BTC breaks out - Can it sustain the bullish momentum?Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown notable strength, forming an ascending triangle pattern, a typically bullish structure that often resolves to the upside. True to form, BTC has now broken out above the triangle's resistance, pushing higher with strong momentum.
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Price target ascending triangle
This breakout sets a technical price target above $98,000, suggesting there’s still significant upside potential if the pattern plays out fully. However, the rally is now approaching a critical test.
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Golden Pocket + POC
BTC is currently moving into a zone of strong resistance, both the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC) from recent months converge in this area. These technical levels often act as magnets for price and can serve as significant barriers, potentially leading to a pullback or consolidation.
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Stochastic RSI
Adding to the caution, the daily Stochastic RSI remains in overbought territory, where it has lingered for an extended period. While this doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal, it does suggest that a corrective move could be on the horizon.
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Conclusion
Still, there's a chance BTC could first push toward the psychologically significant $100K level before any major retracement occurs. Traders should keep a close eye on how BTC behaves around this key resistance area, confirmation or rejection here will likely shape the next major move.
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BTCUST trade ideas
BTC Bias bullish imbalance that ultimately failed to provide expected support. Subsequently, the market executed liquidity sweeps, indicative of stop-loss inducement. Following this, price retraced to a discernible Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level, which is currently exhibiting respect as a potential pivot point.
The failure of the anticipated bullish reaction at the imbalance suggested underlying bearish strength. The ensuing liquidity sweeps provided the necessary momentum for a directional move. The subsequent adherence to the OTE level now presents a technical confluence warranting attention for potential trading opportunities aligned with the observed market flow.
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 4Bitcoin to $102K? Bullish Momentum Still in Play (4H Chart)
Bitcoin is holding strong within an upward channel, showing clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After breaking out of a long consolidation phase, it’s now finding support around $94.5K and riding along the midline of the ascending trend.
Momentum looks solid, with price above key EMAs and holding structure.
Next major resistance: Sitting at $102,000, which lines up with the top of the channel and a previous supply zone.
Indicators:
RSI is slightly cooling off, suggesting potential short-term consolidation.
ADX still supports a strong trend.
Volume’s dipped a bit, so we may need fresh buying pressure for the next leg up.
If BTC can hold above $94.5K, the bullish structure remains intact. A push to $102K looks likely in the short to mid-term.
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BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading Strategy This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Bitcoin is holding above the $94,000 mark, demonstrating strong upward momentum. It is currently gathering strength to challenge the key resistance level of $98,000. Keep an eye on the support level at $94,000 below. In terms of trading operations, wait for a pullback and then go long.
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BITCOINBitcoin Break of Supply Roof: Implications for Price Action
Bitcoin’s recent breach of a critical supply roof (resistance zone between $95,000–$98,300) has significant implications for its near-term price trajectory.
this range may represent a "supply roof" where holders accumulated Bitcoin. A breakout suggests these holders are either holding for higher prices or have already distributed, reducing immediate selling pressure.
On-Chain and Fundamental Support
Institutional Demand: Corporate treasuries (e.g., MicroStrategy) and ETFs continue accumulating Bitcoin, reducing available supply.
Negative Funding Rates: Despite price gains, futures markets show neutral-to-negative funding rates, indicating room for leveraged longs to enter.
Post-Halving Scarcity: The April 2024 halving has tightened new supply, with only ~19.86 million BTC in circulation (94% of total supply mined).
Conclusion
A decisive breakout above $98,000 would signal a bullish regime shift, targeting $100,000–$109,000 in May/June. However, traders should watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic cues to validate the move. Failure to hold gains could see Bitcoin retest lower support, but the broader 2025 outlook remains bullish, with institutional adoption and scarcity dynamics underpinning long-term upside.
Critical events this week: US CPI data (May 30) and ETF flow trends will be pivotal for sustaining momentum.
GANN Analysis for BTC/USDT – Time/Price Intersection Zones ⚡️ Chart Type: 1D
Toolset: GANN Fan + GANN Box + VWAP-MA Combo + Custom RSI Cycle + Dynamic S/R levels
Asset: Bitcoin / Tether (BTCUSDT)
🔍 Key Observations:
1- GANN Fan & Box Alignment
Multiple converging GANN angles from key pivot lows (notably 74,626.93) create a price/time compression zone.
The green and red fan lines show clear support and resistance “rails” guiding current BTC movement.
2- Support/Resistance Cluster:
Major GANN resistance zone: ~91,500–91,900 USDT.
Strong mid-range support: ~83,400 USDT (0.75 retracement).
A possible reaction zone near 86,300 USDT, in line with VWAP deviation and GANN grid intersection.
3- Time-Based Turning Points:
April 9, 2025, was a confirmed local bottom, matching RSI cycle lows.
May 4–6, 2025 (highlighted in red) is the next GANN timing arc, suggesting a potential swing high or local top.
Jun 27, 2025, is the next major GANN time intersection. Depending on the trend strength leading into it, it is highly likely to act as a macro inflection point.
4- RSI Cycle Outlook:
RSI Master v3 shows overbought conditions (~77), historically signaling near-term cooling or consolidation.
Previous similar RSI peaks led to pullbacks into mid-fan levels.
Timeline Expectation :
Short-Term (5–12 May): Watch for price rejection near 92k, with possible retracement to 86k–83k.
Mid-Term (June–July): A consolidation phase likely leading to expansion near July 25, where directional breakout potential increases.
Strategy Suggestion:
Traders may consider this period (early May) as a high-alert zone. If BTC fails to hold above 91.5k, expect a deeper rotation toward fan base support. July 25 could serve as a strategic entry/exit timing based on confirmation.
📈 Not financial advice — time/price confluence zones like these are tools for probabilities, not guarantees. Always manage risk and follow your plan.
Bitcoin: Strong Support —Back To BasicsNotice the black lines on this chart...
The lower line marks the January 2025 wick low.
The second line, a bit higher, matches the December-November 2024 wick low.
Last week Bitcoin smashed this resistance range and is now safely trading above it. The break of this support turned resistance turned once more support is a major bullish development.
The action as it is happening now on the weekly timeframe puts Bitcoin back in the same conditions as before the March 2025 breakdown.
Notice the entire period after the March 2025 breakdown and April recovery, this is a classic stop-loss hunt event, liquidity hunt or bear-trap. The action moved below support just to quickly recover.
This can also be read as a "failed signal."
The bears attempted to move the market lower but failed. A failed signal turns into a strong signal contrary to the initial direction of the move. So if this is a failed bearish signal it translate from a TA perspective into a strong bullish signal. This works because it reveals a double-bullish dynamic. The failed bearish continuation after breakdown reveals bears weakness, the successful recovery reveals bullish strength; two points for the bulls.
Now, the active weekly candle/session did not wick lower to test the "strong support" price range, between $89,250 and $90,500, black lines on the chart, no, instead the action is happening safely above this range.
Bitcoin is super strong right now. Strong support.
If Bitcoin were to move lower and challenge this support zone, this would become a unique opportunity, a very strong opportunity, an amazing opportunity to buy LONG with high leverage or simply accumulate more if you are spot.
If it drops, awesome, a unique buy opportunity.
If it continues higher right away we are good because Bitcoin has been green four weeks straight.
It doesn't get any better and we have the support of the entire Altcoins market which is starting to heat up. I told you we would see slow steady growth, it doesn't happen in a day because are in a long-term bullish phase but oh boy, oh boy, oh girl oh boy it will grow.
By late May 2025, everything will be green 2-3 levels up. That is, minimum 200%-300% up and that is just the start. You've been warned.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Feel free to follow if you enjoy the content.
Namaste.
Bitcoin's Weekly MACD & RSI —Back To Basics (Part 1)We looked at Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and mentioned the rare Michael Saylor 4 weeks green bullish signal. But what about the MACD and RSI? What are these indicators currently saying?
Let's dive deep into these two and see what we can find.
First, Bitcoin's weekly RSI.
1) Here we have first what is called a hidden bullish divergence. The RSI hit a lower low in March 2025 compared to September 2024, but Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong higher low (March/April 2025 vs September 2024). This is an interesting signal.
2) The same RSI support that was activated in September 2023 and September 2024 worked in March 2025. Once this level was activated—blue dotted line on the chart—the RSI started to move upward.
Each time this support is activated Bitcoin goes on a major bullish wave. In September 2023 Bitcoin started a major rise from 20 something toward 70K+. In September 2024 Bitcoin started a major advance from 60 something toward 110K.
3) A triple bottom. Another signal related to this same support level is a triple bottom. It was challenged three times and holds. In 2025, this support zone was pierced briefly and then the RSI started growing. This makes the reversal signal an even stronger one.
Bitcoin doubled in 2024 from this RSI support and more than triple in 2023. So this time around we can count on a double minimum but can be a triple or more. If it increases each time, first a double, then a triple and then a quadruple.
The next signal is Bitcoin's weekly RSI broken downtrend and bullish reading:
1) The downtrend has been broken on the RSI, pretty simple. Here depicted with blue lines. Needless to say, when the downtrend breaks the RSI moves up. A strong RSI is bullish for Bitcoin and this takes us to #2.
2) The RSI has a strong reading at 59. Bullish is above 50 and there is also a bullish cross, when the RSI moved above the RSI based MA (moving average).
The weekly RSI reveals Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias. Over time this indicator becomes overbought but never oversold. Interesting isn't it? It shows that market participants are ready to buy beyond what is reasonable but not willing to sell that much.
As it happened back in late September 2024, the RSI doesn't have to move straight up, there are ups and down within a rise, please keep that in mind. The RSI doesn't necessarily reflect what Bitcoin is doing or will do, it only supports a broader bias, trend or cycle, in this case the bullish case.
Next comes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
This is pretty interesting as well and the first signal is a higher low in April 2025 vs September 2024, a standard bullish signal:
Revealing Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias, the MACD starts to recover without reaching the bearish zone. The bearish zone is when the MACD moves below zero, here the recovery is happening above.
The fact that the bullish cross on the MACD, when the MACD line crosses upward the signal line, is not yet in means that this bullish cycle is still early.
When the MACD line (blue) starts to curve on the weekly timeframe after making a long-term low, as it is now, the market turns bullish and there is no going back.
I will go deeper on the MACD in part 2 of this publication.
If you enjoy it and like it boost it to give me feedback. The more feedback, the deeper the next analysis will be.
Thanks a lot for reading, your support is truly appreciated.
I'll see you next time.
Namaste.
BTCUSDTWishing everyone a great weekend! I opened a BTCUSDT trade this morning and hit TP — price has now returned to the same level (I didn’t share that signal with you). I'm considering taking another trade. Although BTC tends to act “blind” during weekends, I still want to seize the opportunity. For that reason, it's better to enter with a smaller lot size. I may close this trade manually — so turn on notifications to stay updated 🙂
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 96428.33
✔️ Take Profit: 95978.61
✔️ Stop Loss: 96728.22
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Analysis of the Price Trend of BitcoinAnalysis of the Bitcoin Price Trend: The upward trend is derived from the Weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. When the yellow and white lines of the MACD return to the zero axis and simultaneously touch the 52-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA52) line, there is a high probability that there will be no problem for the price to reach 100,000 (currency unit).
$100K Bitcoin Within Days » Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (S5)Bitcoin is now bullish confirmed with a break above $97,000. Today Bitcoin trades at the highest price since late February 2025, and it is set to continue growing and growing aiming next at a break and challenge of 100K.
As soon as 100K is conquered, the Altcoins will go wild.
Which pair is your favorite Altcoin right now?
Let's start Session 5 of Your Top Altcoin Choice.
» Leave a comment with your preferred Altcoin trading pair and I will reply to your comment with a full analysis.
» We will do one pair per user/commentator.
Feel free to ask any questions.
Bitcoin is bullish now and set to grow long-term. The next All-Time High can happen around $160,000 just as it can be $180,000 or $250,000. Patience is key.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC - Liquidity Mapping to Predict MovementAs a part II to my previous post on “Bull Market OR Bearish Retest?” - Here is a 2 day liquidity map on BTC’s chart.
I’m anticipating a sharp drop to 7,000 - why is this number significant?
There is a mass amount of liquidity in the chart down towards 7,000-10,000.
This liquidity is in the form of long stop loss orders.
In layman’s terms - the sell orders required to take price to this extreme low are already within the chart. It is a pre-set consequence to traders decisions in a market dominated by leveraged buys and sells.
If we consider what the “floor” price of BTC is (IE all long term secured holders) - we first have to seperate out the leveraging liquidity used in the futures market.
How much of the BTC market cap is injected liquidity from futures / derivatives? In my view, anything above 7,000.
This liquidity can flow in and out, and the business and function behind it isn’t affected. This liquidity is extremely fluid. It can drop 90,000 and rise 90,000 shortly after without any affect on the fundamental value of Bitcoin.
Sure there is a psychological consequence with perceived value and market stability - but the fact is, leveraged liquidity can enter the market and leave the market with no impact at all on the wallets of market makers.
Food for thought - happy trading.
Bitcoin going upHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin consolidated and went up on Wednesday. This could be wave 4 (grey) and price is now in wave 5.
Price came into a Daily bullish FVG so now we could see more upside again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish, an impulse wave up and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave