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NVDA trade ideas

Incoming 50% correction for NVIDIA to $50Patiently we waited and finally it has happened.It was the month of January 2025 when this immense bubble would break support. 2 years after it first confirmed in September 2022. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook. Look left. On the above 5 week chart: 1) Price action and RSI support breakouts. 2) RSI support confirms resistance on past support. 3) Looking left previous corrections were at least 50% from the support exit, that’s $50 today should that repeat. 4) Looking left the chart suggests this correction is over after 210 days. In other words August 10th presents a unique long term investment opportunity. Is it possible price action continues upward trend? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by without_worries
37
Did We Just Witness AI Black Monday? DeepSeek Shocks Tech StocksPanic sell, panic sell, panic sell! That’s basically how Monday went for Wall Street and those of you who hold Nvidia shares. Or just about any other tech stock — you name it, it likely fell nose first when a big and scary Chinese artificial intelligence startup unveiled its new AI model. DeepSeek. What in the world is DeepSeek and why do I hear about it now? DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup, may have just stripped Nvidia of its untouchable status as the go-to company that develops expensive chips to train AI models. DeepSeek announced it had trained its latest model, a rival of ChatGPT, for the negligible $5.6 million in computing costs. The story gets even crazier: it did it with 2,048 Nvidia H800 GPUs (bought before the US rolled out export restrictions). That’s a meager 5% of the $100 million OpenAI blew on training its GPT-4 model in late 2023. And, what’s even more, DeepSeek’s model, called R1, churns out responses that are scarily close to the advanced US-bred technology. Oh, and it’s open source, unlike OpenAI, which was originally open source but shut its doors to the public. It’s also free to use, unlike ChatGPT, which offers a paid tier between $240 and $2,400 a year. DeepSeek’s R1 model is quickly gaining traction among users as it made its way to the top of Apple’s App Store rankings. DeepSeek has factored in demand from corporations, too. While OpenAI hosts the model on its own platform, its Chinese rival allows you to host this beast on your own hardware, which is a big deal to lots of businesses that work with sensitive data. The stock market was so shocked by the news that you can get pretty much the same result for a fraction of the cost (and give it to users for free), it ran for the hills. The aftermath — Monday saw more than $1 trillion washed out from the valuation of the Magnificent Seven club. One company specifically took the biggest blow. Can DeepSeek deep-six Nvidia’s world dominance plans? Have companies been overpaying for Nvidia’s $30,000 chips? And have investors been overpaying for Nvidia’s shares? Nvidia NVDA pulled in a record $35 billion in Q3 , 2024 and struck a gross margin of 75% and net income of $20 billion. The Jensen Huang-led company on Monday showed it can also hit records in reverse. Closing down 17% for the cash session, it took the biggest L in history. This was the largest destruction of value for a single company ever — $589 billion . So why was Nvidia particularly hit by DeepSeek’s rise? Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the vast amounts of cash companies spent on AI. Simply because Nvidia makes the semiconductors used to train AI models. But if the same result (or just about the same) could be achieved through far less expensive means, why bother propelling Nvidia to the top echelon of the world’s biggest companies ? Nvidia has picked up roughly $131 billion over the past two years from the sale of data-center equipment, mostly AI chips. Its client list includes the biggest names in tech, such as Amazon AMZN , Microsoft MSFT , Meta META and Alphabet GOOGL . These four combined have shelled out $343 billion in AI-related capex (capital expenditures) over the past two years. Since the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia shares have surged more than 700%. Could we be looking at the good old supply and demand equation in play? If DeepSeek’s claims are true, and other companies can do the same (it’s an open-source model), then the scales could turn from undersupply to oversupply. Can we then see a market crash that’s beyond anything we’ve ever thought possible? Or is that freak-out an unjustified stretch? Share your thoughts in the comment section below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
15
NVDA's Historical Bounce Data - This Is The Way.Forget all the nonsense about deepseek and evidence surrounding the NVDA chinese financial psyop that crushed the market today (primarily before the market even opened). It's all smoke and mirrors. Putting your money in the middle when the odds are in your favor is how you come out on top. That being said, there's a 90% rebound rate for NVidia's 10 biggest drops over the last - hence the reason I'm sitting on 75 calls with a strike of 125 that expire this Friday. The average next day rebound is 4.4% with the median being 5.3%. NVDA closed at $118.58, meaning there's a 90% chance that tomorrow we will see the price settle in the following ranges: Bull Case: 60% probability: $124.50 - $126.90 Base Case: 30% probability: $120.95 - $123.30 Bear Case: 10% probability: $115 - $117 The DeepSeek Red Herring: Speculating on the DeepSeek nonsense, the release of DeepSeek's R1 seems like an attempt to make the narrative fit the story rather than anything based on actual news: *As someone that works w/ AI every day, DeepSeek v3 has been out for a long time, and R1 was released over a week ago. There isn't anything new about this story. *This likely points to a coordinated dump of NVDA by 'whales' during premarket hours to push price action, and China has enough sway in the US markets to perform such a sway after hours. More than 12% of the 16.9% drop occurred in a short period before the market opened - limiting the influence/access of retail investors and thereby maximizing their leverage/power over the market. *This could be a preemptive move by China in a financial cold war that has been developing. Trump recently touted investing $.5T in stargate (ai), and has proposed tariffs of 10% on all chinese goods starting in just 4 days (Feb 1st) *NVDA is the perfect target to send a message. Most of their production is in Taiwan, and we know how China feels about that. The fact that China can't purchase their super chips is a big slap in the face. It'd be like China growing a bunch of crops in Idaho, only to not sell any food to the US while the US is starving. *It's a known fact that bots place the majority of trades on the US market these days. China is a master at reverse engineering tech (if not outright stealing it). Knowing what triggers market bots would be easier than supplying a fake narrative. Nothing about DeepSeek being the reason for the drop passes the smell test if for no other reason than from a logical standpoint...a couple If/Then scenarios: 1) If Deepseek did develop a model for $6M (which would be both insane and extremely unlikely) using outdated tech - Then NVDA's response that they should have their export restrictions removed and the 2nd largest AI market open to them is legitimate. Sales would skyrocket. 2) If this is Chinese misinformation and they're lying about using the A100 chips or the development costs, then why would they do that? 3) If China can't develop their own model without the A100s, what would they do to gain access to them? Then I think they steal the model - either the o1 (openAI) or llama (meta) model and tinkered with it just enough to optimize it as it's performance results are almost identical to openAI's o1 model - DeepSeek's Founder admits "there are no secrets in AI". While models can run on outdated hardware, you can't develop new models in a timely fashion on anything other than the A100s because they're 20x more powerful than the previous chips. The question is was this China's attempt to trigger a black swan event in the US markets prior to the tariffs being enacted - a financial cold war if you will.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DontListenToThisClown
30
Nvidia - This Will Change Everything!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is creating a massive breakdown: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For the past decade, Nvidia has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly following major rally and retracement cycles. But now we are starting to see some weakness on Nvidia and a break below the smaller timeframe support trendline will lead to a massive move lower. Levels to watch: $110, $60 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
33
Nvidia - The Future Is Actually Known!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is repeating price action: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Back in 2018 Nvidia has been retesting the upper channel resistance trendline again and again before we saw a trendline break and a massive drop. We are seeing the same behaviour today but so far, Nvidia still manages to consistently respect the trendline. Levels to watch: $200, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
29
Bullish NVDA 30m EMA Crossover - 2/21 $127cNice "Buy" signal EMA crossing on the 30m chart there at the end of the day along with a breakthrough of the downward trend line - may see a pump before the open tomorrow and, if she holds, could see an inverse of what I predicted a little while ago where we actually have MM's catch bears in a trap with their puts and sky this thing. Would make sense since a lot of people are saying NVDA will go down further. Current play is the 2/21 $127c @ $6/contract. Targeting a 100% return to $12. If we get momentum, could see this go to $18 or even back to the high before Monday's gap down to $22. Could put a SL in around $5.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by smplsyrup
4
NVIDIA hit its 1W MA50 after 2 years! One last rally left?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) opened significantly lower on Monday following the DeepSeek news on more efficient and lower cost A.I. competition and by doing so, the price hit its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 years, resulting in Tuesday's very strong rebound. We have to go back to the week of January 23 2023 to see NVDA trading again on the 1W MA50, which became the major Support of the Channel Up pattern that took it off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom. So the question is, does NVIDIA have fuel left in the tank for one more rally? Technically the answer is yes and it can be found on the stock's price action since July 2015. As you can see, the price has gone through 3 similar eras of Bull Cycles through Channel Up patterns and subsequent Bear Cycles of strong corrections that touched the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before initiating the new Bull. From the Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle's top, NVIDIA took around 1100 days (1162 during the 2015 - 2018 Cycle and 1071 during the 2019 - 2021 Cycle). Assuming the current Cycle will be at least as long as the last one (1071 days), the stock's Top is expected to be around September 2015. It was in fact around this time during the last Cycle (Feb 2021) when NVIDIA touched again its 1W MA50, resulting into a new rally phase, the last one of the Cycle. This historic price action shows that during its last year, the stock always makes a January - Oct/Nov rally. When the 1W MA50 gets hit again, it is when the new Bear Cycle is confirmed. As a result, based on this data set, we've entered NVIDIA's final rally of the Cycle, assuming of course it doesn't close a candle below the 1W MA50 and also that the 1M RSI recovers its MA trend-line (yellow), which also happened again during its previous Cycle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
NVIDIA's Record Drop: Live with TradeStation (TradingView Show)Join us once again LIVE with David Russell, Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we dive into the stock market sell-off and what it means for your portfolio heading into February 2025. With heightened volatility, NVIDIA taking a hit, and AI-driven tools like DeepSeek offering new market analysis, it’s key to understand how to navigate the current turbulence. As January winds down, we’ll discuss strategies to stay ahead, leverage relative strength, and position for long-term success despite the ongoing downturn. Here’s a sneak peek of what we’ll cover: 1. NVIDIA’s recent drop is tied to DeepSeek’s shift in AI pricing, raising concerns about future profitability. Investors are still assessing how this will affect NVIDIA’s growth trajectory. 2. While attention is on volatility, some stocks have quietly hit all-time highs, revealing hidden strength in overlooked sectors. These gains suggest opportunities many may be missing. 3. Emerging strength is especially evident in sectors like communications and certain industrials, with companies showing resilience and strong earnings. These sectors could offer solid value plays for those willing to look beyond the obvious. 4. Traders heading into 2025 should focus on managing risk and staying nimble, especially with potential rate hikes and geopolitical risks on the horizon. Flexibility and discipline will be essential. 5. As the Fed meeting and GDP report approach, the market is primed for volatility. These key releases could signal shifts in monetary policy or economic conditions, making it vital to stay informed and adjust your positions accordingly. Don’t miss this session for actionable insights on how to navigate this market turbulence and set yourself up for success in 2025. This show is sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation pursues a singular vision to offer the ultimate online trading platform and services for self-directed traders and investors across the equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC. See below: www.tradestation.com www.tradestation.com
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
2
THE BATTLE FOR AI SUPREMACY....WHO WILL WIN???Chinese artificial intelligence model called DeepSeek sparked a selloff in Al related shares, with megacap stocks including Nvidia which has been hit the most. The DeepSeek has launched a free assistant that uses cheaper chips and less data.This move seems to challenge the common belief in financial market that AI will boost demand for everything from chipmakers to data centres. As this startup threatens the dominance of US AI companies the market has sharply declined making a major sell off across other assets. L On the technical side, Nvidia has been trading in a rise channel which has broken further confirming a sell. COULD WE SEE IT SELL FURTHER DOWN PAST $70??? MHHH WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ? CAN US AI BEAT THE DeepSeeK?
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ForxTay
8
Disengage from the herd, Markets are not Rational places!“The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposition position. I assume that markets are always wrong. Even if my assumption is occasionally wrong, I use it as a working hypothesis. It does not follow that one should always go against the prevailing trend. On the contrary, most of the time the trend prevails; only occasionally are the errors corrected. It is only on those occasions that one should go against the trend. This line of reasoning leads me to look for the flaw in every investment thesis. ... I am ahead of the curve. I watch out for telltale signs that a trend may be exhausted. Then I disengage from the herd and look for a different investment thesis. Or, if I think the trend has been carried to excess, I may probe going against it. Most of the time we are punished if we go against the trend. Only at an inflection point are we rewarded.” ― George Soros, Soros on Soros: Staying Ahead of the Curve Most people ask themselves why NVDA should lose 15% of its market cap on the news about a Chinese company that claims to have outperformed ChatGPT by spending 5.5 million USD on training their models. I do not care about if the claim is true or not, because I am confident ChatGPT was very hyped, and today the bubble burst. No matter how much everyone in the AI industry and GPU makers trying we will not gain back the trust of people who see their capital melting in front of their eyes!
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Moshkelgosha
7
Long at 118.53 (quick flip) - the king is not dead...yet.This one may not be the 1 day reversal win I always hope for, but I think this is a very overdone selloff. It may continue for a day or two, but it could also rebound 5 or 6% tomorrow, so count me in. I am prepared to weather the storm however, as surely analysts will look to vocally cover their ass3s now that Wall Street's darling has become the Flavor of the Weak (shout-out to American Hi-Fi). There are few stocks that people get so wildly over-optimistic and wildly pessimistic about as this one, and that is an opportunity, in my mind. It held 117ish support and has more below that, but this move today definitely did technical damage that will take time to repair. And if the DeepSeek news is legit (consider me still a skeptic) it could do damage here fundamentally long term. The fact is, though, DeepSeek is still running on NVDA chips, not someone else's. Just maybe not as many or as powerful. That's a real concern - or should be if DeepSeek is legit. Even if it is, though, this trade is all about stocks not moving in straight lines up or down. I'm confident I'll make money whatever direction it moves - but up tomorrow would certainly make that job a lot easier. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
6
NVIDIA Retesting The Resistance! Sell! Hello,Traders! NVIDIA gapped down massively On the DeepSeek news and Went further down after the Opening, but then a gap closing Move started and the price is now Retesting the horizontal resistance Around 130/132$ which also Happens to be the gap's opening Level so based on technical analysis We might be expecting a local Bearish pullback from the resistance Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TopTradingSignals
4
Strategies are not enough. Stop trying to Predict. Observation.Most traders rely upon an indicator signal or a strategy and when these fail they are often baffled by their loss. Losses erode capital but more importantly your self confidence. Learn to READ stock charts. Be observant in seeing patterns developing before a stock has a huge gap up or down. NVDA had several patterns that warned early that the stock was at risk of a big gap down. It was going to go down but the gap was far larger than most traders expected and few traders were in this stock before the huge highly profitable sell short gap down. The reversal candle today is also surprising many traders when it was obvious that the stock had fallen below fundamental values visible in the trend and candles. Learn how to be more observant so that you are ahead of big gaps and fast running stocks rather than chasing a stock that has already gapped and is at high risk of profit taking.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
2
NVIDIA Price Rebalance to 132$You most likely already know that most retail traders lose money. With the fear of new cost efficient AI news most people shorted NVIDIA. Whatever the name of the AI and whichever the country it is and however efficient it is, it will still run on hardware and as of now NVIDIA is the biggest hardware maker. This is the chance to buy since price did not go down in a healthy price action. We expect a recovery to equilibrium of the inefficient drop of price at 132$ Please comment any questions you have. Happy and safe trading!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradeConfirmed
2
NVDA making its way to retest a previous CHOCHHi Traders! I'm waiting patiently on NVDA. It broke through a 4HR Bullish OB, and now It's making its way down to retest that breaker OB area. However, If it keeps breaking down past 136.00, then the 4HR CHOCH would become invalid. I have 2 alerts set- 1 at 140.50, and 136.50. These are potential areas where there could be a reversal. Price likes to test previous CHOCH patterns, so watching closely for the best possible entry if the chart presents itself that way. If the reversal happens and continues to move up, I'm looking for price to break 150 since tapping that area a few times already. Lets see what we can get🤞 *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by thattradergirl
3