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BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory. The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase. We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels. This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view. 🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
Long
by Zky17
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential. 🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence 4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest. 1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone). 1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K. ⚠️ Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume 📌 Idea Summary Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows clean ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential. 🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence 4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest. 1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone). 1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K. ⚠️ Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume 📌 Idea Summary Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTCUSDT SHORT SIGNAL Setup Type: Liquidity Trap & Distribution Trade Idea (SHORT): Entry Zone: $108,000 – $110000 Stop Loss: Above $113000 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $104,000 TP2: $100,000 TP3: 98000 TP4: 74000 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management. Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your decisions. Use this information as a guide — not a guaranteed outcome. Wait for clear confirmation before executing any trade.
Short
by Saham009
1
Bitcoin Weekly & $120,000This weekly Bitcoin chart says it all... Please, allow me to reveal to you what the future holds! Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day. Only one week ever produced a higher close than the current price. Only once, 19-May, Bitcoin managed to close above $107,000... What happens if Bitcoin closes above $107,000? New all-time high confirmed. Two days remain for the week to close and we—the bulls—only need to maintain a price of $107,000 or higher to send such a strong bullish signal that everybody will come out and start buying. The next target on this timeframe is $120,000. Bitcoin is using EMA13 as support. This level was tested and holds, the same for EMA8. When Bitcoin moved above these levels in April, it produced an advance from $83,000 to $112,000, more than 33%. The price now is $107,000 but instead of recovering from below EMA8/13, BTCUSDT is trading above; this means that the bullish bias is fully confirmed. The weekly timeframe looks great. We can expect higher prices soon, with growth happening for an extended period of time. Bitcoin is very strong now and this is only the start. I will continue to share proof that shows the entire Cryptocurrency market going up. Thank you for reading. Leave a comment with your questions. Thanks a lot for your support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
9
Analyzing the new month, new week, new day Hello, traders. If you "follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) A new month begins in one day. The key is whether it can hold the price by rising above 109588.0. If not, there is a possibility that it will fall below the 94172.00 StochRSI 50 indicator point that the arrow is pointing to. We need to see if it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0). Since the current low-point trend line is not complete, it is not surprising that it can show a downward trend at any time. However, if it rises above 109588.0 and maintains the price, it is expected that there will be an attempt to rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92). I think it is likely to be the last target of the target bull market in 2025. - (1W chart) It is a period of volatility around the week including June 23. That is, from June 16 to July 6 is the volatility period. The key is whether it can rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43) during this volatility period. Even if it fails to rise, if the price maintains above 104463.99, it is expected to show an upward trend around the next volatility period. The next volatility period on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of August 18. - When it falls below 104463.99, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is newly generated. If not, it is important to check whether there is support around the current HA-High indicator point of 99705.62. Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 99705.62, its importance can be said to be high. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart. - (1D chart) The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 on the 1D chart. If it fails to rise, 1st: 104463.99 2nd: 99705.62 You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, 1st: 89294.25 2nd: M-Signal of the 1M chart There is a possibility that it will fall near the 1st and 2nd above. ----------------------------------------- (1W chart) The chart above is a trend line chart drawn on the 1W chart. It looks complicated, but what's important to look at is the correlation between the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line. That is, even if the price rises above 109.588.0, if it doesn't rise above the high-point trend line, it is likely to fall near the low-point trend line. Fortunately, since it is forming an upward channel, it is expected that the price will eventually rise even if it falls. - (1D chart) Unlike the trend line on the 1W chart, the high-point trend line on the 1D chart forms a downward trend line. Accordingly, the period around July 7, when the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line intersect, can be considered an important period of volatility. However, the volatility period starts around July 2nd and is expected to end around July 10th. ---------------------------------------------- As shown above, many lines were drawn to analyze the chart. I have roughly explained which of the lines drawn in this way should be prioritized. Since chart analysis is for creating a trading strategy, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are ultimately the most important. Therefore, it is most important to check how the support and resistance points were created and find the reason for them. Other analyses are only additional elements. As I always say, chart analysis that does not show support and resistance points is only an analysis chart that can be used for trading. You cannot trade with such analysis charts. Also, if support and resistance points are shown, you should check the basis for setting the support and resistance points. In order to serve as a support and resistance point, there must be a basis. When you cannot confirm the basis for the support and resistance point, it is important to ask questions and find out the basis. Fibonacci ratios are not suitable for actual trading. However, when the ATH or ATL is updated, it is valuable enough for analysis. Other than that, there must be support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back! This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning… This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay. This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant. In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry. CHEERS
Short
by splitmyIVandmelt
1
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraToday’s idea: I’m expecting a retracement to the 107,867 level as a pullback to the recent impulse. The move we observed earlier aligns with my prediction from last Friday — liquidity was taken out above the highs, and now I anticipate a deeper correction against the overall bullish move. My main scenario for the day is a move down into the 106,400 area at minimum, targeting the liquidity below. Ideally, I’d like to see a push to 107,870 first, as that would provide the best entry for a short setup. I’m willing to open a short in that scenario, but it’s important to remember the higher timeframe trend remains bullish, so any short should be approached with caution. Key levels: Retracement target: 107,867 Main downside target: 106,400 Cautious shorting only — trend still bullish overall Let’s see how the price develops. Will update if conditions change. #BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
Short
by Riscora
5
BTCUSDT Market Outlook (Daily Chart)BTC’s failure to rally into a new all-time high (ATH) from the June 5th low can be attributed to the fact that price wasn't coming from a true discount zone. Similarly, key correlated assets like ETH and SOL also hadn’t reached their respective discount levels at that point. This misalignment created an unbalanced market structure, which necessitated a corrective move to realign broader market pricing. Now that both ETH and SOL have tapped into their discount zones and shown signs of recovery, the conditions are more technically sound to project a potential ATH for BTC in the coming weeks or month. However, on a broader scale, this current rally could serve as a liquidity trap — drawing buyers into a high before distribution. As for now, any sudden price drop should be seen as a potential buying opportunity into the anticipated new ATH. But caution remains key — any strong sell signal or reversal confirmation near the ATH zone could trigger a significant selloff as sellers regain control.
Long
by Dolf_1x
PSYCHOLOGY OF A CRYPTO CYCLEWe expected a pullback, and now thats behind us!😅 The market is back on track, and we are firmly in the #Belief phase of the bull cycle. With heavy short liquidity stacked around $110K, a push into that zone could trigger a short squeeze, launching us into the #Thrill phase. And if momentum holds, all signs point to #Euphoria by late 2025. Favorites so far this cycle: 🥑 POLONIEX:GUACUSDT 🔗 POLONIEX:LLUSDT 🎮 KUCOIN:MYRIAUSDT 🌐 HTX:SYNTUSDT 🧪 MEXC:DEAIUSDT 🏠 OKX:PRCLUSDT 🧱 MEXC:YBRUSDT ⛏️ MEXC:KLSUSDT 🧩 $RUJIUSDT Comment below your favorite coins!
Long
by arcone
2
Analysis of Bitcoin Market StrategyTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) Contracts: In terms of today's market, the daily chart of the large cycle closed with a small bullish candle yesterday. The K-line pattern shows consecutive upward movements, with the price above the moving averages. The attached indicators are in a golden cross, indicating an obvious upward trend in the long term. However, the current upward momentum and sustainability are relatively weak. Therefore, it is recommended to maintain short-term trading and strictly control risks. In the short-term hourly chart, the overall price has been consolidating at high levels. The current K-line pattern is in consecutive bullish candles, with the price above the moving averages, and the attached indicators are in a golden cross. Therefore, an upward movement is highly probable today, with the support level near the 106,300 area. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@106300-106500 TP:108000-108500
Long
by MyronWilson
Example of how to draw a trend line using the StochRSI indicator Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- We use the StochRSI indicator to draw a trend line. We draw a trend line by connecting the peaks of the StochRSI indicator, i.e. the K line, when they are created in the overbought area or when they are created in the overbought area. That is, when the K line of the StochRSI indicator forms a peak in the overbought area, the trend line is drawn by connecting the Open values ​​of the falling candles. If the candle corresponding to the peak of the StochRSI indicator is a rising candle, move to the right and use the Open value of the first falling candle. When drawing the first trend line, draw it from the latest candle. Since the third trend line indicates a new trend, do not draw anything after the third trend line. The currently drawn trend line corresponds to the high-point trend line. - Therefore, you should also draw the low-point trend line. The low-point trend line is drawn by connecting the K line of the StochRSI indicator when the top is formed in the oversold zone. The low-point trend line uses the low value of the candle when the K line of the StochRSI indicator forms the top in the oversold zone. That is, it doesn't matter whether the candle is a bearish candle or a bullish candle. The drawing method is the same as when drawing the high-point trend line, drawing from the latest candle. The top of the best K line of the StochRSI indicator was not formed within the oversold zone. (The top is indicated by the section marked with a circle.) Since the trend line was not formed, the principle is not to draw it. If you want to draw it and see it, it is better to display it differently from the existing trend line so that it is intuitively different from the existing trend line. - The chart below is a chart that displays the trend line drawn separately above as a whole. It is also good to distinguish which trend line it is by changing the color of the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line. The chart below is a chart that distinguishes the high-point trend line in blue (#5b9cf6) and the low-point trend line in light green (#00ff00). The low-point trend line is a line drawn when the trend has changed, so it does not have much meaning, but it still provides good information for calculating the volatility period. - To calculate the volatility period, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required. However, since I am currently explaining how to draw a trend line, it is only drawn on the 1M chart. - I use the indicators used in my chart to indicate support and resistance points. That is, I use the DOM(60), DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and OBV indicators to indicate support and resistance points. Since the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators are not displayed on the 1M chart, I have shown the 1W chart as an example. The indicators displayed up to the current candle correspond to the main support and resistance points. Although it is not displayed up to the current candle, the point where the horizontal line is long is drawn as the sub-support and resistance point. It is recommended to mark them separately to distinguish the main support and resistance point and the sub-support and resistance point. The trend line drawn in this way and the support and resistance points are correlated on the 1D chart and the volatility period is calculated. (For example, it was drawn on the 1M chart.) The sections marked as circles are the points that serve as the basis for calculating the volatility period. That is, - The point where multiple trend lines intersect - The point where the trend line and the support and resistance points intersect Select the point that satisfies the above cases at the same time to display the volatility period. When the point of calculating the volatility period is ambiguous, move to the left and select the first candle. This is because it is meaningless to display it after the volatility period has passed. If possible, the more points that are satisfied at the same time, the stronger the volatility period. If the K-line peak of the StochRSI indicator is formed outside the overbought or oversold zone, it is better to exclude it when calculating the volatility period. - The chart below is a chart drawn on a 1D chart by summarizing the above contents. The reason why there are so many lines is because of this reason. For those who are not familiar with my charts, I have been simplifying the charts as much as possible these days. However, when explaining, I have shown all the indicators to help you understand the explanation. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto