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BTCUST trade ideas

Bitcoin (BTC): Still Hovering Near ATH | Seems WeakeningBitcoin is still hovering near the local ATH area, where sellers and buyers are fighting over the zone there. There is nothing clear yet so we keep on monitoring, but we are seeing smaller signs of weakness, which indicate upcoming volatile movement as we are approaching the end of the month. Now we will keep an eye on how sharp the monthly opening will be and based on that, we will trade. Our attentions are still at $120K for now. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
Btcusdt 4hr tf scenarios.Two scenarios: green and red lines. Green Line: A bounce and sustained recovery above the 100-day and 200-day daily moving averages is bullish. Red Line: A bounce followed by a lack of momentum and a break below a previous low is bearish. Long Horizontal Red Line: If the price reaches this area, it could signal the start of a downtrend unless new bullish fundamentals emerge. My Point of View (POV): I am bearish, primarily due to the ongoing war, similar to the conflict that began between two other countries a year ago. However, it's important to note that every crisis and recession has historically presented a buying opportunity for institutions and 'whales.' Therefore, be prepared with funds for dollar-cost averaging (DCA), then simply hold and forget. It is recommended to conduct backtesting and research to identify optimal buying areas. DCA is key. Only invest money you can afford to lose.
by axxxis666
1
break, BTC soon reaches new ATH💎 Update Plan BTC after NFP (July 3) Notable news about BTC: Bitcoin (BTC) recovered to $ 109,000 on Wednesday when the US agreement with Vietnam and the increase in global M2 supply of M2 money has promoted an increase in open interest rates (OI), soaring to 689.78 thousand BTC worth about $ 75 billion. The cryptocurrency market in general has increased the price along with BTC, with leading altcoins, Ethereum (ETH), XRP and Solana (SOL) increased by 7%, 3%and 4%respectively. Bitcoin, the market cryptocurrency market increased by the trade agreement with Vietnam and M2 money supply soared The cryptocurrency market has recovered on Wednesday, an increase of 2% to regain the market capitalization of $ 3.5 trillion. Technical analysis angle First, congratulate the investors who follow the plan when we previously traded according to the model and had a short signal at 108k and took profit and then Long in the 106k area. Currently, BTC is in wave 5 and is trapped in the Fibonanci area of ​​2,618 golden ratio around the price of 109k, this is also the threshold of the price of investors who are under pressure before the price area goes to 112k The 112k region is a psychological area of ​​profit and will appear on the 109k sales situation before the BTC price may rise further in the last 6 months of the year. Please follow the channel to receive accurate scenarios about gold and BTC /-Teart /-heart ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC: A Classic Cup & Handle in Play!Bitcoin has formed a classic cup and handle pattern on the daily chart, with the 100 EMA providing solid support during the handle formation. Currently, the price is consolidating in what appears to be a bullish flag or extended handle, just below the key resistance zone around $109K. A breakout above this level could ignite a strong bullish rally toward higher targets like $144k. Key Highlights: -Cup & Handle pattern confirmed -10 EMA acting as dynamic support -Bullish flag/handle forming near resistance - A breakout could lead to explosive upside Regards Hexa CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Long
by HexaTrades
BTC Preparing for Final Sweep Before Breakout?I’m currently waiting for a long opportunity on BTCUSDT. Price is consolidating in a range, and I believe we’re approaching the final support zone within this structure. The key area I’m watching is the 4H imbalance zone between ~102,968 and ~104,535, which also aligns with a strong structural support level. I expect price to sweep this area, potentially triggering stop-losses below recent lows and then show a bullish reaction If confirmed, I’ll look to enter long targeting the liquidity resting around 108,762. I’ll be watching closely for a reaction and confirmation
by Jakub-
1
Bitcoin Approaches PRZ – Will the Falling Wedge Break ?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to break through the Support zone($106,800-$105,820) after attacking it five times , and started to rise again. Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($109,220-$108,280) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($108,800-$108,085) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Resistance lines . From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , Bitcoin's movements over the past two days seem to have formed a Falling Wedge Pattern . From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 4 within the Falling Wedge Pattern. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance lines after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . If Bitcoin fails to break the Resistance lines before the global markets close , we can expect Bitcoin to fall again. Because entering Saturday and Sunday , the trading volume is generally low , and I think Bitcoin needs a lot of volume to break the resistances . Do you agree with me? CME Gap: $106,645-$106,295 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,055-$105,430 Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the Support zone($106,800-$105,820), we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
31
Bitcoin Faces Resistance Rejection — Bearish Divergence Signals Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion as it stalls near a high-timeframe resistance level aligned with the value area high (VAH). Recent price action has formed multiple lower timeframe bearish divergences while testing dynamic resistance. This level has now capped further upside attempts and could trigger a market rotation lower if rejected again. With price consolidating directly beneath this barrier, the probability of a pullback grows stronger, especially if no bullish confirmation breaks the current ceiling. Key Technical Points: - Bearish Divergence Developing: Price is holding below the VAH with a weakening momentum signature - Converging Resistance Zone: Dynamic SR and VAH are aligned at $108,350, now acting as a ceiling - Range-Based Rotation Setup: If rejected, price could rotate down to the point of control and value area low Bitcoin’s current structure is classic range behavior, with price gravitating from low to high and back. At the moment, it’s stalled at the value area high, which represents the upper boundary of the most recent range. This level — around $108,350 — has been tested several times, and now a bearish divergence is forming across key momentum indicators like RSI and MACD. In addition, price is showing multiple rejections against dynamic resistance, forming a pattern of lower highs on lower timeframes. The longer this resistance zone holds, the more likely price will revert to the point of control (POC) — the area with the highest traded volume in the range. If that level doesn’t hold either, a full rotation to the value area low becomes the next probable scenario based on market auction theory. This rotation would represent a complete cycle from value area high acceptance back to value area low rejection, which is common when buying pressure fades and sellers regain control. For now, Bitcoin remains technically vulnerable as long as price stays capped beneath the $108,350 level. Bitcoin’s next move hinges on whether it can reclaim the $108,350 resistance zone with volume. If not, expect a corrective phase that targets the POC first, followed by potential continuation down to the value area low. This bearish setup remains valid until price closes decisively above current resistance.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Bitcoin Rejected at Value Area High — Full Market Auction Lower?Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has seen a short-term pullback after being rejected from the daily resistance level, which aligns with the value area high. The reaction also coincides with a volatility squeeze shown on the Bollinger Bands — hinting at a controlled, technical rejection rather than a panic selloff. If the market follows traditional auction theory, a full rotation toward the value area low may now be in progress. Key Technical Points: -Value Area High Rejection: Price was rejected from high time frame resistance and respected auction theory principles -Targeting $103,000 Value Area Low: Price may rotate lower if resistance continues to cap upside -$100,000 Psychological Support Untapped: Remains a magnet for liquidity if the range plays out fully Bitcoin’s structure over the past week has remained range-bound between $108,000 and $100,000. The recent failure to break through the value area high at the upper end of this range has now triggered a controlled pullback — technically expected based on market auction dynamics. Once a value area high is respected and price cannot sustain above it, the natural response is for the market to seek equilibrium by rotating toward the value area low. This theory aligns with current confluences: the rejection occurred exactly where daily resistance, the value area high, and upper Bollinger Band resistance converged. The rejection was not sudden or erratic, but gradual — indicating that this is likely a technical rejection, not emotional selling. If this rotation plays out as expected, the next key support will be found near the $103,000 region. What further supports this narrative is the untouched $100,000 psychological level, which remains a natural magnet for both liquidity and sentiment. From a market structure perspective, $100K serves as a clean test zone for buyers to step in and attempt to form a bottom — particularly if the pullback is slow and controlled rather than volatile and sharp. Until then, all signs suggest that the upper limit of the current range has held. If Bitcoin remains capped beneath $108,000, expect further downside pressure. A full market auction rotation could bring price to $103,000, with the potential to dip as low as the $100,000 psychological level. This zone will be key for judging the strength of buyers and determining whether the range continues or a broader breakdown begins. Only a reclaim of the value area high would invalidate this structure.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis. BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge. The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500. The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support. Ichimoku BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal. The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500–105,500 area. Stay alert!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC buying power is gradually increasing💎 Update Plan BTC at the beginning of the week (June 30) Notable news about BTC: Anthony Pompliano has merged Procap BTC with Columbus Circle Capital I, established Procap Financial - a Bitcoin warehouse company up to $ 1 billion. The company will deploy lending activities, derivatives ... in order to create a collection line from BTC, according to the similar model Bitcoin price is stable at about $ 107.4K on June 27, before the expiry date of options worth up to US $ 40 billion, capable of causing strong fluctuations. At the same time, on June 29, BTC exceeded $ 108k, up ~ 0.68% compared to the previous day In the past 7 days, BTC maintained around $ 104–107K despite tensions in the Middle East and the US economic data is not heterogeneous. Reduce slightly but receive support from organized cash flow and global trade progress. Technical analysis angle Overview of trends - many signs of increasing Looking at the candle is signaling "Strong Buy" on many time frames, especially healthy momentum, the ability to breakout $ 116k if surpassed the $ 110k resistance ETF liquidity and organizational capital flows are supporting the trend of increasing, strengthening the possibility of breakthrough. Moving Averages: Frame 1H: 64% Bullish signal (MA20 reversed), but there is a neutral signal from short -term ghosts Daily/Weekly: Golden Cross (Golden Cross) between 50‑ and 200‑ MA, is a long -term trend increase signal Oscillators: RSI frame Daily ~ 55, showing neutral momentum, not too much purchased but there is a rise. Double Rounded Top model on the chart Daily, the current trend is neutral - Bearish if the breakdown supports Neckline ~ $ 106k; In contrast, strong recovery above $ 114k will invalid this model Long -term / Swing Trade: Keep the position if the price is maintained> $ 106k, use $ 103–104K as a spare hole stop. Short -term / Scalp Trade: can be in order when the test price is $ 106k–107k, small latches around $ 110k. ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
BTC UP OR NO📈 Bitcoin to Reach $113K, With a Breakout Path to $120K – A Professional Outlook After analyzing the macro trend, technical structure, market sentiment, and on-chain behavior, I strongly believe that Bitcoin is on a clear trajectory toward $113,000, with a potential extension to $120,000 if key resistance is broken. --- 🔍 1. Technical Analysis Perspective Macro Bullish Structure: Since the 2022 bear market bottom, Bitcoin has maintained a consistent higher highs and higher lows pattern, confirming a long-term uptrend. Fibonacci Extension: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the $15.5K bottom to the $69K peak gives a projected target of around $113K. Historical Fractal Patterns: In previous cycles, Bitcoin has always broken past previous all-time highs by 1.5x to 1.75x, placing this cycle's peak in the $110K–$120K range. Ascending Triangle Breakout: On the weekly chart, BTC is forming a bullish ascending triangle with the top resistance at ~$73K. A confirmed breakout targets $113K as the next major supply zone. --- 🧠 2. Market Psychology & Cycle Timing Halving Effect: Historically, Bitcoin peaks occur 9–12 months post-halving. The most recent halving was in April 2024, aligning a potential peak by Q1 or Q2 of 2025. Psychological Resistance Zones: The $100K–$113K range is not only a Fibonacci target but also a powerful psychological barrier. Once breached, FOMO and institutional momentum could push BTC rapidly to $120K. Retail vs Institutional Flows: Data shows increased ETF inflows and long-term holder accumulation — a classic pre-peak indicator. --- 🔗 3. On-Chain and Whale Behavior Realized Price vs Market Price: BTC market price is well above long-term holder realized price, signaling bull market phase 2 (the steep climb). Dormant Supply: Over 70% of BTC has not moved in 6+ months, showing strong holder conviction. This reduces sell pressure as price increases. Whale Accumulation Zones: Whales are heavily positioned around $60K–$65K, and there is minimal sell volume above $100K on major exchanges, opening the path to $113K with low resistance. --- 🚀 Conclusion: > Based on comprehensive technical patterns, market structure, psychological phases, and on-chain behavior, Bitcoin is highly likely to reach $113,000. If momentum continues and $113K is breached with volume confirmation, a sharp move toward $120,000 becomes not only possible — but likely.
Long
by Ahmedxmuslim
BTC\USD SHORT TRADE SETUP BTC/USDT – Short Trade Setup Breakdown (Technical Outlook Trade Thesis The area between 103,800–105,000 serves as a strong supply zone, and we’re seeing signs of exhaustion in bullish momentum. The setup suggests a high-probability short opportunity with tight confirmation. 🔸 Entry: Positioned at 103,800, just below resistance, to capture early weakness and avoid chasing. 🔸 Risk Level: The resistance at 105,000 is critical — any break and close above may invalidate this setup. 🔸 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 97,000 – conservative exit at mid-range demand zone 🎯 Target 2: 96,000 – full target near bottom of the descending channel
by Fx_Huzzy
2
BTC 30.06.25So far BTC is behaving exactly as expected, i'm just waiting for a valid setup to appear. I would love to see a model 1, which takes out the high and mitigates supply, but i'm also not ignoring a potential model 2. These 2 deviations merge together on a higher time frame, where the range is also valid on, so they can be counted as one. There are many altcoins with similar behavior and USDT/C in potential accumulation. I'm waiting to see confirmations/ invalidations.
by ramon_markiewitz
4