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BTCUST trade ideas

Bitcoin Controlled consolidation above 106,480 Technical Overview – Summary Points ➤ BTC trades in the 1st quartile of its yearly range (100k – 111k). ➤ Stacked resistance zone: 108,239 to 110,603 USDT → potential seller exhaustion. ➤ Key support at 106,480; defensive cluster 102,626–99,581. ➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy; ISPD Divergence = Neutral. ➤ Normal volume, but lack of fresh capital → sustainability of rally questionable. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary ➤ HTF trend bullish above 106,480; breakout > 108,239 targets 109,950 / 110,600. ➤ Buy swing pullbacks on 106,480 or 104,600. Invalidation < 102,626 = drop to 99k. ➤ Tactical short scalps around 108,250–109,000. ➤ Core PCE = major catalyst (June 27). ➤ Watch spot volumes, funding, and Risk On / Risk Off signals. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis ➤ 1D : bullish bias > 106,480; danger < 102,626. ➤ 12H : bullish consolidation; confirmed breakout > 108,239. ➤ 6H : compression; buy dips 106,480 / 104,600. ➤ 4H : lateral-bullish; key support = 104,600. ➤ 2H : neutral-bullish; triggers = 107,800 / 106,000. ➤ 1H : bull flag; micro-divergence, prefer long > 106,950. ➤ 30 min : tight triangle; breakout at 107,200 / 106,650 = signal. ➤ 15 min : bearish < 106,950, expected bounce on 106,480. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro, News & On-Chain Analysis ➤ Macro backdrop: “Higher for longer” stance continues, no FOMC imminent. ➤ Core PCE June 27: upside surprise (2.7% YoY vs 2.6% expected) – USD supported, potential headwind for risk assets. ➤ Pacific Region: ongoing tensions in Taiwan Strait and South China Sea: - Increased military activity: air incursions, naval maneuvers. - High risk of escalation flagged by defense analysts & social feeds. - Risk sentiment: volatile – sudden events could trigger risk-off. ➤ On-chain: Range 100–110k; weak spot volume; cautious leverage; no major sell-side imbalance. __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion ➤ BTC maintains a controlled bullish bias > 106,480. ➤ Swing buy zones = 106,480 & 104,600; targets 109,950 / 110,600. ➤ Main risk: break < 102,626 = sell-off toward 99k. ➤ Monitor Core PCE and geopolitical risk in the Pacific region. __________________________________________________________________________________
by Ox_kali
BTCUSDTHi snipers. On the one-day timeframe, we are witnessing the formation of a harmonic pattern called a flag. This pattern usually forms in the middle of a trend and then the previous trend continues. The flag consists of two parts: a bar and a flag. In the flag, the price is moving in a channel between two parallel lines. If the price breaks through and crosses the upper ceiling of the channel, we will probably reach new prices. I am practicing and learning. This is not a buy or sell offer.
Long
by Hosseinshokrii
BTC 120K READY ???BTC 4H Chart Update 📉📈 Bitcoin is still trading inside a descending channel, but bulls are now testing the upper trendline for a potential breakout. Price is consolidating just below $107K, showing strength after the recent bounce from the bottom of the channel. 🔹 Structure: Descending Channel 🔹 Current Resistance: $107K–$110K zone 🔹 Break & close above = bullish breakout confirmation 🔹 If breakout and close above 110k than this target possible 🔹 Target after breakout: $112K-120K+ ⚠️ Rejection = pullback likely toward $103K–$104K support 📊 Breakout or breakdown — decision time is near! #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup
Long
by arztraderofficial
Cup and handle reversalA cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long. Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern. The pattern was first described by William J. O'Neil in his 1988 classic book on technical analysis, How to Make Money in Stocks.
Short
by nickavra89
Head and sholdersHead and shoulders on BTC. A head and shoulders pattern is a technical indicator with a chart pattern of three peaks, where the outer two are close in height, and the middle is the highest. A head and shoulders pattern—considered one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns—is a chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. An inverse head and shoulders pattern predicts a bearish-to-bullish trend. The neckline rests at the support or resistance lines, depending on the pattern direction.
Short
by nickavra89
Lower highs / lower lows BTC....what will happen next?History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. Let's look at the BTC chart: lower highs, lower lows from double top. What have we seen in the past -> significant drops. Personally, I'm all for innovation and technology, but make no mistake that institutions are not blindly buying at the top and BTC is veering away from it's core principles after the financial crisis (there's still a middle man!). With this level of volatility and automated trading, there is bound to be a major pull back and it's starting to crack. Economic numbers are not horrible, but they are "lagging." Unemployment is not great with more layoffs being announced every day, interest rates are still high, unsecured debt is ultra high, and affordability is at 30-40 year low. Don't let the champagne effect of S&P fool you, things are NOT rosy! Always do your own due diligence and all the best!
Short
by antonini2002
BTC/USDT – Daily Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s idea worked out perfectly: price reached the target block and continued its upward move. Today, bulls remain firmly in control, and I expect the bullish trend to continue towards the 108,620 area. The recent pullback is viewed as a correction within the ongoing impulse. Buyers are clearly dominating the market, so my main scenario is further growth to the yellow block, where significant liquidity from short liquidations is clustered. I expect price to reach this range today, and I’m considering long setups on any corrective moves. Key levels: Main target: 108,620 (yellow liquidity zone) Critical support: 106,676 If price closes below 106,676, or we see no bullish reaction for an extended period, I’ll consider that bulls may be losing control and a deeper reversal could follow. For now, the bias remains bullish. Watching price action closely and will update if conditions change.
Long
by Riscora
BTC/USDT – Intraday View (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s plan worked out partially. For now, I believe the bullish move has run its course and today we should see a corrective phase. My main target for the correction is the yellow block at 106,300. Ideally, I’d like to see a pullback towards the entry area before the move continues. The scenario is invalidated if we break above the previous high — in that case, I’ll reconsider the outlook. Key levels: Correction target: 106,300 (yellow block) Entry retest preferred Invalidation: new local high above yesterday’s peak Monitoring price action and will update if the setup changes.
Short
by Riscora
Title: BTC at the Upper Trendline – Breakout or Breakdown IncomiTechnical Analysis (4‑Hour Timeframe) 🔺 Upper Trendline Resistance: BTC is touching the upper line of a descending channel—firm resistance around 107.5k–108k. 📉 Bearish Pressure: Failing to break out here could trigger a downward move. 🔻 Key Support: A decisive break below 99.5k–100k opens the path to 98k–95k, and potentially down to 92k if trend weakness persists 🔺 Bullish Scenario: If BTC closes above 108k on 4h, it could rally toward 110k–112k binance.com investopedia.com binance.com . Geopolitical volatility (U.S.–Iran/Israel tensions) drove BTC briefly below 99k, low of 98.2k, before bouncing back near 101.2k Volume & momentum: RSI dropped with the dip; watching volume near critical levels like 107k–108k is key
Short
by ebuhamza98
BTC Short from H1 FVG + H4 OB Confluence — Risky Setup✅ Price in strong supply confluence (H1 FVG + H4 OB) ✅ SFP & order block add to short case, but context is choppy ⚠️ Trade is low conviction, manage size and stops accordingly Short Scenario: Entry: In $107,500–$108,500 zone (confirmation from SFP/OB) Target: $104,000–$105,000 (D1 FVG zone) Stop: Above $108,500 or invalidate on strong reclaim 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Look for reaction (SFP, rejection wicks) in FVG/OB zone before adding Exit quick if invalidated or strong momentum up 🚨 Risk Warning: Not a high conviction setup; use smaller position size and stay nimble
Short
by Goldfinch_song
BTC/USDT – Fakeout Above Rising Channel | Why Clean Breakouts StThis chart highlights an important lesson in breakout trading: Not all breakouts are valid, even when backed by volume. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: BTC was trading inside a well-respected ascending channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower bounds. Price broke above the channel with a 15-minute candle close and volume, giving the appearance of a clean breakout. However, shortly after, price re-entered the channel, invalidating the breakout. This is what we call a fakeout or bull trap. ❓ So Why Did the Breakout Fail? Lack of Follow-Through Buyers: Despite volume, there wasn’t enough buyer continuation above the breakout level to sustain momentum. Liquidity Hunt: The wick beyond the upper trendline likely served to trigger breakout entries and stop losses of short sellers, only to reverse after liquidity was collected. Key S/R Reaction: After re-entering the channel, price reacted at a minor horizontal level (previous S/R), attempted another push, but failed again, confirming weakness.
by SLPHOBIA
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