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Whale Exposure to Global EconomyThe foreign-exchange (FX) market and the cryptocurrency market both rely on “market makers” and large “suppliers” to provide liquidity and facilitate trading—but the two systems operate on vastly different scales, under different rules, and with very different participant incentives. As crypto’s total capitalization races toward—and potentially beyond—\$5 trillion in the next major bull run, global markets will be increasingly exposed to crypto’s profit-maximizing whales and automated liquidity pools. Unless these structural differences are recognized and addressed, dramatic swings in crypto could spill over into traditional finance. Definition of Roles A market maker is an entity that continuously quotes buy and sell prices, profiting on the spread while absorbing order flow. In FX, these are predominantly regulated bank trading desks (J.P. Morgan, Deutsche Bank, UBS, etc.) that together handle roughly \$7.5 trillion in daily turnover. They operate under capital requirements, central-bank oversight, and risk-management frameworks designed to cap extreme volatility. In crypto, “market makers” include professional trading firms on centralized exchanges (e.g. Jump Trading, Wintermute) and code-driven Automated Market Makers (AMMs) like Uniswap, where any token holder can deposit assets into liquidity pools in return for fees. Unlike banks, AMM suppliers have no regulatory obligation to maintain quotes or hedge risk; they earn yield only when trading volume persists. A supplier (or “liquidity provider”) is any large holder whose stock of currency or tokens affects the supply available for trading. In FX, major commercial and investment banks also act as top suppliers, but they balance client flow management with broader fiduciary and policy considerations. Central banks even step in to smooth markets. In crypto, a tiny fraction of addresses control outsized shares: over 1.86 percent of addresses hold 90 percent of all Bitcoin, and whales with more than 1 million ETH own roughly 32 percent of Ethereum’s supply. These holders—driven by profit and market-timing motives rather than system stability—can on a whim remove or inject vast amounts of liquidity. Comparative Scale and Behavior Liquidity depth: FX’s interbank pool absorbs massive trades with minimal price impact. Crypto spot volume on top exchanges averages around \$60–80 billion per day—just one-one hundredth of FX volume. Many altcoins trade at volumes measured in single-digit millions, where a single whale order can move prices by double-digit percentages. Volatility and risk: FX volatility is largely driven by macroeconomic data and policy decisions. Crypto volatility is often directly caused by whale transactions: large accumulations off-exchange tighten supply; sudden sell-offs flood order books and trigger crashes. Traders routinely monitor whale wallet movements as a gauge of impending price swings. Market-making obligations: FX banks must quote two-way prices under regulatory frameworks. Crypto AMMs have no quote obligations; liquidity can vanish if token prices diverge from incentives, and CEX market-maker programs can be switched off if profitability erodes. Growing Crypto Caps and Global Exposure Over the past bull cycle, crypto’s total market capitalization surged from roughly \$1 trillion after the 2022 crash to more than \$3 trillion by late 2024. In a mature next bull rally—driven by factors like retail adoption, institutional investment via U.S. ETFs, and on-chain growth—analysts project total cap could reach \$5–10 trillion, perhaps even higher if adoption hits one billion users by 2030. In November 2024 alone, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw over \$3.5 billion of net inflows in a single week, signaling growing institutional interest. As crypto cap grows, profits accrue to whales who then have two options: reinvest in more crypto or deploy capital into traditional assets—equities, bonds, real estate, venture capital. When profit-maximizing whales move funds back into mainstream markets, they become new large suppliers in those markets. Their behavior—driven by short-term returns and unregulated by banking rules—can introduce episodes of excessive risk-taking, sudden mass reallocations, and cross-market contagion. A 30 percent price rally in crypto could translate into tens or hundreds of billions of dollars of buying power flowing into stocks or commodities, inflating asset bubbles. Conversely, a swift whale-led crypto sell-off could generate forced deleveraging in other markets. Risks and Recommendations 1. Opacity of supply: Unlike regulated banks, crypto whales and AMM pools operate pseudonymously. Policy makers should require greater transparency around large-wallet activity, potentially via on-chain reporting thresholds. 2. Market-making standards: Exchanges and AMM platforms could adopt minimum commitment obligations—analogous to FX banks’ two-way quoting—ensuring liquidity does not collapse when whale incentives shift. 3. Surveillance and circuit breakers: Crypto venues should implement robust guardrails—time-outs, price bands, and anomaly detection—to prevent cascading liquidations by large holders. 4. Cross-market safeguards: As crypto intersects with ETFs, pension funds, and corporate treasuries, regulators must recognize the systemic linkages and prepare macroprudential policies to mitigate spillovers. Conclusion Crypto markets will never mirror the deep, regulated interbank systems of FX. But as total crypto capitalization approaches and exceeds several trillion dollars, its profit-seeking whales stand poised to exert outsized influence not only on token prices but on the broader global economy. Recognizing the unique behaviors and incentives of crypto market makers and suppliers—and enacting tailored transparency, liquidity, and supervision measures—will be essential to contain the risk that tomorrow’s crypto bull run could unleash today’s market crisis.
Long
by mertenes3
#BTC reaches the support line, be cautious about rebounding📊#BTC reaches the support line, be cautious about rebounding⚠️ 🧠From a structural perspective, we tested the resistance area near 110,000 again yesterday, but failed to break through. The price has stabilized after pulling back to the uptrend support line, so we need to be alert to the risk of rebound⚠️ ➡️If we still cannot break through the resistance area near 110,000 this time, we should be alert to the arrival of a plunge. After breaking the downtrend support line, I expect a deep correction phase to begin. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
Dont Rush to The Market - Possible correction to 97k🥱 Boring market. Nothing has changed for BTC — it’s still ranging. 👉 The price was rejected from the main trendline and is currently trading below it. We had a sharp move from the $75K level and in a short term any breakdown from 106k will lead the price toward a 97K region 📥 BTC made a new all-time high, but altcoins haven’t moved yet — in fact, most of them have even made lower lows at low timeframe, In the next update, I’ll explain the reason behind this behavior 📣 I didn’t opened any position recently and still im totally out of the market
Short
by Bullish_Traders
Mastering the ICT Power of 3 concept - How to use it in trading!The financial markets often appear chaotic and unpredictable, but behind the scenes, institutional players operate with clear strategies that shape price action. One such strategy is the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) "Power of 3" model, a framework used to understand and anticipate market cycles through three key phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. This guide will break down each of these phases in detail, explaining how smart money operates and how retail traders can align themselves with the true direction of the market.

 What will be discussed? - The 3 phases - Examples of the PO3 - How to trade the PO3 - Tips for trading the PO3 The 3 phases Accumulation 
 The Accumulation Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model refers to the initial stage of a market cycle where institutional or "smart money" participants quietly build their positions. During this time, price typically moves sideways within a tight range, often showing little to no clear direction. This is intentional. The market appears quiet or indecisive, which is designed to confuse retail traders and keep them out of alignment with the real intentions of the market's larger players. In this phase, smart money is not looking to move the market dramatically. Instead, they are focused on accumulating long or short positions without drawing attention. They do this by keeping price contained within a consolidation zone. The idea is to gather enough liquidity, often from unsuspecting retail traders entering early breakout trades or trying to trade the range, before making a more aggressive move. Manipulation The Manipulation Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model is the second stage that follows accumulation. This phase is where smart money deliberately moves the market in the opposite direction of their intended move to trigger retail stop losses, induce emotional decisions, and create liquidity. After price has consolidated during accumulation, many retail traders are either already positioned or have orders waiting just outside the range, either stop losses from those trading the range or breakout orders from those anticipating a directional move. The manipulation phase exploits this positioning. Price will often break out of the accumulation range in one direction, appearing to confirm a new trend. This move is designed to look convincing, it might even come with a spike in volume or momentum to draw traders in. However, this breakout is a false move. It doesn’t represent the true intention of smart money. Instead, it's meant to sweep liquidity, triggering stop losses above or below the range, and then reverse sharply. This stop run provides the liquidity needed for large players to finalize their positions at optimal prices. Once enough liquidity is collected, and retail traders are caught offside, the real move begins. Distribution The Distribution Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model is the final stage of the cycle, following accumulation and manipulation. This is where the true intention of smart money is revealed, and the market makes a sustained, directional move, either bullish or bearish. Unlike the earlier phases, distribution is marked by clear price expansion, increased volatility, and decisive momentum. After smart money has accumulated positions and shaken out retail traders through manipulation, they have the liquidity and positioning needed to drive the market in their desired direction. The distribution phase is where these positions are "distributed" into the broader market, meaning, institutions begin to offload their positions into the retail flow that is now chasing the move. Retail traders, seeing the strong trend, often jump in late, providing the liquidity for smart money to exit profitably. This phase is typically what retail traders perceive as the real trend, and in a sense, it is. However, by the time the trend is obvious, smart money has already entered during accumulation and profited from the manipulation. What appears to be a breakout or trend continuation to most retail participants is actually the final leg of the smart money’s strategy. They are now unloading their positions while price continues to expand. Examples of the Power of 3 How to trade the PO3? Start by identifying a clear accumulation range. This typically happens during the Asian session or the early part of the London session. Price moves sideways, forming a consolidation zone. Your job here isn’t to trade, but to observe. Draw horizontal lines marking the high and low of the range. These become your key liquidity zones. Next, anticipate the manipulation phase, which usually occurs during the London session or at the NY open. Price will often break out of the range, triggering stop losses above the high or below the low of the accumulation zone. This move is deceptive, it is not the real trend. Do not chase it. Instead, wait for signs of rejection, such as a sharp reversal after the liquidity grab, imbalance filling, or a shift in market structure on a lower timeframe (like a 1- or 5-minute chart). Once manipulation has swept liquidity and price starts showing signs of reversing back inside the range or beyond, you now look for a confirmation of the true move, this begins the distribution phase. You enter in the direction opposite of the manipulation move, ideally once price breaks a structure level confirming that smart money has taken control. For example, if price consolidates overnight, fakes a move to the downside (running sell stops), and then quickly reverses and breaks above a key swing high, that's your signal that the true move is likely up. Enter after the break and retest of structure, using a tight stop loss below the recent low. Your target should be based on liquidity pools, fair value gaps, or higher-timeframe imbalances. The key to trading the Power of 3 is patience and precision. You're not trying to catch every move, but to wait for the market to complete its cycle of deception and then ride the clean expansion. Ideally, your entry comes just after manipulation, and you hold through the distribution/expansion phase, taking partials at key liquidity levels along the way. Tips for trading the PO3
 1. Learn price movements Before you can effectively apply the ICT Power of 3 strategy, it’s crucial to have a deep understanding of how price behaves. This means being comfortable identifying market structure, recognizing trend direction, and interpreting candlestick dynamics. Since the Power of 3 is deeply rooted in how price moves in real time, a strong grasp of these basics will give you the confidence to read the market correctly as each phase develops. 2. Analyse multiple timeframes Although the Power of 3 pattern shows up on lower timeframes, relying on just one can lead to misreads. You’ll gain a clearer picture when you align the short-term view with higher timeframe structure. For example, what appears to be accumulation on the 15-minute chart may simply be a retracement in a larger trend on the 1-hour or daily. By examining multiple timeframes together, you can better identify the true setup and avoid being tricked by noise. 3. Exercise patience A key part of trading the Power of 3 is knowing when to act, and more importantly, when not to. It’s easy to get impatient during the accumulation or manipulation phases, but entering too early often leads to frustration or losses. True discipline comes from waiting for the expansion or distribution phase, when the market reveals its real direction. This is where the most favorable risk-to-reward setups occur. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
63
BTC - the trendline no-one is watchingDaily TF / logarithmic chart A trendline has been in play since September 2023 where Bitcoin has found support on multiple occasions (thick white line). With a brief breakthrough in April. Currently looking a bearish div. on 4H chart which would signify a move down. Using the fib chart, a break below said trendline could take us to the 618 which is also a liquidity-rich zone (around 66-68K price range). The trendline could begin to act as resistance if this scenario plays out. Based on previous Bitcoin halving cycles the "peak" always occurs in Nov-Dec of the year following the halving event 2013 / 2017 / 2021... 2025?
Short
by Strength_in_numbers
Bitcoin Is Crashing! Sell Everything? Panic! What To Do?It is true that a strong correction can push Bitcoin below $90,000 or even a test of $80,000 or $82,000, the question is this, is this the big correction or is this just a small retrace? Should I panic take-profits sell everything now or... Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, you have great questions and these questions are very relevant if you are trading based on the short-term term. Continue reading, boost and follow for great information. Stay up-to-date. Resistance has been confirmed and Bitcoin is moving lower now. There is a lower high and the continuation of the bearish move. How far down can it go? Anything is possible as always. Just as Bitcoin can grow strongly non-stop, it can also correct (move lower) without a pause and produce a full market flush. A flush mean liquidation for all traders that have too much leverage or bought late. If you bought around $78,800 or $85,000, you are safe. If you bought higher, you need to worry and act fast because market conditions are about to change. What one does the rest follows? Bitcoin is just one project and the bigger cycle is king but a strategy is needed for situations like this. A cryptocurrency trading plan needs to be developed before buying. Preparing for all scenarios should be done before. Sell at resistance (now!), buy at support (later). The market can crash and it will move lower going down fast and strong but the Altcoins remain the same. Conditions on Altcoins all good nothing changes let Bitcoin do a normal retrace, nothing to worry about but those who don't read will get REKT. So, buy and hold. Continue to accumulate. We are in this long-term. Yes, Bitcoin will drop but this is nothing more than a retrace. Panic or no panic, some people will sell everything and that's a mistake. Always do the math beforehand and avoid future mistakes. If you have any questions, leave a comment. It is going down but for how long? How far down will it go? The numbers are clearly shown on the chart. We will continue to buy Altcoins. Bitcoin—and everything else—is going up! Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
11
How to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend ShiftsHow to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend Shifts in BTC Chart: BTC/USDT (1D) Tool Used: Sentiment Cycle Indicator Type: Educational – How to interpret sentiment shifts and time corrections. ⸻ 🟢 What the Indicator Does: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator is designed to help identify emotional cycles in price movements by mapping bullish (green) and bearish (red) sentiment zones directly on the chart background. It highlights sentiment clusters using a combination of volume behavior, price structure, and trend alignment , helping traders anticipate trend continuation or possible exhaustion. ⸻ ✅ Recent Performance: 📈 In the most recent BTC rally (from ~60,000 to 110,000+ USDT), • The indicator captured the uptrend early, turning the background consistently green starting mid-October 2024. • Multiple Buy signals (green arrows) confirmed trend conviction. • Even during minor pullbacks, green sentiment persisted — signaling strength. 📉 Now, the green sentiment zone has faded, and red zones are reappearing, indicating a potential sentiment shift: • This transition may be an early warning of correction or distribution phase. • Several Sell signals (red arrows) have recently fired as well, validating the shift. ⸻ 🔍 Current Interpretation: • Bullish sentiment has weakened — background color has turned neutral-to-red. • Sentiment exhaustion is likely, and this could mark the start of a distribution or corrective phase. • The absence of new buy signals despite recent price highs further supports this view. 📌 What to watch next: • If red zones deepen and persist → correction is likely. • If green zones reappear quickly with renewed Buy signals → resumption of uptrend is possible. ⸻ 📚 How-To Use the Indicator: 1. Watch the background color: • Green → Accumulation or markup. • Red → Distribution or markdown. 2. Buy/Sell Markers: • Use arrows as confirmation — not standalone signals. • Best results when aligned with sentiment zone and price structure. 3. Volatility Filter: • Sideways zones (mixed bands) indicate indecision — avoid overtrading here. ⸻ 🧠 Final Thoughts: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator isn’t just about price – it’s about the emotion behind price. As BTC shows signs of sentiment fading, this could be a pivotal time to re-evaluate bullish bias and prepare for a cooling phase or even deeper correction. Let the market’s mood guide your strategy.
by TradeTechanalysis
Bitcoin - Bulls in Control $113k Next targetBitcoin just delivered a textbook bullish reaction following a decisive liquidity sweep beneath the 4H range lows. Instead of continuing lower or entering a consolidation phase, price responded with immediate strength, snapping back with velocity, reclaiming structural levels, and rejecting decisively from a key Fair Value Gap (FVG). This kind of aggressive post-sweep price action usually signals the end of a stop hunt and the beginning of a new directional leg, which, given the current structure, is leaning heavily to the upside. This is not just a random bounce, it’s a clear shift in intent. The behavior we’re seeing reflects a strategic move by smart money: first clear out liquidity from trapped longs and eager breakout sellers, then reverse and defend key zones that align with institutional discount pricing. The result? A bullish narrative that looks ready to drive price significantly higher. Liquidity Sweep and FVG Reclaim The initial sharp drive lower ran through the 4H lows, which had built up significant liquidity from both early long entries and breakout traders looking for continuation. This kind of move is engineered, designed to clean the board before a major shift. Price wicked deep into a 4H Fair Value Gap and immediately snapped back above it, closing strong and leaving behind a long lower wick. That reaction tells a story: there was demand waiting, and it stepped in with authority. The Fair Value Gap wasn't just tested, it was respected. The fact that price closed back above the gap, after wicking through it, confirms it wasn't simply a liquidity grab but also a moment of rebalancing. The imbalance created earlier was filled efficiently, and the market moved on. That combination of liquidity sweep, deep FVG test, and bullish close is often what marks the end of manipulation and the beginning of a true move. It's a clear signal of smart money stepping in and defending value. Structural Shift and Accumulation Signal Following the sweep, the structure shifted rapidly. Price reclaimed the previous 4H support base that had been broken during the stop hunt, invalidating the bearish continuation thesis and instead suggesting accumulation. This is classic behavior after a manipulation low, price doesn’t hesitate or consolidate much, it simply turns with strength. We’re also seeing signs of absorption and accumulation, particularly in the way price rejected cleanly from discount levels and stabilized within the FVG range. Multiple attempts to break down have failed, and the bounce wasn’t just reactive, it came with commitment. With each retest of the 110.3K resistance, that level weakens structurally. What began as resistance is now showing signs of turning into a launchpad. If this is indeed the final leg of an accumulation phase, we should expect a marked expansion soon. The setup aligns with smart money accumulation logic: sweep liquidity, shift structure, trap shorts, and then displace with force. Price Targets and Expectations The 110.3K level remains the most immediate point of interest. It has acted as resistance multiple times, but each rejection has grown weaker. If price clears this level with conviction, ideally through a sharp displacement candle, the breakout has legs. Above that, we enter clean air with little resistance overhead. The next logical target becomes 113K, which aligns both psychologically and technically with the next liquidity cluster. It’s an untested zone and represents the next area where sellers might appear. However, given the strength of the reversal and lack of major supply between 110.3K and 113K, price could move swiftly once the breakout is confirmed. Longer-term, if momentum holds and Bitcoin maintains strength above 110.3K, we could see a retest of the all-time highs come into focus sooner than expected. But for now, the priority is to monitor how price interacts with 110.3K and look for signs of breakout strength or failed move traps. Conclusion Bitcoin isn’t in a boring range or slow grind, it just executed a classic liquidity play: sweep, react, reclaim. The reaction off the 1H Fair Value Gap that followed the 4H sweep is a strong signal that the market has shifted gears. With clear signs of demand stepping in and structure now favoring the bulls, the 110.3K level looks increasingly vulnerable. If that breaks, the path toward higher prices, including 113K and beyond, opens up fast. The overall context has shifted from consolidation to directional expansion, and everything about the recent move points toward the bulls regaining control. Keep your eyes on the structure, the volume, and the displacement above key levels, the next leg could be explosive. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
35
BTC Short analysis + GRID Bot Scalper Strategy for BTC FuturesHELLO DEAR TRADERS, If you're reading this right now, consider yourself one of the lucky few. You're gaining access to insights that, until now, have remained exclusive — reserved for a very small circle of insiders and influencers. For a long time, we've hesitated to step into the spotlight and reveal the deeper truth behind the movements of financial markets. But everything comes in due time… and that time is getting closer. Have you ever wondered how figures like Trump or Elon Musk always seem to bet on the right horse? Many believe they're the ones moving the markets — but that’s far from the truth. The real secret? Their teams have access to advanced tools and knowledge — the right kind of science — to analyze the markets in ways most people can’t even imagine. We won't go into too much detail here — some information is too powerful (and risky) to be shared publicly. But remember this: "Trading is a game. And if you know the rules, you always play to win." Starting today, we’ll be introducing a completely new vision of how to trade the financial markets — or any asset whose price is reflected on a chart. Get ready to see the markets like never before. 🔥 Scalping Made Simple: The Power of GRID Bots If you're serious about scalping the markets, one of the most effective tools at your disposal is the GRID trading bot. When properly configured, it can deliver consistent, automated profits by executing micro-trades around the clock. Let’s be real: Sitting in front of charts all day, hunting for the perfect sniper entry, is not just exhausting — it’s inefficient. Why not let automation do the heavy lifting while you focus on strategy? ________________________________________ ⚙️ AUTO SCALPER MODE: ON (SHORT TERM BOT Here are the optimal parameters to configure your GRID BOT on Binance for effective scalping: 🔧 Recommended Settings: o Trading Pair: BTC/USDTP (futures GRID) o Mode: Grid Trading (long) o Price Range: 105000 – 112000 USDT o Current leverage : x18 o Number of Grids: 22-25 levels o Order Size: Depends on your capital) o Profit Mode: Arithmetic o Margin mode : isolated o Trailing up : Disabled o Take-Profit: 112000 o Stop-Loss: 104000 o Open a position on creation : Disabled o Close all position on stop: Enabled o Close all positions on TP/SL stops: Enabled 📌 Notes : ⚠️The settings listed aboce have been meticulously calculated using precise algorithmic models. Every parameter serves a purpose — and even the slightest deviation can significantly impact performance, potentially leading to capital loss. ⚠️Do not judge the bot’s performance based on its real-time PNL. The true profit is only realized once the bot reaches its target and closes all active orders. ⚠️These bots are designed with high-level precision, offering a powerful edge when configured and used correctly. ✋ Manual Entries (For Experienced Traders) If you're a more advanced trader, you can combine the GRID bot with manual entries based on: o Buy orders listed on the chart o You can enter a buy position at any price within the defined range on the chart — as long as the price does not break above the upper boundary of that range o Using leverage is possible, but only under one condition: -Your stop-loss and liquidation price must always remain below the highest protected low or in the SL area o Your stop loss should always be bellow the highest protected Low 🔍 Disclaimer: This is our personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. 💬 What’s your take on this? Drop your thoughts in the comments and feel free to share this with your friends! ❤️
Long
by LEETALGOCONCEPT_Mentor
2
Is the momentum in Bitcoin EXHAUSTED? Or not yet?In recent days, Bitcoin has been actively updating its ATH almost daily. Everyone is already predicting $150,000 by the end of the month. 🔥 But is everything really so rosy? Let's take a closer look! During the powerful growth over the past month, two gaps have formed below us. The first is at $97,368–102,867. The second is at $85,158–93,232. And as we know, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later. 📊 Technical: Liquidity zones - as we know, the price moves from liquidity to liquidity, which pushes it in one direction or another. Right now, there is practically no liquidity above us; it is all concentrated below. Only a move to $99,000 can now liquidate more than a billion dollars in longs. I think short sellers' stops are much higher, at $120,000 and above. There is no point in placing them here when there is still no confirmation of a trend reversal. ⚙️ Metrics and indicators: Volume - as I say in every review - is not a new growth impulse. It is a technical rebound. It has been moving at reduced volumes all along, which have only continued to decline. MACD - has already given a bearish crossover , but this is certainly not the best indicator on such a TF. However, in combination with other indicators, it can predict a trend reversal at the right time. DSRZ - shows the volume of interest at certain levels, and now we see that the first block of interest is concentrated in the $106,000–104,000 zone. These are the first support levels, from which I will expect the first rebound if the correction continues. Liquidation Levels - as I said, all liquidity is now concentrated at the bottom. Bitcoin is very overheated and it's time to cool it down. Many think that it will be overheated when, as in the previous cycle, funding will be 0.2 and above. But this is a different cycle, a different time, different traders, and different rules. This has already been proven more than once in this cycle. 📌 Conclusion: I have said many times that we should not expect much from this momentum and that it is purely a technical rebound. And if something does not push us sharply upward now to bring in retail, we can definitely not expect it before the fall. Summer is coming, investors and traders will close their positions and go on vacation. The market will be quiet. So, personally, I am leaning back in my chair, expecting a price of at least $85,000, and watching what happens next. 🥃
Short
by Crypto_Inside_trading
1
BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis#BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis Current market context: BTC has completed the 5th wave, reaching the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and printing a new ATH. A correction phase now appears likely — and may serve as the foundation for the next bullish impulse. 📆 W1 – Weekly Timeframe 🔹 Price reached $112,200 (2.618 Fibo extension) 🔹 A top fractal has formed – a potential early signal for a short- to medium-term correction 🔹 Key correction zone:  • $97,700 – $93,250 – $88,860 🔹 Weekly close will be important for confirmation — especially if we see a close below the channel 📉 D1 – Daily Timeframe 🔹 A 3-wave corrective structure appears to be forming 🔹 Potential breakdown from the rising channel 🔹 Watch for retracement levels:  • $97,700 (0.618)  • $93,250 (0.5)  • $88,860 (0.382) 🔁 These areas are ideal zones for re-entry and long setups in trend continuation ⏳ H4 – Tactical Entry Opportunity 🔹 Wave 3 is forming to the downside 🔹 Entry possible on channel retest or breakout confirmation 🎯 Trade idea parameters: Entry: 106,493.44 (or retest confirmation on H4) Take Profits (TP): • 103,135.48 • 97,721.82 • 93,250.02 • 88,963.55 Stop Loss: 112,341.18
Short
by Trade-U-Metta
Wed May 28 BTCAfter a month of continuous failed short trades, I’ve stepped back from the market. At this point, staying flat feels like the most strategic move. This rebound is unlike anything I’ve experienced over the past 5 years of trading — it may even be the strongest rally since COVID. This raises a critical question: Is the economic recession over? Or are we witnessing a dead cat bounce before a much deeper downturn? Rather than forcing a direction, I’m focusing on observing structure, volume, and key breakout zones. I'm resisting the urge to predict and instead preparing to react based on confirmation. BINANCE:BTCUSDT CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Porsche_911_
1
BTC Market Idea – May 28, 2025Hey everyone—BTC crew and beyond! Good to be back with a fresh take to navigate this market together. Let’s get into it! What’s Going On: We’re in a new, broader range, with a mini range at the top that popped up before the breakdown. That VAL at 110,433 is our big decision point—will we reclaim it or get rejected? The NQ and SPX500 are looking bullish, which usually gives BTC a lift. Good signs ahead! Plus, there’s some hype with Trump Media buying BTC and other bullish news floating around. Keep an eye on that! Where to Jump In (Longs) If we dip to 105,500 and hold above those recent lows, it’s a solid long spot. Stop loss can be tailored below 104,500, depending on your risk. The 103,500 zone—where POC and Monthly VWAP meet (red line)—is the strongest support. A bounce here could be huge. The 101,500 zone—VAL of the broader range (blue line)—is another critical support. This level is key, so adjust stops based on your strategy. Short Opportunity If we push to a new ATH around 115,000 but can’t hold 112,000 (recent highs) and start slipping, that’s a short signal. Short Entry: Jump in below 112,000 if you see a clear rejection (check LTFs for a bearish candle). Aim for 105,500 or even better the range VAL at 101,700. Stop above 113,000, adjustable to your plan. This works if the move up fizzles out—let’s catch that fading momentum! Breakout Watch (Long) For a real bullish run, we need 1-2 consecutive closes above 110,500. If we hit 115,000 and pull back, stay sharp—support matters. Check LTFs to confirm! My Vibe? That 110,500 VAL is where it’s at—break it for upside, or reject it. I’m watching 112,000 for a short if we lose steam after an ATH push, but I’m also eyeing longs at 105,500, 103,500, or 101,500 if we dip. Let’s trade smart, double-check those LTFs, and roll as a crew!
Long
by StihlBtChainSaw
3