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NVDA trade ideas

Option Chain Before Earnings - $NVDA huge CALL skewThis week, keep an eye on NASDAQ:NVDA , which will release its quarterly earnings on Wednesday. Here are this week’s earnings releases implemented by the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator for Tradingview: 08/28 Wednesday after market close: NVDA , CRWD , CRM 08/29 Thursday after market close: MRVL The Options Overlay indicates that NVDA's call skew is above 55% at 54DTE, meaning that CALL options are priced 55% higher than PUT options for the binary expected move distance . This suggests that the market is pricing in a strong upward move. The yellow curve represents the binary expected move, while the blue curve shows the 16-delta OTM options. The green rectangle highlights the area where you can potentially profit from the butterfly trade if the earnings report meets bullish market expectations. Upward price levels: 7/8 - 138 8/8 - 150 Downward price levels: 6/8 - 125 5/8 - 112 If you agree with the market’s bullish sentiment, one of the best R:R trades might be a directional NVDA call butterfly. You can buy it for $109 with the nearest Friday expiration, with a maximum (theoretical) profit of nearly $900. It’s worth executing this trade before the earnings announcement. Note that the green dashed line is theoretical; while it's not a traditional trendline according to classic TA, the long-term upward trend is still quite clear Expiry: Aug 30 Legs: 1x140C -2x150C + 1x160C Net debit: ~$100 Max profit: $890
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TanukiTrade
Nvidia Earnings To Push Markets? Understanding Risk On/OffVarious news reports mention Nvidia earnings as important as US Jobs data. This is because of the enormous market cap of Nvidia and the fact it is continuing to rise within an easing fed (softer landing prospects). It has become somewhat of an indicator for the direction of the US economy. It is a good idea to understand potential Risk On/Off effects. If we see continued growth and confidence via Nvidia earnings it is likely to translate to further Equity rises and safe haven outflows, potential further up moves in oil. Any kind of miss may provide a newer risk off effect and investments moving away from risk and back into safe havens / fixed income. Would not suggest taking any large sizes at all or gambling on results.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by WillSebastian
$NVDA Nvidia -50-75% downside ahead??For every bullish point that the experts bring up as to why markets should continue higher from here, I can give you a bearish point as to why they should correct -20-50%. Unfortunately, political views have influenced "experts" opinions on markets. It's a sign of the times. Will NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia be the end all be all for the markets? No, it will just impact how markets open on Thursday & then the markets will trade accordingly after that... I know 1 thing for sure, I would not want to own the stock that everyone in the world owns & CNBC has been pumping for the last 2 years straight. The downside here is -50-75% longer term is outweighing the upside potential IMO.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Robertlesnicki
3
Nvidia Stock Soars On Blowout GuidanceSoaring demand for the chips needed to train the latest wave of generative artificial intelligence systems such as ChatGPT led Nvidia to issue a revenue forecast far ahead of Wall Street expectations, prompting a surge in its stock price in after market trading. The US chipmaker on Wednesday said it expected sales to reach 11bn dollar in the three months to the end of July, more than 50 per cent ahead of the 7.2bn dollar analysts had been expecting and confirming its position as the biggest short-term beneficiary of the AI race that has broken out in the technology industry. The forecast fuelled a 27 per cent leap in Nvidia’s shares, which had already more than doubled since the start of the year, and lifted its stock market value to a record 960 bn dollar. Jensen Huang, chief executive, said the company was “significantly increasing our supply to meet surging demand” for its entire family of data centre chips, including the H100, a product launched this year that was designed to handle the demands of so-called large language models such as OpenAI’s GPT4. The race in the tech industry to develop larger AI models has led some customers to worry privately about a shortage of H100 chips, which only went on sale earlier this year. However, Nvidia’s $4.28bn in sales to data centre customers in its latest quarter topped even the most optimistic analysts’ forecasts, and the company said there had been strong sales of both the H100 and its A100 chips, based on its previous chip architecture. Nvidia’s forecast noted a potential doubling of sales to data centre customers in three months, even though data centre sales were running at an annualised rate of $17bn in the opening quarter of this year. Growth is coming from customers across the board, Kress said, with consumer internet companies, cloud computing providers and enterprise customers all rushing to apply the generative AI to their businesses. The bullish forecast came as Nvidia reported revenue and earnings in its latest quarter, to the end of April, had also topped forecasts, thanks to a jump in sales to data centre customers as demand for AI took off. Revenue reached $7.19bn, up 19 per cent from the preceding three months but down 13 per cent from the year before, as sales of chips for gaming systems dropped. Earnings per share rose 22 per cent from a year before to 82 cents, or $1.09 on the pro forma basis Wall Street judges the company. The consensus view on Wall Street had been for revenue of $6.52bn and pro forma earnings of 92 cents a share. now let's delve into the numbers. Nvidia's different business units did not all perform equally well during the quarter - which can be expected, of course. Nvidia's data center business grossed revenues of $4.3 billion during the first quarter, which represents a new record high. Data center demand is not very cyclical, and companies kept investing in new equipment despite a potential recession being on the horizon. This can be explained by the fact that data centers are mission critical for many companies, so they don't really have a lot of choice when it comes to allocating capital to this space. Strong data center sales also have been seen in the results of other chip companies such as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Both Nvidia and AMD also were able to benefit from the weak performance of their competitor Intel (INTC), as Intel has been losing market share in the data center space in recent quarters due to self-inflicted problems and an unconvincing product line-up. Nvidia is a major graphic chip or GPU player and is thus heavily impacted by the performance of related end markets. This includes both cryptocurrency mining and gaming. While some cryptocurrencies can't be mined with GPUs economically, such as Bitcoin, others, such as Ethereum, can be mined with GPUs. Ethereum moved from a proof-of-work model to a proof-of-stake model in the fall of 2022, but some miners still use GPUs for Ethereum mining. Not surprisingly, Nvidia's sales to this end market depend on the price for cryptocurrencies - when cryptocurrencies are expensive, miners are more eager to acquire additional GPUs and they may also be willing to pay high prices for them. During times when cryptocurrencies are less expensive, mining is less profitable, and GPU demand from cryptocurrency miners wanes. This has had an impact on Nvidia's sales in the past and likely played a role in Nvidia's Q1 sales as well. GPU sales have been under pressure in recent quarters due to lower demand by gamers as well. Many that like to play video games upgraded their hardware during the lockdown phase of the pandemic when staying at home meant that consumers had more time for video games. With many gamers having relatively new equipment, demand has declined in the recent past. At the same time, inflation pressures consumers' ability to spend on discretionary goods. On top of that, some consumers prefer to spend their money on experiences over things now as there are no lockdowns or travel restrictions in place any longer. All in all, this has resulted in a difficult macro environment for Nvidia's gaming business. Combined, the headwinds for the gaming market and the cryptocurrency market explain why Nvidia's sales and profits kept declining during the most recent quarter, relative to the results the company was able to generate one year earlier. The strong performance in the data center space was not enough to offset the headwinds Nvidia experienced in other areas. I personally going to take huge profit right now and wait for 250 $ levels
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto
5
NVIDIA Earnings Tonight: Stock Approaches Key ResistanceNVIDIA Technical Analysis and Earnings Overview Technical Analysis: Looking at the daily chart for NVIDIA (NVDA), the stock has been trading within an upward channel, indicating a continued bullish trend. The current price is around $128.30, within a key resistance zone just below $135.63. - Support Levels: Primary Support: $115.11 - This is a significant support level where the stock could potentially find buying interest if the price retraces. Secondary Support: $95.30 - A deeper retracement could see the price testing this level, but it would require a significant shift in market sentiment. - Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $135.63 - The stock is currently testing this resistance level. A breakout above this could lead to further gains. Next Major Resistance: $149.54 - If the stock breaks above the current resistance, the next target could be around this level. The chart suggests that NVIDIA could continue its upward momentum, especially if it breaks above the $135.63 resistance. The shaded area in the chart indicates the price channel, suggesting that the stock could reach the upper boundary of the channel if the bullish momentum continues. Earnings Overview: NVIDIA is scheduled to report its earnings after the U.S. market closes today. This earnings report is highly anticipated due to NVIDIA's pivotal role in the AI and semiconductor industries, both of which are experiencing significant growth. Earnings Expectations: Investors and analysts are looking closely at NVIDIA's performance, especially in the AI sector, which has been a key driver of the company's growth. Any guidance on future earnings, particularly related to AI chip demand, will likely have a significant impact on the stock's movement. Market Reaction: If NVIDIA reports strong earnings and provides optimistic guidance, we could see the stock breaking through the $135.63 resistance and pushing toward the $149.54 level. Conversely, if the earnings disappoint or the guidance is weaker than expected, the stock could pull back to the support levels mentioned earlier. In summary, NVIDIA's technical setup remains bullish, but the upcoming earnings report will be a critical catalyst that could either propel the stock higher or lead to a correction. Traders should watch for the earnings release and the market's reaction closely to determine the next move in the stock.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SroshMayi
NVDA - NVIDIA - Today is a decisive day!!! Dear traders, Today is a decisive day for NVIDIA as we will report at the close of the market the quarterly earnings (2Q), technically no reversal signals are reported, we are still in a general uptrend although in the last few weeks a correction has formed (as is normal). Depending on today this correction may end and therefore continue with the upward trend or prolong the correction, and may return to levels around $100 and in the worst case scenario to $75-80. The report of these results will move the needle for technology companies and a large part of the investment funds as they have significant positions in NVIDIA and other highly correlated companies. Best,
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FITINTRADE
PANICK SELLING IS OVERShares of the market of graphics chips for gaming and artificial intelligence have depreciated by17.61% over the course of the past month ,underperforming the computer and technology sectors loss of 11.22% . The upcoming earnings release of NVIDIA will be of great interest to investors. The company's earnings is expected to report EPS of $o.64, up 137.04 % from the prior year quarter. As you can see guys we are trading in a falling wedge upward movement is coming so good luck on those buys
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ForxTay
5
NVIDIA Potential Uptrend Line Rejection At $131.16 28.08.2024Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) Disclaimer
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Stuart_Cowell
Big Day Tomorrow: NVIDIA (NVDA) Price Action and Trading Plan Current Market Context NVIDIA is set to release its earnings report tomorrow, and the anticipation is palpable. The stock has been experiencing significant FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) with heavy call option activity, indicating that traders are betting on a positive earnings surprise. Analysts expect NVIDIA to report robust growth, with an EPS of $0.64 and revenue of $28.6 billion, up from previous quarters. This has created a highly optimistic market sentiment, but also a high bar for NVIDIA to meet or exceed. Technical Analysis Overview NVIDIA is currently trading within a range, with a recent high near $132.50 and strong support around $127.68. The volume profile suggests significant trading activity between these levels, indicating strong interest from both buyers and sellers in this range. The price action has been relatively flat, with the stock consolidating after recent gains, which is typical ahead of a major earnings report. Resistance Levels: The immediate resistance is around $132.50. If the earnings report is as strong as expected or exceeds expectations, NVIDIA could break above this level, with potential targets around $135 to $137.50. Support Levels: The strong support at $127.68 is crucial. A break below this could signal a bearish move, especially if the earnings report disappoints. The next major support would be around $125, with a more significant level at $120. Volume Profile: The volume profile indicates a significant concentration of trading activity around $130, which could act as a pivot point. If the stock moves above this level with high volume, it could confirm a bullish breakout. Price Action Scenarios for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: Pre-Earnings Rally: If the stock breaks above $132.50 during the trading session tomorrow, we could see a rally towards $135 or even higher, especially if there is positive sentiment leading into the earnings. Post-Earnings Rally: If NVIDIA's earnings beat expectations, the stock could gap up in after-hours trading or in the following session, potentially targeting $137.50 or higher. Bearish Scenario: Pre-Earnings Sell-Off: If there is nervousness in the market or if broader market conditions turn negative, NVIDIA could test the support at $127.68. A break below this level could lead to a move towards $125. Post-Earnings Drop: If NVIDIA fails to meet the high expectations, particularly in its guidance for AI-driven growth, the stock could experience a sharp sell-off. In this case, $125 would be a key level to watch, with a more significant support at $120. Neutral Scenario: Continued Consolidation: If the stock continues to trade within the current range of $127.68 to $132.50, it would suggest that traders are waiting for the earnings report before committing to a direction. Trading Plan Given the potential for volatility, a cautious approach may be warranted: Bullish Position: Consider entering a long position if the stock breaks above $132.50 with strong volume. Set a target of $135 to $137.50, with a stop-loss around $130 to protect against a reversal. Bearish Position: If the stock breaks below $127.68, a short position could be considered, targeting $125 initially, with a stop-loss around $130. Neutral Strategy: If the stock remains range-bound, consider using a straddle or strangle options strategy to capitalize on the post-earnings move, whichever direction it may take. Overall, NVIDIA’s price action tomorrow will largely depend on market sentiment leading into the earnings and the actual results released after the close. Be prepared for potential volatility and adjust your trading plan accordingly. My Thoughts: Bullish Bias: Given NVIDIA's strong position in the AI and GPU markets and the overall positive sentiment, I'm leaning slightly bullish. If the stock breaks above $132.50 tomorrow with strong volume, I believe there could be a solid upward move, possibly targeting $135 to $137.50. Caution on Overextension: However, given the high expectations, there's also a risk of a "sell the news" reaction, where the stock sells off even after good news. The elevated call option activity could also indicate that the market is over-positioned to the upside, which might limit the extent of the rally. Risk Management: It's important to approach tomorrow with a well-defined trading plan and to be prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios. Given the potential for volatility, having clear entry and exit points, along with stop-losses, will be crucial. In conclusion, while the technicals and market sentiment lean towards a bullish outlook, the high expectations and potential for post-earnings volatility suggest that caution is warranted. Keeping a flexible approach and being prepared for quick adjustments will likely be key to navigating tomorrow's trading session successfully.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BullBear-Insights
1
NVDA New ATH Inbound Technical reasons for a move to the upside are as follows 1 - 1 Fib Extension gives us $155 TR Pocket pull gives us $154 - $157 for more confluence, and finally we have Pivots at $152. All aligning in the same region I expect price to eventually gravitate to the upside . Not necessarily all on earnings day but never say never . Market structure is also in a bullish uptrend HTF. With that in mind we have these strong technicals/confluence to expect all time highs to be taken out $140.76.*ATH come Earnings Release. I dont advocate blindly longing up here though as the last opportunity to long was back in July but if you trade the INDEX Futures then you can use this as a potential compass into taking a Long * NQ for example . I dont look at Fundamentals but it was brought to my attention that the CEO has been selling vast amounts of stock which is publicly displayed if you care to investigate . So its possible that he knows something that we dont and maybe the results that are announced tomorrow dont meet expectations . if thats the case then of course be prepared for a move to the downside before continuation to the upside but bear in mind that NVDA have beaten expectations 4 X previously and have lucrative partnerships in the tech space and AI is still in its infancy so anything can happen . I remain bullish on the sector and NVDA especially Results are announced after market close Wed 29 Share and Like to support my work
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SJTRADESFUTURES
2
Price Action, news and BTC sell off indicates risk-off sentimentFor two weeks I thought it was abnormal to see huge sell offs at or around $130. I finally understand after reading some articles from MNBC & Yahoo Finance. First, it was the Blue Line Capital's interview: The Setup, More than NVDA. The analyst interviewed mentioned that although NVDA makes up a big amount of Blue Line Capital's investments, he holds short positions because of..."moving to small caps" and the "current environment". Then to the Yahoo Finance article "Nvidia has lots of questions to answer this week...". Here the fourth paragraph caught my attention. It's about what investor's will ask, basically the analyst's own questions. "Whether and when will NVDA GPU slow down and not whether customers are buying them faster than they can use them." Combing those two sources, I get the idea that big institutions (those that were selling the last 2 weeks) are in de-risking mode. Everything that NVDA has to offer seems to be already priced into $130 and liquidity moving to small caps along with economic & world events are the cause. In other words, institutions seem to think they're overbought and are now trying to sell off NVDA. Just now BTC selling off 9 days of gains before NVDA earnings day, is another contributing factor to a de-risking sentiment.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MoneySeed
NVDA earnings for fun & practiceI take an esoteric perspective on market analysis with dowsing and intuition and some other stuff. My intuition is giving me a down on it, but dowsing is saying it's going up to $135 and will stay or continue up for 2 days. I've had it before where I nail levels, but it's in the afterhours and not very helpful if you're in options. Since it's suggesting more than one day up, I think this will be ok. The potentially bigger deal is that it reverses, but this would be a couple days out. I'm getting that it'll at least test or break today's lod. I'll check again tomorrow.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by JenRz
Anticipation Builds: Nvidia's Q2 2025 Earnings PreviewAI powerhouse, Nvidia, is set to unveil its second-quarter earnings on Wednesday, August 28th. With anticipation running high, let's delve into what to expect from Nvidia's upcoming earnings release. Can Nvidia Beat the Street? Market expectations are high ahead of Nvidia’s Q2 FY2025 earnings release, with analysts projecting impressive growth figures. The consensus estimate points to a revenue of approximately $28.84 billion, more than doubling from the same period last year, driven by Nvidia's continued dominance in the AI chip market. Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be around $0.59, reflecting robust profitability. These projections mark a significant increase from the previous year's figures, with net income also expected to more than double to about $14.95 billion. Analysts will be focused on whether Nvidia can maintain its momentum, particularly in light of its impressive Q1 performance, where the company reported a 5x year-over-year increase in data center sales. Given the massive capital expenditures by major tech giants such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Google on AI infrastructure, Nvidia is positioned well to meet or even exceed market expectations. However, potential supply chain constraints and the evolving competitive landscape with rivals like AMD and Intel could present challenges that Nvidia must navigate to satisfy the high market expectations. Key Growth Drivers 1. Data Center Segment: Nvidia’s data center business is expected to remain a primary growth driver, with analysts projecting record revenue of $25.19 billion for Q2 due to high demand for AI-related technologies. 2. Gaming and Automotive Markets: Demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in gaming continues to grow, while its automotive computing platforms are seeing increased adoption, particularly in the electric and autonomous vehicle markets. 3. AI and Omniverse Platform: Nvidia's leadership in AI technology and the rapid growth of its Omniverse 3D simulation platform further solidify its position in the market, providing additional avenues for expansion. Key Levels: Technical Analysis Earlier this month, we highlighted that Nvidia's share price had pulled back into a key area of support created by the broken double-top swing highs from March 2024. This support level proved significant, triggering a +30% rally in August. The rally has broken above the descending retracement line formed in July and taken prices back above the 50-day moving average (MA), signalling a shift to bullish sentiment. In the days leading up to the earnings report, Nvidia's share price has been consolidating within a small box formation, suggesting potential breakout triggers. Key levels to watch include a retest of the June highs. A positive earnings surprise could propel a breakout above this consolidation, while a dip below the 50-day MA could lead to a swift retest of the August support level. Key Levels to Watch: • Resistance: June highs • Short-term Support: 50-day moving average • Major Support: August lows, formed by the broken double-top swing highs from March 2024 NVDA Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.51% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Capitalcom