the range. An upthrust/false breakout above the top of the range would be a key level to go short, as this would take out the last remaining buyers, however the price continuing to stay below the resistance could be a sign of persistent weakness. A rejection here would suggest that we are in Phase C, which is where momentum will build up on the sell side, eventually pushing the price through the bottom of the range and into a bearish trend. Since Renko is the smoothest chart, I am also using range bars (less smooth) and standard candle sticks (most noise) to analyze closer setups. On the range chart (20000R or $200), the price looks to be in an inverse cup and handle pattern, which if it holds would support the idea that we are in Phase C of the distribution pattern and the price will fail to break above the range again. Volume indicates that there is low interest at the upper levels, which resulted in the price moving down in Friday. We could see another push down after another period of low interest at the upper level. Lastly, the 1h candle chart shows that the price has been relatively flat since June 25th and is being supported by a large volume node on the Volume Profile. There was large buying volume at the lower level, so if the price can stay above this node (~$106,700) there is a good chance that it will get pushed above the range, however if sellers are able to push it through this level of high volume, further downside could follow. This is why I would suggest waiting to see if this level holds before entering a trade. A false upside breakout (above $112,000) would be a safe area to go short, as it would be a quality setup with good risk/reward. If the price is in Phase C and cannot break above the range, it would be a less ideal short setup, as the market could make a push to the top of the range at any time to clear out buyers. If this were to happen, I would prefer to wait for more confirmation. To conclude, my idea here is: Short (Solid Line): False breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or below $107,000 (higher risk) Long (Dotted Lines): True breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or reversal $103,000-$98,000 (higher risk) Thank you for reading and let me know what you think. More ideas to come.
Short
by ap769
"BTC Pumps from $108,850 to $109,900 – What's Next?"Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum, rising from $108,850 to $109,900 in a short time. This move signals renewed buying interest in the market and suggests that Bitcoin may be preparing for a breakout above the $110,000 level. Analysts believe this move is driven by whale accumulation, positive global sentiment around crypto regulations, and technical indicators pointing to a breakout. If BTC holds above $109,900, the next targets could be $110K and $112K. Stay alert — the bulls might be back!
by FeEllinG_LeSs-Traders
BTC/USDT CHART ANALIYSIS !!BTC/USDT You have three circles highlighting repeated price rejections around the $109,000–$110,000 area (red resistance band). A descending trendline connects those high points, creating a sloping resistance. There is a broad support area around $98,000–$100,000 (green area below). The price recently broke above the trendline and is now retesting around that $109,000–$110,000 area. If BTC stays above ~$108,500–$109,000, it could head further towards $112,000–$113,000. A drop below the trendline and back to $107,500 could trap the bulls, leading to a retest of $105,000 or lower support around $100,000. Bullish setup: Entry $108,800–$109,200, target $112,000–$113,000, stop-loss below $107,000. Bearish setup: Short if price rejects $109,500–$110,000, target $105,500, stop-loss above $110,800. Stay alert!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – July 6, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello, This is SeoVereign. As of July 6, 2025, I present a bullish outlook on Bitcoin. It has been a while since I last shared a long position perspective. Those of you who have consistently followed SeoVereign’s ideas would know that, until now, most of the entry points have been centered around short positions. We have closely tracked the market, identifying opportunities amid the downtrend. However, after comprehensively analyzing the recent overall market atmosphere, we have come to the conclusion that upward pressure is gradually increasing rather than downward pressure. After reviewing technical indicators and wave structures, we have determined that it is reasonable to consider a buy — in other words, a long position — at this stage. The first target for this idea is set at an average of around 109,500 . This figure is based on a comprehensive judgment that includes the current wave structure, previous key support/resistance zones, and momentum trends. Of course, this target may be flexibly adjusted depending on how the market develops, and if necessary, the rationale will be clearly revised accordingly. As always, we will continue to track this idea and refine our logic based on the real-time developments and structures, further solidifying the grounds for the long bet. Wishing you continued good fortune.
Long
by SeoVereign
BTCUSDT short-term analysishi traders Let's have a look at BTC on 4h time frame. RSI (14): Currently at 60.40, suggesting mild bullish momentum but not overbought. RSI Moving Average: Around 50.92, confirming recent upward momentum. MACD bullish cross suggest more upside in a short term. Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above a recent horizontal resistance (near $109,236), now acting as support. Bullish Continuation Expected Support & Resistance: New Support: $109,236 Resistance to Break: Around $111,742 ✅ Conclusion: This is a bullish breakout trade based on horizontal support/resistance, favorable RSI, and a clear RR setup. The trader anticipates a pullback and continuation toward $111.7K, using a tight stop just below the breakout zone to minimize risk.
Long
by vf_investment
BTC Smart money Bullish don’t be fooled !**BITCOIN MICROSTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: Institutional Accumulation Through Order Flow Divergence** The current BTCUSD market structure presents a compelling case study in institutional accumulation mechanics, utilizing sophisticated order flow analysis to identify smart money positioning ahead of retail market participants. **Technical Infrastructure Analysis** The convergence of multiple analytical frameworks reveals a coordinated accumulation pattern across various timeframes and exchanges. Volume Profile Analysis on the primary chart indicates substantial institutional interest between $108,000-$110,000, with the Point of Control (POC) establishing a robust foundation for directional bias determination. **Order Flow Microstructure Dynamics** The Bitfinex footprint data reveals critical microstructural imbalances that traditional technical analysis often overlooks. The current candle displays a **-4.52 delta** with price resilience at $109,480, indicating aggressive institutional absorption of retail selling pressure. This negative delta combined with price strength represents a classic **Wyckoff accumulation signature** - large participants are utilizing iceberg orders and hidden liquidity pools to build positions without triggering algorithmic momentum systems. **Smart Money Positioning Mechanics** Three key indicators confirm institutional accumulation: 1. **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence**: Both spot and perpetual markets showing negative CVD (-95.77K spot, -50.05K perp) while price maintains elevation, indicating off-exchange accumulation through dark pools and cross-trading networks. 1. **Open Interest Expansion**: The increase from 77.89K to 78.75K contracts with minimal funding rate pressure suggests fresh institutional capital rather than retail speculation. 1. **Volume Profile Concentration**: The heatmap reveals 105.85M in trading volume concentrated within the $108K-$110K range, representing systematic accumulation rather than random market activity. **Institutional Arbitrage Mechanics** The funding rate dynamics (0.001783 with periodic negative spikes to -0.000753) indicate sophisticated carry trade positioning. Institutions are likely utilizing the negative funding periods to establish leveraged long positions while simultaneously hedging through spot accumulation, creating a self-reinforcing feedback loop. **Market Microstructure Implications** This accumulation pattern typically precedes **Phase C markup** in Wyckoff methodology, where institutional players transition from absorption to active price discovery. The thin volume profile above $112,000 suggests minimal resistance once the breakout occurs, creating conditions for rapid price expansion toward the $113,600 target. **Risk-Adjusted Positioning Strategy** The confluence of volume profile analysis, order flow dynamics, and institutional positioning indicators supports a high-probability long bias with the following parameters: - **Entry Zone**: $109,000-$109,200 (current accumulation range) - **Risk Management**: Stop loss at $108,200 (below institutional POC) - **Target Sequence**: $110,653 → $112,000 → $113,600 - **Confidence Level**: 90% (upgraded from initial 75% based on footprint confirmation) **Forward-Looking Market Structure** The sophisticated nature of this accumulation pattern suggests institutional preparation for a significant directional move. The combination of hidden liquidity absorption, funding rate arbitrage, and volume profile concentration creates optimal conditions for sustained upward momentum once the $110,000 psychological resistance is cleared. This analysis exemplifies how advanced order flow techniques can provide substantial informational advantages over traditional technical analysis, particularly in identifying institutional positioning ahead of retail market recognition. *Position sizing should remain within 3-5% of total portfolio allocation, with dynamic risk management protocols adjusted based on evolving market microstructure conditions.*
Long
by NorthBayJay
BITCOINBITCOIN , continues to see in flow of liquidity ,investors confidence is high ,institutional adoption could change the layer of demand and supply and set a new bench mark for trading highs and low trading on intraday. feels good to see that my correction video came 100% correct, now the confirmation will be if 108.03-107.89k will hold support. This is a classic retest to broken 4hr descending trendline ,if we adopt it ,then we buying into 111k-113k-116k watch it critically. On a second thought if price adopt the new structure we are selling in 100k-90k and below. trading is logical probability ,keep that in mind that every key level can be broken, manage your risk, back test on your strategy and make sure you are winning. there are many ways to win this market without big grammar. have a blessed new week.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
1
BTC/USDT – Breakout Brewing? Eyes on 110K+ Timeframe: 4H | Exchange: Binance | Date: July 🧠 What’s Happening? Bitcoin just fired out of a bullish wedge with strong volume and is marching inside a clean rising channel. All eyes now on the golden Fibonacci zone — and beyond! 🎯 Key Levels 📍 Immediate Resistance: → $109,940 – Holding at the 0.5 Fib → $110,580 – $111,491: Golden Pocket (0.618–0.786 Fib) → $112,652: Full Fib Extension + Channel Top 📍 Support Zone: → $108,200 – $107,800: Must hold for bulls → Below $107.5K = momentum shift ⚠️ 🔍 Technical Signals Lighting Up ✅ Bullish breakout from descending wedge ✅ Strong volume confirms breakout intent ✅ RSI at 57+, trending upward ✅ MACD crossing bullish ✅ Stochastic RSI curling from oversold ✅ ADX increasing – trend gaining strength 🚀 Trade Setup (Idea Only!) Above $110K = bullish continuation Next stops: $111.5K – $112.6K Hold $108K = bullish structure intact Below $107.5K = reevaluate bias 🧨 Summary: Bulls have the momentum — but can they punch through the golden zone? $110K+ is the battleground. Break it, and we’re off to $112K+. 💬 What’s your bias? Bulls or bears? Drop a chart or comment below 👇 🔔 Follow for daily setups & sharp market commentary!
Long
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTC Roadmap to 220KApril 9, 2025 marked a historic shift in the Bitcoin market structure. On that day, institutional giants and sovereign funds aggressively stepped in, buying back BTC in large volumes as price retraced to its previous all-time high (ATH) zone around $69K. This wasn't just a typical dip buy — it was a coordinated accumulation event that triggered the fastest 30-day rally in Bitcoin history, pushing the price above $90K, then $100K, and now consolidating just under $110K. BTC is currently hovering near $110K — testing it for the fourth time over the past two months. This level has evolved into a major macro flip zone, where previous all-time resistance is attempting to become new long-term support.As of now nee just one ignite candle to break major resistance above 110K then will enter to price discovery zone. HINT: The current Bitcoin production cost (mining break-even) sits around $100K due to: Post-halving mining difficulty Higher energy costs Institutional-scale mining operations This implies miners and institutions need BTC > $100K to remain profitable, aligning them on the same side: supporting price, not dumping. #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinBreakout #PriceDiscovery #InstitutionalBuy #CryptoTradeSetup #BTCMacro #BTCBullRun #CryptoTA #BitcoinHalving #CryptoSupercycle #TradingView
by Captain-MAO
BTC: 650 Point Long Trade To 108,650$ (Date: Sat 05 Jul 25)High potential signal as my all signals. Don't miss this opportunity. At least open a trade in demo just to test. Details: Entry: Now - 108,100 $ Target Price: 108,650 $ Stop loss: 107,700 $ Trade Ideas: There is a flag pattern here after a good down trend. So here is possibility for a small pull back till my target price. Trade Signal: I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis regarding BITCOIN. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by rayhanrafi7
1
BTC/USDT.P ShortMy Trade Thesis & Rationale: Here is my thinking on this short setup. I believe this is a high-confluence opportunity where the price action aligns perfectly with what I'm seeing in the underlying market dynamics. 1. The Big Picture (Daily/4H Context): Price is currently operating at a major historical resistance zone ($110k+). This level has acted as a "ceiling" multiple times, making it a high-probability area for sellers to step in. I've noticed that momentum on the 4-hour chart has clearly stalled, which to me signals buyer exhaustion after the last run-up. 2. The Tactical Setup (1H/15M Price Action): After stalling at the highs, the price formed a clear distribution range on the 1-hour chart—a sign that sellers were likely absorbing the remaining buying pressure. ✅ THE TRIGGER: My entry is based on a decisive, high-volume breakdown below the key support of this range at $107,300. This breakdown was followed by what I see as a weak, low-volume retest, confirming buyer weakness and offering a prime entry. 3. My Logic: 🎯 TARGET: I've set my take profit at $106,800 because it's located within a dense pool of long liquidations. I believe these levels often act as a strong magnet for price. ❌ INVALIDATION: My stop loss at $107,550 is placed just above the broken structure. If the price reclaims this level, my bearish breakdown thesis would be proven wrong, and it's my signal to get out.
Short
by Wibono
1
Evening BTC Trend Analysis and Trading SuggestionsLet's review this afternoon's market performance. The BTC price, as we anticipated, rebounded to around 109,000 in the afternoon before plummeting sharply. Living up to "Black Friday", this violent drop was well within our expectations. In the afternoon's live trading, we also reminded everyone that as long as there was a rebound to the upper zone, it was a good opportunity to go short. This drop has created a space of nearly 1,500 points. Currently, the BTC price has pulled back to around 107,800. From the current 4-hour K-line chart, after a strong upward surge, the market encountered significant resistance near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. As bullish momentum gradually faded, the price started to come under pressure and decline, suggesting that the short-term upward trend may come to a temporary halt. At present, the market has recorded multiple consecutive candlesticks with large bearish bodies. The price has not only effectively broken below the key support level of the Bollinger Bands' middle track but also caused the Bollinger Bands channel to switch from expanding to narrowing, indicating that market volatility is decreasing. In terms of trading volume, it showed a moderate increase during the price pullback, which further confirms the authenticity of the bearish selling pressure. BTCUSD sell@108000-1085000 tp:107000-106000 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Short
by EvanField
1