BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis – Bullish Momentum ContinuesBitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined ascending green channel that started in early 2023. After a healthy consolidation near the midline of the channel, the price broke out of a wedge pattern, confirming renewed bullish momentum.
As long as BTC remains inside this channel and above key support levels, the trend remains bullish. Based on Fibonacci extension levels, the upcoming targets are:
$130,000 (1.618 extension)
$171,000 (2.618 extension)
$226,000 (3.618 extension)
If Bitcoin breaks above the previous all-time high of $109,588, we could see a strong rally toward the $130K–$170K zone by Fall 2025.
Bearish scenario: A confirmed breakdown below the midline and $95K support could lead to a deeper correction.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
$BTC, Bitcoin update: what is going on?🚨 Bitcoin Update: We've just seen a decent correction on CRYPTOCAP:BTC followed by a strong pump.
I’ve warned about this already — this pump is not organic. It's largely driven by institutions and Michael Saylor, using leverage.
📉 A healthy price movement should look like a staircase: move up, consolidate, reset the daily MACD, then push higher again.
Each rally should be followed by a slight pullback — that’s how sustainable trends are built.
❌ But this natural cycle is being disrupted.
Saylor and ETFs keep buying the top to prevent corrections. Some laugh and call it incompetence, but I believe it’s strategic.
These players don’t care about making money on trades.
Their goal is to inflate the value of their companies (or stock value), which are now heavily tied to Bitcoin’s price.
That’s why they don’t want BTC to consolidate.
Every time there's weakness, they step in to buy, preventing any pullback and forcing the price through resistances and fair value gaps.
🤖 The problem? Bots — which represent +80%+ of the trading volume — are not wired this way.
They sell when BTC is overbought and buy when it's oversold.
But with institutions disrupting this cycle, exchanges end up selling BTC, and whales scoop it up — leading to lower supply on exchanges.
Exchanges then have to buy BTC back at higher prices, sometimes even at a loss — often by printing billions in Tether (USDT) to compensate.
🎈 This entire mechanism is inflating Bitcoin’s price, exactly what Bitcoin maximalists want.
But it also kills the chance for an altseason, which usually comes after Bitcoin tops out.
📊 So what’s next?
Ideally, we get a consolidation to around $91K to avoid a major bearish divergence.
If BTC breaks below $90K, we could see GETTEX:82K — but given current conditions, that’s unlikely.
On the chart, RSI is high on daioly, Williams indicator is turning bearish and MACD too. These are all signs of a most needed consolidation. But as I explained, this is cancelled at the moment.
💰 Can institutions push BTC to a new all-time high?
Yes — they basically have unlimited capital and the money printer will turn back on by September.
But once again, altseason is postponed.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #MichaelSaylor #ETF #BTCAnalysis #Altseason #CryptoPump #MarketManipulation #BTCUpdate #Tether #CryptoWhales #DailyMACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInsights #Web3
BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500.
The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel.
95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K.
Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475
Support levels: 95,500, 92,000
All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Still Stuck in Resistance – Eyes on CME Gaps & USDT.D%Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $92,830(first target) and started to rise as I expected in the previous idea . Overall, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for about 12 days .
Note : In general, trading in a range market is more difficult than in a trending market . If your performance in a range market is not good, it is better not to trade until the trend is clear (this is just a suggestion).
Bitcoin is currently trading at a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and has failed to break through it, and it seems like Bitcoin needs more momentum to break through this zone. Do you think Bitcoin will finally break through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500)?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin has completed a five-wave impulsive and we should expect Corrective waves .
The analytical conditions of the Bitcoin chart have been a bit ambiguous in the past few days, so it's better to take a look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart to increase the accuracy of Bitcoin analysis .
USDT.D% failed to break the Support zone(5.13%-4.95%) after several attacks. It currently appears to be forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It appears that USDT.D% needs to complete this pattern to break the support zone, and if this pattern fails , we should expect further increases =Bitcoin crash .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to the Support zone($92,910-$91,414) , 21_SMA(Weekly) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,359-$92,296) and probably fill the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) this time and then start to rise and prepare to break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and fill the CME Gap($97,680-$96,455) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,989-$97,924
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($92,910-$91,414), we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Will Bitcoin Break This Resistance – Or Is It a Bull Trap?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level, and the crypto world is split.
Some believe we’re gearing up for a new all-time high (ATH), while others argue the top is already in—and this could be a classic bull trap in disguise.
The key lies in how price reacts to this zone.
• A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up.
• But a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles.
My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move.
What’s your take—breakout or bull trap?
Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin short term Selling Opportunity Bitcoin could reverse from 103k to 109k level. Possible target could be 75k in 3-4 months . Those who do pyramiding after confirmation be get benefit of rally .109k is strong supply zone where seller will get aggresive and pull Price Down.
Disclaimer - Educational Purpose only
Be Caution, BTC Playing Below The Crucial Resistance🙏 First of all, sorry for not posting much recently. I’ve been closely following the market, but we’ve been stuck in a range — and as you know, analyzing complex ranges can be tricky. Anyway , let’s Start a New Update
📥 From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to have completed a 5-wave move from wave B of the main ABC corrective structure. Currently, the price is trading below a key trendline and the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). In my view, the probability of a rejection from this level is quite high.
📉 If a rejection occurs, the next major target I’m watching is the 96k level
👉 Totally still it’s better to stay away from the market, most of the alts haven’t even reached their march pivots, so don’t fomo and let’s see what will happen at this crucial 105k resistance
MACD: More Than Just a Crossover ToolHello, traders! 🔥
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is one of the most trusted tools in technical analysis — but often one of the most oversimplified. While many traders focus on signal line crossovers, the real power of MACD lies in its ability to visualize market momentum, subtle shifts in trend strength, and early signs of potential reversals.
Let’s unpack how MACD behaves using the weekly BTC/USDT chart ✍🏻.
🔧 Understanding the Mechanics
At its core, MACD is the difference between two exponential moving averages — typically the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA. The result is the MACD line (blue). The orange line represents a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the MACD line, commonly referred to as the signal line. The histogram reflects the distance between them, helping to visualize when momentum is building or fading.
📊 MACD in Action — Weekly BTC Chart Breakdown
Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart, several notable MACD behaviors stand out:
1. The Bullish Acceleration in Early 2023
In early 2023, MACD crossed above the signal line, accompanied by a sharp rise in the histogram. This indicated strong positive momentum, as the price began recovering from the 2022 lows. The histogram’s expansion confirmed increasing divergence between the short- and long-term EMAs — a classic sign of trend acceleration.
2. Peak Momentum in Late 2023
Around late 2023, the MACD line peaked while the histogram also reached maximum height. This wasn’t just a confirmation of strength — it also hinted that momentum may have reached a climax. Despite price continuing to rise slightly, the MACD curve started to flatten — an early warning of potential exhaustion in trend strength.
3. Bearish Convergence into Q1 2025
In early 2025, the MACD line turned downward and eventually crossed below the signal line, while the histogram flipped to red. This reflected a cooldown in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. What’s notable is how price didn’t collapse sharply, but moved into a pullback phase — illustrating how MACD can show momentum softening before price visibly reacts.
📌 What This Can Tells Us
The MACD indicator on this weekly BTC chart shows how momentum often shifts before the trend itself breaks. Each crossover, divergence, or histogram change is not a guarantee, but a cue to pay closer attention.
Key takeaways:
Strong Histogram Expansion = Confidence in the Current Move.
Peaks in MACD Without Price Making New Highs = Potential Divergence.
Shrinking Histogram + Converging Lines = Momentum Stalling.
🧠 Final Thought
MACD isn’t just about “buy when it crosses” or “sell on red bars.” It’s a narrative tool, showing how the story of the price develops beneath the surface. On higher timeframes, such as the weekly chart, it can potentially highlight macro momentum shifts long before they become apparent in price action alone.
BTC, Do you recognize any similarities or differences?the purple trend line is one of the powerful vibrational trend , been a mighty resistance for the past year
So, Do you recognize the similarities
double top .....then
Break .....then
Retest
and Do you recognize any differences ???
yea I can see only one
the retest this time is a kind of Hard retest
what that means .....
it means if the price managed to break this awful trend ....
we gonna see
120 K
144 K
very easily
follow for more tips
and let's Boost this one 😉
Hanzo : BTC 15m: Bullish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap DoneBias: Bullish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Post-Liquidity Grab Confirmation
Key Reasons for Entry:
Liquidity sweep below local support triggered retail stop-losses (classic trap).
Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
Target: Next 15M supply zone or recent structural high
Risk-to-Reward: Minimum 1:3
Status: Waiting for confirmation / Entry triggered
Will Bitcoin Break This Resistance ?BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level, and the crypto world is split.
Some believe we’re gearing up for a new all-time high (ATH), while others argue the top is already in—and this could be a classic bull trap in disguise.
The key lies in how price reacts to this zone.
• A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up.
• But a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles.
My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move.
What’s your take—breakout or bull trap?
BTC Overextended: Awaiting the Perfect Pullback for a BuYBTC/USDT Analysis – 1D Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently looking overextended on the daily chart 📈, with price action pushing directly into a well-defined key resistance level 🚧. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, and with momentum appearing stretched, I’m anticipating a potential retracement in the near term.
My plan is to wait for BTC to pull back towards previous support zones Around the 61.8 Fibo level🛡️. I have a clear Point of Interest (POI) marked out, where I’ll be watching for price to react. If we see a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) on the pullback—I’ll be looking for a long entry from this area 🎯.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Current daily highs (where price is overextended) 🚩
Support/POI: Previous consolidation and demand zones below, which have shown strong buying interest in the past 🏦
Trade Plan:
- No FOMO entries at resistance! ❌
- Wait for a clean retrace into my POI
- Look for bullish confirmation (BOS) on lower timeframes before entering long ✅
- Manage risk accordingly and trail stops if the move plays out
Summary:
Patience is key here. I’m not interested in chasing price into resistance. Instead, I’ll let the market come to me and only act if my criteria are met. If BTC gives us the pullback and a bullish BoS, I’ll be ready to take the trade. Until then, I’m on the sidelines and monitoring price action closely 👀.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. 🚨
BTC at Crucial Retest Zone — Bearish Setup in Play!Price Action Alert on #BTC/USDT (4H Timeframe)
#Bitcoin recently broke down from a rising wedge, a classically bearish pattern. Alongside this, we've also identified a bearish RSI divergence, further validating potential downside momentum.
Key Observations:
🔺 Rising wedge breakdown confirmed
📉 Bearish divergence on RSI (4H)
🔁 Price is now retesting the broken wedge from below (a classic bear signal!)
⛔️ Still holding above a key horizontal support — watching for a clean break here for confirmation
📌 Bearish Trade Setup (Waiting for Confirmation):
Entry: Below key support zone (marked on chart)
Target 1: $84,300
Target 2: $75,000
Stop-loss: Above wedge breakout point (100,500)
💼 Always follow proper risk management!
🧠 Why This Matters:
The combination of pattern breakdown, bearish divergence, and a retest zone is a powerful signal — but patience is key. We wait for full confirmation (support break) before executing any short trade.
📣 What do you think — will #BTC break the support or bounce back? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🗣️
If you found this analysis helpful, like, comment, and follow for more real-time setups! 🚀
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #Bearish #ShortSetup #RisingWedge #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TradingView
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe advancement of the Bitcoin Reserve Bill in many US states, such as Arizona's plan to allocate 10% of state assets to BTC, combined with the discussion on the regulatory framework at the White House Crypto Summit, may make policy clarity a catalyst for future market conditions. The market is watching this week's FOMC decision. If the rate - cut expectation heats up, it may promote the recovery of Bitcoin liquidity.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
buy@93500-94000
TP:95500-96000
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is currently testing a major resistance zone between $98,000 and $100,000, which also aligns with the 0.707 Fibonacci retracement. This area has previously acted as a strong supply zone, raising the possibility of a short-term rejection.
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks and closes above $100,000, we could see a strong continuation toward $106,000 → $112,000, driven by momentum and possible FOMO.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback Before Continuation:
If Bitcoin gets rejected at resistance, a retest of the lower support zone (previous demand area) may follow.
A successful bounce from that support could reignite bullish momentum in the medium term.
Trading Strategy:
Wait for a confirmed breakout and candle close above $100K for a high-conviction long entry.
Alternatively, look for buy setups on a pullback toward the support zone for a better risk-reward entry.
How are you planning to trade this setup? Breakout or dip-buy? Share your strategy below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Whether it can be supported and rise at 102429.56 is the key
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, I think that for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance must be maintained below 55.01 or continue to decline.
If USDT dominance falls and BTC dominance rises, most altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
In other words, it is highly likely that only BTC will continue to rise.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Based on the current position, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If not, it is likely to fall to around the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
If the uptrend continues, the point to watch is whether it can renew the new high (ATH) this time.
-
(1W chart)
It is rising after touching the 73499.86 area.
It is showing a large increase as it breaks through the HA-High indicator point of 97226.92 on the 1W chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator is expected to enter the overbought zone, it is highly likely that the future rise will be limited.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the left Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If it falls, you should check whether it is supported near 97226.92.
If it falls below 97226.92, you should check whether it is supported in the 1st and 2nd sections marked on the chart.
You should check where the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed when the next candle is created.
The StochRSI 80 indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 102429.56 point.
Therefore, we need to check whether the StochRSI 80 indicator point on the 1W chart is formed around the 102429.56 point.
-
(1D chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart is located below the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a buying point.
With this rise, the StochRSI indicator is expected to rise above the midpoint.
If the StochRSI indicator is located above the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a selling point.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) as we pass through the next volatility period around May 19.
-
Among the interpretation methods of the OBV indicator, there is an interpretation method that there is a possibility of an increase or decrease when the previous high or low is broken.
This time, it showed an upward break through the upper line of the OBV and broke through the lower line of the previous OBV.
In other words, it showed an upward break through the A section.
If this upward break through the B section is continued, it is expected to renew the ATH.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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