BTCUST trade ideas
BTC Reacts to Iran–Israel Escalation: Risk-Off Sentiment GrowsBitcoin (BTC/USDT) — Caught Between Fear & Fundamentals
Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
Bitcoin has dropped to $103,818 after facing rejection from the $106.8K–$108K resistance zone, coinciding with heightened geopolitical stress following renewed military escalation between Iran and Israel. Traditional markets are showing signs of risk aversion, and while Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge, the current flight to USD liquidity and defensive assets is putting pressure on high-beta instruments like crypto.
The psychological $100K support zone, which aligns with the EMA 50 and a key Fib level, is the immediate area to watch. A failure here could expose Bitcoin to deeper retracement toward $96,800 and potentially $92K, especially if global tensions worsen or investors rotate further into cash and gold.
Key Technical Highlights:
Rejection at supply zone near $106,888–$108,000.
Support at $100K holds structural and psychological importance.
Stochastic shows bearish momentum crossover, increasing downside probability.
EMA 200 at $92K could act as ultimate cushion in a full-blown correction.
Volatility likely to remain elevated amid Middle East conflict and global uncertainty.
Trade Plan:
🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Long Bias):
Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $106,888 with rising volume
Target: $108K → $112K → $116K
Stop Loss: Below $103,500
🔻 Geopolitical Risk Sell-Off (Short Bias):
Trigger: Break and close below $100,000
Target: $96,816 → $92,000 → $88,000
Stop Loss: Above $102,500
📉 Dip Buy Strategy:
Trigger: Price stabilizes at $96.8K with divergence and calming geopolitical headlines
Target: $103K → $106K
Stop Loss: Below $95K
🛡️ Risk Management Note:
With geopolitical risk driving short-term sentiment, expect volatility spikes, whipsaws, and fake breakouts. Remain nimble and manage exposure carefully — especially during weekend sessions when crypto trades unhedged and news developments can occur without warning.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BTCUSDT: Your Next Move? The Blue Box OpportunityAlright, focusing on BTCUSDT. This blue box is a critical buying zone.
The market's recent moves demand clarity. You need to know where genuine opportunity lies, avoiding the traps that catch most traders.
I've identified this blue box as a prime area where demand could ignite. But don't just jump in. Here's the plan:
Watch the Volume Footprint: Is there real accumulation, or just noise?
Spot CDV Divergences: Hidden strength often appears here, even if price looks weak.
Confirm on LTF: A clear breakout above minor resistance, followed by a retest as support, is your green light.
Be vigilant for liquidity hunts – those quick dips that shake out weak hands before a real move. If this blue box holds, and we get these confirmations, my bias is firmly upwards.
I only focus on assets with sudden, significant volume increases. BTCUSDT's current setup, combined with this potential volume, makes it a high-interest play.
Keep a very close eye on this blue box. Understanding these subtle signals means you can navigate these intricate dynamics, securing your position for potential gains. Miss this, and you might regret it.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑 On my profile, you can find an extensive track record spanning hundreds of analyses and many examples of my strategies in action. To keep things concise here, I'm sharing just a few of my most recent successful calls as a small snapshot of my ongoing work:
📊 FLOKIUSDT - +%100 From Blue Box!
📊 TRXUSDT - I Do My Thing Again
📊 OGNUSDT | One of Today’s Highest Volume Gainers – +32.44%
📊 TIAUSDT | Still No Buyers—Maintaining a Bearish Outlook
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
Feel free to check out my TradingView profile for all of them; listing everything here would genuinely take too long! 😉
BITCOIN ROAD TO 300K !!! ELLIOTT WAVE CASE STUDYThere are three possible cases for Bitcoin which we can now consider according to Elliot wave count on big picture:
Case I: According to this count if we hold above 74.5k , recent low, we may see major shift in BTC. Retracement Up to 92-79k is good which will form inverse head & shoulders, potentially breaking ATH up to 170K, if things goes well & 74.5K region remains on hold.
Case II: If in case 74.5K region breaks, then it will invalidate minor count causing BTC to retrace more up to 64-52K major reversal zone region. If such thing happens, bullish shark pattern will be formed causing major reversal from that region BUT 49K region should remained hold!!!
Case III: Worst case scenario if 49K region breaks, then it will cause major count invalidation dropping BTC further up to 45-33K region.
BTC-----Sell around 100500, target 103500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 14:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The decline in the big trend was still very obvious. We should pay attention to the breakout and pressure signal of the high point of yesterday's correction and pullback in the 106200 area; the short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's price rebounded and corrected after hitting the low point, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning today. The current K-line pattern continued to fall, and the attached indicator was dead cross. Then the trend is likely to fluctuate downward during the day, but the strength is not expected to be great over the weekend, so it is still short-term.
BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
Directly short in the 100500 area, stop loss in the 105500 area; target is 103500 area;
STOP LOSS LESSONI want to share my opinion about stop-losses.
I don’t use them, because very often the stop gets triggered — and then the price moves in the right direction, but you're no longer in the trade.
I do it differently: I set a take-profit, but no stop-loss.
Let’s say I have $1000, and I enter a short with $100.
The price would have to increase 10 times to get me liquidated.
A 2–3% drawdown is acceptable, especially in an overbought market.
So why would I use a stop?
Trade with small amounts — and everything will be fine.
You won’t lose money.
If you're looking for excitement, go to a casino — the odds are better there.
In trading, you need to be careful and stay calm.
From my experience, technical analysis often doesn't work.
Thanks for your attention.
#stoploss
BTCUSDT ShortBTCUSDT – Watching 105.8K–106.5K Supply Zone
Price currently retracing after a strong dump from 108K. I'm eyeing the 105.8K–106.5K zone for a potential short — previous order block + premium zone for smart money selloff. If price rejects there, I’ll target 103.5K and possibly 101K. SL above 106.8K.
Structure still bearish until proven otherwise.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, after fluctuating in a sideways range, bitcoin began to decline. Only $300 wasn’t enough to reach the level of $100,000 — there was a strong absorption of market sales, and a rebound occurred.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We tested the $104,500–$105,800 zone (accumulated volumes). There is no abnormal activity or strong sales within it, which increases the likelihood of continued upward movement to the next sell zone. After that, the current volumes may go long, forming a new support zone in the range of $105,800–$104,500.
This week, we can consider a long retest of the support of $104,500–$105,800 with confirmation of the buyers' reaction. However, low volumes in the upward wave keep the risk of a sharp resumption of sales. In this case, the key entry level will shift to the psychological mark of $ 100,000.
Supply Zone:
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes)
Demand Zones:
$101,600–$100,000 (previous push-volume zone + current buyer defense)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Wednesday, June 11, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for May, as well as in comparison with May 2024;
• Thursday, June 12, 06:00 (UTC) — UK GDP for April is published;
• Thursday, June 12, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits and the US producer price index for May;
• Friday, June 13, 06:00 (UTC) — German consumer price index for May is published.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #107👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, yesterday the price made another upward move and formed its resistance at the 106586 level and a bottom at 105087.
📈 For a long position, considering the uptrend in higher timeframes such as the daily and weekly, we can enter upon a breakout of 106586. A bounce of the RSI from the 50 level can act as a good confirmation for the position.
📊 Buying volume is currently increasing, but the price is still sitting on the support bottom and hasn’t moved upward yet. If this volume inflow continues, a breakout of 106586 would be a strong confirmation for a long position.
🔽 For a short position, the first trigger is the breakdown of the 105087 bottom. If this level is broken, we can enter a short. The main short trigger is at 103899.
💥 Conditions are currently favorable for a short position, and the current candle has strong bearish momentum. So, if 105087 breaks, a short position would be appropriate.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin Dominance. After a pullback to the 64.23 level, the next bearish leg continued to 63.93. If 63.93 breaks, the downtrend is likely to continue and the price could fall to 63.50.
✅ If 63.93 holds, dominance may start moving back up toward 64.67.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now let’s check out Total2. This index is still below the 1.18 level, and breaking this level would confirm a bullish move.
✨ A new bottom has also formed at 1.17. If this level breaks, we can look for a short position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether Dominance. This index has formed a box between 4.64 and 4.70.
🔔 A breakout above 4.70 could initiate a bullish move in dominance, while a breakdown below 4.64 could trigger a bearish move.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Short Position Update – June 7, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Bitcoin Analysis
After a prolonged downtrend, Bitcoin is attempting a temporary rebound in the form of a dead cat bounce. This current upward move appears to be more of a technical rebound within the broader downtrend rather than a strong trend reversal.
From an Elliott Wave structure perspective, the current rebound is being captured as an impulsive wave, which suggests it could either be the final leg of a 5-wave move or the movement just before a corrective phase begins. Based on this view, I am considering entering a short position by targeting the point at which the upward momentum starts to exhaust.
Wave Ratio:
The length of the current 5th wave is approaching 1.618 times the length of the 1st wave, a ratio often observed in overextended wave patterns.
Target Price:
The initial target is set at 104,500, which coincides with the retracement zone of the previous decline and the prior support level.
The current area is considered favorable for a short entry in terms of risk-reward ratio. However, it is crucial to confirm whether the upward wave has truly concluded.
With overbought signals from oscillators and the appearance of a trend-reversal candlestick pattern, a short entry can be considered upon confirmation.
HelenP. I Bitcoin may grow to resistance zone from trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. This chart shows how the price declined to the trend line and then made an impulse up to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Also, price started to trades inside a pennant, where it soon broke the support level and then traded some time near it. Later, it continued to grow and in a short time rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and broke this level as well. Then BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, turned around, and dropped below the 108000 level, after which a few moments traded between this level. After this, price continued to fall and after it broke 108000 leve one more time, it dropped to the trend line, which is a support line of the pennant too. Price has traded near this line and recently BTC rebounded up. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the trend line and then rise to the resistance level. After this, I think the price may break it and enter to resistance zone. That's why I set my goal at 108800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USDT – Short-Term Long SetupBTC/USDT – Short-Term Long Setup
Bitcoin is bouncing off key support and showing bullish signs.
I'm looking for a short-term long position targeting $105,650.
🟢 Structure looks solid — momentum is building.
📈 Clean chart, tight setup.
🔔 Follow for more sharp entries and real-time analysis!