BTCUST trade ideas
BTC Fibo RetracementIn the meantime, here is my BTC plan. Now we are very close to ATH and I would wait for next retracement to enter long, if we are going to 120.
Zone Of Interest combines several reasons to make an entry.
• 0.5 Fibo
• Sell Side Liquidity
• Valid 8H FVG
• And a border of discount zone
It is not at all necessary that the price will fall to these levels, but if it will, I`ll be watching price action there and make my decision.
Have a good trades!
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Re-Test of ATH This WeekBitcoin still holds current zones pretty well, where, with a possibility of a bloody start to the week, buyers still show dominance, pushing the price to the ATH area.
Now, despite that we are looking for the upward movement here, we are starting also to see small but strong sell-side moves (candles with strong bodies), so we are looking for the ATH to be touched and then we are expecting to see proper sell-side movement, where we want to see the liquidity hunting to start!
Swallow Academy
BTC Trade Plan 11/05/2025Dear Traders,
It seems that the fifth bullish wave of Bitcoin is forming, and the previous high will soon be broken. Since wave 5 is the final wave of a bullish cycle, I expect a sharp reversal to the downside from any price level. The targets for wave 5 are between 114 and 130.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new.
The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply).
With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future.
I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022
BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Can #BTC hit a new all-time high?📊Can #BTC hit a new all-time high?
🧠From a structural perspective, the goals of the long structure in the daily support zone have all been achieved, so we need to be wary of the risk of a pullback! As we get closer to the all-time high, the resistance will become heavier, so I won't chase the rise here under huge pressure. I think even if a new all-time high is reached, the expectation of a pullback is very large.
➡️The current closing price of the weekly candlestick chart is above the blue resistance zone, so the resistance zone turns into a support zone. So if we want to participate in a new long trade, we should wait patiently for the price to return to this yellow support zone before considering it.
Let's see 👀
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe advancement of the Bitcoin Reserve Bill in many US states, such as Arizona's plan to allocate 10% of state assets to BTC, combined with the discussion on the regulatory framework at the White House Crypto Summit, may make policy clarity a catalyst for future market conditions. The market is watching this week's FOMC decision. If the rate - cut expectation heats up, it may promote the recovery of Bitcoin liquidity.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
buy@93500-94000
TP:95500-96000
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe) – 17th May 2025Today’s technical analysis identifies an AB=CD harmonic pattern forming on the BTC/USDT daily chart. The market has completed the initial bullish leg from point A to point B, followed by a corrective move in progress toward point C. This pattern suggests a potential bullish continuation once the price completes the CD leg.
🔹 Pattern: AB=CD
🔹 Entry Zone (Buy Limit): Between 98,192 and 99,045 USDT
🔹 Stop Loss: Placed at 81,758 USDT, just below the previous significant low, to protect against invalidation
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 114,412 USDT – aligned with historical resistance and projected CD leg
• TP2: 129,565 USDT – extended Fibonacci projection level
The RSI Divergence Indicator currently reads at 65.87, suggesting bullish momentum remains intact but nearing overbought conditions. Notably, several bullish RSI divergences marked earlier have supported price rallies, adding confidence to this setup.
The expected trajectory from point C toward D completes the harmonic pattern with a 3.14 Fibonacci projection, aligning well with historical resistance areas. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, provided price retraces into the ideal buy zone before continuing upward.
📉 Strategy Summary:
Traders may consider placing a buy limit order between 98,192–99,045 USDT, with a tight stop below 81,758, aiming for profit targets at 114K and 129K levels. Confirmation of support around point C will be essential before full entry.
📅 Analysis By: Musarrat
🗓️ Date: 17th May, 2025
BITCOIN MIGHT SEE $160KWe have a vey similar movement for bitcoin compare to few months ago
1) Pass the 20MA on weekly
2) Bullish cross on MACD
3) Cross and stay above the weekly resistance ( yellow trendline )
4) +60% upside movement
Im not saying 60% raise is coming to bitcoin ( may be come ), but at least $134k - $140k is very likely IMO
Bitcoin Breaks Heavy Resistance Zone— But Can It Hold?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise yesterday as the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) opened and it seems like it can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ) this time, but there are still concerns from a technical analysis , so please stay tuned for this analysis .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and has broken through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) with good momentum .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and we should wait for the completion of microwave 4 . The microwave 4 can be considered a pullback to the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ).
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $96,000 and is likely to touch the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) and start rising again, since microwave 3 was with high momentum , it is possible that microwave 5 will even be truncated . The targets I have indicated on the chart can be the target of a long position .
If you are looking for a Bitcoin reversal, you can focus on the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . The next major pivot will likely be within this time zone .
It seems reasonable to open a Long position near the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) , and it can give us a good Risk-To-Reward . What do you think?
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My concerns for Bitcoin's continued bullish trend:
Because Bitcoin's correlation with US stock market indices , especially the SPX500 , is higher than in previous weeks, my analysis is that there is a re-correction in the SPX500 index , which could prevent Bitcoin from continuing its upward trend .
The Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern is likely to complete, which could cause Bitcoin to fall further if the lower lines of this pattern are broken.
If tensions between Pakistan and India increase, it could prevent Bitcoin from growing further.
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Also, Today, the Federal Funds Rate is scheduled to be announced.
Let’s take a look at how this decision — along with Powell’s speech — might impact Bitcoin . Be cautious with your positions during the announcement and Powell’s remarks, as markets may become volatile.
Holding the rate steady is a signal of monetary policy stability, which could give risk assets like Bitcoin some breathing room in the short term.
Given recent U.S. economic data, markets are mainly focused on Powell’s tone during the press conference. If he adopts a dovish stance (hinting at potential rate cuts), this could support Bitcoin’s upward momentum.
However, if Powell emphasizes that rates will remain elevated for an extended period, we might see a temporary wave of selling pressure in the market.
Stay alert and manage your risk wisely — high-impact events like this can lead to sharp moves in crypto.
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Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,511-$97,774
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $95,966-$95,550
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $94,400, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Potential Continuation To The UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 100,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 100,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction.
Consolidation Structure
The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled.
Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting.
On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low.
Price Target and Expectations
If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k.
Current Stance
Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level.
Conclusion
This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path.
___________________________________
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BTC - TO THE MOON?Just some basic things to look out for here:
- we are currently inside the last supply zone (imbalance, orderblock, bad highs). Just treat it as a zone but look for distributive PA. Obviously momentum is on the bull side, so be very picky with short entries. Idea is that the high holds just like the previous range between 50-75k.
- if that short/sell signal fails, getting on board on bullish ltf momentum above the bad highs is a good way to play some short squeeze or bigger impulse. Obviously gonna be a crowdy trade, so get in when other longs get stopped.
- Pullback into first support: the poc of the weekly range we just reclaimed. It was the first rejection after getting back in, so we assume some shorts are still trapped here and would like to get out. Again treat it as a zone, poc differ on each trading pair because the volume is different everywhere. Coinbase poc is a bit higher, perp poc like this a bit lower.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #85👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual in this analysis, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
📰 Yesterday, the U.S. interest rate decision came out, which remained unchanged and didn’t have much impact on the market—this was expected for some time. Now that the news had no real effect, the market can continue its previous trend.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, after the news came out yesterday, the price ranged a bit and then moved upward, triggering the 97409 level. I hope you entered a position with that trigger because I had emphasized it strongly.
✔️ Currently, the price has reached the 99337 zone and is stabilizing above it. If this holds, the next resistance level is 101965.
💥 The RSI oscillator is also in the Overbuy zone, which is helping the price maintain its bullish momentum. There’s a resistance at 75.77 on the RSI, and if that breaks as well, we could see a very sharp move in the chart.
📊 Buy volume has been strong in this leg and aligns with the trend. If volume starts decreasing, divergence will appear, and we’ll get the first sign of trend weakness. Just remember—weakness doesn’t mean trend reversal.
📉 As for short positions, I think by now you know my trading style. In a market like this, where momentum is strongly bullish and price is breaking resistance one after another, I don’t think opening a short position makes sense. We should wait for proper structure to form before considering a short.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance—yesterday the 65.28 zone was broken and price moved up near the top of the channel, but then reversed and has now dropped to the midline of the channel.
🔑 Currently, the dominant trend is still bullish, but short-term momentum is bearish, and there’s a good chance it drops further to 64.91.
⚡️ Since the higher timeframes are still bullish, we could see bullish momentum return at any time. Technically, the 64.91 zone is the next major support.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2—finally, the 1.05 trigger was activated, and Total2 started moving upward. I had strongly emphasized this trigger as well, and I hope you took advantage of it.
🧩 Price has now reached the 1.07 level, and if that breaks, it could move up to 1.1.
🔼 If this bullish move turns out to be a fakeout, the next valid triggers for short positions are a break of 1.03 and then 1.01.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether dominance—this index also broke the 4.99 level and is now trending downward.
🔍 If this move continues, we could see a drop to around 4.82. That would allow the market to continue its upward movement even further.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300
Current price: 104300
Here are the key observations:
Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively.
Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k
If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested:
97700 and then 91100
CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA )
Trading Implications:
For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000.
For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000.
Not financial Advice!
Ultimate Guide to Master CISDCISD stands for Consolidation, Inducement, Stop Hunt, Displacement. It’s a simple, repeatable structure that shows how smart money sets up traps in the market to grab liquidity and then make a clean move in the opposite direction.
If you’re serious about trading the ICT style, this is one of the most useful frameworks to learn. It helps you avoid chasing bad breakouts and teaches you to wait for real setups that come after stop hunts and proper market structure shifts.
But there’s one rule that’s non-negotiable — a CISD setup is only valid after a liquidity sweep. If the market hasn’t taken out a clear high or low where stops are sitting, then the rest of the model doesn’t mean anything. No sweep, no trade.
1. Start With the Liquidity Sweep
Everything begins with the liquidity grab. If price hasn’t taken out a high or low where stops are stacked, you should walk away from the setup. Don’t try to front-run a move before smart money has done its job.
The liquidity sweep is what gives the rest of the move power. That’s when price runs through obvious levels, swing highs, swing lows, the Asian range, New York session highs or lows and hits stop losses. Those stops give smart money fuel to enter in the opposite direction.
When you’re watching the market, ask yourself this:
"Who just got stopped out?"
If you can’t answer that, then it’s not a sweep. And if it’s not a sweep, it’s not a CISD.
2. Consolidation — Where Liquidity Builds
This is the first part of the structure. Price starts to move sideways in a tight range, usually during Asian session or during parts of London where volume is low. It can last for hours or even across sessions.
The key here is to understand what’s happening. Traders are placing buys above the highs and sells below the lows. Liquidity is building on both sides. It’s a trap being set. Retail traders are expecting a breakout, but smart money is waiting to use that breakout to their advantage.
Your job in this phase is to identify the range and mark out the highs and lows. That’s where stops will be sitting. You’re not looking to trade during this phase. You’re watching and planning
3. Inducement (sweep)— Fake Break to Trap Traders
After the range is set, price gives a small push out of the range just enough to get people to commit. This is the inducement. It’s the bait.
Let’s say the range high is being tested. Price breaks just above it, traders think it’s a breakout, and they go long. Maybe it holds for a couple of minutes, even gives a small push in their favor. But then it rolls over. That’s the trap. Now those traders are caught, and their stops are sitting below.
Sometimes the inducement comes before the real sweep. Other times, the inducement is the sweep. What matters is that traders have been lured into bad positions and their stops are exposed.
As a trader, your job is not to take the bait. Watch how price reacts to these fake moves. Often, they come with weak volume or are followed by an immediate sharp reversal.
4. Stop Hunt — The Sweep That Validates the Setup
This is where the real move starts to form. Price aggressively runs through the level that holds liquidity, usually below the low or above the high you marked earlier.
This is when smart money takes out the traders who were induced during the fake move. Their stops get hit, and that gives institutions the volume they need to get into the opposite side.
You should be actively watching for a reaction here. Do you see rejection? Does the candle close with a strong wick? Are there signs of absorption or order flow flipping?
This is your validation point. Once price sweeps liquidity and starts to reject the level, that’s your cue to get ready for the next part, the actual shift.
5. Displacement — The Real Move Begins
Once the sweep happens, price doesn’t just drift, it snaps back hard. This is called displacement.
Displacement is a sharp, clean move in the opposite direction of the stop hunt. This is when market structure breaks, momentum shifts, and a fair value gap usually forms.
This is your confirmation that the setup is live. The sweep happened, smart money entered, and now the market is moving with intent.
You don’t want to chase the displacement candle itself. Instead, wait for the retrace. Look for price to come back into the fair value gap or an order block left behind by the impulse. That’s your entry point.
Make sure:
Structure is broken in your direction
The move away is impulsive, not choppy
You’re not forcing an entry on a weak pullback
This is the only part of CISD where you actually take the trade. Everything else is just setup.
How to Manage Risk and Entries
Once you’ve got a valid setup, here’s how to manage it:
Entry: Enter on the CISD or wait for the pullback into the fair value gap or order block. Enter on the reaction or confirmation.
Stop Loss: Place it just past the low or high that got swept. If you’re long, your stop goes below the stop hunt candle. If you’re short, it goes above.
Take Profit: Target the next liquidity level. That could be the other side of the range, a swing high or low, or an inefficiency in price.
You can scale out if price approaches a session high or low, or hold for a full range expansion depending on the session.
Final Thoughts
The CISD model works because it’s built on how the market actually moves, not indicators, not random patterns, but liquidity.
Don’t jump in early. Don’t guess. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the displacement. That’s where the edge is.
Once you get used to watching this play out in real time, you’ll start to see it everywhere. It’s in Forex, crypto, indices, any market that runs on liquidity.
Stick to the rules. Let the model do its job. And remember: no sweep, no setup!
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If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
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Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Reversal or Breakout?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) . One of the news that pumped Bitcoin was " Arizona Becomes Second U.S. State to Adopt Bitcoin for State Treasury "
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and near the upper lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, we can see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
From an Elliott wave theory , it seems we should wait for corrective waves because the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,888-$99,826) is very important and I DO NOT expect it to be broken by a single attack .
Another point we can pay attention to is the existence of two small CME Gaps , the first CME Gap($98,430-$98,380) is likely to be filled.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $98,100 in the coming hours, and if the Support zone($97,900-$97,240 ) is broken, we should expect further declines, so I will label this idea as ''Short' '.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,500-$97,514
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the good volume, we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Do you think Bitcoin is on track for a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin at key zone - Breakout or rejection?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level. A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up, but a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles.
My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move.
What’s your take—breakout or rejection?
Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
2025.05.15 BITCOIN LONGWe are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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The formation of the Deep Gartley pattern has been clearly confirmed, suggesting a valid short-term rebound scenario.
Buying pressure is emerging at the current price level, reinforcing the reliability of the pattern.
Short-term target levels are as follows:
1st Target: 102,807
2nd Target: 103,629
3rd Target: 104,567
Risk management is advised upon entry, and price action around each target level should be closely monitored.
As market volatility may increase, it is recommended to confirm signals in conjunction with supplementary indicators.