DeGRAM | BTCUSD rebound from the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis
● The BTCUSDT 4-hour chart on KUCOIN highlights a pronounced descending channel, with price action recently rebounding from a well-defined demand zone between 98,000 and 100,000. This green-shaded area has repeatedly acted as a springboard for bullish reversals, as evidenced by the strong wick and immediate recovery after the latest test. The chart also marks a series of lower highs and lower lows, but the most recent price action shows a break in bearish momentum, with a projected zigzag path indicating a potential move toward the 104,970 resistance. The confluence of the lower channel boundary and the demand zone suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively at these levels, aiming for a retest of the upper resistance band.
● The technical setup is further reinforced by the presence of a major resistance level at 111,977, which has capped previous rallies. The chart’s structure, with its clear trendlines and highlighted resistance and support zones, points to a tactical opportunity for bulls to capitalize on the oversold conditions. The anticipated path, as drawn on the chart, suggests a gradual recovery with intermittent pullbacks, targeting the 104,970 area as the next significant hurdle. The overall pattern indicates that while the broader trend remains bearish, the immediate outlook favors a corrective rally from the current demand zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for a short-term recovery. Over the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced heightened volatility due to escalating geopolitical tensions, notably US military action in the Middle East, which triggered a sharp sell-off and flushed out leveraged positions. Despite this, institutional accumulation remains robust, with over $1.2 billion in Bitcoin added to corporate treasuries in the last week, and Texas officially establishing a state-managed Bitcoin reserve. On-chain data shows sustained negative netflows from exchanges, indicating that large holders are moving coins to cold storage, a historically bullish signal. Meanwhile, derivatives data reveals a cautious market, with open interest skewed toward protective puts, but spot ETF inflows and long-term adoption trends continue to underpin the market.
✨ Summary
● BTCUSDT is rebounding from a key demand zone, with technicals pointing to a corrective move toward 104,970. The bullish scenario is supported by strong institutional accumulation and strategic adoption, even as short-term volatility persists. A sustained close above 104,970 would open the path to the 111,977 resistance, while a drop below 98,000 would invalidate the recovery thesis.
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