BTCUST trade ideas
Bear market coming soon Btc goes to 50,000$2️⃣ Daily Chart (1D) Analysis
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is consolidating below EMA and inside the red supply zone (0.618–0.65 Fib).
200 EMA is acting as dynamic resistance (around $85K).
Bearish structure with a lower high formation.
💡 Interpretation:
Current price zone (~$86.3K) is a potential short trigger area.
If rejected here, price may drop first to GETTEX:82K (0.786), then $74.5K.
If price breaks above GETTEX:92K (0.5 Fib), this bearish setup is invalidated.
✅ Suggested Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Short Entry $86,300 – $87,900
Stop Loss $92,500 (above 0.5 Fib)
Take Profit 1 $82,000 (0.786 Fib)
Take Profit 2 $74,500 (1.0 Fib)
Take Profit 3 $52,800 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk/Reward 1:3 or better
The End of Meme Coin Scams: A New UpdateWith the latest update, we are witnessing a shift in how meme coins operate in the crypto world, effectively putting an end to scams that have plagued the meme coin space.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500.
📈
Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
A Recap of Meme Coin Creation and Scams
In a previous educational analysis, I walked you through the step-by-step process of how meme coins are created and, most importantly, how scammers often exploit these coins for personal gain. I explained the mechanics behind the manipulation of meme coins, where bad actors would create a coin, pump its price, and then abandon it once they made a profit, leaving countless investors in financial ruin.
The Hidden Aspect: How Creators Profited from Commissions
However, there was one critical aspect I did not discuss—how meme coin creators were profiting through transaction fees, also known as commissions. Prior to this update, many small-scale creators were incentivized to sell portions of their holdings at high prices, ensuring they made a profit, often at the cost of the coin's long-term stability. This led to price crashes, the collapse of the coin's market, and devastating losses for thousands of investors. 🚨
The Previous Model: 2 important platform one for creating the mem coin and second for transactions and fees
Under the previous system, meme coins were typically launched on platforms like P p .F n, which helped boost the coin’s liquidity through in-app promotions and social media outreach. This initial momentum would attract many investors, and then the coin would be listed on various exchanges for wider visibility.
To ensure that creators could continue to profit, the transactions would eventually shift to a new platform, which took all of the transaction fees, further enriching the platform but leaving creators with limited sustainable profits.
The New Update: Introducing new version for enring fees directly
With the latest update, the creator introduces a revolutionary feature. This addition fundamentally changes how meme coin creators can profit. Instead of relying on external platforms that take all the transaction fees, allows creators to receive a significant percentage of trading fees directly. This ensures that creators who are genuinely committed to the long-term success of their coin can continue to benefit from it without destroying the project once the coin gains traction.
A Sustainable Future for Meme Coins
This update paves the way for a new era where meme coins are not just tools for short-term profit but are sustainable and beneficial in the long run for both creators and investors. Creators who have the genuine intention to build and maintain their projects will now have the opportunity to continuously profit from them as the coin grows stronger and attracts more users. 🌱
Why This Matters for Investors
For investors, this is a game-changer. As meme coins become more reliable and profitable for creators, they also become safer and more promising for long-term investment. The more successful these meme coins become, the more lucrative it will be for investors in both the short and long term. 📈
By fostering a system that rewards creators based on the coin's success and longevity, this update helps eliminate the risk of sudden crashes. As a result, meme coins have the potential to evolve into solid, dependable projects rather than speculative assets that leave many in financial distress.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
With the latest update, meme coin scams are effectively ending. creator website of meme coin now introduces new direct update for fees, which allows creators to earn a fair share of trading fees, ensuring they benefit long-term without abandoning the project. This makes meme coins more sustainable, rewarding both creators and investors. It’s a major shift towards stability and profitability in the meme coin space. 🚀
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
21/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,492.19
Last weeks low: $83,112.72
Midpoint: $84,802.45
Is the market finally showing its hand?
After President Trumps escalation of the tariff trade war, BTC saw huge volatility swings in line with Tradfi, the panic led to de-risking and as a result BTC hit $74,500. Then after a small bounce another revisit of the exact same area resulted in a much more substantial reversal back up into the $80K's. A double bottom and rally despite the tariff situation ongoing suggests huge support/strength in that area on the HTF, I am now satisfied that BTC has closed the area of imbalance caused by the US election pump, confirming support. This event also coincided with SPX bouncing off the 1D 200 EMA.
Since then Bitcoin has rallied back to the upper limit of the downtrend channel (see my previous posts on this structure) which also has the 4H & 1D 200 EMA placed there. For a bullrun to sustain itself these moving averages are important to maintain momentum, time spent under these MA's kill the bullish trend and weaken sentiment around the move.
Last week we saw a very tight trading range of only 4%, that is compared to 15.4% the week previous. My theory was that this compression of price around a key area (4H & 1D 200 EMA + trend channel high) leads to a much bigger impulse move, the only question was in which direction?
The minute the weekly bar closed BTC exploded above both of these MA's and out of the downtrend, so it looks like the question is answered when it comes to direction of the impulse move. The next question is, will it stick?
I do find the timing of the move somewhat suspicious as the majority of Europe are on a public holiday, could this be a MM taking advantage of thin order books? the SPX pre-market is fairly neutral and so I believe tomorrow will tell the true story of where BTC really is.
BTCUSDT Reaches Critical Volume Zone: Potential Reversal?**Executive Summary:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently testing one of the most sensitive areas on its macro volume profile: the 96,000 to 96,500 USDT range. This is a historically significant resistance zone marked by institutional distribution, aligning with a major wall on the VPVR. The current structure suggests a potential buyer exhaustion and opens a highly calculated tactical short opportunity.
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**Macro Technical Context:**
From the 85,000 USDT base, BTC has rallied with strong institutional confluence:
- Rising Open Interest (new capital, not just a squeeze)
- Sustained positive cumulative delta
- Real volume accompanying all breakouts
The current move has pushed price directly into the most significant volume resistance level since early 2024.
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**Macroeconomic Backdrop (April 2025):**
Recent global developments add additional layers of complexity:
- The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% amid aggressive US tariff policies, sparking fears of global economic slowdown.
- Inflation is decelerating slowly, but financial stability risks are increasing, especially in emerging markets with high debt exposure.
- The US economy is under pressure, with reduced 2025 growth projections (1.8%) and potential recession indicators.
Despite this bearish macro backdrop, BTC has acted as a partial hedge, with capital flows possibly seeking alternative stores of value amidst fiat instability.
However, macro headwinds should not be ignored — any surge in risk-off sentiment or liquidity contraction could catalyze aggressive profit-taking.
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**Area of Interest: 96,200 – 96,600 USDT**
This is a zone where:
- VPVR shows dense prior institutional activity
- Previous breakouts failed
- Potential bull trap setup is likely
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**Tactical Playbook: Institutional Reactive Short**
**Entry:** Sell Limit at 96,500
**Stop Loss:** 96,950 (above local liquidity)
**TP1:** 94,800 (prior volume cluster)
**TP2:** 93,300 (pre-squeeze area)
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3.2
**Activation Criteria:**
- OI begins to drop within the zone
- Delta turns neutral or negative after failed breakout
- Volume spikes with no follow-through
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**Retracement Scenarios to Watch**
Even if the short setup plays out, it may not signal trend reversal but rather a healthy retracement within an ongoing bullish structure.
**Expected retracement zones:**
- 94,800 – former breakout zone
- 93,300 – pre-squeeze structure
These areas align with VWAP anchors and previous institutional footprints. If price returns to these zones and OI holds or rises, they offer excellent long re-entry opportunities.
However, if BTC drops below 92k with collapsing OI and negative delta, a larger trend shift may be in play.
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**Cold Read: Can BTC Retrace Further?**
Yes, and that’s not only possible — it may be technically healthy.
BTC has rallied +13% from 85k to 96k in under 36h. That’s steep. While Open Interest is climbing and delta is still positive, price has now deviated far above both daily and weekly VWAP anchors.
Technically, this creates a reversion risk. If we begin to see exhaustion signals at 96.5k (stalling delta, volume spikes with no follow-through, and flat or declining OI), a pullback becomes not just plausible, but strategic for institutions.
Important: This does *not* invalidate the uptrend. It simply opens room for tactical reloads near 93–94k.
Only if price breaks 92k with clear unwind do we entertain full trend reversal.
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**Invalidation Triggers:**
- Consolidation above 97,000 with rising OI
- Aggressive delta returns on breakout continuation
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**Conclusion:**
This setup presents a high-asymmetry counter-trend opportunity, but it requires disciplined execution. Only act with confirmed confluence. If invalidated, the structure supports continuation toward 99,000+.
Traders must also consider macroeconomic pressures that could weigh on risk appetite and crypto liquidity. Meanwhile, pullbacks to key VWAP zones around 93–94k could offer tactical reloads in favor of the prevailing trend.
Stay sharp. The market doesn't care about opinions—only data.
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**Author:** Pôncio Pacífico
Ex-institutional, now underground.
"Read the flow. Everything else is noise."
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*Liked the analysis? Drop a comment or follow for real-time tactical updates.*
Update on BTC - Buy everything around 75K ! What happened with FOMC was a clear sign they want to Shakeout retail hard !
Sell here but buy everything at 75K
Buy BTC
Buy ETH
definitely buy DOGE dip
Buy ADA
& lastly Buy DYDX
Sell all your alts at 120K BTC
DCA on BTC until it bottoms and head for 140K
From 140K we might break the trend and move up to 160-180
But you can sell 10% Daily until that happens
Cycle Top would be 169K
Good luck
BTCUSDT - Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500BTCUSDT | From Bearish to Bullish – Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500 & 108 000 Target
If you recall my April 7th and 10th ideas:
and
Both setups have played out beautifully: BTC has rallied into our zones and now looks ready for a controlled retracement before the next leg higher.
1. Chart Structure & Context
Pattern: Five-month descending wedge (Nov ’24 – Apr ’25) marked by progressively lower highs & lows.
Breakout: Early May delivered a decisive close above the upper blue trendline—shifting control from bears to bulls.
Key Retest: The optimal pullback level is the demand block at ≈ 86 500 USDT, left behind by the swift breakout.
2. Key Levels to Watch
95 000 USDT – Resistance turned pullback trigger. Expect initial seller defense here.
86 500 USDT – Primary demand zone. High-probability long entry for mid-term positions.
108 000 USDT – Prior all-time daily swing high and next logical upside target.
3. Trade Plan
Patience: Wait for price to stall around 95 000 USDT and roll over.
Entry: Seek bullish price-action signals in the 86 500 USDT zone.
4. Targets & Path Forward
Short-term: A retest of 95 000–96 200 will fuel a deeper refill into 86 500, your high-odds long zone.
Mid-term: Defending 86 500 and reclaiming the former downtrend line will establish a higher-low on the daily—paving the way to 108 000 USDT.
BTC Current Situation!Hello traders,
Here's a quick update on BTC in the 3-day timeframe:
BTC has rebounded from the lower support level but is currently facing resistance at the 21 MA near $86K. The candle needs to break above this resistance to confirm the continuation of the rebound. Failure to do so may result in a rejection, potentially dragging the price below $80K.
Strategy:
~ Accumulation: $74k to $80k.
~ Short-term Target: $100k.
~ Mid-term Target: $130k.
~ Long-term Target: $150k and above.
Note: Always do your own research analysis before investing.
Are we headed for ATH? My next tradesTuesday Trading Update 🎯
In today’s video, we dive into the higher time frame analysis of Bitcoin. We’re breaking down key live levels and the ongoing price action narrative.
We’ve seen a solid 3-tap Trinity Model play out on the lows, tapping into a 2H demand zone—a move that’s giving us the conviction for a bullish structure break.
Right now, I’m watching for a potential retracement to confirm support before a bullish continuation targeting the $95K zone.
🚀 Follow for more insights and stay ahead of the move!
Is the Market Setting You Up? My BTC Manipulation TheoryEveryone’s hyped about BTC’s run — but is this rally legit, or just another carefully staged trap? Let’s break it down…
BTC, as well as other cryptocurrencies, have been performing well lately — but the big question remains: “Is this manipulation?”
Well, here’s my take.
Whenever a piece of news drops — whether it’s from regulators, governments, or financial figures — it affects crypto prices, positively or negatively. The Trump and Fed saga might be playing a part here, but I believe our collective participation has also fueled the price movement. Now with institutions stepping into our space, there’s a new problem.
Now to business.
On the chart, I’ve outlined key routes and zones from the weekly down to the 4H timeframe to help answer this question.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC fought hard and bounced off an area of imbalance. During this HTF rebalancing, it created a strong sell-side liquidity area on the 4H timeframe. There was also a period of consolidation — which shouldn’t be ignored, because it holds clues to our big question.
After this accumulation phase (which happens on all zones, because time is fractal), BTC took liquidity to the upside — making what I believe is a manipulative move.
Now, on the 4H chart, you’ll notice a sort of rebalance happening. It’ll most likely drop down to the TSE:RE zone I marked, to hit stop-losses set by the bulls, tricking people into thinking we’ve gone bearish — only to trap them again before distribution occurs (you might lose it at this point, lol).
So — we’ve identified potential market manipulation.
If this theory holds, where might distribution take place?
I’ve marked out possible areas, and it’s most likely within the $93k - $99k region.
Why?
These zones hold a significant chunk of pending orders.
BTC hitting $99k will get everyone thinking the bears are finished — perfect for a trap.
NB: Don’t expect this all to happen in a day or a week… lol.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice — just my observation.
Hope it was easy enough to follow.
LEAVE A FOLLOW AND A BOOST!