09/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $106,812.33
Last weeks low: $100,372.93
Midpoint: $103,592.63
Billionaire spats and V-shaped recoveries, the beginning of June starts off in an interesting way. As President Trump goes forward with "The big beautiful bill" Elon Musk lets his feelings be known publicly sending shockwaves throughout markets, but what does this mean for Bitcoin?
The bill could add $3-5T in US government spending which is great for risk-on assets as there is more money able to flow into markets. I believe this exact thought process is visible on the chart in the V-shaped recovery we can see on Thursday. A clear sell-off as Elon Musk's anti government spending views clash with the bill, the uncertainty causes a sell the news moment, just as BTC comes into $100,000 the dip is bought up on the realization this means greater inflows are on the way, dips are truly for buying at this stage in the cycle and to me, this proves it.
In a more bearish view of the chart I would say the clear resistance is now weekly high at ~$106,000. Anything above that meets huge selling pressure with price discovery on the other side the market just doesn't seem to have the fuel as of yet to make the next step. However I believe it is just a matter of time and as M2 global money supply grows we get closer and closer to seeing new significant highs.
For this week CPI & PPI take place on Wednesday and Friday respectively. With CPI set to grow from 2.3% to 2.5% according to forecasts it will be interesting to see how markets react, expect short term volatility. Key battlegrounds for me are weekly high and midpoint.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTCUST trade ideas
NEW WEEK NEW TRADES! New Week. New Opportunities. 🚀
As we step into the second week of June, we’re fully prepared to take advantage of the markets — with both long 📈 and short 📉 setups ready in advance.
✅ We caught most of the major moves last week — now let’s see if the trading gods 🙏 are on our side again.
📊 Charts are ready — feel free to download them, and drop any trade setups you’re watching in the comments below.
🟠 BTC is on the road to redemption after the SFP at the daily higher low.
Will it break 4H structure? Or reverse back down? Either way, we’re prepared and positioned for both scenarios.
🗓️ This Week’s Schedule:
Classes are expected on Monday, Tuesday, and Friday.
⏰ Exact times TBC — stay tuned.
Is BTC in a Wycoff Distribution?BTC has failed to breakout from $110k and hold. I am starting to notice a possible Wycoff distribution pattern on bigger and smaller timeframes. I am a long term bull on BTC so don't meant to sound like a bear but it is starting to show signs of weakness. Anything can happen and the market is always right. Stay safe!
2nd Tiqgpt signal for BTCUSDT todayMARKET NARRATIVE: The analysis of BTC/USD across multiple timeframes reveals a consistent narrative of smart money accumulation and price advancement. Starting from the 1-hour chart, we observe a significant upward movement marked by a series of bullish candles, indicating a strong buying interest. This movement is characterized by the formation of a robust Order Block (OB) around the $106,300 level, which acts as a foundational base for subsequent price ascents.
Drilling down to the 15-minute timeframe, the continuation of bullish sentiment is evident as price action maintains above the previously established 1-hour OB, suggesting sustained institutional buying pressure. The price structure here shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicative of a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming a bullish market structure shift.
On the 5-minute chart, the granularity increases, and we see more detailed interactions around key liquidity zones. The price action around these zones suggests that smart money is actively managing the ascent, possibly accumulating more positions on minor pullbacks. Each pullback into short-term mitigation blocks is met with a swift response, propelling prices further up.
The 1-minute timeframe provides the closest look at the micro-movements and shows the precision with which institutional players are operating. Notably, there is a slight pullback to a mitigation block near $106,318, which could be an inducement for further buying activity. This level aligns closely with the OBs identified in higher timeframes, reinforcing its significance as a strategic entry point.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: The consistent demand across all observed timeframes and the strategic positioning around key OBs suggest that smart money is targeting higher liquidity zones above the current price levels. The intent appears to be to drive prices towards the next significant liquidity pool, potentially around the $107,000 mark, where previous highs and unmitigated OBs converge.
LEARNING POINT: The interaction between multi-timeframe OBs and the execution of trades around these zones exemplifies the smart money concept of using lower timeframe pullbacks to OBs as high-probability entry points in the direction of the prevailing market structure.
BTCUSDT Analysis – Pivot 103k/106k, strategy and key zones__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Bullish structure on 1D/12H (MTFTI “Up”), but short-term consolidation (1H-2H “Down”). Momentum exhaustion observed.
Key Supports/Resistances : Resistances: 105287.8 / 106743.9 / 109952.8 / 111949. Supports: 103033.3 / 100333.3 / 93337.4. Repeated rejections below 105-106k, active testing of 103-100k supports.
Volume : Normal or slightly elevated on all timeframes. No capitulation or euphoric extremes detected.
Multi-TF Behaviour : Strong sector leadership (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = “Strong Buy” across all frames; growth stocks > market). No behavioural anomalies on ISPD DIV. High-cycle consolidation below resistance.
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Strategic Summary
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Overall Bias : Neutral/bullish as long as 103k/100k holds. Bullish momentum intact, but short-term caution warranted.
Opportunities : Defensive buys/technical pullbacks above 103k; scalp/range trading 103-106k.
Risk Zones : Confirmed breakdown below 100k or acceleration in LTH distribution.
Macro Catalysts : Next FOMC June 17-18; no major short-term events identified (recent neutral macro, FOMC is key for swings).
Action Plan : Prioritize strict stops (≥3%) near pivots, consistent monitoring of behaviour/volume. Avoid overexposure pre-FOMC.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D : Structuring range below 109952.8-111949 resistances. Bullish HTF trend, but momentum pausing. Average volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Strong Buy”. No extreme ISPD signals (neutral).
12H – 6H : Consolidation; supports holding, no euphoric confirmation (normal volumes, ISPD DIV neutral). Sector leadership unchanged.
4H : Compression below 105287.8. Moderate volume. Defensive resumption on supports. MTFTI bullish. Dynamic risk: monitor for sell-side capitulation.
2H – 1H : Technical correction, active retest of 105k (range 103-105k). Absorption volume. MTFTI “Down”.
30min – 15min : Short-term positive bias above 103k. Risk of false break if volume remains low. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Buy”/“Strong Buy”.
Cross-Indicators : Market leadership confirmed: Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy on all frames >15min. No excess behaviour or significant divergences detected. Key ranges: 103k-105k. On-chain: heavy LTH profit-taking but no panic.
Summary : BTC market in post-cycle-high congestion phase, structurally robust, but momentum recalibrating with fewer “easy trades.”
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Cross insights & on-chain summary
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On-chain (Glassnode) : Top at $111.8k, correction to $103.2k by LTH profit-taking. Spot accumulation on $103.7k/$95.6k. Upside limited unless fresh buying flows return.
Macro events : Awaiting FOMC; no recent surprises. Price action and levels dominate short-term strategy.
Stops/invalidation : Swing long defended at 103k/100k (stop <100k H4). Partial short/sell below 106743.9/109952.8. Dynamic targets: 106-109.9k; extension: 111.8k if breakout on volume.
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Conclusion & Actionable Plan
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Market condition:
- High consolidation, ranging below major resistances.
- Long-term bullish, short-term momentum fading.
- Neutral/bullish if 100-103k holds.
- “No macro — only levels” until FOMC or volatility catalyst.
Tactical decision:
- Trade technically, stops ≥3% under supports.
- Defended buys at 103k (stop <100k), partial profit 106-109k.
- Continuous monitoring of volume/on-chain zone reaction.
- Aggressive exit/hedge below support, target 96k/83k.
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100% analysis based on TradingView multi-TF, Glassnode on-chain, macro calendar and risk management.
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Bitcoin Trading Strategy for Monday's OpeningThe Bitcoin market as a whole showed a volatile trend this week. The price opened near $105,000 at the beginning of the week, and then fluctuated up and down under the combined influence of news and market sentiment. The highest touched $107,000, and the lowest fell to $101,000. From a daily chart perspective, the price hovered near key levels multiple times, indicating a fierce game between bulls and bears in the market. In terms of trading volume, it decreased compared to last week, suggesting that market participants have a certain wait-and-see attitude at the current price level.
Comprehensive analysis shows that the Bitcoin market will continue to maintain a pattern of multi-empty games next week. If macroeconomic data is positive, there are no major negative news on the policy front, and market sentiment remains stable, the Bitcoin price is expected to break through the short-term resistance level of $105,500 and challenge the resistance level of $107,000 or even higher.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
BTC TRrade Plan 08/06/2025Dear Traders,
📊 BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – June 8, 2025
Bitcoin is currently testing the upper boundary of a descending wedge pattern. We are monitoring two main bullish scenarios:
🔹 ALT 1: If the price breaks above the wedge resistance and holds, a continuation towards the $115,000–$120,000 zone is likely. This would confirm the breakout and a potential new bullish leg.
🔹 ALT 2: In case of a rejection from the current resistance, we expect a retracement toward the demand zone around $100,000–$101,600. If price action remains bullish in this zone, this could be a strong re-entry point for long positions.
🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown and consolidation below $100,000 would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door to deeper corrections.
⚠️ Wait for confirmation and observe price action in key zones before entering any trades.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #106👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, the 105800 trigger was activated yesterday and Bitcoin’s trendline was broken. However, the price failed to hold above 105800 and quickly fell back below, making it a fake breakout.
⚡️ For now, I’m keeping the 105800 level as the long trigger to observe how the price reacts. We need to wait for a clear reaction to this zone to better refine the trendline. On the next test, if it breaks successfully, we can enter a long position.
🔍 If a higher low forms above 103899 and the RSI finds support above 50, the likelihood of breaking the 105800 resistance increases, potentially leading to a stronger upward move.
✨ On the short side, since the 105800 breakout failed, bearish momentum could increase. A breakdown below 103899 would trigger a short position with a target at 10750.
If you’ve already opened a short position before this trigger, be aware that it's a risky trade and shouldn’t be relied on as a long-term position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
The downtrend in Bitcoin dominance has continued following the breakdown of 64.29, and now it has also broken below 64.15, heading toward 63.87.
⭐ For now, BTC dominance is temporarily bearish. If the market corrects, Bitcoin might fall harder, but if the market recovers, altcoins could perform better — unless BTC dominance reverses trend.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, the long trigger at 1.16 was activated, and now the index has reached 1.18. Thanks to falling Bitcoin dominance, altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin.
✔️ If 1.18 breaks, the uptrend could continue. Key levels to watch next are 1.21 and 1.24.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
This index formed a lower high below 4.79 yesterday and is now retesting 4.70 after breaking below it.
🎲 If this pullback gets rejected, it confirms weakness in USDT dominance — which supports long positions on altcoins. However, if USDT.D climbs back above 4.70 and it turns into a fake breakdown, there’s a strong chance it could revisit 4.79 or even break that resistance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC — Altcoin Sentiment Hinges on BTC Holding BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating within a well-defined range between ~$102K and ~$112K, with a bounce off the lower boundary now challenging midrange resistance. As long as BTC trades within the range, altcoins are expected to remain strong.
🟩 Midrange: $106K
• 0.618 fib and prior supply zone
• Key inflection for either a move higher or return to range low
🔻 Range Low Support: $102K
• Break below this = plan invalid
• Expect deeper BTC correction and altcoin bleed in that scenario
📈 Bias:
• Altcoins strong = only valid if BTC holds this structure
• Rotations likely while BTC moves sideways or grinds higher
• Upside target (range high): ~$111.9K
📌 BTC stability = altcoin opportunity. Breakdown from range? Get defensive fast.
BTC SMC distribution BITSTAMP:BTCUSD That's my prediction about next BTC moves. It looks like classic SMC distribution phase. After reach ATH price failed to break it and fall. Soon I'm expecting move towards 108-110k before final strike down deeper than last time. According to my previous idea it was correct only I was wrong about top. Bearish harmonic pattern on daily time frame were correct
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]: $150,000 On The Way In Making!Hey there everyone!
Bitcoin took a bit of a dip around 105k, but it’s right back at a crucial level now. We’re keeping a close eye on the daily volume and expecting it to soar towards $115,000 before it might take another dip if the buying pressure dries up.
We’ve got three targets in mind, and you can set or look at them however you like based on your own analysis and preferences. The crypto market is going to be buzzing with volume, so keep an eye on the news and stay focused on the fundamentals. In the world of cryptocurrencies, fundamentals are more important than technicals, and it’s a whole different ball game compared to forex or gold.
Good luck with your trading, and please like and comment on this idea to show us your support. We really appreciate your support throughout our journey, and we’re excited to see it grow and continue.
If you’d like us to analyse a specific pair, just let us know!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_❤️
A Follow up to: “Adjustments for Better Readings & VSA vs BTC"When a trend approaches its end, we typically observe the formation of a buying or selling climax. That was certainly the case during Wyckoff’s era. Everything he described—market manipulation, signals, footprints—remains relevant today. But you know what that also means: if it's out there, it’s old news.
Yes, this is still happening, but we need to acknowledge that this information is no longer exclusive. And when a method becomes well-known—especially among retail traders—it can be used against them. Wyckoff himself hinted at this: the manipulators can and do use these same technical patterns to deceive. His real message?
“Keep an open mind.”
📉 In our current BTC chart, we’re seeing a textbook example of potential manipulation. A selling climax is visible—normally a sign of trend exhaustion and a bullish reversal. But is that really the case here? Did the downtrend truly end?
On the 1-Hour timeframe, both the RSI and volume indicators suggest otherwise: a bearish continuation seems more likely.
🧱 We're also witnessing a real-time formation of a Double Top pattern, taking shape since June 6. Measured by body candle spreads (excluding wicks), we observe four touches within a key price rectangle. These align with a known candlestick pattern: the Tweezer Top, commonly associated with bearish reversals.
What’s more, all of this is happening within a supply zone—actually three marked zones on the chart. The most recent zone shows signs of offloading pressure, amplified by both the Double Top and bearish candlestick formations.
And I haven’t even touched on the rejection wicks or how bearish volume spikes are gaining strength. That’s where the principle of Effort vs. Result comes in—remember, nothing in the market is free.
📊 In line with our past two posts, note how price action (PA) shows equal highs while RSI diverges, reinforcing earlier signals. The signs are stacking up.
So, the critical question now is:
Are we heading below the $100.718 level for a confirmed Head & Shoulders pattern?
Or is this just a retest before another move?
If this way of reading the market resonates with you and you want to go deeper—whether it’s building confidence or spotting signals before they play out—I work with a small circle of traders sharing TA privately on a daily basis. Feel free to reach out.
Till next time be well and trade wisely!
Bitcoin in a clear bearish movementBitcoin in a clear bearish movement
BTC created a clear bearish movement yesterday following our previous swing trade setup.
The price spend some time below the red zone near 106700 and yesterday suddenly the bearish wave started and already reached the first target.
The price could take a pause today near to 103500 - 104000 but it should continue to drop further as shown in the chart with targets 97800 and 94000
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
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