BITCOINBITCOIN ,the quick buy back at 100k level on demand floor faces a strong supply roof at 106k-105.98k level.
the rejection at 106k -105.98k level is backed by broken demand floor to act a supply roof .if buyers don't break this roof they could retest 100k again and break below will trigger 97k daily support zone .
on a flip side,a break and close followed by successful retest will be eyeing 113k-115k ascending supply roof based on the ascending trendline structure on daily.
BTCUST trade ideas
BTC HTF HL Could Be InI can have all my opinions about how this low can't be the HTF HL but who am I to say this? I should keep it in the back of my mind but I shouldn't let it hinder me from entering new trades/investments.
I spent too much time speculating on how I think it should look instead of just keeping it simple and just think about how it looks in the moment. It cost me missing the up-move from ~85k-100k.
I think of trading vs investing, LTF trades vs HTF trend while I should just scrap the HTF trend as this causes me to go on a speculation trip and I lose track of what's in front of me in the moment.
-------------------------------
What I think is in front of me right now:
Let's start with that MS is king. This up-move is caused by the fact that price got above the structure of 29 March-5 April, without any significant PA. It just got above it and stayed above it and pushed out above it.
That's enough evidence to me that I shouldn't necessarily wait for a big SFP, on the 15min TF or 1D. Or that I shouldn't wait for a big 15min engulfing candle. This is just proof as price has pushed all the way back to 100k.
Then,
The blue box was the resistance and the level below it (95k spike) was the main level. The top of this level was maximal resistance. Here I expected (=speculated) that price would be capped and go back to 74k. I expected price to close above the level but that the new structure formed around the level would provide a short (like a SFP and then a MSB).
But this didn't happen. Price pushed above the resistance. So that's how it now is: there's no resistance. Just like in april when price got above the 29 March-5 April structure with main level of structure being the high of 4 April.
And then to add: in current structure price has closed above the main level of that structure on the 1D: the high of 12 May. This is good.
Also: there's no 15min SFP at the current highs and the MSB failed (price pushed back up).
Also: there's a clean level for the long SFP: 12 May low.
Conclusion: if price breaks down from here without going back to these highs, price could be capped at the long SFP-level of 100k. And given the (I think) fact that there's no resistance and MS is king, this is the right level to enter the long in spot BTC.
So that's what I'm going to do. Might enter the trade too (perps) if price indeed SFP's this level.
-----------------------------
If price doesn't hold the 100k level, I don't think price can drop further than the 74k low so that's the potential downside (I don't sell spot if there's no short setup) I keep in mind.
Is the #BTC rally over?📊 Is the #BTC rally over?
🧠From a structural perspective, we have reached the ideal target zone of the double top bearish structure, so a strong rebound is very reasonable. The realization of the ideal target zone means that the previous decline has ended. We need to change our thinking and stop being too bearish. Stay cautious!
➡️At the same time, the goals of the long structure we built in the support area have also been fully achieved, and this period of rise has reached the lower edge of the extended wedge + the downward trend line + the blue resistance area very quickly, so there is a possibility of a pullback, so don’t chase the rise here. If you want to participate in long transactions, we should pay attention to the opportunities after the pullback.
Let’s see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC: Both Scenarios Explained - Still BearishBTC: Both Scenarios Explained - Still Bearish
From our previous analysis, BTC fell by almost 2.7%.
Today the price stood again at 106K showing a slight upward momentum, but as we can see, everything disappeared.
The price created and corrected ABC with the current data and if this correction has already passed, it should fall further today. Otherwise, it may continue to rise and test 106K again.
You may watch the analysis for Further Details!
Thank you!
Previous analysis:
HelenP. I Bitcoin can exit break trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price declined and broke support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price rose to the support zone but turned around and dropped to the trend line. After this movement, BTC started to grow inside an upward channel, where it soon rose to support 2, which soon broke it and continued to move up. In the channel, price rose to support 1 and some time traded near this level. Later, BTC broke it and rose to the resistance line of the channel and turned around, and dropped to support 1. And at the moment, it traded inside the resistance zone, which coincided with the support level. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will break the support level, which coincides with the trend line, and continue to decline, thereby exiting from upward channel. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USDT – Retest in Play After Breakdown!Bitcoin broke below its 4H ascending trendline and is now showing signs of a retest at the broken trendline zone.
It tried to break the immediate resistance of $105,100 but couldn't sustain it.
📉 Breakdown confirmed
Key Levels:
Resistance: $105,968 | $108,941
Support: $101,539 | $97,205
Bearish Target remains near $97K if rejection holds
Watch how the price reacts here — rejection could lead to further downside. A break back above $105K may invalidate the move.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TrendlineBreak #Retest #BearishSetup #PriceAction
Correction up for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin broke below the red dotted line so now we could see a much bigger correction for Bitcoin.
Price came into the Weekly bullish FVG and rejected to the upside. This could be the start of wave B (grey) of a big correction down.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish to trade (short term) longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-03 22:30 UTC✅ Bullish Reversal Confirmed
Breakout from a descending wedge with a strong volume surge (3x avg)
EMA(20) crossover above EMA(50) – early uptrend signal
RSI(14) at 58.7 – shows healthy bullish momentum
MACD turning positive with a fresh signal line crossover
OBV rising in line with price – confirms genuine accumulation
🔍 Smart Money Activity
Whale bid zone spotted between $105,500–$105,600 (visible in DOM)
Breakout aligns with London session high, adding sessional strength
🧠 Technical Confluence
This move combines structure, momentum, and volume — classic signs of a trend reversal and early entry opportunity. Chart markups include the wedge breakout zone, whale bids, EMA cross, and Fibonacci levels for context.
📈 Watching for potential continuation if current momentum sustains. Clean setup backed by technicals and smart money presence.
BTC - SetupCalled the potential exact bottom yesterday.
Now, the zone between $103,500 – $104,600 is crucial.
Either we get rejected from there and form a stronger bottom — or we break through and head toward new all-time highs in the near future.
Won’t be posting over the next few days.
If something important happens, I’ll drop a quick update — otherwise, see you in a few days.
LFG. 🚀
Bitcoin's Roadmap: Price Structure, Fair Value & Market RhythmSince bottoming on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has embarked on a remarkable bull run, rising +623.5% over 927 days and reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of ~112K.
When compared to the previous bull cycle, spanning 1061 days and producing a +2086% gain, this current rally shows signs of diminishing returns, a typical behaviour of maturing markets. Traders now face a critical question: has Bitcoin peaked for this cycle, or is another surge toward ~120K+ possible?
Historical Echoes: Elliott Wave Comparison
The 2018–2021 bull market formed a five-wave Elliott structure. That cycle ended with a -77.5% correction. The current cycle similarly traces out a completed five-wave advance from the $15.5K low, suggesting we may now be in a corrective phase.
Current hypothesis: Bitcoin is in Wave B of an ABC correction, with Wave C potentially targeting $64K–$70K.
Harmonic Confirmation: Cypher Sigma Pattern
A refined harmonic formation, I call it the Cypher Sigma Harmonic Pattern (CSHP) and it has proven highly effective in volatile assets like Bitcoin. It differs from the classic Cypher by:
BC projection: 1.07–1.136 of XA (vs. 1.272–1.414)
CD retracement: 0.786–0.886 of XC
BD extension: 1.272–1.618 of BC (not present in traditional Cypher but often targets 1.272-2.0)
In 2022, this pattern predicted the bottom near $16K. Currently, another Cypher Sigma is potentially forming, pointing to a possible correction to ~$64K. This target aligns with historical level (the 2021 ATH zone) and represents a possible -40% pullback.
Multi-Layered Technical Confluence
Pitchfork Resistance: Bitcoin rejected the upper resistance (Fib 1.0–1.136 zone)
Pitchfork Golden Pocket Support: ~$64K matches the golden pocket and high-liquidity area
Fibonacci Circles: Rejection precisely at the 1.618–1.65 circle arc (~$112K)
Speed Fan 0.618: Key structural support intersects projected retracement zone
Previous 2021 ATH
Together, these tools strongly support the hypothesis of a macro top forming.
Fair Value Trend Model (FVTM) – New Indicator
As part of ongoing research into Bitcoin’s long-term valuation, I developed the Fair Value Trend Model—a logarithmic regression-based indicator tailored for Bitcoin. Here is an example on the monthly timeframe.
Key Features:
Computes a log-log regression: ln(Price) vs ln(Days since inception)
Yields a power-law growth curve: F(t) = C · ^b
Includes dynamic channel bands at user-defined percentage offsets
Projects the trend forward in time with linear extrapolation
I have just freshly published this indicator for free on TradingView. Visit my profile, add it to your chart, and explore how Bitcoin consistently revisits its fair value in bear markets before launching new macro waves.
Use Cases:
Identify overextensions above the fair value channel
Spot mean-reversion setups near the lower channel band
Gauge long-term trend continuation via slope and forecast
The indicator is best used on daily, weekly and monthly charts, and it supports both all-time and rolling-window modes.
Educational Insight:
The Fair Value Trend Model isn’t just a tool! It's a lens to view the long-term rhythm of the Bitcoin market. By understanding where the fair value lies, you gain the clarity to separate short-term volatility from long-term opportunity.
Every great trader starts with a desire to understand. If you're learning, experimenting, and observing patiently—you’re on the right path. Let this model be your guide through the noise. Trust the math, respect the cycles, and never stop refining your edge.
Study day and swing trading, improve your technical and psychological skills, and wait patiently for high-probability trade setups, whether short-, medium-, or long-term. Being patient is key.
Psychological Insight: Mastery Over Impulse
The greatest returns favour the patient. Traders who ignored the noise in 2022 and accumulated around $16K were rewarded exponentially. As Bitcoin potentially enters a correction, the same principle applies: monitor, learn, and prepare—not panic.
Top-tier traders execute based on structure, not emotion. This cycle will reward those who:
-> Study multi-timeframe confluences
Outlook: Bearish Retracement, Bullish Opportunity
While a push to $120K+ is possible, the confluence of Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, and macro tools suggest a potential 40% retracement into ~$64K by end of 2025/early 2026. This aligns with historical patterns and may offer a great buying opportunity.
This cycle isn’t about catching the exact top—it’s about navigating it intelligently. Use tools that reflect structural value, not just reactive price action. Combine the Fair Value Trend Model with other tools to gain clarity. Most importantly: remain curious, remain disciplined.
Happy trading.
Thanks for reading =) stay sharp, stay patient, and keep evolving 🚀
_________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 103141.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 105268
First target: 106500
Second target: 107405
Third target: 109006
FREE MONEY! My next trade ideasNew Week. New Opportunities. 🚀
As we step into the second week of June, we’re fully prepared to take advantage of the markets — with both long 📈 and short 📉 setups ready in advance.
✅ We caught most of the major moves last week — now let’s see if the trading gods 🙏 are on our side again.
📊 Charts are ready — feel free to download them, and drop any trade setups you’re watching in the comments below.
🟠 BTC is on the road to redemption after the SFP at the daily higher low.
Will it break 4H structure? Or reverse back down? Either way, we’re prepared and positioned for both scenarios.
🗓️ This Week’s Schedule:
Classes are expected on Monday, Tuesday, and Friday.
⏰ Exact times TBC — stay tuned.
Analysis No. 71 btc 4hWelcome to KING BTC 3. In the previous long-term analysis, we expected to see 88,000, which is still not unreasonable. However, in the previous one-hour analysis, we expected a rise to 106,800-109,000, which was the first target. However, in this analysis, we expect a price decrease from 104,400-105,800 to 98,000-99,000, then a price increase to the peak in the numbers 109,500-111,800, and from there, embrace the number 88,000. This is just a possibility.
BTC Market Wicks & Key Levels
ZemoG Trading: Market Wicks & Key Levels 🔮📊
Please note:
At ZemoG Trading, we don’t concern ourselves with market direction. Whether the market moves up or down, we embrace both long and short opportunities with precision and patience. Our focus is on positioning for high-probability entries based on market structure and wick reactions.
---
🔄 Current Market Outlook:
From our perspective, the market has been completing a significant structure. We're anticipating a revisit to the 100.7K wick level. If price closes below that, we continue to expect a deeper correction toward our primary target of 74.5K.
However, as price continues to bounce upwards, it’s essential to remain dynamic and present. If you are currently in a long or planning to enter one, it’s important to observe how price behaves around key wick levels to validate the continuation of the move.
The same applies if you’re preparing to go short — we are watching for how price interacts with major historical wick levels.
---
📉 SHORTS – What We’re Looking For:
When price action reaches these wick zones, we are watching closely for:
A candle to wick above a key level, then fail to hold,
Followed by the formation of a new upper wick, signaling a potential reversal in market direction.
---
📈 LONGS – What We’re Looking For:
For long confirmations, we want to see:
Price reaching a key wick level,
Followed by new bottom wicks forming, indicating strong buying pressure and upward continuation.
---
🔑 ZemoG Key Wick Levels to Watch:
Upper Levels (Watch for short signals):
105.5K
105.8K – Key Level
106.8K – Key Level
107.1K – Key Level
108.9K – Key Level
109.5K
Lower Levels (Watch for long signals):
104.6K
104.2K
103.4K
103K
102.3K
100.6K
---
Stay tuned for our next post, where we’ll dive deeper into how wick reactions at these levels align with ancient cycle patterns and harmonic price echoes 🔁📐
As always—"Wicks don’t lie."
— Team ZemoG 🔮
TradeWithMky — Where Altcoins Speak Louder Than Bitcoin!Welcome, fellow trader, to TradeWithMky — the only TradingView realm where charts are alive, trendlines whisper secrets, and candles burn with prophecy.
Led by Miracle, the pepe-faced meme wizard of TA, we don’t just follow the market — we ride it like a shooting star across the altcoin galaxy 🚀.
💡 Here’s what you’ll unlock inside this spellbook of price action:
🌀 Magic Channels & Trend Spells
🔄 MA50 Rejections & Support Summons
📉 Fakeouts Exposed, Traps Uncovered
📈 Breakouts Blessed by Fibonacci Spirits
🧠 Deep-dive TA with a twist of humor, mystery, and meme-lore
From the shadows of fake breakouts to the light of uptrend awakenings, our charts tell stories — and you are the hero. Whether you're a seasoned wizard or a humble apprentice, here you’ll find something rare:
Real analysis. Real magic. Real fun.
🎯 Targets that work. Levels that matter. A vibe you won’t forget.
👉 Follow now and let Miracle show you why:
@TradeWithMky – Where Altcoins Speak Louder Than Bitcoin!
BTCUSDT reversal is not yet complete -> 95k???Despite yesterday's mini-dump, which initially appeared to be the right shoulder of the head and shoulders breaking out, the immediate retracement means the trading range sits within the range seen in the left shoulder.
We are still inside the incomplete head and shoulders pattern, and a bearish parallel channel.
If the price breaks out to the downside of the channel and the left shoulder range, the target for the retracement would be the same as the distance from the head to the neckline of the H&S pattern (y). This puts it inside the support zone of the 78.6% fib level of the continuation of the swing in the head of the pattern, at ~95k.
If the bulls thought they're through worst of it, the pain may not have even begun yet.
Even breaking out of the parallel channel might not be enough. The only thing that would signal the failure of the head & shoulders pattern is a new ATH, and that would need to happen quickly to save BTC from further falls.
BTC Tactical rebound or flush? Decision point at $103700 support__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong overall momentum across all swing/weekly timeframes, clear advantage to buyers.
➤ Key support at 103,700–104,000 USDT (chart/on-chain confluence, maximum visibility on all timeframes).
➤ Major technical resistance zone at 111,000–112,000 USDT (ATH + HTF pivots).
➤ Volumes normal to moderate, no directional climax or emotional excess in short and mid-term.
➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strongly positive, indicating persistent sector outperformance.
➤ Only short-term weakness detected: temporary bearish trend on 2H/1H/30min/15min, typical of a short-term flush within a bullish structural context.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
➤ Main bias: Bullish for swing approaches as long as $103,700 holds on closing.
➤ Opportunity: Buy on support on any retest 103,700–104,000 USDT with stop <102,000 USDT.
➤ Partial target: Take profits at 105–106k, then 111–112k.
➤ Risk zones: Confirmed break below 103,700 USDT with high volume = potential flush to 97–98k or even 95–96k.
➤ Catalysts: Quiet macro calendar until NFP (06/06) & FOMC (mid-June) — increased monitoring as these events approach.
➤ Action plan: Tactical intervention on support pullback, reduce exposure before major events.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D/1W : Major structure fully bullish. No underlying reversal, stable volume, solid momentum. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator fully “On Risk”, no behavioral excess.
12H/6H: Sector momentum and volumes validate all swing-long entries on dips. Key supports 103,700–104,000 USDT consistently defended across timeframes.
4H/2H: Bullish bias maintained, healthy structure. Slight intraday weakness: 2H softens, moderately high volumes without extremes.
1H/30m/15m: Short-term bearish bias across all LTF — profit taking impact, typical technical flush on support. Bearish signals do NOT invalidate HTF bullish trend, but require tactical vigilance.
Risk Summary: A fast drop below 103,700 USDT with volume would validate a flash liquidation scenario to 97–98k. Pullback in mature bull phase, strongly defended at the key support: timing for “mean reversion” on volume reaction, else wait for lower setups.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Still “On Risk”, strong tech/growth sector momentum on daily/swing.
ISPD: No behavioral excess, neutral/median histogram across timeframes.
Volumes: Normal/moderate, no exhaustion spike nor major selling.
On-chain: Mature distribution, LTH profit-taking; key supports at $103,700, $97,100, $95,600.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Synthesis & Bias
Market in mature bullish consolidation, HTF structure robust as long as 103,700 USDT holds.
Active opportunity window until NFP & FOMC: prioritize swing/mean-revert setups.
Required stop for any trade: strictly below $102,000.
Smart monitoring of volumes & sentiment: confirmed support break + volume = wait for lower rebound.
No excessive panic or exuberance signals: strong RR if re-entering the main range.
Actively manage exposure approaching macro events.
Operational summary:
• Buy at 103,700–104,000 USDT, stop <102,000.
• Partial profits at 105–106k, final offload at 111–112k.
• Reduce exposure ahead of NFP/FOMC.
• If break of 103,700 USDT: stop and wait for $97–98k or $95–96k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC: Short-Term Bullish Setup - Raising to 107.5k ?BTC: Short-Term Bullish Setup - Raising to 107.5k ?
On the 60-minute chart, Bitcoin has initiated a bullish movement, with a clear breakout and strong upward momentum.
BTC is expected to retest the top of the structure, where it may face resistance and potentially decline again. If the pattern unfolds as anticipated, Bitcoin could extend its bullish rally to 107.5K.
This movement appears to be influenced by several factors, though overall, market conditions have remained unchanged throughout the week.
Today’s price action reflects a technical shift rather than a fundamental development.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️