BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 2BTC Possible HTF Creation 2 (update from first post):
Chart inverted; analysis below as if it weren't an inverted chart:
1) Weak highs as there isn't an SFP or some kind of big wick candle;
2) Price did break below a significant part of the HL structure but not the full structure (last HL hasn't been broken):
- The part it broke down below isn't outstanding enough to produce a big breakdown (my intuition tells me). It isn't a MSB as the last HL is still intact and the structure it did break below I think can't produce a big downmove (which then would create a MSB if it happened but I think would be weak and shortlived, likely to be capped at that outstanding low at 95k).
- Price didn't instantly break below structure, it first made a LH (April 10) which weakens the downmove significantly to where my intuition tells me there now can't be a full MSB being formed.
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No significance at highs (no SFP) nor big previous high being hit so no reason for trend shift.
Price did break some significant structure but not fully and not fast enough: it first produced a LH before breaking below it. that's key here: if it was a breakdown in one go then price would have broken below the structure very close to the structure making the structure way stronger in resistance and therefore the likelyhood of a real breakdown way higher. That price is consolidating now (so not going fast anymore) is fine: horizontality creates space for a move in either way. But the fact that price didn't break below the structure in one go is the important part which I think cancels out the breakdown.
Just looking at it simply, pure intuition. This will never break down as that structure which it broke down below isn't outstanding enough and there is not enough verticality (no strength). I would never short this.
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And now coming out of the inverted chart: If I would never short this this means I would never buy this at 82k.
But the HTF HL, I want to say it as an ego thing: will higly likely be an SFP of the Monday April 7 lowest low and I have put my 100% allocation on it (might take out some to buy the ETH lowest low of June 2022 as these moves would probably go together and ETH is the better investment if you want to make bigger profits)
This ego thing is a traders' mistake as you can never be 100% sure in trading so you should never put a limit order on a level in advance, but I'm a young guy and me buying the lowest low of the HTF HL with great potential I could be right is a risk I'm willing to take as the benefit of me being right (having THAT amount of conviction with serious high level analysis backing that conviction) would just prove to me that I'm one of the best in the world in trading BTC, and this mental benefit will flow into daily ordinary life as I would then have proof of this 'status' (forgive me people, I know better but I'm still young and I know having this ego thing now will create a laugh + will make me happy in the future) + gives me more rest to focus on my studies.
I accept the traders' mistake as this is a HTF HL environment, not an ordinary area in between.
BTCUST trade ideas
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation We are however still in a downtrend and current area is the place for the new LH.
We already have the SFP at the highs (thus, good for the LH formation) but this hasn't provided any downward move + MSB isn't possible anymore as it has taken too long. We could get a LH SFP though which I think will still create the downmove.
The question I ask myself now: what if we don't get the LH SFP and go down first? This would then create the HTF HL I think, as price has no resistance but still breaks down + there's no short setup to be found.
But: will it go back to the lowest low of 74k or will it stay above the blue line structure and form the low around 82k? If the lowest low was an SFP price wouldn't go back to the lowest low but now I don't know: big horizontality makes past structure weaker to where price can easily go through it but at the same time if there's no reason to break down why would it break down in such a big way (from 84k to 74k instead of 84k-82k)?
BTCUSDT SHORT TRADE SETUPBTC is Facing Strong Resistance
Current Market Behavior: BTC has attempted to break through a specific price level multiple times but failed, indicating that sellers are actively defending that level.
Volume Confirmation: Often, resistance is confirmed when there's high trading volume at that price but no breakout.
Implication: If BTC continues to fail at breaking this level, it may trigger a pullback or short-term downtrend.
ShortThere's only one very small possibility for a bullish scenario from where we are right now. Looking at the volume and the weakness following the bounce from 74k after the initial 2 surges.... This will get extremely ugly over the next few weeks. If we hold above the 74xxx low, we can grind to 145k over the next 6 months. That hard low is going to be retested very soon. If the bears break it, this double 3 will play out with targets of GETTEX:48K -62k. Right now I'm short. I will closely watch the push down below 78k that is currently building. If we hold above under extreme bearish pressure / volume, I will look to open longs. If we slowly grind below 78, 77, 76, 75, with low volume, I will remain short as this will signal extreme bearish bias.
LONG BTC TO 110K from 84k We have a weekly divergence with strong volume and double tap on the 50 EMA
Price should not close below the 50EMA TWO weeks in a row otherwise the bull run is over.
As we have defended this line on two attempts to break it and the last one was defended with strong volume, that suggests we have a bottom at 74k
There is also divergence on the daily chart on MACD and RSI. volume profile on the weekly for buying exceeds selling.
Daily chart has 3 clear drops from the peak of 110k so now time for a rise back to the upper band on the weekly chart.
We are above the 4 hour 50EMA and holding that line
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Analysis – Buying Opportunity Ahead
📅 **Date:** April 16, 2025
📈 **Chart Timeframe:** 1D (Daily)
💹 **Pair:** BTC/USDT
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Chart Overview
Bitcoin has been forming a **falling wedge pattern** on the daily timeframe, which is typically a bullish reversal setup. After an extended correction from the $110,000+ zone, BTC appears to be finding strong support around a major **buying area** near the **$72,000–$76,000** range.
The chart shows confluence from multiple technical levels:
- Rising trendline support from past higher lows.
- Demand zone (highlighted in blue) aligned with historical support and accumulation zones.
- Price action nearing the **bottom of the wedge**, indicating a potential breakout.
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Technical Analysis
📌 Pattern: Falling Wedge
📌 Support Zone (Buying Area):$72,000 – $76,000
📌 Immediate Resistance: $88,000 – $90,000
📌 Major Resistance Zone: $108,000 – $112,000 (Supply zone in red)
📌 Trendline Support: Long-term trendline intact
Price Outlook & Prediction:
Based on the current setup:
1. **Price is likely to revisit the lower wedge boundary or the buying area** before making a strong move.
2. If the price successfully retests and holds above the **$72K–$76K demand zone**, it could mark a **bullish reversal**.
3. A breakout from the wedge would confirm bullish strength, potentially pushing BTC towards the **$96,000–$100,000** area in the medium term.
4. Eventually, we could see a retest of the **$108,000–$112,000 resistance**, where strong selling pressure previously emerged.
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Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Entry (Swing Trade Idea):
> Watch for bullish price action confirmation or a retest bounce from the $72K–$76K zone.
🎯 **Target 1: $88,000
🎯 **Target 2: $96,000
🎯 **Target 3 (Long-term): $108,000+
🛑 Stop Loss:
> A daily close below $70,000 (to invalidate the bullish structure)
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Conclusion:
BTC is trading at a key technical juncture. With a well-respected trendline and a clear falling wedge structure, the upcoming days could present a high-probability buying opportunity for swing traders and investors. However, patience is key—wait for confirmation from the buying area or a clean breakout above the wedge.
Stay alert, and always manage your risk! 🚀
BTC-----Sell around 84150, target 83150 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 16:
Today, the daily level of the big cycle closed the small negative line yesterday, and the K-line form is single yin and single yang. The price has reached above the moving average during the strong pullback trend in the previous three trading days. The indicator in the attached picture is running golden cross. Although the current rebound trend seems to be relatively strong, the suppression at the weekly level is still very obvious. Under such circumstances, our transactions must remain short-term, do not be greedy, and enter and close the position. All positions must be decisive, otherwise it is easy to be trapped; in the four-hour chart, the price of the European market yesterday was under pressure and retraced. The K-line pattern was continuously negative, and the price was below the moving average. The indicators in the attached picture were running dead cross, and the moving average pressure was near the 84500 area. On the short-period hourly chart, the K-line pattern was continuously negative, with the correction high point near the 84200 area. Looking at today, it is simple. Use the four-hour moving average pressure as a defense to sell.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: counter sell in the 84150 area, stop loss in the 84600 area, and target the 83150 area;
BTCUSD - Short Term Long Trade - Evidence of 90K Incoming...In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next.
As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once.
Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 82900.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 83240
First target: 85150
Second target: 86435
Third target: 87858
BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point.Market Alert: Bitcoin's Crucial Moment
The battle lines are drawn! BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point, slamming into the trendline resistance zone that's proven to be a formidable foe for bulls. Will the bears finally break through, or will the bulls rally for another attempt at higher grounds?
Our analysis reveals a high probability of rejection at this critical level, setting the stage for a potential downturn. If our expectations play out, we could see BTCUSDT plummeting towards the $81K and $80K support zones. These levels will be make-or-break for the short-term trend, and traders would do well to keep a close eye on them.
Stay alert, stay informed, and let's ride the waves of volatility together! The market is full of opportunities, and with the right insights, you can navigate even the most turbulent of times.
Bitcoin Bull Pennant / Falling Wedge BreakoutBINANCE:BTCUSDT recently broke out of a Bull Pennant / Falling Wedge, and seems to be retesting the resistance as support.
This follows two leading RSI signals:
• RSI downtrend breakout
• RSI bull divergence
Breakout Targets
• $115K — Falling Wedge measured move
• $130K — Pennant projection
Key Levels to Watch
• $72K — Main support + invalidation (former resistance + 0.618 Fib from 49K–109K)
• $91.5K — Prior support, now a key resistance to reclaim
• $109.5K — All-Time High
the metric is now at average valuesThe Pareto Principle states that 20% of efforts bring 80% of results. Currently, 20% of the network's offerings are at a loss, while 80% remain profitable. When the share of coins in profit exceeded 95-98%, the market became overheated and profit-taking began (yellow bars).
After the all-time high (ATH), the market cooled down, and the metric is now at average values.
Gold is cooling, digital gold = Going UPNow you can safely make a long. When real gold "cools down", digital gold starts to grow. I wrote about this yesterday:
Russia accumulated gold in 2019
Gold bull run by 2020
Russia started a war in 2022
China has been actively buying gold lately
A new war will start in 2026-27 from China
We all want peace.
Gold always predicted chaos
BTC Usdt Crypto Short p.Dragon BTC: Strengthening, but Outflows Slow Down
Funding remains neutral, institutional activity is moderate
📉 Exchange Reserves: 2.4297M BTC (–0.11%)
💵 USD Reserves: $203.3B (–1.42%)
📥 Inflow: +27.09K BTC (+0.9%)
📤 Outflow: +29.68K BTC (+0.81%)
⚖️ Netflow: –2.58K BTC ➜ Still outflow, but weakening
🔎 Market Outlook:
BTC is in an accumulation phase but lacks strong impulsive demand
ETH is losing activity but supported by stable volume
XRP / TRX / SOL are overheated — potential for pullback / profit-taking
BNB showing surging activity and volume — watch for breakout towards $600+
#BTC in the resistance zone, beware of pullbacks📊#BTC in the resistance zone, beware of pullbacks📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in the blue resistance zone at the daily level, so we need to pay attention to the risk of a pullback if we cannot break through this area.
➡️The upward trend support line was broken, so it turned into a resistance line. The price reacted well when it touched this resistance line, so we need to pay attention to the suppression of this resistance line.
➡️The downward trend line at the daily level was broken, which means that the adjustment at the daily level may be over, so if there is a good pullback, then we need to look for opportunities for long trades. The support area worth our attention is 80000-81188.
⚠️Note that if the closing price at the 4h level is below 80000, then the market may go bad and we may enter a deeper adjustment.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P