BTCUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
BTCUSDT trade ideas
"BTC/USDT Bullish Breakout Setup:Targeting $95,600 After Support🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
1. Key Support Zone (Blue Box)
Around $94,500–$94,600, this zone has held multiple tests, confirming it as a strong support area.
This base acts as a potential launch point for a bullish move.
2. Breakout Structure
Price recently broke above a local resistance near $94,900, suggesting a potential bullish continuation.
A retest of that broken level (black horizontal line) is expected, as drawn in the projected price path.
3. Resistance/Target Zone (Green Box)
Around $95,600, this is a prior supply zone where price was previously rejected.
The chart suggests a projected move toward this target, making it a clear take-profit area.
4. Stop-Loss Area (Red Zone)
Below the blue support box, around $94,626, this would be the invalidation level for the long setup.
5. Volume
Modest volume increase is seen on the recent breakout attempts, lending some confirmation to the bullish move.
📈 Trade Setup Summary
Entry: On breakout and possible retest near $94,900.
Stop-Loss: Below $94,600.
Target: $95,600 resistance zone.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, assuming tight stop below support.
✅ Bullish Bias Reasoning
Strong support base formed.
Breakout of local resistance.
Clear upside target.
Structured trade with defined risk/reward.
BTCUSDT - Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500BTCUSDT | From Bearish to Bullish – Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500 & 108 000 Target
If you recall my April 7th and 10th ideas:
and
Both setups have played out beautifully: BTC has rallied into our zones and now looks ready for a controlled retracement before the next leg higher.
1. Chart Structure & Context
Pattern: Five-month descending wedge (Nov ’24 – Apr ’25) marked by progressively lower highs & lows.
Breakout: Early May delivered a decisive close above the upper blue trendline—shifting control from bears to bulls.
Key Retest: The optimal pullback level is the demand block at ≈ 86 500 USDT, left behind by the swift breakout.
2. Key Levels to Watch
95 000 USDT – Resistance turned pullback trigger. Expect initial seller defense here.
86 500 USDT – Primary demand zone. High-probability long entry for mid-term positions.
108 000 USDT – Prior all-time daily swing high and next logical upside target.
3. Trade Plan
Patience: Wait for price to stall around 95 000 USDT and roll over.
Entry: Seek bullish price-action signals in the 86 500 USDT zone.
4. Targets & Path Forward
Short-term: A retest of 95 000–96 200 will fuel a deeper refill into 86 500, your high-odds long zone.
Mid-term: Defending 86 500 and reclaiming the former downtrend line will establish a higher-low on the daily—paving the way to 108 000 USDT.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS) - GuideIntroduction
Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions.
In this guide, we will break down:
- The difference between BOS and MSS
- When and why they occur
- How to identify them on your charts
- How to trade based on these structures
- Real chart examples for visual clarity
---
Break of Structure (BOS)
A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend .
Key Characteristics:
- Happens with the trend
- Confirms continuation
- Can be used to trail stops or add to positions
Example:
In an uptrend:
- Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form
- Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside
---
Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs).
Key Characteristics:
- Happens against the trend]
- Signals possible trend reversal
- Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt
- Optional: is created by a displacement candle
Example:
In an uptrend:
- Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab)
- Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside
---
How to Identify BOS and MSS
For BOS:
1. Determine the current trend.
2. Identify swing highs/lows.
3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend .
For MSS:
1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows.
2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure .
3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend).
---
Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy
With BOS:
- Use it to confirm trend continuation
- Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG
- Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH
With MSS:
- Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal)
- Use it to spot early reversal entries
- Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m)
- If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest
---
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Confusing BOS with MSS
- Ignoring higher timeframe context
- Trading MSS too early without confirmation
- Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement
Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups.
---
Final Thoughts
Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro.
Happy Trading!
The Big (BTC) Short*please note that this chart has been "flipped" so is upside down.
It's difficult to ignore the number of indicators and chart patterns that are signalling a move up for Bitcoin:
- Bullish div in daily RSI
- Oversold daily RSI
- Breakout of downtrend (both RSI and chart pattern)
- Near-touch of the previous ATH
Etc
HOWEVER this idea is a "what-if-everyones-wrong" hedge. We've already seen a break in the uptrend that was in play since Oct 23 so it is feasible that if we break through again we could see a significant move down to the sound of -30% which would re-test the 618 fib and is a liquidity-rich Zone.
Entry @ 94K (which ironically is also the 618 measuring from ATH to the local trough @ 74.5K) which coincides with the random "pump" we saw on Sunday 2nd March. I think the crypto God's are telling us something with this particular price point/wick.
Estimated flight time is roughly 2 months (back end of June).
BTC - BIG WEEK!Last week there was clear evidence of big purchases being made on the spot market, notably on coinbase.
The question we're forced to ask ourselves here is: was this the start of a longer duration trend, or is it a one-off and should we expect some level of mean reversion next?
Comparing it to other instances, there is only one in the last year where price really kept trending like this: The November post election rally.
If we map out what that price action would look like here (blue), we can expect the 91.5k low to hold and look for a HL somewhere in the H4 trend area. If trend is strong, I would not expect this to trade below the small range poc here for long, or even at all. That level is sitting at around 93.4k, which is also the previous weekly range VAL and yearly open. If we get a sweep of the highs and price is again failing to make a LL but consolidates in the 95k area, we can expect some expansion higher still.
That is not to say we can pull back deeper and still rally after, I'm just projecting November price action on the current chart.
If we do get a pullback, it means we lost H4 trend so we look at EMA 100 and 200 next. These line up with the lower range VAH and filling the higher imbalance. It is already a lot less bullish, but I would look for a reaction there anyway. 88.5-9k is probably the line in the sand there.
Any acceptance back below the 10-200 ema cluster, then we get back into lower range VA and expect rotation to at least poc. Honestly I'd think we rotate all the way to VAL and clean up all the imbalances, possibly correct the equal lows at 74k.
I have no real bias as to what we're about to get. Blue seems like an easily invalidated play, so I'm playing that one but at the same time try to fish for top shorts in case we do get a bigger rotation down. Either I get stopped on the long and play for a big move down, or I get stopped on the shorts and look for expansion towards 100k.
BTC is Still A Correction.BTC is in good rally these days, but my believe is that it is still in a correction.
I am not 100% confident in wavecount, but I am confident that BTC is not done correcting until it has gone down to somewhere between 62.500 - 52.500.
If the rally BTC is currently in, I believe we are seeing a flat, and I will correct my count accordingly.. But right now I'm seeing a W-X-Y-X-Z correction.
Be careful, and do not bet on BTC is rallying to a million just yet ;)
For now I believe there will be good odds for following the white line I've drawn on the chart.
BTCBitcoin’s sudden price surge in April 2025 is driven by several key factors:
Weakening U.S. Dollar and Treasury Speculation
Bitcoin’s recent rally above $87,700 coincides with a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) and market speculation about upcoming U.S. Treasury buybacks, which could inject liquidity and reduce dollar strength, making BTC more attractive as an alternative asset.
Volatile Stock Markets and Safe-Haven Demand
Continued volatility and declines in traditional equity markets have pushed investors toward scarce assets like Bitcoin. Its fixed supply and growing recognition as a store of value amid economic uncertainty support its price gains.
Return of Institutional Money
Institutional investors are flowing back into Bitcoin, increasing demand and trading volumes. This renewed institutional interest adds credibility and liquidity to the market, fueling upward momentum.
Positive Technical and On-Chain Indicators
Technical signals such as a bullish MACD crossover and rising RSI indicate strong buying momentum. On-chain data shows increased active addresses and network activity, suggesting heightened investor engagement.
Influential Social Media and Market Sentiment
A notable tweet by Crypto Rover predicting a $100,000 Bitcoin triggered a surge in trading volume (up 17.8% in 24 hours) and a shift in market sentiment from neutral to greedy, further accelerating price gains through speculative trading and momentum strategies.
Macro Stimulus and Global Monetary Policies
Monetary stimulus measures in China and Europe, alongside expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, are increasing liquidity in global markets. This environment favors risk assets like Bitcoin, which is decoupling from traditional markets and benefiting from global stimulus.
Summary
Factor Impact on Bitcoin Price
Weakening U.S. dollar Boosts BTC as alternative asset
Stock market volatility Drives safe-haven demand
Institutional inflows Increases liquidity and market confidence
Technical and on-chain momentum Signals strong buying pressure
Influential social media Sparks rapid speculative buying
Global monetary stimulus Enhances liquidity, supports risk assets
Bitcoin’s current surge reflects a convergence of macroeconomic uncertainty, technical strength, and renewed investor interest, positioning it for potential further gains towards 100k on break of structure
BTCUSDT Analysis – Breakout and Key Zones!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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Let's analyse BTC on the daily timeframe:
Bitcoin has broken out from its falling wedge pattern, signaling a strong shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Key Observations:
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke above the wedge with solid bullish candles, showing buyer strength.
Support Reclaim: The zone around 86,500 – 88,000 has flipped from resistance to strong support.
Next Resistance: Currently trading below 94,000 – 95,900, which is a major resistance zone to watch. A break and close above this could push BTC toward 100K psychological level.
Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 86,500 – 87,000, 90,522
Immediate Resistance: 94,000 – 95,900
Breakout Target: 100,200+
Strategy Suggestion:
If price retests the 90,400 – 87,000 zone and holds, it could offer a strong risk-reward entry for continuation toward 100K. Watch for rejection or consolidation signs near the current resistance.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?📊Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in an overlapping resistance zone. We are currently testing the upper edge of the heavy resistance zone again. If we cannot successfully break through, we should be wary of further pullbacks. If we fall below the low near 92,800 and establish a short structure, then we will look for short opportunities after the rebound.
➡️If we continue to break through the previous high, it means that the bullish power is still continuing. Be patient and wait for the pullback opportunity after breaking through the high to appear before looking for entry opportunities.
➡️My short position was reduced by 80% after reaching TP2, and the stop loss was moved down, so the long position hit the breakeven point and was closed. If you don’t move the SL down, you can try to use a small position to expect a scenario where you can’t break through.
Let’s see 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
$BTC - Weekend OutlookBitcoin just tapped into the major overhead supply zone 95k, which corresponds to the breakdown origin of the previous range.
Notably, we observed the highest Coinbase premium in recent sessions, signaling aggressive spot-driven demand. However, a sell wall is starting to build around 95k and 97k, suggesting that short-term sellers are positioning here.
Key support to watch : the 88k–86k range, which marks the recent breakout base and vwap.
Holding this zone would validate the breakout structure and set the stage for further continuation to the upside. Failure to hold likely triggers a deeper retest toward mid-range levels.
Expect volatility over the weekend as price oscillates between overhead supply and this critical breakout support.
BTC-----Sell around 92600 area, target 91800-91500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 24: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. The general trend is still rising, but after yesterday's price surged, it did not continue this morning but began to retreat under pressure. This is a correction. The four-hour chart K-line continued to be negative, and the price was near the moving average pressure level. In this way, the decline should be seen first during the day. The short-cycle hourly chart started from yesterday's European session. The price continued to fluctuate at a high level. The price began to retreat under pressure in Asian time. The current K-line pattern is a single positive line with a continuous negative line, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, and the strength of the four-hour chart has not yet come out.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 92600, stop loss in the 93100 area, and target the 91800-91500 area;
Here is the analysis of your BTC/USDT 1D chart. BTC/USDT – 1D Chart Analysis
Golden Cross Replay?
Two important moving averages in play:
50-day MA (red): ~84,341
200-day MA (green): ~88,546
Earlier in the chart (circled on the left), BTC broke above both MAs, starting a strong bullish rally towards $120K.
We are potentially seeing a repeat of that pattern now
Breakout Confirmation
The price broke out of the descending triangle pattern (black trendline) — a bullish signal.
Strong breakout volume (green arrow) indicates conviction.
A retest of the breakout level (yellow area) at ~$92,000–$93,000 as support could confirm continuation.
Key Levels
Support: FWB:88K –$90K
Breakout Zone: ~ GETTEX:92K
Target Zone: $110K–$120K range if momentum continues
Golden Cross-like structure forming again
Downtrend resistance broken
Retest at horizontal resistance in progress
Look for confirmation of holding above the yellow zone to target higher levels
@CRYPTOSANDERS always provides crisp chart alpha.
NFA – DYOR
Share your thoughts or setups!
Bitcoin - Who Will Take Control: Bulls or Bears?Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a prolonged phase of sideways movement, trading within a clearly defined consolidation range. After a sharp move to the upside earlier this month, price has stalled and started to range between the resistance zone near $86,000 and support around $82,000. This type of price action typically suggests indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are in full control.
The candles within this range are relatively choppy, with many wicks on both sides, further reinforcing the idea that this is a low-conviction environment. It reflects a battle between opposing market participants, and historically, such consolidations often precede strong directional moves. Until this range is broken, price is likely to continue moving sideways with potential for false breakouts and low-probability trade setups.
The Consolidation Range
The current consolidation is outlined with clear visual zones. The upper boundary acts as resistance and is highlighted in red, while the lower boundary, acting as support, is marked in green. The range itself is filled in blue, representing the broader area of indecision and price balance.
This consolidation is not minor—it has held for several days with multiple rejections from both the resistance and support levels. The more time price spends within a range like this, the more significant the breakout is likely to be. Liquidity builds up at the highs and lows of these ranges, and eventually one side will be taken out, leading to an expansion move.
Bullish Breakout Scenario
If Bitcoin manages to break and close decisively above the resistance zone, this would signal a potential shift in market sentiment toward the upside. A breakout above this level is likely to trigger stop-loss orders from short-sellers and attract breakout traders entering long positions.
The chart suggests that if this bullish breakout occurs, price will likely target the liquidity resting above recent swing highs, which are marked by the black horizontal lines. These levels represent areas where traders may have placed their stop orders, making them attractive targets for a price sweep. Following this, Bitcoin could enter a new trend phase, potentially setting up a continuation of the larger bullish structure that preceded the consolidation.
It is important, however, to wait for confirmation. A clean breakout followed by a retest or strong follow-through volume would provide greater confidence in a bullish continuation. Entering prematurely could result in being caught in a false breakout, especially in a ranging market like this.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario
Alternatively, if price breaks below the support zone with conviction, this would be a clear bearish signal. A move below the lower boundary of the range would imply that the buyers have been exhausted and that sellers have regained control.
In this scenario, the expectation is that price will seek out the inefficiencies and untested price action below, particularly the yellow zone marked on the chart. This area likely represents a previous gap or imbalance—zones where price moved rapidly in the past and did not spend much time. Such zones often act as magnets for price once a breakdown occurs, as the market seeks to fill in that inefficiency.
This bearish move could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting levels as low as the upper $70,000s or even lower, depending on how strong the selling pressure becomes. Much like the bullish scenario, it's critical to watch for confirmation. A candle close below support with strong volume would be an ideal trigger for this bearish thesis.
No-Trade Zone and Strategy
Until Bitcoin breaks out of this range in either direction, there are no clear high-probability trades. Entering within the range is inherently risky due to the lack of momentum and high chance of reversals. Whipsawing price action can easily trigger stop-losses and create frustration for traders trying to anticipate moves before confirmation.
The most prudent approach in this situation is patience. Let the market show its hand. Once a breakout occurs, whether to the upside or downside, the path forward becomes more defined and trade setups with favorable risk-to-reward ratios will emerge. For now, this is a textbook no-trade zone—ideal for observing and planning, not for forcing entries.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture. The ongoing consolidation is a precursor to a larger move, and while the direction is not yet confirmed, the zones of interest are clearly mapped out. A breakout above resistance will suggest a bullish continuation, targeting liquidity above recent highs. A breakdown below support will imply a bearish move toward the inefficiencies and untested price areas below.
In markets like this, discipline is key. The goal is to avoid getting chopped up in the range and instead position yourself on the right side once momentum returns. The next breakout will likely set the tone for the coming days or even weeks—so patience now could lead to greater reward later.
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Bitcoin Bullish movementAccording this analysis Bitcoin seems Bullish Pattern Guys Forecast from Mr Martin Date 28 April 2025.
Bitcoin candles as Buy side use trading clearly in Buy side showing Bullish instant after Long moment the higher formed continue to Bullish Guys just sits strong Support 93,200 which previous should Price will Bullish
Key Levels
Support Level 93,200 / 90,200
Resistance Level 95,500 / 96,500
you may see more details in the chart. Ps Support with like and comments Thanks.
Bitcoin Overall: Significant RallyLast week I provided a less likely breakout up scenario--this is what occurred.
My personal emotional feeling is absolutely disbelief -- cue the various emotional cycle charts. The speed of the advance (after relatively vicious decline)...
The fact is, this is a rally with at least some staying power. If there is a significant retracement in the rally from the nearby resistances, we should at least expect a push to the large resistance. It the rally shoots relatively quickly to the big resistance, I would expect a significant retracement, but potentially thereafter new ATH.
The trend is up at the moment, carefully-selected long opportunities are more attractive. Shorts are dangerous in a market such as this except at strong resistance.
BTC - NEW ATH on the HorizonBitcoin has surprised us with a sudden turnaround over the past two weeks.
✅ Technical indicators are bullish
✅ Candle stick patterns are bullish
✅ Trendlines are bullish
I can't help but come to any other conclusion - BTC is now BULLISH, likely making it's way to a new ATH.
This will bring about my much anticipated ALTSEASON:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT