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BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTC - FRACTAL!!!!I found a fractal, the price should rise to the range of 110888, and then there will be a sharp decline, a squeeze will form, with the price supposedly rising and crossing over, but in reality, the price will be pushed down sharply to a range below $90k. I have an idea related to this, I called it the dragon's wings pattern. At one point, I simply realized that the chart repeats what has already happened, and this is exactly what needs to be analyzed. I think the price will go exactly as I have drawn it. All the best and stay disciplined!
by FTT_TRADER369
Bull Trap or Just the Beginning? All Eyes on 103kOnce we cleared the 109k ATH, I began tracking this new structure (in blue). Considering the current macroeconomic backdrop, it’s starting to make a lot more sense. There’s plenty of noise about this being the biggest bull run in recent times, but looking at the chart, FVGs left behind, lack of volume commitment, and inefficient price action… are we actually gearing up for one of the largest bear markets we’ve seen instead? You really don’t want to see a weekly close below 103k.
by Heisenberg_0721
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Consolidating Inside Sym. Triangle - DBITCOIN (BTCUSDT) price has recently bounced up from above the 50EMA (yellow line). Since May 2025, price has been consolidating sideways and has now formed a symmetrical triangle (blue lines). 10% to 20% volatility could be incoming for Bitcoin this summer. The key resistance prices that Bitcoin has yet to breakout above are: $110000, $112000, $115000, and $120000+. Support prices are holding at this time, such as $105000, $104000, $102000, and $100000, $95000. If price holds above $100,000 to $105,000, there is still a chance that Bitcoin can continue to uptrend and rally higher this year in 2025. However, if $100,000 price and support levels are lost, a new downtrend could occur and price could possibly test the 200EMA zone (red line).
by NoFomoCharts
2
BITCOINThe Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #bitcoin #dollar
Long
by Shavyfxhub
The FVG above isn’t the target. It’s the bait.This is a classic Smart Money sequence. Most are watching the imbalance at 106.5k–108.7k and expecting immediate delivery. But that’s not how this game works. The setup: Price broke down violently, then reversed with momentum — stopping right beneath the daily FVG block. That alone tells me it’s not ready. It’s gathering. Below? Multiple fib levels that haven’t been tested — 104.4k (0.236), 102.6k (0.0), and a volume-backed rejection wick that still holds weight. The market is likely to dip again — pull into deeper discount, reset the low timeframe narrative — and only then attack the FVG and upper sweep zones. What I expect: Sweep of 102.6k (final liquidity run) Reaction → reclaim 104.4k Push into the FVG toward 106.5k (0.5) and possibly 107.4k (0.618) No emotional reaction to the red candles — this is structure playing out, not weakness unfolding. Plan: Ideal Entry: 102.8k–103.2k range SL: Below 102.6k TP1: 105.6k TP2: 107.4k Final: 108.7k clean inefficiency fill Let it dip. Let it breathe. That’s where conviction is built. Final thought: “The real move starts when they convince you it’s done.”
by SmartFlowst
#BTC is approaching the S/R conversion zone📊#BTC is approaching the S/R conversion zone⚠️ 🧠Yesterday's long orders were swept after moving up the SL, because the support zone near 106500-107500 was broken, and the support zone turned into a resistance zone. ➡️If the price rebounds here again, it may be resisted. Therefore, we can look for some short signals to participate. ➡️If we still want to continue to rise, we can only remain optimistic after breaking through the support-resistance conversion zone and stabilizing. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
This Isn't a Crash Yet: Bitcoin's Real Correction Is Just Beginn⚡️ Hello, everyone! Bitcoin fell to $102,700 overnight. Liquidation volumes reached over a billion dollars according to official data alone. In reality, the figure is much higher. This correction was linked to the start of hostilities between Israel and Iran. But those who follow me know that I have been predicting this for the past few weeks. 🌐 People think that geopolitics and macroeconomics drive the markets. And in part, that is true. But almost always, the signs of a sharp price movement in the near future are always visible on the chart much earlier. ➡️ And that is why I believe that the current decline is only the beginning: A triple top has formed on the 4H timeframe. There are a huge number of gaps below, starting with $102,810 - 97,368, and another $93,270 - 85,162. And as we know, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later. There are 1 billion liquidations at the $102,700 level alone. Now imagine how much liquidity there is at the $99,000 level? And at $90,000? I don't even need to turn on the indicators to understand that there is now a huge amount of liquidity in longs concentrated below. Because throughout the entire last impulse from the 70 levels, we have hardly seen any normal correction. ⚙️ What the indicators say: Money Flow - the outflow of liquidity and closing of positions continues. A divergence has formed even in the current movement, hinting at a potential continuation of the correction. Dynamic Sup/Rez - the level of $105,773 is one of the most important levels, judging by the trading volumes on it. It is now also the key resistance level. The nearest support of the same strength, judging by the volume of demand, is no earlier than $94,750. And its volumes are significantly lower, at least for now. 📌 Conclusion: For a long time now, all indicators have been literally screaming at us that a correction is about to begin. But no one believes it. I do not believe that Bitcoin will fall to 95 tomorrow. We may even see a rebound to $107,000 to close the newly formed above us and drop those who decided to short too early. The price moves from liquidity to liquidity — that's the law. And right now, there is simply no liquidity at the top, just as there is no demand to set new ATXs at $150,000 or whatever everyone is waiting for. 🔥 So let's be patient, or better yet, stock up on free USDT and get ready to increase our positions. Because we will definitely get such opportunities soon. Have a great weekend, everyone!
Short
by Crypto_Inside_trading
1
Bitcoin Analysis | Key Support Retest in Progress📉 Bitcoin Analysis | Key Support Retest in Progress As shown in the chart, BTC has dropped precisely to the main support zone previously highlighted in our earlier analyses. So far, we haven’t seen a strong bullish reaction, which increases the likelihood of a retest of the major green support area. 🔻 If price breaks below the $104,120 level, the next key support to watch lies between $103,570 – $103,300. 🔼 However, if BTC starts to bounce from this zone, the key resistance levels and upside targets will be: $104,740 $105,900 $106,800 and potentially $107,900 📌 All these zones have acted as key turning points in the past, so mark them on your chart and trade accordingly. 👉 Follow for more sharp entries, accurate technical zones, and daily trading insights!
by SepidehArjmand
BTC gathers liquidity ahead of growth Inside the trading range Bitcoin has moved into a sell-off phase due to the situation in the Middle East. The sell-off could extend to 102500 - 100600. But as the market is trending and bullish, the support at 100600 may hold the price and allow the market to strengthen Scenario: A false break of the resistance at 105280 is formed. Accordingly, I am initially waiting for a decline to 102500. If 102500 fails to hold the move, bitcoin could then head to the liquidity pool. A false break of 100600 may give a chance for a rise to 105200 - 108200.
Long
by AndeWave
1
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #116👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session. ✅ Yesterday, a very important event occurred: Israel launched a military attack on Iran, targeting not only military facilities but also residential areas. ⚔️ Leaving aside the fact that war is always a global tragedy, the fact that Israel also hit civilian zones shows that the tensions between these two countries have entered a new phase. 💫 In addition to civilian casualties, key commanders of the Iranian military were assassinated in these strikes. 🏳️ Most countries such as the United States, France, and most of Europe supported Israel in this conflict, while only North Korea and Russia backed Iran. 📊 Given these rising tensions and the cancellation of Sunday’s negotiations between Iran and the U.S., the likelihood of war between Iran and Israel has greatly increased following the resolution signed yesterday. ⭐ This development has caused safe-haven assets like gold to move upward, while risk-on assets like crypto have started to decline. As you can see, Bitcoin has been falling since yesterday. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, as mentioned, after an initial correction to the 108436 zone, Bitcoin continued its decline down to 103606, breaking through the support level we had marked due to the war-related news. ✨ Currently, the price has found support at 103606 and has started a corrective phase. RSI has also exited the Oversold area and is now heading toward the 50 zone. 📉 In my opinion, under the current market conditions, we should wait to see how Iran reacts to Israel's actions. If war breaks out, Bitcoin is likely to drop again. ⚡️ Personally, I’m holding off on opening any positions until we get more clarity on the fundamental developments between Iran and Israel. I'm also not closing any of my longer-term positions that were opened in lower zones like 88k. 🔔 However, if you are looking to open a position, you could enter on a break below 103606. I don’t currently have a trigger for a long position and would prefer to wait for a proper structure to develop. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance moved upward along with the market decline and, after breaking through 64.18, continued its bullish leg up to 64.85. 🧩 It has since begun a corrective phase after hitting that resistance. If this correction continues, the next zone to watch is 64.49. 📅 Total2 Analysis This index also dropped alongside Bitcoin yesterday, falling from 1.18 down to 1.12 after triggering a short. 🔍 The price has since corrected up to 1.14. If a new bearish leg begins, we can open a short position on a break below 1.12. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Tether dominance moved upward after triggering 4.68 and reached 4.89. 💥 If 4.79 is broken, the correction could continue. If 4.89 is broken, the next bullish leg in dominance will begin. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
2
BTC - Update on Suspected Flash Crash ScenarioFor those of you who have been following my ideas, and I don’t think that would be many - understandably so, because these ideas seem so outrageous and out of the norm - I feel obligated to provide updated numbers per my own personal trade ideas. I expect BTC to flash crash. In summary, here is why: 1. DXY is breaking down and retesting a major bearish trendline on the monthly. This alongside geopolitical events and sentiment, I expect the dollar to fall rapidly and store of value assets such as BTC to see a multi year bull run. 2. The market has been steadily bringing BTC up since late 2022. This leaves a trail of long position stop losses below the price, leaving a massive chain reaction of sell orders ready to set off one into the next. In other words, the orders required to make the drop are already in the chart. 3. It’s a question of when - BTC is under 3 intersecting bearish trendlines, and we can see how price breaks above and below these support / resistance levels historically. Eventually they will hold and play out, estimating when is tricky - that’s why I use DXY to predict it. It’s difficult to pinpoint where the upper resistance is - but a pretty solid pick is around 105,200. I’ve used various numbers in the past for this idea, but it’s always refining and evolving based on what I see price doing. I’m proposing two movements for a massive liquidation sweep of the lows prior to a 3-5 year bull run where BTC sees those quarter million dollar prices. Scenario 1: 105,200 to 35,000 35,000 retrace to 77,000 ( although this doesn’t have to happen, I just anticipate a 3 wave corrective move) 77,000 to 10,000 (could be as low as 7,000) 7,000 and upwards of 200,000 (after all liquidity is absorbed and reclaimed) Scenario 2: 105,200 straight down (for the most part) to 17,000 to 20,000 17-20,000 and upwards to 200,000 plus Personally I feel scenario one is most likely. I’ve been trading this market since 2017 and the newfound “ stability “ of Bitcoin during the last 2 years cannot be trusted. This upwards move IS NOT a bull run. It’s a BEARISH RETEST. Bearish retests typically move straight up, exactly as what’s been happening - following by a drop roughly 10 times as fast. Same ideas on the larger time frames as smaller time frames. WHEN DO I EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN? Starting any minute and spanning over the next several days to week. Anyway - that’s my update for those of you who are interested. Understand this stuff gets laughed at - but I experienced the same treatment when I told my group to long BTC at 16,500 in Jan 2023 to a target of 90,000. It’s not new to me and I expect it. Doing my best to help advise and open your minds to alternative ideas.
Short
by DickDandy
9
Bitcoin (BTC): Bullish, But Don't Buy Yet! Here's Why.Hello, traders! 👋 Let's break down the current situation with Bitcoin . 🔍 Overall Bias: Bullish Bitcoin has confirmed its intention to continue the bullish trend towards a new All-Time High ( ATH ). This comes after a successful sweep of Sell Side Liquidity (SSL) and a confirmation of the bullish daily structure. Price has already corrected into a discount zone, which is generally favorable for buys. But wait! Don't rush to open long positions just yet. 🐳 The Whale's Game Plan The large players have a crucial Point of Interest (POI) below us — a 4h order block . This specific order block is what engineered the SSL sweep, making it a powerful support level and a magnet for price. To sweep that liquidity and trigger the stop-loss orders of retail traders, the "whales" had to open short positions. Now, to continue the uptrend, they need to close those shorts at break-even or a small loss. The 4h order block is the perfect place to do that. My Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Primary Scenario: The Ideal Entry I expect a mitigation of this 4h order block. I will be closely watching the price reaction around this POI and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level . If the level holds and we get a Lower Timeframe (LTF) confirmation (e.g., the beginning of a bullish order flow), long positions could be considered. 🎯 Potential Long Entry Zone: ~ $102,745 - $103,868 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario: The Retail Trap Price might not drop to our POI immediately. It could first bounce from the current levels, luring impatient retail traders into long positions. After that, a sharp drop could shake them out before the real move up begins next week, targeting the Previous Month's High (PML) as a minimum objective. Conclusion Patience is key. We need to watch the actual price behavior and reaction once the "whale" delivers the price to our POI. This is not financial advice. My analysis is for educational purposes only.Hello, traders! 👋 Let's break down the current situation with Bitcoin.
Long
by TheWhaleSM
4