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BTC/USDT Analysis. Massive Bitcoin Short! What’s Next? On March 16, a whale opened a short position on Bitcoin with a volume of 4,442 BTC using 40x leverage. Naturally, this short attracted the attention of the community, and some traders attempted to trigger the whale's stop-loss. However, their efforts were unsuccessful, and the whale managed to close the position on March 18 with a significant profit. What’s the takeaway? Perhaps it's best not to bet against major capital. Market Analysis Looking at the chart, it’s clear that this short was closed precisely during Bitcoin’s attempt to break out of its local range, after which a rebound followed, bringing the price back within the same range. The main scenario for Bitcoin remains largely unchanged. Both wave and cluster analysis suggest a potential decline to the lower boundary from current prices or after a false breakout of the local high and a test of the $85,000–$88,000 sell zone (high-volume area). However, an alternative scenario is also possible: a strong, high-volume breakout of this zone. If that happens, we will reassess the scenario in favor of long positions. Sell Zones: $85,000–$88,000 (high-volume area) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volume) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volume)
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin's Wild Ride: Will It Moon or Crash and Burn?Ah, Bitcoin—the digital rollercoaster we all love to hate. Currently lounging around $84,000 , but what's next? Let's dive into the crystal ball of crypto predictions, shall we? 🔮 The Bullish Dreamers: Derivatives Delight: Some analysts are giddy over derivatives metrics, suggesting Bitcoin is "poised" to reclaim the $90,000 level in the coming weeks. Because who doesn't love a good gamble? The Bearish Realists: Death Cross Drama: Hold onto your hats! Bitcoin is flirting with a "death cross," where the 50-day moving average dips below the 200-day. Historically, this is like the crypto version of a horror movie—cue the dramatic music. Support Level Shenanigans: If Bitcoin can't muster the strength to stay above $81,000, we might be sliding down to $76,000 faster than you can say "HODL." The Fence-Sitters: FOMC Follies: All eyes are on the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Will they hike rates? Will they cut? Will they order pizza for lunch? Their decisions could send Bitcoin on a joyride or a nosedive. So, what's the takeaway? Is Bitcoin gearing up for a moon mission, or are we strapping in for a freefall? As always, keep your wits about you, and maybe a parachute handy. 🎢🪂 If you want the deeper breakdown (the one nobody’s telling you), drop a comment or DM me. Maybe I’ll let you in on the real insights. 👀🔥 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before diving into the crypto abyss.
Long
by thunderpips
BTCUSD Daily Chart AnalysisBTCUSD Daily Chart Analysis: As you can see on the daily chart, Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture. We've witnessed a strong uptrend culminating in a high near $108,000, followed by a significant correction. Key Levels: Support: The $80,000 to $82,000 zone is proving to be a crucial support level. Resistance: We have immediate resistance around $92,000 to $96,000, and the major resistance at the recent high of $108,000. Technical Observations: The recent pullback is testing the aforementioned support zone. Crucially, I'm observing a bullish divergence on the RSI, indicating potential weakening of the downward momentum. Additionally, a bullish MACD crossover is imminent, further reinforcing the possibility of a reversal. Potential Scenarios: If the $80,000 to $82,000 support holds, the bullish divergence and MACD crossover suggest a strong likelihood of a bounce. We could see a move towards the $92,000 to $96,000 resistance area. A successful break above that level could propel BTC back towards the $108,000 highs. Conversely, a break below the $80,000 support would invalidate the bullish signals and likely lead to further downside, with potential targets around $76,000 and $72,000. Conclusion: Bitcoin is currently presenting a compelling setup. The confluence of a key support test, bullish RSI divergence, and a potential MACD crossover suggests a high probability of a bullish reversal. However, risk management is paramount, and traders should be prepared for potential downside if the support fails.
Short
by ChinDiaperGuy
4
Bitcoin at the D-Point of a Bullish Gartley – What’s Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Support zone($80,600_$79,000) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support line . Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Gartley is a harmonic pattern that signals a potential reversal in an uptrend after a corrective move. It consists of five points (X-A-B-C-D) and follows specific Fibonacci retracements, with the D-point acting as a key buying zone. Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the microwave B of the main wave Y . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Bitcoin to rise at least to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage . If the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) is broken, we can expect further increases in Bitcoin . Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($80,600_$79,000), we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
16
Inverse Head & Shoulders in Play – Bitcoin’s Bullish Setup!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $84,500 as I expected in my previous post (even higher). Right now it seems like Bitcoin has managed to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and the 200_SMA(Daily) . The formation of the classic pattern , the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern , could be a sign that Bitcoin is preparing to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) . Another Classic Pattern that we can see on the one-hour Bitcoin chart and hope for an increase in Bitcoin is the Fan Principle at the Bottom Pattern . Educational tip : The Fan Principle at the Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern where the price forms a series of downward trendline breaks, signaling weakening bearish momentum. As each trendline is broken, buying pressure increases, leading to a potential uptrend. According to Elliott Wave theory , with the resistance zone broken, we can expect Bitcoin to enter the next impulsive wave , which will likely continue to at least $86,300 . Also, Today's U.S. economic data release could significantly impact financial markets, including Bitcoin : UoM Consumer Sentiment : 57.9 (Forecast: 63.1 | Previous: 64.7) – A sharp decline, indicating consumer pessimism about the economy. UoM Inflation Expectations : 4.9% (Previous: 4.3%) – A worrying increase, which could push the Fed toward a more hawkish stance. Declining consumer sentiment may pressure the Fed to adopt a more accommodative stance, which is positive for risk assets like Bitcoin. Rising inflation expectations could increase demand for inflation-hedge assets like Bitcoin. However, if the Fed sees inflation rising as a concern, they may maintain a tighter policy, which could weigh on markets. Today's data presents mixed signals, but falling consumer confidence and rising inflation expectations could ultimately fuel Bitcoin's next leg up. Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the upper resistance zone($87,000_$85,820) after completing its pullback and complete the mission of filling the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) . Of course, a CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) has also formed. In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,300, we should expect further declines. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $87,800, we should expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
54
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Last Chance For A Big Move Higher...I see a potential scenario where Bitcoin could move higher in Wave iii of Wave 5. If this pattern holds, Wave 5 would extend. For confirmation, we need to see the price break above 93K. However, if Wave ii ended at 76,642, there’s a chance we’re witnessing a 1-2, 1-2 setup that could push through this level. A strong follow-through would open the door for a move to at least 130K, equal to the length of Wave i, or possibly a 1.618 extension to 162K—roughly doubling from current levels. Despite the broader bearish sentiment, this setup can't be ignored, as our priority is profit. If the price confirms, I’ll post a video update soon. Key support stands at 79,959, with critical support at 76,642.
Long
by AriasWave
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #38👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indexes. As usual, I will review the futures triggers for the New York session for you. ✨ Yesterday, our short trigger was activated, and the price moved downward but then moved back up after a few candles. ⏳ 1-hour timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as I mentioned, the trigger at 82066 that I specified for you yesterday was activated, but I personally opened my position at the break of 82459 because there was good downward momentum in the market, and the candle that broke this area was very strong. 🔄 The position I opened went to a risk-to-reward of 2 and became risk-free, and then the market moved upwards, now reaching 83806. 💫 Today, for opening positions, our long trigger is exactly 83906, and if the price breaks this area, we could see the next upward leg. I prefer that the price reacts to this area once and then breaks through it. ✔️ However, be aware that there is another important area at 84573 and a significant range has formed between 83906 and 84573. If you want to open a position confidently, wait until 84573 is also broken so the price can fully exit this range. ⚡️ A break of 62.94 in the RSI can be a good confirmation of momentum. As you can see, the volume is gradually increasing, which is suitable for a long position. 🔽 For short positions, you can still enter with a break of 82459. It's better to wait for the price to react to this area once and look for a break on the second contact. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's move on to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance. As you can see, a descending triangle has formed, and the price has a downward trend line that has caused it to set a lower high every time it reaches 61.49, and now there is a very high chance of breaking this area, which could start a new downward leg in dominance. 👀 On the other hand, if the trend line breaks, dominance could move back up to 62.03. If this happens, money will move out of altcoins and into Bitcoin. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let's move on to the analysis of Total2. This index still hasn't exited its ranging box and is moving between 1.01 and 1.04. 🔼 You can open a long position with a break of 1.04 and a short position with a break of 1.01. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let's look at the USDT.D analysis. Yesterday, the 5.43 area was broken, but like Bitcoin, after a few candles, this area was faked, and the price returned to the box between 5.28 and 5.43. 🔑 For confirming a downward trend in Tether dominance, you can confirm with a break of 5.28. For an upward trend in dominance, you should wait until the price creates a new structure. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
4
(BTC/USDT) Analysis: Supply Zone Rejection & Potential Drop to SSupply Zone (~85,296 - 84,835): The price has reached a supply zone, which is acting as resistance. A rejection from this area could push BTC down. Support Zone (~82,260 - 81,977): This is a demand area where buyers might step in if the price declines. Indicators: EMA 30 (Red Line - 83,553.82): Short-term trend indicator. EMA 200 (Blue Line - 83,743.52): Long-term trend indicator, currently above the price, indicating potential resistance. Price Action & Prediction: The price has touched the supply zone and is showing signs of rejection. The blue projected path suggests a potential pullback followed by a drop toward the support zone (~82,260). If price breaks below the support zone, further downside could be expected. Potential Trade Idea: Short Setup: If rejection at the supply zone continues, a short position could target the 82,260 support zone. Long Setup: If price reaches the support zone and shows bullish reactions, a long position could aim for a rebound toward resistance.
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
1
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Bitcoin Down, $75,500 Target Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Bitcoin 🔍📈. Bitcoin has been exhibiting diminishing strength in its upward candles, signaling potential bearish momentum. A decisive break below the $76,000 support level is anticipated, with a projected decline of at least 10%, targeting the $75,500 zone. This movement aligns with broader global dynamics, particularly the escalating tensions in the Middle East, where the flames of conflict have subtly ignited and hold the potential for further escalation. Such geopolitical uncertainty is driving a bullish surge in global gold prices, with nations like Syria, Palestine, Iraq, Yemen, and Iran, which hold independent gold reserves, poised to benefit. Consequently, the crypto market is expected to experience downward pressure, further exacerbating Bitcoin's decline.📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Bitcoin is losing steam, likely to break below $76K and hit $75,500, with a 10% drop. Rising gold prices, fueled by Middle East tensions, are set to push crypto lower.📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬 Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Short
by MadWhale
7
The Ultimate Guide to Price Action TradingIntroduction to Price Action Price action trading is a powerful method that relies solely on analyzing price movements without using indicators. Instead of following lagging signals, traders use historical price movements to predict future market behavior. This approach helps in making informed decisions based on real market sentiment. Why Use Price Action? Many traders prefer price action because it simplifies trading by focusing only on the movement of price rather than complex technical indicators. Here are some key advantages: Eliminates reliance on lagging indicators: Indicators often generate signals after the price has already moved significantly. Price action provides real-time insights. Provides a clearer picture of market sentiment: By analyzing candlestick formations and key levels, traders can assess where the market is likely to move next. Works across all timeframes and markets: Whether you trade stocks, forex, or crypto, price action techniques remain relevant. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Understanding market structure is key to recognising trends and making profitable trades. Price moves in patterns, forming trends, consolidations, and reversals. Identifying Trends A trend is a general direction in which the price is moving. Identifying trends early can give traders a significant edge. Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). This indicates strong buying pressure. Downtrend: Identified by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). This signals dominant selling pressure. Ranging Market: Occurs when price moves sideways, forming equal highs and lows, showing indecision. Using Market Structure to Trade Follow the dominant trend for higher probability trades rather than trading against the market direction. Look for breakouts from consolidation zones, which often lead to explosive moves in the market. Identify trend reversals by observing changes in market structure, such as a break of previous highs or lows. Key Support & Resistance Levels Support and resistance levels help traders identify where price might react, leading to potential trade opportunities. Types of Support & Resistance Horizontal Levels: These are static price levels where the price has reversed multiple times, acting as strong barriers. Trendlines: These dynamic levels move with price and act as diagonal support or resistance. Psychological Levels: Round numbers like 100, 200, or 1.0000 in forex often act as key psychological barriers for traders. How to Use Support & Resistance Buying near support and selling near resistance is a classic strategy used by traders. Breakout trading: If the price breaks a key level with strong momentum, it often continues in that direction. Retest confirmation: After a breakout, the price may return to test the level before continuing its move. This offers a high-probability entry. Candlestick Patterns & Their Meaning Candlestick patterns provide insights into market sentiment and potential reversals or continuations. Single Candlestick Patterns Pin Bar (Rejection Candlestick): A pin bar has a long wick and a small body, showing strong rejection at a price level. It signals a potential reversal. Doji: A candlestick with a small body and wicks on both sides, indicating indecision in the market. Hammer & Shooting Star: The hammer forms at the bottom of a downtrend, signaling reversal, while the shooting star appears at the top, suggesting a potential sell-off. Multi-Candlestick Patterns Engulfing Pattern: A bullish engulfing pattern occurs when a large green candle completely engulfs the previous red candle, signaling a strong upward move. The opposite is true for bearish engulfing patterns. Morning Star & Evening Star: These three-candle patterns indicate a shift in momentum, either bullish or bearish. Head & Shoulders: A reversal pattern that suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. Price Action Strategies Breakout Trading Breakout trading involves identifying key price levels where a breakout is likely to occur. This can be from a range, a pattern like a triangle, or a resistance level. Identify consolidation zones where price has been trading in a tight range. Enter a trade when the price breaks above resistance or below support with strong volume. Use stop-losses to avoid false breakouts, placing them just outside the consolidation zone. Reversal Trading Reversal trading focuses on identifying trend exhaustion and potential reversals. Look for exhaustion at key levels, where price struggles to move further. Confirm reversals with candlestick patterns such as pin bars, engulfing patterns, or head & shoulders formations. Use risk-reward ratios of at least 1:2 to maximize profits on successful reversals. Trend Continuation Trading Enter on pullbacks within an established trend, rather than chasing breakouts. Look for price bouncing off moving averages or trendlines as confirmation. Ride trends until momentum weakens, using trailing stop-losses to lock in profits. Trading Without Indicators Analysing raw price action helps traders understand market movement without distractions. Key Steps for Chart Analysis Identify the overall market trend by checking higher highs or lower lows. Mark key support and resistance levels to find potential trade areas. Observe candlestick formations that provide confirmation for entries. Wait for confirmation before entering a trade to avoid false signals. Risk Management & Psychology in Price Action Trading A strong mindset and risk management strategy are crucial for long-term success. Risk Management Tips Use stop-losses to limit risk and prevent large drawdowns. Risk no more than 1-2% of capital per trade, ensuring longevity. Always aim for a favorable risk-reward ratio, such as 1:2 or 1:3. Psychological Tips Stay disciplined and avoid emotional trading, as emotions can lead to impulsive decisions. Accept losses as part of the process and learn from them. Stick to a well-defined trading plan, reducing uncertainty in decision-making. Final Thoughts & Next Steps Mastering price action trading takes time, patience, and consistent practice. Here’s how you can improve: Continuously analyze charts and refine your strategy by backtesting historical data. Keep a trading journal to track progress and identify areas for improvement. Stay updated with market conditions, as price action can behave differently in different market environments. By applying these techniques, you can develop a strong foundation in price action trading and make more informed trading decisions. Stay disciplined, keep learning, and happy trading! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
48
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Given the reduced downward momentum, the bullish Ichimoku on the chart, and the formation of support zones, Bitcoin is expected to move toward the identified supply level. Currently, the price is in a discount zone, and an upward move toward premium levels is anticipated. A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this setup. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
Long
by iMoneyTeam
Bitcoin Morning Update – WednesdayBitcoin Morning Update – Wednesday 🚀 Yesterday, we saw a bearish flush, and that questionable SFP ended up confirming a notable break of structure. We’ve broken down from this internal bearish range, but remember—this is just an internal move within a larger range. Today’s Setup – Bulls & Bears in Play 📉 Bearish Plan: I’ll be shorting any 15M flip in structure before $83.4K. 📉 Breakdown Target: If we get a short today, it could be juicy—there’s a steep liquidity drop down to $81K (initial target). 📉 Confirmation Matters: Wait for a notable market structure shift before pulling the trigger—1M changes are just noise. The higher the timeframe, the stronger the signal. 📈 Bullish Reversal: If we reclaim $83.4K, I’ll flip my bias and look for longs in the demand chain up to $84.7K at minimum. 📈 Key Caution: Ensure a structure flip and de-risk when possible—the primary structure can and may retrace deeper to fulfill the higher timeframe objective. London session will set the tone—let’s see what Wednesday brings! 🚀
Short
by Trade-Journal
#BTC/USDT - Rate pause + Dovish Speech = Bullish?Macro Polymarket became infamous during the last US election where it absolutely nailed the result and proved to be way more accurate than the actual polls. Why is Polymarket so accurate? Probably down to the possibility of losing money. You're less likely to lie if it would cost you basically. Whats weird is that they have a current bet available; 'Will QT* end by May' , which has over $6m staked with 100% of bettors thinking that QT will end by May. That's a bet thats probably attractive to a certain type of gambler, probably one who has a good handle on the markets, maybe someone who works on Wall Street or in a Bank and knows what his analysts are really expecting (and not just what they tell us!). Remember the question is 'will QT end by May?' and the response so far (from people laying down real money) is 100% yes. Well there is no FED rate decision in April so if we are going to get an end to QT before May, it's starting today. Given the recent good inflation data, weakening job market, weakening consumer sentiment and looming threat of recession it's inevitable that the FED have to at least start talking about quantative easing, which is bullish for BTC. Technicals Short term we are just consolidating within a clear range. Overhead resistance is at $84.5k, support is at $81.5k. Long term he chart is forming a large bullish falling wedge, a bullish pattern but not one that is indicating an immediate breakout. This pattern could easily play out for another couple of weeks and breakout alongside the Money Supply (my M2 Money supply two week to breakout theory is explained here - ). The daily RSI is moving up from a bullish divergence and is using its 20 Day EMA as support suggesting a cross into bullish (over 50) territory is incoming. So bullish chart pattern and bullish-ish RSI, however the 20 Day Moving Average is now below the 200 Day Moving Average which is a sell trigger to alot of algos. Mixed technicals are not really surprising given the state of the market. Ultimately the Macro is completely driving the market. The FED decision later will drive the next weeks price action. *Quantative Tightening = FED restricting liquidity via its balance sheet and interest rates
Long
by CryptoNicho
4