BTC Bias Update tug-of-war between key liquidity zones
• Liquidity Magnets:
• Upside: Identified Draw on Liquidity (DOL) at higher levels (e.g., 111,968.0 (4H), 111,340.3 (30m)) and an "Ongoing" BSL 4H at 110,0996.3 present resistance and potential targets for bullish moves.
• Downside: Prominent DOLs (e.g., 105,252.6 (2H), 103,463.9 (30m)) and a critical SSL zone between 100,500.0 - 100,000.0 (4H, 2H, 1H) act as significant downside targets.
Bias Assessment:
• Bearish Bias: 65%
• The immediate price action suggests a likely "Draw on Liquidity" towards the substantial Sellside Liquidity (SSL) zone around $100,000, consistent with recent minor bearish momentum.
• Bullish Bias: 35%
• The bullish case hinges on a potential strong reversal from the confluence of the $100,000 SSL and the powerful Bullish Order Block, which could then target the overhead Buyside Liquidity.
BTCUST trade ideas
BTCUSDT | Neutral to Bearish Bias | Range Top | (June 8, 2025)BTCUSDT | Neutral to Bearish Bias | Range Top + Money Flow Out | (June 8, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Bitcoin is currently ranging near the top of a multi-day structure, but money flow has been consistently negative on the daily — hinting at hidden weakness. I'm now preparing for a potential move lower despite recent bullish sentiment.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters (Risk Management Focus):
Bias: Neutral to short-term bearish
Key Level to Watch: ~$94,000 (potential support target)
Risk Strategy:
— Reducing altcoin exposure by 50%
— Moving stop losses to entry across open positions
— Hedging if downside momentum increases
(This is not financial advice — just a view on how I’m managing risk.)
3️⃣ Key Notes:
❌ Money Flow Weakness: Daily outflows have been persistent across the entire consolidation — a warning sign even if price holds range highs.
📊 4H Structure: Still within a clean range. Currently at the top, which historically has triggered rejections.
🔥 Exchange Behavior: We're seeing flows back into exchanges, not out — which could suggest increased sell pressure or rotation rather than long-term accumulation.
🧠 Sentiment Caution: While many are still targeting higher levels (like $100K+), this current range and flow data suggests a pause or pullback before continuation — if it happens.
4️⃣ Follow-Up:
Will stay cautious and flexible. If BTC breaks above the range cleanly with strong volume and inflow data flips, I’ll re-evaluate bias. Until then, managing exposure tightly.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
BITCOIN SHORT TERM UPDATE!!! Recently we have seen a great price move from 100K to 110K. We got clear Change Of Character , which indicates a sign of strength. Also we got bearish cypher harmonic pattern formed. So now we can expect a slight pullback up to 106-103k region from there we may see price reversing. But price should hold 100.3K region to remain bullish in short term.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Maintain The Dominance After BreakoutBuyers keep the dominance after we had that volatile breakout near $106K. As we see that buyside volume is growing, we are expecting to retest the local ATH, which is basically 1.5K away from the current price (basically nothing).
After that, we are expecting to see some volatility, which eventually will turn into a breakout and a new ATH!
Swallow Academy
BTC - SetupWe’ve just broken through the major bearish trend reversal zone.
If momentum holds — and I believe it will —
we’re likely about to see the next BTC rally,
which means altcoins will follow.
But now is not the time to enter.
Anyone who hasn’t positioned long after all the entry setups we had is just fucked and missed it...
Right now, it’s time to wait and to do nothing.
We’ll see what the future will bring.
This is also the moment to lock in and stick to your plan — no matter what.
Euphoria is coming, and those without fixed rules
are going to get absolutely wrecked.
LFG.
Send it higher. 🚀
Technical Chart Analysis – BTC/USDT (4H Timeframe)📊 Current Price: ~105,108 USDT
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🔵 Support Zone (Highlighted in Purple)
Zone Range: ~102,500 – 103,800 USDT
💡 Historical Significance:
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times (📍June 13 & June 4), marking clear demand and buyer interest.
🛡️ Buyers stepped in strongly, causing sharp price reversals from this level.
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🔴 Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Blue)
Zone Range: ~109,500 – 111,000 USDT
🔼 Marked with multiple failed breakout attempts (📍May 21 and projected again around June 18-20).
⛔️ Sellers dominate this zone, causing price rejection each time it was tested.
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🔁 Rounded Bottom Formation (Cup Pattern?) ☕️
⚙️ A smooth rounded recovery pattern is forming, indicating accumulation and potential bullish continuation.
📈 If price sustains and retests the resistance again with momentum, we may see a breakout attempt.
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🧭 Key Takeaways
Indicator Insight
🟣 Support Well-defined, historically respected zone. Good risk/reward for long entries.
🔵 Resistance Strong sell pressure zone. Needs breakout for bullish confirmation.
☕ Pattern Rounded bottom = bullish setup if volume supports the breakout.
📆 Watch Zone June 17–20 – potential resistance retest.
🔔 Risk Area Failure to hold mid-range (~105K) could lead to a retest of support.
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🚀 Bullish Scenario
✅ Break and close above 111,000 USDT with volume.
📍 Target: 113,500–115,000 USDT 📈
🐻 Bearish Scenario
❌ Rejection at resistance again.
📍 Retest of support zone ~103,000 USDT or below.
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
BTC down to 70k...maybeI've been saying this for a while now -> Most people are just not ready for BTC volatility. It may go up to 150k one day, but NOT before it hits a few trees first and maybe a cat. Best offset here is UVIX (think market volatility insurance, up +6% earlier today), Gold, and Oil now that things are heating back up again!
Best of luck and always do your own DD!
Last week Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance!🚨 Bitcoin Update – A Bullish Storm Is Brewing? 💥
Last week, Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance zone, and guess what? That liquidity is still untouched. The market hasn’t fully tapped into it yet — and that’s a big deal.
Recently, BTC smashed through resistance and even left behind a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), signaling strength. But hold on—after this breakout, the market is showing signs of a minor pullback, likely to retest its marked IRL (Important Reaction Level).
📉 It’s cooling off temporarily... but don’t blink. This zone could act as a springboard for the next big leg up.
💡 Here’s the kicker: there’s still a ton of liquidity waiting above. If the market wants it—and it usually does—there’s a high probability (80%+) of another bullish push.
👀 Watch this area closely. It’s a make-or-break zone.
📊 Do Your Own Research (DYOR) – this is not financial advice, just a friendly nudge from the charts.
BTCUSDT – Strategy and Trend Probabilities for 2025In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) has become less interesting — there isn’t much room left for significant movement, and most of the “cream” has already been skimmed off. However, since it's essentially the index of the crypto market, I’m sharing this trading idea for context - to show where we currently are and what scenarios might unfold.
The price is globally moving within an ascending channel.
A secondary triangle pattern is forming.
Within this triangle, we can see the outlines of an inverse head and shoulders pattern - or possibly a cup and handle - both aligning with the channel’s resistance.
Potential scenarios:
a) Price breaks out of the triangle.
b) Price moves toward the triangle’s support, forming another wave inside it.
c) Price moves to retest the main ascending channel’s support.
d) Price fluctuates within the central range of the channel.
There aren't many options, and none of them would break the primary trend. Altcoin movements will largely depend on BTC’s behavior.
Therefore, it’s crucial to build a trading strategy that considers both the likely and less likely (but possible) outcomes.
Looking at the broader picture:
The previous minor altseason (winter 2024) was short and weak, except for a few coins.
There was no real secondary altseason in spring 2025.
Statistically, summer tends to be quiet - due to holidays and so on.
The first two points contradicted the expectations of most traders - so we’ll see how things play out with the third. If there's no altseason in summer either, then logically, winter might turn out to be quite aggressive.
BTC: Strong bullish trend, key resistance 111–112k in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes (1D to 15min).
Major supports: 100335, 104940, 106743 – multi-timeframe confluence, natural risk management levels.
Key resistances: 109952 – 111949 (historical pivot zones).
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator clearly favoring "Risk On" (strong buy). Tech sector in leadership mode, favorable context.
Volumes normal to moderately elevated, no major behavioral anomalies (ISPD DIV neutral).
No significant divergence between technical and behavioral indicators detected.
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Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall bias : firmly bullish, but tactical caution just below 111,000–112,000.
Opportunities : prioritize buys/reloads on pullbacks to 104,900–100,300.
Risk zones : clean break below 103.7k ⇒ risk of acceleration to 95.6k; invalidation if daily close <103,700$ or >2 sessions <97,100$.
Macro catalysts : Fed decision (06/18), US CPI (06/12), Trump speech (06/10); anticipate higher volatility.
Action plan : engage tactically below resistance; recommended swing stop-loss at $97,000; active management after each catalyst event.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D : Massive support 100k-103k, critical resistance 111–112k. Robust momentum and context, no behavioral overheating.
12H : Steady staircase progression, intermediate supports respected (104940–106743), healthy volumes, ongoing up-trend.
6H : Bullish background, no excessive flow or defensive behavioral signals.
4H : Resistance zone test (111949–109952), structure remains solidly up, no reversal detected.
2H : Slightly rising volumes on resistance test, no behavioral excess. Positive momentum.
1H : Active resistance test, moderate volumes. Bullish structure intact.
30min : Micro-consolidation below resistance, no excessive volume/behavior. Trend up.
15min : Volume spike on last upward move, rapid normalization. Reload possible if breakout above 110k is confirmed.
Multi-timeframe summary : Bullish confluence, no strong reversal signal as long as support at 103.7k holds.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong buy, tech sector leading, no structural risk detected in capital rotation.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Synthesis & Decision-Making
__________________________________________________________________________________
Dominant structure : BTC market structurally bullish, supported by multi-timeframe converging supports and solid tech sector.
No behavioral anomaly (ISPD DIV neutral); volumes under control; only vigilance below 111–112k due to matured seller pressure.
Macro context : Fed’s rates unchanged expected, major catalysts nearing with potential for significant volatility.
On-chain analysis : active distribution from long-term holders, critical area 103.7k–97.1k, demand must absorb “long-duration” supply.
Trading recommendation : favor buys/reloads on pullback (104,900–100,300); tactical caution under 111–112k; swing stop-loss at $97,000 advised.
BTC structurally bullish, but approaches a critical phase: robust multi-timeframe supports, positive macro momentum, no excessive behavioral exuberance. Heightened vigilance required below 111–112k due to pressure from long-term holders; dynamic risk management needed around major macro events.
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BTC 4H – Critical Support Zones Being TestedCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently retesting its $107.2k support, which has now turned into resistance after a decisive breakdown.
Support Levels to Watch:
- Upper Support Zone: $105k – $104.4k
- Lower Support Zone: $101.4k – $100.7k
Bounce from $104.4k–$105k will be a temporary relief, but it needs strength to reclaim $107.2k.
If the upper zone is not held, the next leg will be towards the lower zone, near $101.4k—$100.7k.
Breakout confirmation only above $110k (previous rejection zone).
The market is showing signs of weakness, especially with increased selling around resistance. Avoid rushing into trades—better setups may come if key zones hold or break.
Tip: Watch for bullish divergences or strong volume at the lower support for potential reversal setups.
BTC's trading strategy for todayBTC has continued its upward trend as analyzed. It tested the resistance area above 110,000 today and began to decline. A small - scale decline is expected within the day, and short - term trading can try shorting.
BTC's trading strategy for today:
BTCUSDT sell@110000-111000
tp:108000-107000
HolderStat┆BTCUSD springs from 100k railAfter a week-long pullback, CRYPTOCAP:BTC ricochets off 100 k support, keeping the rising-channel narrative alive. Bitcoin price now squeezes beneath a descending trendline; a daily close over 109 k could unleash a breakout toward the 112-114 k resistance shelf.