Looks like the rally is going on... BTCUSDT Uptrend Analysis 📈
BTCUSDT is currently around $102,000 and in a short-term downtrend. Here are some key points to watch:
- Buying Opportunities: The $100,600 - $99,600 range may present a good buying opportunity. 💰
- Critical Levels: If the price drops below $99,400, there’s a risk of falling to $97,000. Investors should stay cautious. ⚠️
- Uptrend Targets: For the uptrend to continue, the $108,000 - $112,000 area looks like a suitable take profit zone. 🚀 After that, the $120,000 range could be targeted.
It's essential for investors to closely monitor market movements! 📊
BTCUST trade ideas
BTCUSDTHere is your translated and polished English version with a professional and data-driven tone:
Hello traders.
Today's first trade comes from BTC. Currently, BTC’s delta value is very close to turning negative (currently at +0.72%). In addition to that, we’re seeing the Activity and Volume Order Flow Profile positioned at a highly critical level.
For these reasons, I’ve opened a sell position on BTC. You can find the full trade details below:
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 103,796.33
✔️ Take Profit: 103,428.49
✔️ Stop Loss: 103,979.65
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It’s a trade I’m personally taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
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Btcusdt forming bearish h&s pattern in 1hr time frameA bearish head and shoulders pattern is forming on the 1-hour BTCUSDT chart.
A close below 101464 on the 1-hour timeframe may activate the pattern. However, since we are back in an uptrend, I would not trade this pattern.
Alternatively, if the price touches the liquidity sweep area and forms a rejection, I might consider a short entry with lower risk exposure, say 0.5% instead of the regular 1%.
If a rejection forms, we can consider an entry with a stop-loss placed above the peak of the right shoulder, which would invalidate the pattern.
The targets are 99400 and 98100.
If you're a bull looking for an entry, a target within this pattern is a good entry point preferably the 98100 area.
The only question is, where is your stop loss? Other traders know how to enter on a bounce, but I don't. So, I will stick to my strategy unless I'm doing a DCA then just, hold and forget.
Some Analysis For Distraction.Bitcoin is currently testing the upper boundary of an ascending channel. The key resistance level lies around 104,463, and a breakout above this level could signal further bullish continuation toward the channel top (green path).
However, if the price fails to break and hold above this resistance, a pullback scenario becomes likely (red path), potentially targeting the midline of the channel or even the lower trendline (WP area).
Let’s see how price reacts at this critical level.
Long trade
15min TF overview
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Supply & Demand Narrative (2min TF)
🆔 Trade ID: #BTCUSD-0515A
📅 Date: Thursday, 15th May 2025
🕞 Time: 3:42 PM
⏱️ Timeframe: 2-Min
🔹 Entry Price: 103,084.13
🔹 Profit Target: 104,096.63 (+0.98%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 102,882.41 (-0.20%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.02
🔍 Reasoning:
This buyside trade was initiated on the 2-minute timeframe, leveraging a refined supply and demand narrative. Price action formed a demand zone following a mitigation phase, with bullish order flow re-emerging into the NY PM session.
2min TF
Phemex Analysis #80: Can Bitcoin Hold $100k?Bitcoin’s breakout above the $100,000 mark on May 8, 2025—its highest level since early January—reflects renewed risk-on sentiment across global markets, supported by easing U.S.-China tension and expectations of favorable crypto regulation. Spot ETF flows have also played a pivotal role: U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated over $1 billion in net inflows this month, with BlackRock’s IBIT leading demand, underpinning liquidity in the $100k zone. Despite the enthusiasm, trading volumes on leading exchanges have shown signs of plateauing, hinting at cautious engagement from larger players.
Possible Scenario
Support Analysis
1. $100,000 Psychological Support
After initially spiking to $105,784, BTC retreated to hover just above $100k, which has transitioned into a crucial support level. A decisive hold here would confirm buyer conviction at round-number thresholds.
$97,000 Major Technical Floor: Beneath six figures, the $97,000 region—previously a resistance zone in April—now offers strong demand, reinforced by the convergence of the 50- and 100-day moving averages.
$92,000 Secondary Support: Should broader market risk aversion emerge, traders could see a retracement back to $ 92K, where on-chain data indicates accumulation by long-term holders. This level aligns with the 200-day moving average, often cited as a bear-market safeguard.
2. ETF-Driven Cushion
Spot ETF inflows continue to absorb sell-side pressure, potentially dampening volatility around support levels. Historical data shows ETFs acted as a buffer during the March sell-off, suggesting they may again prevent sharp dives if BTC dips towards $90k–$100k.
Resistance Analysis
1. $105,000 Near-Term Cap
BTC peaked at approximately $105,784 on May 12, encountering supply from short-term profit-takers. A close above this region would target the early-2025 all-time high near $109,917.
2. $109,917 All-Time High
Surpassing the January ATH at $109k remains a key objective for bulls. However, historical patterns reveal increasingly subdued momentum on successive tests of this level, indicating potential exhaustion if attempted too quickly.
3.Upside Target $120,000
Most Analysts highlight a possible extension to $120k should institutional demand persist and macro conditions remain supportive.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s ability to hold the $100,000 mark hinges on its capacity to stave off profit-taking around headline-grabbing price points and sustain ETF-driven support. Key technical floors at $100k and $ 97K—reinforced by moving-average convergence—provide a strong base, while resistance levels at $105k and the all-time high near $109.6k represent the next hurdles. If these zones are negotiated successfully, a new leg toward $120k could unfold; if not, traders should watch for a pullback to the mid-$90,000 range for renewed entries.
Overall, barring sudden negative macro shocks, the outlook favors BTC maintaining its foothold at six figures, underpinning continued upside momentum.
Pro Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Buy Ops on BTC/tether Perpetual Futures H4As the current Market structure indicates a bullish price action as price makes Higher Highs and Lows, A visible POI is the Demand zone that broke structure to the upside, and has liquidity sitting pretty around the 95,740 area. Possible entry level at 95,085 with SL at 92,848 just below the current low, and TP at 104,881.... in anticipation to take out the current high of the structure......
Of course, DYOR......
Bitcoin tests 105,000 with a view to breakout Bitcoin continues to consolidate. A sure sign of a strong bull market.
The market is not allowing the price to approach the key support 101400 and is forming a strong limit level in the 102500 area.
Scenario: I am waiting for a retest of 105000 resistance and if bitcoin remains consolidated above 103500 - 103800 and continues to test 105000, another retest of consolidation resistance could lead to a breakout and a rise towards ATH
An additional condition may be the consolidation of the price above 105000.
Bitcoin looks good to go HigherHello Crypto Traders, as you can see price broke out from the descending trendline and flipped key structure levels into support.
We can clearly see two Fair Value Gaps (0.5 fib red line) which might act as retracement zones before continuation.
The bullish structure remains intact, and if BTC holds above the recent swing high (PH), we might see a run toward the previous ATH and beyond.
RSI is slightly overbought but not showing any major divergence for now.
Watch the 98k–100k area for a potential short-term pullback into FVG before further upside.
Let the market do its job. Setup looks clean.
Feel free to comment, follow, and share with your trader friends!
Thanks for reading!
BTC Might Face a Selloff That Could Stay as a Buying OppurtunityBitcoin is enjoying the rally and the support it's receiving from the stock market. After testing the 72,000–74,000 zone, the upward reaction was so strong that even the major resistance at 91,000 failed to slow the move. However, now that the S&P 500 has reached a key resistance zone, momentum may begin to slow, at least in the short term.
If the 102,300 level breaks, Bitcoin could retreat toward the lower boundary of the newly formed trend channel. In the medium-term outlook remains bullish so any short-term pullbacks are likely to present buying opportunities, as long as the trend channel and the 91,000 support level remain intact.
For context, refer to our earlier daily timeframe posts on the S&P 500 and BTC:
BTC - long squeezeI'll be truthful I don't think the expression "long squeeze" is a real thing - but it should be!
Daily TF
Next level down i think is 98K should the local support @ 102K break.
0.5 fib puts us at 89K / a touch on a macro uptrend / touching a key price point where BTC has oscillated for several months. This move would accomplish a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap. If this happens it could be a fantastic long opportunity.
If prices sees continuation to the downside the 618 would be the next natural retracement level but would result in a break below said macro uptrend and thus could create a macro bearish move - 67K would be my guess.
### How to Identify Strong or Weak POIsDemand Zone: 100,688 - 101,333
- Sweep of SSL at 100,727 → Liquidity was grabbed before the demand formed, adding strength to this zone (Strong)
- Bullish Order Flow to 104,949.9 → This demand fueled an upward move, indicating strong buyer interest (Strong)
- Liquidity at 101,380.0 → Presence of liquidity reinforces the significance of this demand zone (Strong)
BTCUSDT hit take profit.Although the trade took a bit longer to play out, as always, BTC delivered solid profits. This will be my first and last trade of the day.
I'll be back to share new opportunities tomorrow if the market presents them, traders.
Wishing you all profitable days — much love to each of you! 🙂
BTC Battlezone: Gap Fill or Full Reversion?GM. BTC is still KING.
Tagged just under 106K, now compressing post-impulse. Price left behind a clean gap:
Upper: $100,688
Lower: $97,700
That imbalance is the immediate battleground. If we lose the $100,688 upper bound, we likely fill the gap—but that’s not inherently bearish. If price reclaims stability within that zone and builds—that suggests a tighter HTF range forming, anchored around prior demand.
However—if that zone fails outright, and we lose $97,700 with authority, it implies a broader reversion toward the prior consolidation block between:
$94,118 – $93,538
Backstopped by $91,631.5 at the base of the last valid demand.
That reversion would signal a full retrace of the prior breakout, resetting the trend to neutral and putting buyers on the defensive.
BTC.D still soft but undecided. ALTS aren’t leading—they’re watching. Total3 hasn’t reclaimed its breakout line.
For now, this is pure structure:
Hold inside the gap → bulls control tighter range.
Lose the gap → we revisit the base.
Price decides. We react. No guessing—just tape and structure.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD is continuing to rise📊 Technical Analysis
● Breakout above a multi-month triangle cleared the $95–98K zone. The price approached the long-term resistance line, steering price toward $108K.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Strategy bought 1,895 BTC and Semler Scientific added 167 BTC, marking a surge in corporate buying.
● Arizona passed legislation to invest up to 10% of $31.5B state assets in Bitcoin.
● New Hampshire governor signs crypto reserve bill into law.
● Metaplanet reaches 5,555 Bitcoin milestone with latest 555 BTC buy.
✨ Summary
Bullish breakout confirmed. Key levels: ~ GETTEX:92K support, ~$93–95K resistance, and $108K target. Strong institutional/state buying underpins the uptrend.
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Bitcoin Analysis
4-hour time frame shows the formation of a triangle pattern, for which two scenarios can be imagined:
First, the pattern breaks from above and pullbacks to the broken level and continues to the next resistance (breakout)
Second, a fake break from above the pattern and returns to the triangle and continues to correct to the desired support (fake breakout)
$BTC / USDT - What Next??CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin is trading within an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically considered a bullish structure.
It is advisable to wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from this pattern before considering any entries.
The chart color-codes all potential support zones, ranging from minor to major zones, based on their relative strength.
The red resistance zone remains unchanged and continues to act as a key supply area.