BTC bearish ideaBitcoin has been moving inside a downward channel and despite multiple attempts to break above, it still remained inside this channel, I believe this trend continues.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC - SetupWe narrowly missed triggering our short entry at $106K.
If you’re still looking for long entries — this could be your chance.
Now is likely a good time to go long on MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , potentially targeting the ATH region and beyond, But we don’t have clear target regions yet — they will develop over time.
Bitcoin – Entering a distribution phase after a bull trap?Since the second week of May, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a textbook accumulation phase, with a well-defined trading range forming just below the previous all-time high. Beginning around May 12, price action became increasingly compressed, marked by a series of higher lows and relatively flat resistance, indicating growing demand and waning selling pressure. This consolidation structure persisted for more than a week, suggesting that larger players were accumulating positions in anticipation of a breakout. Now it could be making the Power of 3. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution.
Accumulation, manipulation and distribution
Eventually, this coiled energy resolved to the upside. BTC broke through the upper boundary of the accumulation zone with increasing volume and momentum, triggering a sharp rally and leading to the formation of a new all-time high. At that point, market sentiment turned decidedly bullish, with breakout traders entering the market, expecting continuation. However, the price failed to sustain above the previous ATH for long. Despite the breakout’s initial strength, Bitcoin was unable to establish a solid foothold above the critical psychological and technical level, which has now proven to be a key inflection point.
Soon after setting a new high, BTC began to reverse, shedding gains and retracing back below the former resistance level, which had temporarily acted as support. The breakdown below the $106,000 mark, previously the ceiling of the accumulation range, signaled a notable shift in market structure. What was initially viewed as a healthy continuation pattern evolved into what now appears to be a classic bull trap. This type of failed breakout often leaves market participants vulnerable, as late buyers are caught in drawdowns and early longs may be incentivized to exit positions.
Given this context, the recent price action carries the hallmarks of a Power of 3, where market makers and institutions may be offloading positions to less informed participants. This phase is often mistaken for continued accumulation by retail traders due to its structural similarity; however, the key difference lies in the failure to maintain new highs and the emergence of lower highs on any attempted bounce. The rejection above the ATH and the subsequent breakdown below $106K has introduced significant overhead supply, which may act as resistance in the near term.
Target levels
As BTC continues to trade below this critical level, the likelihood of a further retracement grows. The market appears to be transitioning into a phase of redistribution or distribution proper, where price is likely to be capped on rallies and pressured lower over time. It is reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could revisit $100.000 to mid-$90,000s, an area that may serve as a magnet for liquidity and a potential staging ground for the next major move. This region could represent a "Last Point of Supply" (LPSY) within the Wyckoff framework, typically the final area where smart money distributes before initiating a more decisive markdown phase.
Nevertheless, this potential pullback should not be viewed solely as a sign of weakness. In many bull cycles, such corrections and shakeouts serve to flush out over-leveraged positions and reset sentiment, ultimately laying the groundwork for renewed upward momentum. Should BTC find stability and demand re-emerge in the $95K–$100K range, it could mark the beginning of a new re-accumulation phase, leading to a healthier and more sustainable advance.
Conclusion
In summary, the recent breakout above ATH followed by a sharp reversal and loss of key support paints a cautionary picture in the short term. Bitcoin may currently be navigating a distribution zone, with downside pressure likely to persist as the market digests recent gains. However, such corrections are typical in broader uptrends and often present opportunities for strategic entries once the next accumulation structure becomes clear. Patience and disciplined observation will be essential as the market defines its next directional bias.
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BITCOINBitcoin is approaching a critical confluence zone near $100,000, where two major supports intersect:
– A horizontal support around $100,000 (previous top-turned-support)
– A rising trendline drawn from the 2023 rally, currently aligning near $98,000 – $99,000
This zone is technically significant. A bounce from here could send BTC back toward the $129,000 resistance level
However, a daily candle close below this confluence (especially under $98,000) may trigger a deeper correction toward $90,000 or even $81,000
Watch price action closely—this region is not just support; it's a trend-defining battleground
BTC falling ... thanks orange swanBTC dumping through the volume gap. Oversold conditions will give you the best opportunities.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
"Caught the Dip – Next Stop: Resistance Zone 1. Current Price Action:
The asset has bounced off the demand zone around 101,500 – 102,000 USDT.
It is now trading at 102,204.56 USDT, indicating early signs of the expected bullish move.
A white curved arrow suggests a rounded bottom pattern, often signaling a bullish reversal.
2. Demand Zone (Support):
Remains the same as the previous chart: 101,500 – 102,500 USDT.
Price reacted exactly at this zone and is starting to move upward.
3. Supply Zone (Target Area):
Clearly marked at 104,800 – 105,500 USDT.
This is where the expected bullish move could face resistance or where traders might look to take profit (TP).
4. Visual Reinforcement:
The large blue arrow indicates strong bullish momentum is anticipated.
The meme (Leonardo DiCaprio pointing) emphasizes that the reversal is happening as previously predicted — likely for motivational or engagement purposes in a VIP group.
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🧠 Technical Sentiment:
Bullish Bias confirmed: Price bounced exactly from the demand zone.
Momentum Shift is underway, as indicated by the reversal pattern.
A potential "Buy Confirmation" is in play with room to ride up to the 105K resistance zone.
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🎯 VIP Trade Setup Recap:
Parameter Value
Entry Zone 101,500 – 102,000 USDT
Current Price 102,204.56 USDT
Target (TP) 105,000 – 105,500 USDT
Stop Loss (SL) Below 101,000 USDT
Bias Bullish / Reversal
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📌 Suggested Title:
"Reversal In Motion – Ride to 105K 🎯🚀"
BTC PATo me it seems that the BTC chart is printing a traditional head and shoulders pattern, which would indicate probable lows at least in the short term.
Btc 99,999 Waiting/looking for a correction in june after a breakout, 99,7 or it could get nasty. Will watch for a break back above 99,7 to target 112k
BTC/USDTThe only re-entry I would consider as great in terms of risk reward is the region of 99-100k if market allows to visit. Orders are placed accordingly. In the meantime holding all positions since 77k re-entry.
#BTC/USDT: Head & Shoulders Breakdown – $95K Incoming?Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin just broke below the neckline of a clear Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4H timeframe — a classic bearish signal.
As long as price stays below the neckline and fails to reclaim the $106.5K zone, we could be heading for a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support range.
Key Levels:
Breakdown Zone: ~$103.9K
Downside Target: $95K–$98K
Invalidation: Reclaim above $106.5K
Market is showing consistent weakness — small bounces are quickly sold off.
Let the pattern play out and manage your risk accordingly.
What do you think — short-term dip or deeper breakdown loading?
BTC USDTBitcoin is testing key support around $103K. A breakdown below this zone could open the door to sub-$100K levels. Watch closely!
Elliot Waves on the daily timeframeWave 5 should wrap up by tomorrow, and BTC should be set to hit new highs.
Market next move 🔍 Original Interpretation:
Support Zone: The red rectangle suggests a support level between ~102,800 and ~103,300.
Bullish Bias: The blue arrow anticipates a bounce from this zone, potentially forming a higher low before continuing upward.
Bearish Bias: The red arrow marks a potential resistance, predicting rejection and a move lower if the bullish breakout fails.
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⚠️ Disruptive Analysis:
1. False Support Breakout Risk:
A false breakdown beneath the support zone could trigger panic selling before a rapid recovery (fakeout).
Traders might place stop-losses just below the box — a perfect target for market makers before price reverses.
2. Volume Deception:
Volume increased during the sell-off but did not show strong absorption by buyers (green volume wasn't dominant).
This suggests sellers still dominate and a continuation lower could occur before any bounce.
3. Lower Highs Formation:
The last few green candles failed to break the previous highs, indicating weaker buying strength.
Price may form a lower high, hinting at a short-term bearish trend.
4. Macro Trend Consideration:
If this is just a retracement within a larger downtrend, the bounce could be short-lived.
Broader market sentiment or macro news could push BTC toward 100,000 support or lower.
"A volatile pattern of seesawing between bulls and bears"The recent inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed down, but institutions such as Standard Chartered still remain bullish on the long-term trend, with price targets potentially raised above $120,000. Meanwhile, institutions like Japanese listed company Metaplanet continue to increase their holdings of Bitcoin, demonstrating institutional recognition of Bitcoin's long-term value. However, it is worth noting that large wallets and old wallets showed synchronized selling in May, indicating some profit-taking pressure in the market. From the perspective of market sentiment indicators, the current market sentiment is rather complex, with both bulls and bears seeking direction and no strong unilateral tendency.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
