Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Why 85850 is Critical!The breakout above 85,850 could push Bitcoin into a new uptrend phase, potentially driving price toward 90K, 95K, and even 105K in the coming weeks. That’s why this zone is so important. But let me explain why in more detail.
⭐Let’s start with the daily timeframe. After breaking out of its descending trendline, BTC entered a range between 82,800 and 85,850 . Looking at the bigger picture, you’ll see that 88,500 is a key resistance level — and breaking above it could act as a strong trigger.
But if you’re not a breakout trader and prefer reactive entries, the 80K–82K zone is a major PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) based on RSI, Fibonacci, and Pivot Points — meaning it could offer a decent spot-buying opportunity.
Just keep in mind: we’re not officially in a daily uptrend yet, so if you’re thinking about spot buying, it’s better to wait for a confirmed higher low and higher high on the daily chart.
The long-term target for the next uptrend is around 140K , based on long-term Fibonacci extensions, pivot points, and trend channels.
🔮 Now let’s drop to the 4H timeframe to find some long and short triggers.
As you can see, we’ve got a range box between 83,055 and 85,853.89.
A long trigger activates after a clean breakout above 85,853.89.
A short trigger activates after a breakdown below 83,055.
It’s better to use stop buy/sell orders rather than entering at market price, since price may move sharply after staying in this box for quite a while.
You can also use this box to set your stop losses.
If you’re a reaction-based trader, you could:
Short around 85,853 when price reacts there,
Or go long around 83,055, depending on your personal strategy.
Just remember: crypto markets often fake breakouts, especially during low-volume periods like now.
Indicators like RSI, Volume, and SMA can help confirm moves.
Understanding momentum — when it’s present and when it’s not — can save you from taking unnecessary trades.
Also, the candlestick itself matters a lot:
How long is the shadow?
What’s the body size and color?
Are we getting strong bullish or bearish confirmations?
If you want a tutorial on identifying real vs. fake breakouts, let me know in the comments — I’ll make one soon.
If you enjoyed the analysis, hit that Boost
By the way, I’m Skeptic.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast – Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?🔍 Weekly Outlook – Week 16, 2025
• BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
• Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows — potential breakout setup.
• ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones
• If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target.
• ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum.
📌 This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis.
I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes,
with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.
BTCUSDT hitting daily resistance but eying weekly resisatnce 98kBTCUSDT has bounced well from weekly support WS1 and currently heading towards daily resistance DR1 around 87k-88k zone. Once it breaks this, the next target would be weekly resistance WR1 which is the next resistance on its way. This resistance is sitting around 95k-98k zone. I think, the price is eying that zone and in coming days and week we will see the price trading there. However, this WR1 zone would definitely make the price push back on firts hit. But the price will definitely make another go there before either breaking of giving up for a while again. The resistance WR1 will be the only obstacle before the price can hit all time high and beyond again. Therefore, this weekly resistance will not give the way easy as this will be a strong supply zone. But I would not worry much once the price reaches there. This will evnetually signal that we are going beyond ATH and further higher. It would be just a bit of struggle there and some consolidation and some boring price action for a while, and then there will be clear sky.
BTC Box Range Low, long alternative daily path As a perp long im looking to take here; I shared a plan at the doji bullish OB if it loses the box range low, another shot for me is at 84K after a sweep, BTC is looking strong here, the daily pattern here is one I have backtested and presents more often in LTF, box range low can provide a good opportunity to long to the liquidity. Again, invalidation is tight and simple, watching out for Sunday as we are currently in sell off weekends, especially on Sundays
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 2BTC Possible HTF Creation 2 (update from first post):
Chart inverted; analysis below as if it weren't an inverted chart:
1) Weak highs as there isn't an SFP or some kind of big wick candle;
2) Price did break below a significant part of the HL structure but not the full structure (last HL hasn't been broken):
- The part it broke down below isn't outstanding enough to produce a big breakdown (my intuition tells me). It isn't a MSB as the last HL is still intact and the structure it did break below I think can't produce a big downmove (which then would create a MSB if it happened but I think would be weak and shortlived, likely to be capped at that outstanding low at 95k).
- Price didn't instantly break below structure, it first made a LH (April 10) which weakens the downmove significantly to where my intuition tells me there now can't be a full MSB being formed.
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No significance at highs (no SFP) nor big previous high being hit so no reason for trend shift.
Price did break some significant structure but not fully and not fast enough: it first produced a LH before breaking below it. that's key here: if it was a breakdown in one go then price would have broken below the structure very close to the structure making the structure way stronger in resistance and therefore the likelyhood of a real breakdown way higher. That price is consolidating now (so not going fast anymore) is fine: horizontality creates space for a move in either way. But the fact that price didn't break below the structure in one go is the important part which I think cancels out the breakdown.
Just looking at it simply, pure intuition. This will never break down as that structure which it broke down below isn't outstanding enough and there is not enough verticality (no strength). I would never short this.
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And now coming out of the inverted chart: If I would never short this this means I would never buy this at 82k.
But the HTF HL, I want to say it as an ego thing: will higly likely be an SFP of the Monday April 7 lowest low and I have put my 100% allocation on it (might take out some to buy the ETH lowest low of June 2022 as these moves would probably go together and ETH is the better investment if you want to make bigger profits)
This ego thing is a traders' mistake as you can never be 100% sure in trading so you should never put a limit order on a level in advance, but I'm a young guy and me buying the lowest low of the HTF HL with great potential I could be right is a risk I'm willing to take as the benefit of me being right (having THAT amount of conviction with serious high level analysis backing that conviction) would just prove to me that I'm one of the best in the world in trading BTC, and this mental benefit will flow into daily ordinary life as I would then have proof of this 'status' (forgive me people, I know better but I'm still young and I know having this ego thing now will create a laugh + will make me happy in the future) + gives me more rest to focus on my studies.
I accept the traders' mistake as this is a HTF HL environment, not an ordinary area in between.
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation We are however still in a downtrend and current area is the place for the new LH.
We already have the SFP at the highs (thus, good for the LH formation) but this hasn't provided any downward move + MSB isn't possible anymore as it has taken too long. We could get a LH SFP though which I think will still create the downmove.
The question I ask myself now: what if we don't get the LH SFP and go down first? This would then create the HTF HL I think, as price has no resistance but still breaks down + there's no short setup to be found.
But: will it go back to the lowest low of 74k or will it stay above the blue line structure and form the low around 82k? If the lowest low was an SFP price wouldn't go back to the lowest low but now I don't know: big horizontality makes past structure weaker to where price can easily go through it but at the same time if there's no reason to break down why would it break down in such a big way (from 84k to 74k instead of 84k-82k)?
BTCUSDT SHORT TRADE SETUPBTC is Facing Strong Resistance
Current Market Behavior: BTC has attempted to break through a specific price level multiple times but failed, indicating that sellers are actively defending that level.
Volume Confirmation: Often, resistance is confirmed when there's high trading volume at that price but no breakout.
Implication: If BTC continues to fail at breaking this level, it may trigger a pullback or short-term downtrend.
ShortThere's only one very small possibility for a bullish scenario from where we are right now. Looking at the volume and the weakness following the bounce from 74k after the initial 2 surges.... This will get extremely ugly over the next few weeks. If we hold above the 74xxx low, we can grind to 145k over the next 6 months. That hard low is going to be retested very soon. If the bears break it, this double 3 will play out with targets of GETTEX:48K -62k. Right now I'm short. I will closely watch the push down below 78k that is currently building. If we hold above under extreme bearish pressure / volume, I will look to open longs. If we slowly grind below 78, 77, 76, 75, with low volume, I will remain short as this will signal extreme bearish bias.
LONG BTC TO 110K from 84k We have a weekly divergence with strong volume and double tap on the 50 EMA
Price should not close below the 50EMA TWO weeks in a row otherwise the bull run is over.
As we have defended this line on two attempts to break it and the last one was defended with strong volume, that suggests we have a bottom at 74k
There is also divergence on the daily chart on MACD and RSI. volume profile on the weekly for buying exceeds selling.
Daily chart has 3 clear drops from the peak of 110k so now time for a rise back to the upper band on the weekly chart.
We are above the 4 hour 50EMA and holding that line
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Analysis – Buying Opportunity Ahead
📅 **Date:** April 16, 2025
📈 **Chart Timeframe:** 1D (Daily)
💹 **Pair:** BTC/USDT
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Chart Overview
Bitcoin has been forming a **falling wedge pattern** on the daily timeframe, which is typically a bullish reversal setup. After an extended correction from the $110,000+ zone, BTC appears to be finding strong support around a major **buying area** near the **$72,000–$76,000** range.
The chart shows confluence from multiple technical levels:
- Rising trendline support from past higher lows.
- Demand zone (highlighted in blue) aligned with historical support and accumulation zones.
- Price action nearing the **bottom of the wedge**, indicating a potential breakout.
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Technical Analysis
📌 Pattern: Falling Wedge
📌 Support Zone (Buying Area):$72,000 – $76,000
📌 Immediate Resistance: $88,000 – $90,000
📌 Major Resistance Zone: $108,000 – $112,000 (Supply zone in red)
📌 Trendline Support: Long-term trendline intact
Price Outlook & Prediction:
Based on the current setup:
1. **Price is likely to revisit the lower wedge boundary or the buying area** before making a strong move.
2. If the price successfully retests and holds above the **$72K–$76K demand zone**, it could mark a **bullish reversal**.
3. A breakout from the wedge would confirm bullish strength, potentially pushing BTC towards the **$96,000–$100,000** area in the medium term.
4. Eventually, we could see a retest of the **$108,000–$112,000 resistance**, where strong selling pressure previously emerged.
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Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Entry (Swing Trade Idea):
> Watch for bullish price action confirmation or a retest bounce from the $72K–$76K zone.
🎯 **Target 1: $88,000
🎯 **Target 2: $96,000
🎯 **Target 3 (Long-term): $108,000+
🛑 Stop Loss:
> A daily close below $70,000 (to invalidate the bullish structure)
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Conclusion:
BTC is trading at a key technical juncture. With a well-respected trendline and a clear falling wedge structure, the upcoming days could present a high-probability buying opportunity for swing traders and investors. However, patience is key—wait for confirmation from the buying area or a clean breakout above the wedge.
Stay alert, and always manage your risk! 🚀
BTCUSD - Short Term Long Trade - Evidence of 90K Incoming...In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next.
As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once.
Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 82900.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 83240
First target: 85150
Second target: 86435
Third target: 87858
BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point.Market Alert: Bitcoin's Crucial Moment
The battle lines are drawn! BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point, slamming into the trendline resistance zone that's proven to be a formidable foe for bulls. Will the bears finally break through, or will the bulls rally for another attempt at higher grounds?
Our analysis reveals a high probability of rejection at this critical level, setting the stage for a potential downturn. If our expectations play out, we could see BTCUSDT plummeting towards the $81K and $80K support zones. These levels will be make-or-break for the short-term trend, and traders would do well to keep a close eye on them.
Stay alert, stay informed, and let's ride the waves of volatility together! The market is full of opportunities, and with the right insights, you can navigate even the most turbulent of times.
Bitcoin Bull Pennant / Falling Wedge BreakoutBINANCE:BTCUSDT recently broke out of a Bull Pennant / Falling Wedge, and seems to be retesting the resistance as support.
This follows two leading RSI signals:
• RSI downtrend breakout
• RSI bull divergence
Breakout Targets
• $115K — Falling Wedge measured move
• $130K — Pennant projection
Key Levels to Watch
• $72K — Main support + invalidation (former resistance + 0.618 Fib from 49K–109K)
• $91.5K — Prior support, now a key resistance to reclaim
• $109.5K — All-Time High
the metric is now at average valuesThe Pareto Principle states that 20% of efforts bring 80% of results. Currently, 20% of the network's offerings are at a loss, while 80% remain profitable. When the share of coins in profit exceeded 95-98%, the market became overheated and profit-taking began (yellow bars).
After the all-time high (ATH), the market cooled down, and the metric is now at average values.