Hanzo / BTC 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Bullish Retest )🔥 BTC – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Retest : 107000
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
BTCUST trade ideas
BTCUSDT: PYH Manipulation & Critical Target AheadWe're facing a potential manipulation at the Previous Yearly High (PYH) level. This is a trap for the unwary.
Here's the critical insight: Bitcoin's price is rising, but CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) is falling. My volume footprint shows no serious buyers, despite the current price push. This means the underlying strength isn't real.
Your action plan is simple: if the volume footprint turns negative, our target is a precise $100,385.
I only focus on assets with sudden volume increases. Watch the CDV and PYH level closely. Most traders miss these details, but this is where you make the most informed decisions.
Act now: Keep your eyes locked on Bitcoin. Missing this insight could cost you dearly.
"Caught the Dip – Next Stop: Resistance Zone 1. Current Price Action:
The asset has bounced off the demand zone around 101,500 – 102,000 USDT.
It is now trading at 102,204.56 USDT, indicating early signs of the expected bullish move.
A white curved arrow suggests a rounded bottom pattern, often signaling a bullish reversal.
2. Demand Zone (Support):
Remains the same as the previous chart: 101,500 – 102,500 USDT.
Price reacted exactly at this zone and is starting to move upward.
3. Supply Zone (Target Area):
Clearly marked at 104,800 – 105,500 USDT.
This is where the expected bullish move could face resistance or where traders might look to take profit (TP).
4. Visual Reinforcement:
The large blue arrow indicates strong bullish momentum is anticipated.
The meme (Leonardo DiCaprio pointing) emphasizes that the reversal is happening as previously predicted — likely for motivational or engagement purposes in a VIP group.
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🧠 Technical Sentiment:
Bullish Bias confirmed: Price bounced exactly from the demand zone.
Momentum Shift is underway, as indicated by the reversal pattern.
A potential "Buy Confirmation" is in play with room to ride up to the 105K resistance zone.
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🎯 VIP Trade Setup Recap:
Parameter Value
Entry Zone 101,500 – 102,000 USDT
Current Price 102,204.56 USDT
Target (TP) 105,000 – 105,500 USDT
Stop Loss (SL) Below 101,000 USDT
Bias Bullish / Reversal
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📌 Suggested Title:
"Reversal In Motion – Ride to 105K 🎯🚀"
Bitcoin Short-Term Setup: Divergence and Correction SignalsBitcoin Analysis | 1-Hour Timeframe
Currently, Bitcoin is positioned at a key support level around $108,380, which can act as an important support zone.
Due to the presence of divergence and overbought conditions on the 1-hour and 15-minute timeframes near $108,000, a price correction down to $104,400 (which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent move) is expected.
If the price manages to break above the resistance at $108,380, we anticipate a bullish move towards the $109,500 level.
Conversely, a breakdown below the $108,380 support could lead to a deeper correction, potentially down to $105,000.
Good luck.
Risk management and sticking to your strategy are key to success in this volatile market.
BTCUSDT – Bearish signs emerge below resistanceAfter a strong bullish run, BTCUSDT is now showing clear signs of weakness near the resistance zone around 109,600–112,000. Price action has formed a cluster of rejection candles at the top, failing to break above this key level – signaling that selling pressure is gaining control.
The current structure suggests a potential trend reversal, especially as the latest bearish candle came with rising volume, confirming selling interest from the supply zone. If the price breaks below the 101,500 support, BTC may continue dropping toward the 93,500–84,500 range – a high-liquidity area on the volume profile.
The previous bullish momentum appears to have lost strength, and this pullback may be confirming a shift after reaching its upper limit. As long as BTC remains below the 112,000 resistance, the bearish bias remains dominant.
btcusdt 4h
Bitcoin is also expected to test the previous bottom price of 100,500-101,000. It may even reach the 98,000-97,000 range with the needle share. Be careful if you have positions in altcoins. Daily closings above 106,500 are required for this scenario to be canceled. We are moving towards the days when price volatility will increase, do not forget to take profit from your positions.
BTC Returns to Highest ATH💎 Update Plan BTC (June 10)
BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF has made history, becoming the fastest-growing exchange-traded fund (ETF) ever by surpassing $70 billion in assets under management (AUM).
The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), launched in January 2024, has achieved this milestone in record time, reflecting surging demand for Bitcoin exposure through regulated, mainstream investment vehicles. IBIT’s exceptional growth trajectory has outpaced all previous ETFs, eclipsing even established funds like the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) in terms of asset accumulation speed.
The ETF recently returned to net inflows — posting a $274 million single-day increase — following a brief period of outflows during a broader market pullback. This rebound signals renewed investor confidence, with capital flowing in from both institutional players and retail investors alike, underscoring Bitcoin’s growing role in diversified portfolios.
Technical analysis angle
Congratulations to investors when the Plan transaction has detected the bottom of 100k and is currently the highest at 110.5k. It is a prosperous signal for investors who are holding this power currency
Another good news is that the organizers have breaked out of the decrease price channel to confirm the trend of increasing and confidence in the price increase continues to be enhanced by the Buyer.
Currently, the BTC price area is slowed by the resistance level with Fibo 0.786 around the 110k price area. We expect the adjustment of the investors to collect goods before the price area goes further around 111.5k even 115k
At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Will Bitcoin move toward its ATH?This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that the red zone marked on the chart could potentially be broken.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin’s diametric pattern has completed, and it has entered a corrective phase.
It now appears that we are in wave B of a running flat, and wave B could complete around the all-time high or slightly above it.
Let’s see whether this move will play out or not.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
The Power of Round Numbers in TradingHello, traders! 👀 Do you know why $10K matters more than $10,137.42? You’ve probably noticed it — even if you’re not watching the chart all day. Whenever Bitcoin approaches $10,000, $20,000, or $100,000, something shifts. Volatility spikes. X (formerly known as Twitter) goes wild. And traders tighten their stops.
That’s not a coincidence. It’s the psychology of crypto trading, and few things trigger it more than round numbers in trading.
🎯 Why Round Numbers Act Like Magnets
In both traditional and crypto markets, clean figures like $1.00, $100, $10K, $100K aren’t just visual milestones. They’re emotional ones too. And that’s where crypto market psychology kicks in. Why? People, especially traders, think in psychological numbers.
Retail traders place limit orders near neat levels like $25,000 or $30,000 (not $24,837.65). Institutions often set stop-losses or triggers around these zones. Media headlines focus on thresholds: “BTC Hits $100K” hits harder than “BTC breaks $99,800.” These collective habits cluster orders and attention around these levels, making them support/resistance zones through pure crowd behavior. That’s crypto psychology at work.
🧠 Support, Resistance, and Psychological Warfare
Let’s say BTC approaches $30,000 from below. Here’s what the crypto psychology chart tends to show: retail optimism takes off: “If we break 30K, next stop is 100K BTC!”
Smart money takes profit: Short sellers loooove round numbers. Choppy price action: Emotional trading dominates near psychological zones. This makes psychological numbers in trading incredibly sticky. They become decision-making triggers.
A move above a considerable number might create FOMO.
A rejection just below it might trigger panic selling or trap breakouts.
That’s why psychological numbers in day trading (and longer-term moves) aren’t just fluff; they’re real and show up repeatedly.
🔁 Real Examples of Round Number Power in Crypto
$10,000: Held BTC back in 2017 and 2019 — until it didn't. Once broken, it opened the floodgates.
$20,000: A brutal resistance for years — finally broken in 2020. The price exploded afterward.
$30,000: Became major support during the 2021 bull run. Once it collapsed, BTC slid toward $15K.
$100,000: The ultimate mental level. Traders still ask: “When will Bitcoin hit 100K?” or even “Did Bitcoin hit 100K yet?” The answer? Yes! But every move toward it creates a wave of interest, and sometimes fear. Some already speculate: “Will Bitcoin crash at 110K?”
It’s clear: round levels shape crypto trading psychology, and BTC 100K is more than a price — it’s a narrative. That’s the essence of what psychological numbers are in trading — they’re not technical but emotional.
💬 Final Thought: What’s Your 100K?
For some, 100K BTC is a moonshot. For others, it’s a trap waiting to happen. So the next time Bitcoin approaches a clean round number, ask yourself: Is this price important or just a number that feels important? Let us know how psychological numbers in trading shape your strategies 👇
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –
After a strong rejection from the $110K+ zone, Bitcoin is now retesting a critical trendline support on the 4-hour chart.
Key Highlights:
Price dropped sharply to $103K, almost tagging the key ascending support zone.
The previous breakout from the descending trendline is now being retested, which is a classic bullish retest pattern.
If bulls defend this region successfully, expect a potential bounce towards $108K–$ 114 K.
However, a clean breakdown below $102K would shift short-term momentum bearish.
Eyes on this zone. High-probability decision area.
Watch for reaction candles and volume spikes to confirm the next move.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Price Update📊 Bitcoin Price Update: Key Resistance Zone Between $110K and $111.7K — Range-Bound Potential Ahead
As previously mentioned, Bitcoin's price action suggests that a break above $106,355 would signal the start of a bullish trend, and so far, we've seen upward momentum maintained while staying above $107K.
Now, Bitcoin has reached a critical resistance zone between $110,246.83 and $111,782.11. This area presents a potential for market hesitation, as it aligns with a strong resistance level. Given the significant movement over the past few days, it’s possible the market may enter a range-bound phase as it consolidates and structures itself for the next move.
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📉 Possible Short-Term Range:
Range Between: $110,246.83 to $111,782.11
Expect possible sideways consolidation before continuing the trend
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📈 Bullish Continuation:
As long as Bitcoin remains above $107K, the bullish trend remains intact
Break above $111,782.11 may signal continuation toward higher targets
Bitcoin in Mid-Term Uptrend, But Consolidating in Short-Term Ran📊 Bitcoin in Mid-Term Uptrend, But Consolidating in Short-Term Range
Bitcoin remains in a mid- and long-term uptrend, clearly shown by the white trendline on the chart. However, in the short-term, the price is consolidating inside a sideways range (highlighted in red).
If price bounces from current levels and starts pushing upward, it would confirm a higher low above the range support at $101,429, which increases the probability of an upside breakout. Otherwise, we could see another test of the range bottom.
The levels at $103,884 (support) and $106,258 (resistance) are not particularly strong, but can still be used for aggressive pre-breakout trades. Personally, I won’t enter trades at these levels just yet — I’d like to see more interaction and confirmation.
⚠️ Note:
Breakouts from this range are likely to be sharp and impulsive, regardless of direction.
For short setups, you could either wait for a breakdown of $103,884, or use a sell-stop below $101,429 — but I’m not taking shorts, as the overall trend remains bullish on higher timeframes.
On the long side, I won’t enter on a break of $106,258 unless we see a fakeout below $103,884, which would increase the probability of a successful long breakout.
The bulls' strong momentum drives a new all-time high.hour gain stands at 4%, and the weekly increase expands to 6.7%. The total market capitalization has rebounded above $2.5 trillion. Three major positive factors have resonated: the expectation of (eased) Sino-US trade tensions, the SEC's policy shift to support on-chain innovation, and the continuous inflow of institutional capital (notably, Ethereum ETFs have seen 15 consecutive days of net inflows).
For the next 24 hours, the focus will be on the breakthrough of the all-time high at $111,980. The first resistance level is $112,500 (a dense short liquidation zone).
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@107000-107500
TP:109000-1095000
Inverse Head and Shoulders Breakout Signals BullishThe chart under review presents a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a reliable and widely recognized bullish reversal formation in technical analysis. This structure typically forms after a downtrend, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
The pattern is composed of:
Left Shoulder: A modest price decline followed by a temporary upward correction.
Head: A deeper price decline forming the lowest point in the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A higher low that mirrors the left shoulder, followed by another upward movement.
The neckline, which acts as a critical resistance level, is clearly illustrated at approximately 106,840.37 USDT. A confirmed breakout above this neckline suggests the completion of the reversal pattern and validates the potential for a sustained bullish movement.
2. Breakout Confirmation
The current price action confirms a successful breakout above the neckline, with the market currently trading around 107,586.58 USDT. This breakout is a key signal for bullish continuation, provided it is supported by increased volume and follow-through price action.
From a technical standpoint, the breakout is reinforced by:
A clean violation of neckline resistance
Price consolidation near breakout zone before a strong upward thrust
Higher lows preceding the breakout, indicative of growing buying pressure
This confluence of technical signals strengthens the case for an upward price trajectory in the near term.
3. Projected Price Targets
Upon confirmation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout, target levels can be derived using the measured move technique. This involves projecting the vertical distance from the head to the neckline upward from the breakout point.
Target 1 (Initial Resistance):
108,878.29 USDT – This level represents a potential short-term resistance where price may consolidate or retrace slightly before continuing.
Target 2 (Measured Move Completion):
110,752.24 USDT – This is the ultimate price target derived from the height of the head-to-neckline structure. Reaching this level would represent the full realization of the reversal pattern.
4. Key Support and Risk Levels
Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. The following support levels should be closely monitored:
106,840.37 USDT (Neckline Support):
Former resistance turned support. Holding above this level post-breakout is essential for sustaining bullish momentum.
105,997.09 USDT:
Acts as a secondary support level and potential stop-loss region for conservative traders.
If price fails to hold above the neckline and falls back below these levels, the breakout could be classified as a false breakout, warranting caution.
5. Strategic Implications for Traders
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long entries, particularly for traders seeking to capitalize on momentum-based patterns. An optimal trading approach could involve:
Entry: Near the neckline breakout or on a minor retest of 106,840.37 USDT
Stop-Loss: Below 105,997.09 USDT or under the right shoulder to account for volatility
Take-Profit Zones: Partial profits near 108,878.29 USDT, with final target at 110,752.24 USDT
6. Final Remarks
This chart illustrates a textbook example of a bullish reversal pattern in play. While the technical outlook is favorable, traders should remain cautious of potential invalidation scenarios, especially in highly volatile or news-driven markets. Confirmation through volume analysis and supportive macro/fundamental conditions can further enhance confidence in the bullish thesis.
Overall, the current setup indicates a well-structured opportunity for upward price movement, with a clearly defined entry, risk, and reward framework.
Let me know if you'd like this tailored for a trading journal, client report, or automated strategy setup
BTC:Range Likely Ahead of FOMC — Altcoin Strength Emerging📊 Bitcoin Price Update: Key Resistance Ahead – Range Likely Before FOMC
As previously discussed, Bitcoin may be entering a short-term consolidation phase. The current candlestick structure suggests that recent price action is driven by profit-taking from long positions, not aggressive selling. If bears were in control, we would have seen a deeper retracement by now — a positive sign for bulls.
Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance zone between $110,264 and $111,782. If the price enters this range, some supply pressure is expected. However, as long as BTC holds above $107,000, the bullish market structure remains intact.
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🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Recent candles show profit-taking, not distribution
Sellers are not yet active — indicating continued bullish sentiment
Bitcoin dominance is pulling back slightly while BTC ranges — this has led to stronger moves in altcoins
If BTC dips while dominance continues to fall, it could set the stage for an early altcoin rally (altseason)
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🕰️ Macro Events on the Radar:
Key upcoming news:
U.S. CPI Data
FOMC Rate Decision – Wednesday next week
Until then, the market may remain range-bound as it awaits clarity
Recommendation: lower risk exposure, reduce position size, and stay selective with trades
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⚠️ Altcoin Strategy:
If you're already in altcoin long positions, consider partial profit-taking
Watch Bitcoin dominance closely: continued downside could fuel a broader altseason
Keep an eye on BTC’s $107K support and its reaction near $111.7K resistance
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📈 Summary:
Critical Resistance Zone: $110,264 – $111,782
Key Support: $107,000
Market Bias: Cautiously bullish
FOMC Outlook: Sideways movement likely until Wednesday
Bitcoin Short to 97 K into cpi numbersIn this video I cover the recent drop and what might be a great short on the horizon . With the V shape recovery off the defended 100K level I anticipate that we continue the move up to 107/108K before hitting some resistance and pushing us back into the range leading into the midweek . With cpi news release this could be the catalyst needed to trap the late buyers and drop us into 96K zone .
This video provides context and theory for this short setup so I encourage you to watch .
Tools used Vwap , volume profile , Fibonacci pulls .
Thanks for watching
Any questions please leave in the comments
Safe trading
No Change in Plan! $BTC Targeting Major Liquidation ZoneAs I warned you guys, CRYPTOCAP:BTC came down to the $100K exactly as expected, and then we bounced from the $100K level!
That lower trendline once again acted as strong support, just as expected.
Now #Bitcoin is pushing back up toward the major trendline and eyeing the $107K–$112K zone, which holds large liquidations.
No changes in the game plan, watching the daily and weekly closes closely.
If Bitcoin breaks above this trendline clearly, we could see a strong move up. 🚀
I’ll keep you posted as things unfold. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
BTC gathers liquidity ahead of growth Inside the trading range Bitcoin has moved into a sell-off phase due to the situation in the Middle East. The sell-off could extend to 102500 - 100600. But as the market is trending and bullish, the support at 100600 may hold the price and allow the market to strengthen
Scenario: A false break of the resistance at 105280 is formed. Accordingly, I am initially waiting for a decline to 102500. If 102500 fails to hold the move, bitcoin could then head to the liquidity pool. A false break of 100600 may give a chance for a rise to 105200 - 108200.
Differences Between Trading Stock Market and Coin Market
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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Please read with a light heart.
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Trading stock market and coin market seem similar, but they are very different.
In stock market, you have to buy and sell 1 share at a time, but in coin market, you can buy and sell in decimals.
This difference makes a big difference in buying and selling.
In the stock market, you should buy when the price is rising from a low price if possible.
The reason is that since you buy in units of 1 week, you have to invest more money when you sell and then buy to buy 1 week.
I think the same goes for the coin market, but since you can buy in decimal units, you have the advantage of being able to buy at a higher price than when you buy in the stock market.
For example, if you sell and then buy again at the same price, the number of coins (tokens) will decrease, but there will be no cases where you can't buy at all.
Therefore, the coin market is an investment market where you can trade at virtually any price range.
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In terms of profit realization, the stock market can only be traded in a way that earns cash profits.
The reason is that, as I mentioned earlier, since you have to trade in units of 1 week, there are restrictions on trading.
However, in the coin market, in addition to the method of earning cash profits, you can also increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profits.
The biggest advantage of increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit is that you can get a large profit in the long term, and the burden of the average purchase price when conducting a transaction is reduced.
When the price rises by purchase price, if you sell the purchase amount (+ including the transaction fee), the coins (tokens) corresponding to profit will remain.
Since these coins (tokens) have an average purchase price of 0, they always correspond to profit even if there is volatility.
In addition, even if the price falls and you buy again, the average purchase price is set low, so it plays a good role in finding the right time to buy and starting a transaction.
Of course, when the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit is small, it does not have a big effect on the average purchase price, but as the number increases, you will realize its true value.
You can also get some cash when you increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit.
When selling, if you add up the purchase price + transaction fee X 2~3, you can also get some cash profit.
If you get cash profit, the number of coins (tokens) remaining will decrease, so you can adjust it well according to the situation.
When the profit is large, increase the cash profit slightly, and when you think the profit is small, decrease the cash profit.
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Therefore, when you first move from the stock market to the coin market and start trading, you will experience that the trading is not going well for some reason.
In the stock market, there are some restrictions on the rise and fall, but in the coin market, there are no restrictions, so it is not easy to respond.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the biggest problem is the difference in the transaction unit.
When trading in the stock market, you need to check various announcements and issues in addition to the chart and determine how this information affects the stock or theme you want to trade.
This is because trading is not conducted 24 hours a day, 365 days a year like the coin market.
This is because if an announcement or issue occurs during a non-trading period, the stock market may rise or fall significantly when trading begins.
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When using my chart on a stock chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if you want to buy more, you can buy more when the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart, and it shows support near the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In the stock chart, it is recommended to trade when the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are aligned.
The reason is that, as I mentioned earlier, trading must be done in 1-week units, so the timing of the purchase is important.
In the coin chart, you can actually trade when it shows support at the support and resistance points.
However, since trading is possible 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, even if it shows support at the support and resistance points, psychological anxiety due to volatility increases, so it is recommended to proceed with trading according to the basic trading strategy.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and the creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range.
Therefore, if it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to rise, and if it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator, it is likely to fall.
However, on the contrary, if it is supported and rises at the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise rise, and if it is resisted and falls at the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise fall.
In order to confirm this movement, you need to invest a lot of time and check the situation in real time.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #109👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour chart, as you can see, yesterday Bitcoin activated the short trigger at 103899 and dropped below the 101750 level. This setup gave an opportunity to open a short position—hopefully you took advantage of it.
✨ After that bearish leg, the downtrend ended and the price began to rise again, now reaching back to the 103899 level.
🔍 If the price gets rejected once from 103899 and then forms a higher low compared to 101750, we can consider a long position on subsequent attempts—if 103899 breaks. If the price breaks this level sharply, the next long triggers will be 105087 and 106586.
📉 For today's short position, we can enter on a pullback to 103899. Personally, I’ll look for a bearish trigger in lower timeframes; if confirmed, I’ll open a short. The main bearish trigger remains the break of 101750.
📊 Currently, volume favors buyers, but we’ve seen divergence during this bullish leg, and volume increased on the last bearish move. So, I still see a higher probability of the market turning bearish rather than bullish.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin dominance, yesterday it made an upward move to 64.67 after breaking through 64.23. This 64.67 level is a strong resistance, and as shown, the dominance got rejected there.
💫 If this rejection is confirmed, there's a high chance of a retracement back to 64.23. In that case, if the market continues to drop, Bitcoin will likely be a better short than altcoins.
☘️ However, if 64.67 breaks, dominance could initiate another bullish wave.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As for Total2, after activating the 1.16 and 1.13 triggers, it dropped to the 1.1 zone and is now making a pullback to its previous support—similar to Bitcoin.
💥 For a long position, we’ll need a Dow Theory confirmation. For a short, we can wait for a pullback to 1.13 and look for a bearish confirmation to enter.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now onto Tether dominance: yesterday, after breaking 4.79, it moved up to 4.98. Following that, it reversed and is now back down to 4.79.
🔑 If 4.79 breaks, Tether dominance could drop further to 4.70 and 4.64. But if it holds and finds support there, another bullish leg may begin.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday's overall BTC market rebounded after hitting a low of 102,614 in the early trading session, with Bitcoin's price maintaining a slow upward trend throughout the day. The intraday high reached 105,912 but encountered resistance. As the weekend approaches, historical market data shows limited volatility during weekends, so range-bound fluctuations are expected for the weekend.
From the current overall market rhythm, the price has rebounded slightly today after the previous decline. The hourly chart shows consecutive upward candles, though the price movement remains relatively slow. As time progresses, the price is expected to sustain an upward trend after pullbacks, and breaking through the short-term resistance level is only a matter of time. In terms of short-term structure and pattern, despite slight resistance and minor pullbacks, the downward momentum has weakened. We can still focus on long positions at lower levels, paying attention to the 106,000 resistance level.
BTCUSD
buy@104000-104500
tp:106000-107000
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BITCOINThe Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy:
Key Data Points
Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023.
1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels.
Fed Interpretation
Improved Consumer Sentiment:
The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data.
The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth.
Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations:
The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons.
This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral.
Policy Implications:
Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows.
No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July.
Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025.
Market Reactions
DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20.
Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines.
Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends.
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