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BTCUST trade ideas

The inflow of funds provides momentum for the rise of Bitcoin.If market bullish sentiment surges and is fueled by new positive catalysts (such as increased institutional capital inflows or positive regulatory policy signals), the price of Bitcoin could break above the resistance level of $106,000. A successful breakout would open up new upside potential, with upward targets potentially reaching $107,500 or even higher. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
FVG re-entry or fail – this level decides the tone.Bitcoin tapped the 0.618 fib at ~$104,100 and front-ran the 1H demand zone. Now it's hovering at a decision point just beneath the 1H Fair Value Gap. What to watch: → Price is pressing into FVG (104.4k–104.7k), aiming for acceptance. → Value area high sits at 104,275 – acting as pivot. → Break + hold above 104.7k? Clean path to 105.8k. Plan: Entry: 104.1k–104.3k SL: below 103.6k TP1: 104.9k TP2: 105.8k (liquidity sweep) Invalidation: Rejection from 104.7k = probable retest of 103k Narrative flip potential: Buyers are defending the mid-range + FVG. Breakout would shift market structure bullish on the lower timeframes. "Acceptance above the gap = momentum reclaim."
Long
by SmartFlowst
BTC/USDT🔔 New Month Kicks Off — Caution with Futures I wouldn’t rush into aggressive futures trading right now. Key long zones to watch: • Liquidity sweep near 100,700 • Entry into the weekly FVG zone That’s where I’ll be monitoring closely for potential position building. 🧠 The logic is simple: For a solid entry point, the market needs to define the monthly and weekly lows. This reduces the risk of getting chopped in volatility and offers a cleaner market structure. ☀️ Seasonal Context: Summer is here — market dynamics shift. Don’t expect explosive volatility; a prolonged sideways phase is on the table. 📉 If BTC sweeps the lows from current levels — we can consider a continuation of the long setup. Otherwise, it’s best to wait for confirmation before entering.
Long
by BITRAF_CRYPTO
BTC didn’t dump — it tapped.BTC reached into the 1H FVG and wicked just above the OB at 104,204 — delivering premium liquidity and then reversing. Most are staring at red candles, but the real story is the reaction zone: Price tagged the 0.618 level (104,559) with precision and reversed with displacement. Now what? We're mid-delivery. If BTC can reclaim 104,800–105,000 (mid OB/FVG confluence), a strong move into 105,865 is likely — potentially sweeping for external liquidity near 106k. Execution Plan: Entry: 104,600–104,700 range SL: 104,200 or beneath 103,752 swing TP1: 105,365 TP2: 106,000+ Key invalidation: clean break below 104,200 with volume Bias: Bullish while above 104,200 Why: Fair Value Gap fill + OB + 0.618 convergence + responsive wick This wasn’t a sell-off. This was a setup.
by SmartFlowsI
2
BTCUSDT: Strong Risk-On Signal, Optimal Swing Above 103k__________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global bias : Dominant bullish structure, confirmed sector momentum, “risk-on” technical setting. Opportunities : Favored swing entries above supports (103703.7–107019.9), breakout plays at 104865/106537. Risk zones : Technical invalidation below 103703.7 or rapid ISPD DIV deterioration (red/orange zone + extreme selling volumes). Macro catalysts : Rate, inflation/PCE, job numbers publication (48–72h) – to monitor closely for volatility pivots. Action plan : Tight stops below supports, partial profit-taking on resistances, reduce exposure before key macro events, re-enter post-announcement on confirmed direction. __________________________________________________________________________________ Fundamental & Macro Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ Favorable macro momentum (BTC, ETH, equity indices, institutional trust). Bull-cycle confirmation via technical triggers (bullish cross, MACD divergence). Risks : Major token unlocks coming (3.3B+), on-chain euphoria (extreme profit/loss, exchange dominance >33%). Dynamic risk management crucial – swing stop-loss < 103703.7 is imperative. Events to watch : US rates, inflation/PCE, payroll data – periods of heightened volatility expected, necessitating exposure adjustment. Swing trade plan : Defensive entries on key supports, reduction pre-announcement, gradual profit-taking below 106537, then 109952.8/111949. Risk/reward : Optimal for swing trades near supports, tactical management required for breakout chasing. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D (Daily) : Bullish structure intact, key supports (107019.9, 81075.6). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains “Strong Buy”. No excess in volumes or behavior – buyers’ climate. 12H – 6H : Solid momentum above 103703.7–106537. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator still “Strong Buy”, ISPD DIV neutral, standard volumes. 4H – 2H – 1H : Pivot range (103703.7/104865/106537), buyer momentum, swing/scalp strategies favored. Supports to watch: 103703.7 (main stop trigger). 30min – 15min : Tight range (103703.7/104865), Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Buy” (slightly weaker on 15min). Tactical scalping on bounce or pivot breakouts – risk zone if range breaks sharply. Summary : Sectoral outperformance on all timeframes via the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, ISPD DIV neutral, normal volumes. Key pivots: 103703.7 (support) and 104865/106537 (resistances) frame all action. Swing trading optimality as long as these levels hold. __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion __________________________________________________________________________________ BTCUSDT market remains bullish on all timeframes, supported by strong sector momentum (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator), steady volume and behavioral stability (neutral ISPD DIV). Preference remains for long strategies on support, with increased vigilance around macro windows (events, unlocks). Strict stop discipline and active profit-taking are key on extension moves. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
1
#Bitcoin Update 01.06.2025Despite last week's negative movement, my analysis shows that Bitcoin remains bullish. Let’s break this down step by step 🔍: 🚀 1. Deep Retracement Completed Bitcoin has just completed a strong retracement and bounced back exactly from a key level – check Arrow #5. This is a major signal because the last time we saw such a deep retracement on the daily timeframe was back in April 2025… and that led to a significant rally. We may be witnessing the start of another strong leg upward 📊. ✅ 2. Reversal Confirmation Needed However, theory always needs confirmation. The bullish confirmation will come when we see a clean breakout above Arrow #4. A break of this level will give us the green light 🚦 for a bullish continuation. 🔥 3. Break Arrow #2, and Sky Is the Limit If the price manages to push above Arrow #4, it could easily break past Arrow #2, and from there, the next major resistance sits around \$114K – yes, you read that right! 🎯 ⚠️ Bearish Scenario On the flip side, the bearish confirmation will only come if Bitcoin breaks below the Arrow #6 black line (refer to my previous analysis for that key level). Until then, the bulls are still in control 💪. 💬 Stay focused, stay patient – the charts are telling a powerful story. We’re on the edge of a potential big move. Trade smart, and don’t get shaken out by noise. 🚨 More updates and levels coming soon – keep your eyes open! #Crypto #BTC #Trading #BitcoinAnalysis #BullishOrBearish
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents... If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days. If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks. I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively. Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc. Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
Bitcoin Mid-Term, 4H Timeframe, Bullish ($119,165 Next Target)On the 4H timeframe we have a consolidation pattern with a bullish bias. Bitcoin is aiming higher after a close above EMA8 & 13 with higher lows. The drop 13-June found support perfectly at 0.786 Fib. retracement on a wick. The session closed above 0.618. The action turned bullish immediately and we are seeing slow but steady growth. The recent drop was a market reaction due to a geopolitical situation. As soon as the event is priced in, the market seeks balance and goes back to its previous trend. Bitcoin's bullish bias is not only supported by strong prices, $105,600 is very strong, but also by the altcoins and the cyclical nature of the market. While Bitcoin already produced several new all-time highs this year the altcoins are yet to do the same. A bull market happens every four years or the year after the halving. For Bitcoin this is already true but this is a marketwide event and the altcoins are yet to go there and this is a bullish factor and soon this will be obvious on the chart. We are 5-6 days away only from very strong bullish action. Notice that this isn't a long time, it is less than a week. The altcoins will reveal this bullish bias much sooner than Bitcoin but Bitcoin will also grow and hit a new all-time high soon. This new all-time high will be the catalyst for everything to boom. » Ignore the short-term it is all noise—crypto is going up. The next target is $107,558, followed by $109,508 on this timeframe. The latter being a mild resistance. The main target here is $119,165 and this is a good resistance zone. It can be rounded up to $120,000. If this level gets hit it will only confirm additional growth. The target that follows is $130,000 and the minimum for this cycle is $160,000 but we are aiming higher. Feel free to follow for more. I will continue to detail Bitcoin on all the timeframes as well as many of the top, mid- and small altcoins. Thank you for your support. It is appreciated. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
Bitcoin Short-Term, 1H Timeframe, Bullish ($115,482 Next Target)Bitcoin completed its retrace 13-June 01:00 AM with a higher low at $102,663. Price action and trading volume indicates that the bearish move is over. Bitcoin is trading above support in the form of 0.618 Fib. retracement. Bitcoin is turning bullish moving above EMA34, EMA21, EMA13 and EMA8 all in this current active session. Immediate support stands between $105,293 and $105,314. Next support is $104,533 and main support $104,282 matching the 0.618 Fib. retracement level. Next target easy hit is $106,625, followed by $107,559. The second being a mild resistance. Bitcoin can easily continue higher short-term aiming next at $108,989 followed by the last high at $110,586. Depending on how this level is handle we can update the short-term view. The 1H timeframe is bullish now based on price action, candlestick patterns, higher lows, moving averages and the oscillators. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
long trade 🟢 BTCUSDT – Buyside Trade Date: Sunday, 15th June 2025 Session: NY Session PM Time: 5:00 PM Entry Timeframe: Precision Intraday Entry Trade Parameters Entry: 104,502.89 Take Profit: 105,567.08 (+1.02%) Stop Loss: 104,377.60 (−0.12%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 8.49 🧠 Trade Reasoning BTCUSDT showed a textbook liquidity sweep and recovery during the NY PM session, grabbing lows below 104,400 before swiftly reversing. The entry at 104,502.89 was taken on confirmation of short-term bullish structure reclaiming the range low.
Long
by davidjulien369
2
BTC/USDT Double Top Breakdown – Bearish Target in PlayBTC/USDT – 1H Chart Analysis (Binance) The chart shows a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and price action. Key Points: Rising Wedge: A bearish pattern formed earlier, indicating a weakening bullish move. Top 1 & Top 2: Double-top structure suggesting strong resistance around 106,000. CHoCH & BOS: Multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirm the shift from bullish to bearish trend. Breakdown Zone: After forming Top 2, price broke below key structure zones. Target Zone: Marked in green and pink below 104,000, showing a bearish continuation toward 102,000 area. Strong Low: This zone is highlighted as the next major support where price could react.
Short
by forextrading110
BTC/USDT on one-hour Chart ProjectionsThe chart illustrates a classic Inverse Cup and Handle pattern formation. The cup is clearly marked by a rounded top, indicating a reversal structure forming after a previous uptrend. Following the breakdown from the right rim of the cup, the price action has transitioned into a bearish consolidation, forming a potential rising wedge or weak bear flag – both of which typically indicate continuation to the downside. Key Levels & Trade Setup: Sell Stop: 104,494 Stop Loss: 106,090 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 102,574 These levels suggest a short-selling strategy with a favorable risk-to-reward setup targeting the breakdown of the handle portion of the pattern. Indicators: RSI (14, close) is currently at 42.95, which lies in the neutral-to-bearish territory. Multiple Bearish RSI Divergences were signaled before the recent drop, supporting the short thesis. Minor Bullish RSI signals were observed earlier but failed to sustain momentum above the 50 line. Conclusion: The technical structure, along with bearish RSI signals and pattern confirmation, suggests that BTC/USDT is likely to experience further downside, especially if price breaks below the 104,494 support. A breakdown from the current ascending structure could lead to the 102,574 support zone being tested in the near term.
Short
by Musarrat_karamat
Analysis of Next Week's Market TrendsBitcoin is trading in a narrow range, with an intraday volatility of only 1.7% and trading volume shrinking by 18%, indicating market wait-and-see sentiment after key geopolitical events. After the Israel-Iran conflict triggered $1 billion in liquidations, market panic has eased. Israel's preemptive strike on Iran on the 13th caused Bitcoin to flash crash to $102,000, but by the 15th, the market had partially digested the risks. The Fear & Greed Index stabilized at 60 (greed zone), showing that funds did not massively flee to safe havens. Bitcoin is in a critical accumulation phase on the eve of a breakthrough. The digestion of geopolitical risks and institutional buying constitute supporting forces, but short-term attention should be paid to the risk of breakdown in the triangular pattern. It is recommended to strictly guard the defense level of $104,200 and the breakthrough point of $106,300. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: sell@105900-106000 TP:104000-1045000
Short
by Ashbur
My BTC Plan. First Pump, Then Dump?As always, I’m sharing my personal thoughts on what I expect from Bitcoin in the next few days. This is not financial advice just my outlook based on technicals, volume zones, and market behavior. CME Bitcoin futures closed Friday at $105,715. Historically, CME gaps often get filled. So unless we see new geopolitical escalation between Israel vs. Iran on Sunday, I expect a fake pump on Monday toward the $108,500-$108,600 area. That would be: A 0.705 Fibonacci retracement from the recent low A typical Monday move to trap shorts and create early bullish euphoria Midweek Expectation: Dump to 4H FVG After the fake move up, I’m anticipating a strong retracement down toward the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the $98,632 - $97,378 region. This area: Contains heavy previous volume zones Aligns with Previous Day Low, Previous Week Low Holds multiple imbalances still unfilled If the market receives negative news or sentiment breaks down quickly, I wouldn’t be surprised to see an even deeper move into the next 4H imbalance at $96,167 - $95,080. Below that? There’s still a massive amount of untouched liquidity, including the Previous Month Low $93,322. My Macro View: Scenario of Maximum Pain I think the bottom of this Bitcoin correction will land somewhere around $87,300 – $86,000.. Why? This would be a scenario of maximum pain It’s a level where most investors will capitulate, especially in altcoins If BTC goes that low, panic selling will trigger across the board And ironically, this is how altcoin seasons always begin from disbelief. Stay focused, stay safe. The volatility this week will be high, and smart positioning is key.
by Maxxxi_trader