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BTCUST trade ideas

Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, our main scenario was implemented and a full–fledged rebound from the $77,000-$73,000 zone was achieved (volume anomalies, pushing volumes). After passing through several large selling zones, we’ve reached a resistance level from which we can get a significant correction. At the moment, the $85,600–$88,000 zone is being tested (absorption of the buyer's market aggression). The latest wave of buys, which began on April 10, is inertial. Trading volumes have decreased, and there is no clear dominance between one side and the other. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? There are strong anomalies along the delta, which can provoke a significant correction. Below the current price, we have a support zone of $82,700–$81,400, but with high activity from the seller, it can only slow down the fall slightly. The main expectations are the beginning of a corrective movement, as indicated by the nature of growth, the current volume zone, as well as delta protection. A less likely scenario is a surge in the buyer's market activity, which will take the quote above the $88,000 level. In this case, the priority will change dramatically to long. Sell Zones: $85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buyer activity) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone) Level at $74,800 $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) IMPORTANT DATES The following macroeconomic events are expected: • Wednesday, April 16, 2:00 (UTC) — publication of China's GDP for the first quarter and in comparison with the first quarter of 2024; • Wednesday, April 16, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for March and in comparison with March 2024; • Wednesday, April 16, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for March and in comparison with March 2024; • Wednesday, April 16, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index and volume of US retail sales for March; • Wednesday, April 16, 13:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision; • Wednesday, April 16, 17:15 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell; • Thursday, April 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, as well as the Philadelphia manufacturing activity index from the Federal Reserve Bank for April; • Thursday, April 17, 12:45(UTC) — European Central Bank press conference; • Thursday, April 17, 13:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate in the Eurozone. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Short
by Crypto_robotics
1
BTCUSDT – Watching for a Potential Short Near 87KBitcoin is currently trading within a broader downtrend, and the recent bullish move appears to be a correctional phase within that structure. Price is approaching a key resistance zone around $87,000, which aligns with the descending trendline and a previous support-turned-resistance level. This confluence zone could act as a strong rejection area, offering a potential selling opportunity if bearish confirmation is seen. I’ll be watching for reversal signals (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, momentum divergence) around that level to validate a short setup.
Short
by JoeChampion
5
shortH S, Hello friends, considering Powell's speech last night and Bitcoin's quick reaction from 86 to 83, and the fact that they still predict that the market is under pressure and that interest rates may remain unchanged for now, we expect that in the first stage, the price will retreat towards the 60,000 channel in the weekly time frame and then attack again from around 65 to 68 to return the price to the ceiling. The markets have a lot of risks. Observe risk and capital management.
Long
by hamidsakhdari
1
Bitcoin Parallel Channel Master Analysis🟦 Parallel Channel Overview The chart reveals a well-established ascending parallel channel, guiding Bitcoin’s price action over an extended period. The upper and lower bounds have been respected multiple times, validating the strength and consistency of this trend structure. Price currently hovers near the midline, following a bounce from the lower boundary, indicating the channel remains intact and bullish momentum is supported. 🧭 Current Price Action A recent dip tested the lower boundary and was met with strong buying interest — a bullish sign. Price is now pressing up against the midline, which acts as a crucial pivot: A successful flip of the midline to support could propel the price toward the upper channel boundary. A failure here may trigger another retest of the lower support. 📌 Key Structural Levels Lower Channel Support: The primary demand zone; a breakdown here could suggest a broader structural change. Midline (Median): The dynamic pivot — the battleground for bulls and bears. Upper Channel Resistance: Where profit-taking or breakout acceleration typically occurs. 🔁 Repeating Breakout Pattern: Timeline & Insights 🔹 1st Breakout – February 2024 Price breaks above the channel and sets a new high. Eventually retraces back into the channel. In August 2024, the break out area from February becomes midline support, validating the zone. 🔹 2nd Breakout – November 2024 Another breakout occurs, reaching a peak roughly equal to the first breakout. In April 2025, price once again retests the midline, mimicking the previous August retest behavior. 🟡 Pattern Recognized Breakout → Peak → Pullback to Midline Support → Reaccumulation → Breakout With this repeating structure, a 3rd breakout is likely, assuming midline support holds. Based on historical intervals: Feb to Nov 2024 = ~9 months Aug to Nov = ~3 months This positions the next breakout for June 2025, following the April retest. 🔮 Projected Outcome: 3rd Breakout If the vertical breakout range repeats: 3rd breakout peak could mirror the height of previous breakouts. ⚖️ Summary & Strategic Implications ✅ Structure is bullish as long as Bitcoin trades within or above the channel. ✅ Midline bounces have reliably preceded breakouts — current April 2025 retest strengthens that thesis. ✅ June 2025 becomes a critical breakout watch window. ❌ Break below the midline would invalidate the repeating breakout structure and shift focus to lower support zones.
Long
by MyNameIsEmrah
1
BTCUSD - $100K Soon?1. MARKET OVERVIEW BTC has been respecting a Descending Trendline since the start of the year, but it has just recently broken out of the Trendline to the upside making this year's high(@$110k) a possible target. This week's Price Action will give us more insight on price willingness to want to continue higher. 2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING * Supply Zone: 86,186 - 87,333. * Demand zone: 75,756 - 77,880 3. TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS Price is currently engineering Liquidity for the Supply Zone so if price trades above 86,100 it'll be a good idea to short BTC. But my personal Bias going into this week is to see bullishness on BTC so i'll only be interested in Longs around my Demand Zone (after price has taken out the low @78,464.36). 5. FINAL NOTES No rush to enter early in the week-let price come to me. Stay Patient and follow the plan. Sorry guys for lack of snapshots from my tradingview, i'm new to this part of tradingview so i'm not YET eligible to post external links on my ideas. But if you go to your charts and map out my KEY LEVELS it'll make perfect sense why i'm looking out for these levels.
by SyHub
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe nearest or swing low or high level for pullback entries. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (81000) Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 91000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 👇👇👇 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Trap in Progress: The Smart Money's Favorit🚨 Warning: This is not financial advice – this is a post-mortem for early longs. 📍 BTC is consolidating at the exact Point of Control (~84.200 USDT) – aka the zone of weak hands. Tape shows consistent negative delta, falling Open Interest, and phantom volume. 🎯 Likely scenario in the next few hours: Pump trap to 85.800 (liquidate aggressive shorts) Reversal into oblivion down to 83.200 → 81.500 💣 Liquidity clusters are waiting at: 🔺 86.000 – 86.800: where retail longs dream of “breakout season” 🔻 82.000 – 81.500: where they go to rest in peace ⚙️ Pôncio Setup (a.k.a. Institutional Homicide Strategy): Short Entry: 85.5K–85.8K (on rejection + weak delta) SL: 86.2K (just above stop cluster) TP1: 83.2K (first blood) TP2: 81.5K (massacre zone) 🔮 If we get a deep sweep into 82K and trap sellers with a reversal spike in OI + green delta... maybe, just maybe, a long from hell is viable. 📈 Chart below shows expected price trajectory. Trade safe. Or at least, trade interesting.
Short
by NunoSid
1
BTCUSDT – Big Move Incoming, Key Level To watch!Bitcoin is approaching a key decision area after a few months of downward pressure. The chart shows a clear bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. Recently, a possible double top has formed just below the major resistance near 88.668, which could suggest a short-term pullback if buyers don't step in. If the double top plays out, a retest of the support zone between 78.576 and 82.000 is likely. This zone has held well in the past and could act as a strong base again. However, if price manages to break and hold above 88668, that would be a strong signal of strength. It could mark a shift back to a bullish trend, with the next major target being the all-time high area around 108.360. Key areas to watch: Support: 78.576 to 82.000 Resistance: 88.668 and 108.360 Right now, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point. A breakout could trigger a strong rally, while rejection may lead to another dip. Stay patient, watch how price reacts at these levels, and let the market confirm the next move.
by ijaz_crypto
14/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,116.94 Last weeks low: $74,520.92 Midpoint: $80.318.93 Did we truly think it would be easy? As Trump targets China the markets panicked in a huge de-risking event that sent BTC down to $74,500, fully retracing the Us election pump 6 months ago. After a double bottom and a tariff pause for 90 days on those countries that played ball, BTC reclaimed the previous weeks bottom and steadily climbed back toward major resistance at $86,000. Clearly the focus has primarily been on traditional markets like the SPX & DJI, on the SPX the 1D 200 EMA tagged and as usual gave huge support, this is very often a local bottom and so far that is the case. BTC has very quietly flipped the 4H 200 EMA after the 10th time of trying, staying above the $84,000 level would be a confirmed reclaim if the trend can follow and flip bullish. If that is the case then it would seem the flush we've all been dreading is over, however, if Trump escalates the trade war once again then TA takes a back seat to FA once again. This week I would like to see strong support at 0.75 line, a wick down to that level and a reclaim of the 4H 200 EMA would give me confidence that BTC can target the $91K mini range top. A loss of the 0.75 line and acceptance below I would then target weekly lows once again for a triple bottom.
by ProR35
2
#BTC/USDT#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300 We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 79,056 First target: 80,422 Second target: 81,950 Third target: 84,000
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT Technical Analysis Synthesis: Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band. Market Sentiment Integration: Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves. Directional Determination: Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment. Trade Strategy Selection: Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio. Trade Execution Plan: Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis. Risk Assessment: Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency. JSON Trade Plan: { "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" } Risk Warning: Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions. Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Short
by quantsignals