BITCOIN - Short Trade Idea Update - Wave ii Looks Complete...In this video, I break down what I woke up to this morning regarding the wave structure.
With wave ii appearing to be complete, Iโm looking to add to my short position and adjust my stop level down to 81,223โcreating another potential entry point for the short trade.
Recognizing and understanding these developing patterns is essential if you want to stay in the game.
BTCUST trade ideas
btc local 1DPotentially interesting zones we have touched, if we dont renew the current low I would favor the bullish scenario on 1D timeframe to try and reach for the relative equal highs within the distribution range we have as long as we only wick through the marked imbalance. Probably retest of 50% of the daily 1D candle tail in the area of 76.5k or test of C.E. of the highlighted BISI and then some kind of bounceback to reach out for buyside is the scenario I favor
I just got filled for a long hereAs an alert I just got filled with a small limit order long and intend to add to it within this range with more frequency in the bottom half with (again) very small orders as I want to average down my entry price before we ideally pump up next if it works out that way. And if not (so in the case we gradually keep grinding down in price) I can continue to add longs until we get a bounce which may provide the opportunity to get out at break even or a small profit. But I am happy with the value of the areas I have focused on and not chasing pumps. Enjoy!
Bitcoin Signal for Short Lets Make Some Real GameThis is an educational trading setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), focusing on a short position opportunity between the $82,000 and $80,000 price levels. The analysis is based on technical indicators, price action strategies, and current market sentiment. Please note: this is not financial advice, strictly for learning purposes!
๐ Trade Concept:
Entry Zone: $82,000
Target Zone: $80,000
Setup Type: Short / Sell
Timeframe: Short-term / Intraday
Market Context: After an extended bullish rally, BTC/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance. High probability retracement expected towards the $80,000 support area.
๐ Educational Insights:
Technical Indicators: Overbought RSI levels, bearish divergence, and candlestick reversal patterns around $82,000 zone.
Psychological Levels: $80,000 is a major psychological number where buyers may step in.
Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and proper risk-reward ratios in live trades.
๐ก Purpose of Sharing:
This setup is shared purely for educational purposes to help traders understand how to spot potential short opportunities in volatile markets like Bitcoin. Learn how to analyze resistance zones, manage risk, and read price action effectively.
๐ข Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making financial decisions.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortTrade #BitcoinSignal #PriceAction #Educational #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoEducation #LearnTrading #RiskManagement
Bitcoin Cycle Rhythm: Same Downtrend, New Quadrant.Cycle Comparison โ From Halving to Halving
We're seeing a striking similarity between the current downtrend and the one that followed the 2020 halving. The slope, structure, and emotional impact on price are almost identical. However โ here's the key difference:
It's all about Quadrant Timing.
In the previous cycle, the sell-off happened during Quadrant 2 โ traditionally the euphoric blow-off and start of distribution.
In this cycle, weโre seeing the same type of correction in late Quadrant 1, a phase typically associated with accumulation and early markup.
Before this correction began, Bitcoin rallied 120% from turning point 10 to turning point 1 โ a textbook markup leg that aligns with early-cycle behavior.
Now, we've seen a retracement of approximately 32% from turning point 1 to 2, closely mirroring the structure seen in the prior cycle.
This suggests that while the pattern is repeating, the context has shifted โ this drawdown could be a shakeout, not a cycle top.
If the 4-quadrant structure continues to play out, Quadrant 2 may still lie ahead, potentially setting the stage for a much stronger upside continuation.
Let me know what you think โ is this setup still bullish in structure, or are we seeing the beginning of a deeper phase?
Bitcoin Holding Strong! Key Levels & Entry PointsWeekly Chart: BTC still holding above $78,000, maintaining the overall uptrend despite short-term breakdowns.
๐ 4-Hour Chart: Temporary breakdown below trend line, but volume is lowโlikely a shakeout before resuming upward.
๐ Two-Pole Oscillator: Showing strength in oversold territoryโpotential sign of a bounce.
๐ฐ Entry Point: Current levels are likely as close to bottom as it can get, barring external factors like politics or tariffs.
๐จ Key Level to Watch: Weekly close above $78,000 will reinforce bullish trend.
โ ๏ธ Remember to DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
BTC.... HOLD THE LINE!!!!BTC is still on a daily downtrend however every lower time frame structure can provide evidence of a reversal. Bitcoins price is at critical levels of support and as long it holds the line Class Bullish Divergence is all we need to get some follow-through. CHOCH is the evidence we need.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
#Bitcoin is in tight spot! Update here.#Bitcoin : BTC is in a tight spot right now. It failed to break above the 50 and 100 EMAs and is currently trying to hold above the 200 EMA. Thatโs the last major support keeping it together at the moment.
The good news? Weโre likely approaching a bottom soon. Letโs see how the weekly candle closes. Close below 82k will be a bad signalling the short term.
Also, donโt forget thereโs still some liquidity near the daily FVG zone, early 70Ks. Thatโs a stretch from here, but still worth keeping in mind.
Most importantly, be cautious and prioritize capital preservation. Practice proper risk management.
DYOR. NFA.
#Crypto
Bitcoin short setup ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now Iโm expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
Small Up To 90300$ Then Straight Down To The 70k๐ฅ Nothing Changed About My Bitcoin Scenario
๐ Still The Price Playing At The Rising Wedge And Probably We Will Have a One More Leg up To The 90300$ As a Wave 5 From C PRZ
๐ Totally Bitcoin Structure Is Bearish For Me And 70k Is a Main Target I Expect
Bitcoin Might Be another Bull Trap?Bitcoin currently printed a bullish divergence on the daily time frame with a divergence sequence on the hourly time frame, we can use this as context to see a rally, but we can't be so sure yet whether it would continue or be a bull trap because of the 3 wave pattern that bitcoin made when it hit lower lows, this suggests an ABC correction that could be a Wave B for an expanded flat pattern.
BTC/USDT Long Setup โ Bullish Reversal?BTC/USDT has bounced from the 0.382 Fibonacci level, confirming support near 76,384. Price is now testing the 0.618 retracement at 78,430. A breakout above this level could lead to a continuation toward 82,392, aligning with the 0.786 level.
Order setup:
๐ Entry: Around 78,400 - 78,500
๐ฏ Target: 82,300, with potential extension to 83,000
๐ Stop Loss: Below 76,380
The setup follows a Fibonacci-based retracement strategy with confirmation from volume increase and RSI support.
๐ก Risk Management: Always follow a risk management strategy and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
๐ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for personal record-keeping and educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin โ Macro Elliott Wave Analysis1๏ธโฃ A Correctional Structure (Flat Scenario)
If we assume the entire move from 69K โ 15K โ 109K โ Now is part of a large flat correction, then:
69K โ 15K = Wave A (in 5 waves)
15K โ 109K = Wave B (also appears as 5, but could be a complex 3)
109K โ Now = Wave C (final leg of the flat)
Now, inside wave C:
We may have already completed 5 waves down from 109K to 74K
โ โ
This fits a running flat scenario
OR this could be just wave (1) of C, and we still need waves (2)(3)(4)(5)
โ In that case, 52Kโ64K is still a possible final target for C
If this is an Expanded Flat, price may even go below 15K, then reverse.
Regardless of which flat:
๐บ Wave 3 will follow โ a massive bull run targeting minimum 140K, possibly even 300Kโ500K
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2๏ธโฃ A Totally New Cycle
Another possibility is that the move from 15K โ 109K is actually Wave 1 of a brand new macro cycle, meaning:
The move from 109K to 74K = Wave A (5-wave correction)
Now we are likely in wave B, potentially heading back to 88โ90K+
Then weโll see wave C, possibly targeting 52โ64K
Once this ABC correction is done:
๐บ We begin Wave 3 of the new cycle, targeting the same region: 220K, 300K, or even higher
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โ
Bottom Line:
Scenario Correction Style Key Levels Outcome
Flat Running or Expanded 52Kโ64K (or <15K if expanded) Wave 3 toward 300โ500K
New Cycle ABC correction 88K โ 52Kโ64K Wave 3 of new cycle to 220โ400K
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Conclusion:
Whether this is a running flat, expanded flat, or the beginning of a new cycle โ
โณ Wave 3 is coming, and itโs shaping up to be the largest in Bitcoinโs history.
๐ Be ready โ the next bull run might not give many second chances.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #54๐ Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I will review the New York futures session triggers for you.
โก๏ธ The market has experienced a drop since yesterday, and I had identified the triggers for this drop in the previous analysis. Let's analyze today to see what we can do in the market.
โณ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price made a downward move after the triggers at 82633 and 81473 were activated, even breaking the important support at 79120 and now has rebounded from the area of 74760.
โ๏ธ If we draw a Fibonacci from this downward leg, we can find potential resistance levels. A few moments ago, there was also a fake news report from Trump stating that he would give 90 days to all countries except China to start tariffs, which, although fake, had a significant impact on the market.
๐ The market volume is very low, which makes it susceptible to such short and small news about tariffs to react this way.
๐ฐ If such news continues and the market acts emotionally, the technical analysis I perform for you will not be very reliable, and the price will move more emotionally.
๐ผ However, if these emotional moves end and the price stabilizes in these areas, the potential resistances we have are the Fibonacci levels of 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786, where the 0.5 and 0.786 areas overlap with static price resistances, and the 0.618 area, being the golden Fibonacci, could prevent further price drops.
๐ฅ The RSI oscillator, after a sharp fall and being mostly in Oversell yesterday, has finally exited this area and now reached around 50. If this area is broken in the RSI, the likelihood of a deeper correction will increase.
๐ Today, for a short position, we only have the break of the 74760 area, which I also suggest not opening a position with this trigger because the market has recently moved and needs to create a new structure.
๐ For long positions, according to the strategy I have, it does not make sense for me to open a position in this trend that has so much downward momentum. The best analogy is that when a knife is falling, you shouldn't try to catch it mid-air because it might cut your hand; you should wait for it to fall to the ground so you can pick it up safely without risk.
Let's look at the indices to take a look at the situation with altcoins.
๐ BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance has made another upward move after breaking 63.07. This caused altcoins to fall more than Bitcoin during this drop, and short positions on altcoins would have given us more profit compared to Bitcoin.
๐ In the analyses of Bitcoin and altcoins, I've repeatedly told you that for buying altcoins, we should wait until Bitcoin dominance starts to drop. That hasn't happened yet, and it still has a strong upward trend, so today if the market gives a short trigger, altcoins would be more logical.
๐
Total2 Analysis
As you can see, this index has fallen much more than Bitcoin, experiencing a very sharp downward leg upon activating the trigger at 965.
โญ Currently, I've only added the 949 line to the chart, which overlaps with the 0.786 Fibonacci of this downward leg, and I haven't added any other lines and am waiting for the price to create its structure.
โจ The nearest support the price has is 816, which is very important, and there is nothing else notable about Total2 yet, and we need to wait until a structure is created that can be analyzed.
๐ฒ The only opinion I can give for now is that the 816 area is very important, and reaching this area in Total2 could end its downward trend, which is more like a prediction than an analysis and is a gut feeling and currently has no logical reason.
๐
USDT.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Tether dominance, which is very similar to Total2 but seems like a reverse of it.
๐ Yesterday, the trigger at 5.53 activated simultaneously with 965 in Total2, and the dominance moved upward. There's not much I can analyze about this chart, and the main resistance is in the area of 6.34, which acts like the 816 in Total2.
โ Disclaimer โ
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.