Was that end of bull run? BTC Price action + signal!Hello everyone! i want share my idea + signal at bitcoin.
I'll make simple technical analysis, yesterday bitcoin test 106500 LVL but i think sellers are still strong and they will brake that support zone and then we have 101000-100000 support zone where we can see real buyers if we are still in bull trend. in my opinion bear trend will start soon.
Why bitcoin made new high? with technical it tested 1 week FVG and it worked well but what happened exactly?
Despite the high, profit-taking is evident. On-chain data shows $4.02B in volume from 1–5y holders (highest since February), suggesting old hands are selling into strength. ETF inflows slowed this week, and the Fear & Greed Index at 74 (“Greed”) signals potential overheating. If $100K fails, a deeper correction to $90K–$87K could confirm a short-term bear trend.
Institutional Adoption: Highlighted $40B+ ETF inflows and corporate buying (e.g., MicroStrategy), as these are major drivers of the $111,880 high on May 22, 2025.
Regulatory Tailwinds: Noted Trump’s re-election and SEC speculation, which markets priced in as bullish.
Halving & Scarcity: Linked the April 2024 halving to reduced supply, supported by on-chain data showing low exchange inflows.
Macro Factors: Tied Fed rate cuts and BTC’s “digital gold” narrative to the rally, as these are widely discussed in 2024–2025.
Added on-chain evidence ($4.02B volume from older holders) to support your view of profit-taking and seller strength.
Noted slowing ETF inflows and high Fear & Greed Index (74) to justify a potential correction, aligning with your bearish outlook.
Suggested $100K as a critical level to watch, with a break below signaling a deeper drop to $90K–$87K, giving traders a clear risk framework.
This is not long term, short signal but for few days it will be good, we have FOMC soon and it will show us real bitcoin price direction.
Open short at 1075000
Stop loss at 109000
Take profit at 101000
Always make your own research!!!!
for collaboration text me Private!!!
BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin Analysis – Possible Scenarios🟠 Price is consolidating around 104,500, sitting right on the short-term ascending trendline. No clear breakout yet.
🔴 Supply Zones:
1️⃣ OB 1H:📍 107,800 – 108,600📌 Strong rejection zone that led to the current decline.
2️⃣ OB 4H:📍 106,100 – 107,500📌 Key resistance zone – a valid break above may trigger bullish continuation.
3️⃣ Upper OB 1H:📍 110,700 – 111,400📌 Higher resistance to watch in case of strong breakout.
🟢 Demand Zones:
1️⃣ FVG 1H:📍 103,900 – 104,300📌 Price is nearing this imbalance zone – bullish reaction expected if support holds.
2️⃣ Lower FVG 1H:📍 99,900 – 100,700📌 If current support fails, this is the next strong liquidity zone.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bounce from current trendline & FVG → move toward OB 4H (buy setup with confirmation)
2️⃣ Break below trendline → deeper pullback into 100K zone
3️⃣ Breakout above OB 4H → target next resistance at 108,600 and above
‼️ Wait for confirmation before jumping in – price action is at a decision point.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
BTC Current Structure and Future movesZemoG Trading Strategy: Market Structure, Major Wicks, and Cycle Completion
My trading strategy is centered around identifying major wicks on higher timeframes combined with numerology, 55 degree angles, cycles and volume.
As we all witnessed, BTC reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $111,970 on May 22, 2025. With that milestone behind us, BTC is now moving toward the completion of its broader market structure cycle.
Every asset follows a cycle. By observing price action and structural behavior, we can anticipate the next move—especially when major wick rejections serve as signals for market dominance and directional bias.
Current Market Observation:
At the moment, BTC is bouncing from a significant wick zone around 100.7k. This move upward appears to be mirroring the left side (shoulder) of the larger market structure, setting the stage for the formation of the right shoulder.
As BTC continues this path, we expect it to wick above previous major wicks (see levels below) before initiating a reversal back toward its midpoint level wick at 100.7k.
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Long Setup (Bullish Scenario):
Key Support: 100.7k
Long Targets:
104.1k
104.9k
105.8k
Stop Loss: 103k
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Short Setup (Bearish Scenario):
If BTC closes below the 100.7k level, it would confirm a shift in market dominance toward the downside. Below this level, there are few significant wick supports, allowing for a smoother drop through multiple levels with little resistance.
Key Break Level: Close below 100.7k
Short Targets:
96.8k
95.8k
93.4k
92.9k
91.6k
83.9k
81.1k
79.9k
78.5k
76.6k
Final Target & Origin Zone: 74.5k
This 74.5k level is crucial, as it would complete the entire market structure and possibly reset the next cycle phase.
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Stay aligned with the cycles, watch the wicks, and follow the structure.
As above, so below.
– ZemoG Trading Group
Why Do Trendlines, Chart Patterns Only Work Probabilistically?Why Do Resistance, Support, Trendlines, Fibonacci, and Chart Patterns Only Work Probabilistically?
(Meaning they are sometimes accurate, sometimes not)
In an uptrend, we follow the strategy of "buying at the bottom, selling at the top." But in a downtrend, what strategy should guide us? It’s the opposite: "shorting at the top and closing the short at the bottom." The approach is not much different from spot trading. We still use tools to identify tops and bottoms to execute our shorting plan and close positions.
For BTC on the D1 timeframe, the trend remains bearish. According to my system, BTCUSDT formed a peak on D1 on May 27 and May 28, with two "has peak D1" signals. This suggests that if we follow a short strategy, we would take profits at the D1 bottom.
In terms of price, we could wait around the $100k level to observe price action for profit-taking. Alternatively, using a bottom-detection system, we would close the position when a "has bottom" signal appears, regardless of whether the price hits $100k. It depends on the real-time market dynamics at that moment. The price might drop further to $95k or $93k, or it may not even reach $100k. Fixing a specific price level—whether it’s a resistance, support, trendline, or Fibonacci level—may not fully capture the overall real-time market context.
This is why sometimes the price hits the exact fixed zone, but other times it overshoots, undershoots, or a larger timeframe intervenes and breaks these fixed zones. That’s because price zones, trendlines, resistance, support, and Fibonacci levels are based on historical context.
In real-time, we are dealing with the present, which is vastly different from historical context. For example, differences in political leadership, monetary policies, wars, geopolitics, or capital inflows can all create disparities. This is why trendlines, resistance, support, Fibonacci levels, and chart patterns are not always accurate in the present or only work probabilistically.
Stay sharp, brothers!
2 Scenarios for BTCNow that the cup and handle formation has been reached and the correction finished, I think we have 1 more leg up.
It's also possible that we fall from here, but I think another fakeout upwards is likely as bearish divergence forms on the month, but isn't quite there yet (RSI needs 1 more higher high to confirm bearish divergence)
Either way, my short targets are the 0.618 fibs. I am expecting the typical -70-75% crash by 2027 before the next cycle begins
#BTC Double Top Bearish Structure, Beware of Pullback📊#BTC Double Top Bearish Structure, Beware of Pullback📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we broke below the neckline of 106510, which means that the bearish double top pattern is established, so we need to be wary of the coming of a plunge.
➡️As I said in my last analysis, we stabilized and rebounded after testing the support near H1, but I was not satisfied because my order was swept after I moved up the SL, so we cancelled the risk and also meant that we might cancel the possible future profits.
➡️However, I still succeeded because I stuck to my trading plan and tried some short trades after the price rebounded near the blue resistance line. 50% of the profit has been locked in because I am worried that the market will jump back and forth between support and resistance, and there is a gap to be filled near 109200.
⚠️If we fail to hold the support near 106500 tomorrow, then we will see a plunge.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 5 June 2025
- Bitcoin broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 98,000.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently broke the support zone located between the key support level 102150.00 (which reversed the price multiple times from the start of May) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from last month.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term ABC correction 2, which started earlier from the major multi-month resistance level 110,000.00.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 98,000.00 (former strong resistance from February).
Bitcoin - Bearish double top or bullish cup and handle ?As CRYPTOCAP:BTC reached a new high, we got a clear double top setup unfolding.
The question is now how this will unfold ? Honest answer : We can't know as price can unfold in many different patterns from here.
For now , we have to respect the bearish double top setup and therefore remain bearish on this as long as price is below 109.600$ .
BUT seen the somewhat good general market context for now and the potential for a surge in bitcoin demand, we have to be open to the possibility to turn bullish here when possible.
A double top setup can easily turn into a cup and handle setup, that means we could see price consolidate some more before rising again. But for that to happen, we need price to hold some key support levels , which for now is the 20day EMA in green on my chart. IF the 20dEMA is broken, we can simply look for the 50dEMA in black as the next potential support zone.
Also, from an Elliott Wave perspective, it's quite simple, if price move above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, although not always, more often than not we see price go up to the 127.2% and 138.2% levels around 120K here.
So, what can we do from here ?
For the bulls ? Simple, stay out and only look for setups on key support as mentioned above, for now you can use the 20dEMA for a small long entry with a very tight stop.
For bears ? Respect the short side as long as possible and use the support zones for profit taking and if support breaks look for new entries or to add to your positions if you want to be more aggressive.
BTCUSD Analysis – Bearish Elliott Wave Structure UnfoldingAfter BTC recently made a high around 111,959, we observed a clear impulsive bearish move followed by minor pullbacks.
The current market price stands at 103,396, and based on the structure, it appears that BTC is unfolding a bearish Elliott Wave pattern. If this holds, we could be in the midst of Wave 3, which typically shows strong momentum and continuation.
Key downside levels to watch:
99,620
97,670 – This level also aligns with a bullish breaker on the 4H chart, making it a potential area of interest for buyers.
Strategy:
My current approach is to sell on pullback, targeting the formation of lower highs and aiming for a break below the recent lower lows.
HolderStat┆BTCUSD pennant pauseCRYPTOCAP:BTC cools under 106 k inside a narrowing pennant pinned to its long-term rising rail. Successive ascending consolidation triangles hint at continuation, projecting a thrust toward the 111 k resistance shelf. Holding the pattern’s base keeps breakout odds tilted north.
BTC - HTF confirmation pending...BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Sweeping H4/H12 range low — watching for SFP or strong bounce as a long trigger.
H4 structure broke bullish, flipped OB to breaker (unicorn overlap).
Long on sweep & SFP, target back to H4 MSB and range high.
Break below $104,400 — plan invalid, stay flat.
Wait for candle close, don’t front-run.
BTC-----Buy around 104800, target 106000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 5:
Today, the large-cycle daily line level closed with a small positive line yesterday. The K-line pattern has continuous positive and negative lines, but if we look carefully, we will find that the price has been at a high level, and every retracement trend is testing support, and the rise is breaking the high, although it has not continued, so in this case, it is still very easy to pull up and break; the short-cycle hourly chart price is oscillating in a small range, and the upward channel is slowly opening in the trend pattern, and the support for the decline is moving up. This is relatively clear. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached indicator is golden fork, so there is a high probability of rising during the day. Whether the European session can break the high is to focus on.
BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
The current price is more in the 1048000 area, the stop loss is in the 1043000 area, and the target is in the 106000 area;