Bitcoin’s Make-or-Break Moment: Eyes on $70KBitcoin price almost reached the $74k support area, which is critical for the bull run continuation.
This zone has acted as a strong resistance in the past, and a clean bounce from here could signal renewed strength and confidence in the market.
However, if this support fails to hold and BTC closes the weekly candle below the $70k level, it would likely mark the end of the current bull phase and signal the beginning of a distribution phase or even the early stages of a new bear market.
That doesn’t necessarily mean Bitcoin will crash straight to $50k — corrections are rarely that linear. But it would drastically reduce the chances of seeing new all-time highs in this cycle.
The next rally, if it happens, would probably be more muted and shorter-lived.
Hopefully BTC will manage to avoid this scenario and hold above the support area.
On the positive side, if BTC holds above $70k and we see strong demand stepping in, it could set the stage for a healthy bounce and continuation of the uptrend.
Still I expect that BTC will test 70k level and if we see strong buying pressure on that level we can expect some recovery.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC – Long range high retestFinally broke down from our third value, this one being a lot shorter and being more in line with continued downtrend.
HOWEVER, these price are levels that I've been eyeing for weeks if not months, and with global stocks being in meltdown I see mostly a lot of panic and reason to start nibbling some longs. Buy the blood, right?
First attempt will be around 74k. It was the first range high after breaking up in 2024, finally filling the imbalance and retesting value from above. Hope I can get filled on another push down, otherwise I'll look for ltf entry to chase it.
Since it's a downtrend, defining my risk at the first HVN in the 2024 range. I want to give it a bit of room, but might have to cut manually if we keep on grinding down. A fast wick would be okay.
If we accept back below 70k VAH (multiple daily closes or downtrending ltf price action), there is a possible rotation to 60k VAL.
Like I said, longing here is still countertrend, but prices feel attractive again for the first time in a while. Finding a balance between that is hard, but I'll take a shot here.
Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, US President Donald Trump announced the amount of trade duties on imported goods. Bitcoin was restrained from falling in the $83,600–$82,500 zone, but the selling pressure turned out to be stronger, and we updated the local minimum.
At the moment, we’ve dropped to the buy zone of $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies pushing volumes). Volumes have been increased, and most liquidations are priced at $75,200.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We expect a rebound from the current buyer's zone. The reversal formation hasn’t been formed yet, so long positions are only possible on the spot asset. For margin trading, it’s necessary to wait for additional confirmation.
A more negative scenario is a decrease to the next zone of accumulated volumes of $69,000-$60,600. The probability of such a decline without a proper rebound is very low.
Sell Zones:
$82,000–$83,900 (high-volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer's market aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
We’re following these macroeconomic developments:
• Wednesday, April 9, 2:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision;
Wednesday, April 9, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC minutes;
• Thursday, April 10, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for March, as well as in comparison with March 2024, and the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, April 11, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for February and German consumer price index for March;
• Friday, April 11, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the US producer price index for March.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin - Bearsih DivergenceIf this hourly candle closes as it’s shaping up right now, we’re about to see a clear bearish divergence on CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) on Bitcoin.
This means while the price is pushing higher, buying pressure (actual aggressive buyers) isn’t supporting the move—a classic sign that the move may not be sustainable.
What This Means for Us:
• Bearish divergence = early warning that smart money might already be offloading.
• If we combine this with a breakdown on lower time frames, this becomes a textbook short setup.
• Always remember: we don’t act on divergences alone, but they’re a powerful signal when paired with structure.
Stay patient. Wait for confirmation.
Let the amateurs long blindly—we’ll wait for the trap to spring and strike with precision.
Bitcoin (BTC): We Reaching Our Target Zone | $70-73K Bitcoin is doing some crazy moves, liquidating a lot of people from markets. We've been hunting the $70-73K zone since being in the $105K area and now we are reaching our targeted zone where we initially wanted to start buying BUT we might not.
With the current economical situation and overall markets, we are seeing that this dip might not be the last one. Sure, this is one good place to start DCA-ing the positions but overall we need to watch and monitor how traders will act near that $70-73K area so eyes wide open this week!!
Swallow Academy
BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) Update – April 7, 2025BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) Update – April 7, 2025
Bitcoin (BTC) has been exhibiting a consistent pattern of sharp declines during weekends, which is a strong indication of bearish sentiment dominating the market. This recurring weekend sell-off reflects the uncertainty and cautious behavior among investors, especially in low-volume trading hours. As a result, the short-term outlook appears to be leaning toward further downside movement unless sentiment shifts significantly.
At present, BTC seems to be heading toward the critical $70,000 to $71,000 support range. This zone will be crucial in determining the next major move. If the price can find strong buying interest in this area, we could see a temporary bottom forming, potentially leading to a short-term reversal. A successful bounce from this support could push the price back up toward the $90,000 resistance level, continuing the larger bullish macro trend.
However, if bears manage to break through the $70,000 support decisively, the next major support level lies in the $64,000 to $65,000 range. This zone is particularly significant because it aligns with the previous all-time highs from the 2020-2021 bull market. Historically, these levels tend to act as strong support when revisited after a breakout. A consolidation or bounce from here could still keep the macro bullish structure intact and pave the way for another leg higher toward the $90,000 zone.
On the flip side, in the event of a broader market crash or extreme capitulation, Bitcoin could fall further to test the $50,000 to $53,000 range. This level corresponds closely with the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a long-term trend indicator that has historically provided solid support during deep corrections in Bitcoin's price cycle.
BTC is currently at a critical juncture. The $70K-$71K area must hold to maintain short-term bullish hopes. Failure to do so would likely drag the price to the GETTEX:64K - FWB:65K region. A deeper correction toward the $50K-$53K range remains a possible scenario in case of a significant market downturn. As always, traders should remain cautious and monitor these key levels closely.
#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #BTC #trading #crypto #forextrading #forex #technicalanalysis #stockmarket #gold #XAUUSD
BTCUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $82173.4
Take Profit; $86027.4
Stop Loss; $80926.7
What’s the Most Valuable Token in the Crypto World?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts,✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Regarding the movement of the Bitcoin market, I'll briefly mention that the price is currently near a very strong monthly support, which I’ve marked on the chart for you. I believe now is not the time to break this support, and the price will likely retest it. I foresee at least a 10% increase from here, with a short-term target of $83,000. 📈
Now, let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
What’s the Most Valuable Token in the Crypto World?
If we were to simplify things, one could argue that the most important token in the world of crypto is... the Gold Token.
Yes — a digital representation of gold itself. 🪙✨
Why Gold, and Why Now?
With the return of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States, global markets are likely to face renewed uncertainty and directional shifts. Historically, political shake-ups like this have had a profound effect on financial systems, commodity prices, and investor sentiment.
In times of unpredictability, gold has always been a safe haven. It's trusted, time-tested, and globally valued. That’s why it makes sense for investors to allocate a portion of their capital to gold — especially now.
But what if you didn’t have to deal with storing physical gold? What if you could hold it digitally, within the same crypto ecosystem you’re already familiar with? That’s where gold-backed tokens come into play.
What Are Gold Tokens? 🌐
Gold tokens are digital assets built on blockchain networks (typically Ethereum) and backed by real, physical gold held in secure vaults. These tokens offer a modern bridge between traditional wealth preservation and decentralized finance.
They’re designed to let users enjoy the benefits of gold investment — without the inconvenience of owning, storing, or securing physical bars.
Key Features of Gold-Backed Tokens:
🔹 Real Asset Backing: Each token typically represents a fixed amount of gold (like 1 gram or 1 troy ounce).
🔹 Transparency & Security: Since they're built on blockchain, transactions are traceable, secure, and publicly verifiable.
🔹 Redeemability: Some platforms allow users to exchange their tokens for physical gold if identity verification conditions are met.
🔹 Liquidity: Unlike physical gold, these tokens can be traded instantly on major crypto exchanges.
🔹 Divisibility: You can own fractions of an ounce — making gold more accessible than ever.
Leading Gold Tokens to Know About:
Here are three of the most recognized gold-backed tokens in the crypto market:
PAX Gold (PAXG) : 1 token = 1 ounce of London Good Delivery gold
Tether Gold (XAUT) : Issued by the same company behind USDT, backed by Swiss vault gold
AurusGOLD (AWG) : A decentralized token fully backed by gold, built on Ethereum
Let’s focus on the two most dominant players: PAXG and XAUT.
1. PAX Gold (PAXG) 🏛
Issuer: Paxos Trust Company, regulated by the New York Department of Financial Services
Backing: Each token equals 1 troy ounce (≈31.1g) of high-purity gold stored in secure London vaults
✅ Users can redeem for physical gold
✅ Supports micro-investments — ideal for beginners
✅ Full transparency: Regular audits and proof of reserves
✅ Traded on top-tier exchanges like Binance, Kraken, and Coinbase
Why people trust PAXG:
Its regulatory status and institutional backing make it one of the most secure ways to gain gold exposure in the crypto world.
2. Tether Gold (XAUT) 🇨🇭
Issuer: Tether, the company behind the widely used USDT stablecoin
Backing: 1 token equals 1 ounce of physical gold held in Swiss vaults
🔐 Focuses heavily on privacy and robust asset protection
🔁 Tokens are redeemable for physical gold by verified users
📉 Less transparent than PAXG in terms of regulation and audit trails
💹 Listed on popular platforms like Bitfinex
Worth noting:
Despite Tether’s past controversies around asset disclosures, XAUT remains popular due to its ease of use and the strong brand behind it.
Which One Should You Choose?
If regulation and transparency matter most to you, PAXG may be the better fit. It’s trusted by institutions, backed by U.S. regulators, and offers detailed audits of gold reserves.
If you value brand recognition and a more flexible approach, XAUT offers a credible alternative — just be aware of the differences in oversight.
Final Thoughts 💼🪙
Gold-backed tokens combine the timeless value of gold with the flexibility and innovation of blockchain. They're an excellent way to hedge against economic uncertainty without stepping outside the crypto ecosystem.
If you’re building a diversified portfolio, allocating a portion of your investment to digital gold could be a smart move — both for stability and long-term value.
Let your crypto holdings shine with a touch of gold. 🌟
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Gold-backed tokens, like PAXG and XAUT, let you invest in gold digitally without the hassle of storing physical gold. They’re built on blockchain, offering transparency, security, and easy trading. PAXG is more regulated, making it ideal for cautious investors, while XAUT offers privacy and is backed by Tether, a big name in crypto. These tokens represent real gold and can be redeemed for it. If you're looking to diversify and hedge against economic uncertainty, they’re a solid option in your portfolio.
Give me some energy !!
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Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋