BTCUST trade ideas
BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The Trump administration supports adding Bitcoin to strategic reserves, improving regulatory expectations.
Institutions continue increasing positions, with ETF capital inflows and USDT issuance ensuring ample liquidity.
Technical Analysis:
Price is near $104,000, having previously broken above $110,000. A short-term pullback is underway, with $103,000 as support and $108,000 as near-term resistance.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near $103,000–$104,000.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 103000–104000
TP:106000-108000
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Strategy & Education: Trading with Fibonacci and Order Blocks🔍 Trading Strategy Based on Fibonacci Levels and Order Blocks
This chart showcases three consecutive sell trades I executed on the BTCUSDT pair, each resulting in a profitable outcome. The purpose of this explanation is to demonstrate how Fibonacci retracement levels can be combined with Order Block zones to identify high-probability trade setups.
🧩 The Foundation: Understanding Price Retracement Behavior
The ABC, abc, and (a)(b)(c) structures marked on the chart are not Elliott Waves. Instead, these labels are used to represent simple retracement movements in the market. The focus here is not wave theory, but recognizing how price reacts and pulls back after a move, and how we can benefit from these reactions.
📌 Trade 1: Primary Fibo-OB Confluence
I drew a Fibonacci retracement from the A wave to the B wave.
The price then retraced to the C area, landing between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, where an Order Block (OB) was also present.
This overlap created a strong technical and structural resistance zone.
I entered the first sell trade from this confluence.
📌 Trade 2: Internal Retracement and OB Alignment
Inside the first corrective move, a smaller abc pattern formed.
I applied Fibonacci again from small a to small b.
The c leg reached the same key Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.786) and overlapped with a second OB.
This confluence offered a second sell entry.
📌 Trade 3: Micro Structure – Same Logic Reapplied
I repeated the exact same logic one more time on a micro (a)(b)(c) structure.
Fibonacci from (a) to (b), price touched 0.618–0.786, coinciding again with an OB.
This became the third and final sell position.
🧠 The Logic Behind the Strategy:
Price doesn’t move in straight lines—it flows in waves. During pullbacks, if Fibonacci levels align with Order Block zones, the market tends to react strongly. My focus here was to identify these areas of confluence in advance and enter trades at high-probability turning points.
Bitcoin at Critical Support – Can a New All-Time High Follow?
The question on many traders’ minds right now is whether Bitcoin is setting up for a new all-time high. Currently, price action has reverted to a critical support zone ranging from $103,000 to $102,000, which has managed to absorb recent aggressive selling. This zone is significant not only due to its psychological importance but also because it has helped slow downside momentum, allowing price action to consolidate into a smaller time frame range.
This support level aligns with a previous key low established in the low $90,000s, which was a major turning point in the prior leg of the uptrend. That low marked a region of high volume and buyer interest, and it now forms a confluence zone alongside daily timeframe support. These overlapping factors increase the validity of this area as a strong base for a potential reversal.
From a technical perspective, holding this zone is essential if Bitcoin is to maintain its bullish structure and attempt another push higher. If a bounce occurs from current levels, it significantly increases the odds of retesting the all-time high in the coming weeks. The structure would then remain intact, showing a sequence of higher lows and higher highs.
However, if this support range fails to hold, it would likely expose Bitcoin to a much deeper correction, possibly invalidating the current uptrend. While a breakdown hasn’t occurred yet, it’s a scenario worth monitoring closely as it would shift the broader market sentiment and strategy.
In conclusion, $103K–$102K is the battleground, and how Bitcoin behaves around this area will determine the next major move. Bulls must defend this zone to keep the all-time high scenario alive.
btc 4hMy expectation for BTC is a movement like this. The first stage is $97,500-98,000 (needles may come under gold), the second stage is an increase towards the $113,500-115,000 range. The last stage is a decrease towards the $89,000-88,000 range.Since it is a 3-stage movement, it may take more than a few weeks.
Taming the Trend: Mastering the Williams Alligator IndicatorEver wondered how to spot when the market is sleeping or ready to roar? At Xuantify , we use the Williams Alligator Indicator to decode market behavior with precision. Whether you're trading crypto, forex, stocks, or indices — this tool adapts across all markets. Let's take a closer look using BINANCE:BTCUSDT
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We treat the Alligator as a trend confirmation and timing tool . We don’t just look for crossovers — we analyze the distance , angle , and alignment of the lines to gauge market momentum and trend maturity. It’s especially powerful when combined with volume and volatility filters.
⭐ Key Features
Three Smoothed Moving Averages
Jaw (Blue) : 13-period, shifted 8 bars forward
Teeth (Red) : 8-period, shifted 5 bars forward
Lips (Green) : 5-period, shifted 3 bars forward
Visual Trend Clarity :
The spacing and direction of the lines reveal trend strength and direction
Built-in Delay :
Forward shifting helps anticipate rather than react
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
Trend Clarity
Alligator : Strong — bold trend visualization
Moving Averages : Moderate — can lag or overlap
MACD : Good — clear histogram and signal line
Noise Filtering
Alligator : Excellent — smooths out market noise
Moving Averages : Low — sensitive to short-term fluctuations
MACD : Good — filters minor moves
Early Signals
Alligator : Moderate — waits for confirmation
Moving Averages : Fast — quick crossovers
MACD : Fast — early divergence signals
Visual Simplicity
Alligator : Clear — easy to interpret trend phases
Moving Averages : Cluttered — multiple lines can overlap
MACD : Complex — requires interpretation of histogram + lines
⚙️ Settings That Matter
For shorter timeframes : Reduce periods (e.g., 8-5-3) for faster signals
For longer timeframes : Stick with defaults or increase smoothing for clarity
Shift values : Keep them forward-shifted to maintain predictive edge
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
Wait for clear separation between the lines
Confirm with volume spikes or breakouts
Use price action (e.g., higher highs/lows) as confirmation
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
Fractals : For entry/exit signals
ATR : For dynamic stop-loss placement
RSI or Stochastic : To avoid overbought/oversold traps
Volume Profile : To validate breakout zones
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Flat Alligator = No Trade Zone : Avoid trading when lines are tangled
Lag in Fast Markets : In high-volatility assets, the Alligator may react late
Over-reliance : Always combine with other tools for confirmation
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Williams Alligator isn’t just an indicator — it’s a market behavior model . At Xuantify, we use it to stay aligned with the market’s rhythm, avoid chop, and ride trends with confidence.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
Bitcoin - Summer predictionMARKETSCOM:BITCOIN :
Based on global liquidity and an inverted DXY, we should see a strong move soon — potentially pushing us toward $130K+ by late June to mid-July, where we should set a local top.
After that, we’ll likely enter a chop phase, though it's unclear how long it will last but likely throughout the entire Q3
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 :
Should start pumping as soon as BTC does — and likely follow along until Bitcoin finally sees a price correction.
⛔ Remember:
We can't know the exact top on CRYPTOCAP:BTC or $TOTAL3.
That’s why everyone needs a clear plan — when, where, and how much profit to take.
This is my plan for the summer. I believe we’ll see the all-time high in MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN — as well as in altcoins — in Q4.
That’s why I’ll only be taking modest profits on my altcoin positions for now.
LFG
BTC isn’t bearish. It’s just collecting fuelPrice didn’t fail — it paused.
BTC retraced into the 0.382–0.5 zone after rejecting from the local high, and what looks like weakness to most is actually compression — perfectly staged above a clean 1D OB and nested FVG.
Below the current level sits the real opportunity: the imbalance between 102.4K–100.1K, backed by a 1D demand zone and high-volume support. If Smart Money wants to rebalance before the next leg, that’s where they’ll do it.
The path is simple:
Sweep into the 100.5K–102.4K zone
React off the OB
Expand to rebalance the FVG at 106.2K
Displace toward the next draw: 110.5K (final inefficiency + liquidity shelf)
Only a close below 96.9K changes the macro intent.
Execution mindset:
🔑 Optimal long: 100.5K–102.4K (OB/FVG zone)
🎯 Target 1: 106.2K
🎯 Target 2: 110.5K
❌ Invalidation: Full body close below 96.9K — structure must reset
Most traders chase the move.
I wait where Smart Money needs to act.
I’m not reacting. I’m positioned.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youFrom the historical price trend of Bitcoin, although its price fluctuates violently, it generally shows a long-term upward trend. Despite a recent correction, it previously broke through $110,000, reaching an all-time high. Such a sharp price increase indicates strong bullish momentum in the market and growing market recognition of Bitcoin. Price corrections often present new entry opportunities, similar to how the tide recedes before rising again. During corrections, profit-taking and panic selling by some investors cause temporary price declines, but this also offers new investors relatively lower buying prices. When market sentiment stabilizes and bullish momentum gathers again, prices are expected to launch a new upward trend.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@103000~104000
SL:101000
TP:105000~107000
BITCOIN → Correction or trend reversal? Why is 101K important?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is exiting the upward channel after a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). Liquidation?
Quite an interesting situation with James Wynn. As they say, money loves silence, especially when it comes to a highly manipulated market... A week after the whale's actions, Trump decided to play the market again by creating emotional swings: he announced tariffs on the EU, canceled them, then made claims against China and is now ready to reintroduce tariffs on the EU. Things didn't end well with James... Liquidation before the rally?
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin is making a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K. The phase and nature of the market are changing, the price is falling, breaking the structural support of 106500. The main question is where the stop and recovery will be. And will there be one...
After exiting consolidation and the upward channel, the price within the distribution is moving towards liquidity and the order block. I would not rush to say that this is a change in the global trend; the current data fits the “correction” format.
Support levels: 102000, 101400
Resistance levels: 106700, 108800
102-100K is a fairly important zone for the market; a breakout in this area could open the way to a (local) bottom. Bulls may not be able to hold the market, in which case a global sell-off could form. Therefore, I believe that retesting the 102000 level will end with a liquidity grab and a correction along the trend, during which the price may test the 106K - 108K level, which will determine the future of the market: consolidation, growth, or decline...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC Breakdown Confirmed – Time to Buy the Dip or Bail Out? 📉 Bitcoin has officially broken out of its bullish channel.
We are no longer in an uptrend – the structure now signals a **downtrend or sideways consolidation**.
🟢 My Buy Entry Zones:
- First Buy: $104,306
- Second Buy: $98,111
- Third Buy: $93,672
- Last Buy: $89,061
🎯 Target Shorts are marked on the chart – short-term resistance zones.
🚨 Final Stop Loss (Buy Setup): $74,189
I’m dollar-cost averaging into these zones with strong risk management.
Do you think BTC will bounce before $90K?
👇 Drop your thoughts and like if you're buying the dip!
BITCOIN READY TO EXPLODE – OR REJECT? Key Levels You Can’t Ignoby @TradeWithMky – where altcoins speak louder than Bitcoin!
📊 Weekly BTC/USDT Outlook – The chart says it all:
We just tapped ATH resistance and printed a red candle at a critical level.
Is this a bullish retest or a dead-cat bounce before major correction?
🟢 Key Buy Levels:
First Entry: $104,510 ✅
Second Entry: $103,702
Third Entry: $98,385
Fourth Entry: $93,529 & $89,137
🛑 Stop Loss: $78,516
🔍 Support Zone: Still strong.
📈 Fibo Targets:
0.618 → $112,180
1.0 → $135,441
1.618 → $172,928 (next blow-off top?)
💥 Expect major volatility in the coming weeks.
If this setup plays out, we might witness a legendary breakout. Stay sharp!
—
🔁 Like & Repost if you caught this move early!
💬 Drop your thoughts below – bull trap or launchpad?
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #Altseason #TradeWithMky #PricePrediction #CryptoBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #FibLevels
BTC is presenting a HIGH probability long around 102.6 -102.8K -BTC is presenting a HIGH probability long around 102.6 -102.8K
- We have a 2 Bullish order block cluster (30m + 1H)
- May Mid range, this means 0.50 Fibonacci montly level
- Monday low level
- 4H 200 EMA
- 8H 100 EMA
Clear invalidation
TP expectations: above 106K
Bitcoin Mixed: Below Resistance, Above Support (Altcoins Update)I hope you are having a good Saturday and weekend my dear friend, I have a quick update on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market today. Good news and bad news.
Let's start with the good news.
The Altcoins are producing a higher low and bullish. This means that we will continue to see growth as expected. The market went through a shakeout, nothing more.
On the Bitcoin side, we have the bad news which is not that bad.
The action is happening above support (grey dashed line on the chart) but below local resistance. The market just went through a major shakeout. I shall explain.
People got greedy and ended up putting too much leverage on their positions, when this happens, the market needs to balance things out because it cannot grow in this way long-term. And thus the shakeout. 1 billion dollars worth of LONGs were liquidated.
The good news is that once this process is over, the market can resume with its usual cycle but...
The situation is tricky now but I can tell you exactly what will happen. Bitcoin will consolidate before additional growth. While Bitcoin consolidates, the Altcoins will move up. Plan and simple.
What happens next with Bitcoin, down or up?
As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000-$102,000 weekly/monthly the chart and market bias is considered ultra-bullish . This means that Bitcoin is ultra-bullish right now.
If the action moves and closes weekly below 100K, nothing happens. A simple retrace that ends in a higher low followed by additional growth.
The market is bullish now and will continue bullish.
The Altcoins are a good buy and this recent flush gives an opportunity for those that missed early prices.
Market conditions remain the same. We are bullish and set to grow long-term.
We are 100% bullish on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market.
Namaste.
Macro Noise vs Micro Truth: The Art of Hidden DivergencesThis analysis explores the often-overlooked world of hidden RSI divergences — not just on the macro scale, but candle by candle, within the microstructure of price. By comparing price action and indicator behavior over a sequence of three candles, this method reveals early signs of trend continuation or exhaustion. The aim is to guide observant traders toward seeing what the majority miss: subtle shifts in momentum before they become obvious. This approach is for those ready to move beyond surface-level signals and into the deeper logic of market structure.
Although many market insiders and major media platforms constantly talk about big moves — whether in forex, stocks, or crypto — only a small percentage of retail traders truly understand market structure, even at a basic level.
These educated traders form part of the elite. They don’t follow the noise — they follow the moves of big players: institutions, whales, and corporations. These big players often manipulate price to trap the unaware — those who blindly trust headlines and media hype.
This is a game of ups and downs. And if you don’t learn the rules, the game will punish you.
Numbers never lie. And for a skilled trader, numbers become signals — and those signals lead to confident decisions.
Now, these “numbers” can take many forms. One of the most common is through technical indicators — leading or lagging tools that help us read price. Among the most popular and basic tools is the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
In this post, we’re going to dive deep — not just into what everyone’s talking about (macro divergences), but also into the hidden, strong, and subtle divergences that appear on a micro scale, candle by candle.
This approach is what the elite traders use. They track early signs of potential reversals or continuations — long before the herd reacts.
In the screenshot above, we’re looking at a portion of the Bitcoin chart up to today. I’ve highlighted three macro-scale divergences that may be familiar to experienced traders.
But if you're new, let me break it down:
• On the left side of the BTC chart, you'll notice a light blue trend-line (no1) sloping upward.
• Now look at the RSI below — the same trend-line is sloping downward.
What does this mean? Price is climbing, but RSI is losing strength.
That’s called a bearish divergence and it leads to a reversal. In simple terms, it’s a disagreement between price and momentum — and that’s often a sign of imbalance in the market.
Now lets dive deep into the other kind of divergences. Hidden, strong, and subtle divergences. Here’s what you need to know:
PA - Price Action
HH – Higher High
HL – Higher Low
LH – Lower High
LL – Lower Low
STRONG Bullish Divergence:
PA = LL, RSI = HL - This indicates that while the price is weakening, the downward momentum is slowing, which could signal a potential reversal to the upside.
STRONG Bearish Divergence:
PA = HH, RSI = LH. This indicates that while the price is rising, the upward momentum is weakening, which could signal a potential reversal to the downside.
HIDDEN Bullish Div: PA = HL, RSI = LL // Indicates strengthening bullish momentum, supporting the existing uptrend. They can be found only within a confirmed uptrend. Never at a bottom. Uptrend continuation.
HIDDEN Bearish Div: PA = LH, RSI = HH // Indicates strengthening bearish momentum, supporting the existing downtrend. They can be found only within a confirmed downtrend. Never at a top. Downtrend continuation.
SUBTLE Divergences is simply the loss of momentum when PA reaches a level, whether bearish or bullish, but our momentum oscillator (RSI) fails to follow the actual momentum of the price. This isn’t a textbook divergence (yet), because: Price made a higher high (for example), and RSI also made a higher high, just a very weak one.
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A hidden Bullish Divergence occurs when price makes a higher low (HL) while RSI forms a lower low (LL). This signals strengthening bullish momentum and typically supports a continuation of an existing uptrend. It's important to note: hidden bullish divergences do not appear at bottoms — they only occur within confirmed up-trends.
If you look closely at the BTC chart in the screenshot above — specifically on 28/11/2024 — you’ll notice a bearish candle forming a new higher low (HL). At the same time, the RSI prints a lower low (LL).
By analyzing each candlestick’s highs and lows and comparing them with the previous two candles (so, a group of three), you can clearly track divergence signals on the micro scale — step by step.
The key lies in understanding how swing highs and swing lows are formed. A trader who truly grasps this can easily apply it — candle by candle — to identify hidden bullish or bearish divergences, strong reversals, or signs of continuation. It’s all about reading structure in motion, not waiting for indicators to tell the full story.
So now you’ve seen just a glimpse of what most traders overlook.
What’s hidden in plain sight isn’t just the macro divergences everyone talks about... it’s the micro signals — candle by candle, low by low — that reveal the real intention behind the moves.
But here’s the thing:
The real edge isn’t about indicators.
It’s about knowing how to read price action like a language, and interpreting strength or weakness through simple structures.
I’m not here to reveal every step.
Because those who truly want to see... will know what they’re looking at.
And for those who feel there’s more to this —
Well, they’ll know how to reach me.
Ethereum ($ETH) Poised for a Trend Reversal?When zooming out on the chart, a minor correction remains possible. However, if support at $2,400 holds, CRYPTOCAP:ETH could continue in an ascending channel. Buyer strength is currently weak, but a short-term correction could strengthen and improve the buying trend
Check support: Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new month begins.
The OBV indicator is currently rising again near the High Line.
We need to see if it can continue to rise by breaking above the High Line.
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
If it declines with strong trading volume, there is a possibility of a decline near the StochRSI 20 point of 97209.25.
Therefore, we need to respond depending on whether there is support in the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
The most important support and resistance area on the current 1M chart is 69000-73499.86.
-
(1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Accordingly, the possibility of a short-term downtrend is increasing.
However, as mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can rise with support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85) section.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 97226.92.
-
The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6.
Accordingly, the current trend is likely to be maintained until the next volatility period.
In order to turn into an upward trend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and maintain it.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the point of 108316.90, it is highly likely that the uptrend will begin only when it rises above this point.
Therefore, we need to check if it rises above 108316.90 and receives support.
-
In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it receives support from the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend, and if it receives resistance from the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
Therefore, in order to establish a buying strategy, we need to meet the HA-Low indicator.
In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created as the price falls, it is important to see whether there is support near it.
-
If it falls below the dotted line indicated on the OBV indicator, it will fall below the previous High Line, so there is a possibility that it will lead to an additional decline.
In particular, if it falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to fall.
However, since the channel of High Line ~ Low Line is still showing an upward trend, I think the overall movement is still maintaining an upward trend.
In order for the channel of High Line ~ Low Line to turn downward, it must fall to the area indicated by the arrow.
-
To summarize the above,
- Check for support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85) section
- The start of the uptrend is when the price rises above 108316.90 and maintains it
- Check for support near 97226.92 in the event of a further decline
- If the HA-Low indicator is newly generated in the event of a further decline, focus on finding the time to buy based on whether there is support near that area
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin Monthly Outlook – Long-Term PerspectiveBitcoin Monthly Outlook – Long-Term Perspective
Regardless of the daily fundamental noise—ranging from institutional interest to global policy shifts—technical analysis also supports the possibility of further growth in Bitcoin over the long term.
Currently, Bitcoin remains in its primary bullish trend and is still moving within a rising channel structure.
Even if a pullback occurs toward the $39,000 level, the overall trend structure would remain intact, and the risk-to-reward ratio could still be considered favorable (approximately 4:1 in this context).
Of course, the market is driven by probabilities, and deeper corrections are always possible. However, both positive news and technical structure continue to signal a potential continuation of the upward movement.
📌 Based on this structure, key long-term support levels to watch are:
$70.000
$50,000
$40,000
📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
📝 Follow for updates and long-term crypto insights.
BTC/USDT: Correction to H1 Demand Zone? Multi-Timeframe Strategy🔹 H1 Context (Bullish):
- Demand zone (green) below Fib 0.5: Key support.
- Breakout (BOS) suggests bullish continuation *after possible correction*.
🔹 M5/M15 Situation (Short-Term):
- Price rejecting red zones (immediate resistance).
- Scenario 1 (Bearish):
→ If price respects red zones: Correction toward H1 demand ($103K).
→ Action: Short trades in M5/M15 targeting green zone.
- Scenario 2 (Bullish):
→ If red zones break: Confirmation of strength (new highs target).
🔹 Risk Management:
- Short entries: Rejection at M5/M15 red zones + M1 confirmation.
- TP: M15 lows ($103.5K) or H1 demand zone ($103K).
- SL: Close above red zones.
🔹 Technical Key:
- H2 Order Block as dynamic support: If respected, prevents drop to H1.
- Confluence: H1 demand + Fib 0.5 = High-probability area.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto #H1 #M15 #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci