BTCUSDT – Critical Price Zone | High Probability for Price DiscoBitcoin is currently trading in a critical price zone, showing strong momentum and bullish structure. If the current trend holds, there is a high probability for a price discovery move toward the $121,000 level.
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained move above current resistance which is 110k can trigger a breakout.
Targeting $121K as the next key upside level.
Invalidation Level / Stop Loss:
A daily close below $105K will invalidate the bullish structure.
This would likely lead to a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support area.
trade Setup Summary:
Entry Zone: green box
Target: $121,000
Stop Loss: Daily close below $105,000
if strong daily close below 105 k will have last chance to buy btc below 0.1 Million dollar
DYOR
BTCUSDT trade ideas
$BTC to $120K?Bitcoin is still moving strongly inside the ascending channel, respecting both support and midline zones.
After bouncing from the lower boundary and holding above key horizontal support at $104.8K, BTC is showing signs of strength again.
With the trend intact and momentum building, a breakout toward the $116k 120k supply zone looks likely in the coming days.
Bulls remain in control as long as price holds above the mid channel and key FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas.
Watch the channel closely for confirmation.
DYRO, NFA
26/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $111,965.73
Last weeks low: $101,994.78
Midpoint: $106,980.26
New BTC ATHs! Well done to those who capitalized on the move and continue to believe in this Bitcoin.
For the last two weekly outlooks I have talked about the pattern of consolidation for 1 week --> expansion the next. Last week We got our expansion week right on queue and this time around BTC made a new ATH hitting just shy of $112,000.
Should the pattern continue this week will be a week of consolidation/chop, however this week is different now that we're at ATH levels. My gut says a pullback is coming after such an aggressive move up with almost no pullbacks at all.
Should BTCs price drop below the Midpoint I think there will be a big struggle to continue this rally in the short term. Initially target would be weekly low and main HTF target would be $97,000 IMO. That would be a healthy pullback to continue the rally.
For the bulls you don't want momentum to stop in the short term, flipping $110,450 and weekly high would put BTC back into price discovery, once any asset is in price discovery it's very difficult to tell where the sell pressure will come from and so shorting becomes very risky.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis
Bitcoin has tested the overhead resistance and is currently retracing towards the $104k–$105k support area.
Moving Average (MA 25):
The price is slightly above the moving average, indicating that the medium-term trend is still bullish but faces resistance.
Pattern Formation:
There is a clear breakout from the inverted “V” pattern, and now the price appears to be retesting the breakout zone.
Scenario:
If BTC maintains support at ~$105k and bounces off again, a potential push towards $112k—$115k can be seen.
If the support fails, a deeper pullback towards $100k or below could occur.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
How to Use Fixed Range Volume Profile on TradingView
1️⃣ Why Fixed Range Volume Profile Matters
✅ It helps you spot real price structure where traders were active, not just where price passed through.
Useful for:
Identifying Supply & Demand zones
Understanding nstitutional activity (volume concentration = likely smart money involvement)
Analyzing range-bound markets
Confirming pullbacks or entries in trending setups
There are two different tools: one is called Volume Profile, and the other is Fixed Range Volume Profile. To learn more about them, check out the link below.
Volume Profile Indicators: basic concepts: www.tradingview.com
Fixed Range Volume Profile: www.tradingview.com
2️⃣ What is Volume in Trading?
Volume refers to the total number of units (e.g., shares, contracts, coins) traded during a specific time period. It measures the market's participation.
✔️ High Volume = strong interest and confirmation of price moves.
❌ Low Volume = weak conviction, indecision, or potential false moves.
Volume is calculated by counting all completed trades in a candle both buying and selling.
Learn more about volume here: www.tradingview.com
3️⃣ What is Fixed Range Volume Profile?
Fixed Range Volume Profile is a tool you can draw on your chart to check how much trading happened at different price levels, but only within the range you select. You pick the start and end point, and the tool shows volume activity just in that area.
It shows three main levels:
🔴 Point of Control (POC): the price where the most trading happened
🟢 Value Area High (VAH): the highest price in the area where most trades occurred (about 70% of total volume)
🔵 Value Area Low (VAL): the lowest price in that same area
These three levels show the price range where most trading took place also called the value area.
4️⃣ Why Fixed Range Volume Profile Matters
It helps you spot real price structure where traders were active, not just where price passed through.
Useful for:
Identifying Supply & Demand zones
Understanding institutional activity (volume concentration = likely smart money involvement)
Analyzing **range-bound markets
Confirming pullbacks or entries in trending setups
5️⃣ How to Use Fixed Range Volume Profile on TradingView
Steps:
1. First, look for a clear range on your chart. A range is a sideways movement where price is mostly moving back and forth instead of trending.
2. I like to use the 4-hour chart for this, but you can use any timeframe. Using candles with clearer shapes can help you see the range more easily.
3. Once you see a range, go to the left-hand toolbar and select the Fixed Range Volume Profile tool.
4. Click at the beginning of the range, then drag your mouse to the end of the range.
5. Let go of the mouse, and the volume profile will appear on that section of the chart.
Analyze:
POC: Price may often return to this level because it's where most trading happened
VAH: Price could have a harder time moving higher if it reaches this level may act like resistance
VAL: Price may find support around here — traders bought more in this area
1. Find the Range
2. Draw your Profile
3. You should treat your volume range like a basic support and resistance level. What you want to see is a flip between support and resistance.
4. If the price breaks above the volume profile and keeps going higher, you want it to come back and retest that same range this time acting as support.
5. Your entry should be near the support. Your stop-loss should be placed above the high of the breakout or a logical structure. Of course, setting a stop-loss always depends on more context, like the overall market structure and your risk management plan.
6️⃣ Practical Scenarios
✔️ Use it during sideways or quiet market phases (called consolidation) to see where most of the trading happened before the market moved
✔️ Try it on pullbacks in trending markets to check if price is returning to an area of high volume
✔️ Draw profiles on different price swings to spot areas where volume keeps showing up again and again
Example:
⚠️ Limitations
Fixed Range Volume Profile might not work well when:
The asset has very little trading volume (like new coins or very small stocks)
There’s a big news event causing unexpected volume spikes
The market is moving fast in one direction, and the volume zones don’t hold
⚠️ A couple of common mistakes traders make when using Fixed Range Volume Profile:
They apply it in trending markets. This tool works best in sideways or ranging markets, not when price is trending strongly up or down.
They include breakout volume. Breakouts often include forced liquidations or trapped traders this can create misleading spikes in volume.
7️⃣ Summary
Fixed Range Volume Profile helps you see where most trades happened in a specific part of the chart. It highlights price zones where traders were most active, which can help you understand possible support, resistance, or value areas.
✅ Good for:
Markets that are going sideways
Double-checking volume around key levels
Spotting price zones where support or resistance might appear
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Is the BTC Bull Tired ? A Healthy Pullback May Be on the Horizon🚨 Market Watch Update 🚨
Hey fam while the macro trend is still bullish overall, I'm noticing signs that this current uptrend might be running out of steam. There’s a good chance we’re nearing a breakdown from the rising channel, which could open the door for a healthy correction down toward that ~$90K area.
Last week’s breakout really shook things up a ton of short positions got liquidated, which helped push the price higher in the short term. Classic squeeze move. 👀
But here’s what I’m watching next
🔻 In the near term, I’m leaning slightly bearish. I wouldn’t be surprised if price pulls back into the $102K–$99K zone sometime this week. That range could offer a decent reset before the next major move.
🧠 Remember, when green candles start popping, retail FOMO tends to kick in hard — folks jump in late, thinking the rally will never end.
That’s exactly where market makers step in, taking profits and reloading at better levels. Don’t be the exit liquidity.
Stay patient. Stay sharp. And as always I’ll keep you posted with a deeper dive soon. 🎯
Bitcoin Chart Analysis – May 31, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Bitcoin’s Technical Rebound Potential Increases… Time to Consider a Short-Term Long Position
Recently, Bitcoin has continued its short-term downtrend amid remarks from former President Trump and global macroeconomic uncertainty. In particular, after falling to around $103,000, bearish sentiment has spread across the market. However, from a technical perspective, this zone appears to be one worth noting from a buying standpoint.
At present, this zone aligns with the completion of a classic Bat pattern, which suggests the potential for a rebound. This pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, is considered relatively reliable due to its clear Fibonacci-based structure. Furthermore, considering that the decline unfolded in an impulsive wave and has since undergone sufficient correction, this can be interpreted as an appropriate time to enter a long position with expectations of a rebound.
Technically, a strong support reaction has been confirmed near the 103K level, which overlaps with a historical support zone and the 1.414 Fibonacci extension. This confluence is significant as it may signal the end of the selling pressure and the start of a shift in market balance.
Long Position Strategy Suggestion
In the short to mid-term, the following target prices can be set, and a staggered take-profit strategy appears effective.
First target: 106,000 — A short-term resistance level overlapping with the previous day's high
Second target: 106,900 — A midpoint that could indicate a potential breakout from the downtrend line
Third target: 107,800 — An additional expansion target if the previous high is broken
Supplementary Analysis of Market Conditions
Currently, the weekend market has begun. Historically, trading volumes tend to drop during weekends, and the market often moves sideways. This implies a period of reduced volatility and potentially unclear direction. As a result, this weekend may see a slowdown in the downtrend and the development of a sideways consolidation or bottoming structure.
In this context, rather than interpreting the ongoing downtrend as a further short opportunity, it may be more advantageous to shift toward viewing this as a long-entry opportunity. If a rebound follows the current short-term correction, and both market sentiment and technical structure align, the upward movement could unfold rather quickly — making proactive positioning essential.
Accumulate waiting for the next new ATH, BTC 💎 Update Plan BTC (May 26)
Notable news about BTC:
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $109,000 as of Monday, staging a solid rebound after Friday’s sharp pullback. The recovery has been largely driven by renewed optimism following US President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone the implementation of a 50% tariff on European Union imports. This move helped calm market jitters and reignited investor appetite for risk assets, including digital currencies.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin also appears to be gaining momentum, with the latest data showing the strongest weekly inflows since late April—an encouraging sign that confidence in the asset remains resilient despite recent volatility.
Trump’s tariff delay spurs BTC bounce
In a post on his Truth Social platform, President Trump announced an extension of the EU tariff deadline to July 9, backing away from the previously scheduled June 1 hike. This announcement came just days after he criticized the lack of progress in negotiations with Brussels, which had rattled markets and led to a 3.9% drop in BTC on Friday. The policy reversal helped restore calm and provided a tailwind for Bitcoin’s upward move to start the week.
Technical analysis angle
The question that investors most interested now is when BTC will have 120k?
Congratulations to the investors. BTC goes on our analysis. Although the price is sideways, we still earn 3000 prices from this coin.
Note that the 113k region can be an important price area for adjustment before 120k and even higher
🔥BTC 4H is currently in the adjustment phase, this time will cause a lot of traders, Future - Margin to lose money, this rhythm will last long
At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
BTC breakout soon and return to ATH💎 Update Plan BTC (May 29)
Notable news about BTC:
The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, hovering near the $3.42 trillion level. Digital assets appear largely indifferent to the recent rally in equities, as gains in traditional markets are driven by corporate earnings and tariff-related developments rather than shifts in monetary policy or liquidity conditions. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is strengthening for a third consecutive session, adding further pressure.
Bitcoin (BTC) has pulled back from the upper end of its recent trading range near $110,000, settling closer to the $107,000 mark. This pause near previous highs has helped ease short-term market overheating. As institutional participation in Bitcoin deepens, its price behavior is increasingly mirroring that of traditional financial instruments like equities and commodities—marked by more tempered momentum and fewer fear-driven surges.
Technical analysis angle
It is still a 107k bumper area that brings profits to Buyer. But the worrying thing here is that the vertices of BTC are lower.
We will have two scenarios for BTC:
) First within the next 1 week, the organizers still go in this flag model and gradually narrow towards the top. If the price line follows this model, it will be negative for BTC and investors
) Secondly: BTC price will breakout area 109k, the target will go straight to 113k-115k and lower boundary if Breakout area 107k will return to 102k-100k
🔥BTC 4H is currently in the adjustment phase, this time will cause a lot of traders, Future - Margin to lose money, this rhythm will last long
At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
No breakout. Just engineered liquidity. Watch how I step in.This setup didn’t need noise. Just clarity.
We took sell-side liquidity below the FVG FF with precision, tapping into a 4H OB nested at a deeper 78.6% retracement. That’s where the mispricing ends. That’s where I step in.
Price didn’t reverse because of “oversold.” It reversed because Smart Money engineered the imbalance, swept stops, and delivered into a value zone. Nothing more. Nothing less.
The rejection from that 102,067 level formed the base. From there, I expect delivery up into the 104,953 handle — where the 0.618 confluence and the upper OB sit. That’s the decision point.
Above that, we’ve got unfinished business at 107,614. If price pierces through 106,955 — where the 0.5 lines up with a previous supply — expect the full expansion into the 109,500s.
But I’m not rushing it. Liquidity above that OB at 108,122 has weight — and may serve as distribution before another push lower.
What I’m watching:
✅ Buy-side liquidity resting above 104,953
✅ OB rejection zone at 108,122
❌ 102,067 invalidation if price closes with displacement through the low
🔻 If that fails — price wants the inefficiency down near 102,051
I’m not here to catch every move.
I’m here to catch the right one.
I don’t need confirmation. I am the confirmation.
Bitcoin Price Analysis – 1H Chart (BINANCE)📊 Bitcoin Price Analysis – 1H Chart (BINANCE)
Date: May 28, 2025
Pair: BTC/USDT
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
🏔 All-Time High (ATH) Rejection
🔴 Zone: ~111,800 – 112,000 USDT
BTC previously reached an ATH (marked in red) but failed to maintain momentum.
This level formed a double top pattern, a classic reversal signal.
📉 Key Resistance Zone
🟪 Range: ~109,500 – 110,500 USDT
Multiple rejections from this purple box indicate strong seller presence.
This area is now acting as a resistance barrier, preventing upward movement.
🔵 Support & Target Level
📍 Support Level: 106,622.06 USDT
🗨️ “when touch this level next target 100k”
The blue line represents a crucial short-term support.
The chart suggests a bearish move toward this level before a possible bullish reversal.
If price breaks below this, we could see further downside before any major rally.
🔄 Market Structure
🔹 BTC has formed a lower high structure, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
🔻 A head-and-shoulders pattern appears to be forming, which typically signals a reversal from bullish to bearish.
🧠 Trader Insight
📌 A drop to 106,622 USDT may act as a liquidity grab, potentially setting the stage for a major move upward.
⚠️ However, confirmation of a reversal (bullish signals, volume spike) will be critical before assuming a breakout to 100k as implied.
🔍 Conclusion
🚨 BTC is in a critical zone between resistance (~110,000) and support (~106,600).
📉 Near-term bias: Bearish → Targeting 106,622 USDT
📈 Medium-term possibility: Bullish rally only if support holds and sentiment shifts.
Bitcoin: Will it surpass $109k in its upward trend?Since April, Bitcoin has traded in a clearly defined upward channel with two lower and upper trend lines. This channel was formed three touchpoints both on the lower and upper trendlines.
Near a critical zone
Now, BTC is at a key resistance zone where it previously peaked around $109,000, holding its all-time high. This level resists both judgement as well as forensic level significantly of a psychological barrier because it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is currently hovering around the everyday resistance line while BTC is still in the upward channel. In conjunction with the historic all-time high and the upper channel resistance, range bound price action gives us an accurate capture of BTC’s behaviour.
Bullish breakout
The scenario outlined for this resistance zone makes the most sense as a rejection may lead to a temporary pullback, likely to the somewhat lower boundary of the rising channel. This in itself would not be the termination of the bullish trend, but instead a healthy retracement within the confines of an uptrend structure. But, if the market does break out above the $109,000 level with ample volume and bullish momentum, then things could start changing in the market for the better from there. Such breakout will confirm the uptrend is strong and valid where else new breakout targets will also be set turning the old high into new low. The $109,000 level would then probably move from resistance to support, making it a critical area for bulls to protect on any retests in the future.
A bearish breakout
The ramifications of a breakdown below the rising channel should also be understood by traders. It is crucial to keep an eye on the channel's lower barrier, which is presently at about $104,000. A significant decline below this level would signal a loss of short-term bullish momentum and lead to a more thorough correction. In that scenario, Bitcoin would probably go for the imbalanced area between $97,500 and $100,500, where the price has previously moved quickly without forming any solid support or resistance. Buyers may be able to intervene in this zone and try to restore bullish dominance, which may pave the way for a new breakout attempt and another surge toward the $109,000 barrier.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin is at a critical point right now. Bitcoin is currently facing a significant resistance zone at its prior all-time high, but the upward channel that has directed price action since April is still in place. The degree of market momentum and the actions of buyers and sellers at these critical levels will determine whether the price hits new highs or declines. Investors and traders should be alert and ready for both situations since the next action could determine how Bitcoin develops over the following few weeks.
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btcusd 15mThis chart is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Bitcoin/USDT (BTC/USDT) on Binance. Here's a breakdown of the technical analysis shown:
Key Zones and Levels:
1. Resistance Zone (Pink Box)
Price Level: Around $110,418.26
Price entered this zone but faced resistance and started to reverse.
2. Support Zone (Green Box)
Target Point: Around $108,725.45
This is marked as the target for a potential short position.
3. Intermediate Support (Blue Line)
Level: Around $109,750.46, with a label for 1st setup at $109,758.22
Possibly a confirmation or trigger level for entering the short trade.
Pattern and Setup:
The chart suggests a short (sell) setup after price
BITCOIN Bitcoin (BTC) Correlation with DXY, Bond Yields, and Interest Rates
1. Bitcoin vs. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inverse Correlation: Bitcoin and DXY typically move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar (DXY↑) reduces demand for risk assets like BTC, while a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts BTC as a hedge against fiat depreciation.
DXY↑: Investors flock to USD safety, pressuring BTC.
DXY↓: Capital rotates into BTC as a risk-on asset or inflation hedge.
2. Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields
Evolving Relationship:
Historical Inverse Link: Rising 10-year Treasury yields often pressured BTC (e.g., 2022 Fed hikes).
Recent Decoupling: In 2025, BTC and 10-year yields hit a record-low correlation (-0.8), signaling BTC’s independence from traditional bonds.
Key Drivers:
Inflation Hedge: BTC gains appeal as bonds struggle with rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields at 5.07% in May 2025).
Portfolio Diversification: Investors increasingly treat BTC as “digital gold,” reducing bond allocations.
3. Bitcoin vs. Interest Rates
Fed Policy Impact:
Rate Hikes: Strengthen USD (DXY↑) and bond yields, pressuring BTC
Rate Cuts: Weaken USD and lower yields, boosting BTC’s appeal
Real Yields Matter: BTC thrives when real yields (nominal yield - inflation) fall, as seen during stagflationary environments.
Summary Table
Correlation Relationship Key Drivers
BTC ⇄ DXY Inverse (DXY↑ → BTC↓) Risk sentiment, USD strength as safe haven
BTC ⇄ Bond Yields Increasingly negative (2025) Inflation hedging, portfolio diversification
BTC ⇄ Interest Rates Indirect via DXY and yields Fed policy, real yield dynamics
Critical Trends in 2025
BTC-DXY Decoupling: BTC’s rally to $105,268 and hit 111k amid DXY volatility shows growing independence.
Bond Market Shift: Investors rotate from Treasuries to BTC amid fiscal deficits and inflation.
Fed Policy Pivot: Expected rate cuts could weaken DXY and bolster BTC’s bullish case.
Conclusion
BTC-Yields: Negative correlation strengthens BTC’s role as a bond alternative in inflationary regimes.
Macro Strategy: Use DXY and bond yields as leading indicators for BTC’s risk-on/risk-off cycles.
Trade Implications:
A DXY drop below 98.4 could signal BTC bullish momentum.
Rising bond yields may temporarily pressure BTC but reinforce its long-term hedge appeal.
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
KING BTC 3 4hWelcome to King BTC 3. In general, Bitcoin can be expected to range from 106,800 to 110,000 for a while in the 4-hour timeframe, and in the next direction, it is expected to fall to 88,800. Of course, important supports are on the way at 106,800 and 101,800. There are three possible points for a return: 109,500, 111,000, and 115,000. This is a possibility.
BTC – Symmetrical Triangle + Channel Breakout with Zoomed-In ⏱️ On the 2H timeframe, BTC is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle:
• Support zone near 106,900
• Resistance around 109,700
🕓 On the 4H chart, BTC is breaking above its previous ascending channel resistance.
✅ Holding above 109,100 could lead to strong bullish momentum ahead 🚀
🔍 Zooming into the structure:
BTC tapped the lower support and bounced hard — a quick reaction that signals strength ⚡
🎯 Next target in sight: 111,600 if momentum holds steady.
👀 Keep a close eye on how price reacts around the breakout zone — the next few candles may decide short-term direction.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #97👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, a Double Bottom pattern activated yesterday, and the price has returned to the 106422 zone.
✔️ We previously had a support at 102882, but since the price wasn’t respecting it consistently, I’ve removed it. If price shows solid support there again, I’ll reintroduce the level.
🔍 Currently, the first trigger for a long position is 106422. This is a highly critical level and represents the main resistance for Bitcoin. If it breaks, there’s a strong chance for a sharp upward move.
✨ The first support in the way is 104800, which isn’t very strong. If a correction occurs, this level is likely to break. The main support remains at 101628.
📈 A break below 101628 would confirm a bearish reversal, and we could even consider opening a short position. The next support below that would be at 99225.
📊 Market volume has significantly increased over the past few days. This spike in volume suggests that a sharp move is likely. Using our trigger levels, we’ll be able to determine whether it’s an upward or downward breakout.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance is still below the 64.04 zone and appears to be consolidating.
💥 The 64.04 level is highly sensitive. A breakout would signal a bullish shift in dominance, while a rejection would suggest the downtrend will resume.
⚡️ We’ll get confirmation of further downside if 63.71 breaks. Below that, the next support levels are at 63.30 and 62.65.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, Total2 reacted to the 1.16 support and moved upward to 1.20.
💫 A break above 1.20 today would confirm bullish continuation. A drop below 1.16, however, would confirm the continuation of a broader correction.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday, the 4.70 level was faked out, and the chart fell back into the range box.
🎲 I believe the chances of breaking below the range bottom have increased. Key bearish triggers are at 4.57 and 4.51. On the flip side, another break above 4.70 would confirm renewed bullish momentum for USDT dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.