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NVDA trade ideas

The Case for NVDA to 40As a prereq to this post it would be good to read my post on SMCI. In that I link to all the real time forecasts in SMCI of the methods we're using for the NVDA forecast. And somewhat lay the groundwork for this post. Click the post to read in full. ===# So let's start with the big overview. NVDA for a long time has been trading inside of the risk zone for the end of wave. Here's a forecast on NVDA when it was 500 (pre split)in which I mapped out the full extension of an Elliot wave. Click the post to read in full. In that post based on the assumption the previous rally was wave one we could make a forecast of a rally to around 800 - 900 and then some head fake action above 1,000. I also put fibs on the chart and showed how this move would be a breaking of the 1.61 and a full extension to the 4.23. As you can see, we're now sitting right at that big 4.23 level I brought up back in 2024. Here's the thing spoken of in the SMCI top. In that post I spoke about the tendency for move to end on spike outs of the 4.23 and they can make full retracements all the way to the 1.27 (or worse, in some cases - that's the bull setup). The 4.23 is a big decision point. If NVDA held the 4.23 as support I'd be insanely bullish on this for the next couple years ahead. It'd be a huge win for the bulls I'd think. However, if that was a head fake over the 4.23, you've seen the best you'll see from NVDA for a while. Indeed, we would be very close to entering the worst you've seen from it.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by holeyprofit
7
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart. If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal. From a quantitative perspective: If we calculate the raw historical success rate using: Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90% In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using: Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83% Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior. Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest? Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
5
Nvidia Prepares For New All-Time High, Last Chance To Buy Low!The market always gives as second chance. This is a phrase that I love to share and it is true, it is confirmed here on this very chart. The action for NVDA moved back down to produce a higher low —your second and last chance. This higher low is happening within a very strong buy-zone and this can mean the difference between massive profits or an opportunity that is lost. From here on, Nvidia will grow long-term set to produce a new All-Time High in the coming months. The minimum target and price level for this rise stands around ~150 within 1-3 months. Then a correction and then higher, much higher... Up, up and up go we. I can entertain you with tons of details I have the ability but I will not do so. I will go straight to the point. » The next All-Time High and main target for this wave is 194, this can take a little more, or less, than 6 months. What will happen next, we will have to wait to ask the chart. It is my pleasure to write for you again. Make sure to boost if you would like more updates. If you boost and comment, we can move to daily updates as the market grow. Go in, go now, buy-in and go LONG! Nvidia is going up! Together with Bitcoin and the Altcoins. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MasterAnanda
13
Nvidia next possible move Hi traders what is your suggestion on this one?am looking at this bullish pennant and I believe it can breakes anytime soon note that this market is been controlled by economics n geopolitical this year soo far since Trump took the office he started trade war globally is not about who knows too much n who don't that's why you findout that things are going bek to were it was after tarrif is pause by that am saying everything we planned n analyst were good n moving accordingly until trade war started,that's the reason we don't only depend in analysis but in everything that is going on around the world wars,diseases n many more things does change very fast just make sure you are updated,soo I suggest you toom advantage of one company to own while they are pulling back don't fight with your mind mag 7 stocks they are all uptrend market don't be confused,understand pull back n were market is trending 😊 I wish you a profitable week
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by mulaudzimpho
NVDIA Short to T1 2 Setups here. - Both T1 and T2 will be hit as part of my price return to zero system (inflexion points). - I'm shorting to T1 first and then reverse into long for T2. If it heads to T2 first I'll simply stay in my original T1 short for the duration. It is of course easy to say that this will either go up or down :-). My system defines targets and there is no rules to say that can only produce a target in one direction. Based on what I see I know with around 95% accuracy that it will hit both with a reasonable timescale. I just don't know which one comes first :). Either way I'm shorting to T1 in the first instance. It may hit T2 first but that doesn't bother my trading as I still expect T1. I won't go down the route of a martingale to T! if it goes to T2 first!! that's just asking for trouble regardless of confidence levels!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by dru_01
4
NVIDIA: Don't turn your back on the A.I. darling yet.NVIDIA has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.902, MACD = -2.040, ADX = 28.815) as it has recovered a portion of the 2 month correction. April's low was exactly on the 1W MA100 just like the Low of the 2024 consolidation phase has been near the 1W MA50. The pattern is recurring and the rallies naturally get weaker each time as we approach the end of the Cycle this year. The 1st rally was +358%, the 2nd +257% so the 3rd one now is expected to be +157%. That gives a $225 target. The next Top will most likely start a new correction (Bear Cycle) for a 3rd Bottom on the 1W MA200. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) in Investing and Trading?What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) in Investing and Trading? Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a popular strategy used by investors and traders to manage market fluctuations and build positions over time. Instead of trying to time the market, DCA focuses on consistent, regular investments regardless of price movements. This article answers “What is DCA?”, its advantages and limitations, and how it can be applied in both investing and trading. What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)? So what is DCA investing? Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a strategy that involves consistently investing a fixed sum at regular intervals, regardless of the asset’s current price. This approach helps distribute the cost of purchases over time, potentially reducing the impact of short-term price fluctuations. Instead of trying to time the market perfectly—a challenging task even for experienced traders—a dollar-cost averaging strategy focuses on regular contributions to average the cost of assets. This method offers a straightforward, disciplined strategy for both long-term investors and traders who wish to build or adjust positions gradually. By spreading out purchases, a DCA strategy may help mitigate the effects of market volatility. For example, during a period of market decline, the fixed investment buys more units at a lower cost, which could result in higher returns when prices recover. Conversely, during a sustained rise, the investor buys fewer units, which helps avoid overexposure. For example, if you invest $50 every week and the market is rising, you will buy fewer stocks, but when the market is moving down, you will buy more with the same amount. What does DCA mean for market participants? DCA is particularly useful in uncertain economic environments where price swings are common. It provides a systematic approach to entering the market, removing the need to make snap decisions based on short-term market movements, and fostering a steady accumulation of assets over time. How Does DCA Work? DCA investing operates by establishing a regular schedule for investing a set amount of money into a chosen asset, regardless of its current market price. Instead of waiting for a particular price or market condition, funds are allocated at consistent intervals—be it weekly, monthly, or quarterly. Over time, this means buying more units when prices are lower and fewer units when prices are higher, resulting in an average purchase price that can be lower than if the investment was made in one lump sum. Consider an investor using DCA. They commit £100 every month to buy company shares. In the first month, the share price is £20, so they purchase 5 shares. The next month, the price drops to £10, allowing them to buy 10 shares with the same £100. In the third month, the price rises to £25, and they purchase 4 shares. Over three months, the investor has spent £300 and acquired 19 shares in total. To calculate the average cost per share, divide £300 by 19, which equals approximately £15.79 per share. This average is lower than the highest price paid and reflects the effect of buying more shares when prices are low and fewer when prices are high. DCA also simplifies the process of entering the market. By adhering to a set timetable, investors bypass the need for constant market analysis, making it particularly appealing for those who prefer a more hands-off strategy. This systematic approach can be applied not only to traditional investments like shares and funds but also to other assets that traders and investors engage with. DCA in Trading DCA isn't just for long-term investors; traders can also employ it to navigate the ups and downs of fast-moving markets. By spreading out their entries or exits, traders may potentially lower the average cost of a position or build on a winning trend, all while managing their exposure to volatile moves. Lowering the Average Price For traders facing a position that's moving against them, DCA offers a way to adjust the average entry cost. By allocating additional funds, the average price of the position may be reduced. This approach can create a potential opportunity to exit with better returns if the market reverses. However, it is important to note that this method also increases exposure, and additional entities might compound losses if the trend continues. Adding to a Winner Conversely, traders may apply DCA to increase their positions when an asset shows strength. By gradually adding to an effective trade, the overall exposure is built in a controlled manner, potentially capturing further movement without committing all capital at once. This method is particularly popular in markets where momentum builds slowly, allowing traders to gradually take advantage of the sustained trend. Applications Across Markets Using DCA in stocks can help manage entries during periods of volatility, especially when market sentiment shifts rapidly. Forex traders often use similar techniques to adjust positions in response to fluctuating currency pairs, while the high volatility seen in crypto* markets makes DCA an appealing strategy for building positions gradually. When using DCA in trading, a disciplined approach is essential. Whether lowering the average cost in a losing position or building on an effective trade, traders should carefully consider the additional risk that comes with increased exposure. Advantages of Dollar-Cost Averaging Dollar-cost averaging offers a range of advantages that make it an attractive strategy for both investors and traders, especially when navigating uncertain markets. Mitigating Market Volatility By investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, DCA spreads out exposure over time. This approach can reduce the impact of sudden market swings. Instead of being affected by a one-off high price, the average cost is spread across different market conditions. This may help stabilise entry points and smooth out short-term volatility. Disciplined Investment Approach DCA promotes a structured investment routine. With regular contributions, there is less temptation to try timing the market. This disciplined approach might be particularly useful when markets are highly volatile or ahead of news and economic events. It encourages systematic investing, reducing the likelihood of making impulsive decisions driven by market noise. Accessibility for All Traders DCA does not require intricate market analysis or deep expertise in market timing. Its straightforward nature makes it appealing to both newcomers and seasoned traders looking for a simpler method to build positions over time. By providing a clear framework, DCA allows traders to focus on long-term goals without the pressure of constant market monitoring. Limitations of Dollar-Cost Averaging While dollar-cost averaging offers a structured approach to investing and trading, there are some limitations to consider. Potential Opportunity Cost Spreading out investments means funds are gradually deployed over time. In a market that is consistent, waiting to invest might lead to missed returns compared to committing all funds upfront. This method can reduce the impact of volatility but might underperform during extended trends. Continued Exposure to Market Trends Investors remain exposed to the market throughout the investment period. If the market experiences a prolonged trend, regular investments will accumulate at better prices, but overall returns may still suffer. This approach does not eliminate market risk and requires a long-term perspective to potentially see a turnaround. Dependence on Consistency The effectiveness of dollar-cost averaging relies heavily on maintaining a consistent investment schedule. Any interruption or inconsistency can dilute the intended advantages of the strategy. It also assumes that investors are able to commit regular funds, which may not be feasible in all financial situations. Comparing DCA to Lump-Sum Investing Comparing DCA to lump-sum investing offers insights into different approaches to managing market exposure and returns. Risk Exposure Lump-sum investing involves placing all available funds into an asset at once. This method can yield higher returns if the market moves in their favour, but it also exposes the investor to immediate risk if the market moves against them. In contrast, risk is spread over time through a dollar-cost average, meaning regular investments reduce the likelihood of entering the market at a high point and potentially lowering the overall average cost. Market Conditions The performance of each approach can vary depending on market trends. In steady trends, lump-sum investing may capture more returns since all funds are deployed early. However, in volatile or declining conditions, DCA could mitigate the effects of short-term fluctuations by smoothing out entry prices over time. Flexibility and Commitment Lump-sum investing requires confidence and a readiness to commit all funds immediately. DCA, on the other hand, offers a more measured entry into the market. This method is popular among those who prefer a systematic approach and might not have a large sum available at one time. The Bottom Line Understanding the dollar-cost averaging definition can help investors and traders potentially manage market volatility and reduce emotional decision-making. While it has its limitations, DCA can be an effective strategy for building positions over time. FAQ What Is an Example of Dollar-Cost Averaging? Imagine investing £100 into a stock every month, regardless of its price. In January, the stock costs £20, so you buy five shares. In February, the price drops to £10, allowing you to buy 10 shares. In March, the price rises to £25, and you buy four shares. Over three months, you’ve invested £300 and purchased 19 shares, averaging out your cost per share to £15.79. Is There the Best Dollar-Cost Averaging Strategy? The most effective DCA strategy depends on individual goals. A consistent, long-term approach with regular investments—whether weekly or monthly—may help smooth out market volatility. Focusing on diversified assets could also reduce risk exposure. What Is the Daily DCA Strategy? This strategy involves investing a fixed amount every day through DCA, meaning it may help minimise the impact of short-term price fluctuations in volatile markets. However, it requires careful planning due to frequent transactions and potential fees. Does Dollar-Cost Averaging Work With Stocks? Yes, DCA is commonly used with stocks. It may help manage the effects of market volatility, allowing investors to build positions over time without worrying about short-term price swings. What Does DCA Mean in Stocks? DCA, or dollar-cost averaging, in stocks, means regularly investing a fixed amount, regardless of price, to average out the cost per share over time and manage market volatility. A similar answer is true for “What does DCA mean in crypto*?”, except it would involve a regular fixed investment in a particular cryptocurrency*. How to Calculate DCA in Crypto* Investing? There is a simple formula to calculate DCA, meaning in crypto*, an investor would just divide the total amount invested by the total number of units purchased. This provides the average cost per unit over time, regardless of price fluctuations. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by FXOpen
1
CORRECTED. NVDA HEADING INTO MAY 25'Still Bearish. Clear top and been working down ever since Yet another reject near the .382 FIB LEVEL, which was a reload zone in Q3 and Q4 of 2024.. now a sell zone since Q2 25' began as its cooled off from ATH to end 24 and begin 25. Looking to buy @ .236 & lower. Would not take a BUY higher until a break & hold above .5 to confirm some strength to an upside move. NVDA overall as a company is going to be a powerhouse in multiple spaces in the future, we can all see that. It's not going anywhere and has multiple huge investments to push its industry hold even higher and revenue down the line to increase. Their wide range of partnerships within the autonomous driving space with companies like GM, Toyota, TSLA (for its chips) and more position NVDA to be one of, if the not THE the largest market cap companies within the next 10 years to me. Autonomous driving I personally feel will begin to make its way to a MAINSTREAM space beginning around 2030 and by 2030 will have an extreme space in day to day by 2035. Long term vision beats short term gain!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by LoughTime303
3
NVDA Recovery in Motion — Bullish Setup BrewingNVDA 6H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📈 OVERALL TREND 📈 UPTREND — The chart confirms an early-stage recovery from a key pivot low (April 22), with moderate confidence (4.8%). The structure is forming higher lows, and price is currently above several critical short-term MAs. Trend Score sits at +0.10. 📉RESISTANCE ZONE 🔴 153.1300 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH 🔴 149.8423 — SELL ORDER 2 🔴 143.18875 — SELL ORDER 1 🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS 🎯 139.8280 — EXIT BUY & TP 4 🎯 127.7263 — BUY ORDER & TP 3 🎯 119.8750 — BUY ORDER & TP 2 | MID PIVOT 🎯 108.5705 — BUY ORDER & TP 1 📈SUPPORT ZONE 🟢 97.0121 — BUY ORDER 1 🟢 89.9455 — BUY ORDER 2 🟢 86.6200 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW ✍️STRUCTURAL NOTES Recent bounce from 86.62 pivot low signals strong bullish interest Key reentry occurred above 97.01, aligning with short-term moving averages All major short-term and mid-range MAs (10–100) are BUY-rated Oscillators mixed: MACD and Ultimate Oscillator lean bullish, while Momentum and Williams %R flash caution Ichimoku Base Line neutral — awaiting trend confirmation Hull MA diverges from other MAs — short-term caution on overheated price 📉TRADE OUTLOOK 📈 Bullish bias toward TP3 @ 127.72 and TP4 @ 139.82 📉 Short-term pullback likely at 108.57 or 119.87 — use dips as potential reentry 🔍 Watch for rejection near 143.18–153.13 to reassess continuation vs correction 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE TREND FOLLOW: — Entry: 97.01 — TP: 108.57 / 119.87 / 127.72 / 139.82 — SL: Below 86.62 AGGRESSIVE REVERSAL: — Entry: 86.62 (Pivot Low Defense) — TP: 97.01 / 108.57 — SL: Below 83.00 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ProfessorCEWard
NVIDIANVIDIA Corp engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU), Tegra Processor, and All Other. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The All Other segment refers to the stock-based compensation expense, corporate infrastructure and support costs, acquisition-related costs, legal settlement costs, and other non-recurring charges. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Esmail_from_Kuwait
NVIDIA Chart with Advance Smart TP, SL, and EMA Trailing"Technical Analysis of This New Chart (NVIDIA 15-min, Heikin Ashi) Setup: Entry: 105.23 Forecast EMA: 103.02 (trending nicely upwards under the price = bullish support) 🧠 Key Observations: The Forecast EMA result varies based on your settings and the selected chart timeframe." Stop Loss: 99.97 (tight but safe under previous consolidation zone) Take Profits: TP1: 110.50 ✅ TP2: 115.76 ✅ TP3: 121.02 ✅ 🧠 Key Observations: Strong Breakout: You caught the move perfectly after a big consolidation phase (accumulation area visible). Healthy Pullback: Small pullback after TP2 — healthy behavior, not a sharp reversal yet. Forecast EMA Position: Price is well above Forecast EMA (103.02), and EMA is rising ➔ very bullish. 🛡️ Upgraded Trade Management Plan (for this chart): 1. If still holding the trade: ✅ Stop Loss Adjustment: Now that TP1 (110.50) was hit, you should move Stop Loss up to your Entry (105.23) ➔ You are now risk-free. 2. Partial Take Profits Plan: 🎯 At TP2 (115.76): ➔ Sell 50% of remaining position. ➔ Activate a trailing stop for the rest. 🎯 At TP3 (121.02): ➔ Let the trailing stop follow. ➔ Tighten the trail after every new 15-min high is broken. 3. Trailing Stop Strategy After TP2: 📈 Trail the stop 2 bars behind the most recent swing low on the 15-min chart. Example: If a candle makes a higher high and a higher low ➔ move stop 2 candles back to protect gains. ✍️ Special Notes: If price suddenly drops and closes a full 15-min candle below Forecast EMA (103.02), it’s a sign momentum is weakening — you may want to close manually if that happens instead of risking trailing stop whipsaws. Heikin Ashi candles make it easier to spot strong trends — watch for small-bodied candles (like dojis) at TP2/TP3 ➔ potential reversal signals.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by traderoute001
$NVDA forming local higher low and above 20-Day SMA NASDAQ:NVDA has traded very poorly recently. Today we are looking at a daily price chart of NASDAQ:NVDA and we have seen many lower lows and lower highs since GTC Conference. After touching the ATH of 150 $, the price is making new lows and has recently touched the lows of 85 $ and made new higher low of 95 $. So, this marks a double higher bottom and now the at 105 $ is now above 20 Day SMA. This might mark a bullish reversal in my opinion. So why not a trade idea on a Friday.  #TGIF. I say we go long NASDAQ:NVDA here and now. Remain long if it remains over the 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day SMA. 200-Day SMA ist currently @ 125 $. If NVDA has a weekly close above 125 $ then we go all in on $NVDA. Verdict: Long NASDAQ:NVDA here until 125 $. Keep watching this space for next levels.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RabishankarBiswal
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Trend is observed from an impulse run’s lowest/highest point and projected outwards in symmetrical fibonacci retracement via price/time from the first reversal candle to the end of the rally, creating crosshairs. These ‘crosshairs’ visually represent the trending ‘price distribution projection’ in price/time symmetry. Using this concept, I draw a ‘projection trend line’ from the bottom or top of the impulse run thru the projected 78.6% price/time retracement value, to identify the price distribution structure in a linear form. Now to introduce my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE. This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums. This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. Come follow me on X @askHVtobidIV for more! CHEERS!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by splitmyIVandmelt
Bearish Continuation in PlayAfter an extended distribution phase near the premium zone and a clear break of the ascending channel, NVDA has shifted into a bearish market structure. Price is currently pulling back into a key supply zone and retesting the bearish trendline. If this area holds, we could see further downside movement with the following targets: 🔻 $88.47 – potential support and short-term consolidation area. 🔻 $41.79 – medium-term target if bearish momentum continues and support breaks. This bearish outlook remains valid as long as price stays below $153.99, which marks the invalidation level and the potential start of a bullish reversal. 🔍 Market structure is showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish pressure.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by JAG_Trader
HOW-TO: Use the Camarilla Pivots & BBT Strategies indicatorThis how-to shows the Camarilla Pivot & BBT Strategies indicator in action, the 5-minute timeframe is ideal for this. It shows the price action reacting to the HA play (S3 to R3 traversal). The "H" means that the ticker is in a Higher range on this day, the "A" refers to the label on the strategy in the image. In fact, the price does past R3 (which is the exit point) and reaches R4, at which point it trigger the "E" play, which is an R4 extreme reversal. A great trade, if you took it!
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Bruzio
NVDA – Losing Steam After Hitting ResistanceNVDA had been steadily climbing in a rising channel for the past few days, bouncing neatly off that lower trendline and giving bulls a reason to stay engaged. But today it finally lost that trendline — and to me, that’s a subtle but important shift in control. Buyers didn’t defend like they had before. The rejection from the $111–$112 zone wasn’t random either. That area has been a sticky level on the daily chart — a prior swing high and also where a heavy Gamma Call Wall sits based on options data. Price tapped it, hesitated, and rolled over. Now with this break of structure on the 1-hour timeframe, I’m starting to lean cautious. Momentum is fading. MACD is curling down and looks ready to cross bearish. Stoch RSI is already bottomed out, but there’s no bounce signal yet — just drifting in oversold. It feels like bulls are waiting, but not stepping in aggressively anymore. On the daily chart, this entire push still looks like a lower high within a broader downtrend. And with price now back near $106.70, it’s hanging just above that key $105 level — which is not only a horizontal support zone but also lines up with a High Volume Level and a major GEX magnet. If that breaks, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price gravitate toward $102 or even the $100 level where the Put Wall sits heavy. 🔧 Trade Setup Ideas * Short Bias below $108: If NVDA stays below the broken channel, I’m leaning bearish. A clean rejection near $108–$109 offers a good risk/reward for short entries. * Target: $105 first, then $102. Stop above $109.50. * Long only if price reclaims the trendline and closes above $111 with volume. That would negate the breakdown and could signal a squeeze back toward $115. 🧠 Options Perspective (GEX-Informed) * Put Play Idea: Buying a $105 Put for May 3rd expiry (0–3 DTE) could work if price flushes below $106.70. IV is still elevated, but the IV crush risk is smaller on directional moves. * Gamma Roadmap: * $105 = High Volume Node + HVL * $102 = Strong Put Wall (7.5% GEX support) * $100 = Final magnet if things really unwind * Call Side Risk: Unless NVDA cleanly reclaims $111, calls above that level are a trap. A bounce back to $110 would be a fade zone unless momentum shifts. So in short — the trendline broke, bulls are on their heels, and $105 is the level to watch. Until something changes, I’m favoring downside plays but being patient for cleaner setups. Not advice — just sharing my thinking as I trade what I see.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights