BTCUST trade ideas
Is Bitcoin Repeating Its 2021 Price Action? | TRADEDOTSWe’ve observed that Bitcoin CME:BTC1! appears to be repeating a previous wave pattern. If it follows its historical price action yet again, here’s what we might expect:
2021 Comparison
Back in 2021, Bitcoin formed two large rounded wave structures where the second wave exceeded the first, forming two consecutive all-time highs followed by a huge drawdown. This year’s price action looks very similar to the beginning of the second 2021 waves. If it continues to unfold in the same way, we anticipate a new all-time high before the end of this year, followed by a notable pullback into early next year.
Key Support at $96,000
As long as BTC holds above $96,000, the bullish trend remains intact. This level has shown great demand and volume support, reinforcing its role as the floor for the short-term uptrend.
Upside Potential to $117,000
If buyers continue to support the market above $96,000, BTC could reach the $117,000 region, setting another all-time high. This expectation follows the earlier wave pattern seen earlier this year and completes a close parallel to the 2021 bull run.
Deeper Pullback Expected
After a potential new high, a larger correction is likely. Drawing on previous pullback price action, a 30% dip toward $82,000 could align with a higher-time-frame trendline and significant support area—mirroring the wave structure from 2021.
Final Thoughts
BTC remains structurally bullish above $96,000
A pullback to the $82,000 region could present a key buying opportunity if it occurs.
Volatility period has begun.
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We need to see if the price can hold above OBV Low.
We need to see if the price can hold above OBV High or HA-High.
It is showing a downward trend while failing to rise above OBV Low.
If this continues to decline further, we should check if the HA-Low indicator is newly created.
This volatility period is expected to start around June 6 (June 5-7) and continue until around June 13 (June 12-14).
If the auxiliary indicator OBV falls below the Low Line, there is a possibility of another large decline.
At this time, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 99705.62.
If not, it is expected to select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The basic trading strategy is to buy at the HA-Low indicator and sell at the HA-High indicator.
If you apply this basic principle, you buy when it rises above 102049.52 and shows support, and sell near 104938.72.
For this basic principle to be applied normally, OBV is rising and the StochRSI indicator is rising.
However, it is better if the StochRSI indicator has not entered the overbought zone if possible.
However, if it is resisted and falls at the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, and if it is supported and rises at the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, when testing support near the HA-Low indicator, if the OBV shows a downward trend and the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend (if possible, a downward trend in the overbought area), the possibility of a stepwise downtrend increases.
The end of the stepwise uptrend that occurs after meeting the HA-Low or HA-High indicator is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
Therefore, the trading method should be a fractional trading method.
I think the important thing in spot trading is how much you increase the number of coins (tokens).
Of course, depending on the situation, it may be better to make cash profits.
Since the coin market allows trading in decimal units, it is a useful investment market for increasing the number of coins (tokens).
Therefore, we can increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits while conducting trading according to the basic trading strategy.
That is, when the price rises by the purchase amount for each purchase price, sell it and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
At this time, you should be careful to include the transaction fee in the purchase amount and sell it.
The coins that are good for increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit rather than cash profit are BTC or ETH.
Additionally, BNB is also possible.
I think it is better to obtain cash profit if possible for the rest of the altcoins.
However, if there is a coin (token) that you think you want to increase in the medium to long term, you can increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit by increasing the number of coins (tokens).
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BUY OPPORTUNITYTrade Signal: BTC/USDT
Entry Price: $104,776
Stop Loss (SL): $102,945
Take Profit (TP): $108,767
Timeframe: 4H
Technical Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 48, turning upward:
RSI near 50 is neutral, but a rising RSI from below 50 suggests increasing buying momentum. It indicates the bears are weakening and bulls are gaining strength.
The current price is stabilizing at a historically strong support zone, which has acted as a floor in previous price action. This increases the likelihood of a bounce.
Volume increasing:
A rise in trading volume often confirms the strength of price moves. Increasing volume near support suggests strong buyer interest.
Fundamental Outlook
Upcoming fundamental data (unemployment claims) is expected tomorrow.
Historically, positive employment data tends to increase market confidence and can provide bullish momentum for BTC as investors react to overall economic health.
The market appears positioned to react favorably if the data meets or exceeds expectations, potentially accelerating the move toward resistance.
Bitcoin 4H – Battle at Resistance | Two Perspectives 🧪 1. 🐸 Miracle’s View – “Altcoins' Prophet” 🐸
"Yo fellow degenz! It's me – Miracle from the meme-coin clan, and I'm sniffing something bullish... but not so fast!"
Price is tryin’ to break out of a wicked resistance zone.
That red line? 🔴 It's not ketchup — it's the final boss trendline, and BTC must defeat it with volume ⚔️
Market sentiment is bullish, but Miracle says: "Wait for a clean break and retest — no fomo attacks!"
🔍 MA50 (gray snake) is curling up like a noodle of support. If we bounce off it again → 🚀 108.5K, 111K and beyond!
📉 BUT — if price gets rejected and drops below 105K… we might slide to 103.8K (or worse, the dungeon at 101.7K) 🕳️
📢 Miracle Rule: “Breakout without a retest is like a meme coin without a rug — rare!”
🔮 TL;DR:
🟢 Above 106.7K = Go time, ride the wave!
🔴 Below MA50 = Watch your bags, exit or short it with a stop above the resistance!
🔍 2. Unknown Analyst’s Neutral View (Clean & Pro)
BTC is challenging a major resistance zone between ~105.7K–106.7K.
A strong breakout above both the horizontal zone and descending trendline could initiate the next bullish leg.
MA50 and MA200 are offering dynamic clues:
MA50 holding = bullish confirmation if price closes above resistance
Failure to hold = a likely revisit to lower demand levels
Confirmation needed:
Clean candle close above resistance zone
Followed by a successful retest of the zone or MA50 as support
If rejection happens here → Potential retracement to 103.8K or lower (support & previous consolidation)
🎯 Targets on Breakout:
108.5K (local high)
111K (liquidity zone)
Extension possible if volume supports it
🧠 Dual Insight:
"Same chart. Two voices. One truth: Trade with logic — not emotion."
💬 Let us know in comments:
Are you team 🐸 Miracle or team 🧠 Unknown Analyst?
🎬 TradeWithMky – where altcoins speak louder than Bitcoin!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #TradingView #TradeWithMky #MiracleShot #AltcoinArmy
BTC/USDT signal by tiqgptMARKET NARRATIVE: Analyzing the provided charts for Bitcoin against Tether (BTC/USDT) across multiple timeframes (1H, 15M, 5M, 1M), we observe a consistent narrative of price action that reveals the strategic maneuvers of institutional players. Starting with the 1H timeframe, the price displays a descending pattern, marked by a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a dominant bearish market structure. This is further validated by the presence of descending mitigation blocks, which have been revisited but not significantly breached, suggesting a lack of buying interest at these levels.
Descending into the 15M and 5M charts, we see a more granular view of the bearish sentiment, with price action creating tight consolidation zones below previous mitigation blocks, signaling potential accumulation by smart money before further downward movement. The 1M chart offers the most detailed view, showing multiple liquidity sweeps below recent lows, which likely serve as inducements to trap retail traders into unfavorable positions before a potential expansion phase.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: The consistent bearish structure across all timeframes suggests that smart money is potentially targeting lower liquidity pools below the current price levels. The repeated liquidity sweeps and the formation of tight consolidation zones below mitigation blocks indicate a preparation phase for a further push downwards. This strategic positioning by institutional players aims to capitalize on induced retail selling pressure, allowing for accumulation at premium prices before a likely bearish continuation.
BTCUSDT – Ending Diagonal Nearing Completion? Critical Decision This structure appears to be developing within an ascending channel, potentially completing an ABC correction with a final impulsive move toward the upper trendline. The internal wave count indicates a possible completion of subwave (5) of C near the top.
However, bearish divergence in structure and the sharp nature of the previous impulse suggest caution. Two major outcomes are on the table:
Continuation Scenario: Price breaks above Wave 5, extending the rally in an overthrow move before reversing.
Reversal Scenario: Breakdown from the channel support (~107,000) could drag BTC down toward the broader trendline near 98,000–99,000.
This zone aligns with previous wave B support and could serve as a critical retest area.
Traders should monitor a break below the wave 4 pivot and channel midline as early signs of weakness. A rejection from the current top without higher highs confirms a potential end of the diagonal.
Bitcoin H4 Timeframe Update
Bitcoin overall panda fam is forming a possible bullish structure but still this is consolidating no confirmation yet for next possible impulse up 👀
Possible Scenario #1 — Correction phase for confirmation 🍃, Possibly panda fam we will experience first a rejection on major trend resistance then bounce at PBr1 support ranging approx 102.3k - 102.7k, If we respect PBr1 support keylevel possible there will be a strong bounce and breakout on the follow days / weeks.
Possible Scenario #2 — Aggressive breakout Aggressive move 🚀, This will only happen panda fam if we consolidate near resistance for example on the pink mini channel then next follow days possible there will be a aggressive breakout above trend major resistance.
Possible short term target if ever PBr2 keylevel ranging 109.3k - 109.7k area. As per my own opinion panda fam hanggang dyan na muna mahirap ipredict yung market kung pangunahan mo ng maraming future movement only make a analysis malapit sa present price action for more better accuracy and confirmation.
ℹ️ : @pandanambawan
BTC - SetupWe narrowly missed triggering our short entry at $106K.
If you’re still looking for long entries — this could be your chance.
Now is likely a good time to go long on MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , potentially targeting the ATH region and beyond, But we don’t have clear target regions yet — they will develop over time.
BTC/USDT.P Rejection Confirmed? Eyeing Breakdown Toward 50% FibBitcoin just lost two critical levels in rapid succession:
1️⃣ Value Area High ($106,331)
2️⃣ Previous Monthly High ($105,000)
We’re now closing candles back inside prior structure, showing signs of weakness and potential distribution at the highs.
📉 The Bearish Setup
Price is hovering above the 0.236 retracement. A break and daily close below this level could complete what looks to be the right shoulder of a developing head and shoulders pattern. The distance from head to neckline lines up with a projected move down toward the 50% Fibonacci level ($91,500) — which also aligns closely with the POC ($96,888) as an intermediate stop.
🎯 Targets:
• Neckline/Break Level: $102,800
• Mid-Target (POC): $96,888
• Main Target (0.5 Fib): $91,500
• Confluence zone lower: 0.618 to 0.68 (watch for reversals)
🧠 Context Notes:
• The current 2-leg rejection (~8% each) gives symmetry to the pattern
• High volume nodes around POC could act as reaction areas
• This short setup remains valid while price is closing below ~105k and failing to reclaim VAH
If this structure plays out, it’s a classic example of a failed breakout turning into a strong breakdown — the kind of move that catches late bulls off guard.