BTCUST trade ideas
Is Bitcoin Ready for a Final Rally to $180K?After crashing from its $69K peak (Nov 2021) to $15,476 (Nov 2022), Bitcoin has entered a bullish Elliott Wave structure, forming a classic 3-wave corrective pattern:
🔹 Wave A: Rally to $73,777 (with internal abc structure)
🔹 Wave B: Pullback to $49,000
🔹 Wave C: Currently unfolding — with a potential target at $180K
Within Wave C:
✅ Wave a: Pushed to $109K
✅ Wave b: Corrected down to FWB:73K
✅ Wave c: Now beginning and approaching a key breakout point
📌 The critical level? A daily candle close above $109K
If that happens, Bitcoin could enter its final impulsive leg toward $180K.
All technical signs point toward a major move — the structure, volume, and price action are aligned for what could be a historic breakout.
Potential Short SetupA rising wedge is forming on the 4H chart, hinting at potential bearish pressure. Adding to the caution, CVD divergence suggests that buying volume isn't fully supporting the price action—possible exhaustion ahead.
⚠ Not Financial Advice ⚠
Trade with caution! If you don't have a proper risk management plan, DO NOT TAKE THE TRADE. Always manage your exposure wisely.
HolderStat┆BTCUSD channel run to 115kAfter February’s strong consolidation wedge cracked, Bitcoin price rebounded, carving a fresh ascending channel that sits snug on wedge support above 100 k. Each mini‑consolidation has resolved higher, and the current leg projects into the 112‑115 k new‑ATH rail drawn on the chart. Pullbacks toward 100‑102 k are structurally healthy so long as the lower trend‑line stays intact, keeping the broader BTC breakout narrative alive.
Ultimate Guide to Master CISDCISD stands for Consolidation, Inducement, Stop Hunt, Displacement. It’s a simple, repeatable structure that shows how smart money sets up traps in the market to grab liquidity and then make a clean move in the opposite direction.
If you’re serious about trading the ICT style, this is one of the most useful frameworks to learn. It helps you avoid chasing bad breakouts and teaches you to wait for real setups that come after stop hunts and proper market structure shifts.
But there’s one rule that’s non-negotiable — a CISD setup is only valid after a liquidity sweep. If the market hasn’t taken out a clear high or low where stops are sitting, then the rest of the model doesn’t mean anything. No sweep, no trade.
1. Start With the Liquidity Sweep
Everything begins with the liquidity grab. If price hasn’t taken out a high or low where stops are stacked, you should walk away from the setup. Don’t try to front-run a move before smart money has done its job.
The liquidity sweep is what gives the rest of the move power. That’s when price runs through obvious levels, swing highs, swing lows, the Asian range, New York session highs or lows and hits stop losses. Those stops give smart money fuel to enter in the opposite direction.
When you’re watching the market, ask yourself this:
"Who just got stopped out?"
If you can’t answer that, then it’s not a sweep. And if it’s not a sweep, it’s not a CISD.
2. Consolidation — Where Liquidity Builds
This is the first part of the structure. Price starts to move sideways in a tight range, usually during Asian session or during parts of London where volume is low. It can last for hours or even across sessions.
The key here is to understand what’s happening. Traders are placing buys above the highs and sells below the lows. Liquidity is building on both sides. It’s a trap being set. Retail traders are expecting a breakout, but smart money is waiting to use that breakout to their advantage.
Your job in this phase is to identify the range and mark out the highs and lows. That’s where stops will be sitting. You’re not looking to trade during this phase. You’re watching and planning
3. Inducement (sweep)— Fake Break to Trap Traders
After the range is set, price gives a small push out of the range just enough to get people to commit. This is the inducement. It’s the bait.
Let’s say the range high is being tested. Price breaks just above it, traders think it’s a breakout, and they go long. Maybe it holds for a couple of minutes, even gives a small push in their favor. But then it rolls over. That’s the trap. Now those traders are caught, and their stops are sitting below.
Sometimes the inducement comes before the real sweep. Other times, the inducement is the sweep. What matters is that traders have been lured into bad positions and their stops are exposed.
As a trader, your job is not to take the bait. Watch how price reacts to these fake moves. Often, they come with weak volume or are followed by an immediate sharp reversal.
4. Stop Hunt — The Sweep That Validates the Setup
This is where the real move starts to form. Price aggressively runs through the level that holds liquidity, usually below the low or above the high you marked earlier.
This is when smart money takes out the traders who were induced during the fake move. Their stops get hit, and that gives institutions the volume they need to get into the opposite side.
You should be actively watching for a reaction here. Do you see rejection? Does the candle close with a strong wick? Are there signs of absorption or order flow flipping?
This is your validation point. Once price sweeps liquidity and starts to reject the level, that’s your cue to get ready for the next part, the actual shift.
5. Displacement — The Real Move Begins
Once the sweep happens, price doesn’t just drift, it snaps back hard. This is called displacement.
Displacement is a sharp, clean move in the opposite direction of the stop hunt. This is when market structure breaks, momentum shifts, and a fair value gap usually forms.
This is your confirmation that the setup is live. The sweep happened, smart money entered, and now the market is moving with intent.
You don’t want to chase the displacement candle itself. Instead, wait for the retrace. Look for price to come back into the fair value gap or an order block left behind by the impulse. That’s your entry point.
Make sure:
Structure is broken in your direction
The move away is impulsive, not choppy
You’re not forcing an entry on a weak pullback
This is the only part of CISD where you actually take the trade. Everything else is just setup.
How to Manage Risk and Entries
Once you’ve got a valid setup, here’s how to manage it:
Entry: Enter on the CISD or wait for the pullback into the fair value gap or order block. Enter on the reaction or confirmation.
Stop Loss: Place it just past the low or high that got swept. If you’re long, your stop goes below the stop hunt candle. If you’re short, it goes above.
Take Profit: Target the next liquidity level. That could be the other side of the range, a swing high or low, or an inefficiency in price.
You can scale out if price approaches a session high or low, or hold for a full range expansion depending on the session.
Final Thoughts
The CISD model works because it’s built on how the market actually moves, not indicators, not random patterns, but liquidity.
Don’t jump in early. Don’t guess. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the displacement. That’s where the edge is.
Once you get used to watching this play out in real time, you’ll start to see it everywhere. It’s in Forex, crypto, indices, any market that runs on liquidity.
Stick to the rules. Let the model do its job. And remember: no sweep, no setup!
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Bitcoin Ready to Explode – Just Like Last TimeCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently showing a powerful accumulation and breakout pattern, repeating the same bullish structure that led to explosive rallies in the recent past.
The chart highlights three key zones where Bitcoin consolidated before breaking out:
🔹 First breakout from the $81K–$86K zone
🔹 Second breakout above $93K after holding above the 50 EMA
🔹Now, Bitcoin is accumulating again just below a key resistance zone (~$105K–$106K)
This resistance zone has acted as a ceiling before, but the current price action suggests strength. The tight consolidation just below resistance often precedes a breakout — and if it happens here, Bitcoin could explode toward $115K+ in the coming weeks.
Key Technical Points:
🔹50 EMA is acting as dynamic support
🔹Higher low structure remains intact
🔹Each consolidation is followed by a strong upward breakout
Repeating accumulation breakout pattern is visible
Next targets: $111K → $115K → $120K
Invalidation: Breakdown below GETTEX:98K with strong volume
If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and repost.
Thank you!
#BTC #BTCUSDT #Unichartz
BTC Higher Lows & Higher Highs Structure, ATH Imminent?HL + HH + Trendline = Classic Bullish Structure
As long as this ascending trendline holds, every dip looks like a buying opportunity.
Structure is clean, momentum still intact.
Targeting previous highs 🔺
Invalidated if trendline breaks with strong volume.
What’s your plan here? Long on retest? Waiting for confirmation?
Drop your thoughts below 👇
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #MarketStructure #BTC #Crypto
BTC bull cycle comes to an end.We can see it clearly on the chart. BTC has ended the 5 waves pattern in Elliot wave count. you can see it on the chart, you can see it on the MACD & RSI.
What we are seeing now is that because of Greed & Hype no one is selling bitcoin. the up-trend we are seeing now is the result of no sellers and Hype Buyers. This is a bull trap. We can see the divergence clear as day. Stay alert and dont let them catch you this time.
We need a short squeezeWe need a short squeeze to fuel a move toward the historical high. Price is holding just below the resistance level, and this is not the first approach. On the daily timeframe, there's a bearish divergence — a short signal.
Possible scenarios:
Price moves down, but holds the support zone at 98K–100K, builds strength, and then breaks out to a new all-time high.
Price moves down, fails to hold the 100K zone, and drops back toward 80K.
Price consolidates tightly around 103K–105K, volatility decreases for a while — the market enters a “kangaroo mode.”
At the moment, I’m leaning toward scenario 1 — we still need to play out the daily divergence, which might take a few days. Buyer strength is still visible. I expect a strong correction only after the all-time high is updated.
BTC/USDT: Long Opportunity After Order Block Breakout #### **Market Context**
- Price has **broken and closed above** the key order block resistance, invalidating sell setups.
- Current structure favors **bullish continuation** with a clean retest of the new demand zone.
#### **Key Levels**
- **Entry Zone**: **104,018.6** (Retest of bullish order block)
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (Below recent swing low)
- **Targets**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Initial liquidity pool)
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Next swing high)
- **Risk/Reward**: **1:3+** (Conservative)
#### **Analysis**
- **Breakout Confirmation**: The previous resistance (order block) has flipped into support.
- **Entry Logic**: Price retraced with a **healthy pullback** (not aggressive selling) into the new demand zone.
- **SL Placement**: Below the recent swing low to avoid false breakdowns.
#### **Trade Execution**
- **Long Entry**: **104,018.6** (Limit order preferred for better fills).
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (~0.4% risk from entry).
- **Take Profit**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Partial close to secure profit).
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Runner position if momentum continues).
#### **Risk Management**
- **Do Not Risk More Than 1-2%** of capital per trade.
- Adjust position size if volatility expands.
#### **Chart Notes**
- **Green Zone**: New demand area (retest entry).
- **Red Line**: Invalidation level (stop loss).
- **Blue Arrows**: Expected price path.
---
### **Why This Setup?**
- **Trend Alignment**: Higher timeframe (HTF) bias remains bullish.
- **Order Block Confirmation**: Old resistance now acts as support.
- **Optimal R/R**: Favorable risk-reward with clear invalidation.
**Next Watch**: If BTC holds above **104K**, next target is **105.5K**.
BTC 4H Chart Analysis - Bitcoin is currently moving within a range, and two potential demand zones are highlighted on the chart with green boxes. There's a possibility that BTC may pull back into one of these zones to collect buy-side liquidity before continuing higher.
These areas can be considered for long setups on the 15-minute timeframe — but only with a valid entry trigger.
---
📌 Key Levels
🟢 Supports:
- 100,000 – 100,500
- 97,400 – 98,700
- 95,900
🔴 Resistances:
- 104,800 – 105,200
- 105,900
BTCUSD – Bullish Order Block on 1H (Long Setup)**Chart**: 1H | **Instrument**: BTCUSD
**Idea**:
- **Direction**: Bullish (Long)
- **Entry**: **102,120.7** (on 15M/1H pinbar or engulfing confirmation)
- **Stop-loss**: **101,282**
- **Take-profit**: **104,095.1**
- **Risk/Reward**: ~1:3
**Rationale**:
- A **bullish order block** formed on the 1H chart, signaling potential upward momentum.
- Confirmation via **15M/1H pinbar/engulfing candle** strengthens the long entry.
**Psychology & Risk Management**:
- Strict stop-loss adherence.
- Position sizing aligned with risk tolerance.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #OrderBlock
Let me know if you'd like adjustments (e.g., adding indicators like RSI/MACD for confluence)! 🚀
BTC-----Sell around 104000, target 102000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 16:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was running with a shrinking volume and the fast and slow lines showed signs of a dead cross. But again, the current signal is a retracement correction, not a trend, because at the weekly level, the price is just retracing the moving average, and everyone should be clear about this; the high pressure level is in the 105800 area, and the low point is in the 100600 area; the short-term price rebounded in the early morning, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning. The intraday high was around the 104500 area. The current retracement did not continue, so there is still a demand for consumption during the day, but the hourly chart attached chart indicator has already crossed.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 104000 area, stop loss at the 104500 area, and target the 102500 area
$BTC go to 142000🪙 Bitcoin Analysis - Daily Timeframe
🚀 Entry Point:
The ideal buy entry is at $96,302, where we have a confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level, FVG, and a Breaker Block. This zone could trigger buy orders and potentially push Bitcoin towards the first target at its previous all-time high of $109,000, and ultimately to the final target at $142,650.
🔴 Critical Support:
The current support level is $93,947.
If a daily candle closes below this level, a bearish structure will form, opening the door for further decline to the next support at $85,000.
💡 Trading Signal: ❤️
Buy Limit: $96,302
Stop Loss: $93,347
Take Profit Targets: $109,000 - $142,000
🔵 Risk Management:
Risk only 1% of your capital in this trade.
Adjust margin size so that in case the stop loss is hit, your account loss will not exceed 1%.
This is a Swing Trade setup. Stay disciplined and manage your risk effectively. ✅
BTC - Ranges overview (update) Let's get back to BTC and let's see how the pa moved in the past days.
As we noted previously IF we held the HTF FVG (yellow box) we should expect to trade back towards 90K-100K.
We held perfectly and traded back towards our target. Hopefully the scalpers amongst you guys managed to get some nice entries (feel free to go back to the previous idea and watch how we managed to call out the 'bottom'.
What is next...
IF we 100K expect us to aggressively trade towards price discovery and new all time highs.
IF we fail to hold 90K expect us to trade back towards 80K.
Pretty simple...BE PATIENT...LET THE MARKET SHOW YOU ITS HAND...AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.