$AAL Iron CondorHaven't posted on here in a bit. Figured I would share some plays that take advantage of the recent spike in volatility.
Airlines have taken an absolute beating, and if you put a gun to my head I would say that will continue. However I don't see it happening at the same pace and we should get a couple green days mixed in. The high IV has provided a very wide profit zone here, a range equal to nearly 50% of the underlying with only 3 weeks til expiration.
Buy: 3/20 24 Call
Sell: 3/20 22 Call
Sell: 3/20 14 Put
Buy: 3/20 12 Put
Net Credit: $52
Max Loss: $148
AAL trade ideas
Now, you can own AAL for 60% discount !Since the peak almost 3 years back, the price of AAL has been nothing but down ,down , down.
So, if you have the patience to hold for years, you can make such good returns shorting as well.
Now, are we going to witness a breakout soon or will it heads lower ? It is safe to err on the side of caution since the Covid-19 virus has not subside , in fact the flame seems to be getting stronger by the day.
AAL is just one of the travel stocks that got hit though their exposure to Asia travel routes may not be as high compared to Cathay Pacific
This will be one sector that I will be researching more indepth months down the road when the virus is eliminated or a cure is found. Or at least things are much in control and people are feeling safe to travel once more. Imagine global conferences being cancelled , meetings and events business badly affected, so are the hotels, taxi business, F&B, the whole chain that are related. Note that not all events or meetings can be done online, the need for face to face meetings still very much exist in this 21st century.
Imagine the CEOs and executives not able to claim for their 5 stars accommodation and 1st class seat flight along with 3 star Michelin F&B restaurant, what will the world become ? HAHA
$AAL - Weekly breakout ou juste continuation de la baisse? Voici mon analyse sur $AAL :
- Actif dans une tendance baissière depuis longtemps (une correction de plus de 50%)
- Point clé au niveau du canal pouvant donner sur un breakout ou continuation pour shorter
- Un niveau short réduit à 16% hier alors que la moyenne générale est 40%
- Un bloc institutionnel important de 9mil à 28.33 (smart money) a été complété pouvant donner une volatilité plus élevé
- Moyenne mobile 200 servant de résistance niveau daily également
- Attendre un signal de breakout confirmé pour la hausse et échec du retest pour continuer la baisse.
American Airlines: Buy opportunity on the 1W MA50 break out.AAL has completed 2 years since the January 2018 top. The downtrend since then has been non-stop and 1W even formed a Channel Down with the MA50 (blue line) acting as a Resistance and Lower High.
With 1W however turning neutral (RSI = 49.107, STOCH = 47.539, ADX = 14.260, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) after finding Support at 24.70 (has been holding since June 2016) and even making a Double Bottom there, and the RSI on a bullish divergence, we are expecting a strong bullish break out once the MA50 breaks.
We will buy on the break out and aim at the 1W MA200 (orange line).
** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. **
Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
American AirlinesPotential long on AAL. Currently sitting at near the major all time lows. There is a clean double bottom formed in the end of 2019 and there is a slight upwards trending chart now. If holds this position and earnings are strong that we can look for the stock to make a new push back towards previous highs.