🔥 Bitcoin On-chain: You're Still EARLY This Cycle 🚨In this analysis I want to dive deeper into on-chain analytics, namely the amount of the BTC supply that has not moved in over 1-year (read: investors that hold BTC for >1 year).
This metric is important because it gauges the amount of hodlers in the market. Historically, the amount of hodlers always goes up during bear-markets and goes down during bull-markets.
Take a look at the previous three cycles. Hodlers only really started selling after BTC has made a new all-time high.
Seeing that the white line has only just started going down, we can safely assume that we're still early into the real bull-market and that we likely have another 6-12 months of bull period (historically) ahead of us.
Don't worry if you missed the boat on your favorite altcoin, you're still early.
BTC_ACTIVE1Y trade ideas
the percent of circulating supply that has not moved 1 yearThis chart shows the percent of circulating supply that has not moved in at least 1 year. This data shows what percentage of long-term holders have kept their bitcoins.
This index has a negative correlation with price. When prices fall, holders are reluctant to sell and the index starts to rise. Once the price has risen enough, some of these holders will start selling their bitcoins, which causes supply to increase and prices to start falling.
The linear correlation in the correlation oscillator indicates the negative correlation with R = - 0.9. For a better understanding, a bitcoin chart is drawn next to it and the peak and trough points are marked.
