Emotional Management — The Hidden ComponentIn this piece, I’ll touch on one of the most important topics — a core obstacle on the path to consistent and profitable trading.
We need to explore where certain emotions come from and how to work with them in order to better understand ourselves. What truly fits our nature, what common mistakes we make, and how to avoid them moving forward.
Until we learn how to navigate these internal roadblocks, we won’t be able to achieve stable financial results.
The Scariest Part
Let’s get straight to the point. The scariest thing that can happen to us in trading is a stop-loss being hit — in other words, taking a loss on a trade.
Scary? I don’t think so. This is a parameter we can control ourselves.
If we’re building a setup, we must define the size of the stop-loss — the amount we’re willing to risk if things go wrong.
And keep in mind: this risk will always be there, no matter how experienced or skilled you become. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking that this time is different — that this setup feels so strong, so obvious, that there’s no way it could fail.
Spoiler: that’s exactly when you should start tracking your trades.
Every time you feel this kind of overconfidence, log it in a spreadsheet. I can already tell you what you’ll find: 1 to 3 out of 10 of those “super strong” setups will end up hitting your stop. Which means — your feeling of conviction had zero correlation with how price actually moved. The market simply didn’t care what you thought about it.
And one step further: even if your technical model is solid and well-developed, you still can’t predict the future with certainty. That means you also can’t ever be 100% sure your stop won’t get hit.
Does that make sense? Good — let’s move on.
Loss
Since we’re not all-powerful, we have to use stop-losses — and calculate them in a way that, at the very least, doesn’t make us feel pain when they’re hit. At the same time, the stop should be set at an optimal level, so we still feel the potential for profit. Otherwise, our brain won’t engage with the market properly — it won’t sense the reward, and that can distort our analysis.
This often leads to vague, low-quality setups — but even that is far less dangerous than oversizing positions to the point where potential losses feel unbearable.
See that fine line? Most of trading psychology and emotional control comes down to how we relate to loss. That’s where the real pressure is rooted.
Emotional Space
We experience both negative and positive emotions — that’s the full spectrum.
Your trading will only be high-quality if you avoid emotional imbalance. In other words, you need to stay centered and calm. Any excess emotional charge — whether negative or positive — will inevitably work against you.
If you’re stuck in the negative zone, you’ll start feeling anger and frustration, which will cloud your judgment and prevent you from thinking clearly during the trading process.
But being too far into the positive zone is just as dangerous — it leads to greed and overconfidence, which often result in oversized positions and dangerously wide stop-losses.
Both ends of the spectrum, if left unchecked, will push you into tilt — a state where you can no longer evaluate reality objectively and start making impulsive decisions. This is how traders end up losing a significant part — if not all — of their account.
The Algorithm
Let’s go back to what we covered earlier — the core catalyst behind tilt: violating your predefined stop-loss size.
You must first determine a loss amount that feels emotionally tolerable to you. Ideally, this number should be fixed, and you should never exceed it (except later, as your account grows). Once you’ve done that, you now have a simple algorithm: you build your setups using the same fixed-risk amount — and under no circumstances should you go beyond that limit.
This creates awareness in the brain. It knows the predefined threshold, is prepared for a negative outcome, and remains calm. Imagine a circle — as long as you stay within it, in your zone of comfort, you can operate with clarity and discipline.
But the moment you step outside that circle, your mind starts to feel stress. And if you don’t catch yourself in time, that stress escalates — leading you straight into a tilt state.
Emotional Triggers
Here’s where it gets both complicated — and surprisingly simple. All you need to do is follow one rule. But even that becomes difficult for many, because they give in to greed — the kind that pushes you to increase position size just because the setup “feels certain” (something I’ve already mentioned before).
On the other side of the spectrum, anger and frustration start to build — especially if you’ve just taken a loss and your mind shifts into “recovery mode.”
That emotional urge makes you want to win it all back quickly, so you raise the size of your next trade — planning to return to your original account balance first, and then go back to your normal risk-management rules. That’s a fatal mistake.
Here’s my advice: when you're in a drawdown — emotionally and financially — you should actually lower your stop size, not increase it, until you get back to a neutral baseline.
Both negative emotions (sadness, anger, frustration, disappointment) and positive ones (joy, excitement, euphoria) can push you to break your risk limits. The emotional trigger may be different, but the outcome is the same: you oversize.
The only time you should be trading is when you're in a neutral state of mind — for example, operating from a place of interest or curiosity.
It’s All in Our Hands
Understand this: we are the only ones truly responsible for executing our plan. If we increase our position size beyond what we should — that’s on us. If you know you’re making a mistake, why let it happen anyway? We control the entire process. If we truly don’t want to blow the account, we won’t — because we’ve calculated the risk beforehand.
Let me repeat: if we follow the plan and don’t act impulsively, we will never blow our account. That’s the foundation for building consistency in trading.
But the more unstable our emotional state becomes, the easier it is to step outside that “mental circle” and trigger a stress response. That stress inevitably leads to tilt. You’ll start reacting to everything — someone was rude to you, a fear of not having money for food, whatever. It all begins to pour into your trading: chaotic entries, random sizing, total abandonment of your risk rules. And in most cases, this spiral ends with one thing — a blown account.
The Solution
That’s why you should always monitor your emotional state — and ideally, keep a journal where you track how you feel each day. The moment you notice that you’re starting to lose control, step away from trading immediately. That’s the smartest decision you can make. I say this from experience — it’s been proven many times.
Yes, it’s hard to do — I get it. But remind yourself of this: if you keep trading in that state, there’s a high chance you’ll lose a significant part of your account. And when that happens, you’ll feel even worse — blaming yourself for not stepping away when you could have.
So yes, it’s difficult — but still far easier than dealing with the damage. The best move is to shut down your trading platform and avoid looking at charts for at least three full days. Shift your focus to something else entirely — anything that helps you stop obsessing over the market.
When those thoughts disappear — the ones about urgently making money back or hitting a certain target — that’s when you’re ready to return to trading with a clear and steady mindset.
The Takeaway
This is the core of what happens inside us — and how to respond to it. In most cases, this is the exact cycle that plays out. Everything else — more unique emotional patterns, sudden urges to break your own limits — will emerge with time.
Your job is to learn how to spot those triggers, notice your internal reactions, and pull yourself away from the screen before the damage is done.
Wishing you strength and clarity on this path.
BTCUST trade ideas
Bitcoin will return to $100,000!Bitcoin has broken above the $91,000 zone, just as we anticipated.
On-Chain Insights:
• Long-Term Holders: Mild distribution — profit-taking phase
• Network Activity: Steady — strong and healthy
• Sentiment: Bullish — weak USD and rising institutional inflows
Macro Overview:
• U.S.–China tensions and Fed uncertainty boost Bitcoin’s safe-haven appeal
• Institutions are steadily increasing exposure — a strong positive signal
BTC/USDT Analysis: Approaching Resistance
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested our support zone at $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) and immediately received a buyer reaction.
At the moment, we are very close to long-term resistance levels. The buying activity appears relatively weak, and cumulative delta continues to decline, indicating that sellers might be accumulating positions. In the near term, a correction from one of the identified sell zones is expected.
The buyer zone at $92,000–$90,000 remains active but has slightly shifted lower to $91,500–$90,000.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
Do you think we’ll see a correction, or will Bitcoin reach $100,000 first?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
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Bitcoin - Rejection at Resistance: Watching $80K and BelowBitcoin is currently trading within a tight range between $84,000 and $85,000, a region that has acted as a strong resistance multiple times in the recent past. Bulls have tried to break through this level, but we’re starting to see some clear signs of exhaustion. Price is struggling to create a new higher high, and unless we see a clean breakout above this resistance, this could be the early signs of a lower high formation.
A failure to break out here would indicate that bullish momentum is starting to fade, and that sellers are gaining control again in this zone. This could open the door for a short-term pullback before we see any renewed upside.
Major Resistance Holding Price Down
The red zone on the chart marks a key supply area, where sellers continue to step in aggressively. Multiple rejections have formed here, which gives this level more weight. Unless Bitcoin sees a strong breakout above $85,000 with volume, this area will likely hold price down.
What we want to watch now is whether price can push through this resistance or whether it will roll over and confirm the rejection.
Short-Term Bearish Bias – Eyes on Imbalance Zone
If Bitcoin fails to break above this resistance, the most logical target on the downside becomes the $80,000 range. This level is interesting for two reasons:
It lines up with an unfilled imbalance zone on the 4H chart.
There’s also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in the same area.
This imbalance acts like a magnet for price, pulling price back into it to rebalance the inefficiency in the market. If momentum shifts to the downside, this is a very likely level for price to revisit. I’ll be watching this area closely for potential bullish reactions or continuation setups depending on how price behaves once we tap into it.
Strong Support and Golden Pocket Below
If the $80K zone doesn’t hold, I’ll be turning my attention towards the next major area of interest — the $78,500 level. This is where we have two very strong factors aligning:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (also known as the golden pocket).
A key historical support zone that has held well in previous pullbacks.
This level has a lot of confluence, which increases the chances of seeing a reaction or reversal from here if we drop that far. In my opinion, this is one of the strongest zones currently sitting below us. If price gets here, I’ll be watching closely for a solid long setup.
What Comes Next?
For now, I remain cautiously bearish in the short term. Price has been rejected at resistance and hasn’t shown the strength to break out just yet. If we start forming more lower highs and lose the support structure at $84K, I think we’ll make our way back down toward $80K.
What happens at that point will be key:
Bounce from $80K? We could get a short-term relief rally and retest the resistance.
Fail to hold $80K? Then I’m expecting price to dig deeper into the golden pocket and potentially find strong support at $78.5K.
At this stage, I’m not looking for longs unless price gives a clear reaction from one of the key levels below. The risk-to-reward on shorts looks more attractive while we remain under resistance.
Summary
Resistance at $85K–$84K is still holding strong.
If rejected here, I’m targeting $80K (imbalance zone).
Below that, $78.5K is a major support with golden pocket confluence.
Short-term bias is bearish unless we break above resistance with volume.
Watching for clean setups around these levels before taking action.
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #63👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, a short position could have been opened that might have already brought you good profit.
🔄 In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that if the price pulls back to the 85482 zone, gives a confirmation candle, and buying volume increases, you could open a long position. That didn’t happen—there was no confirmation candle, and the zone turned out to be a fake breakout.
👀 For a short position, I also mentioned that if the price fakes the breakout of this zone, you could enter a short position on lower time frames after the break of a short-term trigger, targeting 83233. This scenario played out exactly, and the price gave a trigger on lower time frames and dropped to 83233.
📉 But today we also have a trigger for opening a position, so don’t worry too much—you haven’t missed a lot. Yesterday’s position was opened in a risky context, and if you followed proper risk management, you shouldn’t have taken much risk on that position, and naturally, wouldn’t have made a large profit either.
🔑 A fake breakout of a box top indicates strong seller momentum, so currently, bearish momentum is stronger than bullish, and the price leans more toward decline. On the other hand, the 83233 zone is very significant, and the price has reacted to it several times, making it an important support zone.
📚 So, with that in mind, if the 83233 zone breaks, you can enter a short position. If, before breaking this zone, the price creates a lower high compared to 85482, we’ll have even more confirmation—because based on Dow Theory, when price fails to reach its previous high, it shows that buyers are weakening. So breaking the low, which overlaps with the 83233 support, gives us a very solid position.
💫 But an important point to consider is that the price formed several bullish legs before creating this box, so overall, the current market momentum is still more bullish, and all short positions carry more risk than long positions.
📈 For a long position, the 85482 zone remains a valid trigger, and if the price stabilizes above it, we might see the next bullish leg. Personally, I prefer that the price tests the 85482 zone once more so we can get a more accurate level, and then break it on a subsequent attempt, which would make opening a position easier.
✔️ Of course, even if the zone is broken on the first try, I’ll open a long position, but if it's broken on the second or third attempt, we can enter with more confidence and take more risk.
📊 After the range box was broken, market volume has been declining, and only a few candles have significant volume—these are considered outliers and can be ignored. So the most important thing is that if a trigger is activated, the volume should align with that direction and support the price move, showing convergence.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s take a look at Bitcoin dominance. It’s still bullish and, after breaking above 63.87, has continued its new bullish leg.
🧩 As a reminder, as long as BTC Dominance hasn’t changed trend or turned bearish on higher time frames like the daily or weekly chart, buying any altcoin isn’t logical. We need to wait for a trend change. For now, we see dominance as bullish, so long positions on Bitcoin and short positions on altcoins are suitable choices.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for Total2 analysis: yesterday, both short triggers I gave were activated, and the price moved downward.
🧲 Currently, a low has formed around the 932 zone, and if this zone breaks, the price could continue its downtrend. On the other hand, if the 947 zone breaks and the price moves back above it, we can consider opening a short-term long position in lower time frames.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. Yesterday, I mentioned that dominance was interacting with the 5.39 zone and that if it breaks, the market could move upward.
🚀 But that didn’t happen—instead, the price moved upward and even broke above the 5.53 ceiling. Currently, it’s returning to its range box again and may head back toward the 5.39 level. If that zone breaks, we can still take it as a confirmation of a bearish shift in dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)Before anything else, we shouldn't forget that through multiple analyses shared from the bottom on higher timeframes, we knew Bitcoin was highly bullish.
The red zone from the previous analysis has been engulfed and cleared | a lot of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move. It’s better to wait for a pullback now.
The price has now reached a resistance zone, where a large number of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move.
Also, the diametric pattern is still visible, and after the completion of wave F | which has just occurred | a reversal is expected for wave G.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29
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Please click "Boost" as well.
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
(1D chart)
(Movement in a wide range)
If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to.
It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out.
(Narrow range movement)
After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change.
The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend.
In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4).
-
As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point.
The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited.
If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Technical Analysis Indicators Cheat SheetHello, traders! 🦾
This cheat sheet provides a comprehensive overview of the most widely used technical analysis indicators. It is designed to support traders in analyzing trends, momentum, volatility, and volume.
Below, you’ll find a handy screenshot of this Cheat Sheet that you can save and peek at whenever you need a quick, friendly refresher on your trading indicators. ;)
1. Trend Indicators
These tools identify the direction and strength of price movements, critical for trend-following strategies.
Moving Averages (MA)
Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) smooth price data to highlight trends. Crossovers (e.g., 50-day vs. 200-day MA) signal potential trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – Tracks the difference between two EMAs, paired with a signal line to generate trade signals. A bullish crossover occurs when MACD rises above the signal line.
Parabolic SAR. Places dots above or below the price to indicate trend direction. Dots below the price suggest an uptrend; above, a downtrend.
ADX (Average Directional Index)
Measures trend strength (0–100). Values above 25 confirm a robust trend; below 20 indicate consolidation.
2. Momentum Indicators (Oscillators)
These indicators assess price movement speed and highlight overbought or oversold conditions.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Ranges from 0 to 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 indicating oversold. The divergence between the RSI and price can signal impending reversals.
Stochastic Oscillator –Compares closing price to the price range over a period (0–100). Above 80 is overbought; below 20, oversold. %K and %D line crossovers provide precise trade signals.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) – Measures price deviation from its average. Readings above +100 indicate overbought; below -100, oversold.
Williams %R – Similar to Stochastic, it measures distance from the period’s high (0 to 100). Above -20 is overbought; below -80, oversold.
3. Volatility Indicators
These tools quantify price fluctuation ranges to optimize trade timing.
Bollinger Bands – Comprises a 20-day SMA and two bands (±2 standard deviations). Narrow bands reflect low volatility; wide bands indicate high volatility. A price touching the outer bands may signal a reversal or trend continuation, depending on the context.
ATR (Average True Range) – Calculates the average price range over a period to gauge volatility. Higher ATR values denote greater market movement.
4. Volume Indicators
Volume-based indicators validate price movements and highlight market participation.
OBV (On-Balance Volume) – Cumulates volume to confirm price trends. The rising OBV, alongside rising prices, supports an uptrend. OBV divergence from price may foreshadow reversals.
Volume Oscillator – Compares two volume moving averages to evaluate buying or selling pressure. Positive values suggest stronger buying. It typically confirms breakouts or assesses the sustainability of a trend.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) – It analyzes money flow based on price and volume. Positive CMF indicates buying pressure; negative, selling pressure.
5. Other Key Indicators. Advanced Tools for Deeper Market Analysis.
Ichimoku Cloud – Combines five lines and a “cloud” to assess trend, momentum, and support/resistance. Price above the cloud signals an uptrend; below, a downtrend. Cloud thickness reflects the strength of support or resistance levels.
Fibonacci Retracement – Maps potential support and resistance using Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%).
Pivot Points – Derives support (S1, S2) and resistance (R1, R2) levels from the prior period’s high, low, and close.
Skills to Sharpen for Smarter Trading
Successful traders often find that combining indicators from different categories yields better results. For instance, pairing a trend-based EMA with a momentum indicator like RSI can help confirm signals more reliably — much like crafting the perfect coffee blend, where balance is everything.
Many also realize that stacking similar tools, such as using both RSI and Stochastic, tends to clutter the picture rather than clarify it. A focused set of indicators usually proves more effective.
Another common practice is backtesting setups on historical data to understand how strategies perform in specific markets and timeframes. It’s a way to rehearse before stepping onto the stage.
Ultimately, those who see consistent results tend to integrate indicators into a coherent strategy rather than reacting to every signal. That clarity often makes all the difference
Many of these indicators, from MACD to Bollinger Bands, are readily available on platforms like TradingView, making it easy to apply them to your charts.
Subscribe and let us know which of these indicators intrigues you the most so we can explore it further in our next post!
Good luck! 👏
Relationship between trendline and StochRSI
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
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I think that everything used in chart analysis should be objective so that everyone can understand it.
If not, I think that if we start complaining about the different interpretations used in chart analysis, the essence may be damaged.
Therefore, I am trying to present a method that anyone can understand and draw in the same way.
In that sense, I have talked about the method of drawing trendlines several times.
Today, I will explain additional parts that were not covered in the previous drawing methods.
To set it like the StochRSI indicator on this chart,
- Source value: ohlc4
- Setting value: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
You can set it like this.
-
A trend line is literally a line drawn to find out the trend.
It can also be used to predict how the current trend will change in the future.
However, since a trend line is drawn for chart analysis, what we need to draw importantly is the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
The trend line currently drawn is as follows.
Trend line (1): Trend line between lows drawn on 1W chart
Trend line (2), (6): Trend line between lows drawn on 1D chart
Trend line (3), (4): Trend line between highs drawn on 1D chart
Trend line (5): Trend line drawn on 1M chart
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (1).
Similarly, in order to continue the uptrend in the long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (5).
-
The trend line is drawn by connecting the points between the highs or lows of the StochRSI indicator.
The StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case.
However, when creating waves, you should consider that the points necessary for drawing the trend line have been formed by touching the overbought and oversold areas and draw them.
Therefore, the points of the A and B sections of the StochRSI indicator are ambiguous points for drawing trend lines.
The solution to these points is the same as the trend line drawn above.
That is, the trend line is operated by connecting the points of the A section or the B section based on the last point created by touching the overbought or oversold section.
At this time, the important thing is that it must have escaped the overbought or oversold section.
The trend line (3) and trend line (4) drawn in this way form an expansion channel.
Therefore, once the decline begins, you can see that there is a possibility of a large decline.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the trend line was drawn to analyze the chart.
Therefore, you need to check the importance of the support and resistance points drawn in the area to see if it will actually lead to a decline.
Currently, the important support and resistance range from a short-term perspective is 76322.42-78595.86.
And, from a medium- to long-term perspective, the important support and resistance range is 69000-73499.86.
Therefore, even if it falls below trend line (4) and shows a large decline, it is expected that it will not be easy to touch trend line (3).
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Trend line (2) and trend line (6) are trend lines drawn between low points on the 1D chart.
Therefore, even if it falls, it is highly likely that the area around trend line (6) will be the maximum.
In other words, even if the decline begins, it is highly likely that it will re-confirm the support around 76322.42-78595.86.
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In any case, this volatility period ended without any significant movement.
The next volatility period is around April 25-29.
Since the StochRSI indicator is clearly showing a downward trend in the overbought zone, the key is whether there is support around 83423.84-84591.59.
If the price is maintained above the 1D chart, there is a high possibility of maintaining a short-term uptrend.
However, from a trading perspective, it should show support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart to be a trading period.
Therefore, whether there is support near 89294.25 is important.
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Therefore, we are troubled.
Should we buy when it is supported in the current zone, 83423.84-84591.59, or should we buy when it is supported near 89294.25?
If the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it falls below the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to buy.
If you look at the chart again with this information, you can decide that it is better to wait a little longer rather than proceed with the current transaction.
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In the previous idea, I said that if it rises to around 89294.25, there will be a psychological feeling that it will rise further, and you will try to make a breakout trade.
At this time, what we should be interested in is whether the trend line between the lows and the trend line between the highs are formed in the same direction.
And, whether the StochRSI indicator shows an upward trend below the 50 point.
If it does not show such a movement, it is highly likely that it will shake up and down with a large fluctuation range.
Therefore, it is absolutely necessary to check whether it is supported near 89294.25.
Checking support and resistance is a tedious and difficult task.
Checking support and resistance requires checking the movement for at least 1-3 days.
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The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point range.
Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it can be interpreted that it has fallen back to the low point.
Therefore, in order for an uptrend to begin, the trading volume must increase when confirming support near the HA-Low indicator.
If the trading volume does not increase and it rises, it may not rise much and turn into a downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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BTCUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
Bitcoin Topped in January? Here’s Why That’s Not Crazy.The move BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P from November 2022 looks like a textbook impulse. The third wave extended perfectly to 1.618 of wave one — a classic sign of strength.
But here’s the big question: Did the impulse already end in January 2025?
If yes, we’re looking at a nearly ideal structure:
🔹 Wave 3 — extended to 1.618
🔹 Wave 5 ≈ Wave 1 (typical after an extended 3rd)
🔹 Fib zone 0.382–0.618 of wave 0–3 — perfectly hit
🔹 Sentiment — peak euphoria in January: BTC in national reserves, mass media hype
🔹 Volume spike — a sign of potential distribution at the top
📌 Possible scenarios:
1️⃣ The impulse is complete, and we’re already in a corrective phase — even if the market doesn’t realize it yet
2️⃣ A terminal diagonal is forming — ATH hasn’t been printed yet, but we’re likely close
3️⃣ A 5th wave extension — still possible, but less likely given current global liquidity and macro headwinds (trade war environment)
📊 Watch the 200-dayMA:
Historically, Bitcoin tends to stay below it for about 2 months during bull cycles.
That clock is ticking — the next few weeks may reveal the market’s true direction.
📈 A strong weekly close above $95K would sharply raise the odds of a new ATH.
Until then — monitor the local structure and wait for clarity.
BTC/USDT Short Setup - Rejection at Resistance! Bears in ControlHello dear friends 👋
BTC/USDT Trade Signal Technical Analysis Setup 👇
Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness—let’s take a sell trade!
• Trade Setup 📉
📊 • Entry: 93,500
🔹 • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 92,300
🔹 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 91,000
🔹 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): 89,000
⭕ • Stop Loss (SL): 95,800
Analysis:
• Price is reacting to a strong resistance zone.
• Bearish pattern forming after a recent failed breakout.
• Momentum shifting downwards, signaling possible further decline.
⚠ Follow risk management!
Let the setup play out—patience is key. Trade at your own Risk
Looking to Short Bitcoin if Key Support FailsFrom a short-term perspective, the instrument is in a well-defined uptrend, so shorting at current levels doesn’t make much sense. It’s better to wait for signs of weakness — specifically, when price starts to move lower and breaks below the initial local lows.
In this case, the key zone to watch is the narrow range between 91,911 and 91,631. If price begins to break below that range, a short setup becomes valid, with the first target at 82,953–82,753. The final target is 74,565–74,456.
For now, though, price is still moving upward and could continue higher. Wait for confirmation before taking any position.
Bitcoin Will Soon Follow GOLD!!!Bitcoin has just hit the $87,000 mark, breaking out of a classical bullish continuation pattern. This breakout is significant and indicates strong bullish momentum that could lead to further upside. If this momentum continues, Bitcoin has the potential to not only reclaim its previous all-time high but also push beyond into price discovery mode.
Interestingly, this move comes right after Gold printed a new all-time high. Historically, Gold has often led major macro cycles, with Bitcoin following closely behind. This pattern seems to be playing out once again. As investors rotate capital and seek safe havens or inflation hedges, Bitcoin stands to benefit as the digital equivalent of Gold. If history repeats, Bitcoin could be on the verge of its next major rally.
From a technical standpoint, the breakout is supported by increasing volume and bullish momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD. The key support now lies around the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone, which previously acted as resistance. If price holds above this level, the next targets to watch are $90K and the psychological $100K mark.
That said, proper risk management is crucial. The market is moving fast, and while the setup is bullish, it’s important to have a well-defined stop-loss strategy in place. Avoid chasing price—wait for clean retests or consolidations if you missed the initial breakout. Momentum may be in the bulls’ favor, but discipline keeps you in the game.
Bitcoin has made its move. Gold has shown the way. If the historical correlation holds true, Bitcoin may be just getting started. Stay focused and manage your risk wisely.
BTC/USDT TRADE ANALYSIS (1H) | Read The Caption BelowBTC/USDT Trade Setup (1D Chart)
Type: Short (Sell)
|Entry Zone: 96,000 – 98,250|
-Stop Loss: 100,000
-Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 92,000
🎯 Target 2: 86,000
🎯 Target 3: 82,000
ANALYSIS : Bearish Harmonic (Potential Reversal Zone at D)
Price is approaching the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) after completing a harmonic pattern. If price confirms rejection near 98K, we could see a downside move.
Risk Management:
Use appropriate risk-reward and stick to the stop-loss. Wait for bearish confirmation before entry.
Note: Swing trade setup – higher timeframe, more patience required. Trade at your own risk.
Bitcoin long-term analysisI am really surprised by some friends' opinions!! They say we will go straight to the 150 target!!
How is it possible for Bitcoin to go up without testing this huge support level?? This move is completely scientifically wrong. Bitcoin needs to increase volume in the huge support area to move.
Every price increase increases the possibility of a drop. That's my opinion.
Stay tuned for Bitcoin analysis in the short term
BTCUSD Swing Short | Fading Supply Spike- 4H Liquidity BreakdownBTC retraced into the 4H liquidity breakdown zone at 96,111.6. Bulls failed to absorb supply here, confirming structural weakness. Price spiked into this zone but rejected, setting up a swing short opportunity. This rejection lacked conviction, driven by late longs chasing into thin liquidity. The setup isn’t about momentum—it’s about exploiting the structural fragility where stretched positions collapse.
"Entry Price: 95,300.0 – Fading the Supply Spike (Limit Order Pre-Loaded)"
"SL: 96,150.0 – Supply Absorption Invalidation (8,500 Ticks Risk @ 0.01 Tick Size)"
"TP: 92,000.0 – Structure Rebuild Zone (33,000 Ticks Reward @ 0.01 Tick Size)"
"RRR: 3.88R Skewed Outcome (Pre-Fee)"
"Net RRR After Fees: 3.56R"
Expected stop loss is 850.0 USD range on price, translating to 1.70 USDT risk on my 0.002 BTC size. Expected take profit is 3,300.0 USD range on price, yielding 6.60 USDT reward. Total fees estimated at 0.07492 USDT if TP hits, 0.13427 USDT if SL hits. Net reward after fees is 6.52508 USDT, net loss after fees is 1.83427 USDT, yielding a final net reward-to-risk ratio of 3.56R.
Contextual layers:
"Liquidity Breakdown: 96,111.6 – Bulls Failed to Absorb Supply, Breakdown Confirmed"
"POC: 94,500.0 – Microstructure Breakdown Trigger"
"Bull/Bear Inflection: 91,911.8 – Critical for Macro Sentiment"
"London Open: 91,828.5 – Support Impulse Level"
Conviction weighting:
ADX rising above 22 confirms trend strength weakening into resistance. RSI divergence highlights momentum exhaustion with price making higher highs, but RSI printing lower highs. Open interest rising into supply suggests late long positioning, primed for failure as structure collapses.
This is a structural exploitation setup. Monitoring price behavior for confirmation or invalidation as liquidity thins.