BITCOIN → Hunting for liquidity. Retest resistance before a fallBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P continues to consolidate after a strong rally. There is no strong driver yet, and Bitcoin is reacting weakly to economic data. There is a possibility of a continued correction...
Bitcoin is still in correction, but is rebounding from the local low of 117.4, formed during the pullback, and is heading back up towards the zone of interest at 119.8-120.1, which it did not reach during the main upward movement. I see no fundamental or technical reasons for the correction to end and for growth beyond 121K. I expect a rebound from the resistance zone towards 115-114K. However, in the medium term, I expect the market to attempt to close half or all of the gap between 112K and 114.8K, thereby expanding the key trading range.
Resistance levels: 119.77, 120.1K, 120.8K
Support levels: 117.4, 116.37, 115.68
Technically, a false breakout (liquidity capture) of key resistance and price consolidation in the selling zone could trigger bearish pressure on the market, which in turn would lead to a correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Thea **Cup and Handle** pattern✨ **Imagine the market serving profits in a teacup!**
Thea **Cup and Handle** pattern isn’t just a technical term—it’s the market whispering, *“Get ready for liftoff!”* Let’s break it down in an engaging way:
### ☕ The Cup
- Picture a graceful drop in price that curves back up, forming a U-shape.
- It’s like the market takes a sip, then refills—symbolizing recovery and building strength.
### 🛠️ The Handle
- After the cup fills, the price dips slightly again, forming a small slope downward.
- This is the “handle”—a moment of consolidation, often with lower trading volume.
- It’s the calm before the bullish storm.
### 💡 Bullish Signal
- When the price **breaks above the handle’s resistance**, it’s like the market pulls the trigger.
- This signals a potential buying opportunity as the trend resumes upward.
### 📆 Duration
- The cup can take weeks or even months to form, while the handle is shorter and more subtle.
- Patience pays off, as the breakout often leads to explosive momentum.
---
🏆 *Want proof?* Check the comments—one of our past trades using this exact pattern scored a massive win of **100,000 pips**! 🚀
Technical analysis isn’t just charts and numbers—it’s decoding the market’s rhythm.
BTC/USDT Bull triangle still exists ? Hidden on fake camouflage?Bitcoin is moving sideways in a tight consolidation range between $117,000–$120,000 . Institutional players are accumulating positions here based on recent on-chain whale inflows, positive funding, and OI increase.
Key points with real chart zones:
The big drop down was likely a "fake out": Price wicked down to ~$115,000, triggering stop losses below this support, letting smart money buy cheaper.
Strong bounce back:
After the sweep, price quickly reclaimed the range, returning above ~$117,300–$118,000 , indicating strong buyer presence.
Bullish triangle is still valid:
Structure holds as long as price trades inside/bounces between $117,000 (lower zone/fake-out base) and $120,000 (upper resistance/consolidation top). Watch for volume spikes around $118,000–$120,000 as signs of institutional accumulation or breakout intent.
If price breaks above the range:
If we see a proper H1/H4 close above $120,000, expect a strong move to the next resistance: $123,000–$124,000 zone.
If price breaks down and holds below:
Sustained price action below $117,000, especially after another fake-out, could lead to a drop toward previous demand/stop zones at $115,000, and if that fails, further down to $110,000–$113,000.
Bottom line:
BTC sits in a “make-or-break” zone between $117,000–$120,000. Break out above $120k opens the path to $124k+. Loss of $117k/115k support risks further downside. Order flow and on-chain favor bulls for now, but always use stops – low volatility ranges can quickly resolve with liquidity grabs.
Tip:
Don’t chase every breakout or drop. Watch closely how price reacts near $120,000 (upside) and $117,000/$115,000 (downside). It is crucial to follow macroeconomic news, especially FED updates – trade safely and always do your own research!
This is not financial advice!
$BTC Daily OutlookBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Weekly Chart:
Bitcoin has now printed three consecutive weekly closes above the former higher-high threshold at $111 960. That series is enough to confirm a clean breakout of the prior HH-HL range and keeps the long-term bias pointed firmly higher.
That said, a near-term pullback is still on the table:
• First support — the breakout shelf at $111 960 (re-test of structure).
• Deeper support — the next V-level around $98 115.
Why the caution?
Last week’s candle left a small Failed Auction just above the new high, and Footprint data shows a cluster of aggressive buy-delta trapped in that wick. Those buyers may need to get washed out before the trend resumes.
Big picture: weekly structure is bullish; any dip into the levels above is a potential reload zone while the breakout holds.
Daily Chart:
Price action remains firmly bullish: multiple Failed-Auction rejections at the $116 860 higher-low vLevel keeps supply thin and reinforce the up-trend toward the prior ATH.
That said, remember Auction Market Theory rule #5: “When time or volume builds at the edge of balance, price often pushes through.”
• Each failed auction is absorbing resting bids.
• If sellers lean in again with size, the level can flip from support to resistance very quickly.
In practice that means:
•Base case – continuation to the highs while the Daily structure holds.
•Risk scenario – a clean break of $116 860 would open room for a deeper weekly pullback toward $107456.0
For now we treat the current weekly pullback as a fresh opportunity: scouting intraday longs as price reacts to the 1-Hourly zone.
From the footprint read-out, today’s bar finished with a neutral delta, but note where the profile is stacked: both the Value Area Low and the POC sit right at the bottom of the candle. That tells us the bulk of volume printed down at the session lows and it skewed negative, sellers were leaning hard, trying to extend the move lower.
EP 01: BTC correction near completionAfter the impulse to last ATH we got a 3 wave correction, last wave being formed by 5 waves, so all together coming to completion. We should visit the liquidation area under last low and swipe that liquidity and aim closer to last ATH if not exceeding it. When the market gives us more information we will go for episode 02.
BITCOIN Current Update !!!we are heading towards support region around 116.8k-115k from where we can expect a reversal.
If price breaks down 115k level then a bat harmonic pattern is also forming which indicates it's PRZ at 113-112k region...
Remember 121k is key level which needs to be broken in order to remain bullish !!!
BTC MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy – High Timeframe Long CallsThis BTC 8H chart shows how the MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy has tracked trend structure cleanly across multiple long signals — each aligning momentum and EMA bias on the mid-to-high timeframe.
First long: Triggered at ~64,565 and exited near 99,560 as momentum peaked
Second long: Re-entry at 83,419 after reclaiming structure, closed near 111,958
Third long (active): Triggered at 108,342 and currently holding above 117,000 with trend still intact
Color-coded bias (blue/pink) helps confirm context at a glance. The combination of MACD momentum shifts + 60/220 EMA filters prevents early entries and helps capture large legs without excessive noise.
Want to explore or customize the strategy?
Search “MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy ” and run your own backtests to refine parameters per asset.
Bitcoin & Altcoins: Technical Analysis and Market OutlookBitcoin (BTC) Analysis
Bitcoin is currently forming a short-term bullish pennant within a larger long-term pattern, projecting a potential target around $135K.
Key Levels: BTC is consolidating between the lower zone at $117.3K and the upper zone at $119.7K.
Breakout Potential: A break above this pattern could propel BTC toward a new all-time high (ATH), surpassing the current ATH at $123K.
Macro Events This Week:
Wednesday: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with no changes expected.
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, providing insights into potential future rate cuts.
Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release, which could further influence market sentiment.
Ethereum (ETH) Breakout
Ethereum has decisively broken through its 4-year historical resistance around $3,725, closing the week above this level. This breakout signals a strong bullish outlook for ETH, with potential for further upside.
Altcoin Highlights
BNB: Has shattered its previous all-time highs, showcasing significant bullish momentum.
XRP: Reached approximately $3.64, reflecting strong gains and market interest.
Market Context
The crypto market is showing robust activity, with altcoins following Bitcoin and Ethereum's lead. Key macroeconomic events this week could introduce volatility, so traders should stay vigilant.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own strategy and risk management.
Happy trading and good profits! 🚀
One last Correction till breakoutWith the most recent SFP printed on the higher timeframe and BTC still failing to break a significant high, all signs point toward one final dip – a move to shake weak hands and reload for the breakout that’s been brewing in silence.
⚡ If the orange level holds, consider it a highly bullish signal – supercycle potential unlocked?
Naturally, the Wizard plays both sides of the board:
📉 Short ideas would activate around the blue Order Block / green correction level.
📈 But should we bounce strong from orange… well, let’s just say you’ll want a seat for what comes next.
🟥 Bullish invalidation rests at the red line.
Let’s see how the game unfolds.
What Nobody Taught You About Risk Management. Part 1
Numerous authors and communicators have addressed the importance of risk management, more or less comprehensively, but I have not come across any who present what I intend to share with you today. Once my presentation is complete, I will share some useful resources with which you can complement what you learn here, as I will only cover an important but small part of the topic: execution.
What is risk management?
Risk management is the planning an investor undertakes to protect capital and maximize profits. It encompasses factors surrounding the creation of a profitable system or method, the allocation of our capital, and the execution of our trades.
Some key concepts:
Risk-Reward Ratio
The risk-reward ratio is a metric used in trading and investing to assess the relationship between the risk taken in a trade and the expected potential profit. It is expressed as a ratio, for example, 1:1, 1:2, 2:1, etc.
Stop Loss (SL)
The SL, or stop-loss, is an automatic order placed in a trading operation to close your position at a specific price, with the aim of limiting losses if the market moves against you.
Take Profit (TP)
The TP, or take-profit, is an automatic order placed in a trading operation to close your position at a specific price to secure profits when the market reaches a favorable level. It is the point where you decide to "take" your profits and exit the trade.
Margin
In trading, margin is the amount of money a trader must deposit or maintain in their account to open and sustain a position.
Volatility
Volatility, in the context of trading and financial markets, measures the magnitude and frequency of changes in an asset's price.
Leverage
Leverage in trading is a tool that allows investors to control a larger market position using only a fraction of their own capital. It acts as a "loan" provided by the trading platform, amplifying both potential profits and potential losses.
Risk Management and Trade Execution:
The most common problem among other investors, beyond psychological factors or lack of experience, is the absence of total control over their trades. They use random leverage, take entries with risk-reward ratios below 1:1, and some don’t even know what percentage of profits or losses they will have at the end of the trade.
For an investor to execute a successful trade, they must meet the following criteria:
1. Ensure minimum risk-reward ratios of 1:1.
2. Properly allocate their investment capital, adhering to strict rules to avoid undermining their statistical performance.
3. Adapt to volatility and know how to adjust their leverage accordingly.
4. Set a fixed stop-loss (SL) price and determine what percentage of losses they are willing to accept per trade.
5. Set a fixed price for taking profits from the trade and know what percentage of profits they will achieve.
Failing to meet these parameters will not only destroy traders’ profitability but also make it impossible for them to develop reliable investment systems and methods.
Incorrect Execution:
For example, if I see an entry opportunity in BTC/USDT, it would be a mistake to choose random leverage and plan to manually close when I think I’ve gained or lost enough. The volatility of the price chart itself may or may not require leverage, and that leverage must be adjusted to our risk management strategy. Trading in the manner described above is a recipe for failure, which is why it’s a lucrative business to allow inexperienced investors to access markets through online platforms.
Correct Execution:
Before explaining a practical case, let’s assume I use a $1,000 amount per trade and am willing to risk a 20% stop-loss (SL). These parameters are non-negotiable to avoid undermining my statistical performance.
A few days ago, I took the trade shown in the chart. To enter this long position in BTC/USDT, the first thing I did was identify the entry point and the exit points for my trade (SL and TP). The trade met a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:1, so I considered whether leverage was necessary. A volatility of 9.07% from the entry point to my SL price offered low profit expectations relative to what I was willing to risk from my margin per trade (20% of $1,000). I needed leverage.
In the toolbar on the left, once you have a price chart open in TradingView, you can use the ruler to easily measure the percentage of volatility.
How can I ensure that 20% of the margin I’m investing is triggered when the price reaches my SL zone using leverage?
To calculate the exact leverage, we divide the SL percentage we’re willing to risk (20%) by the volatility percentage from the entry point to the SL price (9.07%).
For example, my entry point in BTC was $109,898, and the exit point or SL was $99,930. I measured the volatility between the entry price ($109,898) and the exit price ($99,930), resulting in 9.07%. Since the volatility was somewhat low and I wanted to risk 20% of my margin per trade when the price hit my SL, I calculated the required leverage. To do this, I divided 20% (the percentage I was willing to lose per SL) by 9.07% (the volatility percentage from the entry price to the SL price). The result was approximately 2x leverage when rounded.
In summary: At 2x leverage, we would lose approximately 20% of our capital if the price reached $99,930. Since I had a 1:1 risk-reward ratio before entering the trade, I assumed I would gain approximately 20% of the invested margin when the price reached $120,000.
The trade was a winner, reaching the TP price without issues and generating a 20% profit on the margin I invested ($1,000).
Use investment platforms that allow you to manually adjust leverage, such as 1x, 2x, 3x, 4x… 38x, 39x, 40x, and avoid platforms where leverage is set to default values like 1x, 5x, 10x, 20x, 50x… This seemingly minor detail for most small investors allows platforms to pocket large fortunes from failed trades.
Conclusions and Recommendations:
Risk management is the backbone of investors, and knowing how to execute entries with precision is rare among retail traders. Even so, I’ve only covered a small part of this topic. To complement this knowledge, I recommend searching on YouTube for the video by investor and educator Yuri Rabassa titled “The Secrets of Good Money Management.” This video will help you develop basic statistical skills that are vital for creating a trading system. Additionally, in the book *Forex Price Action Scalping* by renowned author Bob Volman, you’ll find a very insightful chapter titled “The Principle of Probability.”
Final Note:
If you’d like to take a look at my analysis log, you can find my profile in Spanish, where I transparently share well-defined market entries. Send your good vibes if you enjoyed this article, and may God bless you all.
BTC Roadmap Ahead: Ideal Entry, TP Zones & What to AvoidAs long as Bitcoin stays above the ~$98,200 zone on the daily timeframe, I believe the bullish trend remains intact.
No need to panic — what we need now is rational decision-making, not emotional reactions.
Since price has reached a key area around $118K–$120K, I’ve already taken partial profits at this level.
If no major fundamental changes occur and conditions remain stable, I see the maximum target for this leg somewhere between $134K and $140K, where I plan to secure additional profits.
Right now, my main objective is to increase my Bitcoin holdings.
The first buy zone I’m watching is around $110K, clearly marked with a red circle on the chart.
When price reaches this zone, I won’t enter immediately — I’ll wait for consolidation and confirmation, as a deeper correction is still possible.
There’s no need to rush — patience is power.
📌 All I’m trying to do is accumulate as much Bitcoin and sats as I can — because I know one day, I’ll be proud of it.
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #138👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the Bitcoin analysis. Today is the start of the week, and it’s very important to begin our trading week with the right analysis and outlook.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, as you can see, not much has changed compared to the previous analysis, and the price is still ranging near the supply zone.
✔️ The fact that no price correction has occurred so far shows the strength of the buyers, and even if a correction does happen, as long as the price stays above 110183, the trend will still be considered bullish.
🧩 The main trigger for trend continuation is either the price reaction to the curved trendline or the break of 122733. We can find more optimal triggers in the lower timeframes.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In this 4-hour timeframe, after a fakeout below 116829, the price corrected down to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and now has returned again to the box between 116829 and 120041.
🔍 The fakeout trigger is 120041, and I’ll try to have at least two positions open in the market when this level breaks — whether on Bitcoin or altcoins.
📈 The main trigger for the next bullish leg is 122733.
If RSI also breaks the 61.67 resistance alongside 120041, the likelihood of the move continuing will increase.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
#BTCUSDT: Minor Correction In Price Then $150,000?Hi everyone,
Hope you are doing great we are witnessing some minor bearish correction in the price and think this might be a sellers trap. We think $110,000 can be a good area to buy. Our target is at $150,000 area which look possible after looking at how price recently behaved.
Where is the support for #BTC?📊Where is the support for #BTC?
🧠From a structural perspective, we did not stabilize after breaking through the inflection point of 119240, but broke down quickly. According to the current structure, the short-term support area is 112000-113700.
➡️From a morphological perspective, we failed to successfully break through the h point, but chose to break down, so we need to be vigilant about further pullbacks!
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective (2025.05.21)Hello everyone,
This is SeoVereign, the operator of the SeoVereign team.
It's been nearly a month since I returned to TradingView and started posting ideas again.
During that time, I’ve frequently shared short-term ideas based on minute charts.
However, since real-time responses are crucial in short timeframes,
there are practical limitations in explaining all the reasoning behind our analysis in detail each time.
But when it comes to larger timeframes like the daily chart,
we have a bit more flexibility.
So I see this as a valuable opportunity to explain our thought process and key reasoning more thoroughly.
Now, let’s get into the Bitcoin daily chart briefing.
Please refer to the following link first.
This is a post I made on April 18, 2025:
🔗
At the time, I shared the view that the upward wave starting near 75K
had the potential to extend to 88K and even 96K.
However, it was difficult to determine exactly how far the wave would extend at that point.
Now, I want to make one thing very clear.
If someone uses wave theory to say something like
"Bitcoin will definitely go to X price,"
that person is either a scammer or someone who fundamentally misunderstands wave theory.
Elliott Wave Theory can be somewhat useful in anticipating short-term moves,
but it has clear limitations when applied to long-term predictions.
After many years of studying Elliott Wave Theory in depth,
I've come to a simple but important conclusion:
"You cannot predict the distant future with technical analysis alone."
That said, there is one exception:
very short-term movements — the immediate price action right in front of us —
can often be approached with some confidence using technical analysis.
Here’s an example.
If someone bought Bitcoin at 10K and says,
“I’m going to sell at 100K,”
while it hasn’t even broken past 50K,
that’s just reckless optimism.
But if Bitcoin has already approached 100K,
and several bearish signals are starting to emerge and become confirmed,
that’s when we can begin considering short positions.
The key is to make decisions based on the data right now — not based on hopes or assumptions.
That was a long introduction.
Now, let me explain why I believe Bitcoin could break to new all-time highs
and possibly reach as high as 130K.
As I mentioned in the April 18 post,
I believe an Ending Diagonal was completed around the 74K region,
and I anticipated an upward impulse wave to follow.
In my view, the current market structure clearly suggests we are in an uptrend.
Many of you have reached out via private messages asking,
“What kind of wave are we in right now?”
But in this case, that question doesn’t hold much value.
Whether this current move is part of an impulse wave or a corrective structure,
what matters is that the price is going up.
If, for instance, the A-wave has completed — as confirmed by Fibonacci —
then the B-wave would follow, and we can plan accordingly with long positions.
Or, if the ABC correction is already over,
then a new impulse wave could be starting.
Either way, the key takeaway is that we’re likely in an upward phase.
Back to the main point:
A Deep Crab harmonic pattern formed near 74K,
and that zone concluded with an Ending Diagonal,
which is now leading to a bullish reversal.
I've studied harmonic patterns for years,
and in the case of the Deep Crab,
the upper boundary of the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
is typically around the 2.24 Fibonacci extension.
As long as this level is not broken,
the pattern remains valid.
And when a reversal happens near the 1.618 or 1.902 zones,
it’s often a highly reliable bullish signal.
So, what are our targets in this current rally?
🎯 SeoVereign’s Target Strategy
1st Target: 109,000
2nd Target: 118,600
3rd Target: 128,100
Right now, before the market enters a full-scale bullish breakout,
we’re seeing unusually high volatility.
In times like this, staying calm and grounded is more important than ever.
I sincerely wish all of you the best of luck in navigating this volatility,
and may a wave of growth come to your accounts as well.
🍀 I genuinely hope great fortune finds its way to all of you.
See you in the next daily briefing.
Thank you.
— SeoVereign