BTC 1HA final liquidity hunt can be expected before or after the monthly close. Then we expect a correction movement with the first week of May.
BTCUST trade ideas
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above $98K with strong vol📋 Trade Plan
Long bias remains valid above $93.5K.
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above GETTEX:98K with strong volume targets the $102.5K level.
Pullback Buy Zone: $93.5K–$94.5K if price respects support.
Caution: Overbought oscillators combined with resistance suggest a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
🟢 Long bias intact above $93.5K
🔴 Avoid fresh longs here. Wait for either breakout above GETTEX:98K or dip to support
🎯 Target: $102.5K on breakout
🛑 Invalidation: Close below $93.5K
When to buy BTC again?BTC has two resistance levels on its way to reaching $120k. Another upward rally will follow if BTC consolidates above the $119.730 line. I'll add the two targets and update the chart in that case.
BTCUSDT BUYGiven the resistance levels and the hidden divergence, it returned to the previous support level.
Bitcoin Stabilizes at $94,000 — What's Next?Following a strong rally in early 2025, Bitcoin is now showing signs of stabilization, hovering around the $94,000 mark. For a notoriously volatile asset, this steady price movement might seem unusual. However, this calm may be the calm before the storm—either a breakout or a pullback. So, what’s behind this current phase of Bitcoin’s price?
Firstly, all eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Investors are nervously anticipating its next interest rate decision. As always, monetary policy acts as a major catalyst for risk assets. A rate cut could boost inflows into the crypto market, while a hike might lead to capital outflows and dampen sentiment.
Secondly, retail investor activity appears to be cooling. Trading volumes have declined compared to the high levels seen in February and March, when the market was filled with euphoria. Now, we are witnessing a period of cautious waiting. The "Fear and Greed Index" reflects this, hovering around neutral territory, indicating market indecision.
From a technical standpoint, analysts identify two key levels: strong resistance near $100,000 and a support zone around $90,000. As long as Bitcoin remains within this range, short-term traders are operating in a sideways market while longer-term investors remain on standby.
Beyond macroeconomic factors, crypto-specific developments will also influence BTC’s price. Important upcoming events—such as Ethereum’s upgrade, potential regulatory changes in the UK and Japan, and global crypto conferences—could all act as catalysts.
Institutional investors are another major factor. Companies like MicroStrategy continue to accumulate Bitcoin, adding confidence to the asset’s long-term outlook. If more institutions follow suit, Bitcoin could see increased demand and stronger bullish momentum.
In the near term, market participants are advised to stay cautious. Bitcoin may continue consolidating until a clear macro or market-specific catalyst emerges.
All in all, $94,000 is more than just a number. It represents a temporary equilibrium of forces—bullish and bearish. The question is not whether Bitcoin will move again, but when and in which direction.
Market Likely to Resume Downtrend – Caution AdvisedAfter some consolidation, the market looks ready to resume its broader downtrend. Bullish momentum is fading, and resistance remains strong. Unless we see a breakout, downside pressure is likely to build.
Watching for confirmation via key support breaks or bearish signals. Stay cautious and manage risk. Not financial advice — just my view.
BITCOIN CHARTBTC weekly chart exposed the demand and supply phase of the price movement and we quickly aligned with price movement until genuine buy confirmation is complete. The crypto tax gains is coming and regulatory inspection certain, as strict compliance from all brokers will be unavoidable.
4hrs makes it easy as one more break of demand floor will be a sell confirmation, don't rush yet.
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Re-Test To $92,000 AreaBitcoin has recently formed a fake BOS, which is now sending the price down and forming BOS on smaller timeframes, showing the dominance that sellers are holding currently.
For us to see a proper upward movement or any kind of movement at all, we need to reach some kind of major zone, which would be the area near $92K.
We expect the price to fall near this zone, and once we are there, we will be looking and monitoring for market structure development. If we see dominance from buyers, we go long, and if we see dominance from sellers, then we short there.
Swallow Academy
Taming the Crypto Rollercoaster: How to Stay Sane in a Volatile Hey traders, it’s Adnan Ahdan Khan here, and let’s talk about that wild crypto ride we’re all on! Today, May 6, 2025, Bitcoin’s hovering around $95,600 after a sharp drop from $97,895, and altcoins are feeling the heat too. I remember my first crypto dip – my stomach churned watching my portfolio shrink. Sound familiar? In this crazy 2025 market, with stablecoins booming past $232 billion and meme coins swinging, volatility is the name of the game. But here’s the secret: mastering your trading psychology can turn chaos into opportunity. Let’s dive into three ways to stay calm and trade smart, no matter how wild the charts get.Accept Volatility as Your Trading Buddy
Crypto’s like a rollercoaster – thrilling, but it can make your head spin. Bitcoin’s recent correction, driven by macroeconomic jitters like U.S. tariffs, reminds us that volatility is baked into this market. I used to panic at every 5% drop, but here’s what I learned: volatility isn’t the enemy; it’s the fuel for profits. In 2025, with institutional money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs and altcoins like Solana consolidating, these swings create entry points. The key? Accept that prices will move. Instead of stressing, focus on the bigger trend. Bitcoin’s still up 12.82% over the last week despite today’s dip. Altcoins, though lagging, are poised for a breakout if Bitcoin clears $100,000. Train your mind to see red candles as opportunities, not disasters. A trick I use? Zoom out on the chart to a weekly view – it puts daily noise in perspective and keeps me grounded.Stick to Your Plan Like Glue
Let’s be real – when Bitcoin tanked to $94,200 this week, my first instinct was to sell everything. But that’s where a trading plan saves you. I’ve burned myself chasing dips without a strategy, and I bet you have too. A solid plan is your anchor in 2025’s stormy market, where stablecoin inflows signal growing demand and altcoins like Cardano hover near key resistance. Before every trade, I ask: What’s my entry? My stop-loss? My profit target? For example, during last month’s altcoin dip, I bought Ethereum at $3,400 with a 5% stop-loss and a $3,720 target. It hit, and I was out with a smile. Write your plan down – on paper, not just in your head. It’s like a contract with yourself. And don’t tweak it mid-trade; that’s how emotions creep in. With Bitcoin eyeing $100,000 and altcoins like XRP showing demand, a disciplined plan keeps you from FOMO buys or panic sells, letting you ride the volatility with confidence.Protect Your Mental Game
Trading crypto in 2025, with its $1.78 trillion market cap and 24/7 price swings, is a mental marathon. I’ve had nights glued to Binance, refreshing Bitcoin’s chart like a zombie. It’s draining. To stay sharp, I protect my headspace. First, I set price alerts on Binance for key levels – like $94,700 support or $97,000 resistance – and step away. This week’s dip showed me: staring at candles doesn’t change them. Second, I journal every trade. Writing why I entered and how I felt (nervous? greedy?) helps me spot emotional traps. Finally, I carve out non-trading time. A quick walk or 10-minute meditation before checking altcoin charts keeps me calm. With stablecoins like USDC and Tether driving liquidity and meme coins like Dogecoin riding community hype, the market’s noise is loud. Protect your mind, and you’ll make clearer calls – whether it’s holding Bitcoin through a correction or catching the next altcoin breakout.Conclusion
Volatility’s here to stay, but you’ve got this, traders! By embracing the swings, sticking to a rock-solid plan, and guarding your mental health, you can thrive in 2025’s crypto jungle. Bitcoin’s dips and altcoin wobbles are just part of the ride – like that first scary drop I survived. With stablecoins surging and the market buzzing, now’s the time to sharpen your psychology. What’s your go-to trick for staying cool when the charts go wild? Drop it in the comments – let’s learn from each other! Until tomorrow, keep calm and trade on!
– Adnan Ahdan Khan
#FOMCMeeting #USHouseMarketStructureDraft CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BTC/USDT Update – GigaAlgo SMC | May 6, 2025
Price action continues to respect the previous analysis — BTC remains in the premium zone, now showing clear rejection with back-to-back bearish candles. Although overall sentiment remains labeled as BULLISH, the multi-timeframe JASMINN AI and Regression tools reflect short-term downside momentum, especially below the 94K zone.
Key updates:
94K has turned into immediate resistance — failure to reclaim could signal a deeper pullback.
Support at 93K remains critical. If that fails, BTC may retrace to the equilibrium zone around 85K, consistent with earlier charts.
Watch for volume shifts — bearish volume is now increasing (25%), reflecting stronger sell-side interest.
Structure Breakdown:
BOS (Break of Structure) has been followed by a lower high, hinting at a potential shift if a lower low forms next.
Still within the overall bullish market structure, but correction looks imminent unless bulls step in above 94.5K.
Bitcoin ready to make some critical decisions. BTC is bullish if the price stays above the 92k zone. A sign of weakness would be a CHOCH by printing a confirmed lower high. The bearish scenario is that the price comes down to the mid-80s. The bullish thesis is the moon.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin Price Prediction Trend : Consolidating between $86,000 (support) and $98,000 (resistance)
Key Levels to Watch
Support : $86,000 – Strong demand zone
Resistance : $98,000 – Key supply zone
Possible Scenarios
Breakout Bullish : Above $98,000 → Target $102,000+
Breakdown Bearish : Below $86,000 → Target $82,000 or lower
Most Likely Short-Term Move : Continued sideways movement within the range
Outlook
Short-Term (1–2 Weeks) : Range-bound with potential for breakout
Long-Term (3–6 Months) : Depends on whether price breaks key support/resistance
BTC’s Resistance Rejection and Pullback PotentialBitcoin’s recent upswing encountered strong supply at a major confluence zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase. Below is a purely technical breakdown of the reversal signals and key levels to watch:
1. Confluent Resistance Barrier
Trend Channel Upper Boundary: BTC respected the descending channel ceiling drawn since November 2024, stalling gains at this dynamic resistance.
Volume Profile Node: The Point of Control for the November–April range coincides exactly with this ceiling, creating a heavy supply node where aggressive selling pressure has materialized.
2. Bearish Shark Harmonic Activation
Harmonic Geometry: The completed Shark pattern (0XA–AB–BC–CD) landed precisely at the resistance confluence, triggering a shift from impulsive to corrective price behavior.
Fibonacci Alignment: The D-leg retracement aligns with the 0.886 extension of the XA leg, reinforcing the pattern’s invalidation zone and confirming the reversal trigger.
3. Critical Downside Pivot
Key Swing Low – $91,648: A close beneath this level on elevated volume would validate the bearish scenario, initiating a cascading stop-run that could drive BTC toward the $86,000 structural support.
Stop-Hunt Risk: Traders who entered near recent highs likely have stops clustered just below the swing low; their liquidation would accelerate downside velocity.
Risk and Trade Management
Entry Zone: Aggressive short entries may be considered on a failure to retake the channel top, with initial targets near the POC support level.
Invalidation Point: A sustained reclaim of the channel resistance and POC region would negate the bearish thesis, shifting bias back to neutral or bullish.
Summary: Bitcoin’s clear rejection at overlapping resistance and the activation of the bearish Shark harmonic signal a high-probability pullback. Confirmation hinges on the swing-low break; otherwise, watch for a potential re-test of the confluence zone.
BTCUSDTLooks like BTCUSDT wants to make us smile again 🙂 A new opportunity for a Sell signal has emerged, and I’ll be taking advantage of it. However, don’t forget that in 35 minutes**, the *U.S. Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)* data will be released — and that could cause some market volatility. I’m opening the trade with that in mind, so make sure you adjust your risk accordingly.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.60
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 94333.33
✔️ Take Profit: 93908.54
✔️ Stop Loss: 94598.39
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses."
BTCUSDT Take ProfitHave I ever told you how much I love BTC? 😄 Yes! Our BTCUSDT trade has hit Take Profit!
BTCUSDTHello everyone! The downtrend in BTCUSDT continues with strong volume. Since May 3rd, the bearish trend has remained intact, and the current delta rate stands at -45%.
This indicates that the downward momentum is likely to continue for a while.
Therefore, I’m planning to open a short position on BTCUSDT.
You can find the entry, exit, and TP levels below.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 94586.48
✔️ Take Profit: 94113.32
✔️ Stop Loss: 94902.08
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
BTC Forming Bullish Structure — But Wait for the Higher LowAfter months of lower lows and lower highs, Bitcoin has finally broken structure by pushing above the previous lower high, officially forming a new higher high (HH). This is an early sign of a potential trend reversal back into bullish territory.
However, before momentum continues upward, a healthy retracement could occur. The key level to watch is the support zone around $91,200. If price pulls back and forms a higher low (HL) here or slightly lower around the $88,700–$87,500 zone, it would confirm the bullish structure and potentially kickstart the next leg up.
Patience is key here — let the higher low form before looking for long setups.
BTCUSDTWe broke the ascending channel downwards and retested. I expect a drop to 88765.43 levels. I will wait for the candle to close below 93514.10 below the last bottom to enter the position.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, for bitcoin, we got an exit from the sideways trend in the upward direction, but the growth wasn’t significantly confirmed by volumes. The price reached the key resistance zone of $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes), from which we received a reaction.
Currently, BTC has adjusted to the buy zone of $95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes), the buyer's reaction is present.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There is a high probability of a test of lower levels this week. This scenario is confirmed by the following factors:
• a steady delta advantage in the direction of sales, which prevents the development of a full-fledged upward movement;
• rather weak trading volumes;
• the wave structure, which has already called into question the current exit from the sideways trend, the price has returned to its framework.
We consider the development of the correction through one of the marked scenarios on the chart.
Sell Zones:
$96,100–$96,600 (local volume area)
Level $98,000
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
On macroeconomic developments this week:
• Monday, May 5, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for April;
• Monday, May 5, 14:00 (UTC) — ISM Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States for April;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the FOMC statement and the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:30 (UTC) — FOMC press conference;
• Thursday, May 8, 11:00 (UTC) - announcement of the interest rate decision The Bank of England in May;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the inflation letter from the Bank of England;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
