BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin’s Short Squeeze Pushes Into Key Resistance — Reversal?Bitcoin has staged an aggressive recovery — but it’s not just any bounce. The move looks to be driven by a classic short squeeze, where extreme bearish sentiment and overcrowded short positions result in a sharp upward spike. This rally has now brought BTC right into a thick wall of resistance, and the next few candles could define the trend for weeks to come.
What’s Happening:
The short squeeze began after BTC reached heavily oversold levels. As price began to bounce, it forced short positions to unwind — fueling a momentum rally. But the rally hasn’t been supported by sustained demand; it’s been largely reactive. That’s where the caution comes in.
BTC is now sitting at a dense confluence of resistance, including
- The descending trendline from the broader channel
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
- The point of control from the recent volume profile
- A major price level around $98,300
Why This Zone Matters:
Rejections from this area in the past have triggered sharp pullbacks. The fact that we haven’t seen immediate rejection yet raises eyebrows — but without strong volume and a decisive breakout, it’s premature to call this a full trend reversal. If the squeeze loses steam here, sellers could pile back in.
The Bullish Case:
If price grinds through this zone and closes above $98,300 with sustained volume, the landscape shifts. That level flips from resistance to support, potentially unlocking another leg higher.
The Bearish Case:
However, if this is just a squeeze without follow-through, expect a rejection to form soon. Watch for signs of slowing momentum, especially lower highs or sell pressure into resistance — classic signals of a local top forming.
Final Thoughts:
This is a make-or-break moment. The current structure is vulnerable to rapid moves in either direction. If BTC can’t hold this push, it may confirm a local high and set the stage for a deeper correction. But if bulls punch through resistance, momentum could snowball.
Stay cautious and let price confirm direction.
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🎯 Short-Term Bitcoin Downside Scenario
While we still envision long-term upward potential,
we are sharing a short-term bearish outlook based on the 15-minute chart for those engaged in futures trading.
A classic Crab Pattern has been identified,
which may serve as a helpful reference for those interested in harmonic patterns.
Target 1: 95,705
Target 2: 94,650
As long as the pattern remains valid, a correction toward these levels can be considered a natural move.
Please exercise caution and manage your risk appropriately when trading.
Bitcoin update 10.04.2025 - BTC - 98k in May🔥 The Markets Are on Fire — and We Know Who Lit the Match.
The last few weeks have been pure chaos.
Markets are crashing, confidence is shaking, and crypto is confused.
And let’s not pretend we don’t know who’s behind it.
Donald Trump.
Even a Korean guy selling panda souvenirs on the street told me:
“This Trump is ruining everything.”
And he’s not wrong.
Billions wiped. Positions wrecked.
But here’s the thing — this isn’t random. This is tactical drama.
Trump sees himself as a master negotiator, and here’s how he plays the game:
🎭 The Trump Cycle (Get Ready for the Loop)
Pressure — tariffs, chaos, media hysteria. We’ve seen it.
Relaxation — 90-day delays, fake calm.
Talks — and boom, “positive developments.”
Good News —
• “Bitcoin added to U.S. reserves.” in MAY?
• “Americans to receive new stimulus.”
• “China’s our friend again!”
Charm & Flirt Mode — improving global relations, smiling at cameras.
More good news — stock markets fly, crypto rips and everyone screams, “New bull run!”
And then?
💥 Back to pressure.
📆 September 2025 is the punchline.
That's when this cycle hits the weaker economies like a freight train:
✅ Broken supply chains
✅ Collapsing currencies
✅ Defaults
✅ And where there’s chaos — there’s war. Expect escalation in fragile regions like the Middle East.
✅ Crude oil falling to 40$
Markets will top on pure euphoria.
The reversal begins when everyone’s drunk on hopium and “good news”.
💼 My Plan? Ruthlessly Simple:
🔹 May I will participate in the first Offline/Online International Crypto Trading Cup 2025 by WhiteBIT
🔹Jun-August -Euphoria in the market
🔹 September - Take profits
🔹 Either short — or sip something cold on a quiet beach. But we will see
We’ve officially entered the Turbulence Zone.
The following 10 years will be insane — for those who adapt, evolve, ride the trends, and harness AI and tech.
If not?
You get left behind.
It’s not the strongest who survive — it’s the fastest to adapt.
Best regards, EXCAVO
BTC - Inversion Play at Resistance With IFVG Breakdown PotentialPrice has tapped into a previously established resistance zone and is now showing signs of exhaustion. A reactive short setup is in play, contingent on further bearish confirmation.
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1. Resistance Zone — Key Supply Area
The marked red zone above highlights:
- Repeated Rejections: Price has failed multiple times to break and hold above this level.
- Order Block & Liquidity: Likely an area where institutional selling interest remains.
This zone offers a prime location for short setups, especially if price fails to hold above it and begins to roll over.
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2. IFVG Inversion — Breaker-Type Setup
We are watching for:
- Inversion of a Bullish IFVG: A common signal of shifting order flow.
- Breaker Behavior: A previously supportive zone now acting as resistance — a hallmark of smart money reversals.
This structure suggests an intent to trap late longs and transition into lower pricing.
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3. Internal Liquidity Sweep — Fuel for the Drop
The local high served to:
- Clear Short-Term Liquidity: Wick just above resistance suggests engineered breakout bait.
- Trigger Buyer Commitment: Which could now get trapped if momentum fails.
This liquidity event sets up the conditions for a more sustained push downward.
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4. Downside Targeting the Discount Zone
Price is projected to revisit the blue discount zone:
- 0.618–0.65 Retracement Levels: Classic Fibonacci discount area often targeted after a premium rejection.
- Reaccumulation Potential: Watch for signs of buyer interest returning here.
This forms the logical destination for price following a confirmed rejection.
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5. Summary:
- Price Rejecting Resistance & IFVG Inversion Signals Reversal Bias
- Liquidity Sweep Confirms Trap Setup
- Discount Zone Below Offers High-Probability Reaction Area
A strong short scenario may unfold if bearish order flow confirms beneath the resistance region.
Bitcoin Overall: Big short coming upIt is possible price doesn't reach the 'definite short zone', however a trade should be taken here (not financial advise).
Overall, however, BTC has made significant progress and it is likely new ATH are in the near future, but by the same token this BTC bull market is probably over this year.
Bitcoin Roadmap — April to June 2025Hey traders! 👋
Bitcoin’s currently hanging around $94,100, and it just broke out of a multi-month diagonal resistance with strong volume and a solid daily close above all the SMAs and EMAs—bullish reversal confirmed! 🔥
Here’s what I think might play out between now and June:
Phase 1: Rally Toward Higher High (Now → May 1st)
Target: ~$99,600 (key horizontal + trendline resistance)
BTC is making a strong parabolic move with increasing volume and RSI confirming strength.
Break above $96 K → quick push toward psychological resistance near $100 K.
Expect a local top (HH) to form around late April to May 1st.
Phase 2: Pullback & Higher Low (May → June 1st)
Target Zone: ~$83 K–$86 K (confluence of multiple support zones + volume shelf)
A healthy correction is expected after tagging the upper resistance.
Formation of a higher low (HL) will validate a long-term uptrend.
Time-based support appears aligned with early June, matching your HL arrow.
Phase 3: Trend Continuation (Post June 1st)
If BTC forms a higher low and maintains structure, the next move targets:
$105 K–$109 K (Fibonacci extension + ATH zone)
Break above $99.6 K would flip this into macro bull territory
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance $99,600 Horizontal + trendline rejection
HL Zone $83 K–$86 K Fib & breakout base, HL formation
Support $79.4 K 0.5 Fib — invalidation if lost
Summary:
BTC is in the midst of a potential higher high formation, targeting ~$99.6K by early May. A correction is then likely, forming a higher low in the ~$83 K–$86 K range into early June, setting the stage for a macro breakout run.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The 96k–97k zone is an important area. It is expected that with a touch or hunt of this zone, which we have shown on the chart with an orange circle, Bitcoin will give a correction and altcoins that are ready for correction will also correct.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSDT forming a Bullish Flag patternBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, often regarded as a strong continuation setup in technical analysis. The breakout from the prior descending wedge has already provided strong bullish momentum, and now BTC is consolidating just below key resistance, signaling the next possible leg upward. With volume steadily increasing during this consolidation phase, this flag pattern holds significant potential for a breakout rally.
The price structure reflects healthy accumulation, where smart money seems to be stepping in before the anticipated surge. The flagpole leading up to the pattern shows strong bullish dominance, and the sideways flag structure suggests that Bitcoin is merely taking a breather before pushing higher. A confirmed breakout from the flag could target an upside of 20% to 30%+, aligning with the projected price move shown on the chart.
Fundamentally, Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream traction, and the broader crypto sentiment is turning positive again. The volume patterns and technical indicators reinforce the bullish outlook. Investors are showing renewed interest, especially as BTC holds above key psychological and structural levels, which adds confidence to the continuation narrative.
This setup is ideal for breakout traders and investors looking to capitalize on short to mid-term gains. If the bullish flag plays out as expected, BTC could make another significant move toward its all-time high zone.
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✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
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Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 1 May 2025
- Bitcoin broke key resistance level 95000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 99300.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance zone between the key resistance level 95000.00 (which stopped the previous wave B at the end of April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from January.
The breakout of this resistance zone should strengthen the bullish pressure on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 99300.00, which reversed the price multiple times in February.
BTC at a Critical Crossroad — Pump or Dump ?
📝 Caption: Bitcoin is facing a decisive moment!
📌 Price is stuck in a key holding zone.
📈 A break above could send us flying toward the $104K resistance.
📉 But failure to hold may trigger a sharp drop into the weekly FVG below $90K.
🔻 Optimal short entry if we break below the structure.
🚀 Or is this just a healthy retracement before continuation?
💬 What’s your bias — bull or bear?
📊 Let me know in the comments!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradeWithMky #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #78👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is finally stabilizing above the 95,370 level. If this movement continues and the price stays above this level, the likelihood of a move up to 98,828 increases.
✔️ Over the past few days, I’ve strongly emphasized that you should open a position once 95,370 breaks. I hope you did, because that entry point was very significant, and breaking it could mark the beginning of Bitcoin’s next bullish leg.
💥 Currently, RSI is entering the Overbought zone, and if that happens, the chances of a sharp upward move increase. Buying volume is also rising, which is expected when a resistance level is broken.
📊 At the moment, opening new positions doesn't make much sense. If you already have an open position, I recommend riding the market momentum and taking profits whenever you notice momentum fading.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance dropped slightly yesterday and returned below the 64.60 level. If this level is broken again, we can reconfirm the bullish sentiment.
🧩 If dominance gets rejected from the 64.60 ceiling, it’s likely to drop back down to the 64.22 support level.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. Yesterday we saw a downward correction that extended to the 1.00 level. If you recall, I previously said I wouldn’t consider a trend reversal confirmed just from the 1.03 break — I’d wait for a break of the 1.00 support.
🔑 That’s why I didn’t close any of my positions at 1.03 and instead waited to see how the price would react at 1.00. As shown, the price reacted strongly at that level and quickly returned above 1.03.
✨ If the 1.05 level breaks, altcoins — just like Bitcoin — could begin a new bullish leg.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now let’s look at USDT dominance. Yesterday, it made a bullish move and broke above the 5.10 level, but the entire move turned out to be a fakeout, and the price dropped back below 5.10.
⭐ Currently, dominance is heading toward the 4.99 support. The main trigger for a bullish market shift is the break of this 4.99 level in Tether dominance. If this happens, altcoins will likely begin their bullish moves.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC - Is this rally sustainable and what to expect?In the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced an impressive surge in price, exploding from around 85k to over 94k, showing strong bullish momentum. This rapid movement has certainly caught the attention of many traders and investors. However, while the price action has broken through previous lower highs, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment, it's crucial to approach this rally with caution.
Although the recent price increase indicates that bullish momentum is in play, it's important not to overlook the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation. The market has shown volatility before, and while breaking the lower-high structure is a positive sign, it doesn’t necessarily guarantee sustained upward movement.
In this analysis, I will dive deeper into the current price action and what it means for BTC short-term outlook. We’ll explore the factors to watch in the coming days and the potential risks that could challenge the bullish trend.
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What will we discuss:
- Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
- Point of Control
- Stochastic RSI
- The deathcrosses
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Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
The golden pocket Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.65), measured from the highs to the lows on the higher timeframe, is located between 96,450 and 97,580. This area aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered a strong move down in BTC. The golden pocket often acts as a strong rejection zone, and bears are likely to try defending this level again. So be careful on how price will move into this level and how it reacts.
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Point of control (POC)
The Point of Control (POC) for the entire trading range from November to the present is located precisely at 96,450. This level is particularly significant as it aligns with multiple technical factors, creating a strong confluence zone. Not only does it coincide with a well-established resistance area that previously initiated a sharp move to the downside, but it also sits within the golden pocket Fibonacci.
The POC marks the price level where the highest volume of trading activity has occurred during this entire range, indicating a strong area of interest for both buyers and sellers. High-volume nodes like this often act as magnets for price and tend to offer either strong support or resistance depending on the context. In this case, with the POC positioned within a broader resistance zone, it becomes an even more formidable barrier.
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Stochastic RSI
The Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe is currently in the overbought zone, where it has remained for approximately 10 consecutive days. This prolonged stay in overbought territory suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening and the indicator is beginning to show signs of exhaustion.
Typically, when the Stochastic RSI hovers in this upper range for an extended period without a meaningful pullback, it signals that a reversal or at least a slowdown in the prevailing trend could be imminent. The oscillator appears to be running out of steam, and barring a sudden surge in buying pressure, it is likely to start curling downward in the coming days or within the next week.
This could imply a shortterm correction is luring.
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Deathcrosses this cycle
A deathcross is a bearish technical indicator (lagging) that occurs when a shorter-term (50-day MA) crosses below the longer-term (200-day MA).
Deathcross 1
At the time of the first death cross, the price of BTC had already formed a local low before the crossover occurred. Following the death cross, BTC experienced what is commonly referred to as a "death cross rally" — a counterintuitive move where price rallies shortly after the bearish signal.
This rally was significant, as it broke short-term market structure to the upside and eventually found support at the 50-day MA, the same level that previously acted as resistance. That support held, even during a brief rejection, and marked a key shift in momentum.
From there, BTC continued its upward move and eventually went on to make new highs, effectively invalidating the immediate bearish expectations typically associated with a death cross.
Deathcross 2
The second death cross in this cycle occurred after Bitcoin had already established a local low and began moving back upward toward the death cross. Initially, BTC struggled to break above the 50-day MA, but it eventually managed to push through.
However, this time, during the subsequent correction, Bitcoin was unable to hold the 50-day MA as support. Instead, it formed a higher low, indicating a shift in market dynamics and suggesting that the selling pressure may have been weakening. This higher low marks a crucial point in the price structure, as it hints at potential bullish momentum building, despite the earlier bearish signal from the death cross.
Deathcross 3
This time, the low was established right at the moment of the death cross, and BTC began to move upward immediately after the crossover occurred. After initially struggling to break above the 50-day MA, BTC surged higher and managed to surpass both the 50-day and 200-day MA.
Currently, BTC is facing strong resistance at these levels. The question now is whether BTC will correct and find support at the 50-day MA once again, as it did during the first instance, or if it is aiming to form a higher low, similar to the second occurrence.
In both scenarios, Bitcoin has historically experienced a pullback after a few days of upward movement, so a correction at this point would not be surprising.
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bit long Hello. In our previous analysis, we identified a support level for Bitcoin, which Bitcoin reached and reacted to, causing the market to rally (77,000 - 75,750). Today, I’m sharing my latest analysis with you. Currently, Bitcoin is battling resistance at 95,000. If this resistance is broken, the next resistance levels are 97,500, 100,000, and 106,500. Each time these levels are touched, Bitcoin could pull back to the previous supports. Ultimately, if 106,500 is broken, Bitcoin could move up to 125,000, followed by a correction and the support at 106,500 coming into play. If that support holds, prices could go higher than 125,000.