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BTC/USD: Rising Wedge Breakdown Confirms Bearish TrendBTC/USD: Rising Wedge Breakdown Confirms Bearish Trend A rising wedge pattern had formed on the BTC/USD chart, but it has now broken down, confirming a bearish trend. The breakdown suggests a potential reversal of the recent uptrend, with a falling market likely to follow. Key Points: - Rising wedge breakdown indicates a bearish trend reversal - Support levels have been breached, confirming the downtrend - A falling market is expected, with a potential target at $98,000. Best Wishes Tom 😎
Short
by Tom_Trades_670
1
Entering the volatility period Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market. I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart. The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market. The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16. If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline. Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend. -------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so. However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend. Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend. The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur. If it starts to decline, 1st: 87.8K-89K 2nd: 79.9K-80.9K There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above. If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd. Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th. If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it. - (1D chart) I will update after a new candle is created. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
4
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis. Altseason.📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT The Bitcoin price is trading within a narrowing price range, formed after an unsuccessful test of the major resistance block at $100,000, followed by a correction to the 0.23 Fibonacci retracement level and subsequent consolidation. This has resulted in the formation of a pattern known as a narrowing wedge, the breakout of which could indicate the next direction for BTC price movement. If buyers, supported by fundamental factors, manage to break through the psychological resistance level of $100,000, we can expect a strong upward momentum toward the next resistance zones at $110,000–$120,000 and a test of the global trendline resistance. Conversely, if sellers push the price below the $90,000 support block and establish themselves beneath the EMA 200 line, we anticipate a corrective move toward the 0.5–0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels coincide with Imbalance zones, where consolidations are needed to close gaps in horizontal volume levels. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. When does the altseason start? Bitcoin's dominance has begun a rapid decline, and we are currently witnessing an attempt to break out of a parallel price channel. If it manages to consolidate below the lower boundary of the channel, we can expect further declines in dominance, which would indicate the start of significant capital flows from Bitcoin to altcoins. What are Bitcoin's long-term growth targets? Above the current all-time high (ATH), there are no resistance levels based on historical data. Therefore, to determine growth targets, we will rely on trendlines, Fibonacci extension levels, analysis of large order block clusters in exchange order books, and, of course, indicators: Fibonacci Extension Levels: The nearest growth targets for Bitcoin are the 1.61 and 1.78 Fibonacci extension levels, which lie in the range of $104,000–$112,000. Global Trendline: The next target could be the global trendline drawn based on the peaks of the previous growth cycle. A test of this trendline might occur around the $120,000 level. RSI Analysis: The RSI indicator is currently about 18% away from its resistance trendline. Translating this to Bitcoin’s price chart, this corresponds to a range of approximately $114,000–$120,000. This is where a test of the resistance line may occur, as observed in all previous Bitcoin market cycles. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index remains in the Greed Zone at 76. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has grown to $3.37 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has fallen to 56.18. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the largest blocks are at levels 100,000 and 120,000, and the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand zone: 80,000 - 90,000 🔴 Supply zone: 100,000 - 150,000 Levels for long positions: 90,000 - psychological support level 88,000 - large support block 60,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 100,000 - largest resistance block 110,000 - large resistance block 120,000 - 100,000 - ascending trend line of resistance 📊 Fundamental analysis In November, Bitcoin ETFs recorded an inflow of $6.1 billion—the highest monthly figure since the instrument's launch in January. This indicates growing investor confidence in the asset while favoring the security of regulated ETFs over direct BTC purchases. Record inflows into Bitcoin ETFs could support a BTC rally above $100,000. Ethereum and Altcoin Investment Trends Investment inflows into Ethereum (ETH)-focused products reached $634 million, pushing the total for this year to over $2.2 billion, surpassing the previous record of $2 billion set in 2021. Similarly, Ripple (XRP)-based crypto funds received record-breaking investments of $95 million. This surge may be linked to preparations for ETFs on other cryptocurrencies, potentially accelerating the onset of an altseason. Regulatory and Macroeconomic Developments SEC Leadership Announcement: Tomorrow, information may emerge regarding the new chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a key financial regulator overseeing the crypto market. Under current chair Gary Gensler, the SEC has intensified crypto market regulation. The appointment of a crypto-friendly commissioner could boost market sentiment and further support the start of an altseason. U.S. Labor Market Data: Labor market reports are set to be released this week, serving as a critical indicator for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A continuation of rate cuts by the Fed would likely bolster overall growth in the cryptocurrency market. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 12/04, 21:45 - Speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. ➤ 12/06, 21:45 - US Unemployment Rate for November. ➤ 12/18, 21:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. ➤ 12/18, 21:00 - US GDP (q/q) (Q3) ➤ 01/29/2025, 21:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: In November, the price of Bitcoin was in an upward trend. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎 Total price movement by all signals: + 54.92% Maximum price movement: + 42.10% Average price movement: + 13.73% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
BTCUSDT Broke parallel channel!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let's analyze BTCUSDT on lower time frame: BTCUSDT has broken the parallel channel on the 4-hour chart, and the retest appears to be complete. BTC is likely to bounce off the support levels, as BTC dominance is gradually declining. This suggests that BTC may enter a sideways movement, which could create favorable conditions for altcoins to rally. Key support zones: Primary support zone: $89,632 - $87,021 Secondary support zone: $78,567 - $75,829 If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
by persis10t
Red Monday: Opportunity or the Calm Before the Bull?Greetings, friends. Today, I want to take a clear-headed and strategic look at the current situation in the crypto market. We’re experiencing what’s often called a “Red Monday.” Bitcoin is pulling back by roughly 3% for the day, which is just a light gust of wind—nothing unusual. However, altcoins, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, are showing much greater weakness. The total market cap of alts has dropped by 6.5%, but it’s already starting to stabilize. Here’s the important thing: focus not on the noise but on the key signals. The market is currently in a state of euphoria, with over 98% of Bitcoin’s supply in profit. This is a red flag for those who understand market cycles. History clearly shows that such phases often precede corrections. Typically, the market stays in this state for 2–3 months before retracing by 20–30%. Right now, we’ve been in this zone for two months, and the likelihood of a correction grows with each passing day. But listen closely: indicators haven’t yet hit extreme levels. This means the market still has some room to run before we face a correction wave. I see the probability of a 15–20% drop becoming increasingly tangible, but for now, there are no strong signals indicating a reversal. Trading volumes remain steady, which reflects restraint among major players. Key levels? They’ve already been outlined. The primary support zone lies between $92,000 and $87,000. This is where significant trading volumes are concentrated and will likely stabilize the market if a downturn occurs. For now, the scenario is clear: we’re likely to remain in the $92,000–$99,000 range until the end of the year. Now, friends, the main thing—no panicked decisions. Every market movement is an opportunity for the strong to fortify their positions. A correction isn’t the enemy; it’s part of the cycle that allows us to grow. But don’t forget: strategies need to be prepared in advance. Those who succeed here are not the ones who simply hope for luck, but the ones who come with a solid plan. If this perspective resonates with you, let me know. Together, we won’t just endure; we’ll come out stronger. Until next time. Ahead of us lies a truly bullish market.
by BamBooChain
2
#BTC bullish trend is good, cautious bearish📊#BTC bullish trend is good, cautious bearish⚠️ 🧠From a structural point of view, we started the callback after building a short structure in the red target zone. Currently, the target zone of this structure has been achieved and a good rebound has occurred. If we want to continue higher, we need to break through the blue resistance. ⚠️If we reach the weekly level resistance line early, we need to be alert to the occurrence of a sharp decline. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
More upside for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin made a correction down and went up again. It respected the Daily FVG so now it could go up again for the next ATH. Wait for the brweak of the last high to trade (short term) longs. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the small correction down. After a change in orderflow to bullish again, you could trade longs (bullish confirmed after break of the ATH (grey wave b). If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Do you really think hedge funds are using RSI?Back in the day when floor trading was a thing, cunning extroverts ruled the market by reading other people's mind and manipulating them, using their strategies against them face to face. When we stepped towards digital age, the upper hand transitioned towards people who were able to read the orderbook and decipher the intentions of the market participants, also manipulate them with their heavy limit orders. As the time progressed we become better at making the data accessible and some smart people invented their way of interpreting the market trough mathematical equations, which we call now "the indicators". As robots stepped into the game, the orderbook become too complicated for humans and the indicators and well established market formations remained as the last castle for traders. As it become more accesible trough platforms like tradingview more and more people started using indicator and even formation based strategies, which made it not work. The reason behind this paradox is that if we know a lot of people are using the same formula or pattern to take trading decisions, we can also use them as source of liquidity to execute our heavy transactions. So the indicators become the mask of the market makers. For example given the MM knows how an indicator is calculated, they also know what kind of price movement can make this indicator fire a signal and make traders step in. In most of the cases indicator based strategy backtests returns poor results and you can verify that by looking at almost every strategy published on tradingview that shows "realistic" performance aka no repaint no portfolio tricks etc, we see that they are not able to outrun the market. On the other hand a lot of people believes if we feed price and volume data to an Artificial Intelligence model, we got the money printing machine. I have been working on this idea since 4 years and I never met someone better than me in my field and specilization as a Computer Science Student at Georgia Tech and I tried eveything, trust me "everything" and it never worked out. So I knew that there is a missing piece candle sticks and volume are missing something, and I know what is it now: "orderflow" When I first started learning about orderflow -around a month- I realized all of the indicators I did before including hundreds that I trade based on but not publish, are not explaning why the market moved and why the market can move or not, they are just my way of trying to make backtests work under the assumption if they did work they will work in the long run, law of big numbers. Conversly, the orderflow method is the first thing I encountered that answers questions like why and when and actually makes sense. I started consuming the whole online content like forums youtube books etc full time and got an actual understanding how market actually works. I got the cheapest subscription for the cheapest orderflow platform for 20 bucks just to give it a try and started analyzing historical data with tools footprint charts, delta-cumulative delta and volume profile. What I saw was the inside of the market, not only the results like candlesticks but rather the causation behind it. I made a mind map of all the information I gathered and come up with some strategies, and what is it? Something that works for the fist time in the last 4 years of my inhuman effort. I started forward testing with paper trading and it is going well so far. What I am trying to say is that without knowing the story you cannot be the main charachter, learn orderflow and got rid of all of the bunch of funny lines on your screen. It is not the wholly grail, you still need to be smart and cautious, and psychologically strong when trading, but it is something that can make what you want to achieve possible.
Education
by mertenes3
5
Prepare for relief correction.BTC has made great performance in the cryptocurrency market. Whether or not volume is real, whether or not it was inflated with digital tethers, the fact remains that the dollar value of BTC is UP. However, R/R at these ranges are questionable. Who is buying at these levels? Either way, Greed is high at this season, may this post be a reminder to take profits especially if you're already up a lot, don't let this whole rally up go to waste. Can't decide? Then just sell half, or 10% of your stack. TAKE PROFITS!
Short
by Cryptolistica