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BTCUSD Futures Contract (Mar 2025)BTCUSD Futures Contract (Mar 2025)BTCUSD Futures Contract (Mar 2025)

BTCUSD Futures Contract (Mar 2025)

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BTCUSDH2025 trade ideas

BTC CME Gap PlayoutWell, here we go again—another CME gap filled like clockwork. On Friday, BTC closed at $85.7K on CME, only to open on Monday with a big jump at $94.5K, leaving a massive weekend gap. And what happened next? Within the next 24 hours, the price fully covered the gap, even dropping further down to $82.8K before stabilizing. 🔹 Statistics Historically, these gaps have shown a high tendency to be filled, with studies indicating that approximately 95% of CME gaps eventually close. 🔹 Why does this happen? CME gaps occur because the Bitcoin futures market on CME is closed during weekends, while crypto trades 24/7. When CME reopens on Monday, price often corrects to “fill” the gap left between Friday’s close and Monday’s open. 🔹 What’s next? Now that the gap is filled, we’ll have to see if bulls can regain momentum or if we get another leg down before continuation. Watching the next key levels! Stay sharp!
CME:BTC1!
by Expate
$BTC Futures FractalTaking a closer look at BTC CME chart in late 2020, after a high of $14,000 Bitcoin Futures corrected and rallied back up (with a gap) to $12,000. After another 21% correction (almost closing the gap) we started to rally to all time high. Looking at the current chart today we have a very similar set up. From a major correction, and then a rally (Gap up) we have closed the gap. If the timing is exactly the same... (unlikely).., well see another rally to new all time highs. First target is still $130,000.
CME:BTC1!Long
by A7Fund
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
1
"Bitcoin Filled the CME Gap – What’s Next?🚨 Boom! Bitcoin just did EXACTLY what I predicted. 📌 The CME Gap at $92,695 - $93,790 is now completely filled! 📊 In My previous analysis, I highlighted the possibility of Bitcoin pushing towards this key level due to liquidity engineering. Now that the gap has been filled, the BIG question remains: ⚠️ Was this just a liquidity grab, or is Bitcoin gearing up for a massive breakout? 🔸 Scenario 1 - Bullish Continuation: If BTC holds above $94K, we could see a push towards GETTEX:98K - $102K in the coming days. Whales accumulating above this level could indicate further upside momentum. 🔹 Scenario 2 - Reversal & Liquidity Trap: If BTC fails to hold above this level and starts closing below GETTEX:92K , this could be a classic fake breakout before another drop towards FWB:88K for a deeper retest. 💰 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Resistance: $94K | GETTEX:98K | $102K 🔸 Support: GETTEX:92K | FWB:88K | $84K 👀 Next Move: A clear 4H or Daily close above $94K could confirm a continuation higher. A rejection and close below GETTEX:92K might indicate a potential reversal. 📌 This was exactly what I predicted in My last analysis. If you missed it, check it out here: 🔗 Previous Analysis: Bitcoin Another Drop or the Biggest Market Trap? 🔥 This is a CRITICAL moment for Bitcoin. Are we about to see a true breakout, or was this just a perfectly engineered liquidity grab? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀👇 #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #MarketManipulation #WhaleGames #Trading #LiquidityTrap #CMEGaps #CryptoBreakout #PriceAction
CME:BTC1!
by SeyedHamid822
1
BTC Finally Up From Here? Bitcoin has faced significant headwinds recently, experiencing a nearly 30% decline from its all-time high, instilling widespread fear and uncertainty across the market. With the Fear and Greed Index plummeting to its lowest level in the past year, the key question arises: are we approaching a pivotal inflection point, or is this the beginning of the end for the current bull cycle? There are several compelling reasons to believe that the uptrend may persist from this juncture: Market Structure & Elliott Wave Analysis The prevailing market structure suggests a higher probability of a corrective phase rather than a definitive trend reversal. Historically, corrective movements tend to retrace back to their origin, implying a potential rotation toward previous highs. Furthermore, Elliott Wave theory identifies Fibonacci extension levels as key termination zones for corrections, with the most common being the 1.0x and 1.618x extensions. Notably, Bitcoin has precisely touched the 1.618 extension, reinforcing the possibility of a structural rebound. CME Gap & Liquidity Injection A critical CME gap has now been filled, which could catalyze fresh liquidity inflows from sidelined capital. This is further evidenced by the formation of a substantial buyer wick on the daily candle, suggesting renewed interest and accumulation at these levels. Anchored VWAP & Market Strength The anchored VWAP from the August range low—marking the inception of Bitcoin’s 100% upward move—appears to be in the process of reclamation. If successfully held, this could signal a significant resurgence in market strength, providing a solid foundation for further upside momentum. Should Bitcoin manage to reclaim its all-time high heading into the summer months, it could pave the way for an extended bullish continuation. However, as always, only time will reveal the ultimate trajectory.
CME:BTC1!Long
by afurs1
BTC will fill CME GAP at around 77KWe're seeing some wild swings in Bitcoin's price, and I'm calling it: this isn't just the market doing its thing. I mean, where's all the BTC on exchanges? It's like there's none left, and the prices are shooting up to levels that Wall Street boys would think twice about jumping into. This smells like big-time manipulation by the heavy hitters, like those hedge fund giants and the exchanges themselves. They've got the power to make the market dance, and with so little Bitcoin floating around, every move they make has an outsized impact. It's like they're playing with a loaded deck. I'm not saying I've got the smoking gun, but the signs are there. When you see prices that don't match the supply, you gotta wonder, right? Are we just pawns in their game, or is there something else at play? Let's keep our eyes peeled, because if this is manipulation, it's on a whole new level. What do you guys think? Am I onto something, or am I just seeing shadows? Remember, this is speculative based on what we're observing in the market, and while manipulation is a concern, it's one among many factors influencing crypto prices. Whats your thouhts?
CME:BTC1!Short
by r0b1n4t0r
1
BTC 160K in JulySimple fractal from last year summer doldrums on the the BTC chart. Once we corrected to the 200 SMA (current spot) , a 2 month bottom consolidation followed and after 2 months, BTC reached all time high. That is my thesis going forward and it bodes well with the US new administration typical down turn within the first 100 days of taking office. Fed still tightening, rates still high, etc Congruent also with a shift to an increase in global liquidity and lower rates incoming towards the summer, as the US economy is now showing obvious signs of weakness. My 2 cents.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Jasonborntodie
Bitcoin Futures in Freefall !!Bitcoin Futures in Freefall: Navigating the Stormy Crypto Seas As of February 27, 2025, Bitcoin futures have been experiencing significant volatility, reflecting the broader trends in the cryptocurrency market. The current price of Bitcoin futures on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) is approximately $84,945, which represents a notable decline from recent highs. Market Overview The cryptocurrency market has been under pressure due to a combination of factors, including regulatory uncertainties, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment. Bitcoin, being the flagship cryptocurrency, often sets the tone for the entire market. The recent drop in Bitcoin futures prices can be attributed to several key factors: Regulatory Concerns: Governments and regulatory bodies worldwide have been tightening their stance on cryptocurrencies. This has led to increased scrutiny and potential regulatory actions, causing uncertainty among investors. Macroeconomic Factors: The global economic environment, including inflation concerns and interest rate hikes, has impacted risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Investors are becoming more cautious, leading to reduced demand for Bitcoin futures. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has been bearish, with many investors adopting a risk-off approach. This has resulted in increased selling pressure and lower prices for Bitcoin futures. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Bitcoin futures have broken several key support levels, indicating a bearish trend. The price has entered a fair value gap (FVG) and is approaching an order block (OB), which could act as a support level. If the price finds support at the order block, there could be a potential reversal or consolidation before any further movement. However, if the price breaks below the order block, it could indicate further downside potential. Future Outlook The future outlook for Bitcoin futures remains uncertain, with several potential scenarios: Regulatory Clarity: If regulatory bodies provide clear guidelines and frameworks for cryptocurrencies, it could boost investor confidence and lead to a recovery in Bitcoin futures prices. Macroeconomic Stability: Improvements in the global economic environment, such as controlled inflation and stable interest rates, could positively impact risk assets, including Bitcoin futures. Market Sentiment Shift: A shift in market sentiment towards a more bullish outlook could lead to increased demand for Bitcoin futures and higher prices. Conclusion In conclusion, the current situation with Bitcoin futures is characterized by significant volatility and uncertainty. Investors should closely monitor regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment to make informed decisions. While the short-term outlook may be bearish, there are potential catalysts that could lead to a recovery in the future.
CME:MBT1!Long
by OakleyJM