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BTCUST trade ideas

BTC - trend stalling?Today's session filled a bit of yesterday's final sell-off. We left poor lows early on the day, that got corrected in the final hours of the new york session. Now we are left with poor lows on the daily, although I have to point out that it is purely because the high was formed in the last and first minute of two TPO blocks. In any case we had an imbalanced move to the downside, so unless price is still really weak, we can expect to correct that first before moving lower. I'm looking at two scenarios: - we fail to reclaim daily POC here and take the lows again. Gut says that would lead to more sell-off, but a reclaim is of course always possible. - we take out todays highs, then come back for the lows and spend some time compressing here, which would increase the odds of taking out the single prints above us (green)
by Tealstreet
BTC/USDT chart shows a Round Top (or Distribution) patternPattern Breakdown Formation: The chart displays a rounding top shape, where BTC price gradually increased, peaked, and then started declining. The red shaded area represents the curved top, confirming a distribution phase. Key Levels: Peak: Around $110,000 (approx.). Neckline/Support: ~$90,000, which was broken to the downside. Measured Move: The expected drop is roughly equal to the height of the rounding top, which was around $21,300. Breakdown & Target: The price has broken below the $90,000 support level, confirming the pattern. The expected price target based on the pattern is around $70,000, calculated using the height of the round top. Additional Observations Volume: There is an increase in volume at the breakdown point, which validates the bearish move. Momentum: If BTC fails to reclaim $90,000, it may continue downward. Conclusion The chart signals a bearish trend continuation after breaking the neckline. BTC could drop towards $70,000 unless buyers step in to regain momentum. If BTC reclaims $90,000, the bearish scenario could be invalidated
by Anonymous-trader786
BITCOIN: “Extreme Fear” in the Crypto Market!! Watch out 72,300! The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which rates market sentiment on a 100-point overall scale, fell to a score of 25 on February 25, signaling “Extreme Fear” in the crypto market!!. The market drop comes as Trump stated at a February 24 press conference with French President Emmanuel Macron that his 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico will go ahead in a timely manner. The last time the index hit “Extreme Fear” – that is, a score of 25 or less – was on September 7, when Bitcoin BTC €84,064 fell to around $54,000 after being down 7% in the previous two days. --> What does it look like technically? If we analyze the chart in Daily time frame, we observe that its trend is clearly bullish (Bull), but that it is in a phase of retreat since both the STRENGTH and the MOMENTUM are bearish (Bear). Today it is testing a VERY CRITICAL ZONE, since it is a VERY IMPORTANT DYNAMIC SUPPORT and the 38.2% Fibonacci. If it breaks it, we could see the price in the 72,300 zone, since it is the next important support on the way and coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci. Along the way, it could make a stop in the 79,500 zone which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci. --> Conclusion: If we are not in the market, it is better to WAIT for the STORM to pass since we could EASILY see the BITCOIN in the 72,300 zone. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 99,700 POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 109,000 zone (+10%) --> Stop Loss at 89,000 (-10%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-10%) (coinciding with 89,000 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-3%) when the price reaches TP1 (109,000). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Long
by jmesado
BTCBitcoin's recent price drop has led to increased volatility and uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market.Bitcoin has experienced a significant decline, breaking below key support levels such as $90,000. This drop has been attributed to various factors, including economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions The recent price action suggests a bearish trend and everyone should be cautious about further declines Potential Rebound is possible as the overall trend remains bullish, Despite the current bearish sentiment, Bitcoin could experience a rebound if it holds above key support levels, potentially leading to a recovery towards higher resistance zones In summary, while Bitcoin's price has dropped significantly, The 78,890 will be watched,break below will be $74,000 and my buy zone on demand will be 70400 levels which is critical in determining the immediate direction of Bitcoin's price.
by Shavyfxhub
BTCUSDT Analysis Based on BTC.D, Total, and Total 2BTCUSDT Analysis Based on BTC.D, Total, and Total 2 In the crypto market, key metrics such as BTC Dominance (BTC.D), Total Market Cap (Total), and Altcoin Market Cap (Total 2) are highly interconnected. Analyzing them in isolation does not provide a complete picture of market trends. When Bitcoin (BTC) moves up or down, these indicators shift accordingly, reflecting capital flows and overall market sentiment. 🔑 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – The Key to Understanding Market Flow 📊 BTC.D represents Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. 📈 When BTC.D is high → BTC dominates, and Altcoins may stay flat or decline. 📉 When BTC.D drops → Money flows into Altcoins, signaling a possible Altseason. 📌 Current Trend: BTC.D is moving between 60-61%, targeting 59.3% downward. This means BTC.D is in a correction and accumulation phase, and local BTC.D spikes may be SELL opportunities rather than bullish signals. 💰 Total Market Cap (Total) – Understanding Liquidity Trends 💵 Total reflects the overall capital in crypto. 📊 If Total increases → BTC.D determines whether money flows into BTC or Altcoins. 📉 If Total decreases → Altcoins suffer heavier losses than BTC. 📌 Current Trend: Total is sideways with a downward bias, fluctuating between $2.94T - $3.3T, with a target of $2.5T. 🔻 If BTC.D drops to 58%, BTC price could reach $75K before accumulation and reversal. 🚀 Total 2 – The Altcoin Market Perspective 📊 Total 2 excludes BTC, showing capital flow into Altcoins. 📉 Total 2 is also in a downtrend, mirroring BTC.D and Total. 📌 Currently: Moving within $1.07T - $1.34T, with a target of $900B. ⚠️ This signals that Altcoins are not yet ready for a major breakout. 📈 BTCUSDT Price Forecast 🔮 BTC’s projected path for the coming weeks: 1️⃣ BTC may reach $98.6K, then pull back to $88K. 2️⃣ Short-term recovery before further decline to $75K for accumulation. 3️⃣ If BTC.D and Total align, BTC could rally from $75K in the following months. ✅ Conclusion & Trading Strategy 🔹 BTC.D is decreasing, meaning BTC is losing dominance, but a strong Altseason is not imminent. 🔹 Total is downtrending, suggesting liquidity pressure. 🔹 Total 2 is weakening, signaling that Altcoins won’t see a major surge soon. 🔹 BTC likely drops to $75K before a strong recovery. 🎯 Trading Approach 📌 Monitor BTC at $75K for accumulation instead of expecting an immediate bullish continuation. 📌 Short-term traders can look for SELL setups when BTC.D spikes to local highs.
Short
by rainbow_sniper
Bitcoin’s Wild Swings & Key Setups in Forex & Gold (#6)Bitcoin has been on a rollercoaster over the past few days, and I’m sure many of you have had your stop losses hit. Let’s break down the reasons behind this volatility and what’s next. 📊 BTC – Expanding Triangle = High Volatility BTC was set to confirm an uptrend after breaking above $98,500, but then came the Bybit hack. 📌 What Happened? 🔻 On February 21, 2025, hackers stole $1.5 billion from Bybit’s Ethereum cold wallet. 🔻 Attributed to North Korea’s Lazarus Group, this triggered a market-wide sell-off. 🔻 BTC dropped, then settled into an expanding triangle. 📉 What’s important about this pattern? Support & resistance levels lose significance. Win rate drops, and volatility increases. High probability of stop hunts & fakeouts. 🚨 My approach? No trades inside the triangle. Long above $97,987 (4H) or after first confirmed higher high & low. Short below $95K (key support in 4H). 📊 DXY – Still in a Downtrend DXY continues its price correction, as we anticipated in previous breakdowns. 📌 Bias: Still bearish in the short term unless we reclaim 107.391. 📉 Until then, I remain focused on setups favoring a weaker USD. 🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) – Strong Trend, but Watch for Weakness Gold remains firmly in an uptrend, but some exhaustion signs are emerging. 📌 Trade Setup: ✅ Long Trigger (4H): Above 2945 ❌ Stop Loss: Below 2916.42 📌 Key Reminder: 🔹 A trader’s mindset must be separate from an analyst’s mindset. 🔹 Follow your strategy, take trades, and accept stop losses without emotional bias. 🔹 I’ll be posting an in-depth article on this today. 📈 EUR/USD – Setting Up for a Major Trend Shift? 📌 Daily Timeframe: EUR/USD has been in a strong downtrend but is now in a correction phase. A shift in trend is possible if we get a daily close above 1.05217. 📌 4H Trade Setup: ✅ Long Entry: Above 1.05198 ❌ Stop Loss: Below 1.04483 Final Thoughts ⚠ BTC is in a highly volatile phase – trade with caution. ⚠ DXY weakness favors long setups in EUR/USD and gold. ⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you. ⚠ Separate your trader mindset from your analyst mindset I’m Skeptic —trade smart, stay profitable. See you tomorrow.
by SkepticWise
1
ROAD TO 125K !!!Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance. Do you believe that ? see it Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
3
This Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is Unstoppable!Hello, Skyrexians! Last 2 months BINANCE:BTCUSDT is struggling to continue growing and as we can see most of traders now are sure that bear market has been started already, but this time can be really different and this rally can lasts much longer than usual. On the weekly time frame we can see that Fractal Trend Detector shows the strong bullish phase. Price was not able even to break the green support zone on the indicator. We suppose that the wave from $15k to FWB:73K was just the wave 1 inside global wave 3. After that price retraced almost to 0.5 Fibonacci level and now this is wave 3 in global wave 3. This wave has a target zone between $140k and $200k. Currently price is finishing subwave 2 in wave 3. It looks like a flat correction. So, the target is not so deep, at 0.38 Fibonacci at $86k. From there we expect the huge rally inside the most impulsive wave C. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
2
Btcusd H1 outlook Target 95kBTCUSD is poised for a significant rebound after yesterday's pullback from $87,055. The current price of $80,474 represents a 50% Fibonacci correction level of the $52,600-$108,350 rise, providing a strong foundation for a bullish reversal. Key points: - The recent downturn has created a buying opportunity, with a potential target of $95,000. - The $80,474 level serves as a crucial support, with a bounce expected to propel prices higher. - The 50% Fibonacci correction level indicates a likely reversal, as the market seeks to retest recent highs. - Bullish momentum is building, with a potential breakout above $87,055 paving the way for a rally to $95,000. - Traders should be prepared to buy, as the current setup favors a significant upside move. Best regards Travis ❤️
Long
by Expert_Travis
1