Bitcoin TA 25.4.5Hello friends, I hope you are doing well. In this daily timeframe, we have an order block that has caused a price level to break. Inside this daily order block, there is a hidden order block that can be observed in the 4-hour timeframe, which has the potential to push the price down to $74,000. We are waiting for the price to reach this order block as indicated in the chart, and then we will look for a trigger in the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes to set up a short position with a target of $74,000. This is my roadmap. If there are any changes, I will definitely inform you.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.5
⚠️(DYOR)
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BTCUST trade ideas
levels to watch I had previously highlighted a potential top around the 100-108k range, with a measured target of around the 75k level. The market did, in fact, drop to around 76k. For now, it's respecting the uptrend channel, and we can expect the market to target 90,000. If those levels are breached, it could push the market above 100,000, with new highs potentially reaching around 125,000, as I mentioned in my earlier article.
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Analysis !!Current Price: $83,809
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a possible breakout soon.
Upper Resistance: Around $86,000
Lower Support: Around $82,000
Key Support Levels: $79,183 and $78,424
Bullish Breakout (Green Arrow)
If BTC breaks above the resistance trendline (~$86K), it could see a strong move towards $90K-$92K.
Confirmation would be a candle close above $86K with volume.
Bearish Breakdown (Red Arrow)
If BTC loses the support trendline (~ GETTEX:82K ), it could drop towards $79K-$78K.
The candle closing below GETTEX:82K could fuel further selling.
Market Sentiment:
Fear & Greed Index: 28 (Fear) – Investors remain cautious.
The direction of the breakout will depend on market sentiment and volume.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Intraday Analysis – Range-Bound Trading & Key LevelsHello traders,
Today we’re focusing on Bitcoin’s intraday timeframe to identify potential trade setups and key price levels. Over the past week, BTC has been moving sideways, forming a defined intraday range. Understanding this structure can help us anticipate likely rotations and plan trades accordingly.
Key Technical Points:
• Established Range: High at $87,459 and low at $80,692 – price continues to rotate within this zone.
• Short Setup Objective: Watch for weakness on a retest of $86,037 to potentially short back down toward the range low.
• Significant Liquidity Levels: Major high at $88,560 and key low at $76,545 – likely future targets if internal structure breaks.
The current intraday structure suggests Bitcoin is stuck in a sideways range. If price rejects at $86,037, this could offer a high-probability short opportunity targeting the lower range boundary. On the flip side, holding above the point of control could fuel an impulsive move toward upper resistance.
From a trading perspective, this is still a rotational environment. Until we see a clean break of the range highs or lows, it’s likely BTC continues to chop within these bounds. As always, discretionary trade management is crucial—especially in range-bound conditions where false breakouts can occur. Patience and reaction over prediction remains key.
Psychology Over Indicators: 1M USDT DisputeIt seems we’ve finally touched what can be considered the bottom. One last leg down may still be on the table — if some players decide to fully exit before positioning themselves for what comes next.
Let me briefly introduce myself. I’m Alex. I build crypto projects from the ground up — from token design to long-term fundamental development. That’s my core expertise. But today, I'm here for a different reason.
A close colleague of mine believes that trading success comes from mastering indicators. I believe otherwise. In my view, indicators are just tools — and knowing how to use them is more than enough. What truly drives performance over time is mindset: psychology, philosophy, and emotional clarity. Without those, no indicator will save you.
To prove this point, we’ve decided to make it real. We’re backing this disagreement with a 1,000,000 USDT trading challenge. Real capital. Real trades. Real psychology at play.
This TradingView account will serve as a public log — a transparent, immutable space to document every step of the process. No edits. No deletes. Just pure execution, reflection, and results.
If you're interested in the psychological dimension of trading — beyond the noise, beyond the charts — you're welcome to follow along. This isn’t about hype. It’s about proof.
Stay sharp,
Alex
Check if it can rise along the rising trend line (2)
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We need to see if USDT and USDC can continue the gap uptrend.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47 and maintains or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to record a larger decline.
Therefore, you should think about how to respond to the altcoins you are trading.
If the uptrend continues, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0 (73.63) ~ 1 (77.07).
In order for the altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to begin an upward trend, the USDT dominance must fall below 4.97 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
If it does not, and it rises, the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
We need to see if it can meet resistance near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 and fall.
If not, the coin market will show a large downward trend as it rises to around 7.14.
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USDT is likely to continue to rise.
This is because it is the fund that supports the coin market.
Due to this, USDT dominance is also likely to continue its upward trend.
Therefore, rather than following the overall flow of USDT dominance, it is better to look at where it starts to decline.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart while maintaining the price above the upward trend line (2) and passing through April 4-6 is the key.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 89294.25, so if possible, we should also look at whether it can rise above 89294.25.
If it does not and falls along the downward trend line, it is possible that it will touch around 73499.86 during the volatility period around April 25.
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The most recently formed high-point trend line is trend line (3).
And, the recently formed low-point trend line is the (2) trend line.
Since these two trend lines are not moving in one direction, we can see that we are currently in the volatility zone.
If the StochRSI indicator rises this time and forms a peak in the overbought zone and then falls, the high-point trend line will draw an upward trend line like the low-point trend line.
When that happens, it seems likely that the trend will start.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the two volatility periods in this April, around April 5 and around April 25, will become turning points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC range.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTC Update
I haven’t posted an update for a while, but the overall picture remains unchanged. 📊
🔹 I’m still watching the $70-73K zone, where strong support has formed.
🔹 The market continues to decline, and altcoins keep hitting new lows.
🔹 For the market to finally move upward, we need a final impulse, which is still missing.
Do you think we’ll see that impulse soon? 🚀👇
Bitcoin Update on 31.03.2025🔹 Bitcoin Update 🔹
Bitcoin's recent gains have been rejected, aligning with last week's movement. Now, price has two key scenarios:
📌 Scenario 1: A potential bounce from Arrow #4 could lead to upward movement.
📌 Scenario 2: If Bitcoin fails to hold, we may see a wick down to retest the Yellow Zone before reversing back up towards Arrow #5.
⚠️ Arrow #2 is a critical level on the monthly timeframe.
If today's price action shows strong bullish momentum and closes above the Black Line, we could reject the retracement on the monthly timeframe. However, failure to do so could signal the start of a deeper retracement.
💡 Overall: Bitcoin remains in a range/downtrend with insufficient strength to confirm a full trend reversal.
🔔 Stay alert for confirmations before making decisions!
BTC — bull trap in the makingPrice is approaching a descending trendline, and a fake breakout toward $90K could offer a clean short setup.
1️⃣ Trendline test incoming
BTC is nearing a key downward trendline. A breakout could trigger a push into the $88.7K– GETTEX:92K zone (H12 OB / range low).
2️⃣ Short setup area
If price reaches that zone, it becomes a prime candidate for short entries, targeting:
📉 $82.3K (monthly open)
📉 $76K–78K (D1 FVG zone)
3️⃣ Not a good spot now
At ~$85K, we’re stuck in “diddle in the middle” — no clear edge for new entries. Best to stay patient and wait for either:
Trendline breakout + deviation above $90K
Or weakness at $88.7K (previous weekly high)
4️⃣ Beware April games
Expect potential April manipulation — fake breakouts followed by sharp rejections. Stay sharp, and don’t chase pumps blindly.
🧭 Plan:
Wait for a clean sweep above $88.7K–$90K → watch PA for weakness → consider short.