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BTCUST trade ideas

Bitcoin is so close to falling into a Bear, repeating Aug 2023First off, this maybe the last time I post this chart. Binance are Stopping USDT use from tomorrow morning. I have used this chart since around March 2020 and it is my most trusted,. A sad day for me. This chart saw me through Bulk Run, Deep Bear and now this Recovery and Bull run. ANYWAY, the Arrow points towards a time in 2023 when we were so close to dropping into a Bear market for a number of reasons. Lets just say that Long Red Candle shoiwed a sudden weakening of Sentiment, A Lot of selling and confidence went. It took a number of weeks for confidence to return. And Now, we have a Similar thing. FEAR is high AND I AM BUYING MORE BITCOIN - this is excellent...because when the price rises again, this maybe the last we see this price range. We have Loads of support below. It is that RED 236 Fib circle that is dragging PA down, as I mentioned last week. This and the Fact that the Weekly MACD is still falling Bearish As you can see, the weekly MACD hits Neutral around 21 April, in 3 weeks time. It is from this point forwards that I believe we will see major shift's in Sentiment and PA action. Possibly earlier but maybe not strongly. Also note how the Histogram is levelling out. We need to see a White candle in the coming weeks or we could be facing bigger issues maybe. The Daily version of this same chart shows us very clearly where we are. This is Great News. We have broken through that 236 Red Fib circle. It is now Support. though we are under a line of resistance. But we broke through that in the recent past. I still think we will visit 78K again for a very short period of time. ( Hopefully, nothing is certain) Currently, the shorter term charts show Support found on the 618 Fib retracement line. And we need to see if this holds Over all, We are near the end of the first phase of this pause in Pushes higher. We have that wall at 109K to break through in the longer Term. Once Weekly MACD is on neutral, we will wait fo rthe daily to get there also and then we can push higher with Strength. This push maynot be a single push. the Weight of BTC with its current price holds back the sprints to ATH we once saw. Patience is a Virtue HOLD and BUY MORE
by Orriginal
BTC - Post Weekly Closure UpdateAgain, not an awful lot has changed since last week’s update. We’ve now closed a weekly candle yet again in no man’s land; in fact, one could argue it’s a bearish engulfing candle that closed below the previous week’s level, solidifying further bearish sentiment and likely continuation until key SH has been reclaimed. Like I mentioned in last week’s update - for now, we’re waiting for 65K–72K, a break of ATH, or at least a reclamation of HTF 🗝️ swings (95K minimum) to jump back into HTF trades. Until then, I’m exploiting LTF/MTF moves. Another thing to note: Everyone is so fixated on 72K being the potential bottom (if reached). It makes me wonder: will 72K happen soon (it will eventually), and if it does, will it hold? I personally think we’ll see a deeper pullback into the 2W demand at 68K, or potentially the 1W PHOB at 65K, which I’ve mentioned several times. On LTF/MTF - I’ve been updating every trade, and they’ve been playing out quite well so far. We failed to hold the 23H HOB at 83K, thereby breaking below the MTF SL at 83130, and now the same level is acting as an obstacle to higher prices. If accepted above, I expect 84K, potentially 86K, before a possible downward continuation. For us to see higher prices on MTF, we need to reclaim 88744, SH, to target 96K - potentially the 2D OB at 100K, which is also a psychological level and confluent with the volume drop in VRVP, as shown in the image above. If 88744 is reclaimed, followed by a pullback into newly formed liquidity or BB, I’d then look for a long to the above-mentioned levels. As long as we’re below 88,744, downward pressure remains.
by CryptoVan-HQ
Bitcoin hit that 236 Fib circle I warned you about- and now ?As we come to the end of the week, we see the potential for further drop as PA slides along that 236 Fib circle. ( Red) It NEVER ceases to amaze me how PA reacts to Fib circles and yet, as if by magic, there is some Macro News at exactly the same time On this occasion, It seems the US inflation figures on Friday caused this Drop in price. This Chart is the daily verion of the Weekly chart i often post about weekly candle closes. I trust this chart The chance for a drop to arounf 75K is very real and if that fails, down to the 2 Fib extension arounf 68K, though I think that is unlikely We do need to watch on which side of thois Fib circle PA sits tomorrow. - Idealy, it breaks through tonight and next week candle sits on the "Support" side on the circle. If it remains as resistance, A Steep drop is highly likely. In my opinion. Daily MACD is turned down, heading towards it ssignal line. If that crosses, the Daily becomes very BEARISH We have to wait and see what happens and be ready to react. I do have SPOT buy orders around 78 K If we Drop Lower, I will dig up some funds and buy more lol WE WAIT FOR WEEKKY CLOSE
by Orriginal
5 Key Points for Blockchain Future5 Key Points for Blockchain Future 【old articles published on 2022】 During 2020-2022, the blockchain industry experienced extremely rapid changes. From 2019 to the first half of 2020, there were almost no interesting primary projects and new ideas, until Compound directly drove the Defi boom, then followed by DEX, NFT, Metaverse, GameFi, and the upsurge of entrepreneurship. However, all industries of life follow the law of nature and the law of harmony between Yin and Yang. When the tide rises, the tide will ebb. The last wave of the X to Earn boom will be driven by StepN in 2022, when the "grand debut" of the LUNA crash, the top 3 in the industry, directly cools down the overheated market just like the arrival of the moon at night. Combined with the global supply-side imbalances caused by the Fed's interest rate hike strategy and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the market has experienced extreme volatility and uncertainty. The sudden breakup of two supposedly friendly exchanges, Binance and FTX, is an indirect reminder that we are living in a period of extreme instability and diversification. The black swan and the white swan are more indistinguishable. There are great opportunities and uncertainties in the future. In order to better embrace the new rhythm, we may pay attention to the following five points: (The Chinese version was published at Nov, if you like reading Chinese, you can find that version) 1. The blockchain world will expand larger ecosystems and exchanges, but not need as many. From the historical trend, everything is going to be unified after merger and elimination, and it is the same in the field of blockchain. Now, the ecology of the large platform of the layer 1 public chain has gradually entered the white-hot stage of the competition. With the test of the bear market, it is inevitable that more than one LUNA and FTX will leave and be eliminated from the projects and exchanges we are familiar with. BINANCE:LUNAUSDT BYBIT:FTTUSDT Of course, the fierce competition is also the alchemist of high-quality ecology, to test who can stabilize the internal situation to grasp the historical trend and become the next chain on the world leader. Therefore, risk avoidance and allocation should be done as early as possible. Focus on projects with long-term value and stay away from projects with lip service and over-the-top bragging. 2. Conduct spiritual enrichment exercises as early as possible to meet the alternative fantasy world brought by the metaverse and Virtual age and effectively deal with deeper loneliness. The continuous progress of science and technology often brings more convenient living conditions and a more lonely spiritual world. With quick access to information, cool virtual effects, and big trends in VR and AR, we can basically see the future moving towards movies like and . According to the law of conservation of the universe, spiritual energy must also be conserved. For a simple example, when technology was not developed in the 1980s and 1990s, the friends who asked you to go downstairs to play every day, and the children born after the 2000s and 2010s basically play with iPad in their childhood. The latter has significantly more communication online, while the former has more face-to-face offline, and this sense of loneliness and distance will only get bigger as the tech trend flows. However, many post-00s suffer from depression and other mental diseases at an early age. The premature bombardment of technology and information is more likely to destroy people's spirits before the barriers and defensive lines of values are built. In the high-octane world of fintech, it's even more complicated, with an extra layer of Money that magnifies its power by at least 2.5 times. Therefore, as early as possible to carry out the psychological construction of the spiritual level, we can avoid inadaptation suffering as early as possible when the tide of The Times comes. A small number of people are eliminated by competition, and most of them are eliminated by The Times ( we can start with some classic books). 3. Most projects said that they have Tech DNA but actually not Tech, Blockchain will be everywhere Real Tech projects tend to survive bear markets. Because they only need computers and shelter, they can continue to develop the project and do not need to spend a lot of money to hire too many expensive technical personnel. (Like Airbnb's early stage) This is important for the early and mid-term development of a project, and it is also crucial for engineers to resist the temptation of blockchain technology to make it easier when they are suddenly faced with the temptation of huge financing. Therefore, sometimes, projects under the guise of technology and slogan are often more deceiving than pyramid projects, because people will be CPUed. But one thing is certain, blockchain technology will be everywhere in the next five years, and the closest and fastest popularization should be: Historical relics NFT, ticketing systems (such as Ant Financial ticketing application, World Cup ticketing application), authentication systems (property ownership certificate, education certificate, birth certificate, etc.) and object traceability (various blockchain applications in milk, wine, luxury goods), the popularity of asset tokenization (apartment ownership, company tokenization, etc.), And countries' recognition of BTC as a currency outside the asset. Let ourselves catch up with the trend of The Times as soon as possible, in order to catch the last train more effectively. Because it's already branching out. 4. People understand hot water hurts hands. But in the face of hot trends and hot spots, we often flock to and forget the risk. What is very easy to understand in our daily lives is often reversed when applied to the same things in other areas. For example, the simplest way to avoid hot water is because hot water has our physical nervous system acting as a force to protect the stress response, and can also avoid excessive injury. But the market contains the risk of hot topics, our spirit is often paralyzed in the temptation of interests, thus ultimately causing regrets and loss of money. Therefore, in the future virtual and technological era, there will be more sugar-coating bombardment, so our judgment to keep relatively objective has become a very important ability. So that you can ride on the hot trend, but also have a protection system to prevent yourself from injury. This is something that someone who is very good at following hot spots has been teaching us. Each time, he walked in with hot topics, fool the investors, and walked away. The most obvious of these is NFT, GameFi's early hype. 5. Value will not change its core nature as times change. But it is a harder test of self-choice judgment and self-recognition ability. With the development of The Times and technology, they will become more and more intertwined with each other. Once a very simple business model, it may become more relevant after the integration of blockchain, VR, AR, and other technologies. But the core is still the same, just as a normal man, no matter how fancy he is, no matter how coquettish he is, his physical structure is also male (except for surgery). But the test of judgment and cognitive ability is more demanding, and complex at the same time, there are more opportunities. Because there are likely to be more Hamlets for the same enterprise or project, it is particularly important to keep updating our learning pool. At the same time, the influence of individuals like KOL on society will be further enhanced Summary: 2022 is a transitional year before a new era, and in the next 20-30 years, there is a high probability that we will enter a more technological phase in which humans are not separated. In this stage, in my opinion, the most critical point is the second of the five points. Material and technological progress may lead to spiritual regression, but the good news is that our cultural foundation is deep enough. If you can understand Traditional Chinese, it will be a much more spiritual gem. Enough to fill our hearts and make us fully ready for the new world. Blockchain technology, whether public chain, private chain, or alliance chain, or sidechain is a big trend in technology popularization. It won't die even though some people hold negative views on it, but won't create gods because of some pyramid. For an ordinary person like us, the best way is to keep learning to enrich ourselves, and keep calm at all times, and stay away from the complicated and mixed-up areas of special strategies. This article has no financial advice or any guidance content
by OuChiBoy