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BTCUST trade ideas

CONCERNS FOR US ECONOMY CAUSES BITCOIN TO COLLAPSE!!!!!!Bitcoin prices fell below $92,000, hitting their lowest level since last November. The collapse in risk assets began last week amid growing concerns about the outlook for the US economy, amplified by President Donald Trump's escalating tariff threats and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy bought another 20,365 bitcoins worth nearly $2 billion, bringing the total number of bitcoins to 499,096 or roughly $33.1 billion. Technically bitcoin is still bullish and trading sideways for now. we can hope for it to breakout up and continue is bullish trend to $150 000. otherwise if it breaks going down the next buy will come from support. I am bullish
Long
by ForxTay
Bitcoin final fall to $86500I have been calling bitcoin to hit $86500 area from the start of the month and even expected a correction like this before then. That is where I anticipate the bottom of the dip will be. I shared an analysis in another idea from then showing how bitcoin always retraces to the fib 38.2 area whenever we get a monthly correction. This is another monthly correction and we have yet to hit that target but went very close...actually arguably it got hit depending on the exchange you look at but I think we'll fall once again and clear all doubts. Looking to scale out 70% at $86500 and full close at $86000
Short
by Filnft
Bitcoin Crash Incoming? Price Target Set at $71,200!The newly developed accumulation detection indicator currently shows a significant accumulation at the peak of Bitcoin, with a width of 20.9%. Typically, when such accumulations break out, the price tends to move in the breakout direction by an amount equal to the accumulation width, i.e., 20.9%. A breakout is confirmed when the closing price of a bar falls outside one of the accumulation boundaries. I believe that the closing price is more likely to occur beyond the lower boundary of the accumulation, which would indicate a prolonged downward movement of 20.9% from the lower boundary. This corresponds to a target of approximately $71,200. This indicator is optimized for use on the daily Bitcoin chart, and historical data suggests that breakout targets are met with high accuracy—unless a subsequent range forms immediately after the previous one. Wishing you success in your trading!
Short
by Smollet
BTC - a lot to talk aboutSplitting this edition in two charts because both htf and ltf are interesting here, let's dive in! HTF (bottom chart) - Since we are clearly trending over the last few days, I'm adding back my EMAs. My mistake for not looking at this earlier, we can clearly see how H4 EMA 100/200 (yellow) have been resistance since the start of Feb. - First tap of D1 EMA 200 (green): no reaction, which shows the weakness (or actually strength of sellers). Now consolidating just below. Get above means we expect to fill the gap to D1 EMA 100 and/or H4 EMA 100/200. - Post-election range is lost. Giving no retest other than on very ltf so far, we have to see this as a strong breakout. - Big green box is the imbalance we left after breaking out of 2024 range. In a way that is perfectly normal, we'll have to monitor closely what happens inside though. - Question is now this: do we find demand here and accept back inside our previous range? In that case we can expect range poc or even range highs to get tagged. if we don't find demand here, we look at htf volume profile next. 70k is were high volume starts, which is normal because that's where the acceleration upwards started. Hold 70k should be important for bulls. If we get below, it should be on a liquidation cascade that gets bought back up quickly. That's bulls LIS for continuation upwards tho imo. - HTF structure is not very practice for us to consider here, as you can see that structure remains "bullish" until 50k is lost. Not actionable for how I trade, but good exercise to stay aware of it. LTF (top chart) still have some drawings from a few days ago (red lines): - Tuesday's POC indeed became resistance, from where we took out the bad lows we identified. - From there we had a decent buyback, tagging H4 trend for the first time since our trending move down began (white lines). This is almost always resistance on the first tap, especially since it coincides with the orderblock that created the last lows (red box). - if we manage to break H4 trend I think the single prints above are a good target, taking out the first series of bad highs and tagging H4 EMA 100. From there we broke structure (purple lines) as well and can assume that we found balance, chop around a bit here before picking a direction. - If we don't break H4 trend we either look for consolidation between 78-87k, position on the extremes or imbalances - grinding below 80k instead of taking those stops with a quick move, would make me weary for new lows.
by Tealstreet
1
UNIVERSOFSIGNALS| Bitcoin Daily Analysis #18👋 Welcome to UNIVERS OF SIGNALS ! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. Yesterday, the price broke the critical support level at $87,700 and proceeded to the next bearish leg. Today, we'll explore what might happen to Bitcoin in the future and identify appropriate triggers for opening positions in the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see, yesterday the price was rejected from $89,458 and moved downwards, breaking the support at $87,070 and dropping to the area of $83,779. ⚡️ As you notice, I have adjusted the Fibonacci that I had drawn. This is because the price did not even correct to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In fact, the correction and rest that occurred up to $89,458 was not a true correction, but rather a part of the bearish leg. ✅ As you can see in this new form that I have drawn Fibonacci, the 0.5 and 0.382 levels have become very important areas and can be considered significant resistance zones for the price. ♟ Currently, after reaching $83,779, the price has found support at this level, and as observed, the RSI has shown significant divergence with the previous bottom, and after the divergence trigger in the RSI hit 50, we see that the price has managed to form a green candle. 🔍 If the price can rise above this level again and return to the box between $87,070 and $89,458, we can say that the bearish trend has temporarily ended, and the market wants to create a new structure for opening positions. 🧪 As we did before, we supported from $87,070 and took a day of rest in this area. We opened a position when it broke $87,070, and I hope you were with us and opened your position. 🔄 From the positions we previously held from higher areas like $95,108 and $93,433, I suggest using Dow Theory to close your positions if the price establishes a higher floor and ceiling. You can also place your active stop loss above the resistance area of $89,458, which corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. 📈 However, for opening positions today, if the price moves sharply upward and forms a V pattern, you could consider opening a long position if it breaks $89,458. But this position is very risky, and I personally won't open it because the market trend and momentum are completely bearish, and I see no sign of an upward trend. 🔽 For short positions, if the price is rejected from $87,070, you could open a short position in the lower timeframes if this trigger breaks. However, if you want to behave more securely, you can open a short position if $83,779 breaks. 🎲 I will not be joining this position because I have positions open from higher up, and I don't want to disrupt the average of my position and have it move lower. I think the price has fallen enough and now needs rest, although my view might be wrong, and the price could from here again commence the next bearish leg. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's move on to analyzing Bitcoin dominance to determine which coins might be more appropriate to trade today. As we see, there was another drop in Bitcoin dominance, this time breaking the area of 90.61, and dominance has returned to the previous low of 60.48, where it found support. 🧩 As Bitcoin corrected, Bitcoin dominance also increased, causing Bitcoin to perform deeper corrections compared to altcoins. 🧲 When we get to Total2, we'll see that Bitcoin has corrected more than altcoins, but determining the trend in Bitcoin dominance is a bit difficult as it's nearly forming a large range box between 60.48 and 62.19. As long as it's in this box, it's hard to determine a clear trend, and it might move towards the bottom or top of the box. 💥 However, since we are currently at the bottom of this box, if dominance again stabilizes above 60.21, we can take this as confirmation of becoming bullish. If the bottom of the box, which is 60.48, breaks, dominance could move to its next bearish leg targeting 59.84. 📅 Total2 Analysis As you observed, alongside the drop in Bitcoin dominance, the market also fell, which caused Total2 to not lose its important area of 1.07 and to bounce back from there, moving upwards. ✨ But as I mentioned, the increase in Bitcoin dominance caused Bitcoin to correct more than altcoins, but overall, Total2 is in a better situation than Bitcoin because Bitcoin was supported at a lower level and lower support, but Total2 bounced back from the same support at 1.07 and is moving upwards. 💫 I expect a box to form between 1.07 and 1.13, which overlaps with the 0.382 Fibonacci, and Total2 could create a structure in this box. Today, if any of these structures break according to Bitcoin dominance, you can open positions, but given that Bitcoin dominance is falling, I prefer to open a position on Bitcoin if the bottom of the box breaks and if I want to open a long position, do it on altcoins unless Bitcoin dominance rises from the bottom of its box and starts moving upward again, becoming bullish. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let's go to the analysis of Tether dominance. As you see, dominance broke the resistance at 5.04 and made another upward move to the resistance at 5.21. ⭐️ Currently, dominance is moving downwards again and has entered a corrective phase. There is a very important floor at 4.92, and as long as it is above this area, I see the trend of Tether dominance as bullish. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
Is the decline of #BTC over? 📊 Is the decline of #BTC over? 💬 🧠From a structural point of view, we started to rebound after hitting the support area of ​​84000-86000, and successfully broke through the downward trend line, which means that the downward trend at the 1-hour level has ended, and we need to be alert to the risk of rebound. ➡️From a graphical point of view, an ascending wedge is constructed here. Generally, we will fall according to this model. Therefore, if you want to participate in new long transactions, you need to wait patiently for the price to return to the vicinity of the downward trend line or return to the vicinity of the yellow support area. ⚠️Note that the larger level of downside risk has not been eliminated. We still need to maintain a cautious attitude and focus on shock trading. Let's take a look👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
Rsi shows 1 more push on the weekly this will define the top The chart marks previous Bitcoin tops with orange circles, aligning with Stochastic RSI overbought signals. Every cycle top (2013, 2017, 2021) showed similar patterns of high price and overbought RSI Right now btc is over sold creating a cross to the upside while btc has held strong above 80k For a push to new highs we need to see btc show strength with a long candle on the weekly while the rsi moving up slower to show buyers are coming back in. If we see btc push up but the rsi reaches the overbought and crosses befor btc can reach a new all time high i would say the top is in.
Long
by hazzac01
Secure Profits of LONGBTC/USDT 1H Technical Analysis – Updated Insights 🟢 BitcoinMF Signal: TP Hit – Key Resistance Zone The BitcoinMF PRO indicator's long signal successfully hit the Take Profit (TP) target, aligning with a resistance level around $94,410. This area is now a critical decision point for BTC's next move.​ 📊 Advanced Technical Breakdown: 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions: To assess potential support and resistance levels, key Fibonacci levels have been recalculated based on the recent price movement:​ 0.236 Fib Retracement (Support) → $87,416​ 0.382 Fib Retracement (Support) → $85,991​ 0.618 Fib Retracement (Stronger Support) → $80,423​ 1.618 Fib Extension (Bullish Target) → $98,217​ 2.618 Fib Extension (Aggressive Target) → $104,500​ These levels suggest that maintaining support above $87,000 could pave the way for a move toward 98K, while a breach below this support might lead to a deeper retracement.​ 2️⃣ CME Gap – Key Risk Factor A CME gap exists between $77,930 and $81,210, formed in November 2024. Historically, such gaps tend to be filled over time, indicating a potential retracement to this zone before resuming the macro uptrend. ​ 3️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance – Altcoin Impact BTC Dominance is currently at 52.8%, indicating that Bitcoin is leading the market rally. This dominance suggests that if BTC corrects, altcoins may experience more significant declines in the short term.​ 4️⃣ Exchange Flows – Whale Activity There has been a significant outflow of BTC from exchanges, signaling accumulation by investors and reduced selling pressure. This trend supports the potential for further upside unless a reversal pattern emerges.​ 5️⃣ Fear & Greed Index – Market Sentiment The Fear & Greed Index currently reads 81 (Extreme Greed), reflecting strong bullish sentiment. While this indicates market confidence, it also warrants caution, as extreme greed can precede corrective phases.​ 6️⃣ Fisher Transform & Stochastic RSI Fisher Transform: The indicator is in the overbought zone but has not yet signaled a reversal.​ Stochastic RSI: Recently crossed above 80, indicating overheated conditions and suggesting a potential cooldown or sideways movement.​ 🔮 Next Most Probable Move: 📊 Probability Score (Scale 1-10) Bullish Continuation Probability: 6.5/10​ Short-Term Correction Probability: 7.5/10​ 🔹 Scenarios: If BTC maintains support above 87K, a move toward 98K is plausible.​ If BTC falls below 87K, the 80K region becomes the next significant support level.​ 🚨 Most Likely Outcome: A short-term retracement toward 87K-85K is anticipated before the uptrend potentially resumes, targeting 98K-100K.
Short
by BitcoinMF
Capturing Market Moves with the Special Candle SetupOverview The Special Candle Setup Indicator has once again proven its effectiveness in detecting high-probability candlestick formations. In this chart, a bearish pattern was identified at the top, providing an early indication of a potential downside move. This setup allowed traders to position themselves accordingly, capturing the downward trend efficiently. How It Worked Here 🔹 Precise Bearish Signal – The indicator detected a bearish pattern at a key resistance level, signaling a potential reversal. 🔹 Well-Defined Key Levels – The automatically plotted blue support line and green resistance line provided crucial reference points for trade management. 🔹 Trend Continuation Confirmation – The setup was followed by further bearish price action, validating the accuracy of the signal. Key Takeaways ✅ Early Signal Accuracy – The indicator highlighted the reversal before the major drop, reinforcing its reliability. ✅ Multi-Market Application – These candlestick formations are not limited to expiry days; they are observed across crypto, forex, stocks, and indices. ✅ Customizable for Different Strategies – Users can enable or disable specific pattern types (bullish/bearish or reversal setups) based on their trading style. Why This Matters? Price action remains one of the most powerful trading tools, and this indicator helps traders automate pattern detection while integrating dynamic support and resistance levels for added confluence.
Long
by TradeTechanalysis
Bitcoin- Fibonacci Retest and Oversold RSIBitcoin's daily chart shows a significant price retracement, currently testing the key 0.5 Fibonacci level around $79,000. This level historically acts as a strong support zone during corrective phases. If BTC holds above this level, it could signal a potential rebound. However, if it breaks lower, the next major support is near $72,000 (0.618 Fibonacci level). Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to the 20 level, indicating extreme oversold conditions. Historically, such low RSI readings have led to strong reversals. If buying pressure emerges, BTC could see a recovery from these levels. Regards Hexa
Long
by HexaTrades
BTCUSDT. We can start looking for medium-term purchases.Hey traders and investors! Looks like price is close to downside targets as expected in the linked post. I assume that the most capitalized coins have not yet reached their short targets (for example BTC, BNB, SOL). This means that there will probably be further price reductions. The price has almost reached the level of 50% of the last impulse on the monthly TF. We can start looking for medium-term purchases. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
#BTC continues to break support, what's next?📊#BTC continues to break support, what's next? 🧠From a structural perspective, yesterday's break below the 84,000-86,000 support zone means we broke below the candlestick concentration zone ahead. Although the price has recovered now, the market has given a more pessimistic signal, so we need to respect the market. Yesterday, we also mentioned that the downside risk has not been lifted, so long trades need to be more conservative, so we lowered our positions and chose to move the stop loss up, and ended up with a small loss. ➡️If you still want to participate in new long trades, then we need to wait patiently for the bullish structure to be established, or more stabilization signals to appear. ➡️If the overlapping yellow support zone continues to be broken, then pay attention to the next support zone of 72,000-73,800 Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888