BTCUST trade ideas
BTC - small scalp exampleTrying to keep this one short:
BTC took the weekend highs, only entry was market in when getting back below the level. Which is usually how I trade, but I had ETH short already and was fine keeping it that way.
Now internal structure is at an important low:
- mark the last high (sweep high)
- mark the high before that, that got broken
- the low in between those would signal internal break if broken
now price is very weak, but we look for a low-hold to keep structure + price pushing into supply on futures open.
keeping it really tight, if we lose this internal structure, it's much more likely that we take the weekend lows as well, from where we can look for a new setup.
tp into the orderblock that preceded the breakdown, tp1 around first resistance at 84.5
Btc trend reversal Btc tested a strong support level and made a strong bounce continuing a divergence on several TA indicators. Trend support on daily and weekly shows a bottom. I think will see a trend reversal over the next few weeks as tariff news settles and more talks of rate cuts.
RSI top- daily time frame
Trend strength bottom- weekly time frame
Chart- daily time frame
BTC – Restabilization after this massive drop?Market Context:
BTC has broken below a key support level, indicating potential for continued downside. Price is currently retracing after a sharp sell-off, but the overall structure remains bearish unless significant levels are reclaimed.
Technical Overview:
- The previous support zone has been broken, turning it into potential resistance.
- Price is now entering a lower Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could serve as a reaction zone.
- A larger FVG higher up, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, presents a more significant area to watch for a possible reversal.
Scenario:
Price may retrace into the lower FVG and continue pushing up toward the premium FVG zone. This area coincides with the 0.618–0.65 Fib levels, where a shift in momentum or bearish confirmation could trigger a move lower.
Key Points:
- A potential rejection could occur from the premium FVG zone.
- If an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) forms in that area, it would support a short setup.
- Alternatively, if price prints a lower low before reaching the upper FVG, that would also open up short opportunities.
- Patience is key—wait for structure to align or a momentum shift before considering entries.
Outlook:
The bias remains bearish unless the structure is reclaimed decisively. Current price action suggests the retracement is corrective, and the next impulse may resume the downtrend once premium levels are met.
This volatility period is expected to last until April 18
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I looked for cases where HA-Low > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart in the entire range, but I could find similar movements, but I couldn't find anything like the current one.
I think it's difficult to understand the current movement.
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HA-Low and HA-High indicators are paired indicators that show contraction and expansion like Bollinger Bands.
Currently, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are in a contracted state.
Therefore, if it rises near the HA-Low indicator and maintains the price, it is likely to lead to an attempt to break through the HA-High indicator.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are defined and used as indicators that serve as the basis for trading strategies, the most important thing is whether there is support near the HA-Low indicator.
When it rises near the HA-Low indicator and shows support, if the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart, that is, if it maintains a proper arrangement, the possibility of an upward trend will increase.
Therefore, what we need to do is check whether there is support near the HA-Low indicator.
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This volatility period is expected to last from April 13th to 18th.
At this time, the key is whether it can rise near 89294.25 and receive support.
If it touches the 89294.25 point and falls, we should see if the price can be maintained around the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (83646.12) and rise along the rising trend line (2).
The maximum decline is expected to be around the left Fibonacci ratio 1.618 (76787.43) that the finger is pointing to.
If it fails to rise along the rising trend line (2), it is likely to fail to reverse the trend.
In any case, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will be restricted because the StochRSI indicator is expected to enter the overbought zone.
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The Fill HA Close 1W-1M indicator is an indicator that displays the Close of the 1W and 1M charts of the Heikin Ashi chart.
This was created for the purpose of identifying the point where an uptrend or downtrend turns from a mid- to long-term perspective.
The HA Close on 1W 1M Mid indicator is an indicator that displays the middle value of the Close of the 1W and 1M charts of the Heikin Ashi chart.
I think you can tell why the HA Close on 1W 1M Mid indicator was added by looking at the price movement.
In other words, it was added because it can act as a support and resistance point.
However, it is recommended that these indicators be used for analyzing charts.
In my chart, the only indicators used to create trading strategies are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
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(30m chart)
If you bought (LONG) when the HA-Low indicator was created and showed support near it, you would be currently making a profit.
If the HA-Low indicator shows support and the price rises above the Trend Cloud (or M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and maintains, there is a high possibility that an uptrend will begin.
Then, if it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator and falls below the Trend Cloud (or M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and maintains the price, there is a high possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Therefore, if you bought near the HA-Low indicator, the first sell period will occur when you meet the HA-High indicator.
This movement will be conducted within the HA-Low ~ HA-High range.
Most of the time, you will trade within the HA-Low ~ HA-High range.
Otherwise, there will be cases where the price falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator and shows a trend.
At this time, you will either gain a bigger profit or incur a bigger loss.
Therefore, it is important to stabilize your psychological state by guarding the first split sell section.
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The body color of the candle indicates the status of the OBV indicator.
That is, dark green means that the OBV is located above the upper line.
Dark red means that the OBV is located below the lower line.
Therefore, when dark green or dark red appears, you can see that there is a high possibility that a change in trend will occur.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle📈
🧠From a structural point of view, we are currently in the resistance zone at the daily level, so it is reasonable that we have been consolidating here for a long time.
➡️From a graphical point of view, we have formed an ascending ascending triangle here. Generally, we continue to rise according to this model, and it is also regarded as a signal that the trend is about to end, so we can pay attention to the short-selling opportunities in the red target area above.
⚠️Note that if we fall below the turning point 83675 in advance, the expectation of continued rise will be invalid, and we can pay attention to the short-selling opportunities when we rebound to the blue resistance area again.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC NEXT MOVEBTC is turned bullish on lower time frame for now. As CHoCH marked on the chart after taking previous lower high. As now its in bullish trend so we have to find bullish entries like I have marked OB+FVG below the Sell side liquidity and Trendline liquidity. Expecting price to fill these liquidity areas and then up.
BTC/USD 1hr ChartInto the hourly chart, there has been a noticeable shift in market structure from bearish to bullish momentum, accompanied by displacement—a clear bullish indicator for short-term price movements. Additionally, liquidity targets are evident, offering opportunities for institutional traders to capitalize on. Beneath this liquidity lies a fair value gap and a bullish order block, which may present an excellent entry point for long or bullish traders targeting the recent liquidity price of 88.951.7 zone with a stop loss just below the swing low at 78,100.
BTCUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trends, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
Bitcoin: Normal Bullish vs Super Bullish +Altcoins Market UpdateBitcoin is bullish right now but not super-bullish. What needs to happen for Bitcoin to turn super-bullish is the question that I am getting through email from my most ardent followers. Why this question?
Some people don't like to take much risk. They are ok with some risk but not big risk. Buying early can produce great profits if things turn out ok, but it can also produce huge losses if the market makes a surprise rejection and turns the other way.
People like us like to catch the bottom but this comes with the risk of getting whipsaw. There can be several drops at the lows before a bearish wave ends. Without the proper risk management, position management, trying to catch the bottom can result in loses. Easy to see and understand.
Bitcoin is normal bullish above $80,000. Bitcoin is strongly bullish above $85,000.
This is still a great buy because Bitcoin is trading below $90,000. Anything below $100,000 is great for the long-term. Now, for Bitcoin to turn super-bullish we need a break and close above $88,700 on the daily timeframe. Give or take two days above this level to add strength. A stronger confirmation comes with the weekly close. If you want Bitcoin super-bullish, get it when the $88,000 resistance is gone.
To me, Bitcoin is already bullish confirmed. The correction is over and has been over for an entire week. This is only the start. Slow and steady growth. Bullish momentum will grow. Maximum speed will start in May 2025, late, and then up, up and up. It will be a long ride and it is likely to extend.
» Altcoins Market Update
The Altcoins market is great right now. Some pairs are finally starting to break bullish and moving above resistance. Support has been confirmed for weeks and in some cases for months. But there was been some sideways on the low but now bullish action is starting to show up. This is just the start. In a matter of days, some pairs will be growing between 30-80% in a single day. Once these move, they tend to retrace a little bit before additional growth. Do not try to catch those, it is a futile effort. Look now for the ones trading low with good signals and charts then buy and hold. You will do great.
Right now a diversification strategy can work wonders because there just too many pairs. The market will take a long time to grow. The market will take a while to unravel.
In the past, long gone past, 2016 and so on, the market would alternate between pairs every few months. As the market grew, the period between each bullish wave continued to extend, while in the past we would see strong action every few months, now it happens only once or twice per year. As the market grows, it takes longer and longer for money to move around and reach every sector. This bull market will be long.
It is likely that this bull market will extend because of so many pairs. There is not enough time to lift everything up in just 6 months. This is good news, it would be better to have a 2-3 years strong-long bull market rather than 6 months. The longer it last, the more time we have to adapt, learn and grow.
Since it is inevitable to make mistakes, the longer the bull market lasts, the more chances we will have to apply everything that we learn live every day. It will be great.
It is confirmed, everything will grow. By everything I mean the biggest portion of the market, choose wisely because a pair can start growing tomorrow while another one can start growing within 5-6 months. Both go up, but one do so in early 2025 while another one can grow in late 2025. Which one are you holding? Diversification right now is a strong move across the Altcoins. When Bitcoin grows 20%, some Altcoins will grow by 300%. Strong projects can grow between 80-150%.
There are many ways to approach the market. Do what works for you. I am wishing you success.
Thank you for reading.
Consider hitting boost and leaving a comment if you enjoy the content.
Namaste.
$BTC is facing a systemic threat—and it's becoming real.This post is a follow-up to my highly controversial idea from last year:
Back then, many laughed and called me a fool. But it's happening:
Forbes: "Quantum Leap or False Alarm? Bitcoin’s Fate in the Quantum Age"
www.forbes.com
CoinDesk: "Bitcoin Developer Proposes Hard Fork to Protect BTC from Quantum Threats"
www.coindesk.com
Key points:
Bitcoin is not digital gold. It can be hacked.
We have about 5 years to move to quantum-resistant encryption.
This requires a hard fork, forcing all BTC holders to move their coins to a new wallet.
Those who don’t move their coins? They’re burned—permanently lost.
How?
Quantum computers can use a “long-range attack” to derive private keys from public keys. In early BTC transactions, public keys were visible—around 2 million BTC are at risk.
Consequences:
Two chains will coexist: BTC (legacy) and BTC (quantum-safe).
SegWit adoption took 2 years. Expect similar delays.
2 million BTC could be lost forever (≈10% of supply).
Satoshi’s coins? Gone.
We'll have BTC, BTCQ, and BCH side by side.
Why would whales support this?
Removes inactive or lost coins
Doubles their holdings across chains
Protects their assets from being hacked
Is this bullish? Should you buy BTC?
Not sure. This is a systemic risk. The panic from Bitcoin developers says it all.
I warned you. Read my original post. Follow me to stay ahead of what’s next.
📉 Potential consequences
Bitcoin chain split: Legacy chain vs. upgraded chain (like BTC/BCH but even messier).
Burned coins: Could cause a deflationary shock if millions of old coins become inaccessible.
Temporary loss of trust: Confusion = market panic. Price volatility could spike.
Regulatory scrutiny: Governments could use this as an excuse to push CBDCs or new crypto laws.
New “Bitcoin” brand wars: Just like the BCH/BSV split, there may be competing narratives.
Can the developers fix this problem?
Yes, developers can upgrade Bitcoin to be quantum-safe.
But the real danger lies in:
Coordination failure
Loss of user trust
A messy migration
Potential devaluation of old BTC
Legal and branding chaos
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #QuantumComputing #CryptoRisk #HardFork #Blockchain #CryptoSecurity #SatoshiNakamoto #CryptoWarning #DYOR #Altcoins #BTCFork #BitcoinUpdate #QuantumThreat
Bitcoin update"Bitcoin is currently in wave B of its second wave and could potentially reach the $100,000 range. After that, it will begin its wave C correction, which I believe could go down to the $60,000 level, more precisely between $65,000 and $70,000. Following this, it will start its main upward wave 3, which could easily reach the $500,000 range. The target timeframe for the end of the second wave can be seen as approximately 4 months from now.
This is just a prediction, not a prophecy, but what can be said with confidence is that the main market growth is on its way.
Wishing everyone success."
Bitcoin time? We Are Watching the Old World Fade in Real-TimeTechnical Breakdown:
🎥 Watch today’s full Bitcoin chart video here:
👉
📊 Also see:
Gold outlook -
DXY macro reversal –
THEN CONNECT THE DOTS WITH ME:
This isn’t just Bitcoin... this is the evolution of money in motion.
🟠 Bitcoin Time? We Are Watching the Old World Fade in Real-Time
This isn't just a moment for Bitcoin —
This is a moment for the entire monetary system .
The same chart we’ve used since the 2020 breakout continues to hold.
We called the structure.
We called the delayed breakout.
And now we are watching a macro pivot that goes far beyond crypto .
🔁 Technical Outlook
✅ Breakout after Halving 4 (April 2024)
✅ Structural retest complete
🔹 70% chance: Break above 115K
🔻 30% chance: Retest the 59K major support
The third test is building...
And historically, third tests break out or break everything .
We are prepared for either — but positioned for the upside.
🌍 Global Context
While this structure plays out, here’s what’s happening outside the chart:
🟡 Gold breaks ATHs → hard assets are in demand
💵 Dollar breaks support → normalization or loss of confidence?
🧊 Inflation cools to 2.4%
🟠 Bitcoin gains macro relevance — ETF flows, institutional entry, and global uncertainty
🔮 The End of Cycles?
We’ve ridden Bitcoin’s halving-driven cycles for a decade.
But ask yourself:
What if Bitcoin is no longer a cycle asset… but a reserve one?
2025 could mark a shift from speculative bull runs to long-term monetary adoption.
The signs are there.
⚔️ New Monetary Order?
China hoards gold
The U.S. aligns with Bitcoin (BlackRock, ETFs)
The Dollar fades structurally and symbolically
This is not just a trade.
This is a transition.
From fiat to fixed.
From speculation to structure.
From old world to new order.
Still long. Still with structure. Still watching history unfold.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Do you think I'm joking ???Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Blockchain X has artificial intelligence technology that can make smart trades, allowing you to continuously make profits in the crazy world of cryptocurrency. Come and try it!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC SWING DOJI +OB LONGBTC is currently in a mini consolidation box, can breakout or breakdown, if it breaks down I plan to long the 79K 1H bullish OB, Its at support (Volume Profile) + its the Montly VAL, target would be the 89 Liquidity, watch out for reaction before entering, invalidation is very clear
Crypto Risk Management: The Most Overlooked EdgeIn the thrilling yet unforgiving world of crypto, profit potential is massive—but so is the risk. Every trader or investor enters the space with dreams of 10x gains, but without a solid risk management strategy, many exit just as fast—with a trail of losses.
Risk management is the art of protecting your capital while giving yourself the best shot at long-term profitability. It’s not just a skill; it’s a survival strategy.
What Are the Risks in Crypto?
Crypto markets are unique—24/7, global, and driven by emotion, hype, and tech disruption. With that come several risk categories:
Market Risk – Volatile price swings can wipe out unprepared traders.
Liquidity Risk – Low-volume coins can be hard to exit during dumps.
Regulatory Risk – Government crackdowns or bans (e.g., Binance or XRP cases).
Security Risk – Hacks, rug pulls, phishing scams, and smart contract bugs.
Operational Risk – Mistakes like sending funds to the wrong address or using faulty bots.
These risks aren’t just theoretical—think of the LUNA/UST collapse or the FTX debacle. Billions were lost due to poor risk management at multiple levels.
🧠 Core Principles of Risk Management
To stay in the game long-term, you need to adopt some fundamental principles:
Preserve capital first, profit later.
Risk small, aim big.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Think in probabilities, not certainties.
Be consistent, not lucky.
Even the best traders lose—but they survive because they manage their downside better than the rest.
🛠️ Tools & Techniques That Can Save Your Portfolio
1. ✅ Position Sizing
Don’t bet your whole stack on one trade. A common approach is to risk 1–2% of your portfolio per trade. That way, even a streak of bad trades won’t destroy your capital.
2. 🛑 Stop-Loss & Take-Profit
Always have predefined stop-loss levels to cut losses, and take-profit targets to lock in gains. Trading without a stop-loss is like driving without brakes.
3. 📊 Diversification
Spread your investments across different sectors (DeFi, AI, Layer 1s, etc.). Don’t rely on one narrative or one coin.
4. ⚖️ Leverage Control
Leverage can amplify gains—and losses. Avoid high leverage unless you’re an experienced trader with a tight plan.
5. 🔁 Portfolio Rebalancing
Adjust your allocations periodically. If one asset balloons in value, rebalance to lock in gains and manage exposure.
6. 💵 Using Stablecoins
Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, or DAI are great for hedging during volatility. Park profits or prepare dry powder for dips.
🧠 Psychological Risk: The Silent Killer
Many traders don’t lose due to bad analysis—they lose to emotions.
FOMO leads to buying tops.
Fear leads to panic selling bottoms.
Revenge trading after losses leads to bigger losses.
Greed blinds you from taking profits.
The key is discipline. Create a plan, follow it, and review your mistakes objectively.
🚫 Common Mistakes to Avoid
Going all-in on one trade or coin
Holding through massive drawdowns hoping for a recovery
Ignoring stop-losses
Overleveraging small positions to “win it all back”
Risk management is about avoiding unnecessary pain, not killing your gains.
🧭 Final Thoughts
The best traders in crypto aren't those who win big once—they're the ones who survive long enough to win over and over. Risk management is your edge in a market that respects no one.
Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or long-term HODLer, never forget: capital is your lifeline. Guard it with your strategy, protect it with your plan, and grow it with patience.
✍️ By Green Crypto
Empowering traders with analysis, tools, and education. Stay sharp. Stay profitable.
Warning: Bitcoin Is Being Manipulated!This so-called BTC bull run reeks of a setup. No bullish fundamentals, no real news, just empty candles pushed by invisible hands. Meanwhile, every major headline screams bearish — inflation, rate hike delays, global instability — and yet somehow, BTC is pumping? Give me a break.
This isn’t organic. It’s manufactured. A classic trap — engineered by market makers and backed by the Fed’s silent hand — to sucker in retail, bleed them dry, and dump it all back down. Sounds familiar? It should. This is 2008 all over again, just digitized and dressed in crypto.