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NVDA trade ideas

Is NVDA's $600 Billion Drop Due to DeepSeek?Is NVDA's $600 Billion Drop Due to DeepSeek? From my observation, the answer is no. NVIDIA had been experiencing continuous breakout growth for several months, reaching a double-top peak at the same time the AI wave was at its strongest. This led to the company's valuation multiplying several times from its lows. The $140+ range was around the peak valuation for NVDA. Therefore, in the next few months, a correction below $100 is inevitable. Even without DeepSeek, a similar event would have triggered this correction, as it is a natural phase for a company that has experienced such rapid and sustained growth. Framing it as an AI-driven narrative simply makes the situation more convincing. Looking at the chart, NVDA will likely top out, correct downward to form a bottom, then rebound to a new high before the larger 3M cycle correction begins.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by rainbow_sniper
NVDA | Distribution Pattern to $97Follow up to the rising wedge pattern After seeing price bounce off of trendline support 4 times then to finally breakout we could see the next moves sell off towards the discount zone To add more confluence to this setup we're looking at the difference between price and indication and it's signaling a selloff based on divergence and the medium blue signal re-entering the 80/20 channel forecast bearish momentum stepping into play I'm eyeing targets around $97 and the possibility of seeing movement back towards major resistance ($152) to re-confirm price structure for any further selling beyond $97 Stay posted for any major updates on price action.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Nathanl19
NVIDIA has reached the first targetNASDAQ:NVDA created a perfect double top pattern, breaking the baseline forcefully and offering up to two perfect pullbacks that only confirmed that the $127.7 level had ceased to be support and had become a critical resistance . A few weeks ago, we already warned that considering shorts on NVDA was feasible due to the breakdown of a previous pattern (see previous ideas). Now that the double top has broken down, the most common target would be to see prices around the $103 area , which, given NVDA's strong fundamentals and monopoly in AI, seems unlikely. But with Trump, you never know! If market uncertainty persists, the most extreme level would be around the $90 area, where a significant amount of money should appear to buy NVDA at a substantial discount.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TopChartPatterns
TESLA – BUY AND DON’T QUESTION IT! Tesla was not just the first car to move away from traditional fuels—now it seems to be distancing itself from any logic or traditional method of analysis as well. For almost two years, I’ve been saying the same thing: Tesla is no longer innovating, no longer developing, no longer a pioneer in the industry. While SpaceX continues to amaze, Tesla keeps disappointing. It’s as if its engineers have been relocated to another office—where they’re working… still for SpaceX, which, surprise surprise, isn’t publicly traded! Earnings reports? Logic? Who needs them anymore? Yesterday, Microsoft reported solid results but dropped after-hours. Tesla reported a disaster, yet it surged post-market. Mind-blowing! Some time ago, I told you I was reducing my Tesla holdings—and I did. I only kept a few shares here and there as indicators, but until I see signs of change, I’ll be watching from the sidelines. Tesla is no longer a company valued based on its financials—it’s a name: Musk! And since Musk climbed so fast on society’s escalator, Tesla seems to be compensating for its lack of performance by replacing every actual result with just one word: Musk! But… how high can Musk climb? If he goes any higher, he might end up colliding with his own satellites in orbit! Earnings Call – A Broadway Show with a Predictable Ending Yesterday, Musk appeared on the earnings call and promised the moon and the stars. Firm, determined, bullish. If you want Tesla, don’t bother analyzing it. Not technically, not fundamentally, not based on reliability. Everywhere you look, the message is BUY, regardless of the actual results. If you want Tesla, buy without thinking! For now, on Musk’s reputation alone! Close your eyes and dream… Imagine the moment a robotic arm retrieves the booster of a launched rocket, picture SpaceX, then… buy Tesla. You’re not taking any risks. It’s a legal drug! All in green!! (Even Tesla) P.S. I don’t think the after-hours rally will hold during
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Viorex
$NVDA - Resilience in ActionNASDAQ:NVDA In my previous post (linked above) I noted the amount of macro upwards pressure NASDAQ:NVDA Even with the market becoming leary of (or noticing other A.I. developer options), NASDAQ:NVDA still just makes the HARDWARE that these A.I. models are able to use and abuse in order to perform better. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to create great hardware, and continually iterate on the items that will continue to make A.I. great. My recommendation? Continue to hold, and buy at these lower levels. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to rise.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by tankingtomawar
Nvidia Stock Goes 'DeepSeek', Ahead of Earnings CallNvidia's stock has experienced significant volatility recently, largely influenced by the emergence of a new AI model from Chinese startup DeepSeek. This model, known as R1, reportedly rivals the capabilities of advanced models from major U.S. tech companies like OpenAI and Google, but does so using less powerful and cheaper chips. This development has raised concerns among investors about the sustainability of Nvidia's market dominance and the high valuations of U.S. tech stocks. Impact of DeepSeek on Nvidia Stock Stock Performance. On January 27, 2025, Nvidia's shares plummeted by over 16%, marking its largest intraday drop since August 2023. This decline wiped more than half-a-trillion US dollars from Nvidia's market capitalization. The stock fell approximately 12.5% in early trading, reflecting widespread investor anxiety about the implications of DeepSeek's advancements. Investor Sentiment. The introduction of DeepSeek's AI model has prompted a reevaluation of the heavy investments made by U.S. tech firms in AI technologies. Analysts noted that if DeepSeek can achieve competitive results with lower costs, it may lead to reduced demand for Nvidia's high-end chips. This has caused a ripple effect across the tech sector, with other semiconductor stocks also experiencing declines. Market Reactions. The broader tech market was affected as well, with the Nasdaq index falling nearly 4% in pre-market trading. Other companies linked to AI and technology also saw significant drops; for instance, ASML and Broadcom fell by 7% and over 12%, respectively. Perspectives by Fundamental and Technical Analyst Skepticism About DeepSeek. While some analysts expressed skepticism about DeepSeek's ability to compete effectively without advanced chips, they acknowledged that its success could force U.S. companies to reconsider their strategies regarding AI investments and efficiency. For example, Citi analysts maintained a "buy" rating on Nvidia, suggesting that major U.S. companies are unlikely to shift away from using Nvidia's GPUs in the near term. Concerns Over Valuations. Analysts at Wedbush highlighted that U.S. tech stocks are currently valued at premium levels, which makes them vulnerable to any disruptions in perceived technological superiority. They noted that even small developments like those from DeepSeek could significantly impact stock prices due to inflated expectations surrounding AI advancements. Future Outlook. Despite the immediate negative impact on Nvidia's stock, some analysts believe that concerns may be exaggerated and that U.S. firms are still well-positioned for long-term growth in AI technologies. They argue that while DeepSeek's model is impressive, it does not yet match the comprehensive infrastructure and ecosystem that American tech giants have developed. Technical Outlook. The main technical graph for Nvidia stock (1-week resolution) indicates on epic breakthrough of upside channel, which has been alive for more than last two years, until ̶D̶o̶n̶a̶l̶d̶ ̶T̶r̶u̶m̶p̶ someone entered ̶a̶ ̶c̶h̶a̶t̶ White House. Ahead of Nvidia Earnings call (scheduled on February, 26) our 'fancy-nancy' Analyst Team is strongly against any Nvidia stock purchase below ready to be lost, $130 per share level. Potentially 52-week SMA can support a stock for a while near $115 a share, otherwise we believe Nvidia stock will dive below $100 level again. Conclusion In summary, the rise of DeepSeek represents a pivotal moment for Nvidia and the broader tech sector, challenging existing assumptions about AI development costs and market dynamics. The ongoing situation will likely lead to further scrutiny of investment strategies within the industry as stakeholders assess the long-term implications of this emerging competition.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by PandorraResearch
NVIDIA (NVDA) stock with technical indicatorsAscending Channel: The stock is trending within an upward-sloping channel, with the price currently near the middle. The orange trendlines indicate potential support and resistance levels. Key Support and Resistance: The lower trendline has acted as strong support multiple times (circled in red). If history repeats, the price could bounce from this level and move toward the upper trendline. Moving Averages (MA 50 & 200): The 50-day moving average (red line) and 200-day moving average (green line) provide additional support and resistance. The price is fluctuating around these levels, indicating a consolidation phase before a potential breakout. RSI Divergence & Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom suggests periods of overbought (bear signals) and oversold (bull signals) conditions. Currently, RSI is around 63.69, meaning there is still room for upward movement before becoming overbought. Potential Price Action: The green arrow suggests a bullish outlook if support holds, potentially leading to a breakout towards the upper resistance. A break below the lower trendline could signal a bearish reversal.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by miguelleitao96
Analysing the Impact of Nvidia's Stock Price DropWhile the sharp decline in Nvidia's stock price made headlines yesterday, let’s assess the actual technical damage caused by the move. Attached is a weekly chart, displayed with logarithmic scaling. This scaling method is used because Nvidia's share price has grown exponentially over the past few years, making percentage-based changes more meaningful for analysis. On a logarithmic scale, vertical spacing represents percentage changes, ensuring a consistent visual representation of relative movements. Key Observations: 1. Trend Break Confirmation The first notable point is that Nvidia's uptrend, which began in 2022, was broken not yesterday but several weeks ago. This predated the recent sell-off, indicating the potential for weakness had already emerged. 2. Critical Support Levels The sell-off now approaches two significant technical levels: o The 55-week moving average (MA) at 112.46. o The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 98.52. These levels are worth monitoring closely as potential support zones. Questioning the Trend The pressing question is whether this marks the end of the bull run or merely an aggressive correction within an ongoing uptrend. For now, I lean towards the latter interpretation, as there isn't sufficient evidence to declare a full trend reversal. A single day of sharp decline doesn’t necessarily confirm the onset of a bear market—at least not yet. Final Thought One down day, while significant, doesn't define a bear market. It’s important to watch how the price action unfolds around the aforementioned support levels to gain clarity on the longer-term trajectory. Not investment advice ________________________________________ About Logarithmic Scaling Logarithmic, or "percentage," scaling ensures that equal vertical distances represent equal percentage changes. For example, the vertical distance between 10 and 20 (a 100% increase) is the same as the distance between 50 and 100. This scaling is particularly useful for analysing stocks with large price growth over time. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by The_STA
NVIDIA is DONE? Or it is a good entry point? NVIDIA: Analyzing the Recent Price Drop and Long-Term Prospects Greetings, this is Ronin. Today, we’ll dive into what happened yesterday with NVIDIA’s stock and why market panic is no reason to surrender. Let’s break down the situation step by step to understand the real drivers behind this decline. What Happened? Yesterday, the market was shaken by news from China: the development of a new artificial intelligence (AI) system that is cheaper to build and requires fewer computational resources. In response, NVIDIA’s stock plummeted, triggering concern among investors. The key issue fueling the sell-off was fear of an AI sector revaluation. After NVIDIA’s meteoric rise of +200–300% over the past two years, even the slightest doubt can cause significant price fluctuations. However, let’s not view the market through a lens of panic. Drops like this are temporary corrections, and here’s why NVIDIA remains a powerhouse in its industry. Market Volatility: A Natural Phenomenon Imagine a river encountering a sudden boulder. The current becomes turbulent, water splashes and roars, but eventually, the river finds its way forward. Similarly, in the market, fundamental news about technological breakthroughs can stir things up, but capital always flows back to strong, stable assets. Looking at NVIDIA’s chart, we can identify several local support levels where prices have repeatedly rebounded during past periods of market turbulence. These levels indicate that the current panic is not a collapse but rather a pullback within a long-term trend. Why NVIDIA Remains Strong Beyond Artificial Intelligence NVIDIA’s products are not limited to AI development; they are integral to numerous high-tech sectors: GPUs that are the gold standard in the gaming industry. Solutions for data centers, automotive industries, and cloud computing. Trump’s AI Investments Former President Donald Trump recently announced a $500 billion investment in the U.S. AI sector. This substantial funding will bolster domestic demand for NVIDIA’s products. Technological Leadership NVIDIA produces processors unmatched in performance. Even if Chinese AI outperforms in certain areas, no country will completely dethrone NVIDIA. Competition? Yes. Dominance? Unlikely. Long-Term Forecast Short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market cycles. When news sparks panic, assets that previously showed enormous growth inevitably experience corrections. However, this does not negate long-term potential. Key Figures: 2-Year Growth: +200–300%. Current Correction: -12% in a day. Long-Term Growth Outlook: NVIDIA’s annual revenue growth is still expected at 30–40%, according to analysts. NVIDIA’s stock drop is a temporary event driven by short-term revaluation. Once liquidity returns and the panic subsides, the stock is poised to resume its upward trajectory. Conclusion The market has always been a stage for emotions to play out. But a true trader knows: when everyone is panicking, it’s time to act. Chinese AI? It’s just another player entering the vast technological field. NVIDIA, on the other hand, remains a titan that sets the standard. Panic comes and goes, but trends endure. With NVIDIA, we’ll witness many more peaks. This is Ronin. See you at the top of the charts! 📈💎
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by StarTradePro
NVIDIA - We wiped 600bn, but this is still the best company!Hi guys we are going to take a look into NVIDIA. Yesterday we had an enormous sell off the stock and we dropped to an extremely strong support area. Despite the news from China and the newly acquired DEEPSEEK which works with a fraction of the cost compared to U.S. AI, I still believe that a new product cannot beat the old dog on the street. Additionally the big tech companies are about to showcase their earnings this week, and all of this before NVIDIA showcases their own earnings which most probably would be stellar. So I am a firm believer that we should see the price go up from this level. Entry: 120 Target 1: 130 Target 2: 148 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DG55Capital
Nvidia Shares Plunge More Than 17% Nvidia’s stock has experienced a significant drop in price in recent hours due to growing concerns about new competition from China, represented by the startup DeepSeek. This Asian startup is positioning itself to offer services similar to those of current AI industry leaders but at a much lower cost. Additionally, its open-source model, unlike competitors such as OpenAI , has generated high expectations, marking a new competitive challenge from China to the U.S. in this sector. Nvidia has led the steep declines in the tech sector in the short term. Range Breakout: Recent selling pressure has caused a breakout from a consistent lateral range that had been in place since late October 2024. The movement has been so aggressive that the price has also broken below the 100-period moving average and is now struggling with the 200-period moving average. If the strong bearish pressure continues in the coming sessions, it could jeopardize the long-standing upward trend visible on the daily chart prior to this event. RSI: The RSI indicator line has quickly adopted a bearish slope, moving decisively away from the neutral level of 50. However, recent price action has brought the line closer to the oversold zone at 30 , suggesting that the momentum of the current decline is significantly imbalanced. This could pave the way for small upward corrections in the short term. Key Levels: $114: Current support level corresponding to neutral zones from August and September 2024. Bearish oscillations breaking below this level could strengthen selling pressure and establish a sustained bearish bias in the market. However, this zone could also trigger new upward corrections in the coming sessions. $131: The nearest resistance level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Oscillations near this level could restore market neutrality and potentially lead to a new lateral channel. $144 : Distant resistance level. Oscillations reaching this level again would bring the strong long-term bullish trend back into focus. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FOREXcom
"Seriously Poof" A-I Balloon I had written here previously that Nvidia could ultimately bring down the US stock market. If you were watching Sunday evening football last night, you were potentially shocked when the US stock market opened this morning. News this weekend that Chinese start up Deep Seek has developed and produced A-I discounted chips, to glowing tech reviews this weekend sent NVDA down in a crash mode on Monday down 17 % and dropping losing billions of dollar valuation in a single trading day. What large institutional venture start up would now wish to pour billions of dollars into Nvidea's A-1 chips, when the same task result can be achieved at a fraction of the cost. The technical chart of Nvidia breakaway gap down today says it all. It is "thin air" down to 100.... " Seriously Poof" THE_ UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by The_Unwind
2
DeepSeek: Is the $2 trillion panic justified? A small Chinese AI startup, DeepSeek, is responsible for erasing $2 trillion from the US equity market, within 12 hours. Nvidia's stock is down ~17% at the time of writing, while shares of other US-based AI-related companies, including Oracle, Broadcom, and AMD, have fallen between 12% and 20%. Microsoft, a major investor in OpenAI, has also dropped more than 3%. However, Apple stock has gained, with the market seemingly dismissive of its Apple Intelligence product. DeepSeek launched a free, open-source large language model in December, reportedly developed in just two months for under $6 million. This news and its implications are only just filtering into mainstream market consciousness now following the release of DeepSeek's chatbot app. Investors are now questioning why US firms are spending hundreds of billions on Nvidia chips when a startup claims to achieve significant results at a fraction of the cost and raised concerns about the US losing its perceived dominance in the AI sector. However, industry figures, including Elon Musk and Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang, are scrambling to change the narrative though. Some suggest that DeepSeek likely has access to 50,000 NVIDIA Hopper GPUs—despite their claims of using just 10,000 A100 GPUs—due to U.S. export restrictions.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BlackBull_Markets
1
Why I Believe NVIDIA (NVDA) Is Oversold and Ready to BounceI’ve been following NVIDIA (NVDA) closely, and while I’m aware of the recent negative news, I believe the market’s reaction has been completely overblown. To me, this pullback has pushed NVDA into oversold territory—not because of technical indicators like RSI (which I’m not relying on), but because the price is now sitting at a strong demand level that historically has seen solid buying interest. In my opinion, the market has overpriced the impact of the news. NVIDIA’s fundamentals remain strong, and I don’t see anything here that fundamentally changes the long-term story of the company. This feels more like a short-term overreaction that’s created an opportunity to get in at a discount.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MrTiga