c next price level 50 6to 60We think we could see citi bank under 50 next weeks. when we can start buying
C trade ideas
Rectangle TopThis has broken to the downside after violating the bottom trendline of the rectangle.
Target possible listed below but is getting close to the 100% fall from the rectangle. The width of the rectangle is used to project targets. It is a guesstimate only. Price can fall further or less than the 100% mark.
A bear flag formed before the break of the bottom trendline of the rectangle which represents support until broken. It is now resistance.
C broke the bottom trendline on the 5th touch. Bullish candle today.
No recommendation
Citigroup | Fundamental AnalysisCitigroup CFO Mark Mason lately visited the GS financial services conference and noted that the bank would suspend its share buybacks in Q4. This hidden comment took many shareholders by surprise.
Part of the thesis of needing to own Citigroup now is that the bank can buy back a large number of shares as long as the stock is trading below book value (TBV), which is what the bank would be worth if it were liquidated. In case a bank buys back shares below TBV, the math works so that TBV goes up, and bank shares usually trade relative to TBV, so a rise in TBV is very good for the stock in the long run.
The ability to buy back shares below TBV is rare, so investors were excited that Citigroup would be able to grab this opportunity while eliminating all of the bank's other problems and planning a new growth path. Let's take a look at why the bank was forced to suddenly suspend share buybacks and what this implies for the stock going forward.
Banks are complex organizations, and they have numerous rules about how much capital they must hold in reserve for all their operations that could lead to losses (such as loans). In 2022, another intricate regulatory rule, called the standardized approach to assessing counterparty credit risk (SA-CCR), will come into force. Basically, the SA-CCR will require large banks like Citigroup to modify the way they calculate the risk associated with derivatives contracts.
As you know, derivatives, which are financial instruments such as mortgage-backed securities, played a role in the Great Depression. The overall result of the SA-CCR is that most large banks will see an expansion in risk-weighted assets (RWA). Banks hold regulatory capital based on accumulated RWA, so if their internal regulatory capital ratio is 10% or 11% and then the RWA grows, they must hold more regulatory capital to maintain that ratio. And the more regulatory capital a bank holds in reserve, the less money it has left to invest in the business or distribute capital, such as paying dividends or repurchasing shares.
Mason said the SA-CCR would result in a $60 billion to $65 billion increase in RWAs, which could require Citigroup to hold an additional 0.50-0.60 percent of its regulatory capital. That's not an inconsequential amount. Curiously, however, I haven't heard of any other major banks that have suspended share buybacks because of the SA-CCR despite the need to increase RWA.
This may have been the case with Citigroup because the bank has embarked on a strategy update with many moving parts. For example, the bank is exiting 13 global consumer banking franchises as part of a broader idea to wind down areas where it does not have enough scale to compete and is instead investing in the bank's higher-margin businesses. Citigroup announced in the fourth quarter that it was winding down its consumer banking franchise in South Korea, which could result in costs of up to $1.5 billion. Citigroup posted a $680 million pre-tax loss in the third quarter due to the sale of its Australian consumer banking operations.
Mason said the fourth quarter will be something of an "anomaly" when it comes to the bank's capital return philosophy and share buybacks, especially mentioning SA-CCR and expenses for Korea. Since SA-CCR requires an increase in RWA, and Korea expenses affected earnings this quarter, the bank may have run out of room over its target regulatory capital ratio to be able to conduct the stock buyback it originally planned.
The suspended stock buyback is disappointing because it appears that management either didn't plan the capital buyback very well or didn't effectively communicate that information to shareholders. Mason said the bank will resume share buybacks next quarter at the level of the third quarter, which also fell a bit short of investors' expectations in terms of Citigroup's buyback volume.
With Citigroup trading at such a low stock price and now well below TBV, the bank should buy back as much stock as possible. With the poor track record that Citigroup has had over the previous years, it really can't afford to make such mistakes because shareholders are sick of it.
However, analysts still believe in the renewal strategy and the Citigroup story. But that's mainly because a bank with the kind of U.S. deposit market share that Citigroup acquired and its successful investment banking unit shouldn't be trading so below book value.
Citigroup $C is cheap and oversoldBanks are still very cheap, $C trades at 6 PE with a 3.14% dividend yield and technically speaking its stock price is now at the lower part of its trading range for most of this year. Both the Range Strength and Hurst Exponent indicate the price is in a non-trending ranging mode, the RSI is at 22 and price is 8.38% below it's 50 day MA which is a lot for a mega cap like Citi, here looks like a good long play back to the 50 day MA.
CitigroupThis action has shown weakness under resistance 68.5 producing a good sell signal that can continue until 64.7.
Can't clear the down yellow trendlineBe patient and wait until it can clear the yellow trendline before buying. IMO it should break up as central banks raise rates to tame inflation. Also beware of the gap below. It might go down to fill it before going up.
Citigroup Inc: A model worth + 10%In my personal opinion Citigroup Inc. is a wonderful investment for the time being.
The whole banking sector is performing very well and they are reporting wonderful profits.
Citigroup Inc. is doing the same thing as well as it keeps reporting strong profits and from the other side, the dividends are not bad at all $0.51 per share or 3.05%.
As we can see from the chart the price tested the lower part of a very strong support area.
By evaluating the previous Harmonic pattern the price bounced more then+10%.
So we can see the same scenario repeating again.
Target:
$73.73 to $74.60
Thank you and Good Luck!
RectangleMid rectangle is 70.30 and can be a good stop for whichever way you think this may go, up or down.
A break of support. or the bottom trendline would be a downward break.
This is a consolidation pattern and price may remain inside for quite some time but eventually, the market will make a decision.
A rectangle is a neutral pattern and needs 5 touches, 3 to one trendline and 2 to the other. This one is trying to touch for the fifth time. It can go up and down inside for a while though,
Possible bear flag.
No recommendation
(7) C 11/11 TriangleNice consolidation occurring here with C... keep an eye on this one
Price Target = $85-87
Citi multi-day swing (regression)Good Morning!
Citi Group has been in this channel for a few months now. A key level for me to take a neutral-bullish trade was the $66.50 area. The support and resistance zones are fairly clear. I believe we will see Citi climb back up to the $71-$72 area. I like stock for Citi Group as this company is cheaply priced and a good stock to own.
My first two PT's are easily achievable, and based on historical chart data we will be back in the $70's within a few days. That's the technical view but fundamentally, financials as a sector aren't that strong right now.
The price moved up a little overnight, not surprising. The price normally doesn't consolidate around this level but if it does that can indicate a bigger potential move in either direction (hopefully up).
Cheers.
Death cross . 50 day moving average cross 200 day moving averageAs you can see 50 day moving average cross 200 day moving average . That shows a bearish sign but it took support on trend line. it could jump for short time. If trend line support don't break we can see jump on 72 to 73 . if trend line break then its going down for long term. Wait for confirmation and do your research before enter.
This is just a idea not a any financial advice .
Promising Set-UPTechnically Nothing has shown any sign the price is going Higher yet. But It is showing oversold.
Historically - this stock bounces up when the RSI hits an oversold level. It always comes back to Re-test 0 RSI level. The major companies with good financials usually follow the technical indicators.
Financials on the stock are stable. The Net Income on the stock is dropping each quarter in 2021. Annually the stock will have Net income over 20 billion, Crushing the previous years annual net income.
This Stock has been in long ass short squeeze. Everything is showing its at low the end of the squeeze and will come back to retest 70 $ range.
I'm Waiting and see if it dips into the 63 - 65$ range on Monday or Tuesday and if any lower timeframes show a turnaround.
C sideways mode📊look for a move above the top trendline resistance for confirmation of more upside, keep in mind the stocks been stuck in 65-75 range for 4+ months.. so don't set any crazy price targets.
banks are slow movers in general so take profits when you see them, dont forgot to like and follow for more !
Citibank (C) - Downward PressureI'm expecting Citi to experience some downward pressure. I know that Target 1 is fairly close to the current price, so there may be some intraday opportunities to short bullish retail candles into supply/resistance levels. As for the yellow line that is my middle line that may provide a pause before heading to the Target 2 area. If I were buying puts on this position it would contain at least 2-3 months of time value; however, short term trades (like day trades) can have shorter expiration date values.
Here is the current intraday chart as well with extended hours displayed (I only included this to see if price was experiencing any movements after hours).
C: A Very Nice Bank For A Shor Term InvestmentWe can see that the price found a strong support area close to $ 69.
At the bottom of the pattern we have a horizontal structure and at the top of the resistance line, the price is creating a sloping resistance trend line (expansion).
From here we can assume that the price can make another upward move with target the upward slope trend line and the horizontal structure coming from the left.
The price target corresponds to $ 74.5 which is approximately from plus 7% to 8% for our investment.
Targets:
$74.50
Thank you and Good Luck!
C trade Opportunity C has support around 69 where it is sitting right now. It is also at the bottom of the channel it has been trading in for about 1 month. Since there is support and C is about to hit the bottom of the channel i am more bullish than bear, although if it breaks support I would short C
$C Citigroup
$ C
Citigroup looks interesting enough.
It can be long from the current ones with a stop below the 200 MA (68.7).
Breakdown level 0.886 (73.52)
Looking like wide angle with breakdown after black level 2
Citibank Head & Shoulders Tilted body looks to be indicating a move further to the downside. We are going to possibly see a retracement back down to the $66 / $64 area.
NYSE:C
Financial Sector needs a pull backXLF is over-inflated (financial sector)
BlueWave will give a red dot sell signal soon.
Stochastic RSi is overbought.
C Expecting 7%+ higherI asked in my dowsing work what sectors may go down into the end of the year and got financials.
I thought that was kind of strange if rates are going up. But I went ahead and asked which of the bank stocks might have the easiest move down. The answer was $C.
This morning I notice C is actually up 2%, and as often happens in this work, I ask for something moving one way, but the answer given is opposite, so shame on me for not getting clarification.
Regardless, since this development and C far outpacing the others to the upside, I understand it's UP not DOWN!
I did receive the option for C to move up at least 10%. This is an untested attribute on my scale though, but I'm excited to see if it works out. From the low C is already pushing 3% (or may be there by now), but upside looks good in financials and especially C (for now).
UPDATE ON CITIGROUP Broke even won profits lost profits could have sold on both ends of the filed I might post an update tomorrow but I have officially let go of the position with only 20$ profit… Happy Trading new play to be posted soon.
