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BTC Ready for a Big Move? Harmonic Pattern + Resistance BreakoutTechnical Breakdown: #BTC is forming a harmonic pattern on the 30-minute time frame, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Bullish divergence is developing, which strengthens the case for an upward move. The key resistance level is acting as a barrier. A break and close above this level will confirm a bullish breakout. Trading Plan: 🔹 Wait for bullish divergence confirmation. 🔹 Monitor the breakout of resistance. 🔹 If a candle closes above resistance, enter a long position with proper risk management. 🔹 Target levels: 93700 🔹 Stop-loss below recent lows for a safe risk-reward ratio. What do you think? Will #BTC break out or get rejected? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Follow for more real-time trade ideas, setups, and market insights!
Long
by mudusir
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis.📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT After the correction in the cryptocurrency market, a rebound occurred following Donald Trump's post about including not only Bitcoin but also altcoins in the U.S. national reserve. During this rebound, Bitcoin's price retested the key $95,000 level from below—a level that previously served as strong support but has now turned into resistance. However, buyers have not yet gained enough strength to break through it. The main reason for the current decline is the final approval of tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico, and China. If the correction continues and sellers manage to push through the $78,000 support level, we expect a further decline toward the 0.78 Fibonacci level and a retest of the support trendline in the $70,000–$75,000 range. Within the Imbalance 1W zone at $70,000–$73,000, there are significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations. For BTC to resume its upward trend, the price needs to reclaim the 200 EMA and consolidate above the $95,000 resistance level. In this case, we expect further growth, with a retest of the psychological $100,000 level, a major resistance block at $105,000–$110,000, and a potential new all-time high. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. On the daily logarithmic chart, Bitcoin’s price has fallen back below the 200-day moving average. As a result, a candlestick pattern of bearish engulfing of the last upward move has formed. If the daily candle closes below the 200 EMA, this would indicate a continuation of the correction and a potential retest of the global support trendline. During Bitcoin’s rapid rally in November 2024, an Imbalance 1W zone formed in the $70,000–$75,000 range, featuring significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations. This zone aligns with the 0.61–0.78 Fibonacci retracement levels. Once the correction is complete, Bitcoin’s next growth target could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. A test of this trendline may occur around $120,000, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme fear zone - 15. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped to $2.71 billion, and the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 61.39. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand zone: 70,000 - 80,000 🔴 Supply zone: 100,000 - 120,000 Levels for long positions: 78,000 - large support block 72,000 - downward trend line of support 70,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 100,000 - psychological resistance level 105,000 - large resistance block 110,000 - largest resistance block 120,000 - upward trend line of resistance 📊 Fundamental analysis The stock and crypto markets experienced a sharp decline after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian and Mexican goods. Yesterday, Trump officially approved new trade tariffs for Canada, Mexico, and China, causing another wave of sell-offs in the U.S. stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both fell by approximately 2% during the day. However, on March 2, 2025, a post appeared on TruthSocial, where Trump revealed details about the formation of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve. According to him, the initiative will not be limited to BTC but will also include several altcoins: ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA. Experts anticipate that additional assets, such as LINK, ONDO, and Litecoin (LTC), may be added in the future. The administration plans to freeze the acquired cryptocurrencies for 20 years. Supporters of this initiative argue that over this period, Bitcoin’s price appreciation could help the U.S. pay off its national debt. Additionally, the White House is preparing to host its first major cryptocurrency summit on March 7, bringing together industry giants and political figures from Trump’s administration. However, critics argue that including altcoins in the crypto reserve raises concerns about potential insider trading by U.S. authorities. Moreover, there are currently not enough votes in Congress to pass these controversial laws. Bitcoin’s further growth will also depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy and U.S. regulatory decisions. If the government adopts a crypto-friendly stance, BTC’s price could rise. Otherwise, regulatory resistance may lead to a correction. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 7.03, 16:30 - US Cryptocurrency Summit at the White House. ➤ 07.03, 16:30 - U.S. Unemployment Rate (Jan). ➤ 10.03-14.03 - Senate Banking Committee to Vote on Stablecoin Bill. ➤ 12.03, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI). ➤ 19.03, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. ➤ 21.03 - SEC to hold first of five roundtables on cryptocurrency issues. 🚀 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: 📈 In February 2025, the price of Bitcoin was in a sideways movement for a long time, then a sharp correction began. Our trading indicator gave 5 signals with the most profitable entry points and minimal risk. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals became profitable, and the built-in anti-flat protection prevented losses from manipulative market movements. - Total price movement for all signals for the month: + 35.92% - Maximum price movement for one signal: + 17.89% - Average price movement for signals: + 7.18% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
At this rate btc is showing diminishing returns next bull run This chart appears to show Bitcoin's historical price action with a curved trendline that suggests a possible logarithmic growth curve. The price is currently approaching the curve, which might indicate a potential resistance level. If this plays out btc in the future could show diminishing returns What we need to see is btc to break higher and for this not to be the top to relax the curve and allow room for another bull run to exceed its top this year
by hazzac01
BOTH UPCOMING CONSEQUENCES OF BTCUSD *Bitcoin Price Updates Bitcoin's price has plummeted over 15% this week, breaking below the $80,000 mark. This significant decline is attributed to several factors: - *Bybit Hack*: A massive hack on the Bybit cryptocurrency exchange resulted in a loss of $1.4 billion, eroding market confidence. - *US Tariffs*: US President Donald Trump's announcement of tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and the European Union has added to the market's uncertainty. - *Weak Institutional Demand*: US Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded a net outflow of $2.48 billion, indicating a decline in institutional investor interest. The combination of these factors has led to a sharp decline in Bitcoin's price, with many investors opting to sell their holdings. The market's sentiment has turned bearish, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index hitting a three-year low. *Consequences of Buying BTC/USD* If you buy BTC/USD now: - *Potential for Rebound*: Bitcoin's price might rebound if investors start buying again, driven by the perception that the price has fallen too low. - *Increased Volatility*: Buying now could lead to increased volatility, as the market is highly sensitive to news and events. - *Higher Risk*: Buying at this point increases your risk exposure, as the market sentiment is bearish. *Consequences of Selling BTC/USD* If you sell BTC/USD now: - *Locking in Losses*: Selling now would mean locking in your losses, as the price has already fallen significantly. - *Missing a Potential Rebound*: If the price rebounds, you might miss out on potential gains. - *Reducing Risk*: Selling now would reduce your risk exposure, as you would no longer be holding a depreciating asset. Keep best wishes to Travis
by Expert_Travis
BTC CRAZY MOVEMENT This is by far the craziest price action that I have ever experienced during 4 years of trading in Crypto currency. The positive sentiment just dropped last night, right after US President Trump, announced that they will make crypto reserves (SOL, ADA, XRP). . 20 hours later, the price dropped significantly, 9% less than a day, for BTC. Followed by many dropping alt coin. This shii WILD. . The next question is, What will happen next? Nobody knows, keep monitoring the data during this critical time, especially since now is during US time. Trade Responsibly n Carefully this time XCO
by Eirxco
$BTC - Big players are making their distributionAfter 4 months of growth, BTC sees this week the change in its Monthly Heiken Ashi candle (step line in black). On the vertical volume scale of 20 months, there is no notable strength. I like to use the 3-month simple moving average (yellow line) and the 1-year simple moving average (purple line) to track the trend. I believe it will target the 1-year simple moving average, where there is a high-volume region in the 20-month history (blue highlighted area with 34% of the volume compared in 5 ranges). I do not expect an increase in March, maybe in April if this is a pullback move. If that's the case, 75k-80k is a good entry as long as it doesn't go beyond the 1Y SMA.
by Mordredis
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: $100K or $72K? Key InsightsResistance and Support Levels: An area around $100,000 has been identified as a resistance level. The range of $83,500–$86,000 is viewed as a strong support zone, from which the price has recently bounced back. Ichimoku Indicator: The price has recently entered the Kumo cloud, indicating a highly volatile and uncertain zone. If the price stabilizes above the cloud, further upward movement is possible; however, failure to hold above it increases the likelihood of a retreat toward the support levels. HARSI Indicator (Modified RSI): It has been in the overbought territory and is currently undergoing a correction. The price may experience a slight pullback before reaching a suitable level for re-entry. Comprehensive Analysis of Bitcoin and Dominance (BTC.D) Based on Submitted Charts Bitcoin Daily Chart (BTC/USDT - 1D) ✅ The price has recently rebounded from the support range of approximately $83,500–$86,000, showing strong upward movement. ✅ It has not yet managed to break through the resistance zone of $92,000–$94,000. ✅ The Ichimoku cloud indicates that the price is in an uncertain area, with no clear trend established yet. ✅ The HARSI indicator has exited the oversold region, signaling positive momentum. 📌 Summary: Bitcoin is currently trading within a range. If it stabilizes above $92,000, it could target $97,000–$100,000. However, if the $86,000 support level is lost, a decline toward $75,000–$72,500 becomes probable. Bitcoin Dominance Chart (BTC.D - 1D) ✅ Bitcoin dominance is fluctuating between 60%–61%. ✅ It remains above the Kumo cloud, though its movement has weakened and turned neutral. ✅ A decline in dominance could lead to stronger performance from altcoins, while an increase might fuel a better rally for Bitcoin. 📌 Summary: The dominance trend is not currently bearish, but it also lacks clear bullish strength. If it stabilizes above 63%, the market could shift further toward Bitcoin. Conversely, a drop below 60% would likely bolster altcoin growth. Analysis Considering the Trading Node at $62,000 on the 4-Hour Chart as of October 14, 2024: Given that a trading node remains at $62,000 on the 4-hour chart from October 14, 2024, there’s a possibility the market may revisit that level. Such zones are typically considered Liquidity Voids, which the market tends to fill. 🔹 Bearish Signals Confirming a High Probability of a Decline: ✅ Strong Bearish Candles: Indicating intensified selling pressure. ✅ Technical Signal to Fill the Missed Kumo Zone: Markets often gravitate toward areas with unclaimed liquidity. ✅ $62,000 as a Key Technical Level: It could serve as a magnet for liquidity and potentially trigger a trend reversal. 🔸 Fundamental Factors That Might Prevent a Decline: ✅ White House Conference and Positive Signals: Suggesting potential bullish sentiment. ✅ Likelihood of New Liquidity Entering the Market in the Coming Days: Could bolster price stability or growth. 📌 Conclusion: If selling pressure persists, there’s a chance the $86,000 level will be tested and breached, potentially leading to a deeper correction toward $75,000–$72,500. However, if fundamentals take the upper hand and strong liquidity flows in, we could see a swift price recovery. Overall Conclusion and Proposed Strategy 🔸 Bullish Scenario: Consolidation above $92,000 = Potential rise to $97,000–$100,000. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: Breach of the $86,000 support = Potential drop to $75,000–$72,500. 💡 Proposed Strategy: 1️⃣ If bearish candles close with high volume, look for a short position targeting $75,000–$72,500. 2️⃣ If a strong support reaction is observed near $86,000–$83,500, it could present a buying opportunity. 3️⃣ Keep an eye on fundamental news, as it could alter the trend.
by SamBlue
Bearish Riptide… Utilizing my strategy called Miami Beach from Yo_mrarroyo We are still under the 200 EMA And even with the Beautiful 4H candle from yesterday, I do think we’re headed back down For the moment. I know Trump has a lot going on right now with the Crypto space, But I just think that we’re in a time where investing is not about that he said she said, but waiting and doing your own research. So do I think people are more skeptical now over being in for a quick bag?! Yes, I do. So we can get pulled By the bearish riptide Or wait for the swell And ride the Bullish pipeline!
Short
by mrarroyo2u
BTC IS OVER SOLD. ALT SEASON ETH Looking at your BTC/USDT chart, here’s what I see: 1. BTC is Still in a Strong Uptrend BTC is currently $93,500 and following the yellow parabolic curve. If BTC breaks above resistance and continues up, it could trigger a new wave of FOMO. 2. Stochastic RSI Shows Overbought Conditions The Stoch RSI is still high, meaning BTC is in an extended bullish phase but might need consolidation before a bigger move. If BTC breaks out without cooling down, it could continue higher, delaying altseason. 3. Will This Start Altseason? If BTC Breaks Up Hard: 🚀 Alts may pump later, but initially, liquidity might stay in BTC. BTC dominance may rise, delaying an altseason. If BTC Starts Consolidating Above $100K: 🔥 This is the best scenario for altseason, as investors rotate profits into ETH and other alts. If BTC Corrects Instead: ⛔ Alts could crash harder first before rebounding. Key Levels to Watch for Altseason: BTC $100K-$110K+ consolidation → Bullish for alts BTC dominance dropping → Alts gain strength ETH/BTC ratio rising → Alts could outperform Key Conditions for Altseason: ✅ BTC needs to stay above $100K → Confidence remains high, and investors look for higher-risk opportunities. ✅ BTC Dominance (BTC.D) must drop below 50% → Sign of capital rotating into altcoins. ✅ ETH needs to be above $5K → ETH leading the market often signals altcoins are next. Why These Levels Matter? 1. BTC Over $100K = Market Confidence If BTC crashes, people sell alts first to protect profits. BTC stabilizing above $100K makes investors comfortable taking on more risk. 2. BTC Dominance Below 50% = Altcoin Liquidity If BTC.D is above 55%, Bitcoin absorbs most liquidity. When BTC.D drops below 50%, money flows into ETH and mid-cap alts. 3. ETH Above $5K = Altcoin Strength ETH is the gateway to alts. When ETH rallies above $5K, investors rotate into smaller altcoins. ETH/BTC rising confirms that ETH is outperforming BTC, signaling altcoin season. Bonus Signals to Watch for Full Altseason: 🔥 ETH/BTC ratio > 0.07 (ETH outperforming BTC). 🔥 Memecoins & low caps start exploding (retail FOMO). 🔥 Bitcoin moves sideways or slowly up, not parabolic. As of today, March 3, 2025, here are the latest figures: Bitcoin (BTC) Price: $93,489.00, up 9.62% from the previous close. Ethereum (ETH) Price: $2,372.65, up 8.21% from the previous close. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Approximately 57.95%. Given these metrics, Bitcoin's dominance remains above the 50% threshold, and Ethereum's price is below the $5,000 mark. These conditions suggest that an altseason is not imminent at this time. However, recent developments, such as President Donald Trump's announcement of establishing a U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve, have positively impacted the cryptocurrency market. This initiative aims to position the United States as the "crypto capital of the world," potentially influencing future market dynamics. Monitoring these indicators alongside market developments will be crucial in anticipating the onset of an altseason.
by hazzac01
03/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $96,500 Last weeks low: $78,297.13 Midpoint: $87,398.56 What a week! In my last weekly outlook I proposed the idea that BTC was coiling up for a big move, the question was "which direction will the move be?" Well we got our answer, after, multiple weeks hovering around the $96K level bitcoin sold off a massive 18% to a low of $78.2k. This sell-off broke the weekly support area of $91K after a full 3 months of holding. Now that we answered last weeks question I propose a new one, is $91K now a HTF resistance level? To answer that question a look at the weekly chart, despite such a severe sell-off this is not unusual in a bull market, 25-25% corrections happen multiple times during a large bullish trend. To add to that, the weekly close still managed to be above the $91K mini range floor, in essence a giant SFP on the weekly candle and therefore a continuation high would make sense from a TA point of view. For the bulls the worry would be the inevitable backfilling of the wick on the weekly, for me this comes into play if we have acceptance back below $91K, entirely possible. On Friday 7th March President Trump is holding a Cryptocurrency summit at the white house, this will include David Sacks (crypto & AI czar), Founders, CEOs and members of the digital assets group. This comes off the back of confirmation of the "Crypto Strategic Reserve" that will contain BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP & ADA and was announced yesterday. I do not believe in coincidences so the timing of this is very interesting to me, to announce this on a weekend with very thin orderbooks and low volume after such a big sell-off had to be done on purpose IMO. The timing would guarantee a swift rally, I also believe the sell-off could be related to this announcement too, if a market maker like the US government has the means to create a more optimal entry, they will do just that. I could see the market being very cautious up until Friday, the $91K is a key S/R level and will determine if bitcoin backfills the weekly wick or moves up to weekly high.
by ProR35
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? At the beginning of last week, we broke through the global sideways trend in the downward direction, the minimum for the decline was around $78,300. On Sunday, March 2, US President Donald Trump officially announced the creation of a strategic reserve of cryptocurrencies, and also announced that the first summit on cryptocurrencies will be held on March 7 at the White House. All this provoked explosive growth, and the locally bearish scenario abruptly became irrelevant. At the moment, we’ve broken through several sell zones formed during the decline of bitcoin during the week. After testing the $95,000-$96,700 zone (accumulated volumes), they went into correction. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The key volume zone is $91,600-$88,900. If we consolidate above this zone and break the local maximum of $95,000, we’ll continue the upward movement. Otherwise, a return to lower levels is likely, and then it will take longer to recover. The downtrend has been broken, and even with the most negative scenario and a decline to a local minimum, we expect the resumption of buys through the test of buyer zones. Sell Zones: $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). $97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes). $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes). Buy Zones: $91,600–$88,900 (mirror volume zone, aggressive pushing volumes). $85,000–$83,700 (volume anomalies). $82,400–$79,600 (volume anomalies). $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive pushing volumes). IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic events worth keeping an eye on this week: • Monday, March 3, 10:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for February; • Monday, March 3, 14:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for February; • Wednesday, March 5, 13:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector for February from ADP; • Wednesday, March 5, 14:45 (UTC) - publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for February; • Wednesday, March 5, 15:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non—manufacturing purchasing managers' Index for February from ISM; • Thursday, March 6, 13:15 (UTC) - announcement of the deposit rate in the Eurozone for March, as well as interest rate decisions in the Eurozone; • Thursday, March 6, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Thursday, March 6, 13:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank; • Friday, March 7, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, unemployment rate and changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector for February; • Friday, March 7, 16:00 (UTC) — publication of the Fed's monetary policy report; • Friday, March 7, 17:30 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Also on this day, the first cryptosammit was announced at the White House. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics