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BTC - What's next BTC Update – March 28, 2025 Quick update on where BTC is at and what I’m watching next. We finally broke out of that daily downtrend — nice little shift in structure. Price is chilling around $85K right now, sitting just below that FWB:88K –$90K resistance, which is still a pretty strong zone to crack. Key Levels I’m Watching: 🔴 Major Resistance: FWB:88K –$90K – First big test. If bulls push through this, could get spicy. $100K–$105K – Big macro level. Expect sellers to step in heavy here if we make it that far. 🟢 Major Support: $75K–$78K – Solid higher timeframe support zone. Great bounce area if we dip. $70K – 2021 ATH retest level. Would still be macro bullish unless that breaks. 🟡 Local Zones: $84K – Acting as intraday support for now. Holding this could lead to a push higher. GETTEX:82K – Another local support. If that breaks, next stop is probably mid/high 70s. What I’m Thinking: As long as we hold $84K, we’ve got a shot at pushing into FWB:88K –$90K again. Break that and it’s game on toward $100K+. But if we lose $84K and especially GETTEX:82K , I’m watching for a retest of the $75K–$78K zone. That’d still be a healthy pullback, nothing to panic about. All in all... structure looks solid, levels are clear, let’s just stay patient and let price do its thing. I’ll keep you all posted if anything major changes 🔔
by InvestorJordan
BTCUSDT: Recent pullback, support and resistance!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let's analyze BTCUSDT : CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently moving within a defined channel, encountering significant selling pressure at the resistance zone. The FWB:88K -$87.5k level proved to be a strong barrier. Now, BTC is showing signs of breaking below the $85.2k support. The $84.2k level is a critical support, coinciding with a CME gap that BTC historically seeks to fill. However, if BTC fails to hold this support and breaks down from the channel, the next support to monitor would be the $81.2k-$80.6k range. Given the current volatility, it's advisable to wait for BTC to stabilize before entering any trades. This period of consolidation will provide more clarity on the market's direction. Support Levels: $85.2k $84.1k $80.6k Resistance Level: $88.1k If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
by persis10t
BTCUSDT Make-or-Break Moment: Evaluating the BTCUSDT Demand ZoBTC is currently testing a key demand zone near the $84,800–$85,200 range, aligned with the ascending trendline support. This area has previously acted as a launchpad for bullish moves, making it a critical level to watch. 📌 Scenario 1 (Bullish): If price holds above the yellow support zone and the trendline, we could see a bounce towards $86,800–$88,500. Confirmation: Bullish engulfing on lower timeframe or break above local resistance. 📌 Scenario 2 (Bearish Breakdown): If BTC breaks below the trendline + demand zone, we may see a sharp decline toward $83,000–$82,000. Watch for a retest of broken support as resistance. 🧠 Plan: Wait for confirmation. No rush entry. Entry will depend on price action and reaction to this confluence zone. Risk management is key with proper SL below/above zones. Let me know your views in comments!
Short
by ayushpanchal92
BTC TO $91,000!!Hello! Today we're going to analyze Bitcoin's price action. It's currently rebounding. The movement doesn't seem to have much strength. However, let's not forget that on a weekly chart, Bitcoin is at the end of wave 4 of Elliott's theory. We have a very clear scenario: a rebound to $91,000, which is an area with a lot of shorts and liquidity. If buying pressure is greater, it's logical that Bitcoin could break out strongly to the upside, because price action always seeks out areas of less pressure, that is, it will always seek liquidity. On 4-hour charts, we can see a lot of volatility, however, any purchases below $84,000-$87,000 can be considered conservative because it is a good buying zone. After all, you are buying at the end of wave 4 on a weekly chart, therefore, liquidations below $84,000 are not ruled out, but the short and medium-term trend is bullish. Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
Long
by GustavoCastaneda1
2
BTC 4H setup : Potential Long Opportunity Trade Setup: Long (Buy) Position 📍 Entry: Look for an entry between 85,500 - 86,300 USDT once the 4H RSI shifts back upward. Price is currently testing the 200 MA as support, a potential bounce zone. The 1H RSI is upward but likely to dip slightly before aligning with the 4H timeframe for a buy signal. The dotted resistance line should be watched for confirmation. 🛑 Stop Loss: If price breaks and closes below 85,000 USDT, cancel the trade. Suggested stop loss around 84,700 USDT to manage risk. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 88,500 USDT (previous resistance) 89,800 USDT (recent high) 📌 Trade Considerations: Wait for the 4H RSI to cross into the buy zone before executing the trade. Use the 12-hour chart for confirmation before entering. Lower timeframes (15M, 1H) can refine the entry for an optimal position. 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
Long
by infinity3168
Trade Idea: BTCUSDT (15m Chart)Trade Idea: BTCUSDT (15m Chart) Price has aggressively pushed up from the daily demand zone and is now forming a potential bullish continuation setup. A retracement into the M15 FVG zone is expected. If price respects this zone and forms a bullish reaction, a long opportunity aligns well with the context target above. Bias: Bullish Context: Price is targeting upside liquidity after reclaiming structure. Expecting continuation following a healthy retracement. Trade with confirmation and risk management.
Long
by Asif_Brain_Waves
2
BTCUSDT - Low Time Frame Support Level I believe that BTCUSDT is at a critical level right now, and this blue box combined with the blue line is where we could see some price reaction. However, don't expect a major move, this is a low timeframe zone that might only give us smaller, more precise opportunities. 🔹 What To Watch For: Reaction Potential: If the price touches this blue box and blue line, there may be a short-term reaction, but don't overestimate it. Low Timeframe Focus: Keep an eye on the lower timeframes for breakouts or rejections around these areas. Patience Is Key: This isn't a large move zone, so we will wait for confirmation before acting. 💡 Stay Smart: Always trade with confirmation. If the price moves fast and unexpectedly, we won't chase it. Stay in control, and wait for the right signals! 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by UmutTrades
2
Bitcoin Nears Breakout: Can Bulls Push Past $89K?Currently, the key support level for the price of Bitcoin is around $86,000. This level has played a supporting role several times in the recent price fluctuations. If the price can hold this position, it will provide strong support for subsequent upward movements. The key resistance level above is at $89,000. If the price of Bitcoin can break through and firmly stand above this resistance level, it is highly likely to initiate a new round of upward market; if it fails to break through, the price may continue to experience small - scale oscillatory rebounds within the current range. From a technical indicator perspective, the moving average indicates that Bitcoin has a short - term upward trend. The price has broken through the area where the signal line is located, indicating that the pressure from "digital gold" buyers is relatively high, and the asset value is likely to continue the upward momentum from the current level. However, the MACD indicator experienced a bearish crossover at the beginning of this week. Although the signal line is currently downward, the MACD line has started to move upward. Nevertheless, a trend reversal is unlikely to occur in the short term. In terms of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), this indicator has moved out of the oversold area and is currently in the neutral zone, indicating that the seller's market may have ended. The price of Bitcoin is expected to maintain its current position and may further rise within the next 5 - 7 days. BTCUSDT buy@86000-86500 tp:87500-88500 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
2024-2026 Exploration of 5-100x Web3 cryptos and Stock Targe【Old article on 2024-3-5】-republish due to private indicators before Time flies, nearly four years have passed since we wrote a similar article, and we feel quite satisfied as 95% of the predictions have been met. Except for Boeing, which surprisingly didn't take off, Bilibili ($19), BTC ($3800), Tiger $3, and PDD ($19) achieved the expected 5-10x growth within two years. The subsequent performances of ACH,UOS, NEAR, and ALGO provided even greater surprises with 10-80x gains. However, I continuously reflect and hope to improve my judgment since, compared to readers who directly read the articles, those of us immersed in the sea of information sometimes have our initial judgments clouded by various external factors. We prefer to express our views at relatively low or high points in advance, allowing time to silently validate these opinions. Real-time perspectives are highly attractive but also constantly at risk, demanding much energy and health. Many have faced health warnings, and we hope everyone remains healthy and happy in 2024. I lean towards identifying the start and end points, then trusting the driver and natural progression for everything in between. Returning to the topic, it has been over two and a half years since a similar article, and I will discuss a few targets and core catalysts I believe are underestimated: 1.Bitcoin (BTC) BINANCE:BTCUSD Introduction: Born in January 2009 as a hedge against inflation after the 2008 financial crisis, BTC has experienced nearly 16 years. Its underlying logic and blockchain technology have birthed foundational blockchains like Ethereum, ADA, SOL, AVAX, CFX, and Algo. BTC's development attributes have expanded potential applications, such as Stacks and RGB protocols. My ultimate expectation for BTC is simple: it could be valued highly just as a new E-GOLD for decades to come. If its ecosystem applications further explode, it could become one of this century's leading assets. Key Catalysts: The 2024 halving, reducing block rewards to 3.125 and resulting in a yearly inflation of about 0.782%, which is lower than the inflation rates of most developed countries. The next wave of funding entering the industry could be expedited by the SEC’s approval of ETFs, the alleviation of sell pressure from Grayscale's repositioning and MGOT, and traditional financial risks causing forced rescue actions by BTC-holding companies to pass. ● Expected Valuation: $200,000 MC: 4.2 trillion USD, marking the beginning of a new world, extensively unfolding application scenarios Reminder: It's important to emphasize that long-term expected valuations do not imply a straight path upwards from current price points. There might be an average upward trend, but short-term intense volatility is possible. Always remember not to engage in long-term commitments with high leverage. This reminder is also placed here for additional caution. 2.Telegram Ime ( POLONIEX:LIMEUSDT Lime) & TON ( BINANCE:TONUSDT TON) Introduction Ime Messenger is a special version of Telegram, integrating functionalities such as a multi-chain wallet, enabling direct transfers of various blockchain assets like BTC, ETH, AVAX, BNB, Polygon, Mantle, AVAX, etc., among Telegram friends. It incorporates features like Binance Pay, direct Google Translate in Twitter and TG conversations, and optimizes Telegram's overall layout and usability. Telegram accounts and chat histories, along with other crucial data, can be directly utilized in the Ime version of Telegram without the need for a new account. Similarly, chat histories in the IME version will automatically sync with the original Telegram version, facilitating easy switching. The Ime version essentially acts as an integrator, merging the Web3 world into the TG ecosystem, with TON leaning towards the chain ecosystem. TON is a native public blockchain ecosystem developed on top of Telegram, serving as an inherited blockchain project from TG's original project team. It introduces more development possibilities and diversity to Telegram's native ecosystem growth. ● Core Logic: Within three years, the user base of the Ime version increased from 2 million to 10 million users, a 500% increase. The friendly relationship with Telegram's founding team enables seamless connection to Telegram's 700 million users. The latest multi-chain Token group red packet function uses Lime as the Gas fee, which will greatly benefit the project's operation and promotion if more convenient modes are optimized in the future. Ime's multi-chain integration feature can help project parties integrate into the Telegram ecosystem faster. Currently, LIME's FDV fluctuates between $5M and $10M, far below the valuation of many primary market projects. TON, as TG's native underlying public blockchain, ranks at the forefront in terms of operational level and market promotion. It can be directly used in the original version of TG, reducing the teaching cost. Although it doesn't support multi-chain, the wallet is a single-chain wallet in the form of a dialogue box. TON itself also has enough potential, and its FDV has surpassed $10 billion, indicating the market's expectations for Telegram. ● Keys to Launch: Ime Lime: Due to the presence of many hardcore tech personnel from Russia and Ukraine, the involvement of core operational PR is needed to enhance the project's self-marketing capability. Further optimization of the TG group members' ability to freely use the red packet function to send various TOKENs as rewards to group members. More optimization of TG functionalities to be utilized. Further support and policies from Russia towards blockchain applications. TON: A more lenient regulatory stance from the SEC towards the official Telegram TON. Collaboration and output of SocialFi Killer-level projects on the chain. An increase in GameFi entering through TG as a portal. ● Expected Valuation: Lime: Current MC FDV: $5.7M, Expected FDV: 3B-5B TON: Current MC FDV: $MUN:10B, Expected FDV: $60B 3.Conflux (CFX) BINANCE:CFXUSDT ● Basic Introduction: Conflux is a Layer 1 public blockchain supported by a team that includes a Turing Award winner and technical advisors from Tsinghua University's Yao Class, aimed at long-term development platforms for dApps, e-commerce, Web 3, and metaverse infrastructures. Its Tree-Graph consensus mechanism, which combines Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS) algorithms, is considered one of the most prominent purely domestic projects in my opinion. ● Core Logic: Conflux's unique Tree-Graph consensus algorithm achieves high scalability and low latency, driven by a technology-focused team, ensuring smoothness and convenience comparable to high-valuation blockchain projects like SOL and ETH. It aligns quickly with the mainstream development pace of Web3, waiting only for further opening and an increase in active users to unlock significant potential. Trendy applications are gradually making their way onto CFX. ● Keys to Launch: Further support and liberalization for blockchain public chain applications and the metaverse by mainland China.Further popularization of the public chain as a pilot test in China's Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan regions. More official cooperation and implementation with institutions like CITIC, Xiaohongshu, leading to the complete disappearance of traditional capital suppression. Gradual maturity of Conflux's own development and formal, successful support for BTC L2. ● Expected Valuation: Current MC FDV of CFX: Fluctuating around $0.9B, Expected FDV: $36B-$80B 4.Opulous (OPUL) KUCOIN:OPULUSDT ● Basic Introduction: A music RWA+DeFi project, where RWA has already achieved application cooperation with singers. Investors can participate in purchasing a portion of album rights with OPUL to earn subsequent album revenue shares from the artist. The new feature, Opulous OLOAN, creates a unique bridge between RWA and the music industry. By staking USDC in the pool, it provides funding for musicians and earns extra income on the staked USDC. OVAULT is a unique staking pool on the Opulous platform that allows you to stake USDC to access a diverse music library. This library, curated by Opulous music experts, features popular and high-performing songs. Participating in OVAULT not only grants access to this music library but also rewards, offering a way to engage with the music industry and profit from staking. ● Core Logic: The company has a rich network of core music resources, with dittos being a music collaboration company of ED Sheeran, Overall, Opulous maintains a relatively leading position in market rhythm control, ranking as one of the more playful project parties on the Algorand and Arb chains. The pressure from private placements has been fully released. ● Key to Launch: The further popularization of music applications, as well as the actual revenue generated by high-profit artists. ● Expected Valuation: OPUL current MC FDV fluctuates around $50M-100M, with an expected FDV of $MUN:10B-$30B 5.Bilibili (BILI) NASDAQ:BILI ● Basic Introduction: A video creation and live streaming platform, a haven for secondary elements, and a platform concentrated with young purchasing power, which has invested in a bunch of enterprises leading to poor financial reports in recent years. Thus, the stock price has plummeted from its peak, so let's just drink to that. ● Core Logic: Currently, the only platform in China that seems capable of competing with YouTube. Gaming may catch up to the era of Web3 entry points. High user stickiness, but consumer rights are currently somewhat limited to anime series. ● Key to Launch: Encourage more original creative educational videos, as most Chinese videos now are summary-based, and original content is much less compared to YouTube. Activating this "wasteland" could be a significant source of revenue for Bili, as many are willing to pay for quality knowledge, but management needs to be stricter to prevent bad money from driving out good. Investments from the past two years are beginning to generate exit profits. Revise the business distribution; the current mix of live streaming and gaming services with the website is a bit odd. ● Expected Valuation: Bili's current valuation: $3.8B MC FDV, with an expected valuation in 5 years of $50-100B. 6.Avalanche / Polygon / Near / Algorand/ Solana CRYPTOCAP:AVAX BINANCE:NEARUSDT COINBASE:MATICUSD BINANCE:ALGOUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT ● Basic Introduction: Alt-L1 is a core foundational public blockchain infrastructure. AVAX and Polygon are more akin to Ethereum's sidechains, while Sol / Near / Algo have their own underlying architectures + EVM+BTC virtual machine compatibility or stand-alone projects to enhance compatibility with Ethereum. Each public blockchain has its own unique ecosystem. In 2024, it's more suitable for each chain to be discussed separately in a comprehensive series due to their foundational architectures, which cannot be fully covered here without extending into tens of thousands of words. ● Core Logic: The security of L1's underlying architecture has become increasingly refined. Although there have been debates regarding Sol's foundational security, it's undeniable that Solana has become the largest ecosystem outside of Ethereum, even leading in popularity at times. However, with the initiation of Ethereum's layering series, Ethereum's ecosystem could potentially introduce more gameplay. AVAX, SOL, and Matic are perfect examples of market rhythm mastery, with Near being average in convenience, and Algo being the least market-savvy but having the highest prestige in terms of technical strength and collaborations. The other L1s are advancing similarly, now engaging in mutual competition. After an uninteresting two years, the public chain ecosystem is finally starting to show some vitality again. ● Key to Launch: After global macroeconomic black swan events are thoroughly cleared, the new era's focus will shift further towards AI, blockchain, and informational fields, increasing the exploration desire for reservoirs and funds. LSD, Restaking, Rollup, and various new DeFi gameplay will further penetrate major ecosystems, sparking new value bubbles. ● Expected Valuation: Future MC FDV: AVAX: 150B SOL: 300B ALGO: 60B-150B (300B--- if the team optimizes and gets designated by US policies) NEAR: 50B-100B MATIC: 80B-100B (250B--- if designated by Indian policies) 7.Tiger Brokers (Tiger) NASDAQ:TIGR ● Basic Introduction: A youthful brokerage with excellent trading experience, superb data provision, and UI design, providing ample information on financial reports and data. ● Core Logic: Undervalued, with virtual licenses approved. The support for compliant tokens like USDC for deposit could significantly increase trading volume and financial income. ● Key to Launch: Further relaxation and support for compliant KYC by domestic policies. Overall recovery and accumulation in the financial markets. ● Expected Valuation: Current FDV: 0.58B, Expected FDV: 10-20 B 8.Planetswatch (Planets) ● Basic Introduction: An eco-friendly project monitoring air quality through air sensors, allowing for real-time air quality data transmission via different sensor nodes in exchange for token rewards. ● Core Logic: High early valuation and low circulation rate, with prices significantly dropping due to the bear market and inflation impacts, a common issue for early-stage projects with low circulation rates. ● Key to Launch: Further global emphasis on environmental infrastructure, with Eco projects becoming a focal point in blockchain discussions. ● Expected Valuation: Current MC FDV: 2M, Expected FDV: 20M-200M 9.ContextLogic (Wish) $NASDAQ:WISH NASDAQ:LOGC ● Basic Introduction: Wish is a U.S.-based e-commerce platform founded in 2010 by former Google employee Piotr Szulczewski and former Yahoo employee Danny Zhang. Its parent company, ContextLogic Inc., is headquartered in San Francisco, USA, primarily selling inexpensive household items, clothing, jewelry, electronics, toys, etc. ● Core Logic: Overhyped by consortia like Goldman Sachs in 2020, leading to a steady fall to the verge of delisting. Prices are near low, with recent market actions and promotions starting to revive. ● Key to Launch: Further reliance on group buying, especially the expectation of cheap group purchases by the consumption downgrade population. Entry of new major institutions into the acquisition process. Revival in financial reports and business. ● Expected Valuation: Current MC FDV: 0.1B, Expected MC FDV: 2B-10B 10.Waves Enterprises (West) $KUCOIN:WESTUSDT GATEIO:WESTUSDT ● Basic Introduction: Waves Enterprise is an enterprise-grade blockchain platform for building fault-tolerant digital infrastructures. As a hybrid solution, it combines enterprises, service providers, and decentralized applications in a trustless environment, leveraging the advantages of public permissioned blockchain across a wide range of business use cases. Sidechains are used for building private or hybrid infrastructures, storing metadata on the mainnet. The platform is powered by Waves Enterprise System Token ( WEST ), the native utility token for all network operations. ● Core Logic: Enterprise-grade public and private hybrid blockchain protocols may be more easily accepted by traditional enterprises. ● Key to Launch: Further support for blockchain technology from Russia, with traditional oligarchs and consortiums responding to related policies. Further popularization Expected Valuation: Current MC FDV: 2-5M fluctuation, Expected MC FDV: 2B-5B (20-50B--- if designated by Russia) Summary: This article analyzes the long-term potential value of several projects. Some have survived through significant trials and tribulations, and others possess superior fundamentals and philosophies but lack market operation capabilities and are in need of a discerning eye. Therefore, while they have potential, it does not guarantee they will meet expectations, and they may also suffer unexpected setbacks. The global economy has not yet emerged from the mire; in fact, it can be likened to treading on thin ice where the superficial prosperity cannot mask the unresolved core flaws. Certain festering issues and malignancies have yet to be addressed, so even as the future for AI and blockchain seems bright, it's prudent for individuals and institutions to adhere to a set of personal principles. For emerging public chains like SEI, TIA, and Layer 2 solutions, as well as diverse projects like Altlayer, Manta, Dymension, Edenlayer, Zeta involving Restaking, LSD, and other novel mechanisms, the extended lock-up periods of this investment round make early valuations even more challenging to gauge. This tests the responsibility and habits of the project teams since the majority of tokens are still in their hands. If the foundation dumps early, new projects could experience significant setbacks. However, there's also the possibility of projects like TIA achieving "vintage" valuations, though such outcomes are difficult to predict swiftly. The development of the blockchain industry is expected to be relatively bright in the coming years. However, it's important to reiterate the caution stated at the beginning of this article: long-term valuations do not mean a continuous upward trend from current price points. The market could experience intense volatility, similar to a scenario where BTC suddenly drops to 1K and then rebounds to $40k, although such an event is highly unlikely. If one can maintain a healthy position in such scenarios, there should be no cause for concern. Remember not to engage in long-term commitments with high leverage. Try to avoid or minimize engagement with contracts unless for entertainment and if you possess sufficient self-discipline. Do Your Own Research (DYOR) remains the primary way to maintain a healthy investment strategy. Disclaimer: This article is not intended as investment or financial advice but merely reflects the author's opinions and insights, hoping for mutual learning and progress.
by OuChiBoy
1
BTC/USDT Analysis: Local Buyer AggressionYesterday, Bitcoin continued its downward movement. At one point, after breaking the local level of $86,300, buyers defended the price, pushing it back into a narrow range. Currently, it's worth noting the repeated defense at around $86,700, where a significant buyer volume has accumulated (as indicated by the positive delta in that bar). Given this, we may see a retest of the local high from the current levels. Despite this, the primary scenario remains a correction toward the sell zones. This is supported by the nature of the current uptrend, characterized by weak new highs, as well as selling pressure reflected in the delta. An alternative scenario would be a full breakout of the current high on strong volume, which could indicate a continuation of the trend. Sell Zones: $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500-$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $84,400-$82,900 (accumulated volumes) $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
by Crypto_robotics
1
Valuation iMe Messenger: Reach 5-20% of Telegram's $30B ?Valuation Potential of iMe Messenger: Why It Has the Prospect to Reach 5-20% of Telegram's $30 Billion Valuation? Authors: SanTi Li, Naxida, Feng Yu, Li Feiyu Abstract: In the Web3 era, the functionality of messaging applications is no longer limited to information transmission. Many failures of Web3 social applications (SocialFi) stem from a lack of sustained user engagement and long-term foundation, or their core functionality merely copying existing platforms (such as borrowing from Twitter). Additionally, the integration of tokens into these platforms often lacks depth and practical utility. Social applications, once adopted by users, establish strong defensive moats, and further integrating Web3 elements such as multi-domain payments, multi-chain interaction, financial services, and decentralized applications can significantly enhance their intrinsic value. iMe Messenger (LIME), as an extension of Telegram's ecosystem, enhances and optimizes its functionality while maintaining a unique market position. This has attracted growing attention from users, investors, and institutional clients. By analyzing market trends, user demands, and the synergies between Telegram, its public blockchain TON, and iMe Messenger, this paper explores why iMe Messenger has the potential to reach 5-20% of Telegram's valuation and how it fits within the triad of TON, Telegram, and iMe to mutually enhance value. 1. Market Positioning and User Value of iMe Messenger 1.1 Compatibility with Telegram: Lowering User Migration and Learning Costs iMe Messenger ( GATEIO:LIMEUSDT LIME) is not only a standalone social application but also a Pro-version developed on top of Telegram, allowing seamless synchronization of chat history, contacts, and channels. This drastically reduces migration costs, enabling iMe to inherit Telegram's ecosystem rather than building an entirely new application from scratch. Essentially, every Telegram user can also be an iMe user, and all iMe users are inherently Telegram users. 1.2 Enhanced Features for Greater User Engagement and Experience Building upon Telegram's core, iMe offers additional features such as: ●Integrated Wallets: Supporting multi-chain payments and fund transfers among Telegram friends, including BSC, Solana BINANCE:SOLUSDT , ETH, and TON. ●Translation & Content Organization: Enabling translation for personal and group chats without requiring Telegram's Star VIP subscription. ●Payment and Exchange Integration: Supports Binance Pay and Uniswap's DEX functionalities. ●Improved Group Features: Introduces Crypto Box, similar to WeChat's red packet and gifting features. ●AI Assistant & Antivirus Protection: Enhances user experience with AI-driven features. ●Latest AI Integrations: Users can directly utilize AI models like Gemini and GPT for multi-format content creation and image generation. ●Enhanced Privacy: Strengthened encryption and privacy protection. ●Customizable UI: More personalized interface options than Telegram, appealing to specific user demographics. These enhancements make iMe a superior choice for certain use cases compared to Telegram's native experience. Feature Telegram iMe Messenger Core Messaging ✅ ✅ + Premium Antivirus Cross-Platform Sync ✅ ✅ AI Translation & Speech-to-Text ✅ (VIP only) ✅ (Free via Lime token) Multi-Chain Transfers ❌ ✅ (Supports Sol, BSC, ETH, etc.) AI BOT Integration ✅ ✅ (Advanced AI models) Functional Optimization ❌ ✅ (More user-friendly UI) Payment System ❌ ✅ (Binance Pay, CryptoBox) Staking Services ❌ (Requires third-party access) ✅ (Directly accessible in Wallet module) Telegram API Requirement ✅ (Native API) ❌ (Requires external API access) Independent App Download ✅ (App Store) ✅ (App Store) 2. Valuation Comparison: iMe vs. Telegram 2.1 Telegram's Valuation Logic Telegram is currently valued at approximately $30 billion, primarily due to: 1.A massive user base of 900 million to 1 billion with rapid growth. 2.A deep ecosystem including groups, channels, Bot economy, ad revenue, and potential Web3 applications. 3.TON blockchain integration, enhancing payment and application functionalities. 4.An expected IPO and its role in the broader blockchain and AI landscape. Telegram's valuation is based on user scale × monetization potential × technology moat × IPO expectations, with some influence from its blockchain interactions with TON. 2.2 iMe's Growth Potential Currently, iMe's Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) is around $20 million, with 18 million users. While this is significantly lower than Telegram's 900+ million users, its interoperability with Telegram provides substantial user growth potential. Considering Web3 applications with over 10 million real registered users are rare, iMe's niche appeal could further bolster its valuation. With a 600% growth over 3.5 years, iMe has promising expansion potential. Factors contributing to iMe’s ability to achieve 5-20% of Telegram’s valuation: 1.User Growth: If iMe captures 5-10% of Telegram's user base (45M-90M users), its market valuation would rise accordingly. 2.Monetization Potential: Ad revenue, VIP subscriptions, Binance Pay integration, and staking services expand its financial ecosystem. 3.Token Utility & Burning Mechanism: Increased usage of Lime token for payments and transactions enhances its long-term value. 4.Multi-Chain Support: Since Telegram prioritizes TON, other blockchain tokens need a third-party solution—iMe fills this gap. 5.TON Ecosystem Integration: iMe strengthens its value by serving as a gateway for blockchain applications within Telegram’s ecosystem. 2.3 Other Reasons for the Valuation Growth Potential of iMe Messenger There are many projects in the market with overestimated and inflated values, but it is indeed difficult to find undervalued Web3 projects. The core reasons for this mostly relate to the operational strategies of project teams over a period of time, project management styles, and the experiences and habits of personnel. There are even intricate connections with partner institutions, investors, and other stakeholders. Apart from the valuation growth potential points compared in sections 2.1 and 2.2, the hidden value and potential of the iMe project are also related to the following factors: 1.iMe’s operational model primarily exists within its internal ecosystem and lacks sufficient collaboration with media, rating agencies, and third-party content platforms. This has resulted in valuable updates and the five advantages we mentioned earlier being largely unknown to many investors and enthusiasts. 2.Limited collaboration with KOLs (Key Opinion Leaders) in value-driven or hype-driven streams. In fact, this project was discovered as early as the end of 2021, but we waited to see if others would also identify its value and write about it. However, we found that very few people had actually created content on it. Later, after communicating with the project team, we discovered that they indeed lacked deep collaboration with content institutions and KOLs. Unlike 2018, when PR agencies were of relatively high quality—such as Block72 and Winkrypto, which had at least dozens of team members providing comprehensive support—by 2025, many so-called PR agencies consisted of just one or two individuals. This has significantly increased the difficulty for project teams in making the right choices and the probability of encountering pitfalls. This situation is as challenging as distinguishing between Dogecoin in 2020 and the tens of thousands of meme tokens emerging daily today. 3.Since 2024, Lime has only gradually been listed on new exchanges. Previously, it was primarily listed on Gate, which is known for its extensive range of trading pairs but lacks significant independent AMA (Ask Me Anything) sessions or media promotion through research reports. From 2023 onwards, many major exchanges adopted a strategy of listing only entirely new projects. This strategy undoubtedly impacted a group of high-quality projects that were listed around 2021 and had successfully endured the bear market. With the recent wave of meme token promotion and the market adjustments of 2024-2025, exchange operators and traders have begun to recognize the underlying issues in purely new projects and meme-based projects. 4.The team has a strong technical mindset, focusing on R&D while lacking market operation experience. This issue is not unique to iMe’s team. Even a project as robust as Algorand, which had an MIT-backed “king bomb” team, later faced operational chaos due to blind hiring of Web2 product managers who lacked experience and made misguided decisions. 5.Insufficient utilization of traffic and promotional platforms. During due diligence, we found that the iMe team produces high-quality animations and content. However, these materials are often only published within their own community and Twitter. Many high-quality users are not necessarily effective disseminators—just as in real life, many exceptionally talented individuals are not good at expressing themselves or spreading information. Therefore, leveraging high-quality third-party platforms and engaging in interactive campaigns (such as writing contests) is also key to furthering brand building. In summary, the fundamental prerequisite for a project to have sufficient growth potential is that its core technology is strong and its sector and market trends are favorable. However, a lack of brand promotion and groundwork is one of the primary reasons why high-quality content goes undiscovered. This issue can be mitigated with the support of large institutions, major exchanges, or influential figures. This is also one of the main reasons why undervalued projects have room for valuation growth. 3. The Impact of the BINANCE:TONUSDT TON Ecosystem on IME’s Valuation 3.1 Growth Potential of the TON Ecosystem TONUSDT TON, as the decentralized blockchain platform officially supported by Telegram, encompasses multiple application scenarios, including DeFi and GameFi. Telegram is actively promoting the TON ecosystem. 1.TON’s growth potential: TON currently has a market valuation exceeding $10 billion, and with its integration into the Telegram ecosystem, its value could potentially double in the future. 2.Potential of TON payments: IME has a built-in TON wallet, gradually making it one of the most important payment and transaction gateways within the TON ecosystem. This undeniably enhances IME’s long-term product value. Although the Lime token has not yet been launched on the TON chain, this development is likely imminent. 3.Binding effect between TON and Telegram: TON is poised to become the Web3 core of Telegram’s economic system. As a Telegram-compatible all-in-one development application, IME is naturally positioned to benefit from this ecosystem’s growth. 3.2 Direct Impact of TON on IME’s Valuation The expansion of the TON ecosystem means that IME is no longer just a messaging app—it is becoming a Web3 gateway. If TON’s overall valuation grows to $20 billion or beyond, then iMe, as an important Web3 entry point, will also see an increase in its valuation. TON’s decentralized payment services and smart contract capabilities, combined with iMe’s built-in multi-chain wallet, provide strong support for Telegram-based iMe users. This transforms iMe from a mere communication tool into a cross-chain financial and social platform. (This also applies to native iMe users—i.e., institutional users who directly use the iMe software without relying on the Telegram client—bringing new users to Telegram’s ecosystem and creating potential TON adopters.) Risks and Challenges Of course, the development of iMe Messenger is not without risks. As a platform based on decentralization and blockchain technology, it faces multiple challenges similar to those of Telegram, including technical security, user privacy protection, and regulatory policies. There is also the systemic risk of Telegram suddenly ceasing API development (although such a move would be self-sabotaging for Telegram itself). Additionally, the Web3 market is highly competitive, with new products continuously emerging, exerting competitive pressure on iMe. How to ensure user privacy and security while continuously optimizing product features and enhancing user experience will be key to iMe Messenger’s future development. 4. Comprehensive Summary: Factors Affecting iMe’s Valuation Based on the above analysis, iMe’s development trajectory and speed suggest that it has the potential to reach 5-10% of Telegram’s user base. The expansion and growth of iMe also contribute to the overall expansion and development of Telegram. At the same time, by leveraging the mutual benefits of the Telegram and TON ecosystems, iMe can create additional value. This enables iMe to benefit from Telegram’s strong user retention moat while positioning itself as a potential Web3 or secondary version of Telegram. From the perspectives of user base, business model, TON enablement, integrated wallet, and Lime token functionalities, IME has the potential to achieve a valuation of 5%-20% of Telegram’s estimated value, equating to a valuation of over $1.5 billion. As the Telegram ecosystem matures and the TON network further develops, iMe’s market value may continue to grow, with potential for further valuation increases. Overall, iMe LIMEUSDT Lime is not merely a secondary development software utilizing Telegram’s API. Instead, it is a Web3 social communication and payment tool with significantly stronger utility. Its valuation model is closer to a combination of Wallet + Telegram + TON + AI, making it more akin to a Web3 version of WeChat. It holds the potential to become a fully realized Web3 social application. Hopefully, it will ultimately succeed alongside Telegram. Next, we will explore the long-term value of several public blockchain networks. May the force be with you~ Friendly Reminder: This article is created for research and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The Web3 space is simultaneously full of opportunities and risks. We encourage readers to conduct their own research (DYOR) on every project or topic.
by OuChiBoy
Btc 89k longI just recently opened a conservative btc long position. Am targeting 89k area. Afterwards I expect the market to possibly dump back to 74-72k but more on that later on. Time sensitive. Etf trading starts in 7 minutes I expect them to run the price back up. Market likes to fakeout on bitcoin before they start trading. The price is at a relatively low point now so they'll likely buy low here and sell higher. maybe I scale in some more. Maybe I don't This setup is not according to my DTT strategy as I went in early here - hence the wide conservative stop.
Long
by Filnft
1
BTC(20250327) market analysis and operationYesterday, the small level broke through the previous low and then rebounded. Today, pay attention to 87000 points. If the 4-hour level can stand above this point, the correction will end and the market will continue to rise. Pay attention to the upper pressure levels near 88500, 90045 and 91250. If the 4-hour level falls below 87150 and cannot be recovered, the small rebound will be weak, and there is a high probability of sideways or retracement at a small level. Pay attention to the lower support levels near 86370, 85530 and 84775.
Short
by BraveTigercat