BTC projection- in a bigger picture!What I see is a close resemblance to the previous double tops on monthly chart. We are currently printing the same. If June goes red confirming the double top, we might go visit the past.
This is self explanatory so I am not adding more details.
Chart invalidates if we close above the previous months high.
BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin Crashes To $81,346.77? Good News & Bad NewsBitcoin is crashing... ? Not really, Bitcoin continues really strong above $100K.
We have good news and bad news.
Bad news. The very ultra-strong, long-term unbreakable support zone is being challenged. This is the $100,000 - $102,000 price range.
God news. It holds. This support zone is being challenged but so far it holds.
So far there is nothing unexpected here we know the market can shake, the market is bound to produce swings. If 100K breaks though this would be a completely different story. If it breaks, Bitcoin continues bullish producing a retrace only to end as a higher low followed by additional growth.
Will support break or hold, is there a way to know?
Bitcoin's retrace after the all-time high so far amounts to -10%. A standard retrace can easily push prices between 0.382 and 0.5 Fib. retracement. Anything lower and this would be a correction rather than a retrace.
Will it break?
It is possible but so far 100K is a very strong support. We have EMA55 here as well as several Fib. levels but if Bitcoin remains below $102,000 then it can definitely break.
The next major support below 100K sits at MA200 or $95,000. This is in-between 0.382-0.5 Fib. retracement. This can be used as the higher low zone and re-entry zone. But, Bitcoin is really strong and demand is big, so we have to wait for the weekly close.
Remember, Bitcoin will continue slightly bearish, consolidating, until the Fed decision. After the event, it is very likely to go full blown bullish. The altcoins will grow as well.
Watch the market shake just to recover the next day.
Are you a weak hand or a strong hand?
Do you have a trading plan?
If you do, nothing changes, simply short-term noise.
If you don't have a plan, right now you might be thinking that the world is close to its end. It isn't, Bitcoin will continue to grow, it takes time for the bulls to recharge before the next wave of growth.
Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
#BTC/USDT: Head & Shoulders Breakdown – $95K Incoming?Hey Traders!
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Bitcoin just broke below the neckline of a clear Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4H timeframe — a classic bearish signal.
As long as price stays below the neckline and fails to reclaim the $106.5K zone, we could be heading for a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support range.
Key Levels:
Breakdown Zone: ~$103.9K
Downside Target: $95K–$98K
Invalidation: Reclaim above $106.5K
Market is showing consistent weakness — small bounces are quickly sold off.
Let the pattern play out and manage your risk accordingly.
What do you think — short-term dip or deeper breakdown loading?
BTCUSDT Technical InsightThe Buy Back Zone is currently serving as a strong demand area and should be closely monitored for informed decision making. This zone has acted firmly as support, providing a solid base for the completion of the wave (4) correction, which concluded precisely at the lower boundary of the descending channel.
We now anticipate the development of a breakout structure within the descending channel (a corrective flag), suggesting the initiation of wave (5) with an upside projection toward $120,661.
A decisive breakout and successful retest above $107,570 will validate bullish momentum and pave the way for continuation towards $110,314, and eventually the $120K zone, aligning with the full extension of the broader impulse wave.
At this stage, patience is key. Allow price action to confirm strength above resistance before committing to aggressive positioning. The bullish market structure remains intact as long as the Buy Back Zone continues to hold.
Feel free to share your thoughts, are you tracking this wave count with us?
Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term.
Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again.
After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000.
In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up.
for summary:
Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K
Strong support there—watch for a bounce
If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs
Bitcoin Long Setup – Chart Analysis (June 5, 2025)We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Bitcoin technical analysis is presented as follows.
The current wave structure, based on Elliott Wave Theory, appears to be in the final stage of the corrective pattern, specifically in WAVE Y. Notably, WAVE Y has extended to 1.618 times the length of WAVE W, which suggests a potential completion of a typical WXY corrective pattern. This can be interpreted as a strong reversal signal.
In addition, the 1.414 Butterfly pattern, one of the harmonic patterns I have been monitoring, has also completed in the same zone. As Butterfly patterns often indicate high reversal probability between the 1.272 and 1.618 levels, the precise formation at the 1.414 ratio adds further technical confirmation and reliability to this signal.
In summary, the convergence of these two technical factors strongly supports a bullish bias at the current level and increases confidence in a potential short-term price rise for Bitcoin. Therefore, this zone is considered a strategic point for entering a long position.
Bitcoin’s Rally Fades Below Resistances — Bearish Wave Setup!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , but failed to break the Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,820) .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($107,520-$105,940) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($106,720-$105,948) , and the Resistance lines .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 4 near the Resistance lines. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 could be the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($103,666-$102,800) AFTER breaking the Support line , and the next target is the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) .
Note: Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine could help drive down Bitcoin.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $107,600, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
An example of a new way to interpret the OBV indicator
Hello, traders.
If you "follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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I think the reason why there are difficulties in using auxiliary indicators and why they say not to use indicators is because they do not properly reflect the price flow.
Therefore, I think many people use indicators added to the price part because they reflect the price flow.
However, I think auxiliary indicators are not used that much.
Among them, indicators related to trading volume are ambiguous to use and interpret.
To compensate for this, the OBV indicator has been modified and added.
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The ambiguous part in interpreting the OBV indicator is that the price flow is not reflected.
Therefore, even if it performs its role well as an auxiliary indicator, it can be difficult to interpret.
To compensate for this, the High Line and Low Line of the OBV auxiliary indicator have been made to be displayed in the price section.
That is, High Line = OBV High, Low Line = OBV Low
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Then, let's interpret the OBV at the current price position.
The OBV of the auxiliary indicator is currently located near the OBV EMA.
That is, the current OBV is located within the Low Line ~ High Line section.
However, if you look at the OBV High and OBV Low indicators displayed in the price section, you can see that it has fallen below the OBV Low indicator.
In other words, you can see that the price has fallen below the Low Line of the OBV indicator.
You can see that the OBV position of the auxiliary indicator and the OBV position displayed in the price section are different.
Therefore, in order to normally interpret the OBV of the auxiliary indicator, the price must have risen above the OBV Low indicator in the price section.
If not, you should consider that the interpretation of the OBV of the auxiliary indicator may be incorrect information.
In other words, if it fails to rise above the OBV Low indicator, you should interpret it as a high possibility of eventually falling and think about a countermeasure for that.
Since time frame charts below the 1D chart show too fast volatility, it is recommended to use it on a 1D chart or larger if possible.
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It is not good to analyze a chart with just one indicator.
Therefore, you should comprehensively evaluate by adding different indicators or indicators that you understand.
The indicators that I use are mainly StochRSI indicator, OBV indicator, and MACD indicator.
I use these indicators to create and use M-Signal indicator, StochRSI(20, 50, 80) indicator, and OBV(High, Low) indicator.
DOM(60, -60) indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates DMI, OBV, and Momentum indicators to display high and low points.
And, there are HA-Low, HA-High indicators, which are my basic trading strategy indicators that I created for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
Among these indicators, the most important indicators are HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
The remaining indicators are auxiliary indicators that are necessary when creating trading strategies or detailed response strategies from HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin has seen a particularly strong rally recently, even breaking through the $110,000 mark, but has pulled back slightly in recent days. Given the current situation, the correction after the previous rapid rise is normal. However, from a long-term perspective, there are still many bullish factors. For example, with economic instability in many parts of the world, countries have been printing large amounts of money to stimulate their economies. As the supply of money grows, assets with a fixed quantity like Bitcoin become more valuable, leading to increased buying demand and upward price momentum. Additionally, more and more powerful institutional investors are taking an interest in Bitcoin. Financial giants like BlackRock are investing large sums of capital, and the influx of substantial funds can also drive Bitcoin's price higher.
From a technical perspective, although the price has declined slightly in recent days, it remains above the 20-day moving average (approximately $102,500) on the daily chart, indicating that the medium-term upward trend has not been disrupted. Another indicator, the RSI, is currently around 50—a neutral level—with an upward movement signaling renewed bullish momentum. Furthermore, the Bollinger Bands have begun to narrow, with the upper band at $106,000 and the lower band at $102,000. The price fluctuating within this range suggests that a significant breakout may be imminent.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@103000~104000
SL:101000
TP:105000~107000
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #105👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin’s correction phase began after the breakdown of the 107010 level. Currently, after pulling back to the 105673 area, it seems ready to begin its next corrective leg.
✔️ One of the reasons Bitcoin has moved downward over the past few days is the escalation of war between Ukraine and Russia. As the conflict intensified, risk assets like Bitcoin dropped while safe-haven assets like gold surged.
🔍 Currently, price action is forming an expanding triangle and is trending downward. It was recently rejected from the triangle’s top and is now sitting on a key support at 103899.
💥 If 103899 breaks, a short position targeting 101750 could be triggered. Selling volume has increased significantly, confirming bearish momentum, so opening a short upon a break of 103899 appears logical. However, keep in mind that the primary market trend remains bullish, and there is a high probability that any short may hit stop-loss.
📈 For a long position, the first trigger would be a breakout above the triangle. In this case, breaking 105673 could justify entry. Key overhead resistances are located at 107010 and 110256.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin dominance, the metric continued its upward move to reach 64.67 and has since been rejected from that level.
⚡️ If the bullish move continues, the breakout above 64.67 would act as a bullish trigger. On the other hand, a breakdown below 64.29 would confirm a bearish shift.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is currently ranging between 1.13 and 1.16. A breakout from either side could serve as a trigger for a directional position.
📊 If 1.13 breaks, a short position could be considered. Conversely, breaking above 1.16 would signal a potential long.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
After breaking above 4.70, USDT dominance has been ranging between 4.70 and 4.79. It’s now heading back toward the 4.79 resistance.
🧩 If 4.79 is broken, the next bullish leg in dominance may begin. A drop back below 4.70 would bring the dominance back into its previous range and could lead to further downside toward 4.49.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
earish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (BTC/USDT) based on the 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis and the idea behind it:
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Key Components of the Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone (FVG - Fair Value Gap):
The yellow zone marked as “fvg resistance level” indicates an area where price previously dropped quickly, suggesting inefficiency or imbalance in the market.
Price is approaching this zone again, which acts as a strong resistance.
2. Trendline & Lower Highs:
A descending trendline (with red arrows) shows consistent lower highs, indicating ongoing bearish pressure.
Each rejection from the trendline reinforces sellers’ dominance.
3. CHOCH (Change of Character):
The label “choch” signifies a market structure break, where bullish structure turned bearish.
This marks the transition to a downtrend.
4. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average):
The EMA (currently around 102,753) acts as dynamic support.
Price is currently trading above it, but a rejection from the resistance may push it below.
5. Target Zone:
A yellow box near 100,817.99 is labeled “target point”, indicating a possible short-term bearish target if price gets rejected at resistance.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 47.11, slightly below neutral (50), suggesting bearish momentum could be building.
No clear oversold or overbought conditions yet.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Scenario:
If price reaches the resistance zone (~106,800–107,500) and fails to break above, a sell-off is expected.
First target: 100,800–101,000 zone
Price may also dip below EMA 200 confirming bearish strength.
Confirmation:
Rejection candle or bearish engulfing pattern near resistance.
RSI staying below 50 and starting to dip.
Invalidation:
Clean breakout and close above the resistance zone and trendline (~108,000+).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This chart sets up a high-probability short trade around the resistance area, leveraging both structural and momentum indicators. It suggests waiting for confirmation of rejection before entering, targeting the previous support and imbalance zone below.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Price is coiled. Expansion is near. The setup is clean — if you BINANCE:BTCUSDT has reclaimed its 4H range low and is now driving into the midpoint of a prior leg. This isn’t random — it’s the prelude to a move Smart Money has been framing for days.
Here’s the breakdown:
Price respected the 0.618 (105,780) and rotated upward — that level is now the line between structure and noise
First objective: OB 4H at 107,839, aligning with 0.5 → 0.382 retracement
If that gets cleared with displacement, we extend into 109,621 — final premium zone before HTF liquidity is satisfied
The upper wick at 111,897 is still untouched — a long-term draw that only unlocks if we break 109k with intent
But if price fails and flips below 105,780, that signals fading momentum — and opens the door for a sweep toward the 4H OB at 104,116 or even the FVG 4H down near 101,998
Execution mindset:
Longs are valid above 105,780
Targeting: 107.8 → 109.6 → possibly 111.9
Invalidation: Daily close below 104,116
Liquidity lies above — Smart Money is already positioned
You don’t need signals when structure tells the story. You just need precision.
More entries, levels, and logic? They’re in the profile description — not in the crowd.
Bitcoin Chart Analysis – June 4, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
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Hello, this is Seovereign.
In this idea, I will approach the Elliott Wave Theory from a fundamental perspective and share the entry point and take-profit level together.
Chart Analysis Overview
Top Left Chart: Wave Structure and Rationale
The current wave is judged to be a complex correction (W–X–Y) structure,
in which the Y wave appears to have extended to approximately 1.618 times the W wave.
Formula: Y = 1.618 × W
In the subsequent Impulse wave,
the 5th wave is estimated to have formed a length of 1.618 times that of the 1st wave.
Formula: Impulse 5 = 1.618 × Impulse 1
In the final wave, an Ending Diagonal pattern is observed.
This aligns with the typical rules of Fibonacci ratios and Elliott Wave Theory,
suggesting that the current zone may be entering a technical completion phase.
Bottom Left Chart: Supporting Structure
In this section, a 5-wave diagonal with overshooting appeared,
followed by a corrective wave sequence.
This 5th wave appears to have ended with a length ratio of 0.5 times the 1st wave.
Conclusion and Scenario
Referring to the right chart, a predicted path for future movement is presented.
As of now, the first target price is set at 108,191,
with the following rationale:
Whipsaw near 103,600
Support formation zone around 104,800
Explanation of indicators indicating high points
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If it falls below the finger point indicated by the OBV indicator, it can be interpreted that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line is likely to turn into a downward channel.
And, if it falls to the point indicated by the arrow, it is expected that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line will turn into a downward channel.
Therefore, if it is maintained above the point indicated by the finger, I think it is likely to show a movement to rise above the High Line.
In this situation, the price is located near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, so its importance increases.
To say that it has turned into a short-term uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In that sense, the 106133.74 point is an important support and resistance point.
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 99705.62 point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator has been created means that it has fallen from the high point range.
However, since the HA-High indicator receives the value of the Heikin-Ashi chart, it indicates the middle point.
In other words, the value of Heikin-Ashi's Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 is received.
Since the HA-High indicator has not been created yet, we will be able to know for sure whether it has been created next week.
In any case, it seems to be about to be created, and if it maintains the downward candle, the HA-High indicator will eventually be created anew.
Therefore, I think it is important to be able to maintain the price by rising above the right Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Indicators that indicate high points include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, OBV High, and HA-High indicators.
Indicators that indicate these high points are likely to eventually play the role of resistance points.
Therefore,
1st high point range: 104463.99-104984.57
2nd high point range: 99705.62-100732.01
You should consider a response plan depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The basic trading strategy is to buy at the HA-Low indicator and sell at the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise rise, and if it is resisted and falls in the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise decline.
Therefore, the basic trading method should utilize the split trading method.
Other indicators besides the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are auxiliary indicators.
Therefore, the trading strategy in the big picture should be created around the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, and the detailed response strategy can be carried out by referring to other indicators according to the price movement.
In that sense, if we interpret the current chart, it should be interpreted that it is likely to show a stepwise rise since it has risen above the HA-High indicator.
However, you can choose whether to respond depending on whether there is support from other indicators that indicate the high point.
On the other hand, indicators that indicate the low point include the DOM (-60), StochRSI 20, OBV Low, and HA-Low indicators.
These indicators pointing to lows are likely to eventually serve as support points.
I will explain this again when the point pointing to the lows has fallen.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD held the $100k level📊 Technical Analysis
● Bounce from 99.8-100 k confluence (violet trend-line + former wedge top + horizontal demand) confirms the zone as fresh support.
● Price coils in a tight pennant under 106 k; 1.618 target of the pattern meets the rising-channel roof and red supply at 111-112 k, while RSI prints higher lows, flagging hidden bullish momentum.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● CME futures basis widened above 10 % annualised as softer US claims cooled dollar bids, boosting carry appetite; meanwhile, on-chain reserves keep shrinking, hinting at supply squeeze.
✨ Summary
Buy 100-103 k; pennant break >106 k aims 111 k → 115 k. Bull view void on an H16 close below 99 k.
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Bitcoin Chart Analysis – May 31, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
Bitcoin’s Technical Rebound Potential Increases… Time to Consider a Short-Term Long Position
Recently, Bitcoin has continued its short-term downtrend amid remarks from former President Trump and global macroeconomic uncertainty. In particular, after falling to around $103,000, bearish sentiment has spread across the market. However, from a technical perspective, this zone appears to be one worth noting from a buying standpoint.
At present, this zone aligns with the completion of a classic Bat pattern, which suggests the potential for a rebound. This pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, is considered relatively reliable due to its clear Fibonacci-based structure. Furthermore, considering that the decline unfolded in an impulsive wave and has since undergone sufficient correction, this can be interpreted as an appropriate time to enter a long position with expectations of a rebound.
Technically, a strong support reaction has been confirmed near the 103K level, which overlaps with a historical support zone and the 1.414 Fibonacci extension. This confluence is significant as it may signal the end of the selling pressure and the start of a shift in market balance.
Long Position Strategy Suggestion
In the short to mid-term, the following target prices can be set, and a staggered take-profit strategy appears effective.
First target: 106,000 — A short-term resistance level overlapping with the previous day's high
Second target: 106,900 — A midpoint that could indicate a potential breakout from the downtrend line
Third target: 107,800 — An additional expansion target if the previous high is broken
Supplementary Analysis of Market Conditions
Currently, the weekend market has begun. Historically, trading volumes tend to drop during weekends, and the market often moves sideways. This implies a period of reduced volatility and potentially unclear direction. As a result, this weekend may see a slowdown in the downtrend and the development of a sideways consolidation or bottoming structure.
In this context, rather than interpreting the ongoing downtrend as a further short opportunity, it may be more advantageous to shift toward viewing this as a long-entry opportunity. If a rebound follows the current short-term correction, and both market sentiment and technical structure align, the upward movement could unfold rather quickly — making proactive positioning essential.
BTC 4H Setup – OB Rejection or Launchpad? Bitcoin is currently ranging below a 4H Order Block (OB) and forming a potential higher low. With price holding above the key 0.618 fib zone (104.1k), this could act as a springboard for continuation — or a trap.
Key Levels:
Support: 104.1k–103.6k (fib cluster & mid-volume node)
Immediate Resistance: 105.1k (OB 4H)
Breakout Target: 107.1k
Fail-safe: 103.0k
Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Path:
Hold 104k zone
Reclaim 105.1k OB = confirmation
Push toward 107.1k & higher liquidity sweep
🟥 Bearish Path:
Rejection from OB + break below 104k
Eyes on 103.0k as next bounce zone
Plan:
Long scalp above 104.2k if volume sustains
TP1: 105.1k (retest OB)
TP2: 107.1k
SL: Below 103.6k (tight invalidation)
📌 “OB rejection or flip? Market’s next impulse hinges on this 104k–105k squeeze.”