ABX trade ideas
GOLD $GOLD Trend Line Practice Been seeing lots of stuff on Twitter bout Gold GDX metals. I like the metals. Easy focus list. Metals Commodity. Etc. Obviously not studying my online training material if you happen to see this. Highly doubtful but will hit the material tomorrow. Happy New Year. Feeling much better!
NYSE:GOLD
$GOLD formerly #ABX fib and bullish DW$GOLD ending a descending wedge. Quite tight, but you can see a completed five waves, and we are right on a 61.8% fib, or a closer 50% fib. I suggest waiting for one more touch of the 61.8% with a stop under the other one for a 7.8:1 trade.
I wish they would remove that ticker GOLD it plays hell with the CFD market. I thought when Randgold was bought it would disappear.
Is Gold Quietly Gearing up for a Run? Technicals Say Yes!One of the best ways to forecast Gold is looking at the senior stocks. Why? Senior stocks are the most highly short interest stocks in the precious metal sector and they never consistently rise until a Gold run is near.
I believe what we are seeing now is the "true" bull run for Gold in-the-making, and eventually Silver and Platinum will follow (Platinum will be the slowest of the 3). Gold bottomed at 1450, and in my opinion, is exactly where Gold should have been. The US-China trade war from much of 2019 is what pushed Gold exceptionally higher as a result of extreme uncertainty.
While the "deal" serves little purpose and will do nothing to revive economic numbers anywhere in the world, what it has done is essentially confirmed a bit of a "lets start over" type of mentality because Trump had the option of giving-in or escalating the trade war and allowing the market to plummet. Obviously, he chose the former.
In reality, Gold will quietly begin to run up - moreso in 2020. While most people will continue to short Gold as they think a USA/China trade deal will send it plummeting, the reality is, most logical investors know what we will see is a likely continuation of a blow-off top for the remaining of December, with a likely short in Q1 2020.
Contrary to popular belief, yields rising at this point no longer will push precious metals down. This was relevant during the height of the USA/China trade-war, however, yields will inevitably rise whenever the next recession occurs as investors lose faith in governmental treasuries.
Moreover, Powell stated rates will remain unchanged in 2020. As usual, the Federal Reserves job is to remain artificially optimistic and 'lie' to the public to mitigate any fear. In reality, Powell will likely cut 2 or 3 times in 2020 with, in my opinion, the first cut coming in March or April of 2020, a second late in the summer, and potentially a third later in 2020 depending on the probability of Trump winning or losing and how the market prices in uncertainty. Remember, central banks do not forecast recessions. They react to them.
The time to slowly add precious metals is now as by the time 2020 comes, you may have timed yourself out of the market.
Expect Barrick to continue to push higher off the 180 sinusoidal pivot set back in early November.
- zSplit
BARRICK LONGSAs the fears of a global economic slowdown reach further in the hearts of hedge funds, banks and other financial instituitions it only make sense to gauge how these emotions fare on one of the largest mining companies in the world. After hitting record lows in 2015, it has steadily fought back. It has formed a higher low which gives us some indication that a higher high may follow.
Do you see a rising wedge or an ascending triangle forming? Note: All of what I claim below is simply the way I perceive the market. I am not certain nor do I suggest you take my advice without first taking into consideration what I have said. Whatever you do, be critical of what everyone claims. Those who claim certainty in the market tend to get hurt the most.
Observations:
It seems like it is developing two different patterns. The first being a rising wedge, which is considered a bearish sign. The second being an ascending triangle, which can be considered a bullish sign.
Notice how I have highlighted the resistance zone with a grey rectangular box. I did this to highlight all of the areas where price action bounced off of (or reversed). It will take a great deal of buying to get above this zone.
If price does break above this grey zone, I think that a further move up will ensue. At the very least, to touch the top of that rising wedge I've drawn out.
But if it breaks below trendline (B), I expect some strong selling off will follow.
I personally believe that the price will continue to consolidate within the ascending triangle I've drawn above. It will take a lot of fighting to break through each extreme edge, especially the resistance zone (A). Therefore, it is suggested to watch carefully when price does reach these two extremes.
GOLD expecting an uptrendThis trade is for the options traders out there. We have a breakout of the falling wedge and the rsi is coming out of oversold. Expecting bearish sentiment on the S&P in the near term and gold to perform well in the meantime. I will be accumulating March 20 20 18$ calls which are currently priced at .78-.79. I will be holding these calls through the market correction until GOLD starts giving sell signals.
GOLD (NYSE) long setup 1:3 risk with multiple targetsGOLD is a gold mining company, Barrick Gold Corporation. GOLD broke out the resistance and stayed above it. I'm expecting more up move. Winning probability of this trade is less than 35%. I am going to trade this setup with a proper risk management.
GOLD LONG SETUP:
1. Entry: 16.76 (or market open at 29th Nov 19)
2. Entry: 17.23
Stop-loss: 15.96 (0.8 pts)
1. Target: 18.96 (2.2 pts - 2.75 R)
2. Target: 19.97 (3.21 pts - 4.0 R)
Disclaimer: This is not a financial or investment advice.
Trade safe,
Atilla Yurtseven
GOLD (Barrick) may turn north... The exchange rate slowed down. For long-term investors, the time has come to take a long position. However, the possibility that the exchange rate may fall to 15.89usd before a permanent reversal should also be considered. Nonetheless, current levels can be an excellent entry point for money management. The primary target price remains unchanged. The target price is 20usd.
GOLD will explode XAUUSD will explode in coming days and I also see a nice falling wedge pattern in GOLD (Barrick). The pattern has been broken already and the price is making a goodbye kiss of the trendline. Time to load Dec options with strike @18. They are cheap. This nicely converges with my view on SPX500 .