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BTCUST trade ideas

Correction Bitcoin finished?Hi traders, Bitcoin dropped last week just as I've said in my outlook. The last move down was a 3 wave pattern so I think this was wave y (updated wavecount blue). In that case the bigger correction is finished. Now we see a 5 wave pattern up which could be a leading diagonal wave 1 and after a correction down we will see the next impulse wave. Or the move down is the last impulse wave and after that we see more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the (corrective) move down to finish. After that you could trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
[BTC] 2025.04.18Greetings. It’s a pleasure to reconnect with you. Before diving into altcoin analysis, we believe it is essential to first address Bitcoin, as it remains the key driver in determining the overall market direction. Since the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase accompanied by a downward trend. In an effort to identify a potential bottom for this correction, we have closely monitored the market over the past three months. Initially, our team identified the period around March 10 as a likely inflection point for a bullish reversal and prepared a related analysis idea. However, we refrained from publishing it, as the movements of key altcoins—which typically serve as leading indicators—did not align with our internal criteria. As anticipated, the market went on to form another low. We now believe that April 7 marked not just a temporary bounce, but a potential structural pivot point in the broader trend. The rationale behind this assessment is outlined in detail below. We appreciate your time and hope you find the insights valuable. We believe the logical starting point is to examine the key highs that have formed during this cycle. Among the two major peaks—referred to here as “Point 1” and “Point 2”—it is critical to determine which marks the termination of the fifth wave. This distinction plays a pivotal role in accurately interpreting the subsequent wave structure. If Point 1 is the conclusion of the fifth wave, then Point 2 can be naturally understood as the terminal point of a corrective B wave. Conversely, if Point 2 represents the end of the fifth wave, then the decline that followed is likely the beginning of a corrective A wave. To validate this, we conducted a detailed analysis based on Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. The results showed that Point 2 did not align well with any major wave theory frameworks. Its price structure and time proportion appeared incomplete and inconsistent. In contrast, Point 1 exhibited a high degree of confluence with multiple classical wave theories, including Glenn Neely’s NEoWave principles. Structurally, it demonstrated the typical characteristics of a completed five-wave advance. Based on this evidence, we conclude that Point 1 is the more valid candidate for the fifth wave termination. Consequently, we believe any analysis of the current market structure should build upon this interpretation. To further clarify the interpretation of the key peak, we present two possible scenarios using Fibonacci ratios as the analytical foundation. These scenarios are illustrated as the red path and the blue path, each representing a different wave development depending on the subsequent market movement. However, the key takeaway is that both scenarios converge on a single conclusion: “Point 1” marks the completion of a full wave cycle, and can thus be identified as the termination point of the fifth wave. While the detailed wave progression may evolve depending on how the market unfolds, recognizing that a major top has already been established is essential for shaping any mid-to-long-term strategy. This structural understanding serves as a critical anchor in the broader market outlook. Having previously identified “Point 2” as the likely termination of the B wave, our current focus shifts to pinpointing the end of the C wave— in other words, the optimal buying zone within the corrective structure. Our team initially regarded the period around March 10 as a strong candidate for the conclusion of the C wave. However, due to insufficient synchronicity across the broader market— particularly the lack of confirmation from key altcoins— we concluded that this point did not represent a genuine inflection. ※ Our analysis is based not on individual coins but on a comprehensive structural assessment of the overall market. As a result, we extended our observation period. A clear and confident reversal signal was finally detected around April 7. In hindsight, the March 10 low proved to be a false bottom, marked only by a temporary rebound, whereas the true structural pivot materialized in early April. With this in mind, we believe the market is now entering a phase where a full wave reversal is plausible, and it is time to begin formulating a strategic entry plan in alignment with this outlook. Now, let us evaluate whether the second low (April 7) qualifies as the true termination point of the C wave. From a technical standpoint, the preceding decline exhibits the hallmarks of an Ending Diagonal— a classic pattern frequently observed at the conclusion of C waves. This structure serves as a strong technical signal that the wave sequence is entering its final stage, indicating not just a temporary rebound, but the potential for a structural trend reversal. Considering both the wave characteristics and the timing context, we believe there is sufficient evidence to regard the April 7 low not merely as a short-term bottom, but as the culmination of the C wave—and more importantly, the starting point of a major reversal in the broader trend. Finally, to further reinforce the technical foundation of our analysis, we turn to harmonic pattern analysis. By applying a range of Fibonacci ratios between the start and termination of the B wave, we have identified a remarkably precise Deep Crab pattern— one of the most powerful reversal signals among all harmonic structures. Notably, the current price action has landed directly within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), strongly suggesting that the timing for a strategic long position is ripe. In summary, we now have a confluence of three compelling signals: A clear Ending Diagonal structure at the tail end of the C wave, A significant inflection point formed around April 7, And a textbook Deep Crab harmonic pattern confirming the reversal zone. These three elements align cohesively to provide a well-founded justification for initiating long exposure. There is no longer a reason for hesitation. Assuming appropriate risk management is in place, we believe this is a moment to enter with confidence. Thank you sincerely for reading this analysis in full. We will continue to provide high-quality, data-driven market insights, rooted in both structural depth and technical precision. If our perspective resonates with your approach to the market, we warmly invite you to follow our work and stay connected. Your support and engagement are what fuel our continued efforts. See you in the next idea.
Long
by SeoVereign
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Exiting the Triangle📊 Technical Analysis - Bullish Breakout BTC/USDT confirms the “breakout and retest” by exiting the triangle formation. - Key Resistance Critical barrier at $85,000; breakout of this barrier strongly supports bullish continuation. - Predicted scenario Price is likely to move higher towards the key resistance at $108,000. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Improved market sentiment following tariff tensions, as well as increased institutional interest and regulatory clarification, favor a bullish outlook for BTC. ✨ Summary Bullish technical breakout paired with favorable fundamentals. Watch for BTC/USDT to test and potentially break the $85,000 resistance soon! ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Struggle To Hold 200EMA | Volatility ZoneBuyers struggle to hold bitcoin's 200EMA line on the 4-hour timeframe, where we see the price hovering slightly above that line, but bears are keeping the price close to the line, showing that they are still holding some kind of dominance near this region. The longer we see the fight, the more confident we are getting in the possible breakdown of that 200EMA to happen, which will give us a great shorting opportunity! Once we see the breakdown of that EMA, we are going to aim for the target to be reached or at least some sort of liquidation hunting to happen in lower zones. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
BTC SCENARIOS - LONG/SHORTThat's what I'm looking at in the near future. Just some ideas :) Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Currency / Decentralised Asset Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer digital currency designed for secure, transparent, and decentralised transactions without the need for intermediaries. Often referred to as "digital gold," BTC is the first and most widely adopted cryptocurrency, used globally for trading, investing, and storing value. It operates on blockchain technology, ensuring immutable, public ledger verification.
by kmiarka
1
BTC - breakout or bull trap in progress?Yesterday, Bitcoin broke out of the descending trendline it had been respecting for several days, forming a clear double bottom in the process — a classic reversal pattern suggesting bullish intent. Since then, price action has shifted into a consolidation phase, hovering just beneath a key liquidity zone filled with stop-loss orders from prior short positions. This area aligns closely with the previous 4H lower high, above which lies a fair value gap (FVG) that hasn't yet been fully filled. A move into this region seems likely, especially with liquidity resting above the prior high. We could see BTC targeting a partial fill — around the 50% mark — of that 4H FVG before any significant reaction occurs. On the way up, BTC also created another 4H FVG. It’s likely that price could revisit and partially fill this imbalance before continuing its move higher. This zone could serve as an ideal retracement area for bulls to re-enter, especially if the market seeks to rebalance before making a stronger push. Looking ahead, the $85.5K level stands out as a highly probable target. It marks a key psychological and technical resistance zone and is a magnet for liquidity. With momentum building and the current structure leaning bullish in the short term, a sweep of that level in the coming days is entirely plausible. However, it's important to zoom out. Despite this bullish momentum, the broader market structure remains bearish. Unless BTC breaks above and holds above this larger structure convincingly, rallies are more likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true trend reversals. Once $85.5K is tagged, there's a real possibility of a sharp rejection — potentially sending price back toward local lows or even printing new ones.
by Youriverse
37
Bitcoin Analysis on 18.04.2025Current Outlook: - BTC has recovered slightly after a major pullback. - The price is now at a critical bullish zone (above Arrow #4). 🎯 Key Levels: 1. 🚀 Bullish Breakout: - A break above the two yellow lines (under Arrow #2) could fuel a fast move to $100K (Arrow #1). - If $100K holds, the bull run continues. 2. ⚠️ Bearish Risks: - If BTC fails to hold Arrow #4 & #5, a drop to Arrow #6 (support) is likely. - Breaking Arrow #6 would confirm a bearish trend reversal. 💡 Trading Tip: - Watch Arrow #4 & #6 closely—these are make-or-break levels. - Manage risk & wait for confirmation before big moves. 🔥 Stay sharp & trade wisely!
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
2
BTCUSDT – Shallow Pullback Holding | 1.618 Extension in SightBitcoin made a strong move from 73K to 106K, setting a new high after months of sideways action. Since then, we’ve seen a pullback, but it's been controlled. The retracement has landed right on the 0.236 Fib level, around 75.4K — and price is starting to base above it. That’s often a sign of bullish strength. Shallow retracements like this can fuel the next leg up. 🔹 Short-Term Fib (Blue) This Fib is drawn from the recent move: 73K (0) → 106K (1) Key level: 0.236: 75,409 → currently acting as support 1.618 extension: 139,977 → potential next target if the uptrend continues So far, price is respecting the structure. 🟡 Macro Fib (Yellow) Drawn from a larger swing: 39.5K (0) → 73K (1) That move already completed and topped out near the 1.618 extension at ~106.7K — which lined up closely with the current ATH. It’s not active anymore, but it gives important historical context. 🎯 What I’m Watching: Holding above 75K keeps bulls in control Breakout above 95K could send price back to test ATH at 106K If momentum builds, 139K (blue 1.618) becomes the next technical target Drop below 73K? Structure breaks, and we reassess the trend 📌 Final Take: BTC is holding strong where it needs to. It’s not moon-mode yet, but the structure favors continuation. As long as the 75K area holds, I’m leaning bullish — targeting a breakout toward 106K and possibly 139K. Let’s see if Bitcoin’s got another leg in it. Thoughts? Long or waiting on a dip? 👇
Long
by MyNameIsEmrah
1
How to Analyze a Technical Chart: Practical Guide (BTC EXAMPLE)Hello, traders! ✍🏻 Understanding a chart isn't about predicting the future — it’s about recognizing what’s already happening. Whether you're evaluating a Bitcoin breakout or watching a new altcoin pump, technical chart analysis is one of the most powerful tools traders use to make sense of price movements. But how exactly do you read a technical analysis chart? What matters most — and what’s just noise? Let’s break it down. 1. Look at the Big Picture: Price Trends and Structure Before zooming in, zoom out. Start with the daily or weekly chart to identify the primary trend. Is the asset making higher highs and higher lows (an uptrend)? Or is it stuck in a sideways channel? In Price Analysis, Market Structure Is Your Anchor: Uptrend: Higher Highs and Higher Lows Downtrend: Lower Highs and Lower Lows Consolidation: Sideways Moves with Clear Support/Resistance This high-level view helps you avoid common traps, like going long in a downtrend or shorting near long-term support. 2. Use Support and Resistance Like a Map Support and resistance levels form the backbone of chart technical analysis. They show you where price reacted in the past — and likely will again. Support: A Price Level Where Buyers Previously Stepped In. Resistance: A Level Where Sellers Pushed Price Down. The more times a level is tested, the more important it becomes. These zones can act as entry/exit points or as signals for potential breakouts or reversals. 3. Add Indicators — But Don’t Overload! Indicators are helpful — if used right. The key is to complement price action, not replace it. Start Simple: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Detect Overbought/Oversold Conditions Volume: Confirms Strength Behind Price Moves Moving Averages: Help Identify Trends and Dynamic Support/Resistance Avoid piling on too many indicators. If your technical analysis chart looks like a control panel, you might be overcomplicating your decision-making. 4. Timeframes Matter — And So Does Context Don’t mix signals across timeframes without context. A bullish setup on the 15-minute chart can collapse under a bearish daily trend. Watch for Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Weekly: Macro Trend Daily: Trading Bias 4H/1H: Entry and Exit Planning This layered approach helps you stay aligned with momentum while avoiding short-term noise. Full Breakdown: Technical Chart Analysis of BTC/USDT (1W) The BTC/USDT weekly chart presents a textbook example of how price evolves through well-defined market phases, structural levels, and momentum shifts. Let’s walk through each component in detail — not just what is shown on the chart, but also why it matters and how it’s typically identified in technical analysis. We begin by examining the market structure. From mid-2020 to late 2021, Bitcoin followed a strong uptrend, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This kind of price action is characteristic of bullish expansion phases, where momentum builds gradually and pullbacks are shallow. Technically, an uptrend is confirmed when each new peak surpasses the previous, and support continues to form above former lows. In this case, the trend accelerated rapidly into the $60K–$70K zone before exhaustion set in. The shift occurred in late 2021, as the market transitioned into a macro correction. From a structural standpoint, the pattern reversed — lower highs began to form, and key support levels were breached. This downtrend, lasting through 2022, is a typical bear phase in a market cycle, where distribution outweighs accumulation. Price made several failed attempts to reclaim previous highs, confirming bearish control and increased selling pressure. What followed was an extended period of sideways movement between late 2022 and early 2023 — a classical accumulation zone. This phase is often overlooked but is critical in technical chart analysis. Here, price consolidated in a narrow range, with volatility contracting and RSI hovering near oversold territory. This kind of stabilization often signals that selling pressure has subsided and that larger players may be building positions ahead of a breakout. It is identified not just by price flattening, but by volume dropping and the absence of directional follow-through in either direction. By mid-2023, a recovery structure began to emerge. Bitcoin started printing higher lows and eventually broke above prior resistance zones, indicating the formation of a new trend. As of early 2025, this trend appears to be unfolding, though price is once again facing historical resistance near its all-time highs — the $69K–$74K zone. This region has acted as a ceiling in both the 2021 and 2024 cycles, making it a well-established historical resistance level. In technical terms, the more times a level rejects price, the more significant it becomes, as market participants tend to place orders around such zones in anticipation of repeated behavior. One of the most important structural zones on the chart lies around the $50K–$53K range. This mid-zone has acted as support during the 2021 bull run, flipped into resistance during the 2022 downtrend, and has once again returned to functioning as a support area in the current recovery. This phenomenon — where old support becomes new resistance and vice versa — is a classic concept in technical chart analysis, signaling that market memory is active and that this level is psychologically and technically significant. At the lower end, the $30K level has held repeatedly across multiple market phases, establishing itself as a long-term support zone. Its durability, despite heavy corrections, suggests significant accumulation and investor interest at that level. This zone has marked major bottoms and remains a key threshold that, if broken, could signal a structural shift in sentiment. Momentum analysis further confirms these phases. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), plotted beneath the price chart, hovered in overbought territory during both the 2021 and 2024 peaks, exceeding 70 and signaling potential exhaustion. In contrast, the RSI dipped into the 30s in 2022, aligning with the end of the downtrend and beginning of accumulation. These signals are not to be taken in isolation, but when combined with structure and volume, they add powerful confirmation to trend shifts. At the time of writing, RSI sits around 48 — neutral ground, indicating the market has not yet committed to a new directional move. This layered approach — combining trend structure, support and resistance zones, and momentum indicators like RSI — is fundamental to technical chart analysis. It enables traders to navigate through market noise and identify phases of expansion, correction, and re-accumulation with greater clarity. Each of these elements, when aligned, increases the probability of high-conviction setups and helps avoid emotionally driven decisions in volatile environments. Final Thought Mastering technical chart analysis isn’t about memorizing patterns — it’s about training your eyes to read structure, sentiment, and context. And like any skill, the more charts you read, the sharper you get. This is only an isolated analysis of the macro trend — a high-level look at Bitcoin’s price structure using weekly timeframes. In reality, technical analysis can be performed across multiple timeframes, combining far more indicators, chart patterns, and volume-based tools depending on your strategy and goals. Platforms like TradingView offer a wide range of features for deeper technical insight — from advanced oscillators to custom scripting and community-driven indicators. The chart above serves as a historical case study, not a trading signal. It provides a reference point for how sentiment shifts can be visualized over time through structure and momentum. If you’d like to explore other educational breakdowns or real-time analysis, feel free to check out more content on our TradingView page. This post is not financial advice, but 100% a technical perspective on past price action and market behavior. 💬 What’s your go-to indicator or setup when doing token price analysis? This analysis is performed on historical data, does not relate to current market conditions, is for educational purposes only, and is not a trading recommendation.
Education
by WhiteBIT
1
BTC – Liquidity Grab Followed by Retracement Into FVGsBTC is currently consolidating after a clear bearish leg, showing signs of a potential short-term retracement before continuation lower. Here's the breakdown: 1. Context & Structure: - This is the 1H timeframe on BTCUSDT Perpetual Contract via Bybit. - Price recently formed a local low around 83,200 following a strong bearish impulse. - The market has now printed multiple internal structures within a downtrend, hinting at potential retracement moves before continuation. 2. Liquidity Sweep & Demand Reaction: - We can observe a small liquidity grab beneath recent equal lows, which induced a bounce. - This bounce marks a short-term bullish reaction that may be targeting inefficiencies left behind during the selloff. 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in Focus: - Multiple FVGs are stacked on top of each other, starting from just above the 0.28 retracement level (around 84,000) and extending up to the 0.618–0.65 zone (~85,000–85,200). - These imbalances are likely to be filled as price retraces into premium zones, offering ideal areas to monitor for weakness or reversal patterns. 4. Fibonacci Confluence: - The 0.28 level aligns with a minor inefficiency and previous structure, acting as the first resistance area. - The key retracement zone (0.618–0.65) lies within the upper FVG cluster, a high-probability reaction area for shorts in alignment with the current bearish market structure. 5. Projection Path: - The expected path (light blue) shows price making higher highs short-term, sweeping internal liquidity while filling FVGs. - Once the FVG and fib confluence area is met (especially near 85,200), bearish continuation is anticipated, likely forming a lower low beneath the current structure around 83,200. 6. Ideal Setup Considerations: - This structure is best viewed as a bearish retracement setup within a broader downtrend. - Watching for bearish order flow or lower time frame confirmations once price enters the FVG zones can provide short entry setups. - No mention of SL or entry price here – this is a directional map, not a trade signal. Summary: This BTC 1H setup shows classic bearish market structure with clean inefficiencies left behind. The current bounce is expected to fill FVGs and potentially tag fib retracement levels before continuation lower. Patience in letting price reach the upper zones will be key for any short bias.
Short
by Louigi_24
41
I'll Short BTC if? I'll Short BTC if I see it at 86k once again Too much weakness on 4h time frame But I'll use a tight stoploss there above the high My tp will be at 81000 or 80000 But at the end I'll definitely wait for the confirmations on the lower time frames because without confirmations it's total loss in trading. This trade is 1:10 risk to reward So it does not hurts me but i don't know about your margin and capital. So act accordingly manage your risk definitely. Profit and loss all is yours I'm not responsible for your profit and loss. I'm sharing my thoughts. So let's see how it plays out, One trade like this and you don't have to trade for months. Wait for the prey like a lion 🦁 Regards Trader Scorpion 🦂
Short
by Traderscorpion
BTC - Not very Clear long Term!2H : OBV broke out of structure. Acc/Dist shows some confusing Divergences regarding Lows or Highs. It signals, that we maybe reach the upper blue TL again. In that case: there must be a new volume TA to enter a high possible Short. Green Box (Support). If this breaks with Confirmation ( high bearish volume with red Delta and high net shorts) then the next level will be lower blue box or Orange TL. A spike to that hVn could be very possible if the price goes higher (within the channel). If the Prices lingers/consolidates tool long on green box or lower blue TL with decreasing CVD and OI, then the probability that the hidden Bulls get exhausted is really high and the price breaks downward. Here we must watch more tools than just simple CVD+Price. Things like OBV, Open Interest, Net shorts and longs etc... 1H : OBV on 1h shows a structure break too. Daily POC : 85700 4H POC : about 8440 Follow for more ideas/Signals. 💲 Look at my other ideas 😉 Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights and rescue or other charity :)✌️
by Free-TA-Signal
2
Bitcoin Trading Plan!Hello, traders Bitcoin is currently approaching a key downtrend resistance line that has been respected several times since early February. The price action suggests a potential rejection from this level, which could lead to a move toward the lower boundary of the broader descending channel. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with possible targets near the $71K–73K region. 🔹 Bullish Invalidator: A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift in market structure.
Long
by Ram-Karavadra