BTC\USD SHORT TRADE SETUP BTC/USDT – Short Trade Setup Breakdown (Technical Outlook
Trade Thesis
The area between 103,800–105,000 serves as a strong supply zone, and we’re seeing signs of exhaustion in bullish momentum. The setup suggests a high-probability short opportunity with tight confirmation.
🔸 Entry: Positioned at 103,800, just below resistance, to capture early weakness and avoid chasing.
🔸 Risk Level: The resistance at 105,000 is critical — any break and close above may invalidate this setup.
🔸 Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 97,000 – conservative exit at mid-range demand zone
🎯 Target 2: 96,000 – full target near bottom of the descending channel
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT – Multi-Timeframe Analysis | Demand Zone Sweep SetupAnalyzing BTCUSDT using 15m, 1h, 4h, and 1D timeframes.
Current structure shows a potential demand zone sweep followed by a reclaim setup.
Key confluences include:
RSI divergence forming on the 15m and 1h
Possible CHoCH on the 15m chart confirming bullish intent
Daily structure still intact as long as 106k holds
TP1, TP2, and SL levels are marked on the chart.
Monitoring closely for bullish confirmation before entry.
Trade what you see, not what you feel.
BTCUSDTBTC ,another complete analysis as posted for free early ,the weekly candle failed to break and close above 4hr supply roof at 108k and the next step is to watch the current 4hrs demand floor .A BREAK OF STRUTURE WILL BE EYEING 96-94K ,THE EMA+SMA STRATEGY ALIGNS WITH THE ASCENDING TREND LINE FOR A POTENTIAL BUY BACK WHERE WE HOPE TO CHALLENGE BROKEN 100K ZONE AS NEXT SUPPLY ROOF IF RESPECTED.
$BTC Consolidating Before the Next Big Move?CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidating after a strong bounce!
Bitcoin is holding well above the 106K support zone and forming a tight range just below resistance.
After a false breakout above 100K, the price is compressing just below key resistance at 108100.
This consolidation between 106500 and 108100 looks like a pause, not a top.
If BTC breaks 108100, the next targets are 110500 and ATH.
Market structure is still bullish.
A retest of 106500–105650 is possible before liftoff.
Are you positioned for the breakout?
If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
DYOR, NFA
#BitcoinRecovery
do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20XA consolidation range happens when the market trades sideways, in a neutral capacity. This sideways trading is neither bearish nor bullish, thus neutral. The bearish or bullish tendencies can only be defined based on the broader market structure.
If the consolidation range develops coming from a major drop, you can say that the market is bearish and the consolidation a bearish consolidation even if the breakout happens to the upside. Once it happens to the upside we can say that a reversal developed but the tendencies were bearish nonetheless.
If the consolidation range develops coming from a major rise, you can easy say while being correct that the market is bullish and the consolidation phase a bullish one, because of the bigger structure, previous price action and the chart.
Bitcoin is consolidating with bullish tendencies but there is a boundary which we call resistance and another boundary which we call support, this is the trading range. When the market is ranging, this is when margin traders lose the most because the trend remains hidden and money tends to be made when the market is in a clear trend.
Whenever the upper boundary gets challenged we get a retrace and a test of support. Whenever the lower boundary gets tested prices recover and move back up. This process gets repeated for as long as it is needed to remove all the weak hands, most of the signals are pure noise.
This is the situation in which we find Bitcoin today. Ultra-bullish but sideways and anything can happen short-term. Do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20X. You might end up with some fast and easy profits.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context
The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation
The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players.
Manipulation and Distribution
This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks.
Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw
Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down.
Execution Insight
If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this.
Final Thoughts
Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing.
If you found this breakdown helpful, I’d really appreciate a like—it helps support the work and keeps this kind of content going. Let me know in the comments what you think, or if you’re seeing it differently. I'm always up for a good discussion.
Bitcoin Price Analysis! What's Next?Bitcoin Price Analysis! What's Next?
From our last analysis, Bitcoin increased from 107K to 108.5K
The price reached the limits of the pattern so far making everything more difficult because it increased, but with very low volume.
This time, BTC added some more data.
You may watch the analysis for further details
Thank you!
Bitcoin Mirror Cycle: History Repeats? | 2024–2025 PatternThis chart presents a potential repetition of Bitcoin’s 2024 price cycle (Jan 23 – Aug 5, 2024), projected to mirror itself from September 6, 2024 through Q3–Q4 2025. The hand-drawn arcs suggest a repeating pattern of rounded tops, distribution, correction, and potential accumulation zones. Key support levels are marked near $66,172 and $49,116, indicating where price may retrace before a potential bounce or deeper macro-driven selloff.
Technically, the chart hints at a large-scale cyclical structure—a classic market psychology pattern where prior cup-and-handle or double-top formations play out again on a broader timescale.
🌍 Global Context Overlay:
War & Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing risk of conflict escalation (e.g., Iran–Israel, Ukraine–Russia, and potential East Asian tensions) may lead to increased volatility in risk assets like crypto. Wars historically bring uncertainty, which may initially crash speculative markets but later fuel inflationary hedges like Bitcoin.
U.S. Elections (Nov 2024):
Political instability or leadership changes can impact Federal Reserve policy, regulation, and market sentiment, directly influencing BTC price direction post-election.
Recession Fears & Rate Cuts (2025):
With central banks expected to pivot towards rate cuts in 2025, liquidity could flow back into risk-on assets, possibly triggering the bounce scenario shown in the latter part of your drawing. If rate cuts come too late, however, a steeper correction into the $49K zone becomes more likely.
Global Debt Crisis & De-Dollarization:
Growing debt concerns and countries moving away from the USD may boost Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a non-sovereign store of value, reinforcing the second rally illustrated in your sketch.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Market Update – DailyBitcoin remains in a tight range between $110,221.73 (resistance) and $101,546.27 (support). These two levels are the main reference points for initiating high-probability trades.
🔸 Market Context:
The primary trend is bullish, so the priority remains on long setups.
Short positions should only be considered below $101,546.27 with confirmation.
With the prevailing bullish structure, early entries can be taken with a low-risk trigger at $108,746.08.
🔸 Moving Averages & Momentum:
The SMA 7 has caught up with the daily candles, but we haven’t seen a strong reaction yet.
If today's candle wicks above the SMA 7, we can more confidently pursue long setups starting tomorrow.
Otherwise, we may see a pullback toward the SMA 25, especially given the decreasing volume typical of ranging phases.
🔸 Lower Timeframe Setup (1H/4H):
A micro range box can be observed between $108,746 and $106,649.78.
If price approaches $108,746 with increasing volume, that can serve as a valid long trigger on intraday timeframes.
⏳ Final Note: Patience is key while BTC trades inside this range. The bullish structure remains intact, and opportunities for long trades are more favorable for now. Wait for clean breakouts or volume-based confirmations before entering new trades.
#BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BTCPrice #CryptoStrategy #BitcoinRange #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
BTC - New month, new monthly Power Of ThreeNew monthly Power Of Three:
4 weekly candles to form a monthly candle.
So there will be 4 weekly PO3 within 1 monthly PO3.
Accumulation => Manipulation => Expansion
I anticipate the first week there should be a accumulation phase.
Determine the previous dealing range to find out the premium and discount range.
Short term trades back into the discount range and long term continues higher.
Bitcoin Faces Resistance Rejection — Bearish Divergence Signals Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion as it stalls near a high-timeframe resistance level aligned with the value area high (VAH). Recent price action has formed multiple lower timeframe bearish divergences while testing dynamic resistance. This level has now capped further upside attempts and could trigger a market rotation lower if rejected again.
With price consolidating directly beneath this barrier, the probability of a pullback grows stronger, especially if no bullish confirmation breaks the current ceiling.
Key Technical Points:
- Bearish Divergence Developing: Price is holding below the VAH with a weakening momentum signature
- Converging Resistance Zone: Dynamic SR and VAH are aligned at $108,350, now acting as a ceiling
- Range-Based Rotation Setup: If rejected, price could rotate down to the point of control and value area low
Bitcoin’s current structure is classic range behavior, with price gravitating from low to high and back. At the moment, it’s stalled at the value area high, which represents the upper boundary of the most recent range. This level — around $108,350 — has been tested several times, and now a bearish divergence is forming across key momentum indicators like RSI and MACD.
In addition, price is showing multiple rejections against dynamic resistance, forming a pattern of lower highs on lower timeframes. The longer this resistance zone holds, the more likely price will revert to the point of control (POC) — the area with the highest traded volume in the range. If that level doesn’t hold either, a full rotation to the value area low becomes the next probable scenario based on market auction theory.
This rotation would represent a complete cycle from value area high acceptance back to value area low rejection, which is common when buying pressure fades and sellers regain control. For now, Bitcoin remains technically vulnerable as long as price stays capped beneath the $108,350 level.
Bitcoin’s next move hinges on whether it can reclaim the $108,350 resistance zone with volume. If not, expect a corrective phase that targets the POC first, followed by potential continuation down to the value area low. This bearish setup remains valid until price closes decisively above current resistance.
BTC — ATH or Lower High? Patience for the Next SwingBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 4h
Patience here — waiting for the next high-probability swing.
Major levels to watch: $111,990 (range high), $108,950 (weekly), $100,300–103,000 (demand).
Next move: ATH attempt or another lower high? Will act when the reaction sets up.
BTC/USDT – Trade Review & New Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s short setup didn’t work out as planned — stop-loss was hit as bulls showed strong momentum. However, I still believe that a move to the yellow block (downside liquidity zone) is possible, and the idea remains valid.
The main mistake was with the stop placement, not the scenario itself. After taking a loss, I’m more cautious: reducing risk, lowering position size, and entering with less conviction. Bulls were dominant yesterday, so I’m keeping my risk tight on this trade.
I’ll take the setup again, but with a more conservative approach. If price breaks and holds above my stop-loss level, it will confirm a shift in sentiment to bullish, and I’ll look to flip my bias accordingly.
Key points:
Previous short was stopped out — reviewing risk
Still see potential for a move to the yellow block
Lower risk, smaller size after a loss
If price holds above stop, trend flips bullish
Let’s see how this plays out.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week📈 Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week
Currently, Bitcoin is expected to gather liquidity around the $106,000 zone, potentially initiating a move toward the $110,000 resistance level.
This area will be crucial in determining the next directional move.
🔍 The market's reaction around $110,000 will be closely monitored, and the analysis will be updated once that level is reached.
📌 Note: This outlook is based on current market conditions and may require adjustments if sentiment or price structure changes.
BTC - Still StrugglingPlease refer to the last post:
We have been monitoring BTC at this red trendline for a potential breakout. In this post we are examining a lower timeframe (6H) to see how this structure is developing.
Price tried to rally to the red line, but sellers came in and swiftly pushed price back down. This is looking to be a third rejection at this red trendline so far.
Buyers are also fighting on the LTF. We have seen the low/mid $106k levels acting a support.
A break below $106k could lead to a drop back to our white trendline. This white trendline was recently established with 2 points of resistance (red arrows) followed by it being flipped into new support with 2 touchpoints (green arrows). Depending on when/if this trendline is tested it could bring BTC anywhere between $103-105k. Will update this post if that does happen.
In the meantime our three areas to watch on the lower timeframes.
-A break above the red trendline
-The midline around $106k continuing to hold
-The white trendline being tested
BTC/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis – 1H & 5m🕐 1-Hour Overview:
BTC is currently consolidating inside a range-bound structure, showing signs of indecision.
Resistance Zone: $105,000 – $106,000
Support Zone: $100,000 – $101,000
The price must break out of this box to define the next major direction.
➡️ A bullish breakout above 106K could lead to $108K+
⬅️ A breakdown below 100K may trigger downside momentum.
⏱ 5-Minute Execution Zone:
The 5m chart shows a rebound from an oversold move, forming higher lows and approaching key resistance.
Minor Resistance: $107,000
Key Breakout Level: $107,400
🎯 Trading Scenario:
If we get a strong bullish candle closing above $107,400
Then: Entry Long with target near $108,000
Stop Loss: Below recent 5m low – around $106,800
✅ Strategy Context:
Timeframe alignment between HTF and LTF
Scalp entry with confirmation
Risk managed around structural zones
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Scalping #PriceAction #ALIPFX
The only plays you need this week! 🚀 Join us as we dive into the highs and lows of Bitcoin this week! 🔥
Opportunities like this don’t show up every day — and we’ve got a strong feeling there’s a 10X trade hiding somewhere in this video! 👀💰
We’re locked in on the charts like eagles 🦅, watching closely to see if any of our setups come to life. You won’t want to miss what’s coming next! 📈📊
✨ Stay tuned for daily updates, smart setups, and sharp moves! ✨
📅 Weekly Schedule:
🛠️ Daily Setups: Monday to Friday
🎓 Class: Every Tuesday (if stars align 🌟 – subject to confirmation)
Let’s make it a big week! 💪🚀
BTC Bullish Engulfing – Multiple Long Opportunities🚀 BTC Bullish Engulfing – Multiple Long Opportunities
Following the bullish engulfing candle, there are two potential long entries for Bitcoin:
🎯 Aggressive Entry: at $107,853.7 (higher risk)
✅ Conservative Entry: at $108,497.3
🔐 Stop-loss advice:
Place your stop either:
At a level that won’t be easily hit by short-term noise, or
At a level that confirms a short-term trend reversal if breached.
📈 If neither trigger plays out, set a stop-buy order at $110,246. A strong breakout is likely above this level, so don't miss it if momentum kicks in.
🧠 The choice is yours:
Enter early and accept the risk of getting stopped out
Or wait for confirmation and risk missing the trade
📌 If you’re already in a BTC long based on earlier signals, consider opening a position in high market cap altcoins to diversify exposure.
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💬 Which entry level are you going for — early risk or breakout confirmation? Let me know in the comments! Always curious to see your strategies.
Short BTC, it is about to retrace and test 100000 again!As BTC gradually fell back, the rebound did not stand above 110,000 in the short term, proving that there is strong selling pressure above, and the trend line formed by the technical high point 111,000 and the second high point 110,000 formed an important resistance area, which limited the rebound space of BTC and strengthened the demand for BTC's short-term retracement.
According to the current trend, the short-term oscillation bottom area of 106,000 may be broken at any time. Once it falls below the oscillation area, it may arouse a certain degree of profit-taking chips and stimulate BTC to accelerate its decline. I think BTC will at least test the 105,000-104,000 area again during the retracement, and may even test the 100,000 integer mark again.
Therefore, shorting BTC is still the preferred option for current short-term trading.
Consider shorting BTC in the 108,000-109,000 area, and the target area in the short term is 104,500-103,500. After breaking this area, the target can be extended to 101,000-100,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳
As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈
As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀
For now, we wait! ⏳
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich