BTC - Ranges overview (update) Let's have a look at BTC as the new week is slowly settling and starting up.
We've traded back towards our opening week gap (blue box).
We are currently reacting nicely and holding it.
IF we break and get a clean close below it expect us to trade back towards 98K
IF we hold expect us to trade back towards new 100K and new all time highs.
As always...WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
BTCUST trade ideas
BTC Crypto Analysis – June 1, 2025📉 BTC Crypto Analysis – June 1, 2025
🧠 Model Summaries
Grok/xAI
Price vs MAs: Below 20-day SMA (106,330), above 50-day (98,530) and 200-day (94,804) → short-term bearish in long-term uptrend.
Momentum/Volume: RSI neutral (52.9); MACD bearish divergence; declining weekly volume.
Bollinger Bands: Price hugging lower band (~101,478) → slight bearish pressure.
📌 Trade: Short 104,500 | SL 106,000 | TP 102,500 | Risk: 0.5% | RR 1:3 | Confidence: 78%
Claude/Anthropic
MAs/EMAs: Price below short-term MAs → corrective phase.
Momentum: RSI neutral, weakening MACD, price in lower BB range.
S/R Levels: Resistance ~106,041–106,330; Support ~101,478–98,530.
📌 Trade: Short 104,800 | SL 106,200 | TP 102,000 | Size: 0.5 BTC | Leverage: 50× | Confidence: 68%
Gemini/Google
📌 Trade (JSON only):
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{ "entry": 104950, "sl": 106650, "tp": 102000, "size": 1.0, "confidence": 0.75 }
Llama/Meta
Technical: Price under short MAs, near lower BB, RSI neutral → moderately bearish.
📌 Trade: Short 104,500 | SL 107,000 | TP 101,000 | Risk: 0.01 BTC | Confidence: 80%
DeepSeek
Trend/Volatility: Below EMAs/MAs; widening BB → rising volatility.
📌 Trade: Short 104,950 | SL 107,000 | TP 99,800 | Size: 0.75 BTC | Risk: 1.5% | RR ~1:2.5 | Confidence: 78%
✅ Consensus Summary
Bias: ⚠️ Moderately Bearish
All models favor shorting BTC in the short term, despite longer-term uptrend.
Price below 20-day SMA and EMAs, momentum indicators weakening.
Support zone: 101,000–102,500; Resistance: 106,000–107,000 range.
Main Risks:
Counter-Trend Trap: Break above 20-day SMA could cause sharp rebound.
Volatility: Macro/crypto news may cause sudden spikes.
Execution: Limit orders suggested at open to avoid slippage.
Leverage: Moderate leverage preferred to avoid liquidation risks.
🧾 Recommended Trade Setup
🔻 Direction: Short
📈 Entry: 104,900
🛑 Stop Loss: 106,200 (above EMA/SMA cluster)
🎯 Take Profit: 102,000 (psychological + BB support zone)
📦 Size: 0.5 BTC
📊 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
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{
"instrument": "BTC",
"direction": "short",
"entry_price": 104900.0,
"stop_loss": 106200.0,
"take_profit": 102000.0,
"size": 0.5,
"confidence": 0.75,
"entry_timing": "market_open"
}
BTC/USDTI’ve been outlining this rising wedge pattern for a while now, but here’s the key difference this time: what was previously resistance has now flipped into support. That shift is a critical technical milestone a major test for Bitcoin’s price action.
Now, let’s talk scenarios:
• If this bearish wedge gets invalidated, we’re looking at a target of $163K—a massive breakout that aligns with broader market momentum.
• However, if it fails to hold, we risk breaking down into an M-formation, potentially dropping towards the $80K level.
This week is a decisive inflection point. Watch the previous resistance-now-support line closely. It’s also worth noting that the 4H 200MA aligns almost perfectly with this support level, adding confluence to this critical zone.
Bottom line:
We’re at a pivotal historical moment for Bitcoin, a true make-or-break situation. Stay sharp, stay nimble, and respect your risk management.
BTC - 3 plansWe lost H4 and daily trend, question is, is this a fake-out or are we in for a longer correction?
Only looking at 3 things here:
Immediately reclaim H4 trend, bounce into 108k.
Take out the Friday/weekend lows; that would set up a nice divergence and we can long into the same target.
If we lose current smol range value, I think we can get a deeper flush into 96-97k, maybe even take out the poc a bit lower. I think that would be a good buying opportunity if we get it, then long from there into either the same 108k target, hold some for potential sweep of the highs (or the moon of course)
BTCUSDT Price Analysis – Potential Drop Incoming! 🔲 Chart Zones
🟥 Resistance Zone (~111,000–112,000):
Price has touched this zone multiple times and failed to break higher – this is a strong resistance area. 🚫📈
🟪 Support Zone (~101,000–102,000):
A historically strong demand area where price previously bounced up. 💪📉
🔍 Current Price Behavior
📊 Price Level: Around 108,666.66
🔄 The chart shows lower highs forming, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Bearish projection drawn (blue zigzag line) suggests a potential double top forming below resistance.
📉 What’s Expected?
🔵 Big Drop Alert! ⬇️
If the price fails to break above and gets rejected again, the chart predicts a sharp move down toward the support zone.
🎯 Target Area: ~101,000–102,000 (Support zone)
📌 Summary
🧱 Resistance holding strong
💤 Momentum slowing down
⚠️ Bearish move likely
🏹 Targeting support zone for potential bounce
⚠️ Trading Tip 🧠
Watch for confirmation before entering trades! A break below the recent lows could trigger a short opportunity, while a bounce near support could offer a buy setup. 🛑📈
BTC/USDT – Bitcoin 1 hour timeframe 📊 Technical Overview
🟢 Support Zone:
📌 Around $105,700
🛡 Marked by multiple bounces (white arrows), this zone shows strong buyer interest.
🔁 Historically acts as a springboard for upside moves 📈.
🔴 Resistance Zone:
📌 Range: $109,000 – $111,500
🚫 Every approach has triggered a sharp sell-off (black arrows), confirming this zone as significant supply.
🔄 Price Action & Pattern Insights
📉 Bearish Swings from Resistance:
Several high-wick candles followed by strong rejections ⛔
Downward arrows suggest a distribution phase near the top range
📈 Bullish Reversal Signals:
Price sharply rebounds from support 💥
V-shaped recovery setup in motion with a clean reaction from the demand zone ✅
Arrow projection hints at a potential full range recovery 🌈
📦 Box Range Formation:
Market has been consolidating in horizontal zones
Each zone acts as a base for accumulation or distribution 🧭
🎯 Trade Idea & Forecast
📍 Current Price: $105,793.35
📈 Projected Move: Upside rally toward $111,000+
🧠 Rationale:
Bounce from a major support zone
Prior similar price actions led to parabolic rises 🚀
No lower lows made – signs of a bottom forming 🪙
📌 Action Plan
✅ Long Setup:
Entry: Above $106,000
Target: $109,000 – $111,500
Stop Loss: Below $105,000
📉 Risk/Reward: Favorable (~1:3)
🚫 Bearish Alternative:
Breakdown below $105,000 with volume ❗
Target: $103,000 (next liquidity zone)
📎 Conclusion: Ready for a Bullish Comeback?
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing signs of a textbook bullish reversal 📘 after defending a key demand level 💪. If the current momentum holds, we could see a swift move back to the top of the range. Ideal for short-term buyers looking to ride the intraday wave 🌊.
Can Potentially move upwards from here?Bitcoin just created an inducement and it has been hunted. Now the structure is also broken and the inducement is also taken out. The market is in a discount zone, and there's an overlap of a Breaker Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap), which indicates that the market can potentially move upwards from here.
Wait for bullish confirmations here, such as MSS (Market Structure Shift), CISD (Change in Character/Continuation of Internal Structure Dynamics), and failed selling PD Arrays!
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
Will it break the all-time high again?
Over the past week, the Bitcoin market has seen volatile trends, attracting widespread attention. In terms of price performance, Bitcoin carried forward the upward momentum from the previous week, opening at $103,500 and continuing its upward trend. On May 22nd, Bitcoin reached a high point, breaking through the $110,000 mark and hitting a record high of $112,000. Its market capitalization also surged to over $2.15 trillion, ranking among the top five global asset market capitalizations.
In terms of market capital flows, Bitcoin ETF products saw a total net outflow of up to $616 million on May 30th, with IBIT alone experiencing an outflow of $431 million, ending a consecutive 10-day net inflow trend. However, BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF recorded a total net inflow of over $6.35 billion in May, with assets under management exceeding $71 billion, indicating that institutional investors maintain a long-term optimistic view of Bitcoin, and the short-term outflows are mostly profit-taking.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Bitcoin Retests Breakout Zone – Will It Bounce Again?Hello traders, here is the Quick CRYPTOCAP:BTC update
Bitcoin is currently holding right at the previous breakout zone, which also aligns with the rising trendline and previous accumulation area.
This zone has acted as a strong launchpad in the past — where BTC accumulated and exploded higher. If buyers defend this level again, we could see another rebound play out from here.
As long as BTC holds this structure, the bullish trend remains intact.
BTC/USDT – Tactical Bullish Consolidation__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : STRONG BUY signal confirmed across all timeframes via the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (stable green line, dominant bullish momentum).
Support & Resistance : Major multi-timeframe support at 104,000 USDT , with key resistance between 108,000–111,000 USDT .
Volume : No extreme spikes, below EMA – no panic-buy or selling climax detected.
Behavioral Indicators (ISPD) : Neutral sentiment across the board – no signs of overheating or capitulation.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall Bias : Bullish. Technical momentum is aligned with supportive macro drivers and resilient on-chain dynamics.
Trade Opportunities : Tactical buys on confirmed re-tests of 104k support; upside targets at 107k, 108k, with potential extension to 111k.
Risk / Invalidation : Strong rejection below 104k combined with fading Risk On / Risk Off Indicator → could trigger a flush toward 100k or even 94k–97k.
Macro Catalysts : US/China tensions (volatility), altcoin breakouts (risk appetite), on-chain data in euphoric phase.
Action Plan : Active monitoring, scalp bullish impulses, partial TPs under resistance, hedge on volume spikes to the downside.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis – BTC/USDT
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D : Consolidating below major resistance (108k–111k), with key support at 104k. Bullish momentum, neutral volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : STRONG BUY .
12H : Technical rejection at 104k–108k clusters, firm support at 100k–104k. Momentum holds, no behavioral excess.
6H : Same price levels as higher TFs. Strong momentum and neutral sentiment, no anomalies detected.
4H : Bullish rebound off 104k, facing resistance at 108k+. STRONG BUY signal intact, normal volume.
2H : Support holding firm, bulls in control. No weakness observed.
1H : Price compressing within 104k–107k. Underlying bullish momentum remains solid.
30min : Consolidation under 105.5–107k resistance. Indicator remains bullish. No sign of capitulation.
15min : Repeated tests of 104k support, slight softening in signal but bullish bias remains.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion – Execution & Position Management
__________________________________________________________________________________
Directional Bias : Bullish. Constructive consolidation with strong sector momentum.
Key Levels : 104k (support) and 108k–111k (resistance).
Strategy : Buy dips on validated re-tests, scalp breakouts, swing above 108k.
Risk Triggers : Breakdown below 104k with volume spike, or bearish reversal in Risk On / Risk Off Indicator .
Watchlist : Unusual volume spikes, ISPD turning red, abrupt macro changes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
$BTCUSD Top SoonI believe CRYPTOCAP:BTC will reach maximum $124–128K—either earlier or, at the latest, by September–October 2025—before shifting into a bear market.
It has already enjoyed a 2.5-year bull run, during which the lower tier of coins, including ETH, failed to meet expectations; this time was different.
When the downturn begins, everything else will plunge to much deeper lower lows.
$BTC #Bitcoin is monthly and there is such a situation monthly.There is such a situation in CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Bitcoin weekly and monthly. I hope it doesn't work. If it works, there will be destruction in altcoins. There is no prediction right now. Everyone is expecting targets like 140k 250k. But I was here in the last double top but unfortunately it fell 15k. I hope they make a rally in altcoins before it works and then drop them. YTD. PLEASE TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK.
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/23/2025For me , I think that the BTC price is on the way to their target price around 128,000-133,000 that we derive from Gann fann resistance.The wave structure suggest us that the impulse that create new high is just the beginning. The invalidate point is the point below wave 2 (around 101,000).
BTC/USDT - Daily Time Frame🧠 BTC/USDT – Daily Market Structure Analysis | Critical Decision Point
Bitcoin is currently sitting at a crucial decision zone around the $105K level, right after breaking its bullish trendline to the downside. This structural break has already formed a Lower Low (LL), raising the possibility of a deeper correction unless bulls step in strongly from the current support zone.
In this analysis, I’ll walk you through both bullish and bearish scenarios, the market structure logic, and why this zone might be the trigger for the next major move in BTC.
🔍 Market Context:
The recent trendline break occurred after a strong upward leg, with buyers showing exhaustion near the $111.7K resistance. Once price broke below the rising trendline, it created a new LL, officially shifting the structure to bearish in the short term. However, that doesn't mean the trend has fully reversed — yet.
✅ Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
For bulls to regain control, price must hold above the $104K key support.
If BTC can form a Higher Low (HL) in this area and break back above $111.7K, it would confirm a bullish re-accumulation structure.
In that case, a long setup would be valid upon confirmation, with a Target Price (TP) at $129,984, which is a major liquidity level from the previous macro range.
This scenario aligns with continuation of the overall macro uptrend, and could be fueled by fresh momentum entering the market.
❌ Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
Failure to hold $104K support and a confirmed bearish break could lead to continuation of the short-term downtrend.
In this case, a Short position becomes valid upon break and retest, targeting the $94,317 support zone, which aligns with previous demand and potential Fibonacci retracement clusters.
This scenario suggests deeper correction or possible start of a broader consolidation phase before the next major leg up.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: $111,707
Support: $104,022
Bullish TP: $129,984
Bearish TP: $94,317
🔑 What to Watch For:
Price action around $104K: Will bulls defend it, or will it flip to resistance?
Structure formation: Look for either a clean HL + Break, or another LL to determine direction.
Volume confirmation on breakouts is critical — don’t enter without it.
📢 Follow me for more institutional-level market structure breakdowns, trade setups, and real-time BTC updates.
This is not just a prediction — it’s a probability-based roadmap that puts structure first and emotion last.
Let the chart speak.
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BTC eliot wave prediction
106,600$ → 100,300$ → 116,000$
The third extended wave of Bitcoin has completed, and it is now going through a correction phase.
Wave 4 corrections often retrace to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
Therefore, a price drop to that level is expected — around $106,600.
This correction is unfolding as a W–X–Y pattern.
In wave W, the internal ABC subwaves completed with wave C reaching 1.618 times the length of wave A.
Currently, Bitcoin is in the rising phase of wave X.
No one knows how high wave X will go,
but what’s important is that after wave X finishes,
one more lower low is expected — again around $106,600.
At that price level, I plan to open a $2 billion long position with 10x leverage.
BTC - $100k liquidity nextThis move looks like a classic liquidity grab, setting the stage for a deeper retrace unless reclaimed quickly.
• Watch the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone
• If price loses $99K, next downside target sits around $92K, the next major support level
don’t fight the structure, let the levels lead.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis | Key Resistance Test 📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis | Key Resistance Test – What's Next?
As shown in the 15-minute chart, Bitcoin is currently testing a short-term resistance zone that has previously acted as a strong rejection area. The market is now approaching a decision point that could define the next short-term move.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Breakout and Momentum Continuation
If BTC successfully breaks above the current resistance with a strong bullish candle, we could see a continuation of the upward move. In this case, the next key targets are:
🔺 Descending trendline (pink) – a significant dynamic resistance level
🔺 $105,940 – a key resistance zone with previous price reactions
A breakout above these levels could trigger a fresh wave of buying pressure.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Rejection and Pullback
However, if BTC gets rejected from this resistance once again, bearish momentum may resume. Key support levels to watch on the downside include:
🔻 $103,585 – short-term support with historical significance
🔻 $102,605 – stronger support and recent local bottom
Failure to hold these levels could lead to a deeper retracement or consolidation.
📌 Summary
Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. A breakout could trigger a bullish continuation, while a rejection may lead to a short-term correction. Keep an eye on candle confirmations and volume before making any moves.
📍If you find this analysis helpful, make sure to follow me for more real-time updates and trade setups. Let's grow together as traders. 🔔
BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The Trump administration supports adding Bitcoin to strategic reserves, improving regulatory expectations.
Institutions continue increasing positions, with ETF capital inflows and USDT issuance ensuring ample liquidity.
Technical Analysis:
Price is near $104,000, having previously broken above $110,000. A short-term pullback is underway, with $103,000 as support and $108,000 as near-term resistance.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near $103,000–$104,000.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 103000–104000
TP:106000-108000
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Strategy & Education: Trading with Fibonacci and Order Blocks🔍 Trading Strategy Based on Fibonacci Levels and Order Blocks
This chart showcases three consecutive sell trades I executed on the BTCUSDT pair, each resulting in a profitable outcome. The purpose of this explanation is to demonstrate how Fibonacci retracement levels can be combined with Order Block zones to identify high-probability trade setups.
🧩 The Foundation: Understanding Price Retracement Behavior
The ABC, abc, and (a)(b)(c) structures marked on the chart are not Elliott Waves. Instead, these labels are used to represent simple retracement movements in the market. The focus here is not wave theory, but recognizing how price reacts and pulls back after a move, and how we can benefit from these reactions.
📌 Trade 1: Primary Fibo-OB Confluence
I drew a Fibonacci retracement from the A wave to the B wave.
The price then retraced to the C area, landing between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, where an Order Block (OB) was also present.
This overlap created a strong technical and structural resistance zone.
I entered the first sell trade from this confluence.
📌 Trade 2: Internal Retracement and OB Alignment
Inside the first corrective move, a smaller abc pattern formed.
I applied Fibonacci again from small a to small b.
The c leg reached the same key Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.786) and overlapped with a second OB.
This confluence offered a second sell entry.
📌 Trade 3: Micro Structure – Same Logic Reapplied
I repeated the exact same logic one more time on a micro (a)(b)(c) structure.
Fibonacci from (a) to (b), price touched 0.618–0.786, coinciding again with an OB.
This became the third and final sell position.
🧠 The Logic Behind the Strategy:
Price doesn’t move in straight lines—it flows in waves. During pullbacks, if Fibonacci levels align with Order Block zones, the market tends to react strongly. My focus here was to identify these areas of confluence in advance and enter trades at high-probability turning points.
Bitcoin at Critical Support – Can a New All-Time High Follow?
The question on many traders’ minds right now is whether Bitcoin is setting up for a new all-time high. Currently, price action has reverted to a critical support zone ranging from $103,000 to $102,000, which has managed to absorb recent aggressive selling. This zone is significant not only due to its psychological importance but also because it has helped slow downside momentum, allowing price action to consolidate into a smaller time frame range.
This support level aligns with a previous key low established in the low $90,000s, which was a major turning point in the prior leg of the uptrend. That low marked a region of high volume and buyer interest, and it now forms a confluence zone alongside daily timeframe support. These overlapping factors increase the validity of this area as a strong base for a potential reversal.
From a technical perspective, holding this zone is essential if Bitcoin is to maintain its bullish structure and attempt another push higher. If a bounce occurs from current levels, it significantly increases the odds of retesting the all-time high in the coming weeks. The structure would then remain intact, showing a sequence of higher lows and higher highs.
However, if this support range fails to hold, it would likely expose Bitcoin to a much deeper correction, possibly invalidating the current uptrend. While a breakdown hasn’t occurred yet, it’s a scenario worth monitoring closely as it would shift the broader market sentiment and strategy.
In conclusion, $103K–$102K is the battleground, and how Bitcoin behaves around this area will determine the next major move. Bulls must defend this zone to keep the all-time high scenario alive.