BTC - High Level Analysis (DAILY TF)Just a DAILY tf view of the High Level Analysis.
> It shows where the price may range in the next few days, weeks or months.
Key points:
We need a monthly candle above the yearly high(2024) in order for BTC
to continue its bullish momentum.
Otherwise, we expect it to range on the 92kish to 111kish area (with possible low time frame wicks on both top or bottom)
BTCUST trade ideas
Long trade
BTCUSDT (Buyside Trade)
🗓 Date: Sunday, 1st June 2025
⏰ Time: 5:30 PM
📍 Session: New York PM
📈 Timeframe: 15-Minute (Intraday Setup)
📊 Market Structure Tool: Break of Structure + FVG (Fair Value Gap) Retest
🧠 Confirmation Tool: RSI overbought
🔹 Trade Details:
Entry Price: 103,982.44
Take Profit: 105,989.05 (+1.93%)
Stop Loss: 103,730.44 (−0.24%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.96
🔹 Technical Breakdown:
Market Structure:
The price broke out of its recent range and confirmed a higher high.
Entry taken on retest into a bullish FVG within the discount zone.
Order Flow / Liquidity:
The liquidity grab below the short-term low provided a clean spring setup.
Quick absorption followed by a bullish engulfing candle confirmed entry.
BTC USDT ANALAYSISBTC/USDT At Now Previou Resistant But Still Uptrend Untill Not Break Support Trendline So Im Watchin If Break Resistant Level Then Have Fresh Pullback I Will Buy,If Moving Around Support & Resistant Area Im Waiting Im Not Doing Anything,If Break Support Area Then Have Rretest I Will Buy Btc Its Just My Planing Please Comment Me Your Plan. THANK YOU
#BTC Downside risk has not been lifted📊#BTC Downside risk has not been lifted⚠️
🧠Unfortunately, it is $34 away from the second target of our short strategy of 103,000.
But don't worry, the ideal target area of the short structure has not been achieved, and the downside risk has not been lifted, so we still need to look for short opportunities after the rebound.
➡️From the current structure, the aggressive pressure level is around 106,000, and the overlapping resistance area is around 106,500-107,800.
⚠️The weekend's rise is deceptive and belongs to the repair stage after the big drop. We may see a bigger drop next week!
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Liquidity was the excuse. Expansion was the goal.This BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P move was written before it happened — clean sweep, BPR fill, and now the setup is primed. You either knew where price was going, or you reacted late.
Price expanded aggressively into a clear 1H IFVG. That wasn’t just a push — it was a calculated run into a premium imbalance.
Now? We're retracing. Right into the EQ of the breaker block and the 0.5 fib (105,039). Exactly where the market wants you uncertain. I’m not.
Here’s the logic:
1H IFVG is filled. That’s done.
Price retraced directly into the 0.382 and 0.5 fib zone.
We have a defined BPR, and price is now hovering around its midpoint — ideal zone for reaccumulation.
As long as 104,999–105,039 holds, I expect a continuation back into 105,891 → 106,478.
If that range breaks clean, the low-hanging liquidity below 104,359 becomes a magnet.
But the narrative right now? HTF is still aligned bullish. We're in the phase where most traders get shaken out before the real move starts.
Trade idea: If I’m in, my invalidation is clean — under 104,699. Target is north of 106,000. I’ll scale partials at 105,799 and let the rest ride.
You want more trades like this? Check the account description. I don’t just post setups — I build conviction.
Let the influencers scream. I prefer precision.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing 26EMA and 12EMA - Daily ChartBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the 26EMA and 12EMA price levels on the Daily chart.
Bitcoin price has been in a medium-term uptrend since April and May 2025.
However, a short-term downtrend pullback has occurred and the price recently bounced up from the 26EMA zone ($104,000).
A morning star candle price pattern printed above the 26 EMA support line.
Large buyer volume could confirm the price candle pattern and Bitcoin price could rally up above 12EMA resistance ($106,000).
If price continues to reject and fall below $106,000 the downtrend would likely continue into June 2025.
Breaking news and stock market correlations could affect the price of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
Tariff news and trade deals are supposed to occur throughout June and July 2025.
btc 4h chart Resistance Levels:
~104,570.96: This red line is currently acting as immediate resistance. The price has interacted with this level multiple times.
~107,000 - 107,800: The middle green shaded area (labeled "Fvg" which might stand for Fair Value Gap, often acting as S/R).
~109,500 - 110,500: The upper green shaded area.
~112,004.43: The yellow horizontal line, marking a previous significant high.
Support Levels:
~103,000 - 103,800: The lower green shaded area.
If the price breaks below the current level, the next potential support could be around the lows seen near 102,000 (though not explicitly marked with a line/box, it's a visible swing low area).
02/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,718.68
Last weeks low: $103,065.74
Midpoint: $106,892.21
As we approach the middle of the year, Bitcoin is back above $100,000 despite pulling back from a new ATH of $112,000. In the month of MAY BlackRocks ETF had record inflows of over $6B propelling prices 11% higher.
Last week we saw as the month closed and with that it's natural to have a window dressing period that usually leads to de-risking slightly. BTC stayed within the previous weeks range and maintains the pattern of:
Chop/consolidation --> expansion to the upside --> chop/consolidation...
However in this case the consolidation week had a much larger range than in the past which is a sign to me that the rally is exhausted for now. It's because of this I feel we may see a weekly low break for the first time in a month and get a more meaningful pullback than we've seen since early April. My target would be around the $97,000 area.
The case for the bulls is still a convincing one despite some red flags. Record ETF inflows continue to pour, M2 money supply continues to grow and a general shift to risk-on assets is clear. However these are longer term factors and just for this weeks outlook the momentum is with the bears briefly.
BTC — Choppy Range Until BreakoutPrice is caught between key levels:
• Support: $101.8k (4H demand)
• Resistance: $106.6k–107.1k (4H supply zone)
Current structure suggests range-bound price action with low conviction for directional trades until one of these levels is broken.
Plan:
🔁 Range: $101.8k–$106.6k
• Expect multiple drives and fakeouts
• Ideal zone for scalping only, take profits fast
• Avoid breakout anticipation — let the level break first
🚀 Breakout Scenario:
• Flip of $106.6k opens the path to new ATHs
• Break and hold above → long trigger to $110k+
📉 Breakdown Scenario:
• Loss of $101.8k leads to $100k–$98k zone
• Break below $100k = deeper market flush possible
📌 No big move expected until range resolves. Patience and precision are key.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Despite the prevailing bullish trend, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold at the lower end of the sideways range. Instead, there was a breakdown downwards, which led to a shift of the accumulated volume in the short direction.
After that, the support zone of $104,200 – $102,300 (accumulated volumes) was tested, which was followed by the first positive reaction from buyers.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
It’s too early to talk about a full-fledged reversal and a resumption of the bullish trend. The resumption looks weak, both in terms of volume and momentum.
In the near future, we should expect a repeat test of the formed minimum. In the absence of a buyer's reaction, a rollback to the next area of interest is possible. An alternative scenario is the formation of a new sidewall between key levels:
– $104,200 – $102,300 (current accumulation zone),
– $107,000 – $109,800 (potential upper limit).
Sell zone:
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volume)
Buy zones:
$104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volume)
~$100,000 (initiating volume)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
Level at $93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Monday, June 2, 13:45 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May;
• Monday, June 2, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the ISM index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May;
• Monday, June 2, 17:00 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Tuesday, June 3, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index for May and in comparison with May 2024 in the Eurozone;
• Tuesday, June 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for April;
• Wednesday, June 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non—agricultural sector for May from ADP;
• Wednesday, June 4, 13:45 (UTC) - publication of the index of business activity in the service sector (PMI) USA for May, as well as Canada's interest rate decisions;
• Wednesday, June 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non—manufacturing purchasing managers' index for May from ISM;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:15 (UTC) - publication of the deposit rate, as well as interest rate decisions in the Eurozone;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank;
• Friday, June 6, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States in May.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Most called rejection. I called reaccumulation — mid-trade.This wasn’t luck. It was structure.
BTC tapped directly into the 1H Fair Value Gap at 105,016 — precisely the overlap with 0.382 fib and the volume imbalance from the prior impulse. Price didn’t just react. It delivered confirmation. Fast.
Entry was clean, risk tight — and the invalidation was defined. Below 104,517, I’m out. No emotion. Just system.
I’m now watching the 105,325–105,825 pocket. That’s where the thin volume zone transitions back into resistance — and where trapped shorts begin to feel the heat.
If price breaks and holds above 105,900, expect a swift drive into 106.7–107.0 before further consolidation.
Execution clarity:
✅ Entry: FVG 1H — 105,016
🎯 TP1: 105,825
🔒 Stop: 104,517
🔓 R:R = 2.38, no drawdown, full intent
Most wait for confirmation.
I act at the point of imbalance — not after it’s obvious.
BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)
We’ve confirmed a weekly SFP and observed a bearish engulfing weekly close, signaling caution at the very least. Whether the price corrects to our target, BOs here, or reaches a new ATH remains uncertain, so we’ll play it level by level. Imo, subtle signs of bullish exhaustion are worth noting.
That said, I don’t expect a collapse to 70K, though anything is possible. I anticipate a drop below the key 100K level, targeting the 18H HOB and weekly FVG around 98K. We could even see a wick into the CME gap, YO, and VRVP support observed at 94K. This move may spark fear, traders anticipating lower, with some calling for a bear market. However, I expect the price to reverse, reclaim key levels, and resume the uptrend.
On LTF/MTF - charts, we’re trading level by level. A range may form, allowing the market to gather liquidity to sustain the trend, especially since we missed liquidity at 72K. As long as the price remains below 107K, scalping makes more sense than swing trading in the short term. A break above 107K could target 110K or a new ATH. However, if the price reaches 107K - around 107800 - I’d consider shorting. A daily close above 107K might trap retail traders into opening longs, only for the price to retrace and head lower (keep this scenario in mind).
VELO data:
Market dynamics are stable. Spot is flat or selling, while perps are driving pric. OI has dropped from dangerous levels, and funding rates remain slightly positive. Overall, nothing significant is occurring, which aligns with the current range-bound market.