BTC/USDTMACROSENTIMENT
Macrosentiment Analysis – BTC/USDT
Current Market Structure:
Bitcoin appears to have found a strong bottom around the $74,000 level, which historically has acted as a key support zone. This area was anticipated months ago as a likely retest zone in the event of a correction — specifically between $70,000 to $75,000. We are now beginning to see bullish candles forming, signaling renewed momentum.
📈 Upside Targets:
If bullish momentum continues and volume sustains, BTC is potentially on track to climb toward the $140,000–$150,000 range as the ultimate macro target.
However, several key resistance levels need to be broken first:
$88,000 – Major immediate resistance
$95,000 – Secondary resistance
$100,000 – Psychological and historical milestone; likely to be the toughest barrier
It's important to note:
➡️ Without a clear breakout above $88,000, BTC will struggle to approach $95,000
➡️ Without breaching $95,000, we are unlikely to challenge the $100,000 level
📉 Downside Support Levels:
In case of a pullback, the key support levels to monitor are:
$85,000 – Currently holding
$80,000
$74,000
$70,000
Breaking below any of these levels would signal a weakening structure and could suggest the formation of lower lows and a shift toward a bearish trend.
📌 Summary / My View:
BTC remains in an uptrend, with this week’s candle opening green, and the $85,000 support holding firm — both are strong bullish signs.
Volume remains the primary driver of continuation.
Until we clear $88,000, the upside remains limited.
📍Implication for Altcoins:
Since many traders gauge BTC’s momentum to time their altcoin entries:
✅ I have personally entered a few altcoin positions based on current bullish confirmation.
The market structure suggests growing strength and increased risk-on behavior.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Wait for the arrival of the bull market!Overall swing structure of Bitcoin is sill bullish, but currently price is bearish in order to facilitate an internal structure pull-back. For Bitcoin to have a valid Break-Of-Structure, price have to retrace back to the discounted demand price zone of the previous valid Swing Break-Of-Structure ($63k - $55k zone).
However, when price get to this demand zone, the bulls have to hold this zone strong ,in order to have the bullish continuous price pattern... Once the bears take over all of this discounted demand zone again (i.e from near- extreme zone) that means the overall all swing structure have shifted from uptrend to downtrend.
Bullish divergenceHello,
Bitcoin has been suffering for the past few months and that was completely normal and very healthy for the long run.
As you can see on this chart of BTC/USDT on the daily time frame. We can clearly see a bullish divergence where the price is forming lower lows but the RSI indicator is forming and higher low, which shows that their is more buying power and this divergence usually marks a trend reversal.
I personally don't think that we will break a new ALL TIME HIGH but we might come close to it one last time before the bear market although that isn't the scenario that is most likely to happen.
BTC - Critical Juncture at channel and liquidity levelThe 1-hour chart reveals BTCUSDT navigating crucial price territory, with immediate focus on the 85,000.0 to 88,000.0 range. The market shows subtle but important movements, with current price action hovering near 84,260.1 after testing higher levels.
Key observations from the chart:
The volume profile indicates weakening momentum as price approaches the 88,000 resistance zone. Of particular note is the cluster of activity around 84,260.1 , which now serves as immediate support. The liquidity pockets at both 85,000 and 88,000 create clear reference points for potential breakouts or rejections.
Critical levels to monitor:
Upper resistance sits firmly at 88,000.0 , where previous reactions have occurred. Strong support emerges at 84,260.1 , with additional floors at 82,000.0 and the psychological 80,000.0 level. The 0.76% price change marker suggests some volatility brewing beneath the surface.
Trading considerations focus on two scenarios:
A hold above 84,260.1 could signal strength and potential retest of higher levels. However, failure to maintain this support may trigger moves toward 82,000.0 . The tight 0.04% to 0.02% bands indicate potential compression before the next directional move.
Market structure currently favors cautious optimism, but requires confirmation above 85,000.0 for stronger conviction. The diminishing volume at higher levels suggests some exhaustion, making proper position sizing essential.
Final Note: These price levels represent significant psychological barriers. Traders should watch for volume spikes and candle closes beyond these markers for confirmation. Always employ strict risk management in these potentially volatile conditions.
Disclaimer: Market conditions change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should not be considered financial advice.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, our main scenario was implemented and a full–fledged rebound from the $77,000-$73,000 zone was achieved (volume anomalies, pushing volumes).
After passing through several large selling zones, we’ve reached a resistance level from which we can get a significant correction.
At the moment, the $85,600–$88,000 zone is being tested (absorption of the buyer's market aggression). The latest wave of buys, which began on April 10, is inertial. Trading volumes have decreased, and there is no clear dominance between one side and the other.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There are strong anomalies along the delta, which can provoke a significant correction. Below the current price, we have a support zone of $82,700–$81,400, but with high activity from the seller, it can only slow down the fall slightly.
The main expectations are the beginning of a corrective movement, as indicated by the nature of growth, the current volume zone, as well as delta protection.
A less likely scenario is a surge in the buyer's market activity, which will take the quote above the $88,000 level. In this case, the priority will change dramatically to long.
Sell Zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buyer activity)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected:
• Wednesday, April 16, 2:00 (UTC) — publication of China's GDP for the first quarter and in comparison with the first quarter of 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index and volume of US retail sales for March;
• Wednesday, April 16, 13:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, April 16, 17:15 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, as well as the Philadelphia manufacturing activity index from the Federal Reserve Bank for April;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:45(UTC) — European Central Bank press conference;
• Thursday, April 17, 13:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate in the Eurozone.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
14/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,116.94
Last weeks low: $74,520.92
Midpoint: $80.318.93
Did we truly think it would be easy? As Trump targets China the markets panicked in a huge de-risking event that sent BTC down to $74,500, fully retracing the Us election pump 6 months ago. After a double bottom and a tariff pause for 90 days on those countries that played ball, BTC reclaimed the previous weeks bottom and steadily climbed back toward major resistance at $86,000.
Clearly the focus has primarily been on traditional markets like the SPX & DJI, on the SPX the 1D 200 EMA tagged and as usual gave huge support, this is very often a local bottom and so far that is the case. BTC has very quietly flipped the 4H 200 EMA after the 10th time of trying, staying above the $84,000 level would be a confirmed reclaim if the trend can follow and flip bullish. If that is the case then it would seem the flush we've all been dreading is over, however, if Trump escalates the trade war once again then TA takes a back seat to FA once again.
This week I would like to see strong support at 0.75 line, a wick down to that level and a reclaim of the 4H 200 EMA would give me confidence that BTC can target the $91K mini range top. A loss of the 0.75 line and acceptance below I would then target weekly lows once again for a triple bottom.
Bitcoin NEoWave Analysis Based on 6M Cash DataCash Data 6M
In the 6-month cash data for Bitcoin, it appears that a Running Neutral Triangle is forming and we are currently in wave-D of this triangle. Based on the previous mid-term Bitcoin analysis, as long as Bitcoin’s price remains above $70,000 there is potential for the price to rise to $150,000. Therefore, wave-D of the neutral triangle could expand and grow larger.
Until wave-D is complete, we cannot accurately predict the endpoint of wave-E( The label-E shown in the image is not precise and will likely change) However, after wave-D concludes, the price will experience at least a 50% correction to complete wave-E of the triangle, followed by a strong upward move in Bitcoin.
The analysis will be updated once wave-D is complete.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis#BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis
📆 W1 (Weekly Timeframe)
🔹 Will the 5th wave formation come to an end soon?
🔹 Best to wait for a confirmed bottom fractal — price action will become clearer by the end of this week.
🔹 If a fractal forms, then:
• Watch for a breakout and close above the channel
• Look for entry opportunities into the next bullish impulse
🎯 Potential upside targets: $91,500 – $112,200
📉 D1 (Daily Timeframe)
🔹 Price is testing the upper boundary of a narrowing channel
🔹 To confirm a short-term reversal, it's ideal to wait for a top fractal
🔹 From the last impulse, there’s a correction opportunity toward:
• $81,700 – $77,320 (40–80% retracement)
⚠️ Avoid increasing position size / exposure
🔁 Upon reaching the support zone — watch for bullish entries
⏳ H4 (4-Hour Timeframe)
🔹 Potential beginning of a 3rd wave down from the upper channel
🔹 A short setup could be valid if the 1st wave low is broken
🔹 Stop loss should be placed above the high of wave 1 or above the channel level
🎯 Short-term targets: 61% – 23% Fibonacci levels from the last bullish impulse
📈 Trade Setup (H4 idea):
Entry: 84,154.92 – *82,895.64
Take Profits (TP):
1. 81,702.63
2. 80,399.17
3. 79,029.42
4. 77,328.29
Stop Loss: 86,209.53
📌 Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is in a critical zone — potentially ending its 5th wave on the weekly chart.
The key is to wait for confirmation via fractals (bottom on W1, top on D1).
Meanwhile, H4 offers a chance to engage in a controlled short setup, with tight risk and clear invalidation.
Bitcoin (BTC): Good Drop We Have Had Since ATH | Need More...Another week is here, and last week we formed a new local bottom at $74,485, which is very close to our major support zone.
Despite the bounce we have had currently, we are still looking for either a sideways movement or a further movement to lower zones where we expect to enter the "EXTREME FEAR" state with markets, which again is usually marked as a perfect buying opportunity.
Swallow Academy
The End of Meme Coin Scams: A New UpdateWith the latest update, we are witnessing a shift in how meme coins operate in the crypto world, effectively putting an end to scams that have plagued the meme coin space.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500.
📈
Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
A Recap of Meme Coin Creation and Scams
In a previous educational analysis, I walked you through the step-by-step process of how meme coins are created and, most importantly, how scammers often exploit these coins for personal gain. I explained the mechanics behind the manipulation of meme coins, where bad actors would create a coin, pump its price, and then abandon it once they made a profit, leaving countless investors in financial ruin.
The Hidden Aspect: How Creators Profited from Commissions
However, there was one critical aspect I did not discuss—how meme coin creators were profiting through transaction fees, also known as commissions. Prior to this update, many small-scale creators were incentivized to sell portions of their holdings at high prices, ensuring they made a profit, often at the cost of the coin's long-term stability. This led to price crashes, the collapse of the coin's market, and devastating losses for thousands of investors. 🚨
The Previous Model: 2 important platform one for creating the mem coin and second for transactions and fees
Under the previous system, meme coins were typically launched on platforms like P p .F n, which helped boost the coin’s liquidity through in-app promotions and social media outreach. This initial momentum would attract many investors, and then the coin would be listed on various exchanges for wider visibility.
To ensure that creators could continue to profit, the transactions would eventually shift to a new platform, which took all of the transaction fees, further enriching the platform but leaving creators with limited sustainable profits.
The New Update: Introducing new version for enring fees directly
With the latest update, the creator introduces a revolutionary feature. This addition fundamentally changes how meme coin creators can profit. Instead of relying on external platforms that take all the transaction fees, allows creators to receive a significant percentage of trading fees directly. This ensures that creators who are genuinely committed to the long-term success of their coin can continue to benefit from it without destroying the project once the coin gains traction.
A Sustainable Future for Meme Coins
This update paves the way for a new era where meme coins are not just tools for short-term profit but are sustainable and beneficial in the long run for both creators and investors. Creators who have the genuine intention to build and maintain their projects will now have the opportunity to continuously profit from them as the coin grows stronger and attracts more users. 🌱
Why This Matters for Investors
For investors, this is a game-changer. As meme coins become more reliable and profitable for creators, they also become safer and more promising for long-term investment. The more successful these meme coins become, the more lucrative it will be for investors in both the short and long term. 📈
By fostering a system that rewards creators based on the coin's success and longevity, this update helps eliminate the risk of sudden crashes. As a result, meme coins have the potential to evolve into solid, dependable projects rather than speculative assets that leave many in financial distress.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
With the latest update, meme coin scams are effectively ending. creator website of meme coin now introduces new direct update for fees, which allows creators to earn a fair share of trading fees, ensuring they benefit long-term without abandoning the project. This makes meme coins more sustainable, rewarding both creators and investors. It’s a major shift towards stability and profitability in the meme coin space. 🚀
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Bitcoin Reversal After Fake Bullish Divergencehello guys.
Fake Bullish Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom shows a bullish divergence, but the price action invalidated it — signaling a "fake divergence".
This could trap early long positions and fuel further downside.
Broken Trendline Support:
A significant ascending trendline support has been broken, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The recent bounce back seems corrective rather than impulsive.
Price Projection:
An arrow points downward toward the horizontal support around $69,149, hinting at a possible drop in price.
This level coincides with the intersection of the mid-channel support line and horizontal price structure.
Channel Structure:
The overall chart operates within a large ascending channel.
A revisit of the lower bound of the channel aligns with the projected price target.
-------------------------------------
Conclusion:
Despite the recent rebound, Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness due to a fake bullish RSI divergence and a broken ascending trendline. The technical setup suggests a potential decline toward the $69,000–71,000 support zone before any meaningful recovery can occur. Caution is advised for bullish traders until the price confirms a stronger support or reversal signal.
Bitcoin BTC price analysisThis is approximately the roadmap we have "imagined" for the coming weeks for the movement of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price:
1️⃣ The most optimistic scenario is that the OKX:BTCUSDT price stays above $76100 - 77100, which means that the “bottom” has finally been found, and we can organize at least a rebound to $94k.
2️⃣ Not a pleasant scenario, but not the worst either, is another update of the local lows of #Bitcoin to $71100 and from there a rebound to the above-mentioned $76100-77100 zone, where we will have to "looking out" again: where to go next...
3️⃣ The most pessimistic, and maybe the most realistic scenario in times of total uncertainty, when it is not clear what the "rusty can" will wake up with in. ✊
All market participants will delay their "buying" decisions as much as possible until it becomes clear whether the Fed will cut the rate or not. The next FOMC meeting is on 07.05.25.
To understand what will happen to altcoins during this time, you need to at least monitor and analyze the #BTC.D and #USDT.D indicators, which we do daily in our reviews in...
✍️ It is your right, if not your duty, to follow this plan or make your own adjustments!)
And we will be happy to read and see your charts, with your forecasts for the near future in the comments below the idea.
BTCUSDT.P – Binance FuturesBTCUSD.P – Weekly Technical Analysis (1W Chart)
⚠️ For informational purposes only – not financial advice
📊 Key resistance zone ahead after a strong weekly close
Bitcoin posted a bullish weekly candle, rebounding from the ~74,000 USDT low. Price is currently consolidating around 84,600 USDT, testing the key 85,000–86,000 resistance zone.
Momentum has recovered, but the market is still awaiting confirmation for continuation.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Price is hovering around EMA10/EMA21 on the weekly chart – a confirmed breakout above could boost momentum.
The previous high (~109,880 USDT) remains distant, but the macro structure still favors the bulls.
Volume is neutral-to-declining, with no clear selling pressure.
A potential higher low structure seems to have formed around the 74k region.
🔻 Support Levels:
🟦 75,000 – 76,000 USDT – key short-term support
🔵 65,000 USDT – trendline intersection zone
🔵 58,000 USDT – major macro pivot
🔺 Resistance Levels:
🔸 85,000 – 86,000 USDT – immediate resistance zone
🔸 88,700 – 90,000 USDT – weekly structural ceiling
🔸 100,000+ USDT – psychological threshold
🧭 Summary:
BTC remains in a macro bullish trend, but the next few weeks will be critical to determine if the current levels can hold. The lack of volume confirmation keeps this bounce in the technical retracement category for now.
📌 A weekly close above 86k may open the door to 90k+
📌 Rejection could bring BTC back to the 75–76k range
Lingrid | BTCUSD Consolidation PHASE Following Double Bottom BINANCE:BTCUSDT market formed a double bottom below March levels before bouncing to close above the psychological 80,000 mark. Price action is currently narrowing, suggesting the market is coiling up before its next extension—as if awaiting another news catalyst to drive movement. Given that the price closed above the swap zone, any pullback to this level presents a high probability of a price rebound. Additionally, on the daily timeframe, the market has broken and closed above the downward trendline that represented the correction phase.
Overall, I expect a potential triangle pattern formation around current levels before a surge higher toward liquidity above the previous week's high. My goal is resistance zone around 89,300
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
BTC with a double top formation.BTC with a double top formation.
Are we in for a long sell ride?
Has the imminent midterm sell started?
Are we breaking the $100K zone towards $90K this time?
Trump swearing was the catalyst we waited for to fire this asset to the moon lately.
Let's see what plays out.
Trade with care.
Bitcoin’s Elliott Wave Outlook: A Major Correction Ahead?Bitcoin appears to be in its fifth wave, signaling new all-time highs (ATHs), though likely not significant ones, as fifth waves often form as ending diagonals. On a larger scale, the completion of this lower-degree fifth wave suggests that the broader third wave is also reaching its peak. If this holds true, a higher-degree corrective phase is on the horizon.
Historically, major corrections have resulted in drops exceeding 75%. If this pattern repeats, the upcoming fourth wave of the larger degree could follow a similar trajectory. This implies that within the next few months, Bitcoin may enter a bearish cycle.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
96k Is a Next Main Target 🎯 After a Sharp Drop From 88k Resistance Area To The 75k Now Bitcoin Price Playing Below The Crucial Resistance
📥 My Priority Is Bullish Movement To The 96k But Totally It’s Not a Good Idea To Be Bullish Under Resistance So I Prefer To Open a Long At 81500$ PRZ Or Only After Breakout From a Trend Line
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑:
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SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
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BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 👇👇👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
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Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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BTC Weekly Chart MC Greendot is about to confirmBTC weekly chart is about to give a MarketCipher weekly green dot "BUY" signal. We will see if it will confirm when we close the weekly candle next Sunday.
I marked all the other times we had this weekly green dot signal. It is definitely a leading indicator of good things to come. We might still have a pull back into the 80k and below zone but I like what I see in terms of candle structure and the MarketCipher momentum wave getting ready to give a buy signal.
I will be starting several alt coin and BTC trades in any drop in Daily and 4hour timeframes that don't break the pricing structure we are seeing in the weekly chart.
I will focus on trades in BTC, SOL, and ETH.