BTCUSDT📊 Bitcoin Weekly Analysis – Smart Money Concept (SMC)
On the 1W BTC/USDT chart, we are currently observing a corrective move after a strong bullish impulse. The price is approaching a high-probability demand zone formed between two significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
• 🔹 FVG 3M around $74,000
• 🔹 FVG M around $66,000
🟩 Long Setup Zone:
The area between these FVGs represents a discounted price zone where smart money is likely to step in. This is labeled as a “zone for long position” on the chart.
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🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
• The market is in a retracement phase, targeting inefficiencies (FVGs).
• If price taps into this zone and shows signs of bullish intent (e.g., weekly bullish engulfing, BOS/CHOCH on lower timeframes), we can expect a strong upward move.
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🎯 Mid-to-Long Term Target:
• Based on the current market structure and SMC model, the next major target is $130,000.
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🔐 Risk Management:
• Ideal entry: within the FVG zone
• Stop-loss: below the lower FVG (around $65,000)
• Confirmation: bullish price action on lower timeframes or weekly candle close with strong momentum
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📌 Conclusion:
This setup offers a potential high-reward opportunity if smart money reacts to this discounted zone. Patience and proper confirmation are key.
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BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSD TO 90K OR 65K EXPECTATIONS IN DETAILS........Firstly BTCUSD completed my last analysis expectations yesterday by completing 80k today we have the price making a strong rejections off the liquidity zone but am expecting to see price run out all liquidity to the buy side taking out the buyside liquidity to 90k thereby turning the chart to falling wedge pattern but if the market continue with this rejevtions off this zone we might visit 65k levels
BTCUSDT - The condition for the continuation of the upward trendToday I am here with another analysis. Thank God, so far, about 85% of the analyses I have presented on the Trading View platform have reached their goal, and I expect that with your support and introducing this page to your friends, I will be able to focus on newer analyses with more energy.
So let's move on to Bitcoin analysis.
Before this analysis, I had published several other analyses about Bitcoin, one of which is still open and I am waiting for it to reach its goal, which you can see on the right side of this article.
But this analysis is from another perspective on Bitcoin conditions.
Maybe my opinion is a further decline in price, but this market is a market of possibilities. It is possible that the impact of a piece of news will shock the market so much that the price can move strongly upwards. So, in the current economic conditions and Trump's presidency, everything is possible!
But technically, my view is still more decline, but what technical conditions make us say that Bitcoin will continue its upward trend and will no longer make a new high?
Everything is clearly marked on the chart. For Bitcoin to have a shift structure, it needs to break $94,416.46 on the higher timeframe, even with a shadow. Then we can think about buying with more certainty, but in this situation, I think it is risky to buy blindly and wait for the price to rise immediately.
If you are buying in spot (not futures) and you intend to buy in the medium to long term, I think buying steps can be very good even in this price range and lower. But if you are buying and selling in futures (which I do not recommend at all), you should look for a point with high probability.
My personal opinion and my view is more of a price drop, but this does not mean that the bull cycle is over because we have not yet seen signs of a bear market on higher timeframes such as weekly and monthly.
I hope you enjoyed this analysis
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BTC Bottomed out? Don't say i did not warned you. Bitcoin Bottom Analysis and Future Outlook
In my opinion, BTC has already formed its bottom. I believe this because the lows are fully protected, meaning no candle has closed below the previous low on the daily timeframe. This is a strong indication that we have established a bottom. Additionally, the 74-75K area was a very strong support zone from which we saw a significant reversal.
However, if someone wants extra confirmation, they can wait another one to two weeks for further price action. The RSI divergence is also showing that this is a strong area and could be a potential reversal point.
It’s important to remember that nothing in the market is 100% certain. No one can buy exactly at the bottom or sell exactly at the top. Traders need to be cautious and analyze the market based on their portfolio strategy and risk-to-reward ratio.
As for Bitcoin’s upcoming movement, I expect the market to remain sideways until the last week of April. After that, I anticipate an uptrend beginning in May. Let’s see how things unfold in the coming days.
Hope my previous precautions helped you to save your capital and you are now buying the discounted prices.
If you want to know about top utility projects comment down there I'll update you.
$BTC is at a critical pointThis is a follow-up to my previous warning about a potential CRYPTOCAP:BTC correction, published in December 2024:
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At this stage, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at a critical juncture. If we compare the current situation to previous corrections, we can observe that the RSI has reached a potential reversal zone, and price action is currently showing some resilience.
📍 The $81K level appears to be strongly defended by the bulls.
Two scenarios are now in play:
1️⃣ Bearish Continuation
If the MACD continues its downward move and the RSI drops below 30%, we could see this consolidation phase extending until July 2025. In this case, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may revisit the $72K zone.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal
If the MACD has already bottomed out, we could witness a bullish rally over the next 3–4 months. This would likely propel CRYPTOCAP:BTC to a new all-time high.
Unfortunately, the SPX500 correction adds a layer of uncertainty. Had the traditional markets not started to retrace, the odds of a solid bounce from current BTC levels would have been near 100%.
For now, everything depends on how strong and well-funded the bulls are—can they offset macro pressure and prevent CRYPTOCAP:BTC from sinking with the TradFi indices?
🚨 Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
BTCUSDT 4H | Rebound, Consolidation, Down or Up?Hello Everyone,
Greetings,
BTCUSDT 4H |
As we can see together, BTCUSDT is experiencing a rebound in the WEEKLY trendline resistance area & WEEKLY FVG.
If we observe further, we can also see the 200 Moving Average (MA) at the $84,000 area, and there’s also a Triple Bottom marked with a red circle.
So it can be assumed that the BTCUSDT market is likely to consolidate further while waiting for a strong Volume/Candle to either GO UP (target $99,000) or GO DOWN (target $73,800).
Remember, trading involves high risk, so please do your own research.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. take care my friend from this uptrend, I got only a sign from 1ht TF but the another I have a correction sign, So till it to break the white trendline and my confirmation to up will be after breaking 85K, but till now it maybe back to retest again 73.5k zone or lower
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!A downward trendline connecting the recent high points indicates bearish pressure.
A horizontal support level around 77,500 USDT shows where the price has struggled to drop.
Current Price:
As of your chart's timestamp, BTC is trading at approximately 79,883.75 USDT.
Potential Movement:
If the price can break above the descending trendline and stay above the support level, there could be potential upward momentum. The upward arrow suggests a bullish outlook.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Look for resistance at trendline breaks and the next significant levels above the current price (e.g., 82,500 USDT).
Support: The 77,500 USDT level is crucial; a drop below it could signal further downward movement.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC 3D Market BreakdownBitcoin is currently trading around $79,200 on the 3-day chart and is sitting just above the key 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from its most recent macro impulse. The chart shows a clear descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the ongoing downward pressure on price. Until this trendline is broken and retested from above, market structure remains bearish in the mid-term.
After a strong rally to $108K, BTC was rejected near the 0.25 Fibonacci level at $93K. Since then, it’s formed a series of lower highs, confirming that bulls are losing momentum. The 0.385 retracement level, which aligns with the $85K region, has now acted as resistance multiple times, indicating a strong ceiling unless volume and price action shift.
Price is now hovering above the 0.5 retracement area (~$78K–$79K). If this zone fails to hold, Bitcoin is likely headed toward the 0.618 Fib level near $73,747. This level also aligns with the previous all-time high from November 2021, adding to its historical importance. While some buyers may attempt to defend that level for a short-term bounce, the real macro demand lies lower.
The green zone around GETTEX:64K to $61K is the highest confluence support area. It matches both the 0.75 and 0.785 Fibonacci retracement levels, and overlaps with the major accumulation and breakout structure from Q4 of 2024. If BTC trades down into that region, it would present a much higher probability bounce zone and a potential macro higher low — if bulls can defend it.
Until Bitcoin flips the descending trendline and reclaims $85K with conviction, the market structure favors downside continuation. A reclaim of $85K would be a significant signal for bullish momentum to return, especially if it comes with a breakout retest of the trendline. For now, however, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with $69K and then GETTEX:64K –$61K as the next key support zones to watch.
In summary, Bitcoin remains in a corrective structure beneath its trendline. A move into $69K may offer a reaction, but the most meaningful support lies in the GETTEX:64K –$61K macro zone. Patience is key here, as buyers wait for either deeper value or a clear shift in trend.
BITCOIN - Short Trade Entry - Minor Wave ii Looks Complete...The video idea for this chart is linked below. The current thesis is that minor wave ii has recently completed, confirmed by a retest and rejection of the previous key level at 81,222. Additionally, a brief touch of the 0.618 retracement level supports this view, along with the overall wave structure, suggesting that wave ii is complete and we are now in the early stages of wave iii to the downside.
This third wave may start off slowly due to initial market uncertainty, but as sentiment clears, price action typically aligns with the dominant trend—which, in this case, is down.
While it may be a bit premature to lower the stop until we break below 75,786 (the start of Wave E), that level is quite far, and it may be more prudent to keep the stop at recent highs for now. Ultimately, your stop placement should reflect your comfort level with the wave count and risk tolerance.
If the analysis holds, the rejection at 81,222 becomes a logical stop-loss level for a fresh short position. The target remains unchanged at 61,000.
BITCOIN - Short Trade Idea Update - Wave ii Looks Complete...In this video, I break down what I woke up to this morning regarding the wave structure.
With wave ii appearing to be complete, I’m looking to add to my short position and adjust my stop level down to 81,223—creating another potential entry point for the short trade.
Recognizing and understanding these developing patterns is essential if you want to stay in the game.
btc local 1DPotentially interesting zones we have touched, if we dont renew the current low I would favor the bullish scenario on 1D timeframe to try and reach for the relative equal highs within the distribution range we have as long as we only wick through the marked imbalance. Probably retest of 50% of the daily 1D candle tail in the area of 76.5k or test of C.E. of the highlighted BISI and then some kind of bounceback to reach out for buyside is the scenario I favor
I just got filled for a long hereAs an alert I just got filled with a small limit order long and intend to add to it within this range with more frequency in the bottom half with (again) very small orders as I want to average down my entry price before we ideally pump up next if it works out that way. And if not (so in the case we gradually keep grinding down in price) I can continue to add longs until we get a bounce which may provide the opportunity to get out at break even or a small profit. But I am happy with the value of the areas I have focused on and not chasing pumps. Enjoy!
Bitcoin Signal for Short Lets Make Some Real GameThis is an educational trading setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), focusing on a short position opportunity between the $82,000 and $80,000 price levels. The analysis is based on technical indicators, price action strategies, and current market sentiment. Please note: this is not financial advice, strictly for learning purposes!
📉 Trade Concept:
Entry Zone: $82,000
Target Zone: $80,000
Setup Type: Short / Sell
Timeframe: Short-term / Intraday
Market Context: After an extended bullish rally, BTC/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance. High probability retracement expected towards the $80,000 support area.
🔍 Educational Insights:
Technical Indicators: Overbought RSI levels, bearish divergence, and candlestick reversal patterns around $82,000 zone.
Psychological Levels: $80,000 is a major psychological number where buyers may step in.
Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and proper risk-reward ratios in live trades.
💡 Purpose of Sharing:
This setup is shared purely for educational purposes to help traders understand how to spot potential short opportunities in volatile markets like Bitcoin. Learn how to analyze resistance zones, manage risk, and read price action effectively.
📢 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making financial decisions.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortTrade #BitcoinSignal #PriceAction #Educational #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoEducation #LearnTrading #RiskManagement
Bitcoin Cycle Rhythm: Same Downtrend, New Quadrant.Cycle Comparison – From Halving to Halving
We're seeing a striking similarity between the current downtrend and the one that followed the 2020 halving. The slope, structure, and emotional impact on price are almost identical. However — here's the key difference:
It's all about Quadrant Timing.
In the previous cycle, the sell-off happened during Quadrant 2 — traditionally the euphoric blow-off and start of distribution.
In this cycle, we’re seeing the same type of correction in late Quadrant 1, a phase typically associated with accumulation and early markup.
Before this correction began, Bitcoin rallied 120% from turning point 10 to turning point 1 — a textbook markup leg that aligns with early-cycle behavior.
Now, we've seen a retracement of approximately 32% from turning point 1 to 2, closely mirroring the structure seen in the prior cycle.
This suggests that while the pattern is repeating, the context has shifted — this drawdown could be a shakeout, not a cycle top.
If the 4-quadrant structure continues to play out, Quadrant 2 may still lie ahead, potentially setting the stage for a much stronger upside continuation.
Let me know what you think — is this setup still bullish in structure, or are we seeing the beginning of a deeper phase?
Bitcoin Holding Strong! Key Levels & Entry PointsWeekly Chart: BTC still holding above $78,000, maintaining the overall uptrend despite short-term breakdowns.
🔍 4-Hour Chart: Temporary breakdown below trend line, but volume is low—likely a shakeout before resuming upward.
📊 Two-Pole Oscillator: Showing strength in oversold territory—potential sign of a bounce.
💰 Entry Point: Current levels are likely as close to bottom as it can get, barring external factors like politics or tariffs.
🚨 Key Level to Watch: Weekly close above $78,000 will reinforce bullish trend.
⚠️ Remember to DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
BTC.... HOLD THE LINE!!!!BTC is still on a daily downtrend however every lower time frame structure can provide evidence of a reversal. Bitcoins price is at critical levels of support and as long it holds the line Class Bullish Divergence is all we need to get some follow-through. CHOCH is the evidence we need.
Full TA: Link in the BIO