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Bitcoin at a Decisive Moment! Rising Wedge Formed — Breakout?🧠 In-Depth Technical Analysis (BTCUSDT – Weekly Timeframe) Bitcoin is currently trading within a large Rising Wedge pattern, formed over the long term from late 2022 to mid-2025. This structure is typically a bearish reversal formation, although it can also lead to a breakout in strong bull markets. The wedge is defined by: Consistently higher lows on the lower trendline A gradually rising upper resistance line that currently caps price around $123K–$125K Decreasing volume, indicating consolidation and energy buildup near the apex This wedge reflects a period of euphoric price action post-2022 bear market accumulation, with price now testing the top of a historically significant resistance zone. --- 📊 Key Price Levels: 🔹 Current Price: ≈ $118,436 🔹 Recent Weekly High: $123,226 🔹 Critical Resistance (Wedge Top): $123,000–$125,000 🔹 Dynamic Support: Rising wedge base (~$90,000–$95,000) --- 🐂 Bullish Scenario: “Historic Breakout Incoming” If BTC successfully breaks above the wedge’s upper resistance and closes a weekly candle above $125K with strong volume, it would signal a confirmed breakout from the long-term wedge structure. 📈 Upside Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $140,000 🎯 Target 2: $155,000+ (based on Fibonacci extension and macro targets) 🚀 A breakout of this magnitude may trigger a new parabolic rally, especially if accompanied by: Increased institutional adoption Spot ETF inflows Favorable macroeconomic shifts (e.g., rate cuts) --- 🐻 Bearish Scenario: “False Breakout or Breakdown Risk” If Bitcoin fails to break out and faces strong rejection from the resistance zone (possibly a false breakout), the rising wedge formation may break down — leading to a steep correction. 📉 A breakdown from this structure often leads to sharp drops due to: Overextension of the current trend Distribution phase by smart money 🎯 Downside Targets: Support 1: $95,000–$90,000 Support 2: $76,000 Major Support: $54,000 (historical demand & EMA zones) --- 🔍 Optional Indicators for Chart Confirmation: Weekly RSI: Watch for bearish divergence Volume Profile: Can highlight distribution or accumulation zones EMA 21/50: Ideal for identifying dynamic support levels in retracements --- 📌 Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a crucial inflection point within this multi-year Rising Wedge. A confirmed breakout could lead to new all-time highs, while a breakdown may trigger a broad correction. Traders should prepare for high volatility, wait for clear confirmation signals, and manage risk wisely in this pivotal zone. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #RisingWedge #BTCBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #PriceAction #BearishReversal #CryptoSignal #ChartPattern #BitcoinAnalysis #Cryptocurrency
Long
by CryptoNuclear
Still Losing After Backtesting? This Fixed It.Let’s get straight to it. If you’ve gone through the "nerd arc" and the "backtesting arc" but still aren’t profitable... What’s the fix? In this short write-up, I’ll walk you through 3 brutal truths that made me finally see green. Is it hard? UH—Damn right. But let’s go 👇 1. Market Understanding This isn’t something you "learn" from a course. It’s something that clicks after dozens of stop losses and live trades. Here are a few ways I got more comfortable with it: 1. Don’t fear opening trades or hitting stop loss. Each trade gives you data. More trades = more experience = better market feel. What’s the requirement? Capital and risk management. Without that, you won’t even survive long enough to "get" it. 2. Journaling every single trade. Write everything: your thoughts, screenshots, feelings — before and after. Too lazy to do it? Left trading. Simple. 3. Be the detective. Read the chart like a story. No, seriously. Think of Bitcoin as a character with real moods. Every candle tells you something. That 5% pump? Buyers pushing up. Then bears smacked it down — candle closed red. Now price is bleeding again. Why? 🔍 Be the detective. 4. Analyze the market every day — even without trading. The more you observe, the more you see. Structures. Patterns. Behavior. Easy? Nah. It takes discipline — like posting one story text to Insta for 1,000 days straight. Still wanna try? 2. Personal Trading Plan Remember how I said "don’t fear opening trades"? Well — after you’ve opened a bunch, you can start tailoring your own trading plan based on you. This isn’t a PDF you can steal off Google. Only after seeing how you behave in trades, you’ll know what rules make sense. Maybe: "I don’t trade when I’m emotionally off." "This setup gave me the best results over 100 trades." Just don’t copy-paste someone else’s rules. Make a flexible structure, then let the details emerge from the market and your own experience. Now — Take a deep breath. When was the last time you enjoyed your coffee? More than a day ago? Go make one now. Might not get to taste it tomorrow. Not everything in life is trading :) 3. Psychology Ah, the final boss. Still my weakest area, honestly. But here are a few real things that helped: Tip 1: WRITE. Just write whatever you feel. Telegram saved messages? Notebook? Or if you're like me (🧠nerd), Notion. Do it for 60 days straight — then feed that journal to ChatGPT and analyze yourself. Takes time, but the patterns you'll see are... magical. Tip 2: Money & Risk Management. When you know your stop loss means only -0.25% of your capital… why should you panic? For me: I place the SL, set a TP alert, and leave the screen. No emotions, no fear. Why? Because when capital is protected, so is my psychology. Truth is, trading emotions aren’t just during the trade — they live in your head all day. When your mental energy’s drained? You’ll miss A+ setups. Fall for BS ones. Lose focus. It’s complicated. Because humans are complicated. Our brains are the most tangled system known. And somehow, out of all that noise, consciousness emerges. A miracle. So don’t expect to always feel calm. Just aim to get better. That’s it. Thanks for sticking around. These are just my thoughts, from one tired trader to another 🧠 I’m no expert—just sharing what’s worked (and what hasn’t). If it helped, a boost would mean a lot. 🚫 Don’t FOMO ✅ Manage your capital Until tomorrow — Peace out. ✌️
Education
by SkepticLab
BITCOIN: THE PERFECT STORM - MULTIPLE BREAKOUT PATTERNS ALIGNED⚠️ CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS 🛡️ Support 1: $115,000 (-3%) - Triangle support 🛡️ Support 2: $110,000 (-7%) - Channel support 🔴 DANGER ZONE: $105,000 (-11%) - Multiple pattern failure So... Strategy: Quick profits on pattern completion 🎨 Entry: $115k (Triangle breakout confirmation) 📊 Stop Loss: $114k below (Tight risk management) ❌ Target: $125k (+10%) ✅ Time Horizon: 2-3 weeks 📅 Risk/Reward: 1:6 🎯 ________________ NOTE _____________ ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Bitcoin is highly volatile and risky. Only invest what you can afford to lose completely. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately 🚨
by ONE1iMPACT
BITCOIN PREDICTION: HUGE BREAKOUT SOON!! (watch this level) Yello Paradisers! I'm sharing with you multi-timeframe analysis on Bitcoin, levels to watch out for, confirmations we are waiting for, and everything needed for successful professional trading that is being profitable in the long run. I'm sharing with you zig-zag from the Elliot Wave pattern formation. I'm also sharing a possible impulse we are going through, a head and shoulders pattern and its target, and the next major resistance and support levels. I'm sharing with you a contracting triangle setup and how to trade it, along with an ending diagonal setup and how to trade it. Watch out for confirmations and how the price is developing based on what I have been talking about in this video, then trade it as a professional trader should. Make sure that you have a great risk management, trading strategy, and tactic for entering the trades. I have explained some tactics that I'm watching for in this video, but make sure that all these tactics are well within your larger trading strategy and that you're approaching the market professionally. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that you are focusing on long-term profitability and survival. This is the only way you can make it in crypto trading!
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
4
Bitcoin: Expected Cool-Off or Cause for Concern?After rallying more than 25% off the June lows, Bitcoin is finally taking a breather with a much-anticipated pullback. But as expected, the fear meter is spiking, especially across CT. Was this cool-off really a surprise? Not quite. The signs were there: price stalling at upper extremes, responsive sellers stepping in at perceived overextensions, and inefficient zones left behind during sharp impulsive moves. Of course, reading it in real-time is easier said than done. Emotions always complicate execution , but that’s a separate conversation. In this post, let’s break down the current structure in detail —using volume profile, TPO charts, and market structure analysis, to give you a clearer picture of what’s unfolding. We’ll also explore a few scenarios worth watching as the next move shapes up. Let’s dive in! Table of Contents ➺ Volume Profile ➺ TPO ➺ Key Technical Insights ➺ Market Structure ➺ Trade Scenarios and What to Watch ➺ TLDR ⦿ Volume Profile Currently, we’re seeing two key zones of balance : one broad range that held for over 60 days and a tighter 21-day structure that formed at higher levels. These are classic areas of value where buyers and sellers found temporary agreement, establishing balance. The sharp move from ~111,000 to ~122,000 was largely impulsive , with little volume built along the way, suggesting initiative buying in early July. As is often the case with such thin zones, they tend to get revisited once momentum fades. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now. As price dips into this low-volume pocket, the key question is: Will the market accept this zone and begin building value here, or will it reject and bounce back toward higher ground? Looking at the Volume Range Visible Profile (VRVP) since June 7th, the nearby Value Area High (VAH) sits around ~111,000 . If current support doesn’t hold, this becomes the next major volume magnet. That said, there’s also a low-volume node (LVN) just above 111,000 , which could act as a demand pocket and trigger a responsive bounce. In simple terms: – Acceptance into the LVN could lead to new range formation at lower levels – A sharp bounce off ~110,000 might reestablish the prior higher balance, or create a fresh range between the two existing areas The next few sessions will reveal whether the market is hunting for new value or just shaking out weak hands. ⦿ TPO Zooming into the 4H TPO chart, we can clearly see the evolving monthly profiles from May through August. And as is often the case, the market found resistance right where you’d expect: at the extremes. The upper end of July’s profile became a battleground. Buyers attempted multiple pushes above that upper balance, but each effort was consistently faded by responsive sellers , signaling growing exhaustion at the top. Eventually, that pressure gave way to an impulsive breakdown, driven by initiative selling. Notably, price didn’t rotate gently back into the previous range, but it sliced straight into a thin zone of prior low participation. Now, the market is sitting at the low-volume region , and the next key battle is shaping up. Additionally, The 108,000 to 110,000 area carries weight as it served as the Value Area High (VAH) for both the May and June profiles. If buyers are going to respond, this is one of the more likely places for them to step in. ⦿ Key Technical Insights ▸ Failed Acceptance Above 21-Day Balance Repeated attempts to hold above the short-term balance were rejected, signaling buyer fatigue and a lack of conviction at higher levels. ▸ Initiative Sellers Took Control Once demand dried up, sellers stepped in aggressively. The thin participation during the recent rally left little structural support, allowing price to drop quickly. ▸ No Value Built Below Yet The zone currently being tested saw minimal trading earlier. If bulls want to reclaim control, they’ll need to build value here and establish a new base. ▸ Prior Balance High as Potential Support Price is now retesting the top of the 60+ day balance area from above, a classic setup where previous resistance can become support. This area also aligns with a known demand shelf. ▸ Deviation Below the 200 MA Cloud Price has slipped below the 200 MA cloud and is nearing a key flip zone. A test of the 110,000 level next week wouldn’t be surprising. That area could serve as a strong support zone where a new accumulation phase begins. ⦿ Market Structure The broader market structure points to a transition in progress. After spending over two months in balance , price broke out to the upside —only to form another short-lived range at higher levels. That, too, gave way to a swift breakdown. This kind of “failed acceptance at higher prices” is often an early signal that the market may revisit prior zones of interest, typically areas where value was last built. All eyes now shift to the 110,000–111,000 zone , the high of the previous 60-day balance. We’re in a classic test-retest phase, where the market is probing for conviction . These moments often set the stage for the next significant move, either continued distribution lower, or the beginning of a re-accumulation phase. ⦿ Scenarios & What to Watch As Bitcoin pulls back into key structural zones, several scenarios are in play. Here's what to monitor in the coming sessions: Scenario 1: Re-Acceptance into 21-Day Balance ▸ If price reclaims and holds above ~116K, we could see a rotation back toward the upper end of the short-term balance near ~120K. ▸ This would suggest the recent breakdown was a failed auction or bear trap, not the start of a broader trend reversal. ▸ Watch for initiative buying above the demand shelf with follow-through volume. Scenario 2: Choppy Mid-Balance Activity ▸ Price remains range-bound between ~110K and ~116K, forming a new short-term balance zone. ▸ Expect slower movement and back-and-forth behavior as the market decides its next direction. ▸ Patience is key here. Watch volume and initiative behavior to gauge strength. Scenario 3: Rejection and Continuation Lower ▸ If price fails to hold above ~110K, there’s potential for a move down to the POC near ~104K, or even deeper toward ~100K (Value Area Low). ▸ These are low-volume zones, which rarely offer strong support unless new value is built. ▸ This would signal a continuation of the current imbalance and potentially mark a structural trend shift. I’m primarily focused on Scenario 1 and 2 , as we appear to be in a late bull phase. A deeper pullback toward 100K increases the risk of a broader trend change, making it less attractive from a risk/reward standpoint. ⦿ TLDR ▸ Buyers failed to hold the top of the 21-day balance. Clear signs of exhaustion. ▸ Price dropped into a prior low-volume zone, which now acts as potential demand. ▸ This area has never been accepted before - either buyers step in, or we go lower. ▸ Reclaiming ~116K could fuel a move back toward 120K+. ▸ Failure to hold ~110K opens the door to 104K, maybe even 100K. What happens next week will likely set the tone for the next major move. Watch how the market responds to acceptance vs rejection zones, and let price action confirm your bias before you act. If you found this analysis helpful, share it with someone who trades Bitcoin. 🥰 What’s your read on the current structure? Let me know in the comments! 📉 ⚠️ Disclaimer As always, this post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
by johntradingwick
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #135👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indices. In this analysis, as usual, I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, Bitcoin broke the 119,395 level but couldn’t hold above it and has now returned below this level, currently sitting on its previous trendline. ✔️ Today, the market will probably try to form more structure, and I think Bitcoin will range. ⭐ However, if it wants to move, we can enter a long position with the trigger at 120,594. 🔽 For a short position, we can enter if the 116,000 support area breaks. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s move on to Bitcoin Dominance. Yesterday, dominance had a bullish move, and finally, a support floor managed to prevent further drop in dominance. 🧩 A retracement to 61.20 has occurred. If this retracement continues, the upper levels are 61.53 and 62. A break of 60.46 will start the next bearish leg. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let’s go to Total2. This index has formed a range box between 1.48 and 1.55 and is still oscillating within it. 🎲 If 1.55 breaks, we can open a long position, and on the other hand, if 1.48 breaks, the price could correct to lower support levels. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let’s move on to Tether Dominance. This index also has a range box and is still moving inside it. 🔑 Breaking 4.13 is very important for the future market trend and could lead to a drop in dominance.
Long
by tradecitypro
Thea **Cup and Handle** pattern✨ **Imagine the market serving profits in a teacup!** Thea **Cup and Handle** pattern isn’t just a technical term—it’s the market whispering, *“Get ready for liftoff!”* Let’s break it down in an engaging way: ### ☕ The Cup - Picture a graceful drop in price that curves back up, forming a U-shape. - It’s like the market takes a sip, then refills—symbolizing recovery and building strength. ### 🛠️ The Handle - After the cup fills, the price dips slightly again, forming a small slope downward. - This is the “handle”—a moment of consolidation, often with lower trading volume. - It’s the calm before the bullish storm. ### 💡 Bullish Signal - When the price **breaks above the handle’s resistance**, it’s like the market pulls the trigger. - This signals a potential buying opportunity as the trend resumes upward. ### 📆 Duration - The cup can take weeks or even months to form, while the handle is shorter and more subtle. - Patience pays off, as the breakout often leads to explosive momentum. --- 🏆 *Want proof?* Check the comments—one of our past trades using this exact pattern scored a massive win of **100,000 pips**! 🚀 Technical analysis isn’t just charts and numbers—it’s decoding the market’s rhythm.
Education
by Elrouby
1
BTC - Cleaned up the lows!Bearish momentum is starting to stall here at the lows. New month, and we started it by cleaning up the previous month's bad lows. If we can hold here I'm looking for a trendline retest and VAL retest soon. Maybe we get one more sweep of the low, giving us a three drive pattern. Reclaim VAL then it's back to VAH, maybe take out all the bad highs. If we start bleeding into the lower demand zone (green box), I will start paying attention for a potential bearish retest into 110k, which we be our last area of imbalance to fill.
by Tealstreet
Bitcoin (BTC): 200EMA is Key Are Currently | Red Monthly OpeningBTC had a really sharp start to the month, and we are back near $115K, which was a key zone for us last time (due to huge orders sitting there). Now, we see a similar struggle like last time but not quite the same, as the 200EMA has aligned with the $115K area. We are now looking for any signs of MSB, as we think we might get a recovery from here. Now if we do not recover right now (by the end of today), we are going to see a really deep downside movement during the weekend most likely! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
Teach me to fish, don’t hand me the catch. --- 🎯 **“Teach me to fish, don’t hand me the catch.”** That’s the mantra behind what we do. We’re not here to hand you quick wins—we’re here to equip you with the tools, mindset, and precision to master the art of **technical analysis**. 📚 **Follow Us** as we unlock proven strategies, crafted through years of experience and sharpened by real market conditions. 💼 **What You'll Get:** - High-performance analysis techniques - Visual case studies from our **actual trades** - Clear examples from the insurance sector and beyond - A blueprint to recognize and seize winning setups with confidence 💥 Whether you're new or seasoned, this isn't textbook theory. This is **applied strategy**, built for clarity and verified by results. ---
Education
by Elrouby
1
Daily BTC, ETH & Market Index Analysis💎🔥 Daily BTC, ETH & Market Index Analysis & What Comes Next? 🔥💎 Smash the 🚀, FOLLOW for daily updates, and drop your thoughts in the comments!📈💬 ♦️ Hello everyone! Here’s what you can expect from this page: 🟡 Every Day: BTC & ETH analysis + complete market index overview 🟡 Every Sunday: Top 10 Altcoin breakdown (excluding BTC & ETH) 🟡 🆕 Coming soon: Weekly Watchlist every Sunday! 💛Your likes and follows are what keep this crypto routine going 💛 ⭕️ 24-Hour Market Crash – Summary for Crypto Traders Let’s break down what happened 👇 1️⃣ A massive wave of liquidations in futures and derivatives triggered heavy selling pressure. 2️⃣ BTC Dominance dropped, but capital also exited altcoins and flowed into BTC – a clear fear response and move toward safer assets. 3️⃣ Institutional players reduced exposure to altcoins to limit risk, causing deeper price drops. 4️⃣ On Ethereum, over $2.3B ETH is queued for unstaking, raising the chance of near-term sell pressure. 5️⃣ Ongoing pressure from investor sentiment shifts and global uncertainty is pushing money out of high-risk assets like crypto. 6️⃣ ⚠️ But this is a technical correction, not a fundamental collapse. For long-term thinkers, this could be a buy-the-dip opportunity. 🔥❗️Heavy Crypto Sentiment Week Ahead As mentioned yesterday, we’re at a critical point across key crypto indexes: ♦️ BTC, ETH, major altcoins, and indexes like BTC.D, USDT.D, TOTAL, TOTAL2, TOTAL3. 🚨 Tomorrow brings a major crypto-impacting event — the Fed interest rate decision. Most forecasts suggest no change. However, with rising stock indexes, there’s no clear pressure to cut inflation. Any unexpected comments or decisions by Powell may drive new waves in the crypto space. ♦️ BTC 🗓 Monthly candle closes in 2 days — be cautious around this point. 🔑 $120,300 is still the main breakout level. If it breaks with BTC Dominance rising, altcoins may stall (unless paired bullishly with BTC). If it breaks while BTC.D drops, expect strong altcoin momentum. ⚔️ Two scenarios for entries: 1️⃣ Entry at $119,500 – higher risk of getting stopped out but tighter SL. 2️⃣ Entry above $120,300 – more reliable but wider stop due to breakout wick. 🟡 Key Support: $115K–$117.3K – still valid, but repeated testing weakens the zone. ❗️❓️Why does it get weaker? Because each test drains buy orders. Sellers eventually overwhelm this level as buyers lose firepower. ♦️ BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Trend isn't clearly bullish yet, but the recent drop has slowed down. Structure is shifting – two key levels to watch: 1️⃣ 60.83 – rejected yesterday. 2️⃣ 60.42 – if this breaks down, alts may push higher. ♦️ TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Stuck at the $3.91T resistance. 💥 Breakout = strong volume and momentum injection. Be positioned accordingly. ♦️ TOTAL2 (Altcoins excl. BTC) At the $1.53T key level – breakout or rejection will shape altcoin direction. ♦️ TOTAL3 (Altcoins excl. BTC & ETH) Still eyeing the $1.08T resistance zone. ♦️ USDT Dominance (USDT.D) If 4.44% breaks and holds – bullish structure in BTC & alts will be in danger. Until then, focus on long setups. 📌 Make sure you’re positioned before 4.13% breaks — alts typically begin moving before that confirmation. ♦️ ETH/USDT If ETH closes below $3,480, expect extended correction or range. ♦️ Trading Outlook 1️⃣ Today may be quiet – market awaits reaction to tomorrow’s index events (Fed, BOJ, Powell). 2️⃣ These updates can create new moves or shift bias toward short setups. 💎 If this helped your crypto planning, hit the 🚀, FOLLOW for more daily setups, and share your thoughts in the comments! 🔥📊
Long
by trade-pro-mind
BTC 1D – Major Break of Structure. Now What?Bitcoin just broke major structure — flipping a key resistance level into support. After months of building higher lows, we finally saw price close above the previous swing high, confirming a bullish break of structure (BOS). Now, BTC is coiling above that zone, forming an ascending triangle and refusing to give up ground. That’s a strong sign — but confirmation still matters. What to watch: – Break + retest of current range for continuation – Or false breakout if volume fades and price sweeps below the level Structure has shifted bullish. Now it’s all about follow-through. #BTC #Bitcoin #BreakOfStructure #BOS #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #QuantTradingPro
Long
by Quant_Trading_Pro